Weight calibration in the joint modelling of medical cost and mortality.

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is a method that recognizes the dependency between the two data types, and combines the two outcomes into a single model, which leads to more precise estimates. These models are applicable when individuals are followed over a period of time, generally to monitor the progression of a disease or a medical condition, and also when longitudinal covariates are available. Medical cost datasets are often also available in longitudinal scenarios, but these datasets usually arise from a complex sampling design rather than simple random sampling and such complex sampling design needs to be accounted for in the statistical analysis. Ignoring the sampling mechanism can lead to misleading conclusions. This article proposes a novel approach to the joint modelling of complex data by combining survey calibration with standard joint modelling. This is achieved by incorporating a new set of equations to calibrate the sampling weights for the survival model in a joint model setting. The proposed method is applied to data on anti-dementia medication costs and mortality in people with diagnosed dementia in New Zealand.

Impact of body mass index on total cost of trauma and elective spine surgical procedures at a quaternary spinal referral centre.

BACKGROUND: Evidence surrounding obesity concludes it places a significant burden on the healthcare sector. Our objective was to quantify the financial impacts of obesity, specifically the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and total cost of spinal surgery. The links between BMI and length of stay, readmission and theatre times were explored. It was predicted that with increasing obesity, total cost would increase. METHODS: Retrospective review of patients that received spinal surgery at Middlemore Hospital between 1 October 2017 and 30 November 2019. Data were collected on patient demographics, procedure details, total cost, as well as potential variables (trauma, acute/elective, surgical complexity, readmissions, comorbidities, injury severity). Data were fitted using linear and generalized linear models, with BMI fitted using natural splines. RESULTS: Obesity prevalence in South Auckland was reflected in the study population of 533, with the average BMI being 30.16. Results for BMI less than or equal to 24, and above 48, were statistically significant (P = 0.037, 95% CI). Total cost increased on either side of BMI 33.1. BMI 18 had 60% increase in total cost (95% CI (17, 118)) and BMI 55 of 38.3% (95% CI (-8.3, 109)). Positive associations were found with increasing BMI and induction time and readmission rate respectively. The relationship between BMI and length of stay and other variables were not significant. CONCLUSION: The relationship between BMI and total cost is non-linear and there is an increase in induction time with higher BMI patients.

Development of a Bronchoscopy-Radiologic Skills and Task Assessment Tool (BRadSTAT): A Tool for Evaluating the Radiological Skills of Bronchoscopists with Different Experience.

BACKGROUND: Competency using radiologic images for bronchoscopic navigation is presumed during subspecialty training, but no assessments objectively measure combined knowledge of radiologic interpretation and ability to maneuver a bronchoscope into peripheral airways. OBJECTIVES: The objectives of this study were (i) to determine whether the Bronchoscopy-Radiology Skills and Tasks Assessment Tool (BRadSTAT) discriminates between bronchoscopists of various levels of experience and (ii) to improve construct validity using study findings. METHODS: BRadSTAT contains 10 questions that assess chest X-ray and CT scan interpretation using multiple images per question and 2 technical skill assessments. After administration to 33 bronchoscopists (5 Beginners, 9 Intermediates, 10 Experienced, and 9 Experts), discriminative power was strengthened using differential weighting on CT-related questions, producing the BRadSTAT-CT score. Cut points for both scores were determined via cross-validation. RESULTS: Mean BRadSTAT scores for Beginner, Intermediate, Experienced, and Expert were 74 (±13 SD), 78 (±14), 86 (±9), and 88 (±8), respectively. Statistically significant differences were noted between Expert and Beginner, Expert and Intermediate, and Experienced and Beginner (all p ≤ 0.05). Mean BRadSTAT-CT scores for Beginner, Intermediate, Experienced, and Expert were 63 (±14), 74 (±15), 82 (±13), and 90 (±9), respectively, all statistically significant (p ≤ 0.03). Cut points for BRadSTAT-CT had lower sensitivity but greater specificity and accuracy than for BRadSTAT. CONCLUSION: BRadSTAT represents the first validated assessment tool measuring knowledge and skills for bronchoscopic access to peripheral airways, which discriminates between bronchoscopists of various experience levels. Refining BRadSTAT produced the BRadSTAT-CT, which had higher discriminative power. Future studies should focus on their usefulness in competency-based bronchoscopy programs.

Video or verbal? A randomised trial of the informed consent process prior to endoscopy.

