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1.
Osteoporos Int ; 35(1): 81-91, 2024 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37940697

RESUMO

Orthogeriatric co-management (OGCM) may provide benefits for geriatric fragility fracture patients in terms of more frequent osteoporosis treatment and fewer re-fractures. Yet, we did not find higher costs in OGCM hospitals for re-fractures or antiosteoporotic medication for most fracture sites within 12 months, although antiosteoporotic medication was more often prescribed. PURPOSE: Evidence suggests benefits of orthogeriatric co-management (OGCM) for hip fracture patients. Yet, evidence for other fractures is rare. The aim of our study was to conduct an evaluation of economic and health outcomes after the German OGCM for geriatric fragility fracture patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was based on German health and long-term care insurance data. Individuals were 80 years and older, sustained a fragility fracture in 2014-2018, and were treated in hospitals certified for OGCM (ATZ group), providing OGCM without certification (OGCM group) or usual care (control group). Healthcare costs from payer perspective, prescribed medications, and re-fractures were investigated within 6 and 12 months. We used weighted gamma and two-part models and applied entropy balancing to account for the lack of randomization. All analyses were stratified per fracture site. RESULTS: We observed 206,273 patients within 12-month follow-up, of whom 14,100 were treated in ATZ, 133,353 in OGCM, and 58,820 in other hospitals. Total average inpatient costs per patient were significantly higher in the OGCM and particularly ATZ group for all fracture sites, compared to control group. We did not find significant differences in costs for re-fractures or antiosteoporotic medication for most fracture sites, although antiosteoporotic medication was significantly more often observed in the OGCM and particularly ATZ group for hip, pelvic, and humerus fractures. CONCLUSION: The observed healthcare costs were higher in ATZ and OGCM hospitals within 12 months. Antiosteoporotic medication was prescribed more often in both groups for most fracture sites, although the corresponding medication costs did not increase.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril , Osteoporose , Fraturas por Osteoporose , Humanos , Idoso , Fraturas por Osteoporose/prevenção & controle , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fraturas do Quadril/terapia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Osteoporose/complicações , Osteoporose/tratamento farmacológico
2.
J Gen Intern Med ; 38(3): 641-647, 2023 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35879537

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Fragility fractures are one of the leading causes of disability in older adults. Yet, evidence for effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of preventive approaches combining bone health and fall prevention is rare. OBJECTIVE: To conduct a health-economic evaluation of the German osteoporotic fracture prevention program in rural areas (OFRA). DESIGN: Secondary cluster-randomized intervention study based on routine data. PARTICIPANTS: All districts in five federal states in Germany were cluster-randomized as intervention or control districts. OFRA was offered to community-living (a) women aged 75-79 years or (b) women and men aged 70-84 years with a prior fragility fracture in the intervention districts. Individuals who meet these criteria in the control districts were assigned to the control group. INTERVENTION: OFRA comprised mobility and falls prevention classes, examination of bone health by bone density measurement, and consultation on safety in the home living environment. MAIN MEASURES: We measured health-care costs and effectiveness in terms of time to fragility fracture or death within 1 year after initial contact, based on health insurance claims data. Implementation costs were recorded by the intervention performers. We calculated an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and employed the net-benefit approach to construct a cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC). KEY RESULTS: There were 9408 individuals in the intervention group and 27,318 in the control group. Mean time to fragility fracture or death (difference: 0.82 days) and health-care costs (difference: 111.73€, p < .01) were reduced, but mean intervention costs (difference: 260.10€) increased total costs (difference: 148.37€, p < .001) in the intervention group. The ICER per fracture-free year of survival was 66,094.63€. The CEAC showed no acceptable probability of cost-effectiveness at a reasonable willingness to pay. CONCLUSION: OFRA showed reduced rates of fragility fractures, but had high implementation costs, resulting in an unfavorable ICER. The cost-effectiveness of OFRA may improve with a longer follow-up.


