Going Forward: Potential Impact of Protein-Based COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage on Population Outcomes and Costs in the United States.

Policymakers in the United States (US) recommend coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination with a monovalent 2023-2024 vaccine formulation based on the Omicron XBB.1.5 variant. We estimated the potential US population-level health and economic impacts of increased COVID-19 vaccine coverage that might be expected with the availability of a protein-based vaccine with simpler storage requirements in addition to messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) vaccines. A Markov model was developed to estimate 1-year COVID-19-related costs, cases, hospitalizations, and deaths with and without the availability of a protein-based vaccine option. The model population was stratified by age and risk status. Model inputs were sourced from published literature or derived from publicly available data. Our model estimated that a five-percentage-point increase in coverage due to the availability of a protein-based vaccine option would prevent over 500,000 cases, 66,000 hospitalizations, and 3000 COVID-19-related deaths. These clinical outcomes translated to 42,000 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of USD 16,141/QALY from a third-party payer perspective. In sensitivity analyses, outcomes were most sensitive to COVID-19 incidence and severity across age groups. The availability of a protein-based vaccine option in the US could reduce hospitalizations and deaths and is predicted to be cost-effective.

Growth in health care data causing an evolution in the pharmaceutical industry.

A health care ecosystem is evolving in which all stakeholders will need to work together, apply new technologies, and use disparate data sources to gain insights, increase efficiencies, and improve patient outcomes. The pharmaceutical industry is leveraging its experience and analytics capabilities to play an important role in this evolution.

The comparative value of various employer-sponsored influenza vaccination clinics.

OBJECTIVE: Many US firms offer influenza vaccination clinics to prevent lost productivity due to influenza. Strategies to promote and offer vaccination differ, and the economic value of the strategies is unknown. METHODS: Decision analytic modeling and Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analyses estimated the one-season cost-consequences of three types of influenza clinics (trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine only, vaccine choice [trivalent inactivated influenza or intranasal {live attenuated influenza} vaccine], or vaccine choice plus incentive) in firms of 50 and 250 employees, from the employer's perspective. RESULTS: On-site influenza vaccination was generally cost-saving over no vaccination. For the scenario of vaccine effectiveness of 70% and intermediate transmissibility, the incremental costs per employee for a firm of 50 employees were -$6.41 (ie, cost savings) for inactivated vaccine only versus no vaccination, -$1.48 for vaccine choice versus inactivated vaccine, and $1.84 for vaccine choice plus incentive versus vaccine choice. Clinics offering a choice of vaccines were slightly less costly under many scenarios. Generally, incremental costs were lower (1) in larger firms; (2) when influenza was assumed to be more contagious; and (3) when vaccine effectiveness was assumed to be higher. CONCLUSION: Employer-sponsored influenza vaccination clinics are generally cost-saving.

Agreement between Internet-based self- and proxy-reported health care resource utilization and administrative health care claims.

OBJECTIVES: Although Internet-based surveys are becoming more common, little is known about agreement between administrative claims data and Internet-based survey self- and proxy-reported health care resource utilization (HCRU) data. This analysis evaluated the level of agreement between self- and proxy-reported HCRU data, as recorded through an Internet-based survey, and administrative claims-based HCRU data. METHODS: The Child and Household Influenza-Illness and Employee Function study collected self- and proxy-reported HCRU data monthly between November 2007 and May 2008. Data included the occurrence and number of visits to hospitals, emergency departments, urgent care centers, and outpatient offices for a respondent's and his or her household members' care. Administrative claims data from the MarketScan® Databases were assessed during the same time and evaluated relative to survey-based metrics. Only data for individuals with employer-sponsored health care coverage linkable to claims were included. The Kappa (κ) statistic was used to evaluate visit concordance, and the intraclass correlation coefficient was used to describe frequency consistency. RESULTS: Agreement for presence of a health care visit and the number of visits were similar for self- and proxy-reported HCRU data. There was moderate to substantial agreement related to health care visit occurrence between survey-based and claims-based HCRU data for inpatient, emergency department, and office visits (κ: 0.47-0.77). There was less agreement on health care visit frequencies, with intraclass correlation coefficient values ranging from 0.14 to 0.71. CONCLUSIONS: This study's agreement values suggest that Internet-based surveys are an effective method to collect self- and proxy-reported HCRU data. These results should increase confidence in the use of the Internet for evaluating disease burden.

