Platform adaptive trial of novel antivirals for early treatment of COVID-19 In the community (PANORAMIC): protocol for a randomised, controlled, open-label, adaptive platform trial of community novel antiviral treatment of COVID-19 in people at increased risk of more severe disease.

INTRODUCTION: There is an urgent need to determine the safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of novel antiviral treatments for COVID-19 in vaccinated patients in the community at increased risk of morbidity and mortality from COVID-19. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: PANORAMIC is a UK-wide, open-label, prospective, adaptive, multiarm platform, randomised clinical trial that evaluates antiviral treatments for COVID-19 in the community. A master protocol governs the addition of new antiviral treatments as they become available, and the introduction and cessation of existing interventions via interim analyses. The first two interventions to be evaluated are molnupiravir (Lagevrio) and nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid). ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: community-dwelling within 5 days of onset of symptomatic COVID-19 (confirmed by PCR or lateral flow test), and either (1) aged 50 years and over, or (2) aged 18-49 years with qualifying comorbidities. Registration occurs via the trial website and by telephone. Recruitment occurs remotely through the central trial team, or in person through clinical sites. Participants are randomised to receive either usual care or a trial drug plus usual care. Outcomes are collected via a participant-completed daily electronic symptom diary for 28 days post randomisation. Participants and/or their Trial Partner are contacted by the research team after days 7, 14 and 28 if the diary is not completed, or if the participant is unable to access the diary. The primary efficacy endpoint is all-cause, non-elective hospitalisation and/or death within 28 days of randomisation. Multiple prespecified interim analyses allow interventions to be stopped for futility or superiority based on prespecified decision criteria. A prospective economic evaluation is embedded within the trial. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval granted by South Central-Berkshire REC number: 21/SC/0393; IRAS project ID: 1004274. Results will be presented to policymakers and at conferences, and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN30448031; EudraCT number: 2021-005748-31.

Assessment of the nlmixr R package for population pharmacokinetic modeling: A metformin case study.

AIM: nlmixr offers first-order conditional estimation (FOCE), FOCE with interaction (FOCEi) and stochastic approximation estimation-maximisation (SAEM) to fit nonlinear mixed-effect models (NLMEM). We modelled metformin's pharmacokinetic data using nlmixr and investigated SAEM and FOCEi's performance with respect to bias and precision of parameter estimates, and robustness to initial estimates. METHOD: Compartmental models were fitted. The final model was determined based on the objective function value and inspection of goodness-of-fit plots. The bias and precision of parameter estimates were compared between SAEM and FOCEi using stochastic simulations and estimations. For robustness, parameters were re-estimated as the initial estimates were perturbed 100 times and resultant changes evaluated. RESULTS: The absorption kinetics of metformin depend significantly on food status. Under the fasted state, the first-order absorption into the central compartment was preceded by zero-order infusion into the depot compartment, whereas for the fed state, the absorption into the depot was instantaneous followed by first-order absorption from depot into the central compartment. The means of relative mean estimation error (rMEE) ( ME E SAEM ME E FOCEi ) and rRMSE ( RMS E SAEM RMS E FOCEi ) were 0.48 and 0.35, respectively. All parameter estimates given by SAEM appeared to be narrowly distributed and were close to the true value used for simulation. In contrast, the distribution of estimates from FOCEi were skewed and more biased. When initial estimates were perturbed, FOCEi estimates were more biased and imprecise. DISCUSSION: nlmixr is reliable for NLMEM. SAEM was superior to FOCEi in terms of bias and precision, and more robust against initial estimate perturbations.

Comparative assessment of viral dynamic models for SARS-CoV-2 for pharmacodynamic assessment in early treatment trials.

Pharmacometric analyses of time series viral load data may detect drug effects with greater power than approaches using single time points. Because SARS-CoV-2 viral load rapidly rises and then falls, viral dynamic models have been used. We compared different modelling approaches when analysing Phase II-type viral dynamic data. Using two SARS-CoV-2 datasets of viral load starting within 7 days of symptoms, we fitted the slope-intercept exponential decay (SI), reduced target cell limited (rTCL), target cell limited (TCL) and TCL with eclipse phase (TCLE) models using nlmixr. Model performance was assessed via Bayesian information criterion (BIC), visual predictive checks (VPCs), goodness-of-fit plots, and parameter precision. The most complex (TCLE) model had the highest BIC for both datasets. The estimated viral decline rate was similar for all models except the TCL model for dataset A with a higher rate (median [range] day-1 : dataset A; 0.63 [0.56-1.84]; dataset B: 0.81 [0.74-0.85]). Our findings suggest simple models should be considered during pharmacodynamic model development.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Intranasal Dexmedetomidine in Infants and Young Children.

