The Evolution of Risk Assessment in Spine Surgery: A Narrative Review.

BACKGROUND: Risk assessment is critically important in elective and high-risk interventions, particularly spine surgery. This narrative review describes the evolution of risk assessment from the earliest instruments focused on general surgical risk stratification, to more accurate and spine-specific risk calculators that quantified risk, to the current era of big data. METHODS: The PubMed and SCOPUS databases were queried on October 11, 2023 using search terms to identify risk assessment tools in spine surgery. A total of 108 manuscripts were included after screening with full-text review using the following inclusion criteria: 1) study population of adult spine surgical patients, 2) studies describing validation and subsequent performance of preoperative risk assessment tools, and 3) studies published in English. RESULTS: Early risk assessment tools provided stratified patients into broad categories and allowed for improved communication between physicians. Subsequent risk calculators attempted to quantify risk by estimating general outcomes such as mortality, but then evolved to estimate spine-specific surgical complications. The integration of novel concepts such as invasiveness, frailty, genetic biomarkers, and sarcopenia led to the development of more sophisticated predictive models that estimate the risk of spine-specific complications and long-term outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Risk assessment tools have undergone a transformative shift from generalized risk stratification to quantitative predictive models. The next generation of tools will likely involve integration of radiographic and genetic biomarkers, machine learning, and artificial intelligence to improve the accuracy of these models and better inform patients, surgeons, and payers.

Epigenetic age biomarkers and risk assessment in adult spinal deformity: a novel association of biological age with frailty and disability.

OBJECTIVE: Surgery for spinal deformity has the potential to improve pain, disability, function, self-image, and mental health. These surgical procedures carry significant risk and require careful selection, optimization, and risk assessment. Epigenetic clocks are age estimation tools derived by measuring the methylation patterns of specific DNA regions. The study of biological age in the adult deformity population has the potential to shed insight onto the molecular basis of frailty and to improve current risk assessment tools. METHODS: Adult patients who underwent deformity surgery were prospectively enrolled. Preoperative whole blood samples were used to assess epigenetic age and telomere length. DNA methylation patterns were quantified and processed to extract 4 principal component (PC)-based epigenetic age clocks (PC Horvath, PC Hannum, PC PhenoAge, and PC GrimAge) and the instantaneous pace of aging (DunedinPACE). Telomere length was assessed using both quantitative polymerase chain reaction (telomere to single gene [T/S] ratio) and a methylation-based telomere estimator (PC DNAmTL). Patient demographic and surgical data included age, BMI, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System class, and scores on the Charlson Comorbidity Index, adult spinal deformity frailty index (ASD-FI), Edmonton Frail Scale (EFS), Oswestry Disability Index, and Scoliosis Research Society-22r questionnaire (SRS-22r). Medical or surgical complications within 90 days of surgery were collected. Spearman correlations and beta coefficients (ß) from linear regression, adjusted for BMI and sex, were calculated. RESULTS: Eighty-three patients were enrolled with a mean age of 65 years, and 45 were women (54%). All patients underwent posterior fusion with a mean of 11 levels fused and 33 (40%) 3-column osteotomies were performed. Among the epigenetic clocks adjusted for BMI and sex, DunedinPACE showed a significant association with ASD-FI (ß = 0.041, p = 0.002), EFS (ß = 0.696, p = 0.026), and SRS-22r (ß = 0.174, p = 0.013) scores. PC PhenoAge showed associations with ASD-FI (ß = 0.029, p = 0.028) and SRS-22r (ß = 0.159, p = 0.018) scores. PC GrimAge showed associations with ASD-FI (ß = 0.029, p = 0.037) and SRS-22r (ß = 0.161, p = 0.025) scores. Patients with postoperative complications were noted to have shorter telomere length (T/S 0.790 vs 0.858, p = 0.049), even when the analysis controlled for BMI and sex (OR = 1.71, 95% CI 1.07-2.87, p = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS: Epigenetic clocks showed significant associations with markers of frailty and disability, while patients with postoperative complications had shorter telomere length. These data suggest a potential role for aging biomarkers as components of surgical risk assessment. Integrating biological age into current risk calculators may improve their accuracy and provide valuable information for patients, surgeons, and payers.

Future Data Points to Implement in Adult Spinal Deformity Assessment for Artificial Intelligence Modeling Prediction: The Importance of the Biological Dimension.

