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1.
PLoS One ; 17(7): e0269017, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35877617

RESUMO

Since the beginning of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, a focus of research has been to identify risk factors associated with COVID-19-related outcomes, such as testing and diagnosis, and use them to build prediction models. Existing studies have used data from digital surveys or electronic health records (EHRs), but very few have linked the two sources to build joint predictive models. In this study, we used survey data on 7,054 patients from the Michigan Genomics Initiative biorepository to evaluate how well self-reported data could be integrated with electronic records for the purpose of modeling COVID-19-related outcomes. We observed that among survey respondents, self-reported COVID-19 diagnosis captured a larger number of cases than the corresponding EHRs, suggesting that self-reported outcomes may be better than EHRs for distinguishing COVID-19 cases from controls. In the modeling context, we compared the utility of survey- and EHR-derived predictor variables in models of survey-reported COVID-19 testing and diagnosis. We found that survey-derived predictors produced uniformly stronger models than EHR-derived predictors-likely due to their specificity, temporal proximity, and breadth-and that combining predictors from both sources offered no consistent improvement compared to using survey-based predictors alone. Our results suggest that, even though general EHRs are useful in predictive models of COVID-19 outcomes, they may not be essential in those models when rich survey data are already available. The two data sources together may offer better prediction for COVID severity, but we did not have enough severe cases in the survey respondents to assess that hypothesis in in our study.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Teste para COVID-19 , Humanos , Autorrelato , Inquéritos e Questionários
2.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci ; 77(9): 1750-1759, 2022 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35172329

RESUMO

Educational inequalities in all-cause mortality have been observed for decades. However, the underlying biological mechanisms are not well known. We aimed to assess the role of DNA methylation changes in blood captured by epigenetic clocks in explaining these inequalities. Data were from 8 prospective population-based cohort studies, representing 13 021 participants. First, educational inequalities and their portion explained by Horvath DNAmAge, Hannum DNAmAge, DNAmPhenoAge, and DNAmGrimAge epigenetic clocks were assessed in each cohort via counterfactual-based mediation models, on both absolute (hazard difference) and relative (hazard ratio) scales, and by sex. Second, estimates from each cohort were pooled through a random effect meta-analysis model. Men with low education had excess mortality from all causes of 57 deaths per 10 000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 38, 76) compared with their more advantaged counterparts. For women, the excess mortality was 4 deaths per 10 000 person-years (95% CI: -11, 19). On the relative scale, educational inequalities corresponded to hazard ratios of 1.33 (95% CI: 1.12, 1.57) for men and 1.15 (95% CI: 0.96, 1.37) for women. DNAmGrimAge accounted for the largest proportion, approximately 50%, of the educational inequalities for men, while the proportion was negligible for women. Most of this mediation was explained by differential effects of unhealthy lifestyles and morbidities of the World Health Organization (WHO) risk factors for premature mortality. These results support DNA methylation-based epigenetic aging as a signature of educational inequalities in life expectancy emphasizing the need for policies to address the unequal social distribution of these WHO risk factors.


Assuntos
Epigênese Genética , Epigenômica , Escolaridade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Mortalidade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos
3.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci ; 77(11): 2248-2256, 2022 11 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34448475

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Later-life cognitive function is influenced by genetics as well as early- and later-life socioeconomic context. However, few studies have examined the interaction between genetics and early childhood factors. METHODS: Using gene-based tests (interaction sequence kernel association test [iSKAT]/iSKAT optimal unified test), we examined whether common and/or rare exonic variants in 39 gene regions previously associated with cognitive performance, dementia, and related traits had an interaction with childhood socioeconomic context (parental education and financial strain) on memory performance or decline in European ancestry (EA, N = 10 468) and African ancestry (AA, N = 2 252) participants from the Health and Retirement Study. RESULTS: Of the 39 genes, 22 in EA and 19 in AA had nominally significant interactions with at least one childhood socioeconomic measure on memory performance and/or decline; however, all but one (father's education by solute carrier family 24 member 4 [SLC24A4] in AA) were not significant after multiple testing correction (false discovery rate [FDR] < .05). In trans-ethnic meta-analysis, 2 genes interacted with childhood socioeconomic context (FDR < .05): mother's education by membrane-spanning 4-domains A4A (MS4A4A) on memory performance, and father's education by SLC24A4 on memory decline. Both interactions remained significant (p < .05) after adjusting for respondent's own educational attainment, apolipoprotein-ε4 allele (APOE ε4) status, lifestyle factors, body mass index, and comorbidities. For both interactions in EA and AA, the genetic effect was stronger in participants with low parental education. CONCLUSIONS: Examination of common and rare variants in genes discovered through genome-wide association studies shows that childhood context may interact with key gene regions to jointly impact later-life memory function and decline. Genetic effects may be more salient for those with lower childhood socioeconomic status.