BACKGROUND: Intranasal dexmedetomidine provides noninvasive, effective procedural sedation for pediatric patients, and has been widely used in clinical practice. However, the dosage applied has varied fourfold in pediatric clinical studies. To validate an appropriate dosing regimen, this study investigated the pharmacokinetics of intranasal dexmedetomidine in Chinese children under 3 yr old. METHODS: Intranasal dexmedetomidine 2 µg · kg-1 was administered to children with simple vascular malformations undergoing interventional radiological procedures. A population pharmacokinetic analysis with data from an optimized sparse-sampling design was performed using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. Clearance was modeled using allometric scaling and a sigmoid postmenstrual age maturation model. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to assess the different dosing regimens. RESULTS: A total of 586 samples from 137 children aged 3 to 36 months were included in the trial. The data were adequately described by a two-compartment model with first-order elimination. Body weight with allometric scaling and maturation function were significant covariates of dexmedetomidine clearance. The pharmacokinetic parameters for the median subjects (weight 10 kg and postmenstrual age 101 weeks) in the authors' study were apparent central volume of distribution 7.55 l, apparent clearance of central compartment 9.92 l · h-1, apparent peripheral volume of distribution 7.80 l, and apparent intercompartmental clearance 61.7 l · h-1. The simulation indicated that at the dose of 2 µg · kg-1, 95% of simulated individuals could achieve a target therapeutic concentration of 0.3 ng · ml-1 within 20 min, and the average peak concentration of 0.563 ng · ml-1 could be attained at 61 min. CONCLUSIONS: The pharmacokinetic characteristics of intranasal dexmedetomidine were evaluated in Chinese pediatric patients aged between 3 and 36 months. An evidence-based dosing regimen at 2 µg · kg-1 could achieve a preset therapeutic threshold of mild to moderate sedation that lasted for up to 2 h.

Simultaneous pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PKPD) assessment of ampicillin and gentamicin in the treatment of neonatal sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to simultaneously investigate the pharmacokinetics of ampicillin and gentamicin, currently the WHO standard of care for treating neonatal sepsis. METHODS: Pharmacokinetic data were collected in 59 neonates receiving ampicillin and gentamicin for suspected or proven sepsis in the NeoFosfo trial (NCT03453177). A panel of 23 clinical Escherichia coli isolates from neonates with sepsis, resistant to either ampicillin, gentamicin or both, were tested for susceptibility using chequerboards. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PKPD) modelling and simulations were used to compare single-agent (EUCAST MIC) and combination (chequerboard MIC) target attainment with standard dosing regimens. RESULTS: A model was established that simultaneously estimated parameters of a one-compartment ampicillin model and a two-compartment gentamicin model. A common clearance for both drugs was used (6.89 L/h/70 kg) relating to glomerular filtration (CLGFR), with an additional clearance term added for ampicillin (5.3 L/h/70 kg). Covariate modelling included a priori allometric weight and post-menstrual age scaling of clearance. Further covariate relationships on renal clearance were postnatal age and serum creatinine.Simulation-based PKPD assessments suggest good Gram-positive (MIC ≤ 0.25 mg/L) cover. However, less than one-quarter of neonates were predicted to receive efficacious coverage against Enterobacterales (MIC ≤ 2 mg/L). The benefit of the ampicillin/gentamicin combination was limited, with only 2/23 E. coli clinical strains showing FIC index < 0.5 (synergy) and most in the range 0.5-1 (suggesting additivity). Simulations showed that feasible dosing strategies would be insufficient to cover resistant strains. CONCLUSIONS: PKPD simulations showed ampicillin and gentamicin combination therapy was insufficient to cover Enterobacterales, suggesting the need for alternative empirical treatment options for neonatal sepsis.

Variation in Target Attainment of Beta-Lactam Antibiotic Dosing Between International Pediatric Formularies.