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery is still associated with high surgical risks. Machine learning algorithms applied to multicenter databases have been created to predict outcomes and complications, optimize patient selection, and improve overall results. However, the multiple data points currently used to create these models allow for 70% of accuracy in prediction. We need to find new variables that can capture the spectrum of probability that is escaping from our control. These proposed variables are based on patients' biological dimensions, such as frailty, sarcopenia, muscle and bone (tissue) sampling, serological assessment of cellular senescence, and circulating biomarkers that can measure epigenetics, inflammaging, and -omics. Many of these variables are proven to be modifiable and could be improved with proper nutrition, toxin avoidance, endurance exercise, and even surgery. The purpose of this manuscript is to describe the different future data points that can be implemented in ASD assessment to improve modeling prediction, allow monitoring their response to prerehabilitation programs, and improve patient counseling.

WITHDRAWN: Biological age and spine surgery-genomics and the future of risk assessment.

The Publisher regrets that this article is an accidental duplication of an article that has already been published, http://doi.org/10.1016/j.wneu.2023.02.011. The duplicate article has therefore been withdrawn. The full Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal can be found at https://www.elsevier.com/about/policies/article-withdrawal.

Failure in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery: A Comprehensive Review of Current Rates, Mechanisms, and Prevention Strategies.

STUDY DESIGN: Literature review. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this review is to summarize recent literature on adult spinal deformity (ASD) treatment failure as well as prevention strategies for these failure modes. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: There is substantial evidence that ASD surgery can provide significant clinical benefits to patients. The volume of ASD surgery is increasing, and significantly more complex procedures are being performed, especially in the aging population with multiple comorbidities. Although there is potential for significant improvements in pain and disability with ASD surgery, these procedures continue to be associated with major complications and even outright failure. METHODS: A systematic search of the PubMed database was performed for articles relevant to failure after ASD surgery. Institutional review board approval was not needed. RESULTS: Failure and the potential need for revision surgery generally fall into 1 of 4 well-defined phenotypes: clinical failure, radiographic failure, the need for reoperation, and lack of cost-effectiveness. Revision surgery rates remain relatively high, challenging the overall cost-effectiveness of these procedures. CONCLUSION: By consolidating the key evidence regarding failure, further research and innovation may be stimulated with the goal of significantly improving the safety and cost-effectiveness of ASD surgery.

Hospital complications and costs of spinal arteriovenous malformations in the United States from 2002-2014.

BACKGROUND: Spinal arteriovenous malformations (AVMs) are rare disease entities with significant morbidity if untreated. Risk factors of complications, hospitalization and costs-of-care remain in need of characterization. METHODS: Using the National Inpatient Sample years 2002-2014, adult subjects with spinal AVMs who underwent either laminectomy with lesion excision or endovascular embolization were extracted using ICD-9-CM diagnostic code 747.82. Predictors of inpatient complications, hospital length of stay (HLOS), and discharge home were evaluated using multivariable regression. Cost was evaluated using inflation-adjusted healthcare cost [charge*(cost/charge ratio)]. Mean differences (B), odds ratios (OR) and 95% CIs are reported. Significance was assessed at P<0.001. RESULTS: In 2546 weighted admissions, age was 54.4±16.5-years (laminectomy: 70.0%, embolization: 30.0%). Fifteen percent suffered inpatient complications. Cost of hospitalization was $ 41216±38511 and was elevated for subjects with complications ($67571±2636, vs. no complications: $36562±723, P<0.001). Increased costs for categories of complications ranged from $ 16525 (renal/urinary) to $62246 (thromboembolism). In surgical subjects, complications were more costly ($ 69761±2896, vs. no complications: 36520±809, P<0.001). On multivariable analysis, major/extreme disease severity and major/extreme mortality risk were associated with increased complications and HLOS (P<0.001). Elective admissions had shorter HLOS (B=-4.3-days, [-4.8, -3.8], P<0.001) and higher odds of discharge home (OR=2.6 [2.1-3.2], P<0.001). Laminectomy (vs. embolization) was associated with complications (OR=2.6, 95% CI [1.7-3.8], P<0.001), HLOS (B=3.4-days [2.9-4.0], P<0.001), and decreased discharge home (OR=0.3 [0.2-0.4], P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In spinal AVMs, high disease severity, non-elective admissions, and surgery are associated with complications, HLOS, and discharge to a non-home facility. Costs are elevated in patients suffering complications. Future studies are warranted.

