Impact of admission to high-risk isolation room on patients' and healthcare workers' perceptions: A qualitative cross-assessment Approach.

INTRODUCTION: High-risk isolation units (HRIU) house patients at high risk of transmitting infectious agents, notably patients with suspected viral hemorrhagic fever or smear-positive tuberculosis. Admission to HRIU can alter the quality of care and impact patients' and healthcare workers' (HCWs) anxiety and dissatisfaction. METHODS: The Infectious Diseases Department of the Bichat Claude Bernard Hospital in Paris houses a 7-bed HRIU. We conducted a qualitative study based on individual semi-structured interviews to assess the perceptions of both patients and HCWs. RESULTS: We interviewed 14 patients and 16 HCWs routinely working in the HRIU. All 8 patients subject to isolation precautions and 1 of the 6 patients not subject to isolation precautions expressed a negative representation of the room with a feeling of confinement, stigma, and mistrust. They also reported a lack of information from healthcare staff and a need for entertainment, activities, and visits from relatives. HCWs did not like working in this unit because of the anteroom's technical constraints and a loss of frequent contact with patients. They also expressed a feeling of insecurity working in these units despite the use of interphones. CONCLUSION: Placing patients in an HRIU not only affects their emotions, but also impacts HCWs both emotionally and organizationally. Alert systems, intercoms, and videoconferencing systems can improve safety and security as well as exchanges with patients and their relatives. Psychological support is needed for patients who are subject to isolation precautions and for their attending HCWs.

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions targeting harm reduction and chronic hepatitis C cascade of care in people who inject drugs: The case of France.

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) represent an opportunity to improve hepatitis C virus (HCV) care cascade. This combined with improved harm reduction interventions may lead to HCV elimination especially in people who inject drugs (PWID). We assessed the effectiveness/cost-effectiveness of improvements in harm reduction and chronic hepatitis C (CHC) care cascade in PWID in France. We used a dynamic model of HCV transmission and CHC natural history and evaluated the following: improved needle/syringe programmes-opioid substitution therapies, faster diagnosis/linkage to care, earlier treatment initiation, alone and in combination among active PWID (mean age = 36). Outcomes were as follows: life expectancy in discounted quality-adjusted life years (QALYs); direct lifetime discounted costs; incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); number of infections/reinfections. Under the current practice, life expectancy was 15.846 QALYs, for a mean lifetime cost of €20 762. Treatment initiation at F0 fibrosis stage alone was less effective and more costly than faster diagnosis/linkage to care combined with treatment initiation at F0, which increased life expectancy to 16.694 QALYs, decreased new infections by 37%, with a ICER = €5300/QALY. Combining these interventions with harm reduction improvements was the most effective scenario (life expectancy = 16.701 QALYs, 41% decrease in new infections) but was not cost-effective (ICER = €105 600/QALY); it became cost-effective with higher initial HCV incidence rates and lower harm reduction coverage than in our base-case scenario. This study illustrated the high effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness, of a faster diagnosis/linkage to care together with treatment from F0 with DAAs. This "Test and treat" strategy should play a central role both in improving the life expectancies of HCV-infected patients, and in reducing HCV transmission.

Hepatitis C: The beginning of the end-key elements for successful European and national strategies to eliminate HCV in Europe.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major public health problem in the European Union (EU). An estimated 5.6 million Europeans are chronically infected with a wide range of variation in prevalence across European Union countries. Although HCV continues to spread as a largely "silent pandemic," its elimination is made possible through the availability of the new antiviral drugs and the implementation of prevention practices. On 17 February 2016, the Hepatitis B & C Public Policy Association held the first EU HCV Policy Summit in Brussels. This summit was an historic event as it was the first high-level conference focusing on the elimination of HCV at the European Union level. The meeting brought together the main stakeholders in the field of HCV: clinicians, patient advocacy groups, representatives of key institutions and regional bodies from across European Union; it served as a platform for one of the most significant disease elimination campaigns in Europe and culminated in the presentation of the HCV Elimination Manifesto, calling for the elimination of HCV in Europe by 2030. The launch of the Elimination Manifesto provides a starting point for action in order to make HCV and its elimination in Europe an explicit public health priority, to ensure that patients, civil society groups and other relevant stakeholders will be directly involved in developing and implementing HCV elimination strategies, to pay particular attention to the links between hepatitis C and social marginalization and to introduce a European Hepatitis Awareness Week.

Cost-effectiveness of vaccination against cytomegalovirus (CMV) in adolescent girls to prevent infections in pregnant women living in France.