As antimicrobial susceptibility of common bacterial pathogens decreases, ensuring optimal dosing may preserve the use of older antibiotics in order to limit the spread of resistance to newer agents. Beta-lactams represent the most widely prescribed antibiotic class, yet most were licensed prior to legislation changes mandating their study in children. As a result, significant heterogeneity persists in the pediatric doses used globally, along with quality of evidence used to inform dosing. This review summarizes dosing recommendations from the major pediatric reference sources and tries to answer the questions: Does beta-lactam dose heterogeneity matter? Does it impact pharmacodynamic target attainment? For three important severe clinical infections-pneumonia, sepsis, and meningitis-pharmacokinetic models were identified for common for beta-lactam antibiotics. Real-world demographics were derived from three multicenter point prevalence surveys. Simulation results were compared with minimum inhibitory concentration distributions to inform appropriateness of recommended doses in targeted and empiric treatment. While cephalosporin dosing regimens are largely adequate for target attainment, they also pose the most risk of neurotoxicity. Our review highlights aminopenicillin, piperacillin, and meropenem doses as potentially requiring review/optimization in order to preserve the use of these agents in future.

Cefepime/sulbactam as an enhanced antimicrobial combination therapy for the treatment of MDR Gram-negative infections.

BACKGROUND: ß-Lactam (BL)/ß-lactamase inhibitor (BLI) combinations are widely used for the treatment of Gram-negative infections. Cefepime has not been widely studied in combination with BLIs. Sulbactam, with dual BL/BLI activity, has been partnered with very few BLs. We investigated the potential of cefepime/sulbactam as an unorthodox BL/BLI combination against MDR Gram-negative bacteria. METHODS: In vitro activity of cefepime/sulbactam (1:1, 1:2 and 2:1) was assessed against 157 strains. Monte Carlo simulation was used to predict the PTA with a number of simulated cefepime combination regimens, modelled across putative cefepime/sulbactam breakpoints (≤16/≤0.25 mg/L). RESULTS: Cefepime/sulbactam was more active (MIC50/MIC90 8/8-64/128 mg/L) compared with either drug alone (MIC50/MIC90 128 to >256 mg/L). Activity was enhanced when sulbactam was added at 1:1 or 1:2 (P<0.05). Reduction in MIC was most notable against Acinetobacter baumannii and Enterobacterales (MIC 8/8-32/64 mg/L). Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modelling highlighted that up to 48% of all isolates and 73% of carbapenem-resistant A. baumannii with a cefepime/sulbactam MIC of ≤16/≤8 mg/L may be treatable with a high-dose, fixed-ratio (1:1 or 1:2) combination of cefepime/sulbactam. CONCLUSIONS: Cefepime/sulbactam (1:1 or 1:2) displays enhanced in vitro activity versus MDR Gram-negative pathogens. It could be a potential alternative to existing BL/BLI combinations for isolates with a cefepime/sulbactam MIC of 16/8 mg/L either as a definitive treatment or as a carbapenem-sparing option.

GAPPS (Grading and Assessment of Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Studies) a critical appraisal system for antimicrobial PKPD studies - development and application in pediatric antibiotic studies.

Introduction: There are limited data on optimal dosing of antibiotics in different age groups for neonates and children. Clinicians usually consult pediatric formularies or online databases for dose selection, but these have variable recommendations, are usually based on expert opinion and are not graded based on the existing pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) studies. We describe here a potential new tool that could be used to grade the strength of evidence emanating from PKPD studies.Areas covered: A scoring system was developed (GAPPS tool) to quantify the strength of each PK assessment and rate the studies quality in already published articles. GAPPS was evaluated by applying it to pediatric PKPD studies of antibiotics from the 2019 Essential Medicines List for children (EMLC), identified through a search of PubMed.Expert opinion: Evidence for most antibiotic dose selection decisions was generally weak, coming from individual PK studies and lacked PKPD modeling and simulations. However, the quality of evidence appears to have improved over the last two decades.Incorporating a formal grading system, such as GAPPS, into formulary development will provide a transparent tool to support decision-making in clinical practice and guideline development, and guide PKPD authors on study designs most likely to influence guidelines.

Plasma and CSF pharmacokinetics of meropenem in neonates and young infants: results from the NeoMero studies.

