Application of an Innovative Data Mining Approach Towards Safe Polypharmacy Practice in Older Adults.

INTRODUCTION: Polypharmacy is common and is associated with higher risk of adverse drug event (ADE) among older adults. Knowledge on the ADE risk level of exposure to different drug combinations is critical for safe polypharmacy practice, while approaches for this type of knowledge discovery are limited. The objective of this study was to apply an innovative data mining approach to discover high-risk and alternative low-risk high-order drug combinations (e.g., three- and four-drug combinations). METHODS: A cohort of older adults (≥ 65 years) who visited an emergency department (ED) were identified from Medicare fee-for-service and MarketScan Medicare supplemental data. We used International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes to identify ADE cases potentially induced by anticoagulants, antidiabetic drugs, and opioids from ED visit records. We assessed drug exposure data during a 30-day window prior to the ED visit dates. We investigated relationships between exposure of drug combinations and ADEs under the case-control setting. We applied the mixture drug-count response model to identify high-order drug combinations associated with an increased risk of ADE. We conducted therapeutic class-based mining to reveal low-risk alternative drug combinations for high-order drug combinations associated with an increased risk of ADE. RESULTS: We investigated frequent high-order drug combinations from 8.4 million ED visit records (5.1 million from Medicare data and 3.3 million from MarketScan data). We identified 5213 high-order drug combinations associated with an increased risk of ADE by controlling the false discovery rate at 0.01. We identified 1904 high-order, high-risk drug combinations had potential low-risk alternative drug combinations, where each high-order, high-risk drug combination and its corresponding low-risk alternative drug combination(s) have similar therapeutic classes. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrated the application of a data mining technique to discover high-order drug combinations associated with an increased risk of ADE. We identified high-risk, high-order drug combinations often have low-risk alternative drug combinations in similar therapeutic classes.

Improving Communication in Nursing Homes Using Plan-Do-Study-Act Cycles of an SBAR Training Program.

BACKGROUND: Incomplete communication between staff and providers may cause adverse outcomes for nursing home residents. The Situation-Background-Assessment-Recommendation (SBAR) tool is designed to improve communication around changes in condition (CIC). An adapted SBAR was developed for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services demonstration project, OPTIMISTIC, to increase its use during a resident CIC and to improve documentation. METHODS: Four Plan-Do-Study-Act (PDSA) cycles to develop and refine successive protocol implementation of the OPTIMISTIC SBAR were deployed in four Indiana nursing homes. Use of SBAR, documentation quality, and participant surveys were assessed pre- and post-intervention implementation. RESULTS: OPTIMISTIC SBAR use and documentation quality improved in three of the four buildings. Participants reported improved collaboration between nurses and providers after SBAR intervention. CONCLUSION: Successive PDSA cycles implementing changes in an OPTIMISTIC SBAR protocol for resident CIC led to an increase in SBAR use, improved documentation, and better collaboration between nursing staff and providers.

Leveraging Value-Based Purchasing to Improve Advance Care Planning.

Advance care planning (ACP) is an important component of person-centered care for older adults in nursing facilities. Although nursing facilities have a statutory obligation to offer ACP to residents, there are no minimum training requirements for staff. Lack of consistent ACP training contributes to significant variability in ACP conversation quality, inaccurate or incomplete documentation of preferences, and infrequent re-evaluation of prior decisions. Indiana added ACP training for nursing facility staff to the Value-Based Purchasing formula for 2019. Facilities received 5 points (of a 100-point total formula) if at least one staff member completed the designated ACP training during the year. ACP Foundations Training was developed by faculty at Indiana University and made available to all Indiana nursing facilities. A total of 1,087 participants, representing 94.2% (501 of 532) Indiana nursing facilities, completed the training. Approximately every participant (99.4%) agreed that the training had practical value. This academic-government partnership was successful in providing basic information about ACP to staff at most nursing facilities across Indiana and offers a model for states to provide critical educational content to nursing facility staff by incentivizing training. [Journal of Gerontological Nursing, 48(2), 31-35.].

Age-specific rates of hospital transfers in long-stay nursing home residents.

