Continuous Markov Models for Analyzing the Effect of Environmental Personal Exposure on Multiple Sclerosis Progression.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory autoimmune demyelinating disorder of the central nervous system, leading to progressive functional impairments. Predicting disease progression with a probabilistic and time-dependent approach might help suggest interventions for a better management of the disease. Recently, there has been increasing focus on the impact of air pollutants as environmental factors influencing disease progression. This study employs a Continuous-Time Markov Model (CMM) to explore the impact of air pollution measurements on MS progression using longitudinal data from MS patients in Italy between 2013 and 2022. Preliminary findings indicate a relationship between air pollution and MS progression, with pollutants like Particulate Matter with a diameter of 10 micrometers (PM10) or 2.5 micrometers (PM2.5), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), and Carbon Monoxide (CO) showing potential effects on disease activity.

A multiscale assessment of bowel impairment in an Italian multiple sclerosis cohort.

Bowel dysfunctions (BD) in multiple sclerosis (MS) are under reported despite their clinical relevance. Scales usually applied do not thoroughly assess constipation and fecal incontinence. Instead, a proper qualitative and quantitative description of these symptoms might have relevant clinical and scientific consequences. The aim of this project is to study the prevalence of BD in a cohort of persons with MS (pwMS). Four-hundred and forty-seven pwMS (330 relapsing-remitting MS-RRMS and 117 progressive MS-PMS) were recruited. Three different questionnaires were administered: the neurogenic bowel dysfunction score (NBDS), the Wexner constipation scale (WexCon) and the Wexner incontinence scale (WexInc). All the scales were divided in subscores according to symptom severity. The prevalence of BD, considered as NBDS > 0, was 53.7%. Mean scores in pwMS group were as follows: NBDS 2.6 (SD 3.5), WexInc 1.1 (SD 2.4), WexCon 4.4 (SD 5.9). NBDS, WexCon and WexInc were significantly higher in PMS vs RRMS (p < 0.001), and significantly associated with disease duration, EDSS, multiple sclerosis severity score (p < 0.001), as well as with each other (p < 0.001). Our study confirms the presence of bowel dysfunctions in a large group of pwMS with a wide range of disability and their association with progressive disease phenotype and clinical disability.