Employees' willingness to pay to prevent influenza.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify employees' preferences, as measured by willingness to pay, to prevent influenza in themselves and in their child and adult household members and to examine factors associated with willingness to pay. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study of a convenience sample of employees from 3 large US employers. Participants had at least 1 child (< or = 17 years) living in their household for at least 4 days per week. METHODS: Each month from November 2007 to April 2008, employees completed Web-based surveys regarding acute respiratory illness in their household. In the final survey, employees were presented with descriptions of influenza and questions regarding their willingness to pay to prevent influenza. Factors associated with willingness to pay were examined using multivariate ordinary least squares regression analysis of the log of willingness to pay. RESULTS: Among 2006 employees, 31.3% were female, the mean age was 41.7 years, 85.3% were of white race/ethnicity, and the mean household size was 4.0. Employees' median (mean) willingness to pay to prevent influenza was $25 ($72) for themselves, $25 ($82) for their adult household members, and $50 ($142) (P <.01) for children. However, influenza vaccination rates were approximately equal for children (27.5%), employees (31.5%), and other adult household members (24.5%). This finding may be explained by barriers such as cost, dislike of vaccinations, and disagreement with national influenza vaccination recommendations, which were significantly associated with lower willingness to pay for prevention of influenza (P <.05). CONCLUSION: Employees expressed a stronger preference to prevent influenza in their children than in themselves or other household members; however, modifiable barriers depress vaccination rates.

Strategies for implementing school-located influenza vaccination of children: a systematic literature review.

BACKGROUND: The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recommends influenza vaccinations for all children 6 months to 18 years of age, which includes school-aged children. Influenza immunization programs may benefit schools by reducing absenteeism. METHODS: A systematic literature review of PubMed, PsychLit, and Dissertation Abstracts available as of January 7, 2008, was conducted for school-located vaccinations, using search words "School Health Services" and "Immunization Programs"; limited to "Child" (6-12 years) and "Adolescent" (13-18 years) for PubMed and "mass or universal" and (immuniz(*) or immunis(*) or vaccin(*)) and (school or Child or Adolescen(*)) for PsychLit and Dissertation Abstracts. Fifty-nine studies met the criteria for review. RESULTS: Strategies such as incentives, education, the design of the consent form, and follow-up can increase parental consent and number of returned forms. Minimizing out-of-pocket cost, offering both the intramuscular (shot) and intranasal (nasal spray) vaccination, and using reminders can increase vaccination coverage among those whose parents consented. Finally, organization, communication, and planning can minimize the logistical challenges. CONCLUSIONS: Schools-based vaccination programs are a promising option for achieving the expanded ACIP recommendation; school-located vaccination programs are feasible and effective. Adhering to lessons from the peer-reviewed scientific literature may help public health officials and schools implement the expanded recommendation to provide the greatest benefit for the lowest cost. Given the potential benefits of the expanded recommendation, both directly to the vaccinated children and indirectly to the community, prospective, well-controlled trials to establish the cost-effectiveness of specific vaccination strategies should be high priorities for future research.

Effect of influenza-like illness and other wintertime respiratory illnesses on worker productivity: The child and household influenza-illness and employee function (CHIEF) study.

Acute respiratory illnesses (ARI), comprising influenza-like illness (ILI) and other wintertime respiratory illnesses (ORI), impose substantial health and economic burdens on the United States. Little is known about the impact of ILI among household members (HHM), particularly children, on employees' productivity. To quantify the impact of employee and HHM-ILI and ARI on employee productivity, a prospective, observational cohort study was conducted among employees from three large US companies. Employees who had at least one child living at home (N=2013) completed a monthly survey during the 2007-2008 influenza season, reporting the number of days missed from work and hours of presenteeism due to: (1) personal ILI, (2) HHM-ILI, and (3) personal and HHM-ARI. Employee ILI ranged from 4.8% (April) to 13.5% (February). Employees reporting ILI reported more absences than employees not reporting ILI (72% vs 30%, respectively; P<0.001). Overall, 61.2% of employees surveyed had at least one child with an ILI; these employees missed more days of work due to HHM illness than employees without an ARI-ill child (0.9 days vs 0.3 days, respectively; P<0.001). Employees with ILI were less productive, on average, for 4.8h each day that they worked while sick, 2.5h of which was attributable to ILI. HHM illnesses accounted for 17.7% (1389/7868 days) of employee absenteeism, over half of which was due to HHM-ARI. ILI causes a significant amount of employee absence. Household members, particularly children, comprise a sizable proportion of general illness and injury-related employee absences.

