OPTN/SRTR 2019 Annual Data Report: Heart.

The new adult heart allocation policy was approved in 2016 and implemented in October 2018. This year's Annual Data Report provides early insight into the effects of this policy. In 2019, new listings continued to increase, with 4086 new candidates. Also in 2019, 3597 heart transplants were performed, an increase of 157 (4.6%) from 2018; 509 transplants occurred in children and 3088 in adults. Short- and long-term posttransplant mortality rates improved. Overall, Mortality rates for adult recipients were 6.4% at 6 months and 7.9% at 1 year for transplants in 2018, 14.4% at 3 years for transplants in 2016, and 20.1% at 5 years for transplants in 2014. Mortality rates for pediatric recipients were 6.3% at 6 months and 8.2% at 1 year for transplants in 2018, 10.3% at 3 years for transplants in 2016, and 17.8% at 5 years for transplants in 2014.

OPTN/SRTR 2018 Annual Data Report: Intestine.

Despite medical and surgical advances in treatment of intestinal failure, intestine transplant still plays an important role. However, the number of new patients added to the intestine transplant waiting list has decreased over the past decade, reaching a low of 135 in 2018. The number of intestine donors also decreased, reaching a low of 106 in 2018, and the number of intestine transplants performed declined to its lowest level, 104, of which 59% were intestine-liver transplants. Graft failure has plateaued over the past decade. Patient survival for transplants in 2011-2013 varied by age and transplant type. Patient survival was lowest for adult intestine-liver recipients (1-and 5-year survival 66.7% and 49.1%, respectively) and highest for pediatric intestine recipients (1-and 5-year survival 89.1% and 76.4%, respectively).

OPTN/SRTR 2018 Annual Data Report: Liver.

Data on adult liver transplants performed in the US in 2018 are notable for (1) continued growth in numbers of new waitlist registrants (11,844) and transplants performed (8250); (2) continued increase in the transplant rate (54.5 per 100 waitlist-years); (3) a precipitous decline in waitlist registrations and transplants for hepatitis-C-related indications; (4) increases in waitlist registrants and recipients with alcoholic liver disease and with clinical profiles consistent with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; (5) increased use of hepatitis C virus antibody-positive donor livers; and (6) continued improvement in graft survival despite changing recipient characteristics such as older age and higher rates of obesity and diabetes. Variability in transplant rates remained by candidate race, hepatocellular carcinoma status, urgency status, and geography. The volume of pediatric liver transplants was relatively unchanged. The highest rate of pre-transplant mortality persisted for children aged younger than 1 year. Children underwent transplant at higher acuity than in the past, as evidenced by higher model for end-stage liver disease/pediatric end-stage liver disease scores and listings at status 1A and 1B at transplant. Despite higher illness severity scores at transplant, pediatric graft and patient survival posttransplant have improved over time.

OPTN/SRTR 2018 Annual Data Report: Lung.

The primary goal of US lung allocation policy is to ensure that candidates with the highest risk for mortality receive appropriate access to lung transplant. In 2018, 2562 lung transplants were performed in the US, reflecting a 31% increase over the past 5 years. More candidates are being listed for lung transplant, and the number of donors has increased substantially. Despite an increase of 84 lung transplants in 2018, 365 adult candidates died or became too sick to undergo transplant. In 2018, 24 new child (ages 0-11 years) candidates were added to the lung transplant waiting list. Fifteen lung transplants were performed in recipients aged 0-11 years, three in recipients aged younger than 1 year, two in recipients aged 1-5 years, and ten in recipients aged 6-11 years. Of 27 child candidates removed from the waiting list in 2018, 16 (59.3%) were removed due to undergoing transplant, six (22.2%) due to death, one (3.7%) due to improved condition, and one (3.7%) due to becoming too sick to undergo transplant.

OPTN/SRTR 2018 Annual Data Report: Heart.

The new adult heart allocation policy was approved in 2016 and implemented in October 2018, so its effect was not yet evident in 2018 data. However, the more granular data being collected are anticipated to allow for improved analyses. In 2018, new listings continued to increase; 3883 new adult and 685 new pediatric candidates were added. In 2018, 3440 heart transplants were performed, an increase of 167 over 2017; 473 transplants occurred in pediatric recipients and 2967 in adult recipients. Short-term and long-term posttransplant mortality improved. Overall 1-year survival for adults who underwent heart transplant in 2011-2013 was 90.3%, 3-year survival was 84.7%, and 5-year survival was 79.6%. Mortality rates for pediatric recipients were 4.5% at 6 months and in 5.9% at 1 year posttransplant, 12.5% at 3 years for transplants in 2014-2015, 14.8% at 5 years for transplants in 2012-2013, and 29.8% at 10 years for transplants performed in 2008-2009.