Assuntos
Fraturas por Osteoporose , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Densidade Óssea , Análise Custo-Benefício , Fraturas por Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Fraturas por Osteoporose/prevenção & controle , Encaminhamento e Consulta
3.
BMC Geriatr ; 22(1): 124, 2022 02 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35164686

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Age-related decline in physical capacity can lead to frailty, associated with an increased vulnerability to adverse health outcomes and greater healthcare utilization. In an aging population, effective strategies to prevent physical decline and frailty, and preserve independence are needed. Prevention programs for vulnerable community-dwelling older adults are, however, often not yet established and implemented in routine practice. Research on the feasibility, implementation, and (cost-)effectiveness of multifactorial, interdisciplinary intervention programs that take advantage of available services of healthcare providers is also limited. The main aim of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of such an intervention program (PromeTheus) to prevent functional and mobility decline for more participation in community-dwelling (pre-)frail older adults. METHODS: The study is designed as a three-center, randomized controlled trial with a 12-month intervention period. Four hundred community-dwelling (pre-)frail (Clinical Frailty Scale score 4-6) older adults (≥70 years) will be randomized in a 1:1 ratio to the intervention group (IG) or the control group (CG). The IG will receive the PromeTheus program consisting of obligatory home-based physical exercises (Weight-bearing Exercise for Better Balance) accompanied by physiotherapists and facultative counseling services (person-environment-fit, coping with everyday life, nutrition, group-based activities) delivered via existing healthcare structures (e.g., social workers, nutritionists). The CG will receive usual care and a one-time counseling session on recommendations for physical activity and nutrition. Primary outcomes assessed at months 6 and 12 are the function component of the Late-Life Function and Disability Instrument and the University of Alabama at Birmingham Life-Space Assessment. Secondary outcomes are disability, physical capacity and activity, frailty, nutritional status, falls, fear of falling, health status, and psychosocial components. Process and economic evaluations are also conducted. Primary statistical analyses will be based on the intention-to-treat principle. DISCUSSION: Compared to usual care, the PromeTheus program is expected to result in higher function and mobility, greater independence and lower need for care, and more participation. As the PromeTheus program draws on existing German healthcare structures, its large-scale translation and delivery will be feasible, if evidence of (cost-)effectiveness and successful implementation can be demonstrated. TRIAL REGISTRATION: German Clinical Trials Register, . Registered on March 11, 2021.


Assuntos
Idoso Fragilizado , Fragilidade , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Terapia por Exercício/métodos , Medo , Fragilidade/epidemiologia , Fragilidade/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Vida Independente , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Qualidade de Vida , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
4.
Eur J Health Econ ; 22(6): 873-885, 2021 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33813666

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests benefits of orthogeriatric co-management (OGCM) for hip fracture patients. Yet, evidence on cost-effectiveness is limited and based on small datasets. The aim of our study was to conduct an economic evaluation of the German OGCM for geriatric hip fracture patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was based on German health and long-term care insurance data. Individuals were 80 years and older, sustained a hip fracture in 2014, and were treated in hospitals providing OGCM (OGCM group) or standard care (control group). Health care costs from payer and societal perspective, life years gained (LYG) and cost-effectiveness were investigated within 1 year. We applied weighted gamma and two-part models, and entropy balancing to account for the lack of randomisation. We calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) and employed the net-benefit approach to construct cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. RESULTS: 14,005 patients were treated in OGCM, and 10,512 in standard care hospitals. Total average health care costs per patient were higher in the OGCM group: €1181.53 (p < 0.001) from payer perspective, and €1408.21 (p < 0.001) from societal perspective. The ICER equalled €52,378.12/ LYG from payer and €75,703.44/ LYG from societal perspective. The probability for cost-effectiveness would be 95% if the willingness-to-pay was higher than €82,000/ LYG from payer, and €95,000/ LYG from societal perspective. CONCLUSION: Survival improved in hospitals providing OGCM. Costs were found to increase, driven by inpatient and long-term care. The cost-effectiveness depends on the willingness-to-pay. The ICER is likely to improve with a longer follow-up.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Idoso , Análise Custo-Benefício , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Fraturas do Quadril/terapia , Humanos , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos
5.
PLoS One ; 15(3): e0230648, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32203564

