Atrial fibrillation epidemiology, disparity and healthcare contacts: a population-wide study of 5.6 million individuals.

Background: We aimed to evaluate atrial fibrillation occurrence, reasons for healthcare visits, mortality, causes of death and examined patterns by relative deprivation in the UK. Methods: To study the atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence, mortality and case-fatality, we implemented a prospective cohort study with the linked electronic health records of 5.6 million population in the United Kingdom Clinical Practice Research Datalink from 1998 to 2016. A matched case-control study was used to investigate causes of hospitalisation and death comparing individuals with and without incident AF. Results: During a median follow-up of 10.3 years, 199,433(3.6%) patients developed incident AF. Increased risk of hospitalisation for heart failure, cardiovascular conditions and infection was present among patients who later developed AF. Following an AF diagnosis, patients were frequently admitted to the hospital for heart failure, lower respiratory tract infection, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and ischemic heart disease. One in 5 AF patients died during the first year after diagnosis, and the mortality increased to 42.7% at the fifth year. The excess deaths in AF cases compared to controls may result from cardiovascular diseases, infection and metabolic disorders. Individuals from areas with higher deprivation in socioeconomic and living status had both higher AF incidence and fatality. Interpretation: We observed an elevated risk of hospitalisation for cardiovascular or respiratory diseases among incident AF patients, and the considerable disparity in AF burden by socioeconomic deprivation informs priorities for prevention and provision of patient care. Funding: The study was supported by the GlaxoSmithKline, University College London Hospital and National Institute for Health Research. The funders did not have any role in study design, data collection, data analysis, interpretation, and writing of the report.

Metabolic profiles of socio-economic position: a multi-cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Low socio-economic position (SEP) is a risk factor for multiple health outcomes, but its molecular imprints in the body remain unclear. METHODS: We examined SEP as a determinant of serum nuclear magnetic resonance metabolic profiles in ∼30 000 adults and 4000 children across 10 UK and Finnish cohort studies. RESULTS: In risk-factor-adjusted analysis of 233 metabolic measures, low educational attainment was associated with 37 measures including higher levels of triglycerides in small high-density lipoproteins (HDL) and lower levels of docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), omega-3 fatty acids, apolipoprotein A1, large and very large HDL particles (including levels of their respective lipid constituents) and cholesterol measures across different density lipoproteins. Among adults whose father worked in manual occupations, associations with apolipoprotein A1, large and very large HDL particles and HDL-2 cholesterol remained after adjustment for SEP in later life. Among manual workers, levels of glutamine were higher compared with non-manual workers. All three indicators of low SEP were associated with lower DHA, omega-3 fatty acids and HDL diameter. At all ages, children of manual workers had lower levels of DHA as a proportion of total fatty acids. CONCLUSIONS: Our work indicates that social and economic factors have a measurable impact on human physiology. Lower SEP was independently associated with a generally unfavourable metabolic profile, consistent across ages and cohorts. The metabolites we found to be associated with SEP, including DHA, are known to predict cardiovascular disease and cognitive decline in later life and may contribute to health inequalities.

Same-day discharge following catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation: A safe and cost-effective approach.

INTRODUCTION: The frequency of catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) has increased dramatically, stretching resources. Discharge on the same day as treatment may increase the efficiency and throughput. There are limited data regarding the safety of this strategy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive patients undergoing AF ablation in a tertiary center and in a district general hospital, and identified those discharged on the same day of treatment. The safety endpoint was any complication and/or presentation to hospital in the 48-h and at 30 days postdischarge. We performed an economic analysis to calculate potential cost saving. RESULTS: Among a total population of 2628 patients, we identified 727 subjects (61.1 ± 12.5 years, 69.6% male) undergoing day-case AF ablation. Cryoballoon technique was used in 79.2% of the day-cases, and 91.6% of the procedures were performed under conscious sedation. 1.8% (13) of the participants met the safety composite endpoint at 48-h, however only 0.7% (5) required at least 1 day of hospitalization. Bleeding or hematoma at the femoral access site (0.5%) and pericarditic chest pain (0.5%) were the main reasons for readmission. None experienced cardiac tamponade or other life-threatening complications in the 48-h postdischarge. Overall rate of complication and/or presentation to hospital at 30 days was 3.7%. Our day-case policy resulted in an annual cost-saving of approximately of £83 927 for our hospital. CONCLUSION: In this large multicentre cohort, same-day discharge in selected patients following AF ablation appears to be safe and cost-effective, with a very low rate of early readmission or post-discharge complication.

A nurse-led implantable loop recorder service is safe and cost effective.