INTRODUCTION: hospital transfers and admissions are critical events in the care of nursing home residents. We sought to determine hospital transfer rates at different ages. METHODS: a cohort of 1,187 long-stay nursing home residents who had participated in a Centers for Medicare and Medicaid demonstration project. We analysed the number of hospital transfers of the study participants recorded by the Minimum Data Set. Using a modern regression technique, we depicted the annual rate of hospital transfers as a smooth function of age. RESULTS: transfer rates declined with age in a nonlinear fashion. Rates were the highest among residents younger than 60 years of age (1.30-2.15 transfers per year), relatively stable between 60 and 80 (1.17-1.30 transfers per year) and lower in those older than 80 (0.77-1.17 transfers per year). Factors associated with increased risk of transfers included prior diagnoses of hip fracture (annual incidence rate ratio or IRR: 2.057, 95% confidence interval (CI): [1.240, 3.412]), dialysis (IRR: 1.717, 95% CI: [1.313, 2.246]), urinary tract infection (IRR: 1.755, 95% CI: [1.361, 2.264]), pneumonia (IRR: 1.501, 95% CI: [1.072, 2.104]), daily pain (IRR: 1.297, 95% CI: [1.055,1.594]), anaemia (IRR: 1.229, 95% CI [1.068, 1.414]) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (IRR: 1.168, 95% CI: [1.010,1.352]). Transfer rates were lower in residents who had orders reflecting preferences for comfort care (IRR: 0.79, 95% CI: [0.665, 0.936]). DISCUSSION: younger nursing home residents may require specialised interventions to reduce hospital transfers; declining transfer rates with the oldest age groups may reflect preferences for comfort-focused care.

Facility and resident characteristics associated with variation in nursing home transfers: evidence from the OPTIMISTIC demonstration project.

BACKGROUND: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) funded demonstration project to evaluate financial incentives for nursing facilities providing care for 6 clinical conditions to reduce potentially avoidable hospitalizations (PAHs). The Optimizing Patient Transfers, Impacting Medical Quality, and Improving Symptoms: Transforming Institutional Care (OPTIMISTIC) site tested payment incentives alone and in combination with the successful nurse-led OPTIMISTIC clinical model. Our objective was to identify facility and resident characteristics associated with transfers, including financial incentives with or without the clinical model. METHODS: This was a longitudinal analysis from April 2017 to June 2018 of transfers among nursing home residents in 40 nursing facilities, 17 had the full clinical + payment model (1726 residents) and 23 had payment only model (2142 residents). Using CMS claims data, the Minimum Data Set, and Nursing Home Compare, multilevel logit models estimated the likelihood of all-cause transfers and PAHs (based on CMS claims data and ICD-codes) associated with facility and resident characteristics. RESULTS: The clinical + payment model was associated with 4.1 percentage points (pps) lower risk of all-cause transfers (95% confidence interval [CI] - 6.2 to - 2.1). Characteristics associated with lower PAH risk included residents aged 95+ years (- 2.4 pps; 95% CI - 3.8 to - 1.1), Medicare-Medicaid dual-eligibility (- 2.5 pps; 95% CI - 3.3 to - 1.7), advanced and moderate cognitive impairment (- 3.3 pps; 95% CI - 4.4 to - 2.1; - 1.2 pps; 95% CI - 2.2 to - 0.2). Changes in Health, End-stage disease and Symptoms and Signs (CHESS) score above most stable (CHESS score 4) increased the risk of PAH by 7.3 pps (95% CI 1.5 to 13.1). CONCLUSIONS: Multiple resident and facility characteristics are associated with transfers. Facilities with the clinical + payment model demonstrated lower risk of all-cause transfers compared to those with payment only, but not for PAHs.

Improving Nursing Facility Care Through an Innovative Payment Demonstration Project: Optimizing Patient Transfers, Impacting Medical Quality, and Improving Symptoms: Transforming Institutional Care Phase 2.

Optimizing Patient Transfers, Impacting Medical Quality, and Improving Symptoms: Transforming Institutional Care (OPTIMISTIC) is a 2-phase Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovations demonstration project now testing a novel Medicare Part B payment model for nursing facilities and practitioners in 40 Indiana nursing facilities. The new payment codes are intended to promote high-quality care in place for acutely ill long-stay residents. The focus of the initiative is to reduce hospitalizations through the diagnosis and on-site management of 6 common acute clinical conditions (linked to a majority of potentially avoidable hospitalizations of nursing facility residents): pneumonia, urinary tract infection, skin infection, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or asthma, and dehydration. This article describes the OPTIMISTIC Phase 2 model design, nursing facility and practitioner recruitment and training, and early experiences implementing new Medicare payment codes for nursing facilities and practitioners. Lessons learned from the OPTIMISTIC experience may be useful to others engaged in multicomponent quality improvement initiatives.