AIM: Informed consent (IC) prior to endoscopy is often inconsistently and poorly performed. We compared use of video-assisted consent to standard verbal consent for enhancing patients' recollection of procedural risks, understanding and fulfilment of expectation. METHOD: Two hundred patients attending for gastroscopy or colonoscopy were randomised to either video-assisted consent (n=100) or verbal consent (n=100). The primary outcomes measured via a questionnaire were the recollection of procedural risks (sum of all correct answers for risk recall items) and patient experience compared to information provided in the consent process. Secondary outcomes included reported patient understanding and staff satisfaction between groups. RESULTS: There was no difference between video or verbal groups in terms of risk recall scores (p=0.46), with less than half the patients able to recall more than two risks. There was a signal towards improved recall of bleeding as a potential risk in the video as compared to the verbal arm but it did not reach statistical significance (p=0.059). Patients' perceived understanding and fulfilment of expectation was high (>96%) in both groups. Seventy-one percent of the staff preferred using the video over the verbal IC. CONCLUSION: Video-assisted consent made no significant difference to the IC process in terms of patient recollection or experience compared to usual verbal IC. Despite very poor recollection of procedural risks, patients in both the video and verbal groups reported understanding of the procedure and satisfaction with the IC process. Reasons for this mismatch are unclear. Further action to prioritise information delivery during IC is required. Future studies in this field should include patient-centred outcomes as a measure of success.

Efficacy of a Web-Based Safety Decision Aid for Women Experiencing Intimate Partner Violence: Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a human rights violation and leading health burden for women. Safety planning is a hallmark of specialist family violence intervention, yet only a small proportion of women access formal services. A Web-based safety decision aid may reach a wide audience of women experiencing IPV and offer the opportunity to prioritize and plan for safety for themselves and their families. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to test the efficacy of a Web-based safety decision aid (isafe) for women experiencing IPV. METHODS: We conducted a fully automated Web-based two-arm parallel randomized controlled trial (RCT) in a general population of New Zealand women who had experienced IPV in the past 6 months. Computer-generated randomization was based on a minimization scheme with stratification by severity of violence and children. Women were randomly assigned to the password-protected intervention website (safety priority setting, danger assessment, and tailored action plan components) or control website (standard, nonindividualized information). Primary endpoints were self-reported mental health (Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-Revised, CESD-R) and IPV exposure (Severity of Violence Against Women Scale, SVAWS) at 12-month follow-up. Analyses were by intention to treat. RESULTS: Women were recruited from September 2012 to September 2014. Participants were aged between 16 and 60 years, 27% (111/412) self-identified as Maori (indigenous New Zealand), and 51% (210/412) reported at baseline that they were unsure of their future plans for their partner relationship. Among the 412 women recruited, retention at 12 months was 87%. The adjusted estimated intervention effect for SVAWS was -12.44 (95% CI -23.35 to -1.54) for Maori and 0.76 (95% CI -5.57 to 7.09) for non-Maori. The adjusted intervention effect for CESD-R was -7.75 (95% CI -15.57 to 0.07) for Maori and 1.36 (-3.16 to 5.88) for non-Maori. No study-related adverse events were reported. CONCLUSIONS: The interactive, individualized Web-based isafe decision aid was effective in reducing IPV exposure limited to indigenous Maori women. Discovery of a treatment effect in a population group that experiences significant health disparities is a welcome, important finding. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ANZCTR): ACTRN12612000708853; https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?ACTRN=12612000708853 (Archived by Webcite at http://www.webcitation/61MGuVXdK).

Socioeconomic factors correlating with community antimicrobial prescribing.

BACKGROUND: Increasing antimicrobial resistance is a serious concern in New Zealand and worldwide. Antimicrobial resistance is tied to increased community antimicrobial consumption. Investigation of the drivers of antimicrobial prescribing in different locales is needed so that targeted interventions can be devised. Counties Manukau District Health Board (CMDHB) serves a diverse, relatively socio-economically deprived population that has the highest rate of community antimicrobial prescribing in New Zealand. We hypothesise that socio-economic factors are important in determining much of the prescribing of antimicrobials in the CMDHB population. METHODS: We collected data on the number of antibacterial prescriptions per person in each pre-defined geographical Area Unit in the CMDHB community in 2013, and compared these with demographic and socioeconomic parameters collected in the 2013 New Zealand census. Simple and multiple linear regression analyses were used to identify factors that correlated with antimicrobial prescribing. RESULTS: Multiple regression analysis showed that antimicrobial prescribing was strongly associated with a higher ratio of number of people to bedrooms in a dwelling (an index of crowding), with some added association with Maori ethnicity. When these factors were accounted for, there was no significant added influence from a range of other factors such as income, smoking or educational qualifications. CONCLUSIONS: Antimicrobial prescribing may be influenced by different factors within different communities. It is important to target the determinants of antimicrobial prescribing when addressing the issue of high community antimicrobial consumption. In the CMDHB community, crowding in homes is associated with higher rates of antimicrobial prescribing. This association may be because crowding directly increases infection rates, or that crowding serves as a proxy for other factors yet to be identified. Further investigation of the determinants of antimicrobial prescribing is needed.

A web-based intervention for abused women: the New Zealand isafe randomised controlled trial protocol.