INTRODUCTION: Implantable loop recorders (ILR) are predominantly implanted by cardiologists in the catheter laboratory. We developed a nurse-delivered service for the implantation of LINQ (Medtronic; Minnesota) ILRs in the outpatient setting. This study compared the safety and cost-effectiveness of the introduction of this nurse-delivered ILR service with contemporaneous physician-led procedures. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing an ILR at our institution between 1st July 2016 and 4th June 2018 were included. Data were prospectively entered into a computerized database, which was retrospectively analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 475 patients underwent ILR implantation, 271 (57%) of these were implanted by physicians in the catheter laboratory and 204 (43%) by nurses in the outpatient setting. Six complications occurred in physician-implants and two in nurse-implants (P = .3). Procedural time for physician-implants (13.4 ± 8.0 minutes) and nurse-implants (14.2 ± 10.1 minutes) were comparable (P = .98). The procedural cost was estimated as £576.02 for physician-implants against £279.95 with nurse-implants, equating to a 57.3% cost reduction. In our center, the total cost of ILR implantation in the catheter laboratory by physicians was £10 513.13 p.a. vs £6661.55 p.a. with a nurse-delivered model. When overheads for running, cleaning, and maintaining were accounted for, we estimated a saving of £68 685.75 was performed by moving to a nurse-delivered model for ILR implants. Over 133 catheter laboratory and implanting physician hours were saved and utilized for other more complex procedures. CONCLUSION: ILR implantation in the outpatient setting by suitably trained nurses is safe and leads to significant financial savings.

Procedural and quality assessment data on catheter ablation for fascicular ventricular tachycardia.

Data presented in this article are supplementary materials to our article entitled "Catheter Ablation for Fascicular Ventricular Tachycardia: A Systematic review" (Creta et al., 2018). The current article provides additional procedural data regarding the catheter ablation for fascicular ventricular tachycardia (FVT) performed in the patients enrolled in our analysis. Furthermore, we provide data regarding the quality assessment of the studies included in our systematic review.

Temporal pattern/episode duration-based classification of atrial fibrillation as paroxysmal vs. persistent: is it time to develop a more integrated prognostic score to optimize management?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a clinically heterogeneous arrhythmia that is currently classified according to the variety of temporal rhythm based manifestations observed clinically, including 'first detected episode', 'paroxysmal', 'persistent', or 'permanent' AF. Despite being widely adopted by the most recent consensus guidelines, the utility of this classification system to stratify patients into distinct and clinically useful groups that have different outcomes including mortality, morbidity, specific cardiovascular outcomes, and quality of life (QoL), remains questionable. This is particularly true regarding the distinction between paroxysmal and persistent AF. Here, we demonstrate there is limited and conflicting evidence that this distinction is useful in predicting mortality, morbidity (including stroke and heart failure), symptom burden and QoL, although there is convincing evidence that patients with paroxysmal AF have favourable outcomes following electrical cardioversion and have better ablation procedural outcomes. Risk stratification schemes including the CHA2DS2VASc score are widely used to help clinicians stratify patients at high risk of stroke, whilst a number of newer, potentially superior, competitors have also recently been developed. A range of parameters including left atrial (LA) size, LA morphology, LA fibrosis [assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)] LA appendage morphology and LA function (assessed by echo) have all been recently suggested to identify higher risk patients and may, perhaps in combination with validated risk stratification scores and emerging genetic data, provide clinicians with the information necessary to more accurately stratify patients to ensure better outcomes of specific AF treatments and prevent adverse events.

Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator (ICD) Therapy in Women-Data From a Multicenter French Registry.

BACKGROUND: There are limited data describing sex specificities regarding implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) in the real-world European setting. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a large multicenter cohort of consecutive patients referred for ICD implantation for primary prevention (2002-2012), in ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy, we examined the sex differences in subjects' characteristics and outcomes. Of 5539 patients, only 837 (15.1%) were women and 53.8% received cardiac resynchronization therapy. Compared to men, women presented a significantly higher proportion of nonischemic cardiomyopathy (60.2% versus 36.2%, P<0.001), wider QRS complex width (QRS >120 ms: 74.6% versus 68.5%, P=0.003), higher New York Heart Association functional class (≥III in 54.2%♀ versus 47.8%♂, P=0.014), and lower prevalence of atrial fibrillation (18.7% versus 24.9%, P<0.001). During a 16 786 patient-years follow-up, overall, fewer appropriate therapies were observed in women (hazard ratio=0.59, 95% CI 0.45-0.76; P<0.001). By contrast, no sex-specific interaction was observed for inappropriate shocks (odds ratio ♀=0.84, 95% CI 0.50-1.39, P=0.492), early complications (odds ratio=1.00, 95% CI 0.75-1.32, P=0.992), and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio=0.87 95% CI 0.66-1.15, P=0.324). Analysis of sex-by- cardiac resynchronization therapy interaction shows than female cardiac resynchronization therapy recipients experienced fewer appropriate therapies than men (hazard ratio=0.62, 95% CI 0.50-0.77; P<0.001) and lower mortality (hazard ratio=0.68, 95% CI 0.47-0.97; P=0.034). CONCLUSIONS: In our real-life registry, women account for the minority of ICD recipients and presented with a different clinical profile. Whereas female cardiac resynchronization therapy recipients had a lower incidence of appropriate ICD therapies and all-cause death than their male counterparts, the observed rates of inappropriate shocks and early complications in all ICD recipients were comparable. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/. Unique identifier: NCT01992458.

