Genome assembly of autotetraploid Actinidia arguta highlights adaptive evolution and enables dissection of important economic traits.

Actinidia arguta, the most widely distributed Actinidia species and the second cultivated species in the genus, can be distinguished from the currently cultivated Actinidia chinensis on the basis of its small and smooth fruit, rapid softening, and excellent cold tolerance. Adaptive evolution of tetraploid Actinidia species and the genetic basis of their important agronomic traits are still unclear. Here, we generated a chromosome-scale genome assembly of an autotetraploid male A. arguta accession. The genome assembly was 2.77 Gb in length with a contig N50 of 9.97 Mb and was anchored onto 116 pseudo-chromosomes. Resequencing and clustering of 101 geographically representative accessions showed that they could be divided into two geographic groups, Southern and Northern, which first diverged 12.9 million years ago. A. arguta underwent two prominent expansions and one demographic bottleneck from the mid-Pleistocene climate transition to the late Pleistocene. Population genomics studies using paleoclimate data enabled us to discern the evolution of the species' adaptation to different historical environments. Three genes (AaCEL1, AaPME1, and AaDOF1) related to flesh softening were identified by multi-omics analysis, and their ability to accelerate flesh softening was verified through transient expression assays. A set of genes that characteristically regulate sexual dimorphism located on the sex chromosome (Chr3) or autosomal chromosomes showed biased expression during stamen or carpel development. This chromosome-level assembly of the autotetraploid A. arguta genome and the genes related to important agronomic traits will facilitate future functional genomics research and improvement of A. arguta.

Epidemiological and clinical features, treatment status, and economic burden of traumatic spinal cord injury in China: a hospital-based retrospective study.

Traumatic spinal cord injury is potentially catastrophic and can lead to permanent disability or even death. China has the largest population of patients with traumatic spinal cord injury. Previous studies of traumatic spinal cord injury in China have mostly been regional in scope; national-level studies have been rare. To the best of our knowledge, no national-level study of treatment status and economic burden has been performed. This retrospective study aimed to examine the epidemiological and clinical features, treatment status, and economic burden of traumatic spinal cord injury in China at the national level. We included 13,465 traumatic spinal cord injury patients who were injured between January 2013 and December 2018 and treated in 30 hospitals in 11 provinces/municipalities representing all geographical divisions of China. Patient epidemiological and clinical features, treatment status, and total and daily costs were recorded. Trends in the percentage of traumatic spinal cord injuries among all hospitalized patients and among patients hospitalized in the orthopedic department and cost of care were assessed by annual percentage change using the Joinpoint Regression Program. The percentage of traumatic spinal cord injuries among all hospitalized patients and among patients hospitalized in the orthopedic department did not significantly change overall (annual percentage change, -0.5% and 2.1%, respectively). A total of 10,053 (74.7%) patients underwent surgery. Only 2.8% of patients who underwent surgery did so within 24 hours of injury. A total of 2005 (14.9%) patients were treated with high-dose (≥ 500 mg) methylprednisolone sodium succinate/methylprednisolone (MPSS/MP); 615 (4.6%) received it within 8 hours. The total cost for acute traumatic spinal cord injury decreased over the study period (-4.7%), while daily cost did not significantly change (1.0% increase). Our findings indicate that public health initiatives should aim at improving hospitals' ability to complete early surgery within 24 hours, which is associated with improved sensorimotor recovery, increasing the awareness rate of clinical guidelines related to high-dose MPSS/MP to reduce the use of the treatment with insufficient evidence.

The role of physical activity on healthcare utilization in China.

