Health Inequity and Time From Pediatric Stroke Onset to Arrival.

BACKGROUND: Time from stroke onset to hospital arrival determines treatment and impacts outcome. Structural, socioeconomic, and environmental factors are associated with health inequity and onset-to-arrival in adult stroke. We aimed to assess the association between health inequity and onset-to-arrival in a pediatric comprehensive stroke center. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted on a consecutive cohort of children (>28 days-18 years) diagnosed with acute arterial ischemic stroke (AIS) between 2004 and 2019. Neighborhood-level material deprivation was derived from residential postal codes and used as a proxy measure for health inequity. Patients were stratified by level of neighborhood-level material deprivation, and onset-to-arrival was categorized into 3 groups: <6, 6 to 24, and >24 hours. Association between neighborhood-level material deprivation and onset-to-arrival was assessed in multivariable ordinal logistic regression analyses adjusting for sociodemographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: Two hundred and twenty-nine children were included (61% male; median age [interquartile range] at stroke diagnosis 5.8-years [1.1-11.3]). Over the 16-year study period, there was an increase in proportion of children diagnosed with AIS living in the most deprived neighborhoods and arriving at the emergency room within 6 hours (P=0.01). Among Asian patients, a higher proportion lived in the most deprived neighborhoods (P=0.02) and level of material deprivation was associated with AIS risk factors (P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests an increase in pediatric stroke in deprived neighborhoods and certain communities, and earlier arrival times to the emergency room over time. However, whether these changes are due to an increase in incidence of childhood AIS or increased awareness and diagnosis is yet to be determined. The association between AIS risk factors and material deprivation highlights the intersectionality of clinical factors and social determinants of health. Finally, whether material deprivation impacts onset-to-arrival is likely complex and requires further examination.

The epidemiology and healthcare costs of community-acquired pneumonia in Ontario, Canada: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present study was to determine incidence-based short- and long-term healthcare costs attributable to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) from the healthcare payer perspective in Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based matched cohort study of residents in Ontario, Canada using health administrative data. We identified subjects with an incident episode of CAP (exposed subjects) between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2014. The index date of each episode was based on the first inpatient or outpatient claim for pneumonia. Exposed subjects were matched without replacement to unexposed subjects from the general population using hard and propensity score matching on age, sex, income quintile, rural residence, comorbidities, and healthcare costs prior to index date. Attributable costs represented the mean difference in costs between the exposed subjects and their matched pairs. RESULTS: We identified 692,090 subjects with at least one episode of CAP between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2014. Adults aged 65 years and older had the highest annual incidence rate of 50.1 episodes per 1,000 person-years, while adults aged 18-64 years and children (aged 0-17) had incidence rates of 12.9 and 24.7 episodes per 1,000 person-years, respectively. The majority of episodes involved care exclusively in the outpatient setting (92.6%), with most of these episodes involving a single physician visit. The mean attributable costs were $1,595 (95% CI: $1,572-$1,616) per outpatient CAP episode and $12,576 (95% CI: $12.392-$12,761) per inpatient CAP episode. Attributable costs were significantly higher for adult subjects and those with time spent in the intensive care unit. Alternative case definitions yielded different results, although demonstrated the same overall trends across groups. CONCLUSION: CAP is associated with substantially increased acute and long-term healthcare costs compared to unexposed subjects. This study highlights the burden of CAP in both the inpatient and outpatient setting, and will serve to inform strategic healthcare planning for future interventions and healthcare programs.

Prevalence, Cost, and Variation in Cost of Pediatric Hospitalizations in Ontario, Canada.