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate variation of care dependency after hip fracture across German regions based on the assessment by the German statutory long-term care insurance. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: Patient-level statutory health and long-term care insurance claims data from 2009-2011 and official statistical data from Germany. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a retrospective cohort study. Investigated multinomial outcome categories were increase in care dependency (new onset or a higher care dependency than pre-fracture), no change as reference and death as competing risk in the quarterly period following hip fracture (follow-up 3 months). Regional variation was operationalized with the variance of regional-level random intercepts based on generalized linear mixed models. We adjusted for patient and regional characteristics. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The study included 122,887 hip fracture patients in 95 German postal code regions. Crude outcomes were 30.87% increase in care dependency and 14.35% death. Results indicated modest variation on regional level. Male sex, increasing age, increasing comorbidity, pertrochanteric and subtrochanteric fracture site compared to femoral neck, time from hospital admission to surgery of 3 or more days, as well as increasing inpatient length of stay, non-participation in rehabilitation and regions with lower hospital density were positively associated with an increase in care dependency. CONCLUSIONS: Several characteristics on patient and regional level associated with the outcome were identified. Variation in the increase in care dependency after hip fracture appeared to be attributable primarily to patient characteristics. Variation on regional level was only modest.


Assuntos
Atenção à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Fraturas do Quadril/economia , Seguro Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Alemanha , Humanos , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Estudos Retrospectivos
6.
Aging Clin Exp Res ; 32(7): 1255-1262, 2020 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32146698

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: OFRA is a large health insurance fund-driven program which aims to reduce the risk of falls and fractures in older people living in rural areas. The programme offered specific mobility and falls prevention classes and bone density measurement by a DXA scan free of charge to more than 10,000 people, and was promoted by staff of the health insurance fund either by a visit at home, or a phone call, or a visit at home and a subsequent phone call. The aim of this study was to analyse the uptake of an exercise class and the use of a DXA scan after advice. METHODS: Telephone interviews were conducted in a randomly selected subgroup of 780 persons 9 months after first contact. Rates of uptake of an exercise class or use of a DXA scan were calculated. Predictors of uptake and use were analysed applying logistic regression models. RESULTS: The rate of uptake after advice for specific mobility and fall prevention class was 29.6%. For DXA scan, the rate of use after advice was 16.7%. Rates of uptake and use increased if the first contact by a visit at home or a phone call was followed by an additional subsequent phone call. CONCLUSION: A direct motivational approach in older people by a health insurance fund is feasible and results in relevant participation and utilization rates in exercise classes and DXA scans.


Assuntos
Densidade Óssea , Fraturas por Osteoporose/prevenção & controle , Absorciometria de Fóton , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Exercício Físico , Terapia por Exercício , Feminino , Humanos , Seguro Saúde , Masculino , Amplitude de Movimento Articular
7.
J Health Monit ; 4(2): 86-101, 2019 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35146249

RESUMO

Selecting relevant indicators is an important step in the development of public health monitoring for older people. Indicators can be used to combine information comprehensively from various data sources and enable recurring, comparable findings to be made about the health of older people. Indicators were systematically compiled from existing international monitoring systems. An indicator set on health in old age was developed using a multistage, structured consensus-based process together with an interdisciplinary panel of experts. The resulting 18 indicators were assigned to three health areas: (1) environmental factors, (2) activities and participation, and (3) personal factors. Data sources that can be used for the indicators are the health surveys within the framework of the Robert Koch Institute's (RKI) health monitoring system, as well as surveys from other research institutes and official statistics. In the future, the indicator set is to be developed further and integrated into an overall approach that is geared towards health reporting and the monitoring of chronic diseases in all phases of life.

8.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 20(4): 451-455.e3, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30448158

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Hip fractures are common consequences of falls in older adults and, among other negative health outcomes, often lead to care dependence in the long term. Until 2016, the German long-term care insurance classified care recipients according to a standardized classification system consisting of 3 care levels. It was based on required assistance in performing activities of daily living and assessed by a qualified physician or nurse. Thus, care level reflects the degree of care dependence. The aim of this study was to determine relevant patient characteristics, which are related to the likelihood of increasing care dependence in terms of worsening care level after hip fracture. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Statutory health insurance claims data including 122,922 insured individuals living in Germany and aged 65 years or older, who sustained a hip fracture from 2009 through 2011. MEASURES: The association of patient characteristics with worsening care level in the quarterly period after hip fracture was investigated by means of multinomial logit regression analysis. Death constitutes a competing risk and was modeled as additional nominal outcome. RESULTS: Among all patients, crude rates were 30.9% for worsening care level, 54.8% for unchanged care level, and 14.4% for death after hip fracture. The multivariate analysis revealed that patient factors male sex, increasing age, increasing comorbidity, increasing inpatient length of stay, and a lack of inpatient rehabilitation were significantly associated with a worsening care level. CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS: This study uses the German standardized measurement of care dependence in terms of worsening care level after hip fracture and finds various related patient characteristics. Knowledge of these characteristics helps to identify possible risk groups for care dependence after hip fracture, for which special attention can be provided regarding treatment and prevention of hip fractures.


