Characteristics and End-of-Life Care Pathways of Decedents From a National Cohort of Assisted Living Residents.

BACKGROUND: Assisted living (AL) is an increasingly common, place of care for dying persons. However, it remains unclear to what extent residents are able to age in place or if AL represents an additional transition before death. OBJECTIVES: Examine the sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, health care utilization, and end-of-life care pathways of AL residents before death. RESEARCH DESIGN: A national cohort study of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries residing in large AL communities (25+ beds) during the month of January 2017 with 3 years of follow-up, using administrative claims data. SUBJECTS: 268,812 AL residents. MEASURES: Sociodemographic characteristics, comorbidities, and health care utilization at the end of life. RESULTS: Between 2017 and 2019, 35.1% of the study cohort died. Decedents were more likely than the overall AL population to be 85 years old or older (76.5% vs. 59.5%), and diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (70.3% vs. 51.6%). Most decedents (96.2%) had some presence in AL during the last year of life, but over 1 in 5 left AL before the last month of life. Among those in AL on day 30 before death, nearly half (46.4%) died in place without any health care transition, while 13.2% had 3 or more transfers before dying. CONCLUSIONS: AL is an important place of care for dying persons, especially for those with dementia. These findings indicate a need to assess existing policies and processes guiding the care of the frail and vulnerable population of dying AL residents.

Reforming the Medicare Hospice Benefit-Unintended Consequences.

This JAMA Forum discusses the reasons for changing the Medicare hospice benefit program, the potential serious unintended consequences, and provides recommendations for the testing of new alternative payment models.

Hospice-The Time Is Now for Additional Integrity Oversight.

This JAMA Forum discusses the concerning trend of for-profit hospice programs in the US, the current issues and problems with hospice care, and the need for increased oversight to ensure and improve quality for patients.

Increased Medicare Advantage Penetration Is Associated With Lower Postacute Care Use For Traditional Medicare Patients.

Medicare Advantage (MA) plans, which accounted for 45 percent of total Medicare enrollment in 2022, are incentivized to minimize spending on low-value services. Prior research indicates that MA plan enrollment is associated with reduced postacute care use without adverse impacts on patient outcomes. However, it is unclear whether a rising MA enrollment level is associated with a change in postacute care use in traditional Medicare, especially given growing participation in traditional Medicare Alternative Payment Models that have been found to be associated with lower postacute care spending. We hypothesize that market-level MA expansion is associated with reduced postacute care use among traditional Medicare beneficiaries-a "spillover" effect of providers modifying their practice patterns in response to MA plans' incentives. We found increased MA market penetration associated with reduced postacute care use among traditional Medicare beneficiaries, without a corresponding increase in hospital readmissions. This association was generally stronger in markets with a greater share of traditional Medicare beneficiaries attributed to accountable care organizations, suggesting that policy makers should account for MA penetration when evaluating potential savings in Alternative Payment Models within traditional Medicare.

Comparison of the Pathway to Hospice Enrollment Between Medicare Advantage and Traditional Medicare.

Importance: Older adults in Medicare Advantage (MA) enroll in hospice at higher rates than those in traditional Medicare (TM), but it is unclear whether the pathway of care prior to hospice use differs between MA and TM. Objective: To examine the site of care prior to hospice enrollment for MA beneficiaries compared with those in TM. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based, retrospective cross-sectional study used Medicare claims data for decedents in calendar years 2011, 2013, 2016, and 2018 who enrolled in hospice in the last 90 days of life. Data were analyzed from February 11, 2022, to October 24, 2022. Exposures: Enrollment in MA or TM in the last month of life. Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcome was the site of care prior to hospice enrollment, defined as hospital, nursing home, and home with or without home health, dichotomized as community vs hospital in a logistic regression model. Covariates included decedent demographics, hospice primary diagnosis, and county-level MA penetration. Differences in hospice length of stay between MA beneficiaries and TM beneficiaries were assessed using linear and logistic regression models. Results: In this study of 3 164 959 decedents, mean (SD) age was 83.1 (8.6) years, 55.8% were female, and 28.8% were enrolled in MA. Decedents in MA were more likely to enroll in hospice from a community setting than were those in TM, although the gap narrowed over time from an unadjusted 11.1% higher rate of community enrollment in MA vs TM in 2011 (50.1% vs 39.0%) to 8.1% in 2018 (46.4% vs 38.3%). In the primary adjusted analysis over the entire study period, MA enrollment was associated with an 8.09-percentage point (95% CI, 7.96-8.21 percentage points) higher rate of hospice enrollment from the community vs all other sites. This association remained in multiple sensitivity analyses to account for potential differences in the populations enrolled in MA vs TM. The mean overall hospice length of stay was 0.29 days (95% CI, 0.24-0.34 days) longer for MA decedents compared with TM decedents. Conclusions and Relevance: Compared with TM beneficiaries, those in MA were more likely to enroll in hospice from community settings vs following inpatient stays. However, hospice length of stay was not substantially different between MA and TM. Further research is needed to understand how MA plans influence hospice use and the direct association with quality of end-of-life care as reported by older adults and their families.