Assuntos
Cognição , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Idoso , Escolaridade , Classe Social , Pais , Fatores Socioeconômicos
4.
Pediatr Diabetes ; 22(2): 241-248, 2021 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33871154

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess racial disparities in treatments and outcomes between Non-Hispanic black (NHB), Hispanic and Non-Hispanic white (NHW) children with type 1 diabetes (T1D). METHODS: We reviewed electronic health records of children (<18 years) attending a large, pediatric tertiary care diabetes center in the United States between October 1, 2018, and December 31, 2019. Health care utilization (appointment attendance, ED visits, hospitalizations), technology use (insulin pumps, continuous glucose monitors [CGM]) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) were examined for each race/ethnicity and stratified by insurance type (private/government) as a proxy for socioeconomic status (SES). RESULTS: Of 1331 children (47% female) with a median (IQR) age of 14.2 (11.5, 16.3) years and T1D duration of 5.8 (3.8, 9) years; 1026 (77%) were NHW, 198 (15%) NHB, and 107 (8%) Hispanic. Government insurance was used by 358 (27%) children, representing 60% of NHB and 53% of Hispanic, but only 18% of NHW children. NHB children had higher HbA1c, more ED visits and hospitalizations, and were less likely to be treated with insulin pumps or CGM than NHW children (P < .001 for all). There were no racial disparities with regard to the number of appointments attended. CONCLUSIONS: Racial disparities in technology use and diabetes outcomes persist in children with T1D, regardless of insurance status. To ensure equitable care, pediatric healthcare providers should remain cognizant of racial disparities in diabetes treatment. The impact of provider and patient factors should be explored when studying the etiology of these health disparities.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/etnologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/terapia , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/etnologia , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , População Branca/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Criança , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/diagnóstico , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Utilização de Instalações e Serviços , Feminino , Hemoglobinas Glicadas , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Sistemas de Infusão de Insulina/estatística & dados numéricos , Cobertura do Seguro , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Socioeconômicos
5.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 68 Suppl 3: S45-S53, 2020 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32815605

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Genetic factors play an important role in Alzheimer's disease (AD) and cognitive aging. However, it is unclear whether risk loci identified in European ancestry (EA) populations have similar effects in other groups, such as South Asians. DESIGN: We investigated the allelic distribution and cognitive associations of 56 known AD risk single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) identified from three EA genome-wide association studies (EA-GWASs) in a South Asian population. Single SNP and genetic risk score (GRS) associations with measures of episodic memory were assessed. SETTING: The Diagnostic Assessment of Dementia for the Longitudinal Aging Study in India (LASI-DAD). PARTICIPANTS: A total of 906 LASI-DAD participants from diverse states in India. MEASUREMENTS: Participants were genotyped using the Illumina Global Screening Array and imputed with 1000G Phase 3v5. Cognitive measures included total learning and delayed word recall. RESULTS: Although only a few SNPs were significantly associated with memory scores (P < .05), effect estimates from the EA-GWAS and the LASI-DAD showed moderate correlation (0.35-0.88) in the expected direction. GRSs were also associated with memory scores, although percentage variation explained was small (0.1%-0.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Discrepancies in allele frequencies and cognitive association results suggest that genetic factors found predominantly through EA-GWASs may play a limited role in South Asians. However, the extent of differences in the genetic architecture of AD and cognition in EA and South Asians remains uncertain. There is also a critical need to perform a more comprehensive assessment of the mutational spectrum of South Asia to identify novel genetic variants associated with AD and cognition in this population. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:S45-S53, 2020.