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the role of physical activity (PA) on healthcare utilization and expenditure is limited in China. We aimed to examine the association between the total physical activity (TPA) per week, healthcare service use and expenditure. METHODS: We extracted the data from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011, 2013, and 2015. Participants more than 50 years old who completed the follow-up for the three waves were enrolled. We converted the volume of vigorous physical activity (VPA) into an equivalent volume of moderate physical activity (MPA) and calculated the TPA per week for each participant. 12,927 of the 17,708 participants in CHARLS were included in our analysis. More than one-third of participants over 50 years old never participate in any moderate or intensity activity, and the median of self-reported moderate or intensity PA was about 525 (IQR 0-1680) MET-minutes per week in 2015. RESULTS: Compared to inactive subjects, the highest level of TPA was significantly related to the decreased risk number of inpatient visits (IRR: 0.58; 95% CI:0.50-0.67, p < 0.001), inpatient hospital days (IRR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.42-0.84, p < 0.01), healthcare expenditure (IRR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.65-0.79, p < 0.001) and catastrophic health expenditures (OR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.45-0.72, p < 0.001) after adjusting for covariates. CONCLUSIONS: Engaging in moderate-to-vigorous PA may drive a potential decrease in healthcare utilization, healthcare expenditure and household financial risk with a dose-response relationship in China, and some possible policy implications in public health may be considered to promote exercise in the middle-aged and elderly to reduce the medical burden on individuals and healthcare systems.

Maturity degree assessment of hospital ward system using integrated fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS model.

BACKGROUND: The hospital ward system is the core service unit of a hospital and an important aspect of hospital management. The maturity of the hospital ward system represents the level of development and improvement in ward management and services. In order to improve the quality of hospital services, it is significant to assess the maturity of the ward system. Although various assessment methods have been proposed in existing studies, there are some issues such as a single-dimensional factor system, subjectivity in qualitative factor values, and insufficient objectivity in the evaluation methods. METHODS: Therefore, based on the data collection of the factors used in the existing literature, this study made correlation analysis, determined the similarity of factors, and established a maturity assessment factor system satisfying distinctiveness and comprehensiveness. Furthermore, an evaluation method for the weights of each factor was proposed based on the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, while taking account of the ambiguity of expert information. In addition, through the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution method, an objective evaluation method for the maturity of the hospital ward system was established. Finally, a case study involving 6 hospitals in a specific location was conducted. RESULTS: There are a total of 16 factors used to assess the maturity of the hospital ward system, among which the most important is Doctor service. The maturity degree of the 6 researched hospitals are 0.4517, 0.0035, 0.4254, 0.8681, 0.6636, 0.1586, and the maturity degree of the 6 researched hospitals are II, I, II, IV, III, I. CONCLUSION: The factor system constructed in this study effectively reflected the importance of human-related factors in the development process of ward system. The evaluation results were consistent with the actual situation, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Chinese adaptation and validation of the chronic rhinosinusitis-patient-reported outcome: Assessment of health-related quality-of-life.

BACKGROUND: The chronic rhinosinusitis patient-reported outcome (CRS-PRO) is a recently published disease-specific questionnaire designed for CRS patients, with fewer entries and ease of completion. This study aimed to translate the CRS-PRO questionnaire into Chinese and assess its reliability, validity, and responsiveness to provide Chinese patients with a more concise and efficient subjective assessment instrument. METHODS: The Chinese version of the CRS-PRO was created through forward-backward translations and cultural adaptation. Here, 168 CRS patients (118 patients CRS with nasal polyps [CRSwNP] and 50 patients with CRS without nasal polyps [CRSsNP]) and 43 healthy individuals were enrolled. All participants completed the CRS-PRO, 22-item Sinonasal Outcome Test (SNOT-22), and EuroQol five dimensions questionnaire (EQ-5D) questionnaires preoperatively as well as 3 and 6 months after surgery. RESULTS: The Chinese version of the CRS-PRO demonstrated good internal consistency, with a Cronbach's α of 0.813. It also exhibited a higher criterion validity (r = 0.65, p < 0.05) than the SNOT-22. A moderate association was found between the CRS-PRO and objective indicators such as the Lund-Mackay and endoscopic scores. Furthermore, the CRS-PRO, like the SNOT-22, could clearly distinguish CRS patients from healthy subjects (p < 0.01), as well as between the CRSwNP and CRSsNP subtypes (p < 0.01). Additionally, changes in the CRS-PRO exhibited a larger effect size compared to changes in the SNOT-22 (Cohen's d = 1.05 and 0.93 vs. 0.71 and 0.90 for 3 and 6 months, respectively, all p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The Chinese version of the CRS-PRO is a concise, reliable, and responsive instrument that can be utilized as a novel subjective evaluation tool for future clinical practice.

