ECG based assessment of circadian variation in AV-nodal conduction during AF-Influence of rate control drugs.

The heart rate during atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly dependent on the conduction properties of the atrioventricular (AV) node. These properties can be affected using ß-blockers or calcium channel blockers, mainly chosen empirically. Characterization of individual AV-nodal conduction could assist in personalized treatment selection during AF. Individual AV nodal refractory periods and conduction delays were characterized based on 24-hour ambulatory ECGs from 60 patients with permanent AF. This was done by estimating model parameters from a previously created mathematical network model of the AV node using a problem-specific genetic algorithm. Based on the estimated model parameters, the circadian variation and its drug-dependent difference between treatment with two ß-blockers and two calcium channel blockers were quantified on a population level by means of cosinor analysis using a linear mixed-effect approach. The mixed-effects analysis indicated increased refractoriness relative to baseline for all drugs. An additional decrease in circadian variation for parameters representing conduction delay was observed for the ß-blockers. This indicates that the two drug types have quantifiable differences in their effects on AV-nodal conduction properties. These differences could be important in treatment outcome, and thus quantifying them could assist in treatment selection.

An Integrative Approach for Improved Assessment of Cardiovascular Safety Data.

Cardiovascular adverse effects in drug development are a major source of compound attrition. Characterization of blood pressure (BP), heart rate (HR), stroke volume (SV), and QT-interval prolongation are therefore necessary in early discovery. It is, however, common practice to analyze these effects independently of each other. High-resolution time courses are collected via telemetric techniques, but only low-resolution data are analyzed and reported. This ignores codependencies among responses (HR, BP, SV, and QT-interval) and separation of system (turnover properties) and drug-specific properties (potencies, efficacies). An analysis of drug exposure-time and high-resolution response-time data of HR and mean arterial blood pressure was performed after acute oral dosing of ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobendan in Han-Wistar rats. All data were modeled jointly, including different compounds and exposure and response time courses, using a nonlinear mixed-effects approach. Estimated fractional turnover rates [h-1, relative standard error (%RSE) within parentheses] were 9.45 (15), 30.7 (7.8), 3.8 (13), and 0.115 (1.7) for QT, HR, total peripheral resistance, and SV, respectively. Potencies (nM, %RSE within parentheses) were IC 50 = 475 (11), IC 50 = 4.01 (5.4), EC 50 = 50.6 (93), and IC 50 = 47.8 (16), and efficacies (%RSE within parentheses) were I max = 0.944 (1.7), Imax = 1.00 (1.3), E max = 0.195 (9.9), and Imax = 0.745 (4.6) for ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobendan. Hill parameters were estimated with good precision and below unity, indicating a shallow concentration-response relationship. An equilibrium concentration-biomarker response relationship was predicted and displayed graphically. This analysis demonstrates the utility of a model-based approach integrating data from different studies and compounds for refined preclinical safety margin assessment. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: A model-based approach was proposed utilizing biomarker data on heart rate, blood pressure, and QT-interval. A pharmacodynamic model was developed to improve assessment of high-resolution telemetric cardiovascular safety data driven by different drugs (ivabradine, sildenafil, dofetilide, and pimobondan), wherein system- (turnover rates) and drug-specific parameters (e.g., potencies and efficacies) were sought. The model-predicted equilibrium concentration-biomarker response relationships and was used for safety assessment (predictions of 20% effective concentration, for example) of heart rate, blood pressure, and QT-interval.

Modeling the effect of Kv1.5 block on the canine action potential.

A wide range of ion channels have been considered as potential targets for pharmacological treatment of atrial fibrillation. The Kv1.5 channel, carrying the I(Kur) current, has received special attention because it contributes to repolarization in the atria but is absent or weakly expressed in ventricular tissue. The dog serves as an important animal model for electrophysiological studies of the heart and mathematical models of the canine atrial action potential (CAAP) have been developed to study the interplay between ionic currents. To enable more-realistic studies on the effects of Kv1.5 blockers on the CAAP in silico, two continuous-time Markov models of the guarded receptor type were formulated for Kv1.5 and subsequently inserted into the Ramirez-Nattel-Courtemanche model of the CAAP. The main findings were: 1), time- and state-dependent Markov models of open-channel Kv1.5 block gave significantly different results compared to a time- and state-independent model with a downscaled conductance; 2), the outcome of Kv1.5 block on the macroscopic system variable APD(90) was dependent on the precise mechanism of block; and 3), open-channel block produced a reverse use-dependent prolongation of APD(90). This study suggests that more-complex ion-channel models are a prerequisite for quantitative modeling of drug effects.