Nursing Home Regulations Redefined: Implications for Providers.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) finalized a comprehensive update to nursing home requirements of participation in October 2016. Nearly 10,000 public comments were received regarding the proposed rule, and CMS made multiple modifications based on comments from providers, advocacy organizations, and others before issuing the final rule. The final rule describing nursing home requirements of participation modernizes nursing home regulation. It is being implemented in three phases-beginning in November 2016, November 2017, and November 2019. There are multiple provisions that have implications for clinicians caring for nursing home residents, particularly in terms of management of infections, medication prescribing and monitoring, and delegation of medical orders.

Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act: What do Geriatrics Healthcare Professionals Need to Know About the Quality Payment Program?

Commencing in 2017, the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act (MACRA) of 2015 will change how Medicare pays health professionals. By enacting MACRA, Congress brought an end to the (un)sustainable growth rate formula while also setting forth a vision for how to transform the U.S. healthcare system so that clinicians deliver higher-quality care with smarter spending by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). In October 2016, CMS released the first of what stakeholders anticipate will be a number of (annual) rules related to implementation of MACRA. CMS received extensive input from stakeholders including the American Geriatrics Society. Under the Quality Payment Program, CMS streamlined multiple Medicare value-based payment programs into a new Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS). CMS also outlined how it will provide incentives for participation in Advanced Alternative Payment Models (called APMs). Although Medicare payments to geriatrics health professionals will not be based on the new MIPS formula until 2019, those payments will be based upon performance during a 90-day period in 2017. This article defines geriatrics health professionals as clinicians who care for a predominantly older adult population and who are eligible to bill under the Medicare Physician Fee Schedule. Given the current paucity of eligible APMs, this article will focus on MIPS while providing a brief overview of APMs.

Variation in Hospice Services by Location of Care: Nursing Home Versus Assisted Living Facility Versus Home.

OBJECTIVES: To describe differences in hospice services for patients living at home, in nursing homes or in assisted living facilities, including the overall number and duration of visits by different hospice care providers across varying lengths of stay. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using hospice patient electronic medical record data. SETTING: Large, national hospice provider. PARTICIPANTS: Data from 32,605 hospice patients who received routine hospice care from 2009 to 2014 were analyzed. MEASUREMENTS: Descriptive statistics were calculated for utilization measures for each type of provider and by location of care. Frequency and duration of service contacts were standardized to a 1 week period and pairwise comparisons were used to detect differences in care provided between the three settings. RESULTS: Minimal differences were found in overall intensity of service contacts across settings, however, the mix of services were different for patients living at home versus nursing home versus assisted living facility. Overall, more nurse care was provided at the beginning and end of the hospice episode; intensity of aide care services was higher in the middle portion of the hospice episode. Nearly 43% of the sample had hospice stays less than 2 weeks and up to 20% had stays greater than 6 months. CONCLUSION: There are significant differences between characteristics of hospice patients in different settings, as well as the mix of services they receive. Medicare hospice payment methodology was revised starting in 2016. While the new payment structure is in greater alignment with the U shape distribution of services, it will be important to evaluate the impact of the new payment methodology on length of stay and mix of services by different providers across settings of care.

Effect of Hospice Use on Costs of Care for Long-Stay Nursing Home Decedents.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the costs for long-stay (>90 days) nursing home (NH) decedents with and without hospice care. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using a 1999-2009 data set of linked Medicare and Medicaid claims and minimum data set (MDS) assessments. SETTING: Indiana NHs. PARTICIPANTS: Long-stay NH decedents (N = 2,510). MEASUREMENTS: Medicare costs were calculated for 2, 7, 14, 30, 90, and 180 days before death; Medicaid costs were calculated for dual-eligible beneficiaries. Total costs and costs for hospice, NH, and inpatient care are reported. RESULTS: Of 2,510 long-stay NH decedents, 35% received hospice. Mean length of hospice was 103 days (median 34 days). Hospice users were more likely to have cancer (P < .001), a do-not-resuscitate order in place (P < .001), greater cognitive impairment (P < .001), and worse activity of daily living (ADL) function (P < .001) and less likely to have had a hospitalization in the year before death (P < .001). In propensity score analyses, hospice users had lower total Medicare costs for all time periods up to and including 90 days before death. For dually eligible beneficiaries, overall costs and Medicare costs were significantly lower for hospice users up to 30 days before death. Medicaid costs were not different between the groups except for the 2-day time period. CONCLUSION: In this analysis of costs to Medicare and Medicaid for long-stay NH decedents, use of hospice did not increase costs in the last 6 months of life. Evidence supporting cost savings is sensitive to analyses that vary the time period before death.

