Change in cardiovascular risk assessment tool and updated Norwegian guidelines for cardiovascular disease in primary prevention increase the population proportion at risk: the Tromsø Study 2015-2016.

AIMS: To compare the population proportion at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) using the Norwegian NORRISK 1 that predicts 10-year risk of CVD mortality and the Norwegian national guidelines from 2009, with the updated NORRISK 2 that predicts 10-year risk of both fatal and non-fatal risk of CVD and the Norwegian national guidelines from 2017. METHODS: We included participants from the Norwegian population-based Tromsø Study (2015-2016) aged 40-69 years without a history of CVD (n=16 566). The total proportion eligible for intervention was identified by NORRISK 1 and the 2009 guidelines (serum total cholesterol ≥8 mmol/L, systolic blood pressure ≥160 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100 mm Hg) and NORRISK 2 and the 2017 guidelines (serum total cholesterol ≥7 mmol/L, low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol ≥5 mmol/L, systolic blood pressure ≥160 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100 mm Hg). RESULTS: The total proportion at high risk as defined by a risk score was 12.0% using NORRISK 1 and 9.8% using NORRISK 2. When including single risk factors specified by the guidelines, the total proportion eligible for intervention was 15.5% using NORRISK 1 and the 2009 guidelines and 18.9% using NORRISK 2 and the 2017 guidelines. The lowered threshold for total cholesterol and specified cut-off for LDL cholesterol stand for a large proportion of the increase in population at risk. CONCLUSION: The population proportion eligible for intervention increased by 3.4 percentage points from 2009 to 2017 using the revised NORRISK 2 score and guidelines.

Educational inequalities in midlife risk factors for non-communicable diseases in two Norwegian counties 1974-2002.

Background: The absolute educational differences in the mortality of Norwegian women and men increased during 1960-2000 and thereafter levelled off in men, but continued to widen in women. Which of the risk factors for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) might explain these trends? Aim: The aim of this study was to investigate trends in gender-specific, absolute educational differences in established risk factors during 1974-2002. Methods: We used cross-sectional data from 40-45-year-old women and men who participated in one of three health surveys in two counties, from the years 1974-1978, 1985-1988 and 2001-2002. To account for increasing educational attainment through the period we used a regression-based index of inequality (Slope Index of Inequality) to assess the educational gradients over time. Results: From 1974 to 2002, the mean levels of serum total cholesterol and blood pressure decreased and body mass index (BMI) increased in all subgroups by education in both sexes. In men, the educational gradient tended to diminish toward the null for serum total cholesterol and narrowed for systolic blood pressure, but increased for BMI. In women, the educational gradient increased to the double for smoking and increased for triglycerides. Conclusions: In two Norwegian counties, the NCD risk factors showed dynamic patterns during 1974-2002. For blood pressure and serum total cholesterol, the levels showed consistent beneficial changes in all educational subgroups, with a narrowing tendency for educational gradients in men. In women, the educational gradient for smoking increased markedly. Knowledge on midlife trends in the educational gradients of risk factors may help to explain recent and future NCD mortality.

ß-Blocker Use in Pregnancy and the Risk for Congenital Malformations: An International Cohort Study.

Background: ß-Blockers are a class of antihypertensive medications that are commonly used in pregnancy. Objective: To estimate the risks for major congenital malformations associated with first-trimester exposure to ß-blockers. Design: Cohort study. Setting: Health registries in the 5 Nordic countries and the U.S. Medicaid database. Patients: Pregnant women with a diagnosis of hypertension and their offspring. Measurements: First-trimester exposure to ß-blockers was assessed. Outcomes were any major congenital malformation, cardiac malformations, cleft lip or palate, and central nervous system (CNS) malformations. Propensity score stratification was used to control for potential confounders. Results: Of 3577 women with hypertensive pregnancies in the Nordic cohort and 14 900 in the U.S. cohort, 682 (19.1%) and 1668 (11.2%), respectively, were exposed to ß-blockers in the first trimester. The pooled adjusted relative risk (RR) and risk difference per 1000 persons exposed (RD1000) associated with ß-blockers were 1.07 (95% CI, 0.89 to 1.30) and 3.0 (CI, -6.6 to 12.6), respectively, for any major malformation; 1.12 (CI, 0.83 to 1.51) and 2.1 (CI, -4.3 to 8.4) for any cardiac malformation; and 1.97 (CI, 0.74 to 5.25) and 1.0 (CI, -0.9 to 3.0) for cleft lip or palate. For CNS malformations, the adjusted RR was 1.37 (CI, 0.58 to 3.25) and the RD1000 was 1.0 (CI, -2.0 to 4.0) (based on U.S. cohort data only). Limitation: Analysis was restricted to live births, exposure was based on dispensed medication, and cleft lip or palate and CNS malformations had few outcomes. Conclusion: The results suggest that maternal use of ß-blockers in the first trimester is not associated with a large increase in the risk for overall malformations or cardiac malformations, independent of measured confounders. Primary Funding Source: The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development and the Söderström König Foundation.