Assuntos
Povo Asiático/genética , Cognição/fisiologia , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla , Memória Episódica , Idoso , Envelhecimento/genética , Envelhecimento/fisiologia , Alelos , Demência/diagnóstico , Demência/genética , Feminino , Técnicas de Genotipagem , Humanos , Índia , Masculino , Testes Neuropsicológicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , População Branca/genética
6.
Lancet Glob Health ; 8(9): e1132-e1141, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32673577

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has the potential to cause substantial disruptions to health services, due to cases overburdening the health system or response measures limiting usual programmatic activities. We aimed to quantify the extent to which disruptions to services for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries with high burdens of these diseases could lead to additional loss of life over the next 5 years. METHODS: Assuming a basic reproduction number of 3·0, we constructed four scenarios for possible responses to the COVID-19 pandemic: no action, mitigation for 6 months, suppression for 2 months, or suppression for 1 year. We used established transmission models of HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria to estimate the additional impact on health that could be caused in selected settings, either due to COVID-19 interventions limiting activities, or due to the high demand on the health system due to the COVID-19 pandemic. FINDINGS: In high-burden settings, deaths due to HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria over 5 years could increase by up to 10%, 20%, and 36%, respectively, compared with if there was no COVID-19 pandemic. The greatest impact on HIV was estimated to be from interruption to antiretroviral therapy, which could occur during a period of high health system demand. For tuberculosis, the greatest impact would be from reductions in timely diagnosis and treatment of new cases, which could result from any prolonged period of COVID-19 suppression interventions. The greatest impact on malaria burden could be as a result of interruption of planned net campaigns. These disruptions could lead to a loss of life-years over 5 years that is of the same order of magnitude as the direct impact from COVID-19 in places with a high burden of malaria and large HIV and tuberculosis epidemics. INTERPRETATION: Maintaining the most critical prevention activities and health-care services for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria could substantially reduce the overall impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust, UK Department for International Development, and Medical Research Council.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Países em Desenvolvimento , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Malária/prevenção & controle , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/prevenção & controle , COVID-19 , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/mortalidade , Humanos , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/mortalidade , Modelos Teóricos , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/mortalidade
7.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 88(5): 615-618, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32044870

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Trauma is the leading cause of nonobstetric death during pregnancy and is associated with an increased risk of maternal and fetal mortality. In an effort to improve the delivery of care to pregnant trauma patients, we developed an institutional multidisciplinary quality initiative designed to improve response times of nontrauma specialists and ensure immediate availability of resources. We hypothesized that implementation of a perinatal emergency response team (PERT) would improve time to patient and fetal evaluation and monitoring by the obstetrics (OB) team and improve both maternal and fetal outcomes. METHODS: We performed a 6-year (2012-2018) retrospective cohort analysis of consecutive pregnant trauma patients presenting to our university-affiliated, level I trauma center. Patients in the pre-PERT cohort (before April 2015) were compared with a post-PERT cohort. Variables analyzed included patient demographics, mechanism of injury, Injury Severity Score, and level of trauma activation. The main outcome measure was time to OB evaluation. Secondary outcomes included time to cardiotocometry, and mortality. RESULTS: Of 92 pregnant trauma patients, there were 50 patients (54.3%) in the pre-PERT cohort and 42 (45.7%) in the post-PERT group. Blunt injuries predominated (98.9%), with the most common mechanism being motor vehicle collisions (76.1%), followed by assaults (13%) and falls (6.5%). The mean time to obstetrical evaluation was 44 minutes in the pre-PERT cohort compared with 14 minutes in the post-PERT cohort (p = 0.001). There was a significant decrease in level I (highest acuity) trauma activations pre-PERT and post-PERT (46% vs. 21%, p = 0.01), and the time to cardiotocography was significantly decreased post-PERT implementation (72 vs. .37 min, p = 0.01) CONCLUSION: Implementation of a multidisciplinary PERT improves time to evaluation by the OB team and time to cardiotocometry in the pregnant trauma patient. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective review, level IV.


