Effectiveness of out-patient based acute heart failure care: a pilot randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: Acute heart failure (AHF) hospitalisation is associated with 10% mortality. Outpatient based management (OPM) of AHF appeared effective in observational studies. We conducted a pilot randomised controlled trial (RCT) comparing OPM with standard inpatient care (IPM). METHODS: We randomised patients with AHF, considered to need IV diuretic treatment for ≥2 days, to IPM or OPM. We recorded all-cause mortality, and the number of days alive and out-of-hospital (DAOH). Quality of life, mental well-being and Hope scores were assessed. Mean NHS cost savings and 95% central range (CR) were calculated from bootstrap analysis. Follow-up: 60 days. RESULTS: Eleven patients were randomised to IPM and 13 to OPM. There was no statistically significant difference in all-cause mortality during the index episode (1/11 vs 0/13) and up to 60 days follow-up (2/11 vs 2/13) [p = .86]. The OPM group accrued more DAOH {47 [36,51] vs 59 [41,60], p = .13}. Two patients randomised to IPM (vs 6 OPM) were readmitted [p = .31]. Hope scores increased more with OPM within 30 days but dropped to lower levels than IPM by 60 days. More out-patients had increased total well-being scores by 60 days (p = .04). OPM was associated with mean cost savings of £2658 (95% CR 460-4857) per patient. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with acute HF randomised to OPM accrued more days alive out of hospital (albeit not statistically significantly in this small pilot study). OPM is favoured by patients and carers and is associated with improved mental well-being and cost savings.

An assessment of the effect of green signal countdown timers on drivers' behavior and on road safety at intersections, based on driving simulator experiments and naturalistic observation studies.

INTRODUCTION: Motor-vehicle crashes at signalized intersections are a significant traffic safety problem. To address this problem, many Asian cities have installed signal countdown displays at signalized intersections, aiming to assist drivers to make correct decisions in response to traffic signals. METHOD: In this study, we assessed the short-term and long-term effects of green signal countdown timers (GSCTs) on road safety, using a combination of driving simulator experiments and naturalistic observations. RESULTS: In our driving simulator experiments, 80 participants drove at 50 km/h in scenarios in which a car either approached a signalized intersection alone or following another car. In naturalistic observations, short-term (1-week) and long-term (1-year) intersection safety in the presence and absence of GSCTs were compared. These observations revealed that GSCTs reduced the number of red-light-running violations over the short term, but not over the long term. In fact, GSCTs appeared to lead to an overall increase in rear-end crash risk at intersections, as their presence resulted in drivers exhibiting more sudden acceleration and braking, and altered intersection-crossing speeds and patterns. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that GSCTs worsen safety at signalized intersections, and thus their removal should be considered.

Frontal fibrosing alopecia: survey of severity assessment methods in routine clinical practice and validation of the International Frontal Fibrosing Alopecia Cooperative Group measurement guidance.

BACKGROUND: The lack of validated and responsive outcome measures in the management of frontal fibrosing alopecia (FFA) significantly limits assessment of disease progression and treatment response over time. AIM: To understand how FFA extent and progression is currently assessed in UK specialist centres, to validate components of the International FFA Cooperative Group (IFFACG) statement on FFA assessment, and to identify pragmatic advice to improve FFA management in clinic. METHODS: Consultant dermatologists with a specialist interest in hair loss (n = 17) were invited to take part. Preferred FFA assessment methods were explored using questionnaires and clinical scenarios. Participants were asked to identify and mark the current hairline in 10 frontal and 10 temporal hairline images (Questionnaire 1), with assessment repeated 3 months later to assess intraindividual variability (Questionnaire 2) and 12 months later to test whether interindividual accuracy could be improved with simple instruction (Questionnaire 3). RESULTS: All 17 clinicians (100%) completed the questionnaire at each time interval. We identified a wide variation in assessment techniques used by our experts. Measurements were perceived as the most accurate method of assessing frontal recession whereas photography was preferred for temporal recession. Inter-rater reliability between clinicians measuring the frontal hairline scenarios indicated a moderate strength of agreement [intraclass coefficient (ICC) = 0.61; 95% CI 0.40-0.85], yet intrarater reliability was found to be poor with wide limits of agreement (-8.71 mm to 9.92 mm) on follow-up. Importantly, when clear guidance was provided on how the hairline should be identified (Questionnaire 3), inter-rater reliability improved significantly, with ICC = 0.70, suggesting moderate agreement (95% CI 0.51-0.89; P < 0.001). A similar pattern was seen with temporal hairline measurements, which again improved in accuracy with instruction. CONCLUSION: We found that accuracy of measurements in FFA can be improved with simple instruction and we have validated components of the IFFACG measurement recommendations.