Ethnic inequalities in acute myocardial infarction and stroke rates in Norway 1994-2009: a nationwide cohort study (CVDNOR).

BACKGROUND: Immigrants to Norway from South Asia and Former Yugoslavia have high levels of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Yet, the incidence of CVD among immigrants in Norway has never been studied. Our aim was to study the burden of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke among ethnic groups in Norway. METHODS: We studied the whole Norwegian population (n = 2,637,057) aged 35-64 years during 1994-2009. The Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) project provided information about all AMI and stroke hospital stays for this period, as well as deaths outside hospital through linkage to the Cause of Death Registry. The direct standardization method was used to estimate age standardized AMI and stroke event rates for immigrants and ethnic Norwegians. Rate ratios (RR) with ethnic Norwegians as reference were calculated using Poisson regression. RESULTS: The highest risk of AMI was seen in South Asians (men RR = 2.27; 95 % CI 2.08-2.49; women RR = 2.10; 95 % CI 1.76-2.51) while the lowest was seen in East Asians (RR = 0.38 in both men (95 % CI 0.25-0.58) and women (95 % CI 0.18-0.79)). Immigrants from Former Yugoslavia and Central Asia also had increased risk of AMI compared to ethnic Norwegians. South Asians had increased risk of stroke (men RR = 1.26; 95 % CI 1.10-1.44; women RR = 1.58; 95 % CI 1.32-1.90), as did men from Former Yugoslavia, Sub-Saharan Africa and women from Southeast Asia. CONCLUSIONS: Preventive measures should be aimed at reducing the excess numbers of CVD among immigrants from South Asia and Former Yugoslavia.

Choice of generic antihypertensive drugs for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease--a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is one of the leading causes of cardiovascular disease (CVD). A range of antihypertensive drugs exists, and their prices vary widely mainly due to patent rights. The objective of this study was to explore the cost-effectiveness of different generic antihypertensive drugs as first, second and third choice for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We used the Norwegian Cardiovascular Disease model (NorCaD) to simulate the cardiovascular life of patients from hypertension without symptoms until they were all dead or 100 years old. The risk of CVD events and costs were based on recent Norwegian sources. RESULTS: In single-drug treatment, all antihypertensives are cost-effective compared to no drug treatment. In the base-case analysis, the first, second and third choice of antihypertensive were calcium channel blocker, thiazide and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor. However the sensitivity and scenario analyses indicated considerable uncertainty in that angiotensin receptor blockers as well as, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, beta blockers and thiazides could be the most cost-effective antihypertensive drugs. CONCLUSIONS: Generic antihypertensives are cost-effective in a wide range of risk groups. There is considerable uncertainty, however, regarding which drug is the most cost-effective.

Self-reported mental health and its gender differences as a predictor of suicide in the middle-aged.