Assuntos
Cardiotocografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/organização & administração , Equipe de Respostas Rápidas de Hospitais/organização & administração , Lesões Pré-Natais/diagnóstico , Ferimentos e Lesões/diagnóstico , Adulto , Feminino , Implementação de Plano de Saúde , Equipe de Respostas Rápidas de Hospitais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Saúde Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Gravidez , Lesões Pré-Natais/etiologia , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Tempo , Tempo para o Tratamento , Centros de Traumatologia/organização & administração , Centros de Traumatologia/estatística & dados numéricos , Resultado do Tratamento , Triagem/organização & administração , Triagem/estatística & dados numéricos , Ferimentos e Lesões/complicações , Ferimentos e Lesões/terapia
8.
PLoS One ; 14(4): e0214061, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30973896

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Gene expression may be an important biological mediator in associations between social factors and health. However, previous studies were limited by small sample sizes and use of differing cell types with heterogeneous expression patterns. We use a large population-based cohort with gene expression measured solely in monocytes to investigate associations between seven social factors and expression of genes previously found to be sensitive to social factors. METHODS: We employ three methodological approaches: 1) omnibus test for the entire gene set (Global ANCOVA), 2) assessment of each association individually (linear regression), and 3) machine learning method that performs variable selection with correlated predictors (elastic net). RESULTS: In global analyses, significant associations with the a priori defined socially sensitive gene set were detected for major or lifetime discrimination and chronic burden (p = 0.019 and p = 0.047, respectively). Marginally significant associations were detected for loneliness and adult socioeconomic status (p = 0.066, p = 0.093, respectively). No associations were significant in linear regression analyses after accounting for multiple testing. However, a small percentage of gene expressions (up to 11%) were associated with at least one social factor using elastic net. CONCLUSION: The Global ANCOVA and elastic net findings suggest that a small percentage of genes may be "socially sensitive," (i.e. demonstrate differential expression by social factor), yet single gene approaches such as linear regression may be ill powered to capture this relationship. Future research should further investigate the biological mechanisms through which social factors act to influence gene expression and how systemic changes in gene expression affect overall health.


Assuntos
Aterosclerose/genética , Solidão/psicologia , Aprendizado de Máquina , Classe Social , Idoso , Aterosclerose/epidemiologia , Aterosclerose/patologia , Aterosclerose/psicologia , Etnicidade/genética , Feminino , Regulação da Expressão Gênica , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Monócitos
9.
BMC Med Genomics ; 11(1): 43, 2018 05 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29739406

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Genetic variations in apolipoprotein E (APOE) and proximal genes (PVRL2, TOMM40, and APOC1) are associated with cognitive function and dementia, particularly Alzheimer's disease. Epigenetic mechanisms such as DNA methylation play a central role in the regulation of gene expression. Recent studies have found evidence that DNA methylation may contribute to the pathogenesis of dementia, but its association with cognitive function in populations without dementia remains unclear. METHODS: We assessed DNA methylation levels of 48 CpG sites in the APOE genomic region in peripheral blood leukocytes collected from 289 African Americans (mean age = 67 years) from the Genetic Epidemiology Network of Arteriopathy (GENOA) study. Using linear regression, we examined the relationship between methylation in the APOE genomic region and multiple cognitive measures including learning, memory, processing speed, concentration, language and global cognitive function. RESULTS: We identified eight CpG sites in three genes (PVRL2, TOMM40, and APOE) that showed an inverse association between methylation level and delayed recall, a measure of memory, after adjusting for age and sex (False Discovery Rate q-value < 0.1). All eight CpGs are located in either CpG islands (CGIs) or CGI shelves, and six of them are in promoter regions. Education and APOE ε4 carrier status significantly modified the effect of methylation in cg08583001 (PVRL2) and cg22024783 (TOMM40), respectively. Together, methylation of the eight CpGs explained an additional 8.7% of the variance in delayed recall, after adjustment for age, sex, education, and APOE ε4 carrier status. Methylation was not significantly associated with any other cognitive measures. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that methylation levels at multiple CpGs in the APOE genomic region are inversely associated with delayed recall during normal cognitive aging, even after accounting for known genetic predictors for cognition. Our findings highlight the important role of epigenetic mechanisms in influencing cognitive performance, and suggest that changes in blood methylation may be an early indicator of individuals at risk for dementia as well as potential targets for intervention in asymptomatic populations.