BACKGROUND: CMV infections are the most frequent congenital infections worldwide. AIM: Assess the cost-effectiveness of vaccination strategies of adolescent girls vs. current practice (hygiene counseling) to prevent CMV seroconversions during pregnancy in France. METHOD: A Markov decision-tree model simulated overtime the trajectory of a single fictive cohort of 390,000 adolescent women aged 14 years old, living in France. Impact of vaccination was explored until the end of their reproductive live 40 years later. STRATEGIES COMPARED: "S1: No vaccination" (current practice); "S2: Routine vaccination"; "S3: Screening and vaccination of the seronegative". MODEL PARAMETERS: Seroconversion rate without vaccination (0.035%/pregnant woman-week); fetal transmission risk (41%). Vaccine vs. no vaccination: a 50% decrease in maternal seroconversions. OUTCOMES: Quality-Adjusted Life-Years (QALYs) of the cohort-born babies; discounted costs; Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio (ICER). RESULTS: S2 was the most effective strategy (with 35,000 QALYs gained) and the most expensive (€211,533,000); S1 was the least effective and least costly (€75,423,000). ICERs of strategy S3 vs. S1, and S2 vs. S3 were 6,000€/QALY gained (95% uncertainty range [2700-13,300]) and 16,000€/QALY [negative ICER (S3 dominated by S2) - 94,000] gained, respectively; highly cost-effective because ICER < 1∗France's GPD/capita = €30,000. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: If the seroprevalence was >62% (vs. 20% in the base case), S3 would become the most efficient strategy. CONCLUSION: In France, systematic vaccination of adolescent girls was the most efficient strategy to prevent maternal seroconversions. If the population was less than 62% immune, systematic screening and vaccination of susceptibles would become the most cost-effective approach.

No relationship between late HIV diagnosis and social deprivation in newly diagnosed patients in France.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to determine whether there is a relationship between social deprivation and time of HIV diagnosis in France. METHODS: Prospectively collected data from a multicentre database were used in the study. Patients with a first HIV diagnosis between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2015 were selected from the database. Deprivation was measured using the European Deprivation Index (EDI), which is an ecological index constructed from the address of residence and based on the smallest geographical census unit, in which individuals are classified so as to be comparable with national quintiles. Time of diagnosis was classified as being at an early, intermediate, late, or advanced stage of disease. Age, gender, distance from home to HIV centre, most probable route of infection, and hepatitis B or C coinfection were considered in the analysis. Because of a strong interaction between gender and most probable route of infection, we constructed a 'population' variable: men who have sex with men (MSM), heterosexual men and women. RESULTS: Of 1421 newly diagnosed patients, 44% were diagnosed either late or at an advanced stage of disease, and 46.3% were in the highest deprivation quintile. Using multivariate logistic regression, 'population' [odds ratio (OR) 0.62 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.48-0.78) for MSM compared with women] and age [OR 1.39 (95% CI 1.07-1.80), 1.72 (1.32-2.23) and 1.86 (1.40-2.47) for the second, third and fourth quartiles, respectively, compared with the first quartile] were found to be related to late diagnosis. EDI level was not related to late HIV diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: 'Population' seems to be more relevant than EDI to define evidence-based interventions to limit late diagnosis.

Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of interferon-free direct-acting antiviral-based regimens for hepatitis C treatment: the French case.

We evaluated the cost-effectiveness and the budget impact of new DAA-based regimen use in France. A Markov model simulated chronic hepatitis C (CHC) treatment interventions with IFN-based and IFN-free regimens at stage of fibrosis ≥F3, ≥F2 or regardless of fibrosis stage, and treatment either with the least or the most expensive combination. It estimated quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). It also assessed the budget impact over 5 years of treating all CHC-screened patients, regardless of fibrosis, assuming ≤20 000 patients treated/year and priority to ≥F3. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted. For genotypes (G) 1-4, the initiation of IFN-free regardless of fibrosis was a cost-effective strategy compared to prior standard of care (SOC) initiated at stage F2: €40 400-88 300/QALY gained in G1; similar results were obtained for patients infected with G4. Considering G2-3, the most cost-effective strategy was IFN-based regimens regardless of fibrosis compared to prior SOC initiated at stage F2: €21 300 and €19 400/QALY gained, respectively; the strategy with IFN-free regimens being more effective but not cost-effective at current costs. The budget impact of treating all CHC-screened patients over 5 years would range between 3.5 and 7.2 billion €, depending on whether one considers the least or the most expensive combination of new DAAs and whether one treats G2-3 with IFN-based or IFN-free new DAAs. In France, treatment initiation with new DDAs regardless of fibrosis stage is cost-effective, but would add 3.5-7.2 billion € to an already overburdened medical care system.