State Regulations and Assisted Living Residents' Potentially Burdensome Transitions at the End of Life.

Background: Potentially burdensome transitions at the end of life (e.g., repeated hospitalizations toward the end of life and/or health care transitions in the last three days of life) are common among residential care/assisted living (RC/AL) residents, and are associated with lower quality of end-of-life care reported by bereaved family members. We examined the association between state RC/AL regulations relevant to end-of-life care delivery and the likelihood of residents experiencing potentially burdensome transitions. Methods: Retrospective cohort study combining RC/AL registries of states' regulations with Medicare claims data for residents in large RC/ALs (i.e., 25+ beds) in the United States on the 120th day before death (N = 129,153), 2017-2019. Independent variables were state RC/AL regulations relevant to end-of-life care, including third-party services, staffing, and medication management. Analyses included: (1) separate logistic regression models for each RC/AL regulation, adjusting for sociodemographic covariates; (2) separate logistic regression models with a Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) subgroup to control for comorbidities, and (3) multivariable regression analysis, including all regulations in both the overall sample and the Medicare FFS subgroup. Results: We found a lack of associations between potentially burdensome transitions and regulations regarding third-party services and staffing. There were small associations found between regulations related to medication management (i.e., requiring regular medication reviews, permitting direct care workers for injections, requiring/not requiring licensed nursing staff for injections) and potentially burdensome transitions. Conclusions: In this cross-sectional study, the associations of RC/AL regulations with potentially burdensome transitions were either small or not statistically significant, calling for more studies to explain the wide variation observed in end-of-life outcomes among RC/AL residents.

Trends in post-acute care and outcomes for Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for heart failure between 2008 and 2015.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) is the leading cause of hospitalization among older adults in the United States and results in high rates of post-acute care (PAC) utilization. Federal policies have focused on shifting PAC to less intensive settings and reducing length of stay to lower spending. This study evaluates the impact of policy changes on PAC use among Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with HF between 2008 and 2015 by (1) characterizing trends in PAC use and cost and (2) evaluating changes in readmission, mortality, and days in the community, overall and by frailty. METHODS: Annual cross-section prospective cohorts of all HF admissions between 1/1/2008 and 9/30/2015 among a 20% random sample of all Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries (n = 718,737). The Claims-based Frailty Index (CFI) was used to classify frailty status. Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate trends in first discharge location, readmissions, mortality, days alive in the community, and costs; overall and by frailty status. RESULTS: Frailty was prevalent among HF patients: 54.1% were prefrail, 37.0% mildly frail, and 6.9% moderate to severely frail. Between 2008 and 2015, almost 4% more HF beneficiaries received PAC, with most of the increase concentrated in skilled nursing facilities (SNF) (+2.3%) and home health agencies (HHA) (+1.1%), and PAC cost increased by $123 (3.5%). Over the 180-days follow-up after hospitalization, hospital readmissions decreased significantly (-3.4% at 30-day; -6.3% at 180-day), days alive in the community increased (+1.5), and 180-day Medicare costs declined $2948 (-18.7%) without negative impact in mortality (except a minor increase in the pre-frail group). Gains were greatest among the frailest patients. CONCLUSIONS: Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized with HF spent more time in the community and experienced lower rehospitalization rates at lower cost without significant increases in mortality. However, important opportunities remain to optimize care for frail older adults hospitalized with HF.