Studies of clinical cohorts and retrospective reports have identified psychiatric disorders as paramount risk factors for suicide. Much less is known about how self-reported mental health is related to completed suicide. To study the relation between self-reported mental health and risk of completed suicide, the authors prospectively followed a population-based Norwegian cohort of 61,588 men and 69,774 women aged 39-44 years for an average of 10.4 years between 1994 and 2007. Self-reported mental health was measured using an instrument based on the Hopkins Symptom Checklist and the General Health Questionnaire. Completed suicides were registered in the official Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. Females reported higher levels of mental distress than males. In comparison with persons reporting the fewest mental health symptoms, the adjusted hazard ratio for suicide increased from 1.8 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1, 2.9) in the moderately depressed group to 8.9 (95% CI: 4.4, 18.2) in the most depressed group. The risk difference was greatest in males. At each level of the mental health index, males had double the risk of suicide of females (hazard ratio = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.5, 3.3). This study shows a dose-response effect of self-reported mental health problems on completed suicide and replicates the gender paradox observed in the general population with prospective data.

Ethnic differences in SCORE cardiovascular risk in Oslo, Norway.

AIM: To compare the estimated 10-year risk of cardiovascular death between ethnic Norwegians and five immigrant groups in Norway, according to the European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) system. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Oslo Health Study and the Oslo Immigrant Health Study (2000-2002). Fourteen thousand eight hundred and fifty-six individuals born between 1940 and 1971 in Norway, Turkey, Iran, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Vietnam were included in the study. The European SCORE high-risk models, one including total cholesterol and the other including total cholesterol/HDL cholesterol ratio, were used to estimate 10-year cardiovascular mortality risk. A model assuming no smoking was also applied. Age was projected to 60 years and estimates were adjusted for age at screening. RESULTS: Norwegians had higher total cholesterol and systolic blood pressure, but lower triglycerides and higher HDL cholesterol compared with immigrants. The mean SCORE (total cholesterol model) varied between 6.6% (Turkey) and 5.4% (Sri Lanka) in men, and 2.1% (Norway) and 1.5% (Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Vietnam) in women. Application of the ratio model gave higher estimated risk in all immigrant groups except for Vietnamese, with 10-year risk varying between 7.7% (Turkey/Pakistan) and 5.7% (Vietnam) in men, and 2.0% (Norway) and 1.5% (Vietnam) in women. When the ratio model was applied assuming no smoking in all ethnic groups, the mean SCORE risk was reduced by 30% in Turkish men and 25% in Norwegian women, with less significant reductions observed in the other groups. CONCLUSION: Norwegians ranked high with the SCORE total cholesterol model and Norwegian men low with the SCORE ratio model. Although the predictive accuracy of the SCORE models for immigrants in Norway remains to be evaluated, our findings suggest that the ratio model could be more applicable to the entire population in Norway.

The validity of self-reported prescription medication use among adolescents varied by therapeutic class.

OBJECTIVE: Validation studies of self-reported medication use in adolescents have been scarce. The objective of this study was to estimate the sensitivity and specificity of self-reported use of medication using a prescription database as reference standard. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: The study population consisted of a cohort of 2,613 adolescents aged 15-16 years from the Norwegian youth health survey in 2004 and 2005. Self-reported data on medication use were compared with data from the Norwegian Prescription Database which contains information from all prescription dispensed at Norwegian pharmacies. RESULTS: Sensitivity for self-reported questions on medication use was highest for contraceptive pills 99.2% (95% CI 97.7-100) compared to antiasthmatics 79.1% (66.9-91.2), painkillers 48.5% (36.7-60.4), and psychotropic drugs 75.0% (35.6-95.6). Specificity values of self-reported information of psychotropic drugs 89.6% (87.8-91.5) and antiasthmatics 87.4% (85.4-89.5) were higher than for painkillers 80.0% (77.5-82.4) and contraceptive pills 76.2% (72.3-80.1). CONCLUSION: Validity of self-reported previous medication use among adolescents differed by the therapeutic classes of medication. The highest sensitivity was observed for contraceptive pills and lowest for prescribed painkillers.

