Predicted heart age profile across 41 countries: A cross-sectional study of nationally representative surveys in six world regions.

Background: Predicted heart age (PHA) can simplify communicating the absolute cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Few studies have characterized PHA across multiple populations, and none has described whether people with excess PHA are eligible for preventive treatment for CVD. Methods: Pooled analysis of 41 World Health Organization (WHO) STEPS surveys conducted in 41 countries in six world regions between 2013 and 2019. PHA was calculated as per the non-laboratory Framingham risk score in adults without history of CVD. We described the differences between chronological age and PHA, the distribution of PHA, and the proportion of people with excess PHA that were eligible for antihypertensive and lipid-lowering treatment following the WHO guidelines. Logistic regression models were fitted to assess sociodemographic and health-related variables associated with PHA excess. Findings: 94,655 individuals aged 30-74 years were included. 36% of those aged 30-34 years had a PHA of 30-34 years; 9% of those aged 60-64 years had a PHA of 60-64 years. Countries in Africa had the lowest prevalence of very high PHA (i.e., PHA exceeding chronological age in ≥5 years) and countries in Western Pacific had the highest. ≥50% of the population with PHA excess (i.e., PHA exceeding chronological age in ≥1 year) was not eligible for antihypertensive nor lipid-lowering treatment. Abdominal obesity, high total cholesterol, smoking and having diabetes were associated with higher odds of having PHA excess, whereas higher education and employment were inversely associated with excess PHA. Interpretation: PHA is generally higher than chronological age in LMICs and there are regional disparities. Most people with excess PHA would not be eligible to receive preventive medication. Funding: RMC-L is supported by a Wellcome Trust International Training Fellowship (214185/Z/18/Z).

Clinical outcomes and cost analysis of exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Exacerbations are a major cause of disability, hospital admissions, and increased healthcare costs in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study investigated the clinical outcomes of outpatients with moderate to severe exacerbated COPD and their related costs. METHODS: An observational study on the outcomes of ambulatory exacerbations of COPD was conducted. The course of the exacerbation was evaluated at a follow-up visit at 4 weeks. A cost analysis that encompassed the use of healthcare resources for treatment of the exacerbation was performed. RESULTS: A total of 260 patients were included, with a mean age of 68.3 years and a mean FEV1 (% predicted) of 58.9 %. Twenty-two percent of patients had significant cardiovascular comorbidity. The most frequently prescribed antibiotics were moxifloxacin in 137 cases and amoxicillin-clavulanate in 50 cases. The rate of failure at 4 weeks was 12.5 %, with no differences between the two most prescribed antibiotics; however, patients treated with moxifloxacin had symptoms for 1.9 fewer days (P = 0.01). The mean cost of the exacerbation was 344.96 (95 % CI: 48.55-641.78), with 9.6 % of the costs for drugs and 72.9 % for hospital care of patients for whom treatment had failed. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic treatment of our population was in compliance with local guidelines. The rate of failure observed in our study was lower than that reported in previous studies; however, the small percentage of patients that required hospital attention generated almost two-thirds of the total costs of the exacerbations.