Assuntos
Apolipoproteínas E/genética , Negro ou Afro-Americano/genética , Negro ou Afro-Americano/psicologia , Cognição , Metilação de DNA , Genômica , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Apolipoproteína C-I/genética , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Ilhas de CpG/genética , Escolaridade , Feminino , Genótipo , Humanos , Masculino , Proteínas de Membrana Transportadoras/genética , Rememoração Mental , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Proteínas do Complexo de Importação de Proteína Precursora Mitocondrial , Nectinas/genética
10.
AIDS ; 32(2): 233-241, 2018 Jan 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29135576

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Assisted partner services (aPS) or provider notification for sexual partners of persons diagnosed HIV positive can increase HIV testing and linkage in Sub-Saharan Africa and is a high yield strategy to identify HIV-positive persons. However, its cost-effectiveness is not well evaluated. METHODS: Using effectiveness and cost data from an aPS trial in Kenya, we parameterized an individual-based, dynamic HIV transmission model. We estimated costs for both a program scenario and a task-shifting scenario using community health workers to conduct the intervention. We simulated 200 cohorts of 500 000 individuals and projected the health and economic effects of scaling up aPS in a region of western Kenya (formerly Nyanza Province). FINDINGS: Over a 10-year time horizon with universal antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation, implementing aPS in western Kenya was projected to reach 12.5% of the population and reduce incident HIV infections by 3.7%. In sexual partners receiving aPS, HIV-related deaths were reduced by 13.7%. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of aPS was $1094 (US dollars) (90% model variability $823-1619) and $833 (90% model variability $628-1224) per disability-adjusted life year averted under the program and task-shifting scenario, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios for both scenarios fall below Kenya's gross domestic product per capita ($1358) and are therefore considered very cost-effective. Results were robust to varying healthcare costs, linkage to care rates, partner concurrency rates, and ART eligibility thresholds (≤350 cells/µl, ≤500 cells/µl, and universal ART). INTERPRETATION: APS is cost-effective for reducing HIV-related morbidity and mortality in western Kenya and similar settings. Task shifting can increase program affordability.


Assuntos
Busca de Comunicante/economia , Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Humanos , Quênia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Análise de Sobrevida , Adulto Jovem
11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29258278

RESUMO

Inter-individual variability in blood pressure (BP) is influenced by both genetic and non-genetic factors including socioeconomic and psychosocial stressors. A deeper understanding of the gene-by-socioeconomic/psychosocial factor interactions on BP may help to identify individuals that are genetically susceptible to high BP in specific social contexts. In this study, we used a genomic region-based method for longitudinal analysis, Longitudinal Gene-Environment-Wide Interaction Studies (LGEWIS), to evaluate the effects of interactions between known socioeconomic/psychosocial and genetic risk factors on systolic and diastolic BP in four large epidemiologic cohorts of European and/or African ancestry. After correction for multiple testing, two interactions were significantly associated with diastolic BP. In European ancestry participants, outward/trait anger score had a significant interaction with the C10orf107 genomic region (p = 0.0019). In African ancestry participants, depressive symptom score had a significant interaction with the HFE genomic region (p = 0.0048). This study provides a foundation for using genomic region-based longitudinal analysis to identify subgroups of the population that may be at greater risk of elevated BP due to the combined influence of genetic and socioeconomic/psychosocial risk factors.


Assuntos
Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Interação Gene-Ambiente , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Negro ou Afro-Americano , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Psicologia , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos , População Branca
12.
Sci Total Environ ; 576: 895-906, 2017 Jan 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27842293

RESUMO

We investigated cultural influences on the implementation of water safety plans (WSPs) using case studies from WSP pilots in India, Uganda and Jamaica. A comprehensive thematic analysis of semi-structured interviews (n=150 utility customers, n=32 WSP 'implementers' and n=9 WSP 'promoters'), field observations and related documents revealed 12 cultural themes, offered as 'enabling', 'limiting', or 'neutral', that influence WSP implementation in urban water utilities to varying extents. Aspects such as a 'deliver first, safety later' mind set; supply system knowledge management and storage practices; and non-compliance are deemed influential. Emergent themes of cultural influence (ET1 to ET12) are discussed by reference to the risk management, development studies and institutional culture literatures; by reference to their positive, negative or neutral influence on WSP implementation. The results have implications for the utility endorsement of WSPs, for the impact of organisational cultures on WSP implementation; for the scale-up of pilot studies; and they support repeated calls from practitioner communities for cultural attentiveness during WSP design. Findings on organisational cultures mirror those from utilities in higher income nations implementing WSPs - leadership, advocacy among promoters and customers (not just implementers) and purposeful knowledge management are critical to WSP success.