Patient-Reported Quality Measures for Palliative Care: The Time is now.

CONTEXT: While progress has been made in the ability to measure the quality of hospice and specialty palliative care, there are notable gaps. A recent analysis conducted by Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) revealed a paucity of patient-reported measures, particularly in palliative care domains such as symptom management and communication. OBJECTIVES: The research team, consisting of quality measure and survey developers, psychometricians, and palliative care clinicians, used established state-of-the art methods for developing and testing patient-reported measures. METHODS: We applied a patient-centered, patient-engaged approach throughout the development and testing process. This sequential process included 1) an information gathering phase; 2) a pre-testing phase; 3) a testing phase; and 4) an endorsement phase. RESULTS: To fill quality measure gaps identified during the information gathering phase, we selected two draft measures ("Feeling Heard and Understood" and "Receiving Desired Help for Pain") for testing with patients receiving palliative care in clinic-based settings. In the pre-testing phase, we used an iterative process of cognitive interviews to refine draft items and corresponding response options for the proposed measures. The alpha pilot test supported establishment of protocols for the national beta field test. Measures met conventional criteria for reliability, had strong face and construct validity, and there was diversity in program level scores. The measures received National Quality Forum (NQF) endorsement. CONCLUSION: These measures highlight the key role of patient voices in palliative care and fill a much-needed gap for patient-reported experience measures in our field.

Association Between State Regulations Supportive of Third-party Services and Likelihood of Assisted Living Residents in the US Dying in Place.

Importance: Older adults are increasingly residing in assisted living residences during their last year of life. The regulations guiding these residential care settings differ between and within the states in the US, resulting in diverse policies that may support residents who wish to die in place. Objective: To examine the association between state regulations and the likelihood of assisted living residents dying in place. The study hypothesis was that regulations supporting third-party services, such as hospice, increase the likelihood of assisted living residents dying in place. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study combined data about assisted living residences in the US from state registries with an inventory of state regulations and administrative claims data. The study participants comprised 168 526 decedents who were Medicare beneficiaries, resided in 8315 large, assisted living residences (with ≥25 beds) across 301 hospital referral regions during the last 12 months of their lives, and died between 2017 and 2019. Descriptive analyses were performed at the state level, and 3-level multilevel models were estimated to examine the association between supportive third-party regulations and dying in place in assisted living residences. The data were analyzed from September 2021 to August 2022. Exposures: Supportive (vs "silent," ie, not explicitly mentioned in regulatory texts) state regulations regarding hospice care, private care aides, and home health services, as applicable to licensed/registered assisted living residences across the US. Main Outcomes and Measures: Presence in assisted living residences on the date of death. Results: The median (IQR) age of the 168 526 decedents included in the study was 90 (84-94) years. Of these, 110 143 (65.4%) were female and 158 491 (94.0%) were non-Hispanic White. Substantial variation in the percentage of assisted living residents dying in place was evident across states, from 18.0% (New York) to 73.7% (Utah). Supportive hospice and home health regulations were associated with a higher odds of residents dying in place (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.38; 95% CI, 1.24-1.54; P < .001; and AOR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10-1.34; P < .001, respectively). In addition, hospice regulations remained significant in fully adjusted models (AOR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.25-1.71). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that a higher percentage of assisted living residents died in place in US states with regulations supportive of third-party services. In addition, assisted living residents in licensed settings with regulations supportive of hospice regulations were especially likely to die in place.

The Lake Wobegon Effect-Where Every Medicare Advantage Plan Is "Above Average".

This JAMA Forum discusses the 5-star quality rating system for Medicare Advantage plans, the quality measures that are used to generate the ratings, and the increased payments disbursed as a result of the higher ratings.

Pain Impacting Quality of Life in Persons with Dementia Dying in the Nursing Home by Alternative Medicare Payment Model.