Performance of iCare quantitative computed tomography in bone mineral density assessment of the hip and vertebral bodies in European spine phantom.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporosis is a systemic bone disease which can increase the risk of osteoporotic fractures. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is considered as the clinical standard for diagnosing osteoporosis by detecting the bone mineral density (BMD) in patients, but it has flaws in distinguishing between calcification and other degenerative diseases, thus leading to inaccurate BMD levels in subjects. Mindways quantitative computed tomography (Mindways QCT) is a classical QCT system. Similar to DXA, Mindways QCT can directly present the density of trabecular bone, vascular or tissue calcification; therefore, it is more accurate and sensitive than DXA and has been widely applied in clinic to evaluate osteoporosis. iCare QCT osteodensitometry was a new phantom-based QCT system, recently developed by iCare Inc. (China). It has been gradually applied in clinic by its superiority of taking 3-dimensional BMD of bone and converting BMD values to T value automatically. This study aimed at evaluating the osteoporosis detection rate of iCare QCT, compared with synchronous Mindways QCT (USA). METHODS: In this study, 131 patients who underwent hip phantom-based CT scan were included. Bone mineral density (BMD) of the unified region of interests (ROI) defined at the European spine phantom (ESP, German QRM) including L1 (low), L2 (medium), and L3 (high) vertebral bodies was detected for QCT quality control and horizontal calibration. Every ESP scan were taken for 10 times, and the mean BMD values measured by iCare QCT and Mindways QCT were compared. Hip CT scan was conducted with ESP as calibration individually. T-scores gained from iCare QCT and Mindways QCT were analyzed with Pearson correlation test. The detection rates of osteoporosis were compared between iCare QCT and Mindways QCT. The unified region of interests (ROI) was delineated in the QCT software. RESULTS: The results showed that there was no significant difference between iCare QCT and Mindways QCT in the evaluation of L1, L2, and L3 vertebrae bodies in ESP. A strong correlation between iCare QCT and Mindways QCT in the assessment of hip T-score was found. It was illustrated that iCare QCT had a higher detection rate of osteoporosis with the assessment of hip T-score than Mindways QCT did. In patients < 50 years subgroup, the detection rate of osteoporosis with iCare QCT and Mindways QCT was equal. In patients ≥ 50 years subgroup, the detection rate of osteoporosis with iCare QCT (35/92, 38.0%) was higher than that with Mindways QCT. In female subgroup, the detection rate of osteoporosis with iCare QCT was significantly higher than Mindways QCT. In male subgroup, the detection rate of osteoporosis with iCare QCT was also markedly higher than Mindways QCT. The detection rate of osteoporosis by iCare QCT was higher than Mindways QCT with hip bone assessment. Of course, the results of the present study remain to be further verified by multicenter studies in the future.

Does China improve social welfare after implementing the national volume-based procurement?

Objective: To explore the changes in social welfare before and after the implementation of the national volume-based procurement (NVBP). Explore whether the NVBP promotes the healthy development of manufacturers under the premise of benefiting patients. Then put forward relevant suggestions on how to effectively intervene the government in the pharmaceutical market. Methods: Starting with consumer surplus and producer surplus, social welfare was studied from the three perspectives of price, supply, and demand. Results: Consumer surplus was significantly increased, and the drug welfare of patients was significantly improved. The profits of the whole pharmaceutical industry have decreased but will increase in the future. The welfare of individual pharmaceutical enterprises varies. Overall social welfare has been significantly improved. Conclusion: The core purpose of the NVBP is to improve the medication welfare of patients, and through the increase of consumer surplus, it can affect the increase of producer surplus. Under such a linkage mechanism, the diversified linkage system of "price, demand, and supply" will achieve the effect of "1 + 1+1 > 3".

Multi-scenario optimization of land use structure and prediction of ecosystem service value in Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration.