Implantable cardioverter-defibrillators in the elderly: rationale and specific age-related considerations.

Despite the increasingly high rate of implantation of cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD) in elderly patients, data supporting their clinical and cost-effectiveness in this age stratum are ambiguous and contradictory. We comprehensively reviewed the state-of-the-art data regarding the applicability, safety, clinical- and cost-effectiveness of the ICD in elderly patients, and analysed which patients in this age stratum are more likely to get a survival benefit from this therapy. Although peri-procedural risk may be slightly higher in the elderly, this procedure is still relatively safe in this age group. In terms of correcting potentially life-threatening arrhythmias, the effectiveness of ICD therapy is comparable in older and younger individuals. However, the assumption of persistent ICD benefit in the elderly population is questionable, as any advantage of the device on arrhythmic death may be largely attenuated by a higher total non-arrhythmic mortality. While septuagenarians and octogenarians have higher annual all-cause mortality rates, ICD therapy may remain effective in highly selected patients at high risk of arrhythmic death and with minimum comorbidities despite advanced age. ICD intervention among the elderly, as a group, may not be cost-effective, but the procedure may reach cost-effectiveness in those expected to live >5-7 years after implantation. Biological age rather than chronological age per se should be the decisive factor in making a decision on ICD selection for survival benefit.

Improving risk stratification in non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction with combined assessment of GRACE and CRUSADE risk scores.

BACKGROUND: Risk assessment is fundamental in the management of acute coronary syndromes (ACS), enabling estimation of prognosis. AIMS: To evaluate whether the combined use of GRACE and CRUSADE risk stratification schemes in patients with myocardial infarction outperforms each of the scores individually in terms of mortality and haemorrhagic risk prediction. METHODS: Observational retrospective single-centre cohort study including 566 consecutive patients admitted for non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. The CRUSADE model increased GRACE discriminatory performance in predicting all-cause mortality, ascertained by Cox regression, demonstrating CRUSADE independent and additive predictive value, which was sustained throughout follow-up. The cohort was divided into four different subgroups: G1 (GRACE<141; CRUSADE<41); G2 (GRACE<141; CRUSADE≥41); G3 (GRACE≥141; CRUSADE<41); G4 (GRACE≥141; CRUSADE≥41). RESULTS: Outcomes and variables estimating clinical severity, such as admission Killip-Kimbal class and left ventricular systolic dysfunction, deteriorated progressively throughout the subgroups (G1 to G4). Survival analysis differentiated three risk strata (G1, lowest risk; G2 and G3, intermediate risk; G4, highest risk). The GRACE+CRUSADE model revealed higher prognostic performance (area under the curve [AUC] 0.76) than GRACE alone (AUC 0.70) for mortality prediction, further confirmed by the integrated discrimination improvement index. Moreover, GRACE+CRUSADE combined risk assessment seemed to be valuable in delineating bleeding risk in this setting, identifying G4 as a very high-risk subgroup (hazard ratio 3.5; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Combined risk stratification with GRACE and CRUSADE scores can improve the individual discriminatory power of GRACE and CRUSADE models in the prediction of all-cause mortality and bleeding. This combined assessment is a practical approach that is potentially advantageous in treatment decision-making.

Financial impact of adopting implantable loop recorder diagnostic for unexplained syncope compared with conventional diagnostic pathway in Portugal.