Distribution of apoB/apoA-1 ratio and blood lipids in Sami, Kven and Norwegian populations: the SAMINOR study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the distribution of blood lipids, lipoprotein and apoB/apoA-1 ratio in a multi-ethnic population of Sami, Kvens and Norwegians in Norway. Study design. A population-based cross-sectional study was carried out in 2003-2004 in an area with a mixed Sami, Kvens/Finns and Norwegian population, the SAMINOR study. METHODS: A self-administrated questionnaire was distributed and total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, apoB and apoA-1 counts were analysed in 6461 women and 5772 men between the ages of 36 and 79. RESULTS: In 36-64 age group, Sami men and women had the highest apoB/apoA-1 ratio of the ethnic groups. The ethnic differences remained after adjustment for waist hip ratio, cigarette smoking, systolic and diastolic pressures, alcohol consumption, physical activity during leisure time and family history of myocardial infarction (MI). There were no significant ethnic differences in apoB/apoA-1 ratio in the older age group. Total cholesterol was significantly lower among Sami men and women, aged 65-79 years, than among the Norwegian. The opposite occurred in the 36-49 age group, with higher levels in the Sami population. We found no ethnic differences in HDL cholesterol and triglycerides. CONCLUSIONS: Middle-aged Sami women and men have increased levels of apoB/apoA-1 ratio and total cholesterol compared with Norwegians.

Life course determinants for early disability pension: a follow-up of Norwegian men and women born 1967-1976.

BACKGROUND: Most studies on disability pension (DP) have focused on work conditions, socio-economic status and other contemporary factors. We wanted to study possible determinants of an early DP with a life course perspective within a large register-based cohort, with a main focus on the biological and social factors from childhood. METHODS: We established a longitudinal, population-based cohort of all persons liveborn in Norway between 1967 and 1976. Through linkage between several national registers we obtained personal data on biological/health related as well as social background factors. After excluding persons who died, emigrated or were granted a DP before age 20 years (at which age follow-up started) and persons who did not become gainfully employed during the study period, the study population consisted of 595,393 persons. They were categorized into four strata according to gender and educational attainment. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for granting a DP until the end of 2003 and the corresponding population attributable risks (PAR) were computed. RESULTS: A total of 9,649 persons (1.6%) were granted a DP during follow-up. The disability risk was slightly higher among women than among men (1.7% vs. 1,5%). The following PARs were found: birth weight below the mean 5.7%, chronic childhood disease 6.8%, maternal marital status 4.4% and parental disability 8.8%. Low educational achievement was highly associated with DP, with a PAR more than twice as high as the overall PAR for the childhood factors. CONCLUSIONS: Early DP is associated with several biological and social background factors from childhood. It also shows a strong dependency on educational achievement.

Population based study of health and living conditions in areas with both Sámi and Norwegian populations--the SAMINOR study.

OBJECTIVES: The overall aim of the SAMINOR project was to study health and diseases in relation to living conditions among the Sámi population and to compare these with the Norwegian population in the same area. This article provides an overview of the background of the study and a description of the methods employed for the data collection. We give sample characteristics and elaborate on different definitions of ethnicity. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional, population-based study, including questionnaires, a clinical examination and analyses of blood samples. METHODS: All individuals 30 or 36 to 79 years of age who were living in defined municipalities or specified local areas with a known Sámi population were invited to a cardiovascular screening program. The data were collected during 2003-2004. The questionnaires focused on living conditions, health, Sámi traditions and ethnicity. The eligible population consisted of 27,987 individuals and 16,865 (60.6%) participated by answering at least one questionnaire. Analyses were restricted to the 36 to 79 year-old age group which had 16,538 participants. The screening program comprised a blood sample, measurements of blood pressure, height, weight, and waist and hip ratio. Different definitions of Sámi ethnicity were explored. RESULTS: Of the sample, 35.6% reported Sámi background, and 13.2% reported that they, their parents and their grandparents had Sámi as their domestic language. This stringent definition of Sámi produced clearer differences between Sámi and Norwegians, as shown for some measures of socioeconomic status. CONCLUSIONS: The findings that are related to more strict definitions of Sámi ethnicity have important implications for the interpretation of earlier works and for future studies.

Psychosocial factors and distress: a comparison between ethnic Norwegians and ethnic Pakistanis in Oslo, Norway.

