Early functional factors for predicting outcome of independence in daily living after stroke: a decision tree analysis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the predictive functional factors influencing the acquisition of basic activities of daily living performance abilities during the early stages of stroke rehabilitation using classification and regression analysis trees. METHODS: The clinical data of 289 stroke patients who underwent rehabilitation during hospitalization (164 males; mean age: 62.2 ± 13.9 years) were retrospectively collected and analysed. The follow-up period between admission and discharge was approximately 6 weeks. Medical records, including demographic characteristics and various functional assessments with item scores, were extracted. The modified Barthel Index on discharge served as the target outcome for analysis. A "good outcome" was defined as a modified Barthel Index score ≥ 75 on discharge, while a modified Barthel Index score < 75 was classified as a "poor outcome." RESULTS: Two classification and regression analysis tree models were developed. The first model, predicting activities of daily living outcomes based on early motor functions, achieved an accuracy of 92.4%. Among patients with a "good outcome", 70.9% exhibited (i) ≥ 4 points in the "sitting-to-standing" category in the motor assessment scale and (ii) 32 points on the Berg Balance Scale score. The second model, predicting activities of daily living outcome based on early cognitive functions, achieved an accuracy of 82.7%. Within the "poor outcome" group, 52.2% had (i) ≤ 21 points in the "visuomotor organization" category of Lowenstein Occupational Therapy Cognitive Assessment, (ii) ≤ 1 point in the "time orientation" category of the Mini Mental State Examination. CONCLUSION: The ability to perform "sitting-to-standing" and visuomotor organization functions at the beginning of rehabilitation emerged as the most significant predictors for achieving successful basic activities of daily living on discharge after stroke.

Multifaceted Assessment of Functional Outcomes in Survivors of First-time Stroke.

Importance: Because stroke causes diverse functional deficits, understanding the long-term recovery pattern of each functional domain may inform prognosis and therapeutic strategies. Objective: To observe long-term changes in functional status and residual disability in survivors of first-time stroke. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was an interim analysis of the Korean Stroke Cohort for Functioning and Rehabilitation. Between August 2012 and May 2015, 7858 of 10 636 screened patients with first-time strokes from 9 district hospitals in Korea provided informed consent to participate. Data were analyzed from September 2021 through February 2022. Exposure: First-time stroke. Main Outcomes and Measures: Study data include multifaceted face-to-face functional assessments obtained at 8 to 9 points until 60 months after stroke onset. The Korean Mini-Mental State Examination (K-MMSE), Fugl-Meyer Assessment, Functional Ambulatory Category, American Speech-Language-Hearing Association National Outcome Measurement System Swallowing Scale, and Short Korean version of the Frenchay Aphasia Screening Test were performed from 7 days to 60 months after stroke. The Korean Modified Barthel Index was measured from 3 months to 60 months after stroke. Results: A total of 4443 patients (2649 men [59.62%]; mean [SD] age 62.13 [12.43] years) who underwent repeated functional assessments for 60 months after stroke (3508 patients with ischemic and 935 patients with hemorrhagic stroke) were included. Overall, functions plateaued between 12 and 18 months after stroke and declined after 30 months; for example, mean (SD) K-MMSE improved from 7 days (22.89 [7.89]) to 12 months (26.03 [5.48]) (P < .001), plateaued until 36 months (26.03 [5.84]), and decreased to 48 months (26.02 [5.82]) (P < .001). Interaction associations were found between time after stroke and age, stroke severity, and stroke type in functional assessment outcomes. For example, mean (SE) FMA for ages 65 years or younger vs older than 65 years was 81.64 (0.63) vs 80.69 (0.68) at 7 days and 91.28 (0.47) vs 88.46 (0.58) at 6 months (P for interaction < .001), and for IS vs HS, it was 84.46 (0.47) vs 69.02 (1.24) at 7 days and 91.20 (0.38) vs 85.51 (0.98) at 6 months (P for interaction < .001). Mean (SE) FMA was 94.39 (0.21) at 7 days and 97.57 (0.14) at 6 months for mild stroke, 44.69 (1.18) at 7 days and 70.43 (1.21) at 6 months for moderate stroke, and 13.22 (0.99) at 7 days and 48.07 (2.62) at 6 months for severe stroke (P for interaction < .001). Factors associated with activities of daily living independence at 60 months included older age (ß per 1-year increase = -0.35; standard error [SE], 0.03; P < .001), male sex (ß = 2.12; SE, 0.73; P = .004), and hemorrhagic stroke type (ß vs ischemic stroke = 2.35; SE, 0.81; P = .004). Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that long-term recovery patterns in multifaceted functional domains differed from one another and varied by patient age, stroke severity, and stroke type. Understanding the diversity of long-term functional recovery patterns and factors associated with these outcomes in survivors of stroke may help clinicians develop strategies for effective stroke care and rehabilitation.