Revalidation of PET/computed tomography criteria (Hopkins criteria) for the assessment of therapeutic response in lung cancer patients: inter-reader reliability, accuracy and survival outcomes.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Systematic reporting using qualitative evaluation of PET/computed tomography (CT) results has been demonstrated to be very accurate and reproducible in posttherapy assessment of lung cancer (so-called Hopkins criteria). Our aim was to test, in a different cohort of patients, the Hopkins criteria for assessment of therapeutic response in lung cancer and to compare the results with those obtained using a semi-quantitative evaluation of uptake. METHODS: This is a retrospective study. A total of 85 patients with known lung cancer who underwent fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT assessment within 24 weeks (mean 7.9 weeks) of completion of treatment were included. Treatments included surgical resection, chemotherapy, radiation therapy, immunotherapy or combinations thereof. PET/CT interpretation was done by two nuclear medicine physicians, and discrepancies were resolved by a third interpreter. Studies were scored both according to the Hopkins criteria using qualitative assessment of tracer uptake for the primary tumour, locoregional disease in the mediastinum and distant metastatic sites and by applying the same five-point score using a semi-quantitative measure, maximum standardized uptake value. Overall scores of 1, 2 and 3 were considered negative for residual disease, while scores of 4 and 5 were considered positive. Patients were followed up for a median of 18.5 months (range 2-139 months). Kaplan-Meier plots with a Mantel-Cox log-rank test were performed, considering death as the endpoint. Inter-reader variability was assessed using percent agreement and kappa statistics. RESULTS: The Cohen κ coefficient analysis showed substantial agreement between the two interpreters on the five-point Hopkins criteria scoring, with a κ of 0.73. There was almost perfect agreement between the interpreters with respect to classification as positive or negative according to the Hopkins criteria, with a κ of 0.89. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of the Hopkins criteria were 88.5% [95% confidence interval (CI) 80.6-96.5%), 79.2% (95% CI 63.2-95.1%), 91.5% (95% CI 84.4-98.6%), 73.1% (95% CI 61.8-84.4%) and 85.9% (95% CI 78.5-93.3%), respectively. There was almost perfect agreement between the qualitative and semi-quantitative scoring with a κ of 0.87, with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of the semi-quantitative Hopkin's criteria of 86.9% (95% CI 78.4-95.4%), 79.2% (95% CI 62.9-95.4%), 91.4% (95% CI 84.2-98.6%), 70.4% (95% CI 58.6-82.1%) and 84.7% (95% CI 80.8-92.4%), respectively. CONCLUSION: The use of Hopkins criteria for posttherapy assessment in patients with lung cancer represents an easy and reproducible method with substantial to almost perfect interobserver agreement and high positive predictive value and accuracy; moreover, it is easily understood by referring physicians. Additionally, there was no significant difference when applying a semi-quantitative measure to the same five-point score.

Cardiology-cardiothoracic subspeciality training in South Africa: a position paper of the South Africa Heart Association.

Over the past decades, South Africa has undergone rapid demographic changes, which have led to marked increases in specific cardiac disease categories, such as rheumatic heart disease (now predominantly presenting in young adults with advanced and symptomatic disease) and coronary artery disease (with rapidly increasing prevalence in middle age). The lack of screening facilities, delayed diagnosis and inadequate care at primary, secondary and tertiary levels have led to a large burden of patients with heart failure. This leads to suffering of the patients and substantial costs to society and the healthcare system. In this position paper, the South African Heart Association (SA Heart) National Council members have summarised the current state of cardiology, cardiothoracic surgery and paediatric cardiology reigning in South Africa. Our report demonstrates that there has been minimal change in the number of successfully qualified specialists over the last decade and, therefore, a de facto decline per capita. We summarise the major gaps in training and possible interventions to transform the healthcare system, dealing with the colliding epidemic of communicable disease and the rapidly expanding epidemic of non-communicable disease, including cardiac disease.

Economic and health impacts associated with a Salmonella Typhimurium drinking water outbreak-Alamosa, CO, 2008.

In 2008, a large Salmonella outbreak caused by contamination of the municipal drinking water supply occurred in Alamosa, Colorado. The objectives of this assessment were to determine the full economic costs associated with the outbreak and the long-term health impacts on the community of Alamosa. We conducted a postal survey of City of Alamosa (2008 population: 8,746) households and businesses, and conducted in-depth interviews with local, state, and nongovernmental agencies, and City of Alamosa healthcare facilities and schools to assess the economic and long-term health impacts of the outbreak. Twenty-one percent of household survey respondents (n = 369/1,732) reported diarrheal illness during the outbreak. Of those, 29% (n = 108) reported experiencing potential long-term health consequences. Most households (n = 699/771, 91%) reported municipal water as their main drinking water source at home before the outbreak; afterwards, only 30% (n = 233) drank unfiltered municipal tap water. The outbreak's estimated total cost to residents and businesses of Alamosa using a Monte Carlo simulation model (10,000 iterations) was approximately $1.5 million dollars (range: $196,677-$6,002,879), and rose to $2.6 million dollars (range: $1,123,471-$7,792,973) with the inclusion of outbreak response costs to local, state and nongovernmental agencies and City of Alamosa healthcare facilities and schools. This investigation documents the significant economic and health impacts associated with waterborne disease outbreaks and highlights the potential for loss of trust in public water systems following such outbreaks.