Preferences for infant delivery site among pregnant women and new mothers in Northern Karnataka, India.

BACKGROUND: The National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) of India aims to increase the uptake of safe and institutional delivery among rural communities to improve maternal, neonatal and child health (MNCH) outcomes. Previous studies in India have found that while there have been increasing numbers of institutional deliveries there are still considerable barriers to utilization and quality of services, particularly in rural areas, that may mitigate improvements achieved by MNCH interventions. This paper aims to explore the factors influencing preference for home, public or private hospital delivery among rural pregnant and new mothers in three northern districts of Karnataka state, South India. METHODS: In-depth qualitative interviews were conducted in 2010 among 110 pregnant women, new mothers (infants born within past 3 months), their husbands and mothers-in-law. Interviews were conducted in the local language (Kannada) and then translated to English for analysis. The interviews of pregnant women and new mothers were used for analysis to ultimately develop broader themes around definitions of quality care from the perspective of service users, and the influence this had on their delivery site preferences. RESULTS: Geographical and financial access were important barriers to accessing institutional delivery services in all districts, and among those both above and below the poverty line. Access issues of greatest concern were high costs at private institutions, continuing fees at public hospitals and the inconsistent receipt of government incentives. However, views on quality of care that shaped delivery site preferences were deeply rooted in socio-cultural expectations for comfortable, respectful and safe care that must ultimately be addressed to change negative perceptions about institutional, and particularly public hospital, care at delivery. CONCLUSIONS: In the literature, quality of care beyond access has largely been overlooked in favour of support for incentives on the demand side, and more trained doctors, facilities and equipment on the supply side. Taking a comprehensive approach to quality of care in line with cultural values and community needs is imperative for improving experiences, utilization, and ultimately maternal and neonatal health outcomes at the time of delivery.

An Exploration of Decision-Making Processes on Infant Delivery Site from the Perspective of Pregnant Women, New Mothers, and Their Families in Northern Karnataka, India.

This study was conducted to explore the decision-making processes regarding sites for delivery of infants among women, their husbands, and mothers-in-law in a rural area of northern Karnataka state, south India. Qualitative semi-structured, individual in-depth interviews were conducted in 2010 among 110 pregnant women, new mothers, husbands and mothers-in-law. Interviews were conducted by trained local researchers in participants' languages and then translated into English. Decisions were made relationally, as family members weighed their collective attitudes and experiences towards a home, private or public delivery. Patterns of both concordance and discordance between women and their families' preferences for delivery site were present. The voice of pregnant women and new mothers was not always subordinate to that of other family members. Still, the involvement of husbands and mothers-in-law was important in decision-making, indicating the need to consider the influence of household gender and power dynamics. All respondent types also expressed shifts in social context and cultural attitudes towards increasing preference for hospital delivery. An appreciation of the interdependence of family members' roles in delivery site decision-making, and how they are influenced by the socio-cultural context, must be considered in frameworks used to guide the development of relevant interventions to improve the utilization and quality of maternal, neonatal and child health services.

Evaluation of a community-based HIV preventive intervention for female sex workers in rural areas of Karnataka State, south India.

To examine changes in behavioral outcomes among rural female sex workers (FSWs) involved in a community-based comprehensive HIV preventive intervention program in south India. A total of 14, 284 rural FSWs were reached by means of a community-based model for delivering outreach, medical, and referral services. Changes in behavior were assessed using 2 rounds of polling booth surveys conducted in 2008 and 2011. In all, 95% of the mapped FSWs were reached at least once, 80.3% received condoms as per need, and 71% received health services for sexually transmitted infections. There was a significant increase in condom use (from 60.4% to 72.4%, P = .001) and utilization of HIV counseling and testing services (from 63.9% to 92.4%; P = .000) between the 2 time periods. This model for a community-based rural outreach and HIV care was effective and could also be applied to many other health problems.

Positive impact of a large-scale HIV prevention programme among female sex workers and clients in South India.