Importance: Identifying conditions that could be prioritized for research based on health care system burden is important for developing a research agenda for the care of hospitalized children. However, existing prioritization studies are decades old or do not include data from both pediatric and general hospitals. Objective: To assess the prevalence, cost, and variation in cost of pediatric hospitalizations at all general and pediatric hospitals in Ontario, Canada, with the aim of identifying conditions that could be prioritized for future research. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cross-sectional study used health administrative data from 165 general and pediatric hospitals in Ontario, Canada. Children younger than 18 years with an inpatient hospital encounter between April 1, 2014, and March 31, 2019, were included. Main Outcomes and Measures: Condition-specific prevalence, cost of pediatric hospitalizations, and condition-specific variation in cost per inpatient encounter across hospitals. Variation in cost was evaluated using (1) intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and (2) number of outlier hospitals. Costs were adjusted for inflation to 2018 US dollars. Results: Overall, 627 314 inpatient hospital encounters (44.8% among children younger than 30 days and 53.0% among boys) at 165 hospitals (157 general and 8 pediatric) costing $3.3 billion were identified. A total of 408 003 hospitalizations (65.0%) and $1.4 billion (43.8%) in total costs occurred at general hospitals. Among the 50 most prevalent and 50 most costly conditions (of 68 total conditions), the top 10 highest-cost conditions accounted for 55.5% of all costs and 48.6% of all encounters. The conditions with highest prevalence and cost included low birth weight (86.2 per 1000 encounters; $676.3 million), preterm newborn (38.0 per 1000 encounters; $137.4 million), major depressive disorder (20.7 per 1000 encounters; $78.3 million), pneumonia (27.3 per 1000 encounters; $71.6 million), other perinatal conditions (68.0 per 1000 encounters; $65.8 million), bronchiolitis (25.4 per 1000 encounters; $54.6 million), and neonatal hyperbilirubinemia (47.9 per 1000 encounters; $46.7 million). The highest variation in cost per encounter among the most costly medical conditions was observed for 2 mental health conditions (other mental health disorders [ICC, 0.28] and anxiety disorders [ICC, 0.19]) and 3 newborn conditions (intrauterine hypoxia and birth asphyxia [ICC, 0.27], other perinatal conditions [ICC, 0.17], and surfactant deficiency disorder [ICC, 0.17]). Conclusions and Relevance: This population-based cross-sectional study of hospitalized children identified several newborn and mental health conditions as having the highest prevalence, cost, and variation in cost across hospitals. Findings of this study can be used to develop a research agenda for the care of hospitalized children that includes general hospitals and to ultimately build a more substantial evidence base and improve patient outcomes.

A personalized biomedical risk assessment infographic for people who smoke with COPD: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) causes 3 million deaths each year, yet 38% of COPD patients continue to smoke. Despite proof of effectiveness and universal guideline recommendations, smoking cessation interventions are underused in practice. We sought to develop an infographic featuring personalized biomedical risk assessment through future lung function decline prediction (with vs without ongoing smoking) to both prompt and enhance clinician delivery of smoking cessation advice and pharmacotherapy, and augment patient motivation to quit. METHODS: We recruited patients with COPD and pulmonologists from a quaternary care center in Toronto, Canada. Infographic prototype content and design was based on best evidence. After face validation, the prototype was optimized through rapid-cycle design. Each cycle consisted of: (1) infographic testing in a moderated focus group and a clinician interview (recorded/transcribed) (with questionnaire completion); (2) review of transcripts for emergent/critical findings; and (3) infographic modifications to address findings (until no new critical findings emerged). We performed iterative transcript analysis after each cycle and a summative qualitative transcript analysis with quantitative (descriptive) questionnaire analysis. RESULTS: Stopping criteria were met after 4 cycles, involving 20 patients (58% male) and 4 pulmonologists (50% male). The following qualitative themes emerged: Tool content (infographic content preferences); Tool Design (infographic design preferences); Advantages of Infographic Messaging (benefits of an infographic over other approaches); Impact of Tool on Determinants of Smoking Cessation Advice Delivery (impact on barriers and enablers to delivery of smoking cessation advice in practice); and Barriers and Enablers to Quitting (impact on barriers and enablers to quitting). Patient Likert scale ratings of infographic content and format/usability were highly positive, with improvements in scores for 20/21 questions through the design process. Providers scored the infographic at 77.8% ("superior") on the Suitability Assessment of Materials questionnaire. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a user preference-based personalized biomedical risk assessment infographic to drive smoking cessation in patients with COPD. Our findings suggest that this tool could impact behavioural determinants of provider smoking-cessation advice delivery, while increasing patient quit motivation. Impacts of the tool on provider care, patient motivation to quit, and smoking cessation success should now be evaluated in real-world settings.