Evaluating the Clinical Utility and Cost of Imaging Strategies in Adults with Newly Diagnosed Primary Intradural Spinal Tumors.

OBJECTIVE: In patients with new primary intradural spinal tumors, the best screening strategy for additional central nervous system (CNS) lesions is unclear. The goal of this study was to document the rate of additional CNS tumors in these patients. METHODS: Adults with primary intradural spinal tumors were retrospectively reviewed. Imaging strategy at diagnosis was classified as focused spine (cervical, thoracic, or lumbar), total spine, or complete neuraxis (brain and total spine). Tumor pathology, genetic syndromes, and presence of additional CNS lesions at diagnosis or follow-up were collected. RESULTS: The study comprised 319 patients with mean age of 51 years and mean follow-up of 41 months. In 151 patients with focused spine imaging, 3 (2.0%) were found to have new lesions with 2 (1.4%) requiring treatment. In 35 patients with total spine imaging, there were no additional lesions. In 133 patients with complete neuraxis imaging, 4 (3.0%) were found to have new lesions with 2 (1.5%) requiring treatment. There was no difference in the identification of new lesions (P = 0.542) or new lesions requiring treatment (P = 0.772) across imaging strategies. Among patients without genetic syndromes, rates of new lesions requiring treatment were 1.4% for focused spine, 0% for total spine, and 2.2% for complete neuraxis (P = 0.683). There were no cases of delayed identification causing risk to life or neurological function. Complete neuraxis imaging carried an increased charge of $4420 per patient. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients without an underlying genetic syndrome, the likelihood of identifying additional CNS lesions requiring treatment is low. In appropriate cases, focused spine imaging may be a more cost-effective strategy.

Implementation of Outpatient Minimally Invasive Lumbar Decompression at an Academic Medical Center without Ambulatory Surgery Centers: A Cost Analysis and Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND: Lumbar decompressions are increasingly performed at ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs). We sought to compare costs of open and minimally invasive (MIS) lumbar decompressions performed at a university without dedicated ASCs. METHODS: Lumbar decompressions performed at a tertiary academic hospital or satellite university hospital dedicated to outpatient surgery were retrospectively reviewed. Care pathways were same-day, overnight observation, or inpatient admission. Patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, Charlson Comorbidity Index, surgical characteristics, 30-day readmission, and costs were collected. A systematic review of lumbar decompression cost literature was performed. RESULTS: A total of 354 patients, mean age 55 years with 128 women (36.2%), were reviewed. There was no significant difference in age, gender, body mass index, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, or Charlson Comorbidity Index between patients treated with open and minimally invasive surgery. Open decompression was associated with higher total cost ($21,280 vs. $14,407; P < 0.001); however, this was driven by care pathway and length of stay. When stratifying by care pathway, there was no difference in total cost between open versus minimally invasive surgery among same-day ($10,609 vs. $11,074; P = 0.556), overnight observation ($14,097 vs. $13,992; P = 0.918), or inpatient admissions ($24,507 vs. $27,929; P = 0.311). CONCLUSIONS: When accounting for care pathway, the cost of open and MIS decompression were no different. Transition from a tertiary academic hospital to a university hospital specializing in outpatient surgery was not associated with lower costs. Academic departments may consider transitioning lumbar decompressions to a dedicated ASC to maximize cost savings; however, additional studies are needed.

Cost Analysis of Outpatient Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion at an Academic Medical Center without Dedicated Ambulatory Surgery Centers.

BACKGROUND: Anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) are increasingly performed at ambulatory surgical centers (ASCs). Academic centers lacking dedicated ASCs must perform these at large university hospitals, which pose unique challenges to cost savings and efficiency. OBJECTIVE: To describe the safety and cost of outpatient ACDF at a major academic medical center without a dedicated ASC. METHODS: ACDFs performed from 2015 to 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Cases were performed at the major tertiary university hospital or a satellite university hospital dedicated to outpatient surgery. Patient demographics, surgical characteristics, perioperative complications, fusion at 12 months, and cost were collected. RESULTS: A total of 470 patients were included. The mean age was 56 years, with 255 women (54.3%). When comparing same-day discharge, overnight observation, or inpatient admission, there were no differences in age, gender, or number of levels fused. Same-day and overnight observation cases were associated with shorter procedure duration and less estimated blood loss. There were no differences in perioperative complications, 30-day readmissions, or fusion at 12 months. Direct and total costs were lowest for same-day cases, followed by overnight observation and inpatient admissions (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Academic centers without dedicated ASCs can safely perform ACDF as a same-day or overnight observation procedure with significant reductions in cost. The lack of a dedicated ASC should not preclude academic centers from allocating appropriately selected patients into same-day or overnight observation care pathways. This strategy can improve resource utilization and preserve precious hospital resources for the most critically ill patients while also allowing these centers to build viable outpatient spine practices.

Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Trends in Adult Spinal Deformity Care.

Adult spinal deformity (ASD) has gained significant attention over the past decade with improvements in diagnostic tools, classification schemes, and surgical technique. The demographics of the aging population in the United States are undergoing a fundamental shift as medical care advances and life expectancy increases. The "baby boomers" represent the fastest growing demographic in the United States and by 2050, the number of individuals 65 yr and older is projected to reach 89 million, more than double its current size. Based on current prevalence estimates there are approximately 27.5 million elderly individuals with some form of spinal deformity, which will place a significant burden on our health care systems. Rates of surgery for ASD and case complexity are both increasing, with concomitant increase in the cost of deformity care. At the same time, patients are more medically complex with increasing number of comorbidities that result in increased surgical risk and complication profiles. This review aims to highlight recent trends in the epidemiology and socioeconomic patterns in surgery for ASD.

Estimating a price point for cost-benefit of bone morphogenetic protein in pseudarthrosis prevention for adult spinal deformity surgery.

OBJECTIVEBone morphogenetic protein (BMP) is associated with reduced rates of pseudarthrosis and has the potential to decrease the need for revision surgery. There are limited data evaluating the cost-benefit of BMP for pseudarthrosis-related prevention surgery in adult spinal deformity.METHODSThe authors performed a single-center retrospective review of 200 consecutive patients with adult spinal deformity. Demographic data and costs of BMP, primary surgery, and revision surgery for pseudarthrosis were collected. Patients with less than 12 months of follow-up or with infection, tumor, or neuromuscular disease were excluded.RESULTSOne hundred fifty-one patients (107 [71%] women) with a mean age of 65 years met the inclusion criteria. The mean number of levels fused was 10; BMP was used in 98 cases (65%), and the mean follow-up was 23 months. Fifteen patients (10%) underwent surgical revision for pseudarthrosis; BMP use was associated with an 11% absolute risk reduction in the rate of reoperation (17% vs 6%, p = 0.033), with a number needed to treat of 9.2. There were no significant differences in age, sex, upper instrumented vertebra, or number of levels fused in patients who received BMP. In a multivariate model including age, sex, number of levels fused, and the upper instrumented vertebra, only BMP (OR 0.250, 95% CI 0.078-0.797; p = 0.019) was associated with revision surgery for pseudarthrosis. The mean direct cost of primary surgery was $87,653 ± $19,879, and the mean direct cost of BMP was $10,444 ± $4607. The mean direct cost of revision surgery was $52,153 ± $26,985. The authors independently varied the efficacy of BMP, cost of BMP, and cost of reoperation by ± 50%; only reductions in the cost of BMP resulted in a cost savings per 100 patients. Using these data, the authors estimated a price point of $5663 in order for BMP to be cost-neutral.CONCLUSIONSUse of BMP was associated with a significant reduction in the rates of revision surgery for pseudarthrosis. At its current price, the direct in-hospital costs for BMP exceed the costs associated with revision surgery; however, this likely underestimates the true value of BMP when considering the savings associated with reductions in rehabilitation, therapy, medication, and additional outpatient costs.

The unreimbursed costs of preventing revision surgery in adult spinal deformity: analysis of cost-effectiveness of proximal junctional failure prevention with ligament augmentation.