Assuntos
Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Fraturas do Quadril , Acidentes por Quedas , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Alemanha , Fraturas do Quadril/reabilitação , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Assistência de Longa Duração , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos
9.
Bone ; 110: 170-176, 2018 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29421456

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In aging societies osteoporotic fractures are a major health problem with high economic costs. Targeting prevention at individuals at high risk is important to reduce the future burden of fractures. Available risk assessment tools (e.g., FRAX®, QFracture, the algorithm provided by the German Osteology Society (DVO-Tool)) rely on self-reported patient information to predict fracture risk. Time and resource constraints, limited access to clinical data, and (un)willingness to participate may hamper the use of these tools. To overcome such obstacles, the aim is to develop a fracture risk assessment tool based on claims data that may be directly used on an institutional level. METHODS: Administrative claims data of an elderly (≥65years) population (N=298,530) for the period from 2006 through 2014 was used. Major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) were identified based on hospital diagnoses. We applied Cox proportional hazard regression to determine the association of individual risk factors and fracture risk. Hazard ratios were used to construct a risk score. The discriminative ability of the score was evaluated using C-statistics. RESULTS: We identified 7864 MOF during follow-up. The median time to first fracture during follow-up was 371.5days. Individuals with a MOF during follow-up had a higher mean and median risk score (mean: 4.53; median: 4) than individuals without MOF (mean: 3.07; median: 3). Adding drug-related risk factors slightly improved discrimination compared to a simple model with age, gender, and prior fracture. CONCLUSION: We developed a fracture risk score model based on in-hospital treated subjects to predict MOF that can be used on an institutional level. The score included age, sex and prior fracture as risk factors. Adding other risk factors involved very small improvement in discrimination.


Assuntos
Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Osteoporose/terapia , Fraturas por Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Fraturas por Osteoporose/prevenção & controle , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Tomada de Decisões , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Feminino , Seguimentos , Alemanha , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros , Seguro Saúde , Masculino , Prevalência , Probabilidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Autorrelato
10.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 18(6): 552.e7-552.e17, 2017 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28549706

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Femoral fractures are frequently consequences of falls in nursing homes and are associated with considerable costs and unfavorable outcomes such as immobility and mortality. The purpose of this study was to examine the long-term effectiveness of a multifactorial fall and fracture prevention program in nursing homes in terms of reducing femoral fractures. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Nursing homes. PARTICIPANTS: Health insurance claims data for 2005-2013 including 85,148 insurants of a sickness fund (Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse Bayern), aged 65 years or older and living in 802 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany. INTERVENTION: The fall prevention program was implemented stepwise in 4 time-lagged waves in almost 1,000 nursing homes in Bavaria, Germany, and was financially supported by a Bavarian statutory health insurance for the initial period of 3 years after implementation. The components of Bavarian Fall and Fracture Prevention Program were related to the staff (education), to the residents (progressive strength and balance training, medication, hip protectors), and suggested environmental adaptations as well as fall documentation and feedback on fall statistics. MEASUREMENTS: Data were used to create an unbalanced panel data set with observations per resident and quarterly period. We designed each wave to have 9 quarters (2.25 years) before implementation and 15 quarters (3.75 years) as follow-up period, respectively. Time trend-adjusted logistic generalized estimating equations were used to examine the impact of implementation of the fall prevention program on the likelihood of femoral fractures, controlling for resident and nursing home characteristics. The analysis took into account that the fall prevention program was implemented in 4 time-lagged waves. RESULTS: The implementation of the fall prevention program was not associated with a significant reduction in femoral fractures. Only a transient reduction of femoral fractures in the first wave was observed. Patient characteristics were positively associated with the likelihood of femoral fractures (P < .001); women compared to men [odds ratio (OR) = 0.877], age category 2 (OR = 1.486) and 3 (OR = 1.973) compared to category 1, care level 1 compared to 2 (OR = 0.897) and 3 (OR = 0.426), and a prior fracture (OR = 2.230) significantly increased the likelihood of a femoral fracture. CONCLUSIONS: There was no evidence for the long-term effectiveness of the fall prevention program in nursing homes. The restriction of the transient reduction to the first implementation wave may be explainable by a higher motivation of nursing homes starting first with the fall prevention program. Efforts should be directed to further identify factors that determine the long-term effectiveness of fall prevention programs in nursing homes.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Fraturas do Fêmur/epidemiologia , Fraturas do Fêmur/prevenção & controle , Promoção da Saúde/normas , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Humanos , Revisão da Utilização de Seguros , Masculino , Casas de Saúde , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos
11.
BMC Musculoskelet Disord ; 17(1): 458, 2016 11 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27821102