The impact of acute pneumococcal disease on health state utility values: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Streptococcus pneumoniae infections remain a significant source of morbidity and mortality worldwide. The purpose of this review was to summarize the impact of pneumococcal disease on health state utilities (HSU) in the acute phase of illness. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, EconLit, the Health Technology Assessment Database, the National Health Economic Evaluation Database, and Tufts Cost-Effectiveness Registry (up to January 2020) for primary studies. Eligible studies elicited HSU estimates using preference-based instruments for the acute phase of infection of pneumococcal syndromes including acute otitis media, pneumonia/lower respiratory tract infections, bacteremia/sepsis, and meningitis. Two reviewers independently conducted screening, data extraction and quality appraisal. RESULTS: We screened 10,178 studies, of which 26 met our inclusion criteria. Cohort sizes ranged from 8 to 2060 respondents. The most frequently studied syndrome was pneumonia (n = 17), followed by acute otitis media (n = 9), meningitis (n = 7) and bacteremia/sepsis (n = 4). Overall, each syndrome was associated with a substantial impact on HSU. Bacteremia/sepsis (range: - 0.331 to 0.992) and meningitis (range: - 0.330 to 0.977) were generally associated with the lowest HSU, followed by pneumonia (range: - 0.054 to 0.998) and acute otitis media (range: 0.064 to 0.970). HSU estimates varied considerably by treatment setting, elicitation method and type of respondent. The only study to compare pneumococcal infections to non-pneumococcal infections in the same population revealed significantly lower HSU estimates among pneumococcal infections. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal syndromes are associated with decreased HSU estimates. Given the considerable heterogeneity in methods and source populations as well as study quality, care should be taken to select the most appropriate estimates.

Rates in Bronchiolitis Hospitalization, Intensive Care Unit Use, Mortality, and Costs From 2004 to 2018.

IMPORTANCE: Over the last 2 decades, bronchiolitis guidelines and improvement efforts focused on supportive care and reducing unnecessary tests, treatments, and hospitalization. There have been limited population-based studies examining hospitalization outcomes over time. OBJECTIVE: To describe rates and trends in bronchiolitis hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) use, mortality, and costs. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used population-based health administrative data from April 1, 2004, to March 31, 2018, to identify bronchiolitis encounters using hospital discharge diagnosis codes in Ontario, Canada. Children younger than 2 years with and without bronchiolitis hospitalization were included. Data were analyzed from January 2020 to July 2021. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Bronchiolitis hospitalization per 1000 person-years, ICU use per 1000 hospitalizations, mortality per 100 000 person-years, and costs per 1000 person-years adjusted to 2018 Canadian dollars and reported in 2018 US dollars. RESULTS: Among 2 336 446 included children, 1 199 173 (51.3%) were male. During the study period, 43 993 children (1.9%) younger than 2 years had 48 058 bronchiolitis hospitalizations at 141 hospitals. Bronchiolitis accounted for 48 058 of 360 920 all-cause hospitalizations (13.3%) and 215 654 of 2 566 348 all-cause hospital days (8.4%) in children younger than 2 years. Bronchiolitis hospitalization was stable over time, at 14.0 (95% CI, 13.6-14.4) hospitalizations per 1000 person-years in 2004-2005 and 12.7 (95% CI, 12.2-13.1) hospitalizations per 1000 person-years in 2017-2018 (annual percent change [APC], 0%; 95% CI, -1.6 to 1.6; P = .97). ICU admission increased significantly from 38.1 (95% CI, 32.2-44.8) per 1000 hospitalizations in 2004-2005 to 87.8 (95% CI, 78.3-98.0) per 1000 hospitalizations in 2017-2018 (APC, 7.2%; 95% CI, 5.4-8.9; P < .001). Over the study period, bronchiolitis mortality was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.3-3.4) per 100 000 person-years and remained stable (APC, 1.1%; 95% CI, -8.4 to 11.7; P = .85). Hospitalization costs per 1000 person-years increased from $49 640 (95% CI, $49 617-$49 663) in 2004-2005 to $58 632 (95% CI, $58 608-$58 657) in 2017-2018 (APC, 3.0%; 95% CI, 1.3-4.8; P = .002). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: From 2004 to 2018, bronchiolitis hospitalization and mortality rates remained stable; however, ICU use and costs increased substantially. This represents a major increase in high-intensity hospital care and costs for one of the most common and cumulatively expensive conditions in pediatric hospital care.