Assuntos
Água Potável/normas , Gestão de Riscos , Abastecimento de Água/normas , Índia , Jamaica , Uganda
13.
Lancet HIV ; 3(7): e289-96, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27365203

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many ways of preventing HIV infection have been proposed and more are being developed. We sought to construct a strategic approach to HIV prevention that would use limited resources to achieve the greatest possible prevention impact through the use of interventions available today and in the coming years. METHODS: We developed a deterministic compartmental model of heterosexual HIV transmission in South Africa and formed assumptions about the costs and effects of a range of interventions, encompassing the further scale-up of existing interventions (promoting condom use, male circumcision, early antiretroviral therapy [ART] initiation for all [including increased HIV testing and counselling activities], and oral pre-exposure prophylaxis [PrEP]), the introduction of new interventions in the medium term (offering intravaginal rings, long-acting injectable antiretroviral drugs) and long term (vaccine, broadly neutralising antibodies [bNAbs]). We examined how available resources could be allocated across these interventions to achieve maximum impact, and assessed how this would be affected by the failure of the interventions to be developed or scaled up. FINDINGS: If all interventions are available, the optimum mix would place great emphasis on the following: scale-up of male circumcision and early ART initiation with outreach testing, as these are available immediately and assumed to be low cost and highly efficacious; intravaginal rings targeted to sex workers; and vaccines, as these can achieve a large effect if scaled up even if imperfectly efficacious. The optimum mix would rely less on longer term developments, such as long-acting antiretroviral drugs and bNAbs, unless the costs of these reduced. However, if impossible to scale up existing interventions to the extent assumed, emphasis on oral PrEP, intravaginal rings, and long-acting antiretroviral drugs would increase. The long-term effect on the epidemic is most affected by scale-up of existing interventions and the successful development of a vaccine. INTERPRETATION: With current information, a strategic approach in which limited resources are used to maximise prevention impact would focus on strengthening the scale-up of existing interventions, while pursuing a workable vaccine and developing other approaches that can be used if further scale-up of existing interventions is limited. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Vacinas contra a AIDS , Adolescente , Adulto , Terapia Antirretroviral de Alta Atividade , Circuncisão Masculina , Preservativos , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/economia , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/métodos , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/tendências , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
14.
Biodemography Soc Biol ; 62(1): 73-86, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27050034

RESUMO

Telomere length (TL) is a widely used marker of biological aging and is associated with an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. Recently, there has been evidence for an association between TL and socioeconomic status (SES), particularly for measures of education and childhood SES. Individual differences in TL are also influenced by genetic factors, with heritability estimates from twin and sibling studies ranging from 34 to 82 percent. Yet the additive heritability of TL as a result of measured genetic variations and the extent to which heritability is modified by SES is still unknown. Data from the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative cohort of older adults (mean age 69 years), were used to provide the first estimates of molecular-based heritability of TL using genome-wide complex trait analysis (GCTA). We found that additive genetic variance contributed 28 percent (p = .012) of total phenotypic variance of TL in the European American sample (n = 3,290). Estimation using the GCTA and KING Robust relationship inference methods did not differ significantly in this sample. None of the variance from the gene-by-SES interactions examined contributed significantly to the total TL variance. Estimation of heritability and genetic interaction with SES in the African American sample (n = 442) was too unstable to provide reliable estimates.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Classe Social , Telômero/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Envelhecimento/genética , Envelhecimento/fisiologia , Escolaridade , Feminino , Genótipo , Humanos , Renda , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , Estudos Prospectivos , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Estados Unidos
15.
Lancet HIV ; 2(4): e159-68, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25844394