Rapid economic development has led to significant changes in land use in the Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration, which alters regional ecosystem service value (ESV). Based on the land use and driver data of the Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration, we used the system dynamics (SD) model coupled with the mixed-cell cellular automata (MCCA) model to predict the subtle spatial and temporal changes of ESV within the land use unit in 2040 under the scenarios of natural development, economic development, ecological protection, and arable land conservation, to reveal the responses of ESV to the socio-economic evolution. We examined the impacts of land use change on ESV by using the sensitivity index. The results showed that land use transformation between 2000 and 2020 in the study area was mainly the conversion between arable land, forest, grassland, and the conversion of arable land to construction land. Due to increased forest and water, ESV increased slightly during this period. In 2040, compared with the ecological protection scenario, the proportion of forest in the economic development scenario decreased by 1.8%, and the construction land increased by 1.3%. During 2020-2040, under the economic development scenario, ESV showed a downward trend in the central and eastern regions but an upward trend under the arable land conservation scenario, with hydrological and climatic regulation contributing the most to ESV. Total ESV showed a decreasing trend except for the ecological conservation scenario. In the ecological protection scenario, land use change positively impacted ESV. In contrast, ESV had a negative response to land use change in other scenarios, with the greatest reduction in the economic development scenario. The research could provide new methods for multi-scenario land use simulation and ESV prediction and have scientific and practical significance for optimizing land space layout, land resource planning management, and sustainable development path strategy of urban agglomerations.

Development and validation of frailty and malnutrition knowledge assessment scale for community-dwelling older adults.

There is a lack of reliable tools to assess the knowledge of frailty and malnutrition in community-dwelling older adults. To develop and validate reliable frailty and malnutrition knowledge assessment scales for this population, two scales were developed and validated through five phases. Phase 1: the item pools were constructed through a literature review and research panel based on the symptom interpretation model. Phase 2: the expert consultation was performed to select the items. Phase 3: a pilot survey was conducted to assess the clarity of the items and further revise the scales. Phase 4: 242 older adults were surveyed to finalize the items. Phase 5: 241 older adults were surveyed to test the psychometric properties. The two scales each comprise 3 dimensions (symptoms, risk factors, and management strategies) and 11 items. They had good construct validity, with all indicators of correlation analysis and confirmatory factor analysis meeting their specific criteria. The reliability of the frailty and malnutrition knowledge assessment scales was good, with composite reliability coefficients all >0.60, Cronbach's alpha being 0.81 and 0.83, and the Spearman-Brown coefficient being 0.74 and 0.80, respectively. Their acceptability was good, with both having a completion rate of 92.18% and an average completion time of 3 min. The two scales are reliable tools to assess the knowledge of frailty and malnutrition among community-dwelling older adults, especially for large-scale surveys. They can help identify knowledge gaps in older adults and provide a basis for developing targeted educational interventions.

[Distribution Characteristics and Risk Assessment of Microplastics in Farmland Soil in Guyuan].

The farmland ecosystem faces the emerging risk of microplastic pollution. To investigate the distribution characteristics of microplastics in agricultural soils in Guyuan City, the abundance, type, color, size, and shape of microplastics in Guyuan City agricultural soils were analyzed using field survey, microscopic observation, and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy. In addition, the risk of microplastic pollution was assessed using the pollution load index method (PLI). The results showed that the microplastic abundance of agricultural soils (0-20 cm) in Guyuan City ranged from 186.32 to 1286.24 n·kg-1, and the microplastic abundance of soils in facility agriculture increased significantly by 35.56% and 228.91% compared with those in non-facility agriculture with and without film, respectively, and the microplastic abundance in the arable layer was 0.31 times higher than that in the plough pan layer. PE (26.42% to 62.83%) and PP (27.64% to 42.62%) were the main microplastic polymer types, and the number of soil polymer species was significantly greater in facility agriculture than that in non-facility agriculture. Microplastics <100 µm accounted for 32.21%-42.52%, whereas >1000 µm accounted for only 0.28%-12.31%. The particle size of microplastics in the arable layer was 47.39% higher than that in the plough pan layer, and the particle size of microplastics was the largest in facility agriculture and the smallest in non-facility film-free planting. Microplastics were mostly in the form of films, fibers, fragments, and microbeads, with the greatest abundance in the form of fibers and the second largest in the form of films. A total of seven colors of microplastics were monitored, mainly white and black. The overall risk of contamination in the study area was low, and the highest risk of microplastic contamination was found in the soil of facility agriculture. The results of the study will provide data reference for the assessment of microplastic contamination in agricultural soils and microplastic soil environmental behavior in China.