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Fragility fractures are one of the leading causes for disability in old people. The main underlying mechanisms are osteoporosis and falls. Evidence-based measures to prevent either falls or fractures are available. However, coordinated preventive approaches combining bone health and fall prevention are rare. The objective of the study is to evaluate a health care fund driven program, which encourages insured persons to adhere to national guidelines regarding bone health and physical activity and falls prevention. The health care fund cooperates with the 'German Association of Rural Women' and the 'German Gymnastics Association'. The program consists of mobility and falls prevention classes, the examination of bone health by a DXA scan, and a consultation about 'safety in the living environment'. METHODS: Cluster-randomized study in 47 intervention and 143 control districts in 5 federal states of Germany. The program is offered to a) community-living women and men aged 70 to <85 years with a prior fragility fracture or b) community-living women aged 75 to <80 years. Within two years more than 10,000 persons will be directly contacted and motivated to make use of the components of the program. The primary outcome is a combined measure of incident osteoporotic fractures. Secondary outcomes include the rate of referrals to a mobility and falls prevention class or a bone mass density measurement. An economic evaluation will be conducted. DISCUSSION: The study evaluates a complex preventive intervention in a routine health care setting which may serve as model for similar approaches in other areas or countries. TRIAL REGISTRATION: DRKS-ID: DRKS00009000 ; date of registration: 06.08.2015.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Medicina Baseada em Evidências/métodos , Osteoporose/complicações , Fraturas por Osteoporose/prevenção & controle , Serviços de Saúde Rural/organização & administração , Absorciometria de Fóton , Idoso , Densidade Óssea , Medicina Baseada em Evidências/economia , Exercício Físico , Feminino , Administração Financeira , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Guias como Assunto , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Fraturas por Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Cooperação do Paciente , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Serviços de Saúde Rural/economia , Resultado do Tratamento
12.
BMC Geriatr ; 16(1): 173, 2016 10 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27717326

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There is evidence about time-dependent fracture rates in different settings and situations. Lacking are data about underlying time-dependent fall risk patterns. The objective of the study was to analyse fall rates as a function of time after admission to sub-acute hospital units and to evaluate the time-dependent impact of clinical factors at baseline on fall risk. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used data of 5,255 patients admitted to sub-acute units in a geriatric rehabilitation clinic in Germany between 2010 and 2014. Falls, personal characteristics and functional status at admission were extracted from the hospital information system. The rehabilitation stay was divided in 3-day time-intervals. The fall rate was calculated for each time-interval in all patients combined and in subgroups of patients. To analyse the influence of covariates on fall risk over time multivariate negative binomial regression models were applied for each of 5 time-intervals. RESULTS: The overall fall rate was 10.2 falls/1,000 person-days with highest fall risks during the first week and decreasing risks within the following weeks. A particularly pronounced risk pattern with high fall risks during the first days and decreasing risks thereafter was observed in men, disoriented people, and people with a low functional status or impaired cognition. In disoriented patients, for example, the fall rate decreased from 24.6 falls/1,000 person-days in day 2-4 to about 13 falls/1,000 person-days 2 weeks later. The incidence rate ratio of baseline characteristics changed also over time. CONCLUSIONS: Fall risk differs considerably over time during sub-acute hospitalisation. The strongest association between time and fall risk was observed in functionally limited patients with high risks during the first days after admission and declining risks thereafter. This should be considered in the planning and application of fall prevention measures.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Atividades Cotidianas , Cognição , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica/métodos , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos/estatística & dados numéricos , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo
13.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 17(12): 1106-1113, 2016 12 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27594522