BACKGROUND: To estimate the short- and long-term financial impact of early referral for implantable loop recorder diagnostic (ILR) versus conventional diagnostic pathway (CDP) in the management of unexplained syncope (US) in the Portuguese National Health Service (PNHS). METHODS: A Markov model was developed to estimate the expected number of hospital admissions due to US and its respective financial impact in patients implanted with ILR versus CDP. The average cost of a syncope episode admission was estimated based on Portuguese cost data and landmark papers. The financial impact of ILR adoption was estimated for a total of 197 patients with US, based on the number of syncope admissions per year in the PNHS. Sensitivity analysis was performed to take into account the effect of uncertainty in the input parameters (hazard ratio of death; number of syncope events per year; probabilities and unit costs of each diagnostic test; probability of trauma and yield of diagnosis) over three-year and lifetime horizons. RESULTS: The average cost of a syncope event was estimated to be between 1,760€ and 2,800€. Over a lifetime horizon, the total discounted costs of hospital admissions and syncope diagnosis for the entire cohort were 23% lower amongst patients in the ILR group compared with the CDP group (1,204,621€ for ILR, versus 1,571,332€ for CDP). CONCLUSION: The utilization of ILR leads to an earlier diagnosis and lower number of syncope hospital admissions and investigations, thus allowing significant cost offsets in the Portuguese setting. The result is robust to changes in the input parameter values, and cost savings become more pronounced over time.

Real-time assessment of pulmonary vein disconnection during cryoablation of atrial fibrillation: can it be 'achieved' in almost all cases?

AIM: Real-time assessment of pulmonary vein (PV) disconnection is possible using an inner circular mapping catheter during cryoablation of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it has been recently demonstrated that such continuous monitoring may only be possible in <50% of PVs. We hypothesized that a stepwise mapping approach, including pacing manoeuvres, could optimize monitoring of real-time PV disconnection during ablation. METHODS AND RESULTS: Single-centre, prospective observational study (NCT01843465) including 34 consecutive eligible patients (128 PVs) undergoing a first procedure of cryoballoon ablation of AF using the Artic Front Advance(®) 28 mm catheter and a 20 mm diameter Achieve(®) catheter (AC) in all cases. Monitoring of real-time entrance block was possible, when AC was maintained in the standard position (distal to the tip of the Artic Front Advance(®) catheter) in 47 (36.7%) PVs. In an additional 63 cases (49.2%), such monitoring was possible after moving AC to a more proximal position and using different torqueing movements. Finally, using supplemental systematic pacing manoeuvres to test exit block, real-time assessment of PV disconnection was possible in 15 (11.7%) more PVs. Overall, real-time assessment of PV disconnection was possible in 97.7% of cases, after a mean duration of 48.6 ± 33.0 s. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that optimal use of the AC, with a systematic stepwise mapping approach, may dramatically improve the real-time monitoring of PV disconnection during AF cryoablation.

The role of echocardiography in thromboembolic risk assessment of patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

Echocardiography is a widely used and versatile technique that can provide comprehensive information concerning thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation. The authors review the potential contributions of echocardiography to thromboembolic risk stratification and to decreasing the thromboembolic risk associated with procedures such as cardioversion and ablation. Unsolved questions and new possibilities that have arisen from the development of strain and strain rate imaging are also discussed.

Cardiovascular risk assessment of pulmonary embolism with the GRACE risk score.

Despite the existence of several risk scores, the accurate prediction of the prognosis in pulmonary embolism (PE) remains a challenge. The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score has a high diagnostic performance for adverse outcomes in acute coronary syndrome. We aimed to assess the applicability and extend the use of the GRACE risk score to PE. A case-control study of 206 consecutive patients admitted with PE was performed. The GRACE, Geneva, Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index, Shock Index, and European Society of Cardiology risk scores were tested for the prediction of the primary end point: all-cause 30-day mortality. Comparisons between GRACE and the other risk scores were performed using receiver operating characteristic area under the curve and the integrated discrimination improvement index. All-cause 30-day mortality was observed in 18.9% of the patients. Unlike the other classifications, no adverse outcomes were observed in patients classified as low risk using the GRACE risk score (100% negative predictive value for GRACE risk score ≤113). The GRACE score showed greater discriminative performance than the Geneva score (area under the curve 0.623, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53 to 0.71), Shock Index (area under the curve 0.639, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.73), European Society of Cardiology (area under the curve 0.662, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.76), and Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (area under the curve 0.705, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.80), although statistical significance was not reached. The integrated discrimination improvement index suggested a more appropriate risk classification with the GRACE score. In conclusion, our results have demonstrated that the GRACE risk score can accurately predict 30-day mortality in patients admitted for acute PE. Compared to previously proposed PE prediction rules, the GRACE risk score presented improved overall risk classification.

Possible refinement of clinical thromboembolism assessment in patients with atrial fibrillation using echocardiographic parameters.