Hospital Readmission Penalties: Coming Soon to a Nursing Home Near You!

The Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014 includes provisions for hospital readmission penalties for skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) starting in 2018. This presents an opportunity for care improvement but also raises several concerns regarding quality of care. The readmission measure for SNFs is similar to the current readmission measure for hospitals mandated under the Affordable Care Act, with the exception of adjustments made for sex. Because these measures for hospitals are similar, lessons can be learned from implementation of the existing hospital readmission penalties. In addition, there are three specific concerns that the authors relate to implementing the proposed measure in SNFs. There is poor communication and care coordination between care settings, including posthospitalization and post-SNF care in the current healthcare system. Adding readmission penalties to SNF regulations may create perverse incentives for prolonged SNF stays. The evidence base for the best means of caring for individuals after a brief stay in a SNF needs enrichment. These challenges need to be addressed as part of implementation of these new hospital readmission penalties for SNFs to improve care and prevent new unintended consequences.

Hospice use among nursing home and non-nursing home patients.

BACKGROUND: For nursing home patients, hospice use and associated costs have grown dramatically. A better understanding of hospice in all care settings, especially how patients move across settings, is needed to inform debates about appropriateness of use and potential policy reform. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to describe characteristics and utilization of hospice among nursing home and non-nursing home patients. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Medicare, Medicaid and Minimum Data Set data, 1999-2008, were merged for 3,771 hospice patients aged 65 years and above from a safety net health system. Patients were classified into four groups who received hospice: 1) only in nursing homes; 2) outside of nursing homes; 3) crossover patients utilizing hospice in both settings; and 4) "near-transition" patients who received hospice within 30 days of a nursing home stay. MAIN MEASURES: Differences in demographics, hospice diagnoses and length of stay, utilization and costs are presented with descriptive statistics. KEY RESULTS: Nursing home hospice patients were older, and more likely to be women and to have dementia (p < 0.0001). Nearly one-third (32.3 %) of crossover patients had hospice stays > 6 months, compared with the other groups (16 % of nursing home hospice only, 10.7 % of non-nursing home hospice and 7.6 % of those with near transitions) (p < 0.0001). Overall, 27.7 % of patients had a hospice stay <1 week, but there were marked differences between groups-48 % of near-transition patients vs. 7.4 % of crossover patients had these short hospice stays (p < 0.0001). Crossover and near-transition hospice patients had higher costs to Medicare compared to other groups (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Dichotomizing hospice users only into nursing home vs. non-nursing home patients is difficult, due to transitions across settings. Hospice patients with transitions accrue higher costs. The impact of changes to the hospice benefit on patients who live or move through nursing homes near the end of life should be carefully considered.

The Optimizing Patient Transfers, Impacting Medical Quality, andImproving Symptoms:Transforming Institutional Care approach: preliminary data from the implementation of a Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services nursing facility demonstration project.

The Optimizing Patient Transfers, Impacting Medical Quality, and Improving Symptoms: Transforming Institutional Care (OPTIMISTIC) project aims to reduce avoidable hospitalizations of long-stay residents enrolled in 19 central Indiana nursing facilities. This clinical demonstration project, funded by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Innovations Center, places a registered nurse in each nursing facility to implement an evidence-based quality improvement program with clinical support from nurse practitioners. A description of the model is presented, and early implementation experiences during the first year of the project are reported. Important elements include better medical care through implementation of Interventions to Reduce Acute Care Transfers tools and chronic care management, enhanced transitional care, and better palliative care with a focus on systematic advance care planning. There were 4,035 long-stay residents in 19 facilities enrolled in OPTIMISTIC between February 2013 and January 2014. Root-cause analyses were performed for all 910 acute transfers of these long stay residents. Of these transfers, the project RN evaluated 29% as avoidable (57% were not avoidable and 15% were missing), and opportunities for quality improvement were identified in 54% of transfers. Lessons learned in early implementation included defining new clinical roles, integrating into nursing facility culture, managing competing facility priorities, communicating with multiple stakeholders, and developing a system for collecting and managing data. The success of the overall initiative will be measured primarily according to reduction in avoidable hospitalizations of long-stay nursing facility residents.