Background: Medicare alternative payment models were created to improve health care value by controlling costs and improving care quality. Objective: To determine if prevalence of pain affecting quality of life (QoL) differs by Medicare payment model among nursing home (NH) decedents with dementia at the end of life. Setting/Subjects: NH decedents in 2017/2018 in the United States with dementia who self-reported pain on a Minimum Data Set assessment in the last 30 days of life. Measurements: Main outcome was pain impacting QoL (i.e., affecting day-to-day activities or sleep). Multivariable logistic analysis examined the association between payment model (traditional Medicare [TM], Medicare Advantage [MA], or accountable care organizations [ACOs]) and pain impacting QoL after controlling for potential confounders. Results: There were 115,757 NH residents with dementia who self-reported pain in the last 30 days of life. Of those, 17.8% (n = 20,585) reported having pain the last five days from assessment, which varied by Medicare payment model (17.7% in TM, 17.5% in MA, and 19.1% in ACOs; p < 0.001). Among decedents reporting pain, 23.6% of ACO decedents reported pain affecting QoL compared to 22.1% in MA and 21.6% in TM (p = 0.09). After adjustment, decedents in ACOs compared to TM had greater predicted probability of pain affecting QoL (absolute marginal difference 0.017, 95% CI 0.00-0.035, p = 0.05), and persons in MA did not differ from persons in TM (absolute marginal difference 0.005, 95% CI -0.008 to 0.019, p = 0.41). Conclusions and Implications: Among dementia decedents dying with pain, pain impacted QoL in more than one in five persons. All payment models can improve pain management.

Pathway to Hospice: How Has Place of Care before Hospice Changed with the Growth of Hospice in the United States?

Background: Hospice use among Medicare decedents increased from 21.6% in 2000 to 51.6% in 2019. Whether this growth has been accompanied by more referrals to hospice directly from the community is not known. Objective: To assess trends in place of care before hospice enrollment. Design: Retrospective cohort from 2011 to 2018. Subjects: Medicare decedents age ≥66 years. Measure: Location of care before hospice enrollment in the last 90 days of life, defined as: the community with and without home health, short- or long-term nursing facility, or inpatient hospital. A county-level random effects model examined changes in enrollment from the community after adjusting for admitting diagnosis, age, race/ethnicity, sex, and Medicaid participation. Results: Among hospice enrollees (N = 7,650,933), 27.7% transitioned to hospice from the community, 31.8% transitioned from the hospital, and 10.1% transitioned after short- or long-term nursing facility stay. Rates of enrollment to hospice from the community remained stable from 35.1% in 2011 to 34.3% in 2018. After adjustment, the proportion enrolling in hospice from the community decreased by 1.2% (95% confidence interval -1.0% to 1.4%). Place of care before hospice enrollment in 2018 varied by hospice admitting diagnosis, with patients with cancer more likely to enroll from the community (39.5%) and patients with cerebrovascular accidents from the hospital (53.2%). Prior place of care varied by state, with Florida having the highest rate of the enrollment following hospitalization (47.8%). Conclusion: Despite the growth of hospice, the site of care before hospice enrollment has remained relatively stable and was strongly influenced by region.

Association of Medicare bundled payment model with joint replacement care for people with dementia.

BACKGROUND: We examined whether the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) model was associated with changes in the receipt of joint replacement among people with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) as well as spending, health service use, and postsurgical outcomes among people with ADRD who underwent a joint replacement surgery. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using 2013-2017 Medicare claims and Minimum Data Set. We used a difference-in-differences analysis to compare people with ADRD residing in CJR-participating treatment areas versus nonparticipating control areas on the receipt of joint replacement, episode spending during the index hospitalization and subsequent 90-day post-discharge period, discharges to an institutional post-acute care setting, and readmissions within 90 days of hospital discharge. RESULTS: Our sample included 3,361,950 Medicare enrollees with ADRD (2,156,995 women [64%]; mean [SD] age, 83 [8.0] years; 2,646,405 white [78%], 344,478 black [10%], 224,010 Hispanic [7%]). The receipt of replacement among people with ADRD changed similarly between CJR-participating treatment and control areas after CJR model was implemented, suggesting no association of CJR model with the receipt of replacement. Among people with ADRD who received joint replacement, the CJR model was associated with a $1029 decrease in spending per episode (95% confidence interval [CI] -$1577, -$481, p < 0.001), a 1.62 percentage point decrease in discharges to an institutional post-acute care setting (95% CI -3.17, -0.07, p = 0.04), but no changes in 90-day readmission (95% CI -2.68, 0.00, p = 0.051). CONCLUSIONS: Despite concerns that the CJR model could hinder people with ADRD from receiving joint replacement, the receipt of joint replacement did not change among people with ADRD under CJR. The CJR model was associated with decreased spending for people with ADRD who received joint replacements, driven by reduced discharges to an institutional post-acute care setting, without any changes in 90-day readmission.