OBJECTIVE Proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) is a well-recognized complication of surgery for adult spinal deformity and is characterized by increased kyphosis at the upper instrumented vertebra (UIV). PJK prevention strategies have the potential to decrease morbidity and cost by reducing rates of proximal junctional failure (PJF), which the authors define as radiographic PJK plus clinical sequelae requiring revision surgery. METHODS The authors performed an analysis of 195 consecutive patients with adult spinal deformity. Age, sex, levels fused, upper instrumented vertebra (UIV), use of 3-column osteotomy, pelvic fixation, and mean time to follow-up were collected. The authors also reviewed operative reports to assess for the use of surgical adjuncts targeted toward PJK prevention, including ligament augmentation, hook fixation, and vertebroplasty. The cost of surgery, including direct and total costs, was also assessed at index surgery and revision surgery. Only revision surgery for PJF was included. RESULTS The mean age of the cohort was 64 years (range 25-84 years); 135 (69%) patients were female. The mean number of levels fused was 10 (range 2-18) with the UIV as follows: 2 cervical (1%), 73 upper thoracic (37%), 108 lower thoracic (55%), and 12 lumbar (6%). Ligament augmentation was used in 99 cases (51%), hook fixation in 60 cases (31%), and vertebroplasty in 71 cases (36%). PJF occurred in 18 cases (9%). Univariate analysis found that ligament augmentation and hook fixation were associated with decreased rates of PJF. However, in a multivariate model that also incorporated age, sex, and UIV, only ligament augmentation maintained a significant association with PJF reduction (OR 0.196, 95% CI 0.050-0.774; p = 0.020). Patients with ligament augmentation, compared with those without, had a higher cost of index surgery, but ligament augmentation was overall cost effective and produced significant cost savings. In sensitivity analyses in which we independently varied the reduction in PJF, cost of ligament augmentation, and cost of reoperation by ± 50%, ligament augmentation remained a cost-effective strategy for PJF prevention. CONCLUSIONS Prevention strategies for PJK/PJF are limited, and their cost-effectiveness has yet to be established. The authors present the results of 195 patients with adult spinal deformity and show that ligament augmentation is associated with significant reductions in PJF in both univariate and multivariate analyses, and that this intervention is cost-effective. Future studies will need to determine if these clinical results are reproducible, but for high-risk cases, these data suggest an important role of ligament augmentation for PJF prevention and cost savings.

Cost-effectiveness development for the postoperative care of craniotomy patients: a safe transitions pathway in neurological surgery.

OBJECTIVE The authors' institution is in the top 5th percentile for hospital cost in the nation, and the neurointensive care unit (NICU) is one of the costliest units. The NICU is more expensive than other units because of lower staff/patient ratio and because of the equipment necessary to monitor patient care. The cost differential between the NICU and Neuro transitional care unit (NTCU) is $1504 per day. The goal of this study was to evaluate and to pilot a program to improve efficiency and lower cost by modifying the postoperative care of patients who have undergone a craniotomy, sending them to the NTCU as opposed to the NICU. Implementation of the pilot will expand and utilize neurosurgery beds available on the NTCU and reduce the burden on NICU beds for critically ill patient admissions. METHODS Ten patients who underwent craniotomy to treat supratentorial brain tumors were included. Prior to implementation of the pilot, inclusion criteria were designed for patient selection. Patients included were less than 65 years of age, had no comorbid conditions requiring postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) care, had a supratentorial meningioma less than 3 cm in size, had no intraoperative events, had routine extubation, and underwent surgery lasting fewer than 5 hours and had blood loss less than 500 ml. The Safe Transitions Pathway (STP) was started in August 2016. RESULTS Ten tumor patients have utilized the STP (5 convexity meningiomas, 2 metastatic tumors, 3 gliomas). Patients' ages ranged from 29 to 75 years (median 49 years; an exception to the age limit of 65 years was made for one 75-year-old patient). Discharge from the hospital averaged 2.2 days postoperative, with 1 discharged on postoperative day (POD) 1, 7 discharged on POD 2, 1 discharged on POD 3, and 1 discharged on POD 4. Preliminary data indicate that quality and safety for patients following the STP (moving from the operating room [OR] to the neuro transitional care unit [OR-NTCU]) are no different from those of patients following the traditional OR-NICU pathway. No patients required escalation in level of nursing care, and there were no readmissions. This group has been followed for greater than 1 month, and there were no morbidities. CONCLUSIONS The STP is a new and efficient pathway for the postoperative care of neurosurgery patients. The STP has reduced hospital cost by $22,560 for the first 10 patients, and there were no morbidities. Since this pilot, the authors have expanded the pathway to include other surgical cases and now routinely schedule craniotomy patients for the (OR-NTCU) pathway. The potential cost reduction in one year could reach $500,000 if we reach our potential of 20 patients per month.