Medication Discontinuation in Adults With COPD Discharged From the Hospital: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Patients admitted to the hospital with COPD are commonly managed with inhaled short-acting bronchodilators, sometimes in lieu of the long-acting bronchodilators they take as outpatients. If held on admission, these long-acting inhalers should be re-initiated upon discharge; however, health-care transitions sometimes result in unintentional discontinuation. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the risk of unintentional discontinuation of long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) and long-acting beta-agonist and inhaled corticosteroid (LABA-ICS) combination medications following hospital discharge in older adults with COPD? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted by using health administrative data from 2004 to 2016 from Ontario, Canada. Adults with COPD aged ≥ 66 years who had filled prescriptions for a LAMA or LABA-ICS continuously for ≥ 1 year were included. Log-binomial regression models were used to determine risk of medication discontinuation following hospitalization in each medication cohort. RESULTS: Of the 27,613 hospitalization discharges included in this study, medications were discontinued 1,466 times. Among 78,953 patients with COPD continuously taking a LAMA or LABA-ICS, those hospitalized had a higher risk of having medications being discontinued than those who remained in the community (adjusted risk ratios of 1.50 [95% CI, 1.34-1.67; P < .001] and 1.62 [95% CI, 1.39, 1.90; P < .001] for LAMA and LABA-ICS, respectively). Crude rates of discontinuation for people taking LAMAs were 5.2% in the hospitalization group and 3.3% in the community group; for people taking LABA-ICS, these rates were 5.5% in the hospitalization group and 3.1% in the community group. INTERPRETATION: In an observational study of highly compliant patients with COPD, hospitalization was associated with an increased risk of long-acting inhaler discontinuation. These Results suggest a likely larger discontinuation problem among less adherent patients and should be confirmed and quantified in a prospective cohort of patients with COPD and average compliance. Quality improvement efforts should focus on safe transitions and patient medication reconciliation following discharge.

Understanding resource utilization and mortality in COPD to support policy making: A microsimulation study.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) poses a significant but heterogeneous burden to individuals and healthcare systems. Policymakers develop targeted policies to minimize this burden but need personalized tools to evaluate novel interventions and target them to subpopulations most likely to benefit. We developed a platform to identify subgroups that are at increased risk of emergency department visits, hospitalizations and mortality and to provide stratified patient input in economic evaluations of COPD interventions. We relied on administrative and survey data from Ontario, Canada and applied a combination of microsimulation and multi-state modeling methods. We illustrated the functionality of the platform by quantifying outcomes across smoking status (current, former, never smokers) and by estimating the effect of smoking cessation on resource use and survival, by comparing outcomes of hypothetical cohorts of smokers who quit at diagnosis and smokers that continued to smoke post diagnosis. The cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 37.9% (95% CI: 34.9, 41.4) for never smokers, 34.7% (95% CI: 32.1, 36.9) for current smokers, and 46.4% (95% CI: 43.6, 49.0) for former smokers, at 14 years. Over 14 years, smokers who did not quit at diagnosis had 16.3% (95% CI: 9.6, 38.4%) more COPD-related emergency department visits than smokers who quit at diagnosis. In summary, we combined methods from clinical and economic modeling to create a novel tool that policymakers and health economists can use to inform future COPD policy decisions and quantify the effect of modifying COPD risk factors on resource utilization and morality.

Costs of Workplace Productivity Loss in Patients with Connective Tissue Disease-associated Interstitial Lung Disease.