AIM: Some transoesophageal echocardiogram (TEE) findings are associated with an increased risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study was designed to evaluate and compare the accuracy of CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc in the prediction of these findings and test the additive value of transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE)-derived parameters as a possible refinement for these classifications. METHODS AND RESULTS: Cross-sectional study of 405 consecutive patients who underwent TTE and TEE evaluation during AF. Stroke risk assessment was performed using the CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores, alone and alongside with the addition of two TTE-derived parameters (left atrium area and left ventricle global systolic function). Comparisons regarding the presence of left atrial appendage thrombi (LAA T), dense spontaneous echo contrast (SEC), and left atrial appendage (LAA) low flow velocities (LFV) were performed using receiver operating characteristic curves. In low-risk patients, as assessed through the CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc score and CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc scores plus echo parameters, no high-risk features were found on TEE. In subjects classified as low risk using CHADS(2), this figure rose to 10%. No significant differences were found between CHADS(2) and CHA(2)DS(2)-VASc in the prediction of LAA T, dense SEC, and LAA LFV. The addition of TTE-derived parameters to the previous clinical-risk scores resulted in improved prediction of the TEE endpoints. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the use of TTE-derived parameters may be a valuable way of refining the available clinical risk schemes for the detection of surrogate markers of stroke. Follow-up studies using clinical endpoints will be necessary to confirm this hypothesis.

ACHTUNG-Rule: a new and improved model for prognostic assessment in myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: THROMBOLYSIS IN MYOCARDIAL INFARCTION (TIMI), PLATELET GLYCOPROTEIN IIB/IIIA IN UNSTABLE ANGINA: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin (PURSUIT) and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) scores have been developed for risk stratification in myocardial infarction (MI). The latter is the most validated score, yet active research is ongoing for improving prognostication in MI. AIM: Derivation and validation of a new model for intrahospital, post-discharge and combined/total all-cause mortality prediction - ACHTUNG-Rule - and comparison with the GRACE algorithm. METHODS: 1091 patients admitted for MI (age 68.4 ± 13.5, 63.2% males, 41.8% acute MI with ST-segment elevation (STEMI)) and followed for 19.7 ± 6.4 months were assigned to a derivation sample. 400 patients admitted at a later date at our institution (age 68.3 ± 13.4, 62.7% males, 38.8% STEMI) and followed for a period of 7.2 ± 4.0 months were assigned to a validation sample. Three versions of the ACHTUNG-Rule were developed for the prediction of intrahospital, post-discharge and combined (intrahospital plus post-discharge) all-cause mortality prediction. All models were evaluated for their predictive performance using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration through the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and predictive utility within each individual patient through the Brier score. Comparison through ROC curve analysis and measures of risk reclassification - net reclassification improvement index (NRI) or Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) - was performed between the ACHTUNG versions for intrahospital, post-discharge and combined mortality prediction and the equivalent GRACE score versions for intrahospital (GRACE-IH), post-discharge (GRACE-6PD) and post-admission 6-month mortality (GRACE-6). RESULTS: Assessment of calibration and overall performance of the ACHTUNG-Rule demonstrated a good fit (p value for the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test of 0.258, 0.101 and 0.550 for ACHTUNG-IH, ACHTUNG-T and ACHTUNG-R, respectively) and high discriminatory power in the validation cohort for all the primary endpoints (intrahospital mortality: AUC ACHTUNG-IH 0.886 ± 0.035 vs. AUC GRACE-IH 0.906 ± 0.026; post-discharge mortality: AUC ACHTUNG-R 0.827 ± 0.036 vs. AUC GRACE-6PD 0.811 ± 0.034; combined/total mortality: AUC ACHTUNG-T 0.831 ± 0.028 vs. AUC GRACE-6 0.815 ± 0.033). Furthermore, all versions of the ACHTUNG-Rule accurately reclassified a significant number of patients in different, more appropriate, risk categories (NRI ACHTUNG-IH 17.1%, p (2-sided) = 0.0021; NRI ACHTUNG-R 22.0%, p = 0.0002; NRI ACHTUNG-T 18.6%, p = 0.0012). The prognostic performance of the ACHTUNG-Rule was similar in both derivation and validation samples. CONCLUSIONS: All versions of the ACHTUNG-Rule have shown excellent discriminative power and good calibration for predicting intrahospital, post-discharge and combined in-hospital plus post-discharge mortality. The ACHTUNG version for intrahospital mortality prediction was not inferior to its equivalent GRACE model, and ACHTUNG versions for post-discharge and combined/total mortality demonstrated apparent superiority. External validation in wider, independent, preferably multicentre, registries is warranted before its potential clinical implementation.