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The fall risk assessment tool (FRAT-up) is a tool for predicting falls in community-dwelling older people based on a meta-analysis of fall risk factors. Based on the fall risk factor profile, this tool calculates the individual risk of falling over the next year. The objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of FRAT-up in predicting future falls in multiple cohorts. METHODS: Information about fall risk factors in 4 European cohorts of older people [Activity and Function in the Elderly (ActiFE), Germany; English Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSA), England; Invecchiare nel Chianti (InCHIANTI), Italy; Irish Longitudinal Study on Aging (TILDA), Ireland] was used to calculate the FRAT-up risk score in individual participants. Information about falls that occurred after the assessment of the risk factors was collected from subsequent longitudinal follow-ups. We compared the performance of FRAT-up against those of other prediction models specifically fitted in each cohort by calculation of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The AUC attained by FRAT-up is 0.562 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.530-0.594] for ActiFE, 0.699 (95% CI 0.680-0.718) for ELSA, 0.636 (95% CI 0.594-0.681) for InCHIANTI, and 0.685 (95% CI 0.660-0.709) for TILDA. Mean FRAT-up AUC as estimated from meta-analysis is 0.646 (95% CI 0.584-0.708), with substantial heterogeneity between studies. In each cohort, FRAT-up discriminant ability is surpassed, at most, by the cohort-specific risk model fitted on that same cohort. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that FRAT-up is a valid approach to estimate risk of falls in populations of community-dwelling older people. However, further studies should be performed to better understand the reasons for the observed heterogeneity across studies and to refine a tool that performs homogeneously with higher accuracy measures across different populations.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Lista de Checagem/normas , Medição de Risco/métodos , Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco
14.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 31(4): 427-35, 2016 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26130126

RESUMO

Falls are related to a complex interaction of risk factors. We examined if cardiac biomarkers for hemodynamic stress (N-terminal pro Brain Natriuretic Peptide-NT-proBNP), and for necrosis [high sensitive (hs) cardiac troponins T (cTnT) and I (cTnI)] are associated with falls in older people. Biomarkers were measured at baseline in a cohort of 1506 community-dwelling adults ≥65 years. Falls were assessed prospectively in a falls calendar (median 370 days). Cox-proportional hazards models evaluated the association of each biomarker with the incidence of the first fall accounting for established confounders. We observed 430 incident falls among 1327 participants and an effect modification by sex for all biomarkers. In multivariable analyses among men a one unit increment of log-transformed hs-cTnI was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.26 (95 % CI 1.04, 1.53). Men with hs-cTnT ≥ 14 ng/L had a HR of 1.74 (95 % CI 1.15, 2.61) compared to those with undetectable hs-cTnT levels. In women cTn were not associated with falls. We did not detect an association between NT-proBNP and the risk of fall. Our results suggest that cardiac troponins may not only identify subjects at risk for cardiovascular diseases, but also help to understand the underlying complex pathophysiology of falls.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Hemodinâmica/fisiologia , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/sangue , Troponina/sangue , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Vigilância da População , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
15.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 14: 284, 2014 Jun 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24981316

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Osteoporotic fractures cause a large health burden and substantial costs. This study estimated the expected fracture numbers and costs for the remaining lifetime of postmenopausal women in Germany. METHODS: A discrete event simulation (DES) model which tracks changes in fracture risk due to osteoporosis, a previous fracture or institutionalization in a nursing home was developed. Expected lifetime fracture numbers and costs per capita were estimated for postmenopausal women (aged 50 and older) at average osteoporosis risk (AOR) and for those never suffering from osteoporosis. Direct and indirect costs were modeled. Deterministic univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The expected fracture numbers over the remaining lifetime of a 50 year old woman with AOR for each fracture type (% attributable to osteoporosis) were: hip 0.282 (57.9%), wrist 0.229 (18.2%), clinical vertebral 0.206 (39.2%), humerus 0.147 (43.5%), pelvis 0.105 (47.5%), and other femur 0.033 (52.1%). Expected discounted fracture lifetime costs (excess cost attributable to osteoporosis) per 50 year old woman with AOR amounted to € 4,479 (€ 1,995). Most costs were accrued in the hospital € 1,743 (€ 751) and long-term care sectors € 1,210 (€ 620). Univariate sensitivity analysis resulted in percentage changes between -48.4% (if fracture rates decreased by 2% per year) and +83.5% (if fracture rates increased by 2% per year) compared to base case excess costs. Costs for women with osteoporosis were about 3.3 times of those never getting osteoporosis (€ 7,463 vs. € 2,247), and were markedly increased for women with a previous fracture. CONCLUSION: The results of this study indicate that osteoporosis causes a substantial share of fracture costs in postmenopausal women, which strongly increase with age and previous fractures.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Fraturas Ósseas/economia , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Osteoporose Pós-Menopausa/complicações , Idoso , Feminino , Fraturas Ósseas/etiologia , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoporose Pós-Menopausa/epidemiologia , Probabilidade , Fatores de Risco
16.
Age Ageing ; 42(3): 404-8, 2013 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23542723