Generic antiretroviral drugs and HIV care: An economic review.

The cost of HIV care in European countries is high. Direct medical costs, in France, have been estimated at 500,000 Euros per patient's lifetime (20,000 Euros/year/patient). Overall, 73% of these costs are related to antiretroviral treatments. In the current financial crisis context, some European countries are beginning to make economic decisions on the drugs to be used. These approaches are likely to become more frequent. It is obviously essential to prescribe the most effective, appropriate, best tolerated, and easy-to-use antiretroviral treatments to patients. However, while taking the above into consideration, and if various treatment options or combinations are available, cost should also be considered in the treatment choice. One may thus reflect on the use of generic antiretroviral agents as they have just been launched in France. We aimed to review the cost and cost-effectiveness of generic antiretroviral drugs and to review treatment strategies other than generic drugs that could help reduce HIV-related costs. HIV clinicians should consider treatment costs to avoid any future coercive measures.

Empirical therapies among adults hospitalized for community-acquired upper urinary tract infections: A decision-tree analysis of mortality, costs, and resistance.

BACKGROUND: Poor outcomes occur when patients with serious infections receive antibiotics to which the organisms are resistant. METHODS: Decision trees simulated in-hospital mortality, costs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per life year saved, and carbapenem resistance according to 3 empirical antibiotic strategies among adults hospitalized for community-acquired (CA) upper urinary tract infections (UTIs): ceftriaxone (CRO) plus gentamicin (GM) in the intensive care unit (ICU), imipenem (IMP), and individualized choice (IMP or CRO) based on clinical risk factors for CA- extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL). RESULTS: The estimated prevalence of CA-ESBL on admission was 5% (range, 1.3%-17.6%); 3% and 97% were admitted to the ICU and medical ward (MW), respectively. In the ICU, CRO plus GM was dominated; IMP was cost-effective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio: €4,400 per life year saved compared with individualized choice). In the MW, IMP had no impact on mortality and was less costly (-€142 per patient vs CRO, -€38 vs individualized choice). The dominance of IMP was consistent in sensitivity analyses. Compared with CRO, colonization by carbapenem-resistant pathogens increased by an odds ratio of 4.5 in the IMP strategy. CONCLUSION: Among the ICU patients, empirical IMP therapy reduces mortality at an acceptable cost. Among MW patients, individualized choice or CRO is preferred to limit carbapenem resistance at a reasonable cost.

Dynamic modelling of hepatitis C virus transmission among people who inject drugs: a methodological review.

Equipment sharing among people who inject drugs (PWID) is a key risk factor in infection by hepatitis C virus (HCV). Both the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of interventions aimed at reducing HCV transmission in this population (such as opioid substitution therapy, needle exchange programmes or improved treatment) are difficult to evaluate using field surveys. Ethical issues and complicated access to the PWID population make it difficult to gather epidemiological data. In this context, mathematical modelling of HCV transmission is a useful alternative for comparing the cost and effectiveness of various interventions. Several models have been developed in the past few years. They are often based on strong hypotheses concerning the population structure. This review presents compartmental and individual-based models to underline their strengths and limits in the context of HCV infection among PWID. The final section discusses the main results of the papers.

Assessment of the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) epidemic in the Middle East and risk of international spread using a novel maximum likelihood analysis approach.

The emergence of the novel Middle East (ME) respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) has raised global public health concerns regarding the current situation and its future evolution. Here we propose an integrative maximum likelihood analysis of both cluster data in the ME and importations in a set of European countries to assess the transmission scenario and incidence of sporadic infections. Our approach is based on a spatial-transmission model integrating mobility data worldwide and allows for variations in the zoonotic/environmental transmission and under-ascertainment. Maximum likelihood estimates for the ME, considering outbreak data up to 31 August 2013, indicate the occurrence of a subcritical epidemic with a reproductive number R of 0.50 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.30-0.77) associated with a daily rate of sporadic introductions psp of 0.28 (95% CI: 0.12-0.85). Infections in the ME appear to be mainly dominated by zoonotic/environmental transmissions, with possible under-ascertainment (ratio of estimated to observed (0.116) sporadic cases equal to 2.41, 95% CI: 1.03-7.32). No time evolution of the situation emerges. Analyses of flight passenger data from ME countries indicate areas at high risk of importation. While dismissing an immediate threat for global health security, this analysis provides a baseline scenario for future reference and updates, suggests reinforced surveillance to limit under-ascertainment, and calls for alertness in high importation risk areas worldwide.