OBJECTIVE: Estimate the potential impact of Avahan, the India AIDS Initiative, among female sex workers (FSWs) and their clients in five districts of Karnataka state, south India. DESIGN: Examination of time trends in sexually transmitted infection (STI)/HIV prevalence from serial cross-sectional surveys, combined with mathematical modelling. METHODS: Survey data from each district were used to monitor changes in FSW STI/HIV prevalence during Avahan. A deterministic model, parameterized with district-specific survey data, was used to simulate HIV/HSV-2/syphilis transmission among high-risk groups in each district. Latin hypercube sampling was used to obtain multiple parameter sets that reproduced district-specific HIV prevalence trends. A Bayesian framework tested whether self-reported increases in consistent condom use (CCU) during Avahan were more compatible with FSW HIV prevalence trends than assuming no or slow (preintervention rates) CCU increases, and were used to estimate HIV incidence and infections averted. RESULTS: Declines in FSW HIV prevalence occurred over 5 years in all districts, and were statistically significant in three. Self-reported increases in CCU were more consistent with observed declines in HIV prevalence in three districts. In all five districts, an estimated 25-64% (32-70%) HIV infections were averted among FSWs (clients) over 5 years. This corresponded to 142-2092 FSW infections averted depending on the district (two-fold to nine-fold more among clients). CONCLUSION: Empirical HIV prevalence trends combined with Bayesian modelling have provided plausible evidence that Avahan has reduced HIV transmission among FSWs and their clients. If current CCU levels are sustained, FSW HIV prevalence could decline to low levels by 2015, with many more infections averted.

Population-level impact of Avahan in Karnataka state, south India using multilevel statistical modelling techniques.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the population-level impact of "Avahan," the India AIDS Initiative of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, between 2003 and 2008 in Karnataka state, India. DESIGN: Secondary data analysis using all consistent data collection sites from antenatal clinic (ANC) sentinel surveillance data from 2003 to 2008 in Karnataka. METHODS: A multilevel logistic regression model considering individual- and district-level variables was developed to compare time trends in HIV prevalence among young ANC women (younger than 25 years of age) between Avahan (18) and non-Avahan (9) districts. District-level random effects were considered for the intercept and time. The impact was assessed using interaction terms between district type (Avahan vs. non-Avahan) and time. The number of cases averted was estimated, comparing predicted ANC HIV prevalence in the presence versus the absence of Avahan. Data from the National Family Health Survey Round 3 (2006) were used to extrapolate these numbers to the general population. RESULTS: HIV prevalence among young ANC women declined from 1.46% (2003) to 0.83% (2008). The HIV prevalence trend was significantly different between Avahan and non-Avahan districts (P = 0.046). Overall, 87,035 cases of HIV infection were estimated to have been averted in the Karnataka general population because of Avahan during the 2003-2008 period (range under varying assumptions: 55,160-150,784). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that Avahan has had a significant impact on the HIV epidemic in the general population of Karnataka. These results suggest that targeted interventions similar to Avahan should be implemented and scaled up in all concentrated and mixed HIV epidemics.

Assessment of the population-level effectiveness of the Avahan HIV-prevention programme in South India: a preplanned, causal-pathway-based modelling analysis.

BACKGROUND: Avahan, the India AIDS initiative of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, was a large-scale, targeted HIV prevention intervention. We aimed to assess its overall effectiveness by estimating the number and proportion of HIV infections averted across Avahan districts, following the causal pathway of the intervention. METHODS: We created a mathematical model of HIV transmission in high-risk groups and the general population using data from serial cross-sectional surveys (integrated behavioural and biological assessments, IBBAs) within a Bayesian framework, which we used to reproduce HIV prevalence trends in female sex workers and their clients, men who have sex with men, and the general population in 24 South Indian districts over the first 4 years (2004-07 or 2005-08 dependent on the district) and the full 10 years (2004-13) of the Avahan programme. We tested whether these prevalence trends were more consistent with self-reported increases in consistent condom use after the implementation of Avahan or with a counterfactual (assuming consistent condom use increased at slower, pre-Avahan rates) using a Bayes factor, which gave a measure of the strength of evidence for the effectiveness estimates. Using regression analysis, we extrapolated the prevention effect in the districts covered by IBBAs to all 69 Avahan districts. FINDINGS: In 13 of 24 IBBA districts, modelling suggested medium to strong evidence for the large self-reported increase in consistent condom use since Avahan implementation. In the remaining 11 IBBA districts, the evidence was weaker, with consistent condom use generally already high before Avahan began. Roughly 32700 HIV infections (95% credibility interval 17900-61600) were averted over the first 4 years of the programme in the IBBA districts with moderate to strong evidence. Addition of the districts with weaker evidence increased this total to 62800 (32000-118000) averted infections, and extrapolation suggested that 202000 (98300-407000) infections were averted across all 69 Avahan districts in South India, increasing to 606000 (290000-1 193000) over 10 years. Over the first 4 years of the programme 42% of HIV infections were averted, and over 10 years 57% were averted. INTERPRETATION: This is the first assessment of Avahan to account for the causal pathway of the intervention, that of changing risk behaviours in female sex workers and high-risk men who have sex with men to avert HIV infections in these groups and the general population. The findings suggest that substantial preventive effects can be achieved by targeted behavioural HIV prevention initiatives. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Knowing your HIV/AIDS epidemic and tailoring an effective response: how did India do it?