Rationale: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) develops in a large percentage of patients with connective tissue disease (CTD) and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Patients with CTD-associated ILD (CTD-ILD) often present at a young age, suggesting that ILD likely impacts workplace productivity.Objectives: We aimed to determine the employment rate and workplace productivity loss, along with its associated factors and estimated costs, in patients with fibrotic CTD-ILD.Methods: Patients with fibrotic CTD-ILD from the six centers of the Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis were eligible. Health-related productivity loss was assessed using the Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire. Proposed factors associated with low workplace productivity were forced into a multivariable regression model. Average productivity loss in hours/week was used to calculate the costs of productivity loss based on hourly wages obtained from national census data matched for age and sex. Workplace productivity loss outcomes were compared between patients with CTD-ILD and patients with a non-CTD fibrotic ILD.Results: Of 375 eligible patients with fibrotic CTD-ILD, 113 (30%) were employed. Productivity loss was reported by 59% of employed patients, with a mean loss of 9.4 ± 1.2 hours/week, including 3.9 ± 0.9 hours/week from absenteeism and 5.5 ± 0.7 hours/week from presenteeism. Employment among patients 25-54 years of age with fibrotic CTD-ILD was 27% lower than that in the matched general Canadian population (56% vs. 83%; P < 0.001). Employment among patients ≥55 years of age with CTD-ILD was 17% lower than that in the matched population (19% vs. 36%; P < 0.001). Workplace productivity loss was not associated with respiratory symptoms or lung physiology. Annual costs of productivity loss were calculated at 13,593 Canadian dollars per employee with fibrotic CTD-ILD. Workplace productivity loss was similar in patients with fibrotic CTD-ILD and those with non-CTD fibrotic ILD.Conclusions: Patients with fibrotic CTD-ILD frequently report workplace productivity loss, which is unexplained by respiratory symptoms or lung physiology and is associated with significant costs.

Mobile Technology in Allergic Rhinitis: Evolution in Management or Revolution in Health and Care?

Smart devices and Internet-based applications (apps) are largely used in allergic rhinitis and may help to address some unmet needs. However, these new tools need to first of all be tested for privacy rules, acceptability, usability, and cost-effectiveness. Second, they should be evaluated in the frame of the digital transformation of health, their impact on health care delivery, and health outcomes. This review (1) summarizes some existing mobile health apps for allergic rhinitis and reviews those in which testing has been published, (2) discusses apps that include risk factors of allergic rhinitis, (3) examines the impact of mobile health apps in phenotype discovery, (4) provides real-world evidence for care pathways, and finally (5) discusses mobile health tools enabling the digital transformation of health and care, empowering citizens, and building a healthier society.

Patterns of health care use related to respiratory conditions in early life: A birth cohort study with linked administrative data.

OBJECTIVES: To identify distinctive patterns of respiratory-related health services use (HSU) between birth and 3 years of age, and to examine associated symptom and risk profiles. METHODS: This study included 729 mother and child pairs enrolled in the Toronto site of the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development study in 2009-2012; they were linked to Ontario health administrative databases (2009-2016). A model-based cluster analysis was performed to identify distinct groups of children who followed a similar pattern of respiratory-related HSU between birth and 3 years of age, regarding hospitalization, emergency department (ED) and physician office visits for respiratory conditions and total health care costs (2016 Canadian dollars). RESULTS: The majority (estimated cluster weight = 0.905) showed a pattern of low and stable respiratory care use (low HSU) while the remainder (weight = 0.095) showed a pattern of high use (high HSU). From 0 to 3 years of age, the low- and high-HSU groups differed in mean trajectories of total health care costs ($783 per 6 months decreased to $114, vs $1796 to $177, respectively). Compared to low-HSU, the high-HSU group was associated with a constant risk of hospitalizations, early high ED utilization and physician visits for respiratory problems. The two groups differed significantly in the timing of wheezing (late onset in low-HSU vs early in high-HSU) and future total costs (stable vs increased). CONCLUSIONS: One in ten children had high respiratory care use in early life. Such information can help identify high-risk young children in a large population, monitor their long-term health, and inform resource allocation.

Costs of Workplace Productivity Loss in Patients With Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are highly morbid chronic disorders that frequently occur in working age individuals. The goal of this study was to determine workplace productivity loss, its determinants, and its estimated costs in patients with fibrotic ILD. METHODS: Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, chronic hypersensitivity pneumonitis, idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia, or unclassifiable ILD were identified from the six-center Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis (CARE-PF). The Work Productivity and Activity Impairment questionnaire was used to determine health-related productivity loss. Independent predictors of low workplace productivity were identified by using multivariate regression. Patient data were compared with Canadian population census data. The average productivity loss (hours per week) and the individual's hourly wage were used to estimate the costs of productivity loss. RESULTS: Of 650 eligible patients, 148 (23%) were employed. Productivity loss was reported by 55% of employed patients with an average productivity loss of 7.8 ± 0.9 h per week (2.3 ± 0.6 h per week related to absenteeism and 5.5 ± 0.6 h per week related to presenteeism). Employment among patients with ILD aged 25 to 54 years was 23% lower than the age- and sex-matched general Canadian population (60% vs 83%; P < .001). Employment among patients with ILD aged ≥ 55 years was 18% lower than in the age- and sex-matched population (20% vs 38%; P < .001). Dyspnea and cough were independent predictors of workplace productivity loss. Estimated annual costs of productivity loss were 11,610 Canadian dollars per employee with ILD. CONCLUSIONS: Workplace productivity loss is common in fibrotic ILD, strongly correlated with symptom severity, and associated with significant cost.