Mean cost of a first combination antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected patients in France, and determinants of expensive drugs prescription.

To estimate the cost of the first combination antiretroviral drug therapy (cART) in HIV-infected patients and to determine factors associated with expensive prescriptions, 1698 patients starting cART between September 2002 and September 2007 were selected from the Dat'AIDS cohort. A multivariate linear regression model was used to assess associations between the cost of first cART and patient characteristics, clinical centre and cART adequacy. At cART initiation, the median age was 39 years, median CD4 count was 223 cells/mm(3), median viral load (VL) was 5.2 log copies/mL and 18.3% presented with AIDS. cART was concordant with the French guidelines in 88.7%. The mean cost of cART varied from €26.69/day/person in 2002-2003 to €32.23 in 2006-2007 (P < 0.0001), cost was associated with previous AIDS diagnosis (€31.83/day/person) versus (29.49; P < 0.0001), baseline VL > 5 log copies/mL (€30.99/day/person) versus (28.33; P < 0.0001) and centre. cART regimen not concordant with guidelines were more expensive (€38.31/day/person) versus (29.07; P < 0.0001). After adjusting for the year of initiation, the previous AIDS diagnosis, VL and recommended cART regimen, differences were still found between centres (from €27.81/day/person) to (33.12; P < 0.0001). Cost should be considered when choosing a first cART regimen, especially when considering clinically equivalent regimens.

A decision tree to help determine the best timing and antiretroviral strategy in HIV-infected patients.

Optimal antiretroviral strategies for HIV-infected patients still need to be established. To this end a decision tree including different antiretroviral strategies that could be adopted for HIV-infected patients was built. A 10-year follow-up was simulated by using transitional probabilities estimated from a large cohort using a time-homogeneous Markov model. The desired outcome was for patients to maintain a CD4 cell count of >500 cells/mm3 without experiencing AIDS or death. For patients with a baseline HIV viral load ≥5 log10 copies/ml, boosted protease inhibitor-based immediate highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) allowed them to spend 12% more time with CD4 ≥500/mm3 than did delayed HAART (6·40 vs. 5·69 and 5·57 vs. 4·90 years for baseline CD4 ≥500 and 350-499/mm3, respectively). In patients with a baseline HIV viral load ≤3·5 log10 copies/ml, delayed HAART performed better than immediate HAART (6·43 vs. 6·26 and 5·95 vs. 5·18 for baseline CD4 ≥500 and 350-499/mm3, respectively). Immediate HAART is beneficial in patients with a baseline HIV viral load 5 log10 copies/ml, whereas deferred HAART appears to be the best option for patients with CD4 ≥350/mm3 and baseline HIV viral load <3·5 log10 copies/ml.

Cost-effectiveness of QuantiFERON-TB test vs. tuberculin skin test in the diagnosis of latent tuberculosis infection.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the tuberculin skin test (TST), the QuantiFERON-TB Gold test (QFT) and a combination of TST and QFT (TST+QFT) for diagnosing latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) in France in a bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccinated population. METHODS: A decision analysis model evaluated three strategies among simulated adults in close contact with tuberculosis (TB). We calculated direct lifetime medical costs, life expectancies and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: The discounted direct medical costs of care per patient of no testing, TST, QFT and TST+QFT were respectively euro417, euro476, euro443 and euro435, while discounted life expectancies were respectively 25.030, 25.071, 25.073 and 25.062 years. TST had higher costs and lower efficacy than QFT; TST+QFT was associated with an ICER of euro560 per year of life gained (YLG) compared to no testing, and QFT was associated with an ICER of euro730/YLG compared to TST+QFT. The only scenario where QFT was associated with an ICER of >euro75 000/YLG was when the prevalence of LTBI around TB was low (<5%) and TST specificity high (>90%). CONCLUSIONS: In France, for the diagnosis of LTBI after close contact with TB, the TST is more expensive and less effective than QFT. Although it is more expensive, QFT is more effective and cost-effective than TST+QFT under a wide range of realistic test performance scenarios.

Markov modelling of HIV infection evolution in the HAART era.