Tremendous global efforts have been made to collect data on the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Yet, significant challenges remain for generating and analysing evidence to allocate resources efficiently and implement an effective AIDS response. India offers important lessons and a model for intelligent and integrated use of data on HIV/AIDS for an evidence-based response. Over the past 15 years, the number of data sources has expanded and the geographical unit of data generation, analysis and use for planning has shifted from the national to the state, district and now subdistrict level. The authors describe and critically analyse the evolution of data sets in India and how they have been utilised to better understand the epidemic, advance policy, and plan and implement an increasingly effective, well-targeted and decentralised national response to HIV and AIDS. The authors argue that India is an example of how 'know your epidemic, know your response' message can effectively be implemented at scale and presents important lessons to help other countries design their evidence generation systems.

Factors associated with numbers of client partners of female sex workers across five districts in South India.

BACKGROUND: This study investigated the structural-environmental and individual-level social factors associated with the numbers of commercial sex clients of female sex workers (FSWs) per month (CPM). METHODS: Data were analyzed from cross-sectional surveys of FSWs in 5 districts in Karnataka state, India (2004-2005). Bivariate and multivariable negative binomial regression models with generalized estimating equations were constructed for each district. Normalized weights were used to account for complex sampling design. RESULTS: Median (average) CPM varied significantly (P < 0.001) across districts, from 40.0 (56.9) CPM in the district with the highest immunodeficiency virus prevalence (33.9%) to 16.0 (26.1) in the district with the lowest prevalence (9.7%). In multivariable analysis, there was a significant positive association between rates of CPM and sex work as sole income in 4 districts (adjusted incidence rate ratios, AIRR: [95% confidence intervals]: AIRR: 1.3 [1.0-1.7], P < 0.005-1.7 [1.2-2.5], P < 0.01); age, typology (place of solicitation), and marital status were significantly associated with CPM in 3 districts, with an inverse association between age and CPM (P < 0.01). FSWs soliciting clients in brothels had higher rates of CPM than home-based FSWs in 2 districts (AIRR: 1.5 [1.1-2.0]-1.6 [1.0-2.7], P < 0.05), whereas public places-based FSWs had higher rates in 1 district (AIRR: 1.4 [1.1-1.8], P < 0.01); cohabiting FSWs had higher rates than married FSWs in 3 districts, whereas single FSWs had higher rates in one district. CONCLUSIONS: These results provide support for the continued development of structural core group interventions that address common elements of sex work placing FSWs at higher risk for immunodeficiency virus, as well as geographically focused programs that account for local differences in sexual structure.