Procedure volume and mortality after surgical lung biopsy in interstitial lung disease.

Surgical volume-outcome relationships are well established but have not been studied in patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) undergoing surgical lung biopsy (SLB). Our study objective was to determine if hospital SLB volume is associated with post-operative mortality in patients with ILD.A cohort study using administrative, population-based data from Ontario, Canada was performed in adults with ILD who underwent a SLB between 2001 and 2014. The association between yearly hospital SLB volume and 30-day post-operative mortality was assessed using multilevel logistic regression modelling.3057 surgical lung biopsies for ILD were performed during the study period with a median (interquartile range) yearly hospital volume of 73 (34-143) procedures. 30-day mortality was 7.1%, 20.2% and 1.9% in overall, nonelective and elective patients, respectively. Higher yearly hospital SLB volume was associated with lower odds of 30-day post-operative mortality after adjusting for patient characteristics (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.97; p=0.02), with the association appearing stronger for nonelective versus elective procedures (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.69-1.02; p=0.08 versus OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.74-1.18; p=0.57).Higher yearly hospital SLB volume was associated with lower post-operative mortality in patients with ILD, with the association appearing to be mainly driven by nonelective cases. SLB mortality was significantly higher for nonelective cases.

Forecasting Hospitalization and Emergency Department Visit Rates for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. A Time-Series Analysis.

RATIONALE: Knowing trends in and forecasting hospitalization and emergency department visit rates for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) can enable health care providers, hospitals, and health care decision makers to plan for the future. OBJECTIVES: We conducted a time-series analysis using health care administrative data from the Province of Ontario, Canada, to determine previous trends in acute care hospitalization and emergency department visit rates for COPD and then to forecast future rates. METHODS: Individuals aged 35 years and older with physician-diagnosed COPD were identified using four universal government health administrative databases and a validated case definition. Monthly COPD hospitalization and emergency department visit rates per 1,000 people with COPD were determined from 2003 to 2014 and then forecasted to 2024 using autoregressive integrated moving average models. RESULTS: Between 2003 and 2014, COPD prevalence increased from 8.9 to 11.1%. During that time, there were 274,951 hospitalizations and 290,482 emergency department visits for COPD. After accounting for seasonality, we found that monthly COPD hospitalization and emergency department visit rates per 1,000 individuals with COPD remained stable. COPD prevalence was forecasted to increase to 12.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.4-14.1) by 2024, whereas monthly COPD hospitalization and emergency department visit rates per 1,000 people with COPD were forecasted to remain stable at 2.7 (95% CI, 1.6-4.4) and 3.7 (95% CI, 2.3-5.6), respectively. Forecasted age- and sex-stratified rates were also stable. CONCLUSIONS: COPD hospital and emergency department visit rates per 1,000 people with COPD have been stable for more than a decade and are projected to remain stable in the near future. Given increasing COPD prevalence, this means notably more COPD health service use in the future.

Excess medical costs in patients with asthma and the role of comorbidity.