Cost-effectiveness of live attenuated influenza vaccine versus inactivated influenza vaccine among children aged 24-59 months in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The US Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) recently expanded the influenza vaccine recommendation to include children 24-59 months of age. In a large head-to-head randomized controlled trial, live attenuated influenza vaccine, trivalent (LAIV) demonstrated a 54% relative reduction in culture-confirmed influenza illness compared with trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV) among children aged 24-59 months. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relative cost and benefit between two influenza vaccines (LAIV and TIV) for healthy children 24-59 months of age. METHODS: Using patient-level data from the clinical trial supplemented with cost data from published literature, we modeled the cost-effectiveness of these two vaccines. Effectiveness was measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALY) and cases of influenza avoided. The analysis used the societal perspective. RESULTS: Due to its higher acquisition cost, LAIV increased vaccination costs by USD7.72 per child compared with TIV. However, compared with TIV, LAIV reduced the number of influenza illness cases and lowered the subsequent healthcare use of children and productivity losses of parents. The estimated offsets in direct and indirect costs saved USD15.80 and USD37.72 per vaccinated child, respectively. LAIV had a net total cost savings of USD45.80 per child relative to TIV. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses indicated that the model was robust across a wide range of relative vaccine efficacy and cost estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Due to its increased relative vaccine efficacy over TIV, LAIV reduced the burden of influenza and lowered both direct health care and societal costs among children 24-59 months of age.

Actual versus predicted first-year utilization patterns of teriparatide in patients with employer-sponsored health insurance.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize first-year utilization patterns of teriparatide derived from a claims database analysis versus predictions from an economic model. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Claims data for actual teriparatide utilization were obtained from an integrated administrative database of approximately 3.4 million beneficiaries. A control group included patients with osteoporosis but without the use of teriparatide. An economic model, which relied on first-year market share projections, predicted the utilization of teriparatide from the demographic characteristics of the plan. Predictions were compared to actual utilization for eight health plans within the database. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Demographic and clinical characteristics, number of teriparatide patients, and days of teriparatide therapy. RESULTS: Less than 1% of patients diagnosed with osteoporosis received teriparatide. Teriparatide-treated patients, compared to other patients with osteoporosis, were older and more likely to have experienced a previous fracture or to have received previous osteoporosis pharmacotherapy. For the combined 505 300 lives in the eight plans used for the comparative analysis, there were 134 teriparatide patients; the model predicted 131. For individual plans, the predictions varied in their accuracy. The greatest under-prediction for one plan was 17 patients (40 predicted vs. 57 actual), while the greatest over-prediction was 18 patients (34 predicted vs. 16 actual). For the other 6 plans, the predictions were within four patients of the actual number of teriparatide users. A similar pattern of differences was observed by comparing actual versus predicted days of teriparatide therapy across the eight plans. LIMITATIONS: Some clinical details of the actual patient cohorts, such as bone mineral density results, were not available in the database. The comparisons made between the teriparatide model predictions and actual utilization were based on analyses of a single model and do not speak to the broader issue of the accuracy of predictive economic models in general. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, first-year teriparatide utilization was relatively limited, consistent with model predictions. Predictions for individual plans varied in their accuracy.

Prevalence and the associated burden of illness of symptoms of diabetic peripheral neuropathy and diabetic retinopathy.