A closer look at 30 day hospital readmissions after head and neck cancer surgery.

PURPOSE: 30-day hospital readmissions after head and neck cancer surgery continue to be a significant source of patient harm and healthcare expenditure. While there is substantial data in the literature assessing predictive factors for readmissions after head and neck cancer surgery, there are a paucity of studies which attempt to understand if such readmissions are preventable. The goal of this paper is to determine factors associated with 30-day hospital readmissions after head and neck cancer surgery and to understand if these readmissions were preventable. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective review from a single academic tertiary care center. Patients readmitted within 30 days after undergoing surgery for cancers of the head and neck between 2015 and 2018 were identified. RESULTS: Over a 3-year period, 26 patients undergoing resection with or without reconstruction of head and neck cancers were readmitted to the hospital within 30 days of discharge. There were 15 (58%) men and 11 (42%) women with a mean age of 68 years (SD 14 years). Twenty-one (81%) patients had squamous cell carcinoma and 13 (50%) had a primary site in the oral cavity. Thirteen (50%) had undergone free or regional flap reconstruction. The indication for readmission was related to the surgical wound in 19 (73%) and to medical complications in 7 (27%). Each case was categorized as "possibly preventable" versus "uncertain if preventable" based on whether a reasonable and feasible change in management may have prevented readmission. Six (23%) readmissions were deemed possibly preventable. Four were related to the surgical wound where initial free or regional flaps may have prevented complication. Two were medical complications that may have benefited from longer inpatient observation. CONCLUSIONS: For a subset of patients readmitted within 30 days of head and neck cancer surgery, a reasonable and feasible change in management may have prevented their hospital readmission. The significance of better understanding this patient population is underscored by the high mortality rate.

Bariatric surgery is expensive but improves co-morbidity: 5-year assessment of patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Bariatric surgery can be effective in weight reduction and diabetes remission in some patients, but is expensive. The costs of bariatric surgery in patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were explored here. METHODS: Population-based retrospectively gathered data on patients with obesity and T2DM from the Hong Kong Hospital Authority (2006-2017) were evaluated. Direct medical costs from baseline up to 60 months were calculated based on the frequency of healthcare service utilization and dispensing of diabetes medication. Charlson Co-morbidity Index (CCI) scores and co-morbidity rates were measured to compare changes in co-morbidities between surgically treated and control groups over 5 years. One-to-five propensity score matching was applied. RESULTS: Overall, 401 eligible surgical patients were matched with 1894 non-surgical patients. Direct medical costs were much higher for surgical than non-surgical patients in the index year (€36 752 and €5788 respectively; P < 0·001) mainly owing to the bariatric procedure. The 5-year cumulative costs incurred by surgical patients were also higher (€54 135 versus €28 603; P < 0·001). Although patients who had bariatric surgery had more visits to outpatient and allied health professionals than those who did not across the 5-year period, surgical patients had shorter length of stay in hospitals than non-surgical patients in year 2-5. Surgical patients had significantly better CCI scores than controls after the baseline measurement (mean 3·82 versus 4·38 at 5 years; P = 0·016). Costs of glucose-lowering medications were similar between two groups, except that surgical patients had significantly lower costs of glucose-lowering medications in year 2 (€973 versus €1395; P = 0.012). CONCLUSION: Bariatric surgery in obese patients with T2DM is expensive, but leads to an improved co-morbidity profile, and reduced length of hospitalization.

Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management recommendations for implementation of patient blood management.

Patient blood management (PBM) is a patient-centred, multidisciplinary approach to optimise red cell mass, minimise blood loss, and manage tolerance to anaemia in an effort to improve patient outcomes. Well-implemented PBM improves patient outcomes and reduces demand for blood products. The multidisciplinary approach of PBM can often allow patients to avoid blood transfusions, which are associated with less favourable clinical outcomes. In Hong Kong, there has been increasing demand for blood in the ageing population, and there are simultaneous blood safety and donor issues that are adversely affecting the blood supply. To address these challenges, the Hong Kong Society of Clinical Blood Management recommends implementation of a PBM programme in Hong Kong, including strategies such as optimising red blood cell mass, improving anaemia management, minimising blood loss, and rationalising the use of blood and blood products.

Hip fractures are preventable: a proposal for osteoporosis screening and fall prevention in older people.

Osteoporosis is highly prevalent but underdiagnosed and undertreated in Hong Kong. Fragility fractures associated with osteoporosis often result in loss of independence and increased mortality for home-dwelling patients, imposing a high socio-economic burden on society. This issue requires urgent attention given the rapid growth of the elderly population in Hong Kong by approximately 4.3% each year. To address this situation, a group of experts convened to discuss practical ways to reduce the burden of fractures and formulated three recommendations: first, all men (aged ≥70 years) and women (aged ≥65 years) should receive universal dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry assessment for osteoporosis. Second, all men (aged ≥70 years) and women (aged ≥65 years) with a fracture-risk assessment-derived 10-year risk (hip fracture with bone mineral density) ≥3% should receive ≥3 years of anti-osteoporotic treatment. Third, comprehensive structured assessment (including dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry) should be conducted in older patients with a history of falling. By implementing these recommendations, we estimate that we could prevent 5234 hip fractures in 10 years, an annual incidence reduction of approximately 7%, and save HK$425 million in direct medical costs plus substantial indirect savings. Ample clinical and cost-effectiveness data support these recommendations, and studies in Hong Kong and abroad could serve as models on how to implement them. We are confident that by applying these recommendations rigorously and systematically, a significant reduction in hip fractures in Hong Kong is achievable.

Associations Between Hospital Length of Stay, 30-Day Readmission, and Costs in ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction After Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Nationwide Readmissions Database Analysis.

Background Readmission after ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) poses an enormous economic burden to the US healthcare system. There are limited data on the association between length of hospital stay (LOS), readmission rate, and overall costs in patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI. Methods and Results All STEMI hospitalizations were selected in the Nationwide Readmissions Database from 2010 to 2014. From the patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention, we examined the 30-day outcomes including readmission, mortality, reinfarction, repeat revascularization, and hospital charges/costs according to LOS (1-2, 3, 4, 5, and >5 days) stratified by infarct locations. The 30-day readmission rate after percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI was 12.0% in the anterior wall (AW) STEMI group and 9.9% in the non-AW STEMI group. Patients with a very short LOS (1-2 days) were readmitted less frequently than those with a longer LOS regardless of infarct locations. However, patients with a very short LOS had significantly increased 30-day readmission mortality versus an LOS of 3 days (hazard ratio, 1.91; CI, 1.16-3.16 [P=0.01]) only in the AW STEMI group. Total costs (index admission+readmission) were the lowest in the very short LOS cohort in both the AW STEMI group (P<0.001) and the non-AW STEMI group (P<0.001). Conclusions For patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention for STEMI, a very short LOS was associated with significantly lower 30-day readmission and lower cumulative cost. However, a very short LOS was associated with higher 30-day mortality compared with at least a 3-day stay in the AW STEMI cohort.