OPTN/SRTR 2017 Annual Data Report: Kidney.

Many positive trends in kidney transplantation were notable in 2017. Deceased donor kidney transplant rates and counts continued to rise, the kidney transplant waiting list declined for the third year in a row after decades of growth, and both short- and long-term allograft survival continued to improve year over year. In total, more than 220,000 patients were living in the United States with a functioning allograft. With 3 years of data available since implementation of the new kidney allocation system, better prediction of longer-term results of the allocation policy changes became possible. The data also reveal several areas in need of improvement and attention. Overall, the challenge of providing adequate access to kidney transplant persisted nationally, with additional dramatic regional variation. The proportion of living donor kidney transplants in both adults and children continued to fall, and racial disparities in living donor kidney transplant grew in the past decade.

Program-specific transplant rate ratios: Association with allocation priority at listing and posttransplant outcomes.

The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) is considering more prominent reporting of program-specific adjusted transplant rate ratios (TRRs). To enable more useful reporting of TRRs, SRTR updated the transplant rate models to adjust explicitly for components of allocation priority. We evaluated potential associations between TRRs and components of allocation priority that could indicate programs' ability to manipulate TRRs by denying or delaying access to low-priority candidates. Despite a strong association with unadjusted TRRs, we found no candidate-level association between the components of allocation priority and adjusted TRRs. We found a strong program-level association between median laboratory Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score at listing and program-specific adjusted TRRs (r = .37; P < .001). The program-level association was likely confounded by regional differences in donor supply/demand and listing practices. In kidney transplantation, higher program-specific adjusted TRRs were weakly associated with better adjusted posttransplant outcomes (r = -.14; P = .035) and lower adjusted waitlist mortality rate ratios (r = -.15; P = .022), but these associations were absent in liver, lung, and heart transplantation. Program-specific adjusted TRRs were unlikely to be improved by listing candidates with high allocation priority and can provide useful information for transplant candidates and programs.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Deceased Organ Donation.

SRTR uses data collected by OPTN to calculate metrics such as donation rate, organ yield, and rate of organs recovered for transplant but not transplanted. In 2016, 1,072,717 death and imminent death referrals were made to organ procurement organizations, of which 23,433 met the definition of eligible (10,717) or imminent (12,716) deaths per OPTN policy. There were 9971 deceased donors, and this number has been increasing since 2010. The number of organs authorized for recovery has also continued to increase since 2010. In 2016, 4859 organs were discarded, including 3631 kidneys, 317 pancreata, 739 livers, 8 intestines, 31 hearts, and 211 lungs. These numbers suggest a need to reduce the number of organs discarded.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Lung.

In 2016, 2692 candidates aged 12 years or older were added to the lung transplant waiting list; 2345 transplants were performed, the largest number of any prior year. The median waiting time for listed candidates in 2016 was 2.5 months, and waiting times were shortest for group D candidates. The transplant rate increased to 191.9 transplants per 100 waitlist years in 2016, with a slight decrease in waitlist mortality to 15.1 deaths per 100 waitlist years. Short-term survival continued to improve, with a 6-month death rate of 6.6% and a 1-year death rate of 10.8% among recipients in 2015 compared with 8.0% and 13.3%, respectively, among recipients in 2014. Long-term survival rates remained unchanged; 55.6% of recipients were alive at 5 years. In 2016, 23 new candidates aged 0-11 years were added to the waiting list and 16 lung transplants were performed. Incidence of posttransplant mortality for lung transplant recipients aged 0-11 years who underwent transplant in 2014-2015 was 13.8% at 6 months and 19.6% at 1 year. Changes in waitlist and transplant demographic features continued to evolve following implementation of the revised lung allocation score in 2015. Some early trends that may be attributable to the revised LAS are shorter waiting times, stabilization of the number of group D candidates listed for transplant, and convergence of LAS with lower prevalence of extremely high scores.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Heart.

In 2016, 3209 heart transplants were performed in the United States. New, active listings increased 57% since 2005. The number of adult heart transplant survivors continued to increase, and in 2016, 30,622 recipients were living with heart transplants. Patient mortality following transplant has declined. The number of pediatric candidates and transplants performed also increased. New listings for pediatric heart transplants increased from 454 in 2005 to 624 in 2016. The number of pediatric heart transplants performed each year increased from 319 in 2005 to 445 in 2016. Among pediatric patients who underwent transplant in 2015, death occurred in 5.9% at 6 months and 7.2% at 1 year.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Intestine.