BACKGROUND: We estimated the prevalence and the associated burden of illness of symptoms of diabetic peripheral neuropathy (SDPN), diabetic retinopathy (DR), and comorbid SDPN and DR among people with diabetes in the United States aged > or =40 years. METHODS: Analyses were conducted on 850 respondents aged > or =40 years with diagnosed diabetes from the combined 1999-2000 and 2001-2002 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys. Sampling weights were used to estimate the number of people with diabetes who have SDPN, DR, or comorbid SDPN and DR. Multivariate regression models were used to assess the effects of SDPN, DR, and comorbid SDPN and DR on burden-of-illness measures. RESULTS: Approximately 11.9 million adults in the United States aged > or =40 years have diagnosed diabetes. Of those, 3.9 million (32.7%) have SDPN, 3.3 million (27.4%) have DR, and 1.6 million (13.1%) have comorbid SDPN and DR. Among our sample, those with SDPN [odds ratio (OR)=2.25; 95% confidence interval (95% CI)=1.32-3.83], DR (OR=1.68; 95% CI=1.08-2.61), or comorbid SDPN and DR (OR=2.84; 95% CI=1.26-6.41) were more likely than those without the corresponding condition to have four or more health care visits in the past year. Those of working age (40-65 years) with SDPN (OR=3.23; 95% CI=1.60-6.52), DR (OR=2.94; 95% CI=1.45-5.97), or comorbid SDPN and DR (OR=4.32; 95% CI=2.17-8.63) were more likely unable to work due to physical limitations. CONCLUSIONS: SDPN, DR, and comorbid SDPN and DR are prevalent among people with diabetes in the United States aged > or =40 years; each of these complications appears to significantly increase the burden of illness.

Cost-effectiveness of preventative therapies for postmenopausal women with osteopenia.

BACKGROUND: Limited data are available regarding the cost-effectiveness of preventative therapies for postmenopausal women with osteopenia. The objective of the present study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of raloxifene, alendronate and conservative care in this population. METHODS: We developed a microsimulation model to assess the incremental cost and effectiveness of raloxifene and alendronate relative to conservative care. We assumed a societal perspective and a lifetime time horizon. We examined clinical scenarios involving postmenopausal women from 55 to 75 years of age with bone mineral density T-scores ranging from -1.0 to -2.4. Modeled health events included vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, invasive breast cancer, and venous thromboembolism (VTE). Raloxifene and alendronate were assumed to reduce the incidence of vertebral but not nonvertebral fractures; raloxifene was assumed to decrease the incidence of breast cancer and increase the incidence of VTEs. Cost-effectiveness is reported in $/QALYs gained. RESULTS: For women 55 to 60 years of age with a T-score of -1.8, raloxifene cost approximately $50,000/QALY gained relative to conservative care. Raloxifene was less cost-effective for women 65 and older. At all ages, alendronate was both more expensive and less effective than raloxifene. In most clinical scenarios, raloxifene conferred a greater benefit (in QALYs) from prevention of invasive breast cancer than from fracture prevention. Results were most sensitive to the population's underlying risk of fracture and breast cancer, assumed efficacy and costs of treatment, and the discount rate. CONCLUSION: For 55 and 60 year old women with osteopenia, treatment with raloxifene compares favorably to interventions accepted as cost-effective.

Economic burden of osteoporosis-related fractures in Medicaid.

OBJECTIVE: There are limited studies concerning the economic burden of osteoporosis in the Medicaid population. This study estimated the direct cost of osteoporosis-related fractures (OPFx) to state Medicaid budgets. METHODS: This retrospective analysis utilized Medicaid claims databases from three states, which included approximately 8 million Medicaid recipients. The study sample had at least one claim for an osteoporosis diagnosis (733.0x) between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2001. Beneficiaries with a fracture and a diagnosis of osteoporosis were assigned to the case cohort. A propensity score-based matching method was used to select a cohort of controls with osteoporosis but without a fracture. An exponential conditional mean model was used to estimate the incremental annual cost associated with fractures. RESULTS: The study cohort (n = 7626) and a 1:1 matched control group were identified. The study cohort was 85.8% female, had an average age of 65 years, were 53.2% white, and 48.9% were eligible for Medicare. There were significant increases (all P < 0.05) from the preperiod to study period for this cohort in the proportion that had at least one hospital admission (14.0% vs. 26.5%), nursing home admission (9.2% vs. 17.2%), home health (39.1% vs. 49.3%), or emergency room visit (21.3% vs. 31.9%). In contrast, the control cohort had very little increase in utilization. The regression-adjusted incremental cost for osteoporosis-related expenses in the year after fracture was estimated at $4007 per patient. The estimated incremental cost was $5370 for the subset of patients who were eligible for Medicare. CONCLUSION: The economic burden of osteoporosis-related fractures on state Medicaid budgets is substantial.

Assessing the economic impact of chronic conditions in postmenopausal women.