Planning and coordination of the radiological response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: the Singapore experience.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread fast and extensively around the world, with significant mortality and morbidity. As this is a respiratory infection, chest radiography and computed tomography (CT) are important imaging techniques in the work-up of this disease. Given its highly infectious nature, cross-infection within the healthcare setting and radiology departments needs to be addressed actively and prevented. We describe the response of radiology departments in Singapore to this pandemic, in terms of diagnosis, re-configuration of the department, re-organisation and segregation of staff, infection control, managerial, and leadership issues.

The Influence of Gender on In-Hospital Clinical Outcome Following Isolated Mitral or Aortic Heart Valve Surgery.

BACKGROUND: With the expected growth in the elderly segment of the U.S. population particularly in women, the prevalence of valvular heart disease is bound to increase in the coming years. We sought to delineate the impact of gender on in-hospital clinical outcomes in Medicare-age patients undergoing isolated left-side heart valve surgery. METHODS: Using the National Inpatient Sample files from 2003 to 2014, we compared the in-hospital major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCE: all-cause mortality, stroke, or myocardial infarction) and composite complications (MACCE, permanent pacemaker implantation, bleeding requiring transfusion, iatrogenic vascular complications, acute respiratory failure, acute kidney injury requiring hemodialysis, sepsis and prolonged hospital stay) following isolated mitral or aortic surgery between genders with 1:1 propensity score analysis. Further, we examined gender-specific temporal trends of in-hospital clinical outcomes over the study period. RESULTS: There were 336,506 isolated left-side heart valve surgeries over the study period. Following propensity score matching, 24,637 unweighted pairs were identified for gender-specific comparison. Female gender was independently associated with a higher in-hospital MACCE (9.4% vs. 8.3%; OR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.07-1.21, P < 0.0001) driven mostly by all-cause mortality (5.2% vs. 4.3%; OR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.12-1.33, P < 0.0001). The composite complication rate (37.9% vs. 35.3%; OR = 1.12, 95% CI-1.08-1.16, P < 0.0001) was also higher in women. Significant reduction in both in-hospital MACCE and all-cause mortality was observed over time regardless of gender. CONCLUSIONS: Following isolated left-side heart valve surgery, women experienced higher in-hospital MACCE including all-cause mortality compared to men. Continued temporal improvements in in-hospital clinical outcomes were observed in both genders. SUMMARY FOR THE ANNOTATED TABLE OF CONTENTS: The influence of gender on surgical aortic or mitral valve replacement/repair outcome is unclear. The current study showed that women fared worse than men including all-cause mortality following isolated left-side valve surgery and significant temporal improvements have been made in in-hospital clinical outcomes in both genders during the 12-year study period. Further research in gender-specific approach in management of valve disease is warranted.

Thirty-Day Readmission Rates, Timing, Causes, and Costs after ST-Segment-Elevation Myocardial Infarction in the United States: A National Readmission Database Analysis 2010-2014.

Background Readmission after ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction ( STEMI ) poses an enormous economic burden to the US healthcare system. Efforts to prevent readmissions should be based on understanding the timing and causes of these readmissions. This study aimed to investigate contemporary causes, timing, and cost of 30-day readmissions after STEMI . Methods and Results All STEMI hospitalizations were selected in the Nationwide Readmissions Database ( NRD ) from 2010 to 2014. The 30-day readmission rate as well as the primary cause and cost of readmission were examined. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of 30-day readmission and increased cumulative cost. From 2010 to 2014, the 30-day readmission rate after STEMI was 12.3%. Within 7 days of discharge, 43.9% were readmitted, and 67.3% were readmitted within 14 days. The annual rate of 30-day readmission decreased by 19% from 2010 to 2014 ( P<0.001). Female sex, AIDS , anemia, chronic kidney disease , collagen vascular disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, pulmonary hypertension, congestive heart failure , atrial fibrillation, and increased length of stay were independent predictors of 30-day readmission. A large proportion of patients (41.6%) were readmitted for noncardiac reasons. After multivariate adjustment, 30-day readmission was associated with a 47.9% increase in cumulative cost ( P<0.001). Conclusions Two thirds of patients were readmitted within the first 14 days after STEMI , and a large proportion of patients were readmitted for noncardiac reasons. Thirty-day readmission was associated with an ≈50% increase in cumulative hospitalization costs. These findings highlight the importance of closer surveillance of both cardiac and general medical conditions in the first several weeks after STEMI discharge.