Seasonal distribution characteristics and ecological risk assessment of phthalate esters in surface sediment of Songhua River basin.

Phthalic acid esters (PAEs) are typical industrial chemicals used in China. PAEs have received considerable attention because of their ubiquity and potential hazard to humans and the ecology. The spatiotemporal distributions of six PAEs in the surface sediments of the Songhua River in the spring (March), summer (July), and autumn (September) are investigated in this study. The total concentration of phthalic acid esters (∑6PAEs) ranges from 1.62 × 102 ng g-1 dry weight (dw) to 3.63 × 104 ng g-1·dw, where the amount in the spring is substantially higher (p < 0.01) than those in the autumn and summer. Seasonal variations in PAEs may be due to rainfall and temperature. The ∑6PAEs in the Songhua River's upper reaches are significantly higher than those in the middle and lower reaches (p < 0.05). Dibutyl phthalate (DBP) and di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) are the two most abundant PAEs. The ecological hazard of five PAEs is assessed using the hazard quotient method. DBP and DEHP pose moderate or high ecological risks to aquatic organisms at various trophic levels. PAEs originate primarily from industrial, agricultural, and domestic sources. Absolute principal components-multiple linear regression results indicate that agricultural sources are the most dominant contributor to the ∑6PAEs (53.7%). Guidelines for controlling PAEs pollution in the Songhua River are proposed.

Spatial differences, dynamic evolution, and convergence of carbon productivity in China.

China is currently developing a green economy, and improving carbon productivity (CAP) is an important part of this process. The current study applied a minimum distance to strong efficient frontier (MinDS) model to measure China's CAP. The Dagum Gini coefficient and kernel density estimation methods were further used to reveal its spatial differences and dynamic evolution, while the coefficient of variation and spatial convergence models were employed to examine its convergence characteristics. The results showed significant spatial differences in China's CAP, with primarily high and low spatial distribution characteristics in the east and west, respectively. Between-regional differences were the main sources of the overall differences. Moreover, the differences between overall, eastern, central, and western regions of China all exhibited a widening trend. Although none showed σ convergence, all had significant absolute ß spatial convergence and conditional ß spatial convergence characteristics. Collectively, the findings of this study objectively reflect the real level, distribution characteristics, and spatial convergence characteristics of CAP in China as a whole and in each region, while also providing a reference basis for achieving peak carbon neutrality.

Analysis of factors affecting nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in Chinese steel workers and risk assessment studies.