BACKGROUND: Intimate partner violence (IPV) and its associated negative mental health consequences are significant for women in New Zealand and internationally. One of the most widely recommended interventions is safety planning. However, few women experiencing violence access specialist services for safety planning. A safety decision aid, weighing the dangers of leaving or staying in an abusive relationship, gives women the opportunity to prioritise, plan and take action to increase safety for themselves and their children. This randomised controlled trial is testing the effectiveness of an innovative, interactive web-based safety decision aid. The trial is an international collaborative concurrent replication of a USA trial (IRIS study NCT01312103), regionalised for the Aotearoa New Zealand culture and offers fully automated online trial recruitment, eligibility screening and consent. METHODS/DESIGN: In a fully automated web-based trial (isafe) 340 abused women will be randomly assigned in equal numbers to a safety decision aid intervention or usual safety planning control website. Intervention components include: (a) safety priority setting, (b) danger assessment and (c) an individually tailored safety action plan. Self-reported outcome measures are collected at baseline and 3, 6, and 12-months post-baseline. Primary outcomes are depression (measured by Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale, Revised) and IPV exposure (measured by Severity Violence Against Women Scale) at 12 months post-baseline. Secondary outcomes include PTSD, psychological abuse, decisional conflict, safety behaviors and danger in the relationship. DISCUSSION: This trial will provide much-needed information on the potential relationships among safety planning, improved mental health, reduced violence as well as decreased decisional conflict related to safety in the abusive relationship. The novel web-based safety decision aid intervention may provide a cost-effective, easily accessed safety-planning resource that can be translated into clinical and community practice by multiple health disciplines and advocates. The trial will also provide information about how women in abusive relationships safely access safety information and resources through the Internet. Finally, the trial will inform other research teams on the feasibility and acceptability of fully automated recruitment, eligibility screening, consent and retention procedures. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial registered on 03 July 2012 on the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12612000708853 .

Telerehabilitation to improve outcomes for people with stroke: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: In New Zealand, around 45,000 people live with stroke and many studies have reported that benefits gained during initial rehabilitation are not sustained. Evidence indicates that participation in physical interventions can prevent the functional decline that frequently occurs after discharge from acute care facilities. However, on-going stroke services provision following discharge from acute care is often related to non-medical factors such as availability of resources and geographical location. Currently most people receive no treatment beyond three months post stroke. The study aims to determine if the Augmented Community Telerehabilitation Intervention (ACTIV) results in better physical function for people with stroke than usual care, as measured by the Stroke Impact Scale, physical subcomponent. METHODS/DESIGN: This study will use a multi-site, two-arm, assessor blinded, parallel randomised controlled trial design. People will be eligible if they have had their first ever stroke, are over 20 and have some physical impairment in either arm or leg, or both. Following discharge from formal physiotherapy services (inpatient, outpatient or community), participants will be randomised into ACTIV or usual care. ACTIV uses readily available technology, telephone and mobile phones, combined with face-to-face visits from a physiotherapist over a six-month period, to help people with stroke resume activities they enjoyed before the stroke. The impact of stroke on physical function and quality of life will be assessed, measures of cost will be collected and a discrete choice survey will be used to measure preferences for rehabilitation options. These outcomes will be collected at baseline, six months and 12 months. In-depth interviews will be used to explore the experiences of people participating in the intervention arm of the study. DISCUSSION: The lack of on-going rehabilitation for people with stroke diminishes the chance of their best possible outcome and may contribute to a functional decline following discharge from formal rehabilitation. Best practice guidelines recommend a prolonged period of rehabilitation, however this is expensive and therefore not undertaken in most publicly funded centres. An effective, cost-effective, and preference-sensitive therapy using basic technology to assist programme delivery may improve patient autonomy as they leave formal rehabilitation and return home. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN12612000464864.

Physicians' efficacy requirements for prescribing medications to persons with Alzheimer's disease.

Physicians (N=803) were contacted via postal survey and given two sets of efficacy measures for drug treatments in Alzheimer's disease: (a) the time that patients spend in a mild or moderate state of disease; (b) levels of modification to disease progression in the areas of cognition, behaviour, and mood, and ability to perform basic activities of daily living. Physicians reported that they would prescribe a hypothetical, new Alzheimer's disease medication if it would allow patients to remain in their current disease state for 15 (mild) or 11 (moderate) additional months. Most physicians required a permanent halt to, or some reversal of, disease progression as a prerequisite for prescribing; a few required substantial reversal. More stringent efficacy requirements were negatively associated with physicians' current prescribing of cholinesterase inhibitors to persons with Alzheimer's disease, although the effects were either small (odds ratio=0.99) or not statistically significant at the 5 per cent level. The results suggest that physicians with stringent efficacy requirements for clinically relevant efficacy measures are less likely to prescribe cholinesterase inhibitors.