Racial differences in hospice use and patterns of care after enrollment in hospice among Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: We examined racial differences in patterns of care and resource use among Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure after enrollment in hospice. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of a 5% nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure who died between 2000 and 2008. Outcomes of interest included adjusted and unadjusted associations of race with hospice enrollment for any diagnosis, disenrollment, and resource use after enrollment. RESULTS: The study population included 219,275 Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure, of whom 31.4% of white patients and 24.3% of nonwhite patients enrolled in hospice in the last 6 months of life (P < .001). Despite increasing rates of hospice use for both white and nonwhite patients, nonwhite patients were 20% less likely to enroll in hospice (adjusted relative risk, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.79-0.82). After enrollment, nonwhite patients were more likely to have an emergency department visit (42.6% vs 33.9%; P<.001), to be hospitalized (46.8% vs 38.5%; P<.001), and to have an intensive care unit stay (16.9% vs 13.3%; P<.001). These differences persisted after adjustment for patient characteristics. Nonwhite patients were also more likely to disenroll from hospice (11.6% vs 7.2%; P<.001). Among patients who remained in hospice until death, nonwhite patients had higher rates of acute care resource use and higher overall costs. CONCLUSION: Rates of hospice use have increased over time for both white and nonwhite patients. Nonwhite patients were less likely than white patients to enroll in hospice and had higher resource use after electing hospice care, regardless of disenrollment status.

Associations between published quality ratings of skilled nursing facilities and outcomes of medicare beneficiaries with heart failure.

INTRODUCTION: Nursing Home Compare quality ratings are designed to allow patients, families, and clinicians to compare facilities based on quality, but associations of the current measures with important clinical outcomes are not known. Our study examined associations between ratings and readmission and mortality among Medicare beneficiaries admitted to a skilled nursing facility with a primary diagnosis of heart failure. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 164,672 Medicare beneficiaries discharged to skilled nursing facilities after hospitalization for heart failure in 2006-2007. The main outcome measures were readmission and mortality within 90 days. RESULTS: One-fifth of the 13,619 skilled nursing facilities received a 1-star rating and 11% received a 5-star rating. Nearly half of the patients discharged to a skilled nursing facility were readmitted to a hospital within 90 days after discharge, and 30% died within 90 days. Compared with patients in 5-star skilled nursing facilities, patients in 1-star facilities had higher risks of 90-day readmission (hazard ratio, 1.08) and mortality (1.15). After adjustment for facility size and ownership type, the associations between the quality rating and readmission were not statistically significant, but the associations with mortality were significant. CONCLUSION: Publicly reported Nursing Home Compare quality ratings of Medicare-certified skilled nursing facilities were modestly associated with 90-day readmission and mortality among Medicare beneficiaries discharged to these facilities after hospitalization for heart failure.

Resource use in the last 6 months of life among medicare beneficiaries with heart failure, 2000-2007.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure is a common cause of death among Medicare beneficiaries, but little is known about health care resource use at the end of life. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort study of 229,543 Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure who died between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2007, we examined resource use in the last 180 days of life, including all-cause hospitalizations, intensive care unit days, skilled nursing facility stays, home health, hospice, durable medical equipment, outpatient physician visits, and cardiac procedures. We calculated overall costs to Medicare and predictors of costs. RESULTS: Approximately 80% of patients were hospitalized in the last 6 months of life; days in intensive care increased from 3.5 to 4.6 (P<.001). Use of hospice increased from 19% to nearly 40% of patients (P<.001). Unadjusted mean costs to Medicare per patient rose 26% from $28,766 to $36,216 (P<.001). After adjustment for age, sex, race, comorbid conditions, and geographic region, costs increased by 11% (cost ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-1.13). Increasing age was strongly and independently associated with lower costs. Renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and black race were independent predictors of higher costs. CONCLUSIONS: Among Medicare beneficiaries with heart failure, health care resource use at the end of life increased over time with higher rates of intensive care and higher costs. However, the use of hospice services also increased markedly, representing a shift in patterns of care at the end of life.