BACKGROUND: The global incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is rapidly escalating, positioning it as a principal public health challenge with significant implications for population well-being. Given its status as a cornerstone of China's economic structure, the steel industry employs a substantial workforce, consequently bringing associated health issues under increasing scrutiny. Establishing a risk assessment model for NAFLD within steelworkers aids in disease risk stratification among this demographic, thereby facilitating early intervention measures to protect the health of this significant populace. METHODS: Use of cross-sectional studies. A total of 3328 steelworkers who underwent occupational health evaluations between January and September 2017 were included in this study. Hepatic steatosis was uniformly diagnosed via abdominal ultrasound. Influential factors were pinpointed using chi-square (χ2) tests and unconditional logistic regression analysis, with model inclusion variables identified by pertinent literature. Assessment models encompassing logistic regression, random forest, and XGBoost were constructed, and their effectiveness was juxtaposed in terms of accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), and F1 score. Subsequently, a scoring system for NAFLD risk was established, premised on the optimal model. RESULTS: The findings indicated that sex, overweight, obesity, hyperuricemia, dyslipidemia, occupational dust exposure, and ALT serve as risk factors for NAFLD in steelworkers, with corresponding odds ratios (OR, 95% confidence interval (CI)) of 0.672 (0.487-0.928), 4.971 (3.981-6.207), 16.887 (12.99-21.953), 2.124 (1.77-2.548), 2.315 (1.63-3.288), 1.254 (1.014-1.551), and 3.629 (2.705-4.869), respectively. The sensitivity of the three models was reported as 0.607, 0.680 and 0.564, respectively, while the precision was 0.708, 0.643, and 0.701, respectively. The AUC measurements were 0.839, 0.839, and 0.832, and the Brier scores were 0.150, 0.153, and 0.155, respectively. The F1 score results were 0.654, 0.661, and 0.625, with log loss measures at 0.460, 0.661, and 0.564, respectively. R2 values were reported as 0.789, 0.771, and 0.778, respectively. Performance was comparable across all three models, with no significant differences observed. The NAFLD risk score system exhibited exceptional risk detection capabilities with an established cutoff value of 86. CONCLUSIONS: The study identified sex, BMI, dyslipidemia, hyperuricemia, occupational dust exposure, and ALT as significant risk factors for NAFLD among steelworkers. The traditional logistic regression model proved equally effective as the random forest and XGBoost models in assessing NAFLD risk. The optimal cutoff value for risk assessment was determined to be 86. This study provides clinicians with a visually accessible risk stratification approach to gauge the propensity for NAFLD in steelworkers, thereby aiding early identification and intervention among those at risk.

A Low-Cost Microfluidic-Based Detection Device for Rapid Identification and Quantification of Biomarkers-Based on a Smartphone.

The sensitive and rapid detection of microsamples is crucial for early diagnosis of diseases. The short response times and low sample volume requirements of microfluidic chips have shown great potential in early diagnosis, but there are still shortcomings such as complex preparation processes and high costs. We developed a low-cost smartphone-based fluorescence detection device (Smartphone-BFDD) without precision equipment for rapid identification and quantification of biomarkers on glass capillary. The device combines microfluidic technology with RGB image analysis, effectively reducing the sample volume to 20 µL and detection time to only 30 min. For the sensitivity of the device, we constructed a standard sandwich immunoassay (antibody-antigen-antibody) in a glass capillary using the N-protein of SARS-CoV-2 as a biological model, realizing a low limit of detection (LOD, 40 ng mL-1). This device provides potential applications for different biomarkers and offers wide use for rapid biochemical analysis in biomedical research.

Spatio-temporal variation and hazard assessment of potentially toxic metal element contamination in sediments and water before and after a water-level fluctuation cycle in the Three Gorges Reservoir, Wanzhou, China.

Previous investigations on heavy metals in the water-sediment compartment focused on their spatial distribution, and the influence of sediment pH and organic matter (OM) on metal environmental occurrences. However, there are limited studies on the effects of physicochemical properties on the migration and transformation of heavy metals in the water-sediment compartments. This study investigated the relationship between the physicochemical properties of sediments and the distribution and chemical speciation of heavy metals, and the potential environmental risk of heavy metals in water and sediment using Risk Assessment Code (RAC) values and the Tessier five-step extraction method. Adsorption and desorption experiments showed that the sediment had weak adsorption and the strongest desorption capacity for Cd. Results of the pH, OM, surface element content, and X-ray diffraction (XRD) patterns suggested that cadmium (Cd) was more likely to partition into the water phase from the sediment during the flooding and water storage periods. When pH was 7-8 and OM content was 3.6-5.9%, the sediment-water distribution coefficient of Cd was low due to its large ionic radius, and the surface adsorption sites were saturated by other elements. These studies can provide a theoretical basis for the management and pollution control of the Three Gorges Reservoir.