Asthmatic patients frequently have comorbidities, but the role of comorbidities in the economic burden of asthma is unclear. We examined the excess direct medical costs, including asthma- and comorbidity-related costs, in patients with asthma.We created a propensity score-matched cohort of patients newly diagnosed with asthma and non-asthmatic comparison subjects, both aged 5-55 years, from health administrative data (1997-2012) in British Columbia, Canada. Health services use records were categorised into 16 major disease categories based on International Classification of Diseases codes. Excess costs (in 2013 Canadian dollars ($)) were estimated as the adjusted difference in direct medical costs between the two groups.Average overall excess costs were estimated at $1058/person-year (95% CI 1006-1110), of which $134 (95% CI 132-136) was attributable to asthma and $689 (95% CI 649-730) to major comorbidity classes. Psychiatric disorders were the largest component of excess comorbidity costs, followed by digestive disorders, diseases of the nervous system, and respiratory diseases other than asthma. Comorbidity-attributable excess costs greatly increased with age but did not increase over the time course of asthma.These findings suggest that both asthma and comorbidity-related outcomes should be considered in formulating evidence-based policies and guidelines for asthma management.

Progression from Asthma to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Is Air Pollution a Risk Factor?

RATIONALE: Individuals with asthma-chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) overlap syndrome (ACOS), have more rapid decline in lung function, more frequent exacerbations, and poorer quality of life than those with asthma or COPD alone. Air pollution exposure is a known risk factor for asthma and COPD; however, its role in ACOS is not as well understood. OBJECTIVES: To determine if individuals with asthma exposed to higher levels of air pollution have an increased risk of ACOS. METHODS: Individuals who resided in Ontario, Canada, aged 18 years or older in 1996 with incident asthma between 1996 and 2009 who participated in the Canadian Community Health Survey were identified and followed until 2014 to determine the development of ACOS. Data on exposures to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) were obtained from fixed monitoring sites. Associations between air pollutants and ACOS were evaluated using Cox regression models. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of the 6,040 adults with incident asthma who completed the Canadian Community Health Survey, 630 were identified as ACOS cases. Compared with those without ACOS, the ACOS population had later onset of asthma, higher proportion of mortality, and more frequent emergency department visits before COPD diagnosis. The adjusted hazard ratios of ACOS and cumulative exposures to PM2.5 (per 10 µg/m(3)) and O3 (per 10 ppb) were 2.78 (95% confidence interval, 1.62-4.78) and 1.31 (95% confidence interval, 0.71-2.39), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals exposed to higher levels of air pollution had nearly threefold greater odds of developing ACOS. Minimizing exposure to high levels of air pollution may decrease the risk of ACOS.

History of Asthma in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. A Comparative Study of Economic Burden.

RATIONALE: A diagnosis of asthma is considered an independent risk factor for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, little is known about health service use patterns in patients with COPD who have a history of asthma in comparison with those without such a history, especially regarding comorbid conditions. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the excess costs of COPD in patients with a history of asthma (COPD+asthma) versus those with COPD without such a history (COPD-only); to estimate excess costs attributable to inpatient care, outpatient care, medications, and community care; and to estimate excess costs attributable to comorbid conditions. METHODS: We used vital statistics, inpatient and outpatient encounters, filled prescription records, and community care data of patients in British Columbia, Canada, from 1997 to 2012 to create propensity score-matched COPD+asthma and COPD-only cohorts. We calculated and compared the excess medical costs (in 2012 Canadian dollars [$]) between the two groups on the basis of billing information. Comorbidities were ascertained from the inpatient and outpatient records and were classified on the basis of major categories of the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The final sample consisted of 22,565 individuals within each group (mean age at baseline, 67.9 yr; 57.0% female; average follow-up, 4.07 yr). Excess costs of COPD+asthma were $540.7 per patient-year (PY) (95% confidence interval [CI], $301.7-$779.8; P < 0.001). Costs of medications ($657.9/PY; P < 0.001) and outpatient services ($127.6/PY; P < 0.001) were higher in COPD+asthma, but costs of hospitalizations were lower (-$271.0/PY; P = 0.002). Community care costs in the two groups were similar (P = 0.257). The excess cost of respiratory-related conditions was $856.2/PY (P < 0.001), with $552.6/PY being due to respiratory-related medications (P < 0.001); costs of all other conditions combined were lower in COPD+asthma, mainly due to lower costs of cardiovascular diseases (-$201.8/PY; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with COPD with a previous history of asthma consume more health care resources than those with COPD alone, but there are important differences in cost components and costs attributable to comorbid conditions. Further research is required to examine whether the lower costs of cardiovascular disease in these patients is due to lower levels of related risk factors or to intrinsic differences in COPD phenotypes.