Impact of bleeding assessment and adjudication methodology on event rates and clinical trial outcomes: insights from the HORIZONS-AMI trial.

AIMS: Bleeding is a major safety outcome in cardiovascular trials. The present study assessed the impact of the adjudication process of bleeding events on three-year outcomes in the Harmonizing Outcomes with Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction (HORIZONS-AMI) trial. METHODS AND RESULTS: HORIZONS-AMI enrolled 3,602 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention. An independent CEC reviewed 445 potential bleeding events identified from three sources: 339 site-reported (SR), 35 CEC-identified, and 71 database (DB)-triggered events based on programmatic identification of a decline in haemoglobin of ≥3 g/dL or in haematocrit by ≥9%; of those, 383/445 (86.1%) met the protocol definition of major bleeding. By multivariable analysis, CEC-confirmed bleeding was an independent predictor of cardiovascular death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.81-4.45, p<0.0001) and all-cause death (HR 2.70, 95% CI: 1.92-3.79, p<0.0001) at three years. Non-CEC-confirmed bleeding was also a predictor of cardiovascular death (HR 3.45, 95% CI: 1.47-8.11, p=0.005) and all-cause death (HR 2.41, 95% CI: 1.11-5.23, p=0.03) at three years. CONCLUSIONS: In the HORIZONS-AMI trial, adjudication of bleeding via a centralised CEC process resulted in identification of a larger number of events than were SR. All CEC-confirmed bleeding events were independently predictive of three-year cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The association of non-CEC-confirmed bleeding with mortality merits further investigation.

Economic costs of recorded reasons for cow mortality and culling in a pasture-based dairy industry.

The objective of this study was to determine the economic costs associated with different reasons for cow culling or on-farm mortality in a pasture-based seasonal system. A bioeconomic model was developed to quantify costs associated with the different farmer-recorded reasons and timing of cow wastage. The model accounted for the parity and stage of lactation at which the cows were removed as well as the consequent effect on the replacement rate and average age structure of the herd. The costs and benefits associated with the change were quantified, including animal replacement cost, cull salvage value, milk production loss, and the profitability of altered genetic merit based on industry genetic trends for each parity. The total cost of cow wastage was estimated to be NZ$23,628/100 cows per year (NZ$1 = US$0.69) in a pasture-based system. Of this total cost, NZ$14,300/100 cows worth of removals were for nonpregnancy and unknown reasons, and another NZ$3,631/100 cows was attributed to low milk production, mastitis, and udder problems. The total cost for cow removals due to farmer-recorded biological reasons (excluding unknown, production, and management-related causes) was estimated to be NZ$13,632/100 cows per year. Of this cost, an estimated NZ$10,286/100 cows was attributed to nonpregnancy, mastitis, udder problems, calving trouble, and injury or accident. There is a strong economic case for the pasture-based dairy industries to invest in genetic, herd health, and production management research focused on reducing animal wastage due to reproductive failure, mastitis, udder problems, injuries or accidents, and calving difficulties.

Transition care readiness among patients in a tertiary paediatric department.