The ageing of the US population and the recognised importance of preventative care has led to a growing body of research regarding the morbidity and mortality associated with chronic diseases in postmenopausal women. According to the National Institute of Health, postmenopausal women have a significant increase in risk for a number of debilitating diseases, including osteoporosis, breast cancer and cardiovascular disease. In addition, recently published studies prompted patients, clinicians and payers to re-examine the risks and benefits of a well-accepted therapy to treat postmenopausal symptoms. The objective of this paper is to provide a framework for assessing the economic impact of disorders affecting postmenopausal women, with a particular focus on osteoporosis, breast cancer and cardiovascular disease. This framework considers the prevalence of these conditions, the profiles of women suffering from each of them and prevailing patterns of treatment for these disorders. Taken together, these factors are used to analyse the overall economic impact of postmenopausal disorders and to provide an expert opinion in this context.

Economic burden of osteoporosis, breast cancer, and cardiovascular disease among postmenopausal women in an employed population.

BACKGROUND: Postmenopausal women have a significant risk of developing a number of chronic conditions including osteoporosis (OP), breast cancer (BrCa), and cardiovascular disease (CVD). These diseases can result in significant direct (medical treatment) and indirect (workplace) costs. The objective of this study is to assess these costs among an employed population. METHODS: Deidentified medical and disability claims data from seven large employers (n = 585,441) were analyzed from 1998 through 2000 for female employees, age 50-64 years. Medical claim ICD-9CM codes were used to identify patients treated for: OP (n = 2,314), BrCa (n = 555), and CVD (n = 1,710). Each disease cohort was compared to a random sample of 50- to 64-year-old female employees (n = 7,575). Descriptive and multivariate techniques were used to characterize direct and indirect costs attributable to each condition. RESULTS: Average annual direct costs were higher (p < .001) for female employees treated for OP (6,259 dollars), BrCa (13,925 dollars), or CVD (12,055 dollars) when compared with the random sample (2,951 dollars). In addition, average annual indirect costs associated with OP (4,039 dollars), BrCa (8,236 dollars), and CVD (4,990 dollars) were higher (p < .001) than indirect costs for the random sample (2,292 dollars). Even when controlling for each disease-state cohort's demographics and disease-specific comorbidities, patients treated for OP, BrCa, and CVD continued to have significantly greater direct and indirect costs (p < .001) than the random sample. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic conditions such as OP, BrCa, and CVD, which occur more frequently in women after menopause, impose a significant financial burden. Greater health care utilization and work-loss prevalence among women treated for these conditions contribute to these additional costs.

Health care utilization and expenditures in the United States: a study of osteoporosis-related fractures.

BACKGROUND: More than 1.5 million fractures occur due to osteoporosis each year. This study examines the annual health care utilization and associated expenditures of osteoporotic patients who sustain a new fragility fracture and of those without a new fracture. METHODS AND PROCEDURES: The study sample from commercial claims databases consisted of patients enrolled in US plans between January 1, 1997, and December 31, 2001. Patients with both an osteoporosis diagnosis and a related fracture were classified as "osteoporosis with concurrent fracture"; all other osteoporosis patients were classified as "osteoporosis without concurrent fracture." Annual utilization and expenditures for the concurrent-fracture cohort were compared with those without concurrent fracture, as well as with a group of patients without osteoporosis (controls) that was matched to the concurrent-fracture cohort based on age, gender, US region, health plan type, and length of enrollment. Exponential conditional mean models were used to compute regression-adjusted total expenditures across the groups. The differences in adjusted expenditures were used to generate the economic burden-of-illness estimates. RESULTS: Osteoporosis patients with concurrent fracture incurred more than twice the overall health care expenditures in the study period, compared with those without fracture (US $15,942 vs $6,476), and nearly three times those of the control group (US $15,942 vs $4,658). Approximately 25% of the overall health care expenditures (US $4,014 of $15,942) for the concurrent-fracture group were osteoporosis-related expenditures, leading to the conclusion that comorbid conditions in osteoporosis patients with concurrent fracture contribute significantly to overall health care costs. Some of these comorbidity-related costs were likely due to pain-related disorders, which occurred significantly more frequently in the concurrent-fracture cohort than in the other groups. CONCLUSION: Osteoporosis-related expenditures, particularly those related to fracture, were substantial. However, non-osteoporosis-related expenditures to treat comorbid conditions constituted 75% of the overall health care costs in the year after an osteoporosis-related fracture, which warrants further investigation.