Background: Sepsis and bacterial meningitis are major causes of mortality and morbidity in neonates and infants. Meropenem, a broad-spectrum antibiotic, is not licensed for use in neonates and infants below 3 months of age and sufficient information on its plasma and CSF disposition and dosing in neonates and infants is lacking. Objectives: To determine plasma and CSF pharmacokinetics of meropenem in neonates and young infants and the link between pharmacokinetics and clinical outcomes in babies with late-onset sepsis (LOS). Methods: Data were collected in two recently conducted studies, i.e. NeoMero-1 (neonatal LOS) and NeoMero-2 (neonatal meningitis). Optimally timed plasma samples (n = 401) from 167 patients and opportunistic CSF samples (n = 78) from 56 patients were analysed. Results: A one-compartment model with allometric scaling and fixed maturation gave adequate fit to both plasma and CSF data; the CL and volume (standardized to 70 kg) were 16.7 (95% CI 14.7, 18.9) L/h and 38.6 (95% CI 34.9, 43.4) L, respectively. CSF penetration was low (8%), but rose with increasing CSF protein, with 40% penetration predicted at a protein concentration of 6 g/L. Increased infusion time improved plasma target attainment, but lowered CSF concentrations. For 24 patients with culture-proven Gram-negative LOS, pharmacodynamic target attainment was similar regardless of the test-of-cure visit outcome. Conclusions: Simulations showed that longer infusions increase plasma PTA but decrease CSF PTA. CSF penetration is worsened with long infusions so increasing dose frequency to achieve therapeutic targets should be considered.

Pharmacokinetics of Penicillin G in Preterm and Term Neonates.

Group B streptococci are common causative agents of early-onset neonatal sepsis (EOS). Pharmacokinetic (PK) data for penicillin G have been described for extremely preterm neonates but have been poorly described for late-preterm and term neonates. Thus, evidence-based dosing recommendations are lacking. We describe the PK of penicillin G in neonates with a gestational age (GA) of ≥32 weeks and a postnatal age of <72 h. Penicillin G was administered intravenously at a dose of 25,000 or 50,000 IU/kg of body weight every 12 h (q12h). At steady state, PK blood samples were collected prior to and at 5 min, 1 h, 3 h, 8 h, and 12 h after injection. Noncompartmental PK analysis was performed with WinNonlin software. With those data in combination with data from neonates with a GA of ≤28 weeks, we developed a population PK model using NONMEM software and performed probability of target attainment (PTA) simulations. In total, 16 neonates with a GA of ≥32 weeks were included in noncompartmental analysis. The median volume of distribution (V) was 0.50 liters/kg (interquartile range, 0.42 to 0.57 liters/kg), the median clearance (CL) was 0.21 liters/h (interquartile range, 0.16 to 0.29 liters/kg), and the median half-life was 3.6 h (interquartile range, 3.2 to 4.3 h). In the population PK analysis that included 35 neonates, a two-compartment model best described the data. The final parameter estimates were 10.3 liters/70 kg and 29.8 liters/70 kg for V of the central and peripheral compartments, respectively, and 13.2 liters/h/70 kg for CL. Considering the fraction of unbound penicillin G to be 40%, the PTA of an unbound drug concentration that exceeds the MIC for 40% of the dosing interval was >90% for MICs of ≤2 mg/liter with doses of 25,000 IU/kg q12h. In neonates, regardless of GA, the PK parameters of penicillin G were similar. The dose of 25,000 IU/kg q12h is suggested for treatment of group B streptococcal EOS diagnosed within the first 72 h of life. (This study was registered with the EU Clinical Trials Register under EudraCT number 2012-002836-97.).

Development of a Novel Multipenicillin Assay and Assessment of the Impact of Analyte Degradation: Lessons for Scavenged Sampling in Antimicrobial Pharmacokinetic Study Design.

Penicillins are widely used to treat infections in children; however, the evidence is continuing to evolve in defining the optimal dosing. Modern pediatric pharmacokinetic study protocols frequently favor opportunistic, "scavenged" sampling. This study aimed to develop a small-volume single assay for five major penicillins and to assess the influence of sample degradation on inferences made using pharmacokinetic modeling, to investigate the suitability of scavenged sampling strategies. Using a rapid ultrahigh-performance liquid chromatographic-tandem mass spectrometric method, an assay for five penicillins (amoxicillin, ampicillin, benzylpenicillin, piperacillin, and flucloxacillin) in blood plasma was developed and validated. Penicillin stabilities were evaluated under different conditions. Using these data, the impact of drug degradation on inferences made during pharmacokinetic modeling was evaluated. All evaluated penicillins indicated good stability at room temperature (23 ± 2°C) over 1 h, remaining in the range of 98 to 103% of the original concentration. More-rapid analyte degradation had already occurred after 4 h, with stability ranging from 68% to 99%. Stability over longer periods declined: degradation of up to 60% was observed with delayed sample processing of up to 24 h. Modeling showed that analyte degradation can lead to a 30% and 28% bias in clearance and volume of distribution, respectively, and falsely show nonlinearity in clearance. Five common penicillins can now be measured in a single low-volume blood sample. Beta-lactam chemical instability in plasma can cause misleading pharmacokinetic modeling results, which could impact upon model-based dosing recommendations and the forthcoming era of beta-lactam therapeutic drug monitoring.