INTRODUCTION: A smooth transition of healthcare for young people with chronic illnesses from paediatric to adult healthcare services is important to ensure optimal outcome. At the moment, there are no standard guidelines to assess a patient's readiness to transfer care. METHODS: A cross-sectional study using a self-administered questionnaire, adapted from UNC (University of North Carolina) TRxANSITION self-assessment tool was conducted to evaluate patients' transition care readiness in paediatric haematology and paediatric diabetes clinic. RESULTS: A total of 80 patients (37 thalassaemia and 43 diabetes) with the mean age of 21.2 (SD±4.3) years, were recruited during the 3-month study period. Majority of the patients have basic knowledge regarding their medications, and were able to comply with their follow-up. The mean total score obtained by the respondents on this questionnaire was 15.3 (SD±3.59). Self-management skills and knowledge on disease were the two poorly scored section; with mean score of 3.78 (SD±1.38) and 4.28 (SD±1.20) respectively. Overall, only 21 (26.2%) respondents obtained high score (score above 75th percentile). Seventy-five percent of the respondents admitted that they were not ready for transfer to an adult healthcare service yet at the time of the study. CONCLUSION: We suggest that patients with high score should be prepared for transition to adult facility whereas those with a low score need to be identified to ensure provision of continuous education.

Sex-Based Disparities in Incidence, Treatment, and Outcomes of Cardiac Arrest in the United States, 2003-2012.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have shown improving survival after cardiac arrest. However, data regarding sex-based disparities in treatment and outcomes after cardiac arrest are limited. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a retrospective analysis of all patients suffering cardiac arrest between 2003 and 2012 using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample database. Annual rates of cardiac arrest, rates of utilization of coronary angiography/percutaneous coronary interventions/targeted temperature management, and sex-based outcomes after cardiac arrest were examined. Among a total of 1 436 052 discharge records analyzed for cardiac arrest patients, 45.4% (n=651 745) were females. Women were less likely to present with ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation arrests compared with men throughout the study period. The annual rates of cardiac arrests have increased from 2003 to 2012 by 14.0% (Ptrend<0.001) and ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation arrests have increased by 25.9% (Ptrend<0.001). Women were less likely to undergo coronary angiography, percutaneous coronary interventions, or targeted temperature management in both ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation and pulseless electrical activity/asystole arrests. Over a 10-year study period, there was a significant decrease in in-hospital mortality in women (from 69.1% to 60.9%, Ptrend<0.001) and men (from 67.2% to 58.6%, Ptrend<0.001) after cardiac arrest. In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in women compared with men (64.0% versus 61.4%; adjusted odds ratio 1.02, P<0.001), particularly in the ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation arrest cohort (49.4% versus 45.6%; adjusted odds ratio 1.11, P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Women presenting with cardiac arrests are less likely to undergo therapeutic procedures, including coronary angiography, percutaneous coronary interventions, and targeted temperature management. Despite trends in improving survival after cardiac arrest over 10 years, women continue to have higher in-hospital mortality when compared with men.

Characteristics of Hospitalizations for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: Hospitalizations for heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) are increasing. There are limited data examining national trends in patients hospitalized with HFpEF. METHODS: Using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample, we examined 5,046,879 hospitalizations with a diagnosis of acute heart failure in 2003-2012, stratifying hospitalizations by HFpEF and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Patient and hospital characteristics, in-hospital mortality, and length of stay were examined. RESULTS: Compared with HFrEF, those with HFpEF were older, more commonly female, and more likely to have hypertension, atrial fibrillation, chronic lung disease, chronic renal failure, and anemia. Over time, HFpEF comprised increasing proportions of men and patients aged ≥75 years. In-hospital mortality rate for HFpEF decreased by 13%, largely due to improved survival in those aged ≥65 years. Multivariable regression analyses showed that pulmonary circulation disorders, liver disease, and chronic renal failure were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, whereas treatable diseases including hypertension, coronary artery disease, and diabetes were inversely associated. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the largest cohort of patients hospitalized with HFpEF to date, yielding the following observations: number of hospitalizations for HFpEF was comparable with that of HFrEF; patients with HFpEF were most often women and elderly, with a high burden of comorbidities; outcomes appeared improved among a subset of patients; pulmonary hypertension, liver disease, and chronic renal failure were strongly associated with poor outcomes.