Burden of non-communicable diseases among adolescents and young adults aged 10-24 years in the South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions, 1990-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Although non-communicable diseases (NCDs) remain the leading causes of mortality and disability worldwide, little comprehensive or recent evidence of the burden of NCDs among adolescents and young adults in the South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions is available. We aimed to report population shifts in people aged 10-24 years and their NCD burden from 1990 to 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. METHODS: We retrieved data from GBD 2019 for people aged 10-24 years in the South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions from 1990 to 2019. We presented population shifts and analysed deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for NCDs. We also quantified the associations of deaths and DALYs with the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) and Universal Health Coverage (UHC) effective coverage index using Spearman correlation and linear regression analyses. Percentages are reported to 1 decimal place and rates are reported to 2 decimal places. FINDINGS: In 2019, there were 559·2 million young people aged 10-24 years in the South-East Asia region and 335·0 million in the Western Pacific region; India and China remained the countries with greatest number of this age group. In 1990-2019, India had an absolute increase of 139·4 million adolescents, while China had a decrease of 134·3 million. In 2019, NCDs accounted for 27·3% (95% uncertainty interval 25·1 to 29·2) and 34·6% (33·5 to 36·1) of total deaths, and 49·8% (45·3 to 54·4) and 65·1% (60·6 to 69·3) of total DALYs in the South-East Asia and the Western Pacific regions, respectively. Neoplasms, cardiovascular diseases, and mental disorders were the leading causes of NCD burden in 42 countries. Kiribati had the highest rates of deaths (62·82 [50·77 to 76·11] per 100 000 population), YLLs (4364·73 [3545·04 to 5275·63] per 100 000 population), and DALYs (9368·73 [7713·65 to 11340·99] per 100 000 population) for NCDs, whereas Australia (6976·51 [5044·46 to 9190·01] per 100 000 population) and New Zealand (6716·81 [4827·25 to 8827·69] per 100 000 population) had the largest rates of YLDs due to NCDs. From 1990 to 2019 across both regions, the rate of death due to NCDs declined by over a third (-32·8% [-41·1 to -22·9] in the South-East Asia region and -40·0% [-48·6 to -30·4] in the Western Pacific region), and DALYs decreased by about 12% (-12·0% [-16·8 to -7·7] in the South-East Asia region and -12·8% [-17·7 to -8·7] in the Western Pacific region), whereas the proportion of NCD burden relative to all-cause burden increased (45·7% [32·9 to 61·7] for deaths and 41·2% [35·2 to 48·8] for DALYs in the South-East Asia region; 11·8% [7·1 to 21·5] for deaths and 18·2% [14·6 to 22·0] for DALYs in the Western Pacific region). The rate of deaths and DALYs due to NCDs decreased monotonically alongside increases in SDI (rs=-0·57 [95% CI -0·81 to -0·32] for deaths and rs=-0·30 [-0·61 to 0·03] for DALYs). The rate of deaths (rs=-0·89 [95% CI -0·97 to -0·80]) and DALYs (rs=-0·67 [-0·93 to -0·41]) due to NCDs also decreased alongside increases in the UHC effective coverage index. INTERPRETATION: Specific preventive and health service measures are needed for adolescents and young adults in countries with different levels of socioeconomic development to reduce the burden from NCDs. FUNDING: National Natural Science Foundation of China. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Changing profiles of cardiovascular disease and risk factors in China: a secondary analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the changing profiles of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and modifiable risk factors is essential for CVD prevention and control. We aimed to report the comprehensive trends in CVD and risk factors in China from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Data on the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of total CVD and its 11 subtypes for China were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The CVD burden attributable to 12 risk factors was also retrieved. A secondary analysis was conducted to summarize the leading causes of CVD burden and attributable risk factors. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the number of CVD incidence, death, and DALYs considerably increased by 132.8%, 89.1%, and 52.6%, respectively. Stroke, ischemic heart disease, and hypertensive heart disease accounted for over 95.0% of CVD deaths in 2019 and remained the top three causes during the past 30 years. Between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized rate of stroke decreased significantly (percentage of decreased incidence: -9.3%; death: -39.8%; DALYs: -41.6%), while the rate of ischemic heart disease increased (percentage of increased incidence: 11.5%; death: 17.6%; DALYs: 2.2%). High systolic blood pressure, unhealthy diet, tobacco, and air pollution continued to be the major contributors to CVD deaths and DALYs (attributing to over 70% of the CVD burden), and the high body mass index (BMI)-associated CVD burden had the largest increase between 1990 and 2019. CONCLUSIONS: The significant increases in the number of CVD incident cases, deaths, and DALYs suggest that the CVD burden is still a concern. Intensified strategies and policies are needed to maintain promising progress in stroke and to reduce the escalating burden of ischemic heart disease. The CVD burden attributable to risk factors has not yet made adequate achievements; even worse, high BMI has contributed to the increasing CVD burden.