BACKGROUND: In the Norwegian context, higher mental distress has been reported for the non-Western immigrants compared to the ethnic Norwegians and Western immigrants. This high level of distress is often related to different socio-economic conditions in this group. No efforts have been made earlier to observe the impact of changed psychosocial conditions on the state of mental distress of these immigrant communities due to the migration process. Therefore, the objective of the study was to investigate the association between psychological distress and psychosocial factors among Pakistani immigrants and ethnic Norwegians in Oslo, and to investigate to what extent differences in mental health could be explained by psychosocial and socioeconomic conditions. METHOD: Data was collected from questionnaires as a part of the Oslo Health Study 2000-2001. 13581 Norwegian born (attendance rate 46%) and 339 ethnic Pakistanis (attendance rate 38%) in the selected age groups participated. A 10-item version of Hopkins Symptom Checklist (HSCL) was used as a measure of psychological distress. RESULTS: Pakistanis reported less education and lower employment rate than Norwegians (p < 0.005). The Pakistani immigrants also reported higher distress, mean HSCL score 1.53(1.48-1.59), compared to the ethnic Norwegians, HSCL score 1.30(1.29-1.30). The groups differed significantly (p < 0.005) with respect to social support and feeling of powerlessness, the Pakistanis reporting less support and more powerlessness. The expected difference in mean distress was reduced from 0.23 (0.19-0.29) to 0.07 (0.01-0.12) and 0.12 (0.07-0.18) when adjusted for socioeconomic and social support variables respectively. Adjusting for all these variables simultaneously, the difference in the distress level between the two groups was eliminated CONCLUSION: Poor social support and economic conditions are important mediators of mental health among immigrants. The public health recommendations/interventions should deal with both the economic conditions and social support system of immigrant communities simultaneously.

Cost-effectiveness of primary percutaneous coronary intervention versus thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the long-term cost-effectiveness of two reperfusion modalities in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) versus thrombolytic therapy. DESIGN: A state-transition model that follows patients from when they develop STEMI until they die was developed. The model encompassed events and health states. Sensitivity analyses were undertaken. RESULTS: For a 65-year old man, life expectancy was 8.3 years with primary PCI and 7.6 years with thrombolytic therapy. The lifetime costs were 19,250 euros (NOK 154,000) and 29,250 euros (NOK 234,000), respectively, for patients living close to an invasive unit. Cost savings from PCI were mainly due to the reduction in future coronary interventions. For patients needing helicopter transport to arrive in time to an invasive unit for PCI, the costs were 24,000 euros (NOK 192,000) and 29,250 euros (NOK 234,000), respectively (all costs undiscounted). For women, the estimates were somewhat higher due to lower mortality. CONCLUSION: Compared with thrombolytic therapy, reperfusion by primary PCI results in greater health benefits at reduced lifetime costs. These findings may have important clinical implications in an increasing cost-conscious health care environment.

The Oslo Health Study: The impact of self-selection in a large, population-based survey.

BACKGROUND: Research on health equity which mainly utilises population-based surveys, may be hampered by serious selection bias due to a considerable number of invitees declining to participate. Sufficient information from all the non-responders is rarely available to quantify this bias. Predictors of attendance, magnitude and direction of non-response bias in prevalence estimates and association measures, are investigated based on information from all 40 888 invitees to the Oslo Health Study. METHODS: The analyses were based on linkage between public registers in Statistics Norway and the Oslo Health Study, a population-based survey conducted in 2000/2001 inviting all citizens aged 30, 40, 45, 59-60 and 75-76 years. Attendance was 46%. Weighted analyses, logistic regression and sensitivity analyses are performed to evaluate possible selection bias. RESULTS: The response rate was positively associated with age, educational attendance, total income, female gender, married, born in a Western county, living in the outer city residential regions and not receiving disability benefit. However, self-rated health, smoking, BMI and mental health (HCSL) in the attendees differed only slightly from estimated prevalence values in the target population when weighted by the inverse of the probability of attendance.Observed values differed only moderately provided that the non-attending individuals differed from those attending by no more than 50%. Even though persons receiving disability benefit had lower attendance, the associations between disability and education, residential region and marital status were found to be unbiased. The association between country of birth and disability benefit was somewhat more evident among attendees. CONCLUSIONS: Self-selection according to sociodemographic variables had little impact on prevalence estimates. As indicated by disability benefit, unhealthy persons attended to a lesser degree than healthy individuals, but social inequality in health by different sociodemographic variables seemed unbiased. If anything we would expect an overestimation of the odds ratio of chronic disease among persons born in non-western countries.