Commentary on the MID3 Good Practices Paper.

During the last 10 years the European Medicines Agency (EMA) organized a number of workshops on modeling and simulation, working towards greater integration of modeling and simulation (M&S) in the development and regulatory assessment of medicines. In the 2011 EMA - European Federation of Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations (EFPIA) Workshop on Modelling and Simulation, European regulators agreed to the necessity to build expertise to be able to review M&S data provided by companies in their dossier. This led to the establishment of the EMA Modelling and Simulation Working Group (MSWG). Also, there was agreement reached on the need for harmonization on good M&S practices and for continuing dialog across all parties. The MSWG acknowledges the initiative of the EFPIA Model-Informed Drug Discovery and Development (MID3) group in promoting greater consistency in practice, application, and documentation of M&S and considers the paper is an important contribution towards achieving this objective.

Augmented renal clearance implies a need for increased amoxicillin-clavulanic acid dosing in critically ill children.

There is little data available to guide amoxicillin-clavulanic acid dosing in critically ill children. The primary objective of this study was to investigate the pharmacokinetics of both compounds in this pediatric subpopulation. Patients admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (ICU) in whom intravenous amoxicillin-clavulanic acid was indicated (25 to 35 mg/kg of body weight every 6 h) were enrolled. Population pharmacokinetic analysis was conducted, and the clinical outcome was documented. A total of 325 and 151 blood samples were collected from 50 patients (median age, 2.58 years; age range, 1 month to 15 years) treated with amoxicillin and clavulanic acid, respectively. A three-compartment model for amoxicillin and a two-compartment model for clavulanic acid best described the data, in which allometric weight scaling and maturation functions were added a priori to scale for size and age. In addition, plasma cystatin C and concomitant treatment with vasopressors were identified to have a significant influence on amoxicillin clearance. The typical population values of clearance for amoxicillin and clavulanic acid were 17.97 liters/h/70 kg and 12.20 liters/h/70 kg, respectively. In 32% of the treated patients, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid therapy was stopped prematurely due to clinical failure, and the patient was switched to broader-spectrum antibiotic treatment. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrated that four-hourly dosing of 25 mg/kg was required to achieve the therapeutic target for both amoxicillin and clavulanic acid. For patients with augmented renal function, a 1-h infusion was preferable to bolus dosing. Current published dosing regimens result in subtherapeutic concentrations in the early period of sepsis due to augmented renal clearance, which risks clinical failure in critically ill children, and therefore need to be updated. (This study has been registered at Clinicaltrials.gov as an observational study [NCT02456974].).

Pharmacokinetics of doripenem during high volume hemodiafiltration in patients with septic shock.

Pharmacokinetics (PK) of doripenem was determined during high volume hemodiafiltration (HVHDF) in patients with septic shock. A single 500 mg dose of doripenem was administered as a 1 hour infusion during HVHDF to 9 patients. Arterial blood samples were collected before and at 30 or 60 minute intervals over 8 hours (12 samples) after study drug administration. Doripenem concentrations were determined by ultrahigh performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Population PK analysis and Monte Carlo simulation of 1,000 subjects were performed. The median convective volume of HVHDF was 10.3 L/h and urine output during the sampling period was 70 mL. The population mean total doripenem clearance on HVHDF was 6.82 L/h, volume of distribution of central compartment 10.8 L, and of peripheral compartment 12.1 L. Doses of 500 mg every 8 hours resulted in 88.5% probability of attaining the target of 50% time over MIC for bacteria with MIC = 2 µg/mL at 48 hours, when doubling of MIC during that time was assumed. Significant elimination of doripenem occurs during HVHDF. Doses of 500 mg every 8 hours are necessary for treatment of infections caused by susceptible bacteria during extended HVHDF.