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Home HIV counselling and testing (HTC) achieves high coverage of testing and linkage to care compared with existing facility-based approaches, particularly among asymptomatic individuals. In a modelling analysis we aimed to assess the effect on population-level health and cost-effectiveness of a community-based package of home HTC in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. METHODS: We parameterised an individual-based model with data from home HTC and linkage field studies that achieved high coverage (91%) and linkage to antiretroviral therapy (80%) in rural KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa. Costs were derived from a linked microcosting study. The model simulated 10,000 individuals over 10 years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for the intervention relative to the existing status quo of facility-based testing, with costs discounted at 3% annually. FINDINGS: The model predicted implementation of home HTC in addition to current practice to decrease HIV-associated morbidity by 10­22% and HIV infections by 9­48% with increasing CD4 cell count thresholds for antiretroviral therapy initiation. Incremental programme costs were US$2·7 million to $4·4 million higher in the intervention scenarios than at baseline, and costs increased with higher CD4 cell count thresholds for antiretroviral therapy initiation; antiretroviral therapy accounted for 48­87% of total costs. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios per disability-adjusted life-year averted were $1340 at an antiretroviral therapy threshold of CD4 count lower than 200 cells per µL, $1090 at lower than 350 cells per µL, $1150 at lower than 500 cells per µL, and $1360 at universal access to antiretroviral therapy. INTERPRETATION: Community-based HTC with enhanced linkage to care can result in increased HIV testing coverage and treatment uptake, decreasing the population burden of HIV-associated morbidity and mortality. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are less than 20% of South Africa's gross domestic product per person, and are therefore classed as very cost effective. Home HTC can be a viable means to achieve UNAIDS' ambitious new targets for HIV treatment coverage. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Wellcome Trust.


Assuntos
Fármacos Anti-HIV/economia , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/economia , Infecções por HIV/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Modelos Econômicos , Fármacos Anti-HIV/uso terapêutico , Terapia Antirretroviral de Alta Atividade/economia , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/organização & administração , Análise Custo-Benefício , Aconselhamento Diretivo , Definição da Elegibilidade , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/imunologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento/organização & administração , Projetos Piloto , População Rural , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Carga Viral
16.
Sci Total Environ ; 408(20): 4319-27, 2010 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20624635

RESUMO

Appropriate implementation of WSPs offers an important opportunity to engage in and promote preventative risk management within water utilities. To ensure success, the whole organization, especially executive management, need to be advocates. Illustrated by two case studies, we discuss the influence of organizational culture on buy-in and commitment to public health protection and WSPs. Despite an internal desire to undertake risk management, some aspects of organizational culture prevented these from reaching full potential. Enabling cultural features included: camaraderie; competition; proactive, involved leaders; community focus; customer service mentality; transparency; accountability; competent workforce; empowerment; appreciation of successes, and a continual improvement culture. Blocking features included: poor communication; inflexibility; complacency; lack of awareness, interest or reward and coercion. We urge water utilities to consider the influence of organizational culture on the success and sustainability of WSP adoption, and better understand how effective leadership can mould culture to support implementation.


Assuntos
Gestão de Riscos/métodos , Gestão da Segurança/organização & administração , Abastecimento de Água , Liderança , Cultura Organizacional , Técnicas de Planejamento , Saúde Pública
17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19644178

RESUMO

The use of partial covariance models to search for RNA family members in genomic sequence databases is explored. The partial models are formed from contiguous subranges of the overall RNA family multiple alignment columns. A binary decision-tree framework is presented for choosing the order to apply the partial models and the score thresholds on which to make the decisions. The decision trees are chosen to minimize computation time subject to the constraint that all of the training sequences are passed to the full covariance model for final evaluation. Computational intelligence methods are suggested to select the decision tree since the tree can be quite complex and there is no obvious method to build the tree in these cases. Experimental results from seven RNA families shows execution times of 0.066-0.268 relative to using the full covariance model alone. Tests on the full sets of known sequences for each family show that at least 95 percent of these sequences are found for two families and 100 percent for five others. Since the full covariance model is run on all sequences accepted by the partial model decision tree, the false alarm rate is at least as low as that of the full model alone.


Assuntos
Biologia Computacional/métodos , Árvores de Decisões , Modelos Genéticos , RNA/química , Sequência de Bases , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Bases de Dados de Ácidos Nucleicos , Conformação de Ácido Nucleico , Alinhamento de Sequência
18.
J Prof Nurs ; 24(5): 270-4, 2008.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18804079

RESUMO

Ethical questions dealt with by nurses who have Doctor of Nursing Practice (DNP) degrees include traditional bioethical questions, but also business and legal ethics. Doctorally prepared nurses are increasingly in positions to make ethical decisions rather than to respond to decisions made by others. The traditional master's-degree advanced practice nursing curriculum does not address the extended expertise and decision-making skills needed by DNP practitioners as they face these new types of ethical dilemmas. We propose that a curricular framework that addresses clinical, research, business, and legal ethics is needed by all DNP students.