The Double Dividend of International Cooperation for Climate Mitigation Cost Effectiveness and Public Health Cobenefits.

Current National Determined Contributions require strengthening to achieve the 2-degree target set in the Paris Agreement. Here, we contrast two mitigation effort strengthening ideas: the "burden-sharing" principle, which requires each region to meet the mitigation goal through domestic mitigation with no international cooperation, and the cooperation focused "cost effective conditional-enhancing" principle, which combines domestic mitigation with carbon trading and low-carbon investment transfer. By applying a burden-sharing model covering several equity principles, we analyze the 2030 mitigation burden for each region, then the energy system model generates the results for the carbon trade and the investment transfer for the conditional-enhancing plan, and an air pollution cobenefit model is used to analyze the cobenefit on air quality and public health. Here, we show that the conditional-enhancing plan leads to an international carbon trading volume of 339.2 billion USD per year and reduces the marginal mitigation cost of the quota-purchase regions by 25%-32%. Furthermore, the international cooperation incentivizes a faster and deeper decarbonization in developing and emerging regions, raising the air pollution health cobenefits by 18% to 731,000 avoided premature deaths annually compared to the "burden-sharing" principle, amounting to a reduction in the life value loss of 131 billion dollars per year.

Development and Internal Validation of Risk Assessment Models for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Coal Workers.

Coal workers are more likely to develop chronic obstructive pulmonary disease due to exposure to occupational hazards such as dust. In this study, a risk scoring system is constructed according to the optimal model to provide feasible suggestions for the prevention of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in coal workers. Using 3955 coal workers who participated in occupational health check-ups at Gequan mine and Dongpang mine of Hebei Jizhong Energy from July 2018 to August 2018 as the study subjects, random forest, logistic regression, and convolutional neural network models are established, and model performance is evaluated to select the optimal model, and finally a risk scoring system is constructed according to the optimal model to achieve model visualization. The training set results show that the logistic, random forest, and CNN models have sensitivities of 78.55%, 86.89%, and 77.18%; specificities of 85.23%, 92.32%, and 87.61%; accuracies of 81.21%, 85.40%, and 83.02%; Brier scores of 0.14, 0.10, and 0.14; and AUCs of 0.76, 0.88, and 0.78, respectively, and similar results are obtained for the test set and validation set, with the random forest model outperforming the other two models. The risk scoring system constructed according to the importance ranking of random forest predictor variables has an AUC of 0.842; the evaluation results of the risk scoring system shows that its accuracy rate is 83.7% and the AUC is 0.827, and the established risk scoring system has good discriminatory ability. The random forest model outperforms the CNN and logistic regression models. The chronic obstructive pulmonary disease risk scoring system constructed based on the random forest model has good discriminatory power.

How Can China's Recent Pension Reform Reduce Pension Inequality?

Pension inequality resulting from fragmented arrangements among different population groups - such as public sector employees, enterprise workers, rural residents, and urban informal workers - has become an essential obstacle to China's socioeconomic development. This commentary analyzes the impacts of the 2015 pension reform on the inequality within China's pension system. We claim that the unification of pension rules should be considered the greatest achievement in mitigating pension inequality. However, the integrated pension rules do not necessarily reduce gaps in pension opportunity and benefits among groups because of differentiation in their labor incomes as well as pension attributes. In addition, although the pension structures were flattened at the basic level, structural disparities exist at the supplementary level, strengthening unequal pension benefit outcomes. We argue that the 2015 pension reform enables public sector employees' privileged status to continue while enterprise employees and rural residents and urban informal workers remain at the pension system's margins.