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: from a clinical and public health perspective, it is important to understand the influence of seasonality on the serum vitamin D level to adequately assess and interpret an individual measurement. Therefore, the aim of this study was to analyse the effects of seasonal conditions on 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) serum levels in a population-based cohort of older people. METHODS: between March 2009 and April 2010 the 25(OH)D serum level was assessed in 1,418 community-dwelling individuals living in Germany aged ≥65 years (56.7% men) with no subscribed vitamin D supplementation. Least-square means of monthly 25(OH)D serum levels with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated, adjusted for gender, age and body mass index. Additionally, the proportion of vitamin deficiency (<20 ng/ml), insufficiency (20-<30 ng/ml) and sufficiency (30 ng/ml or higher) were estimated for each month. Finally, mean values of daily total global solar radiation and daylight were calculated for each month. RESULTS: the minimum 25(OH)D serum level was observed in March with 15.4 ng/ml (SD = 6.56 ng/ml) and the maximum in August with 25.6 ng/ml (SD = 6.59 ng/ml). Compared with daylight and global solar radiation the progression over the year was similar but delayed by ∼2 months. The proportion of vitamin D deficiency, insufficiency and sufficiency were 78.8, 19.2 and 1.9% in March and 16.1, 63.4 and 20.5% in August, respectively. CONCLUSION: vitamin D insufficiency was very common in this cohort and showed a strong seasonal effect with lowest values in March.


Assuntos
Estações do Ano , Deficiência de Vitamina D/sangue , Vitamina D/análogos & derivados , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores/sangue , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Fotoperíodo , Luz Solar , Fatores de Tempo , Vitamina D/sangue , Deficiência de Vitamina D/epidemiologia
17.
Age Ageing ; 41(5): 653-8, 2012 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22431152

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: to estimate femoral fracture rates in community-dwelling older people without care need (CCN(-)), in community-dwelling older people with care need (CCN(+)) and in residents of nursing homes (RNH) and to determine their contribution to the overall burden of femoral fractures. METHODS: routine data of more than 1.2 million German people aged 65 years and more were used to calculate sex- and age-specific femoral fracture rates in the three groups CCN(-), CCN(+) and RNH. Those people receiving benefits of the long-term care insurance were defined as having care need. The percentile contribution of the three subpopulations to the overall burden of femoral fractures was determined. RESULTS: during 5,319,438 person-years, 44,000 femoral fractures were recorded. In each of the three subpopulations female and male fracture rates increased with increasing age. Femoral fracture rates of the total subpopulations were 6.13, 34.53 and 43.05 femoral fractures/1,000 person-years in CCN(-), CCN(+) and RNH in women and 2.66, 20.34 and 31.09 in men, respectively. The contribution of people with care need to the overall burden of femoral fractures in older people was about 50%. CONCLUSION: the incidence of femoral fractures was considerably higher in people with care need than in people without care need. This should be considered when planning medical care or targeting preventive measures.


Assuntos
Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Fraturas do Fêmur/epidemiologia , Casas de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Características de Residência , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Feminino , Fraturas do Fêmur/economia , Alemanha , Humanos , Incidência , Seguro de Assistência de Longo Prazo , Masculino
18.
J Am Med Dir Assoc ; 12(6): 459-66, 2011 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21450261