Despite improvements in medical and surgical treatment of intestinal failure, intestine transplant continues to play an important role. In 2016, a total of 147 intestine transplants were performed, 80 intestine-without-liver and 67 intestine-liver. Over the past decade, the age distribution of candidates waitlisted for intestine and intestine-liver transplant shifted from primarily pediatric to increasing proportions of adults. In 2016, 58.2% of candidates on the intestine list at any time during the year were aged younger than 18 years, with a decrease over time in those aged younger than 6 years and an increase in those aged 6-17 years. Adults accounted for 41.9% of candidates on the list at any time during the year, with a stable proportion of those aged 18-34 years and a decrease in those aged 35 years or older. By age, pretransplant mortality rate was highest for adult candidates at 11.7 per 100 waitlist years and lowest for children aged younger than 6 years at 2.2 per 100 waitlist years. For intestine transplants with or without a liver in 2009-2011, 1- and 5-year graft survival was 72.0% and 54.1%, respectively, for recipients aged younger than 18 years, and 70.5% and 44.1%, respectively, for recipients aged 18 years or older.

OPTN/SRTR 2016 Annual Data Report: Economics.

Medicare costs vary for solid organ transplant recipients by outcome: survival with graft function, survival with graft failure, and death. Average per-person per-year reimbursement was $75 thousand for kidney recipients who survived the first year posttransplant with a functioning graft, $171 thousand for those who required a return to dialysis or retransplant, and $350 thousand for those who died with function. For pancreas recipients: $105 thousand for those who survived the first year with a functioning graft, $120 thousand for those who survived pancreas failure, and $443 thousand for those who died with function. For liver recipients: $154 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft, $388 thousand for those who required retransplant, and $740 thousand who died with function. For intestine recipients: $301 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft and $1 million for those who died with function. For heart recipients: $272 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft and $1.2 million for those who died with function. For lung recipients: $196 thousand for those who survived with a functioning graft, $642 thousand for those who required retransplant, and $761 thousand for those who died with function.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Economics.

While the costs to Medicare of solid organ transplants are varied and considerable, the total Medicare expenditure of $4.4 billion for solid organ transplant recipients in 2014 remained less than 1% of all Medicare expenditures. For patients covered by Medicare, the ratio of pre- to posttransplant cost of care varied widely by organ and within some organ categories by patient characteristics. This chapter reports pretransplant costs for all solid organ candidates covered by Medicare to allow investigators to further explore the relative cost of transplant compared with alternative management.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Intestine.

Intestine and intestine-liver transplant remains important in the treatment of intestinal failure, despite decreased morbidity associated with parenteral nutrition. In 2015, 196 new patients were added to the intestine transplant waiting list, with equal numbers waiting for intestine and intestine-liver transplant. Among prevalent patients on the list at the end of 2015, 63.3% were waiting for an intestine transplant and 36.7% were waiting for an intestine-liver transplant. The pretransplant mortality rate decreased dramatically over time for all age groups. Pretransplant mortality was notably higher for intestine-liver than for intestine transplant candidates (respectively, 19.9 vs. 2.8 deaths per 100 waitlist years in 2014-2015). By age, pretransplant mortality was highest for adult candidates, at 19.6 per 100 waitlist years, and lowest for children aged younger than 6 years, at 3.6 per 100 waitlist years. Pretransplant mortality by etiology was highest for candidates with non-congenital types of short-gut syndrome. Numbers of intestine transplants without a liver increased from a low of 51 in 2013 to 70 in 2015. Intestine-liver transplants increased from a low of 44 in 2012 to 71 in 2015. Short-gut syndrome (congenital and non-congenital) was the main cause of disease leading to intestine and to intestine-liver transplant. Patient survival was lowest for adult intestine-liver recipients and highest for pediatric intestine recipients.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Liver.

Several notable developments in adult liver transplantation in the US occurred in 2015. The year saw the largest number of liver transplants to date, leading to reductions in median waiting time, in waitlist mortality for all model for end-stage liver disease categories, and in the number of candidates on the waiting list at the end of the year. Numbers of additions to the waiting list and of liver transplants performed in patients with hepatitis C virus infection decreased for the first time in recent years. However, other diagnoses, such as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and alcoholic cirrhosis, became more prevalent. Despite large numbers of severely ill patients undergoing liver transplant, graft survival rates continued to improve. The number of new active candidates added to the pediatric liver transplant waiting list in 2015 was 689, down from a peak of 826 in 2005. The number of prevalent pediatric candidates (on the list on December 31 of the given year) continued to decline, to 373 active and 195 inactive candidates. The number of pediatric liver transplants peaked at 613 in 2008 and was 580 in 2015. The number of living donor pediatric liver transplants increased to its highest level, 79, in 2015; most were from donors closely related to the recipients. Pediatric graft survival rates continued to improve.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Pancreas.