Impact of an intensive HIV prevention programme for female sex workers on HIV prevalence among antenatal clinic attenders in Karnataka state, south India: an ecological analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the impact of an intensive HIV preventive intervention (IPI) among female sex workers (FSW) on community HIV transmission, as represented by HIV prevalence among young antenatal clinic (ANC) attenders in Karnataka state, south India. METHODS: The IPI was initiated in 18 of the 27 districts in Karnataka in 2003, and was generally at scale by mid-2005, covering over 80% of the urban FSW population. We examined trends over time in HIV prevalence from annual HIV surveillance conducted among ANC attenders in Karnataka under the age of 25 years from 2003 to 2007, comparing the IPI with the other districts. RESULTS: Overall, HIV prevalence among ANC attenders under 25 years of age declined from 1.40% to 0.77%. In a multivariate model, the decline in HIV prevalence in the IPI districts compared to the other districts was statistically significant (P = 0.01), with an adjusted annual odds ratio of 0.88 (95% CI 0.79-0.97). The decline in standardized HIV prevalence in the IPI districts over the period was 56%, compared to 5% in the non-IPI districts. CONCLUSIONS: Although this analysis is limited by lack of precise comparative data on intervention coverage and intensity, it supports the notion that scaled-up, intensive, targeted HIV preventive interventions among high-risk groups can have a measurable and relatively rapid impact on HIV transmission in the general population, particularly young sexually active populations as represented by ANC attenders. Such focused intervention programmes should be rapidly taken to scale in all HIV epidemics, and especially in concentrated epidemics such as in India.

Using mathematical modelling to investigate the plausibility of attributing observed antenatal clinic declines to a female sex worker intervention in Karnataka state, India.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether the 32% and 52% decline in ANC HIV prevalence among female antenatal clinic (ANC) attenders, observed in Avahan districts between 2004 and 2006, and 2007 respectively, in the state of Karnataka could be due to a HIV preventive intervention targeted at female sex workers and their clients. METHODS: An exhaustive sensitivity analysis, based on an age and parity structured mathematical model of HIV transmission in a general and ANC population, was undertaken to estimate intervention impact in different concentrated HIV epidemics representative of those in Karnataka districts. To assess if the large reduction in ANC HIV prevalence could be solely due to the intervention, we simulated a very optimistic intervention. RESULTS: If 100% of FSWs were reached and condom use between clients and FSWs increased instantaneously to over 80% of sex acts, the expected intervention decline (50th, (10th, 90th) percentiles) among the overall and 15-19 year old ANC population after three years of intense intervention activity was 21% (14%, 27%) and 27% (19%, 35%); with a predicted time required to produce a 30% intervention decline being approximately 5 (4.0, 6.4) and approximately 3.6 (2.8, 4.8) years, respectively. To achieve this magnitude of decline, the client and FSW HIV prevalence needed to decrease by 33% (28%, 38%) and 44% (38%, 50%), respectively, after three years. CONCLUSION: Despite the optimistic prevention parameters assumed, our results suggest that the large observed changes in ANC HIV prevalence are very unlikely to already be entirely caused by the FSW targeted intervention. Interpretation of HIV trends in ANC populations should involve triangulation of observed biological and behavioural trends in high-risk groups, modeling studies and documentation of possible sources of bias.

Baseline integrated behavioural and biological assessment among most at-risk populations in six high-prevalence states of India: design and implementation challenges.

OBJECTIVE: This paper presents key methodological approaches and challenges in implementing and analysing the first round of the integrated biobehavioural assessment of most-at-risk populations, conducted in conjunction with evaluation of Avahan, the India AIDS initiative. METHODS: The survey collected data on HIV risk behaviours, sexually transmitted infections and HIV prevalence in 29 districts in six high-prevalence states of India. Groups included female sex workers and clients, men who have sex with men, injecting drug users and truck drivers. Strategies for overcoming some challenges of the large-scale surveys among vulnerable populations, including sampling hidden populations, involvement of the communities targeted by the survey, laboratory and quality control in remote, non-clinic field settings, and data analysis and data use are presented. DISCUSSION: Satisfying the need for protocols, guidelines and tools that allowed for sufficient standardization, while being tailored enough to fit diverse local situations on such a large scale, with so many implementing partners, emerged as a major management challenge. A major lesson from the first round is the vital importance of investing upfront time in tailoring the sampling methods, data collection instruments, and analysis plan to match measurement objectives. CONCLUSION: Despite the challenges, the integrated biobehavioural assessment was a huge achievement, and was largely successful in providing previously unavailable information about the HIV situation among populations that are critical to the curtailment of HIV spread in India. Lessons from the first round will be used to evolve the second round into an exercise with increased evaluative capability for Avahan.