Assuntos
Currículo , Educação de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem/organização & administração , Ética em Enfermagem/educação , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Bioética/educação , Códigos de Ética , Comércio/ética , Humanos , Modelos Educacionais , Modelos de Enfermagem , Cidade de Nova Iorque , Papel do Profissional de Enfermagem , Pesquisa em Enfermagem/ética , Defesa do Paciente/ética , Ética Baseada em Princípios , Competência Profissional , Desenvolvimento de Programas
19.
J Clin Oncol ; 20(16): 3445-53, 2002 Aug 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12177105

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Motexafin gadolinium is a redox mediator that selectively targets tumor cells, is detectable by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and enhances the effect of radiation therapy. This lead-in phase to a randomized trial served to evaluate radiologic, neurocognitive, and neurologic progression end points and to evaluate the safety and radiologic response of motexafin gadolinium administered concurrently with 30 Gy in 10-fraction whole-brain radiation therapy for the treatment of brain metastases. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Motexafin gadolinium (5.0 mg/kg/d for 10 days) was administered before each radiation treatment in this prospective international trial. Patients were evaluated by MRI, neurologic examinations, and neurocognitive tests. Prospective criteria and centralized review procedures were established for radiologic, neurocognitive, and neurologic progression end points. RESULTS: Twenty-five patients with brain metastases from lung (52%) and breast (24%) cancer, recursive partitioning analysis class 2 (96%), and an average of 11 brain metastases were enrolled. Neurocognitive function was highly impaired at presentation. Motexafin gadolinium was well tolerated. Freedom from neurologic progression was 77% at 1 year. Median survival was 5.0 months. In 29% of patients, the cause of death was brain metastasis progression. The radiologic response rate was 68%. Motexafin gadolinium's tumor selectivity was established with MRI. CONCLUSION: (1) Centralized neurologic progression scoring that incorporated neurocognitive tests was implemented successfully. (2) Motexafin gadolinium was well tolerated. (3) Local control, measured by radiologic response rate, neurologic progression, and death caused by progression of brain metastasis, seemed to be improved compared with historical results. A randomized phase III trial using these methods for evaluation of efficacy has just been completed.


Assuntos
Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/secundário , Neoplasias Encefálicas/terapia , Irradiação Craniana , Metaloporfirinas/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Idoso , Cognição/efeitos dos fármacos , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Terapia Neoadjuvante , Estudos Prospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida
20.
Neuro Oncol ; 4(1): 26-38, 2002 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11772430

RESUMO

Radiotherapeutic doses for malignant gliomas are generally palliative because greater, supposedly curative doses would impart clinically unacceptable damage to nearby vital CNS tissues. To improve radiation treatment for human gliomas, we evaluated microbeam radiation therapy, which utilizes an array of parallel, microscopically thin (<100 microm) planar beams (microbeams) of synchrotron-generated X rays. Rats with i.c. 9L gliosarcoma tumors were exposed laterally to a single microbeam, 27 pm wide and 3.8 mm high, stepwise, to produce irradiation arrays with 50, 75, or 100 microm of on-center beam spacings and 150, 250, 300, or 500 Gy of in-slice, skin-entrance, single-exposure doses. The resulting array size was 9 mm wide and 10.4 mm high (using three 3.8-mm vertical tiers); the beam's median energy was -70 keV. When all data were collated, the median survival was 70 days; no depletion of nerve cells was observed. However, when data from the highest skin-entrance dose and/or the smallest microbeam spacings were excluded, the median survival time of the subset of rats was 170 days, and no white matter necrosis was observed. Others have reported unilateral single-exposure broad-beam irradiation of i.c. 9L gliosarcomas at 22.5 Gy with a median survival of only -34 days and with severe depletion of neurons. These results suggest that the therapeutic index of unidirectional microbeams is larger than that of the broad beams and that an application for microbeam radiation therapy in treating certain malignant brain tumors may be found in the future.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Encefálicas/radioterapia , Gliossarcoma/radioterapia , Animais , Neoplasias Encefálicas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Encefálicas/patologia , Simulação por Computador , Gliossarcoma/diagnóstico , Gliossarcoma/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Método de Monte Carlo , Transplante de Neoplasias , Radiometria , Radioterapia/métodos , Ratos , Ratos Endogâmicos F344 , Análise de Sobrevida , Células Tumorais Cultivadas
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