The aim was to investigate the impact of the main prognostic factors on HIV evolution. A multi-state Markov model was applied in a cohort of 2126 patients to estimate impact of these factors on patients' clinical and immunological evolutions. Clinical progression and immunological deterioration shared most of their prognostic factors: male gender, intravenous drug use, weight loss, low haemoglobin level (<110 g/l), CD8 cell count (<500/mm(3)) and HIV viral load (>5 log(10) copies/ml). Highly active retroviral therapy reduced the risks of clinical progression and immune deterioration whatever patients' CD4 cell count. Risk reductions were 41-60% for protease inhibitor-based and 27-68% for non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-based regimens. Three-year transition probabilities showed that only patients with a CD4 cell count >or=350 CD4/mm(3) could in most cases maintain their immunity. This model provides 'real life' transition probabilities from one immunological stage to another, allowing decision analyses that could help determine the beneficial therapeutic strategies for HIV-infected patients.

Costs and cost-effectiveness of different follow-up schedules for detection of occupational hepatitis C virus infection.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to compare the costs and cost-effectiveness (C/E) of early hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA testing (alternative-US recommendations) after occupational exposure to HCV with existing follow-up strategies: (1) French, anti-HCV antibodies and alanine transaminase (ALT) activity at months 1, 3 and 6; (2) European, monthly ALT activity for 4 months and anti-HCV antibodies at month 6; (3) and baseline-US, anti-HCV antibodies and ALT activity at month 6. METHODS: A decision tree simulated each strategy for 7300 healthcare workers (HCWs) exposed to HCV each year in France, taking into account the impact of early diagnosis on the response to antiviral treatment and the deterioration of HCW quality of life after exposure. RESULTS: For a HCV transmission risk of 0.5% after exposure, the French strategy led to the highest costs/person (181.40 euros) and the baseline-US strategy to the lowest (126.60 euros) (178.50 euros) for alternative-US). The shortest mean time to HCV infection diagnosis (1 month) and the lowest number of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients (1.9/7300 HCWs exposed) was obtained with the alternative-US strategy (vs 6 months and 7.9 CHC, respectively with baseline-US). Compared with the alternative-US, the French strategy was associated with higher costs and lower utilities, and the European with a higher incremental C/E ratio. Compared with the baseline-US strategy, the alternative-US strategy C/E ratio was 2020 euros per quality-adjusted life year saved. CONCLUSION: In HCWs exposed to HCV, a strategy based on early HCV RNA testing shortens the period during which the HCW's wait for his HCV status, leads to lower risk of progression to CHC and is reasonably cost-effective.

Cost and cost-effectiveness of childhood vaccination against rotavirus in France.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of routine childhood vaccination by new vaccines against rotavirus in France. METHODS: We constructed a Markov decision tree to compare two alternatives: "no vaccination" and "vaccination". A hypothetical birth cohort of 750,000 children was followed until 3 years of age. First, the disease burden without vaccine was estimated using data from French databases and medical literature. Incidence rates in unvaccinated children were modelled as a function of age and seasons. Next, using data from the medical literature, the vaccine's protective effect on rotavirus diarrhoea was considered. RESULTS: A routine universal rotavirus immunization programme was estimated capable of annually avoiding 89,000 cases of diarrhoea, 10,500 hospitalizations, and 8 deaths. At a vaccination cost of euro 150/course, assuming 75% vaccine coverage, the programme would cost euro 95 million and involve a net loss of euro 68 million to the health care system. The vaccination programme would cost euro 298,000/year of life saved, and euro 138,000/QALY saved. Key variables affecting the results were disease incidence, mortality rates and vaccine price. CONCLUSION: In France, childhood rotavirus vaccination with new anti-rotavirus vaccines would reduce the morbidity burden of rotavirus infection, but would not be cost-effective unless the price of vaccine decreased considerably.

Additional direct medical costs associated with nosocomial infections after head and neck cancer surgery: a hospital-perspective analysis.

The clinical impact of surgical site infections (SSI) and postoperative pneumonia (PP) after head and neck cancer surgery has been assessed in the past, but little is known about their economic impact. The present study was designed to evaluate costs related to SSI and PP after head and neck cancer surgery with opening of mucosa. The incidence of SSI and PP was measured in a prospective cohort of 261 patients who had undergone head and neck cancer surgery. The additional direct medical costs related to these infections from the hospital perspective were determined based on postoperative length of stay. The mean direct hospital costs for patients with and without SSI or PP were compared. Of the 261 patients, 81 (31%), 21 (8%) and 13 (5%) developed SSI, PP or both, respectively. The additional lengths of stay attributable to SSI, PP or both were 16, 17 and 31 days, respectively, and additional direct medical costs related to these conditions were 17,000, 19,000 and 35,000 Euros. Nosocomial infections after head and neck cancer surgery significantly increase patients' length of stay and therefore generate additional direct medical costs. These results support the application of preventive interventions to reduce nosocomial infections in this setting.