The number of pancreas transplants performed in the United States stabilized over the last 3 years after nearly a decade of steady decline. Numbers of new additions to the list also stabilized during the same period. Notably, the persistent decline in pancreas after kidney transplants also seems to have abated, at least for now. The first full year of data after implementation of the new pancreas allocation system revealed no change in the distribution of organs between simultaneous pancreas-kidney (SPK) transplant and pancreas transplant alone. The percentage of kidneys used in SPK transplants was also unchanged. While a uniform definition of pancreas graft failure was approved in June 2015, it is awaiting implementation. Meanwhile, SRTR will refrain from publishing pancreas graft failure data in the program-specific reports. Therefore, it is difficult to track trends in outcomes after pancreas transplant over the past 2 years. New initiatives by the OPTN/UNOS Pancreas Transplantation Committee include facilitated pancreas allocation and broadened allocation of pancreata across compatible ABO blood types to increase organ utilization.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Kidney.

The first full year of data after implementation of the new kidney allocation system reveals an increase in deceased donor kidney transplants among black candidates and those with calculated panel-reactive antibodies 98%-100%, but a decrease among candidates aged 65 years or older. Data from 2015 also demonstrate ongoing positive trends in graft and patient survival for both deceased and living donor kidney transplants, but the challenges of a limited supply of kidneys in the setting of increasing demand remain evident. While the total number of patients on the waiting list decreased for the first time in a decade, this was due to a combination of a decrease in the number of candidates added to the list and an increase in the number of candidates removed from the list due to deteriorating medical condition, as well as an increase in total transplants. Deaths on the waiting list remained flat, but this was likely because of an increasing trend toward removing inactive candidates too sick to undergo transplant.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Lung.

In 2015, 2409 active candidates aged 12 years or older were added to the lung transplant waiting list; 2072 transplants were performed, the most of any year. The median waiting time for candidates listed in 2015 was 3.4 months; the shortest waiting time was for diagnosis group D. Despite the highest recorded transplant rate of 157 per 100 waitlist years, waitlist mortality continued a steady decade-long rise to a high of 16.5 deaths per 100 waitlist years. Measures of short- and long-term survival showed no trend toward improved overall survival in the past 5 years, except that 6-month death rates decreased from 9.4% in 2005 to 7.9% in 2014. At 5 years posttransplant, 55.5% of recipients remained alive. In 2015, 23 new child (ages 0-11 years) candidates were added to the list; 17 transplants were performed. Incidence of death was 6.1% at 6 months and 8.2% at 1 year for transplants in 2013-2014. Important policy changes will affect access to transplant. In February 2015, OPTN implemented a comprehensive revision of the lung allocation score to better reflect mortality risk. Broader geographic sharing of donor lungs for pediatric candidates and allowance for selected transplants across blood types for candidates aged younger than 2 years have been approved and are expected to improve pediatric access to transplant. The impact of these changes on lung transplant trends will be observed in the coming years.

OPTN/SRTR 2015 Annual Data Report: Heart.

The number of heart transplant candidates and transplants performed continued to rise each year. In 2015, 2819 heart transplants were performed. In addition, the number of new adult candidates on the waiting list increased 51% since 2004. The number of adult heart transplant survivors continued to increase, and in 2015, 29,172 recipients were living with heart transplants. Patient mortality following transplant has declined. The number of pediatric candidates and transplants performed also increased. New listings for pediatric heart transplants increased from 451 in 2004 to 644 in 2015. The number of pediatric heart transplants performed each year increased from 297 in 2004 to 460 in 2015. Among pediatric patients who underwent transplant in 2014, death occurred in 7.2% at 6 months and 9.6% at 1 year.

Potential Implications of Recent and Proposed Changes in the Regulatory Oversight of Solid Organ Transplantation in the United States.

Every 6 months, the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) publishes evaluations of every solid organ transplant program in the United States, including evaluations of 1-year patient and graft survival. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) Membership and Professional Standards Committee (MPSC) use SRTR's 1-year evaluations for regulatory review of transplant programs. Concern has been growing that the regulatory scrutiny of transplant programs with lower-than-expected outcomes is harmful, causing programs to undertake fewer high-risk transplants and leading to unnecessary organ discards. As a result, CMS raised its threshold for a "Condition-Level Deficiency" designation of observed relative to expected 1-year graft or patient survival from 1.50 to 1.85. Exceeding this threshold in the current SRTR outcomes report and in one of the four previous reports leads to scrutiny that may result in loss of Medicare funding. For its part, OPTN is reviewing a proposal from the MPSC to also change its performance criteria thresholds for program review, to review programs with "substantive clinical differences." We review the details and implications of these changes in transplant program oversight.