Effects of Medicare advantage on patterns of end-of-life care among Medicare decedents.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment on patterns of end-of-life care. DATA SOURCES: We used data from the Master Beneficiary Summary File, the Medicare Provider Analysis and Review, hospice claims, the Minimum Data Set, the Outcome and Assessment Information Set, the Area Health Resources File, and Geographic Variation Public Use File for 2012-2014. STUDY DESIGN: To address selective enrollment into MA, we exploited a discontinuity in payment rates by county population (urban floor payments) as an instrument. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries continuously enrolled in MA or TM during their last year of life between 2012 and 2014 using Medicare administrative data. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We did not find evidence that MA enrollment led to a change in hospital admissions in the last 30 days of life, but MA enrollment decreased hospital as the site of death by 11.0 (95% CI: -13.9 to -8.1) percentage points. Once hospitalized, however, MA enrollment increased use of intensive care by 6.7 (95% CI: 0.3 to 13.1) percentage points and non-invasive mechanical ventilation by 9.2 (95% CI: 5.5 to 12.9) percentage points. MA enrollment increased hospice use by 6.2 (95% CI: 2.3 to 10.1) percentage points at time of death and 7.7 (95% CI: 3.8 to 11.6) percentage points in the last 30 days of life. Particularly, MA enrollment increased hospice admissions among those who were admitted to the hospital within 30 days prior to hospice admission by 18.8 (95% CI: 13.8 to 23.8) percentage points. However, MA enrollment decreased hospice admissions among those who were admitted to home health within 30 days prior to hospice admission by 18.6 (95% CI: -21.9 to -15.2) percentage points. CONCLUSIONS: MA plans may improve end-of-life care by reducing hospital death while also improving access to hospice, especially among recently hospitalized persons.

Mechanical Ventilation and Survival in Patients With Advanced Dementia in Medicare Advantage.

CONTEXT: Medicare Advantage (MA) cares for an increasing proportion of traditional Medicare (TM) patients although, the association of MA on low-value care among hospitalized patients is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine whether invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) use or mortality differs among hospitalized patients with advanced dementia (AD) enrolled in MA vs. TM and the influence of hospital MA concentration. METHODS: Retrospective cohort of hospitalized Medicare patients from 2016 to 2017 who were ≥66 years old with AD (n=147,153) and had a hospitalization with an assessment completed during a nursing home stay ≤120 days prior to that hospitalization indicating AD and severe cognitive/functional impairment. MA enrollment was ascertained at hospitalization; IMV use and 30- and 365-day mortality were determined via Medicare data. Multivariable logistic regression models clustered by hospital were used. RESULTS: Among hospitalized Medicare patients with AD, 27,253 (19%) were enrolled in MA, mean age was 84 (95% CI: 83.9-84.0) and 92,736 (63%) were female. Enrollment in MA was associated with increased IMV use (Adjusted Odds Ratio(AOR)=1.11, 95% CI: 1.04-1.18), 30- (Adjusted Hazard Ratio(AHR)=1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.12) and 365-day mortality (AHR=1.12, 95% CI: 1.08-1.16) compared to TM. Use of IMV was not different based on concentration of MA at the hospital level. CONCLUSION: MA may reduce hospitalizations, however, once hospitalized, patients with AD enrolled in MA experience higher rates of IMV use and worse 30- and 365-day mortality compared to TM patients. Higher hospital concentration of MA did not reduce use of IMV. MA may not offer significant benefits in reducing low-value care among patients hospitalized with serious illness, questioning the benefits of this care model.