Estimating Toronto's health services use for the 2015 Pan American and Parapan American Games.

AIMS: Ambient air temperature may exacerbate the burden of chronic diseases on Ontario's healthcare system during mass gathering events. This study aimed to estimate the impact of increasing temperature in July and August on health services use for chronic conditions in Ontario's Golden Horseshoe region during the 2015 Pan American and Parapan American Games, using environmental and health administrative data from previous years. METHOD: Negative binomial regression was used to calculate incidence risk ratios for same-day health services use (hospitalisations, emergency department visits, physician office visits) for all causes, asthma, asthma-related conditions, diabetes and hypertension associated with unit increases in daily maximum temperature from 1 May to 31 August in 2008-2010. Sensitivity analysis was performed to estimate the added burden of an increased population size, in order to model an influx of visitors during the Games. RESULTS: In July and August, on days with daily maximum temperatures of 35 °C compared to 25 °C, we estimated seeing 7,827 more physician office visits for all causes in Ontario's Golden Horseshoe region. The estimated relative increase in physician office visits for diabetes due to temperature alone was 8.4%. With an estimated 10% increase in population, the increase in physician office visits for all causes tripled to an estimated 23,590. CONCLUSION: Temperature was identified as a potential contributor to greater health services use during the Games, particularly for those living with diabetes. These results highlight the importance of strategic delivery of health services during mass gathering events, and suggest a role for educating at-risk individuals on prevention behaviours, particularly on very hot days.

Inappropriate Use of Ultrasound in Management of Pediatric Cryptorchidism.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: There is a limited role for ultrasound in the management of an undescended testicle (UDT). We hypothesized that ultrasound remains overused by referring physicians. Our goal was to characterize the trends, patterns, and impact of ultrasound use for UDT and to reaffirm its limited diagnostic value for this indication. METHODS: The records of boys aged 0 to 18 years with UDT in Ontario, Canada, between 2000 and 2011 were reviewed by using health administrative data housed at the Institute for Clinical and Evaluative Sciences (ICES). A second review of boys referred to our institution with UDT between 2007 and 2011 was conducted to complement the health administrative data. Trends in frequency, distribution, and costs of ultrasound use were assessed. Time delays between diagnosis and definitive management were compared between the ultrasound and non-ultrasound groups. Using our institutional data, we analyzed demographic patterns of ultrasound use and compared its diagnostic accuracy by using surgical findings as the gold standard. RESULTS: Ultrasound was used in 33.5% of provincial referrals and 50% of institutional referrals. Children who underwent ultrasound experienced an approximate 3-month delay in definitive surgical management. Ultrasound correctly predicted physical examination findings in only 54% of patients. Physicians in community practice, and those with fewer years in practice, were more likely to order ultrasound. CONCLUSIONS: Ultrasound has limited value for the management of UDT but remains widely overused, with an increasing trend over time. This practice has negative implications for access to care and cost-containment. Widespread educational efforts should be undertaken, targeting current and future referring physicians.

Quality of asthma care under different primary care models in Canada: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Previous research has shown variations in quality of care and patient outcomes under different primary care models. The objective of this study was to use previously validated, evidence-based performance indicators to measure quality of asthma care over time and to compare quality of care between different primary care models. METHODS: Data were obtained for years 2006 to 2010 from the Ontario Asthma Surveillance Information System, which uses health administrative databases to track individuals with asthma living in the province of Ontario, Canada. Individuals with asthma (n=1,813,922) were divided into groups based on the practice model of their primary care provider (i.e., fee-for-service, blended fee-for-service, blended capitation). Quality of asthma care was measured using six validated, evidence-based asthma care performance indicators. RESULTS: All of the asthma performance indicators improved over time within each of the primary care models. Compared to the traditional fee-for-service model, the blended fee-for-service and blended capitation models had higher use of spirometry for asthma diagnosis and monitoring, higher rates of inhaled corticosteroid prescription, and lower outpatient claims. Emergency department visits were lowest in the blended fee-for-service group. CONCLUSIONS: Quality of asthma care improved over time within each of the primary care models. However, the amount by which they improved differed between the models. The newer primary care models (i.e., blended fee-for-service, blended capitation) appear to provide better quality of asthma care compared to the traditional fee-for-service model.