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Hip fractures are one of the most costly consequences of falls in the elderly. Despite their increased risk of falls and fractures, nursing home residents are often neglected in service utilization and costing studies. The purpose of this study was to determine service use, initial and long-term direct costs of incident femoral fractures in nursing home residents 65 years or older in Germany. DESIGN: An incidence-based, bottom-up cost-of-illness study aiming at measuring fracture-related direct costs from a payer perspective was conducted. SETTING: Nursing homes PARTICIPANTS: The retrospective dataset included all insurants of a sickness fund (Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse Bavaria), who were 65 years or older, resided in a nursing home, and had a level of care of at least one in the statutory long-term care insurance (n = 60,091). MEASUREMENTS: Incident femoral fractures (ICD-10, S72) in 2006 were followed until the end of 2008, incorporating service use and costs of inpatient care (up to 12 months after the initial hospitalization episode), nursing home care (until death or the end of 2008), and ambulatory care (pharmaceuticals, nonphysician providers, and medical supply within 3 months after the initial hospitalization episode). Additional costs for nursing home and ambulatory care were determined with a before/after design. Costs beyond the year 2006 were discounted with a rate of 5%. Sensitivity analyses on key parameters were performed. RESULTS: Overall mean direct costs of 9488 USD (SD ± 4453 USD, 2006) occurred for incident femoral fractures (n = 1525). This included inpatient care (90.2%), additional costs for nursing home care (7.1%), and ambulatory care (2.7%). Eighty-seven percent of the costs occurred for the initial hospitalization episode and 13% for long-term costs. After the index admission, 12.1% were admitted to a rehabilitation facility, 4.1% were rehospitalized within a year, and in 17.7% the level of care increased within 90 days after the end of the initial hospital episode. The share of residents with incident femoral fractures rehospitalized was significantly higher and costs for nonphysician providers were significantly lower for male residents. CONCLUSION: Residents with femoral fractures used a wide range of health services. Our study underestimates the true costs to society in Germany. Efforts should be directed to economic evaluations of fall-prevention programs aiming at reducing fall-related fractures including femoral fractures.


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Fêmur/lesões , Fraturas Ósseas/economia , Fraturas Ósseas/epidemiologia , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Casas de Saúde , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Custos e Análise de Custo/métodos , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos
19.
Clin Geriatr Med ; 26(4): 693-704, 2010 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20934616

RESUMO

The incidence of falls and fall-related injuries such as hip fractures remains high in nursing homes (NHs) across the world. Randomized controlled trials have shown that interventions that combine multiple components such as progressive exercise, medication review, and improvements in the person-environment fit and delivered by multidisciplinary teams can effectively reduce the number of falls and fallers. Vitamin D supplementation in adequate dosage is another effective method to reduce the burden of injuries in NHs. Single interventions such as exercise alone or insufficient organizational support are reasons for failure or even harmful consequences. Large-scale efforts are needed and justified to translate these findings into meaningful results.


Assuntos
Prevenção de Acidentes , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Instituição de Longa Permanência para Idosos , Casas de Saúde , Gestão de Riscos , Idoso , Planejamento Ambiental , Exercício Físico , Fraturas Ósseas , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração , Fatores de Risco , Vitamina D/administração & dosagem
20.
BMC Public Health ; 9: 114, 2009 Apr 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19397798

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Only a limited number of studies have analyzed the association between hip fracture incidence and socioeconomic conditions. Most, but not all found an association, and results are in part conflicting. The aim of our study was to evaluate the association between hip fractures and socioeconomic conditions in Germany, from 1995 to 2004, on a census tract area level. METHODS: We used data from the national hospital discharge diagnosis register and data on socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of 131 census tracts from official statistics. Associations between the hip fracture incidence and socioeconomic conditions were analyzed by multiple Poisson regression models, taking overdispersion into account. RESULTS: The risk of hip fracture decreased by 4% with a 7% increase (about one interquartile range) of non-German nationals. It decreased by 10% with a 6% increased rate of unemployment, increased by 7% with a 2% increase of the proportion of welfare recipients, and also increased by 3% with an increase of the proportion of single parent families of 1.9%. CONCLUSION: Our results showed weak associations between indicators of socioeconomic conditions at area level and hip fracture risk; the varied by type of indicator. We conclude that hip fracture incidence might be influenced by the socioeconomic context of a region, but further analysis using more specific markers for deprivation on a smaller scale and individual-level data are needed.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril/epidemiologia , Classe Social , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Análise por Conglomerados , Feminino , Alemanha/epidemiologia , Fraturas do Quadril/economia , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alta do Paciente , Distribuição de Poisson , Vigilância da População , Fatores de Risco
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