The long-term benefits of genotypic resistance testing in patients with extensive prior antiretroviral therapy: a model-based approach.

OBJECTIVES: Resistance testing in HIV disease may provide long-term benefits that are not evident from short-term data. Our objectives were to estimate the long-term effectiveness, cost and cost-effectiveness of genotype testing in patients with extensive antiretroviral exposure. METHODS: We used an HIV simulation model to estimate the long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of genotype testing. Clinical data incorporated into the model were from NARVAL, a randomized trial of resistance testing in patients with extensive antiretroviral exposure, and other randomized trials. Each simulated patient was eligible for up to three sequential regimens of antiretroviral therapy (i.e. two additional regimens beyond the trial-based regimen) using drugs not available at the time of the study, such as lopinavir/ritonavir, darunavir/ritonavir and enfuvirtide. RESULTS: In the long term, projected undiscounted life expectancy increased from 132.2 months with clinical judgement alone to 147.9 months with genotype testing. Median survival was estimated at 11.9 years in the resistance testing arm vs 10.4 years in the clinical judgement alone arm. Because of increased survival, the projected lifetime discounted cost of genotype testing was greater than for clinical judgement alone (euro313,900 vs euro263,100; US$399,000 vs US$334,400). Genotype testing cost euro69,600 (US$88,500) per quality-adjusted life year gained compared with clinical judgement alone. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with extensive prior antiretroviral exposure, genotype testing is likely to increase life expectancy in the long term as a result of the increased likelihood of receiving two active new drugs. Genotype testing is associated with cost-effectiveness comparable to that of strategies accepted in patients with advanced HIV disease, such as enfuvirtide use.

Impact of opportunistic diseases on chronic mortality in HIV-infected adults in Côte d'Ivoire.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate incidence rates of opportunistic diseases (ODs) and mortality for patients with and without a history of OD among HIV-infected patients in Côte d'Ivoire. METHODS: Using incidence density analysis, we estimated rates of ODs and chronic mortality by CD4 count in patients in a cotrimoxazole prophylaxis trial in Abidjan before the highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) era. Chronic mortality was defined as death without a history of OD or death more than 30 days after an OD diagnosis. We used Poisson's regression to examine the effect of OD history on chronic mortality after adjusting for age, gender, and current CD4 count. RESULTS: Two hundred and seventy patients (40% male, mean age 33 years, median baseline CD4 count 261 cells/microl) were followed up for a median of 9.5 months. Bacterial infections and tuberculosis were the most common severe ODs. Of 47 patients who died, 9 (19%) died within 30 days of an OD, 26 (55%) died more than 30 days after an OD, and 12 (26%) died with no OD history. The chronic mortality rate was 31.0/100 person-years for those with an OD history, and 11.1/100 person-years for those with no OD history (rate ratio (RR) 2.81, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.43 - 5.54). Multivariate analysis revealed that OD history remained an independent predictor of mortality (RR 2.15, 95% CI: 1.07 - 4.33) after adjusting for CD4 count, age and gender. CONCLUSIONS: Before the HAART era, a history of OD was associated with increased chronic HIV mortality in Côte d'Ivoire, even after adjusting for CD4 count. These results provide further evidence supporting OD prophylaxis in HIV-infected patients.

[Morbidity and cost of rotavirus infections in France]. / Morbidité et coût des infections à rotavirus en France.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus is the most common cause of severe diarrhea in children. Morbidity and mortality related to rotavirus infection is not well known in temperate countries in general, and in France in particular. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was estimate the morbidity, mortality, and cost related to the rotavirus infection in France, in order to assess the potential impact of a vaccination program. METHODS: A birth cohort was followed until 5 years of age using a decision tree model. Rotavirus infection incidence rates were modeled according to age, seasons, and breast-feeding status. RESULTS: Based on estimates from a decision model, we found that in France, rotavirus infection was responsible for 300,000 annual episodes of acute diarrhea, 138,000 visits to general practitioners, 18,000 hospitalizations, and 9 deaths. The annual direct cost related to rotavirus infection care was estimated at 28 million euros. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the high morbidity and cost of care associated with rotavirus infection in France. The decision tree model developed in this study could be used in the future to estimate the potential effectiveness, cost and cost-effectiveness of childhood vaccination strategies using new rotavirus vaccines.