Mortality Risk Prediction Dynamics After Heart Failure Treatment Optimization: Repeat Risk Assessment Using Online Risk Calculators.

Objectives: Heart failure (HF) management has significantly improved over the past two decades, leading to better survival. This study aimed to assess changes in predicted mortality risk after 12 months of management in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Materials and Methods: Out of 1,032 consecutive HF outpatients admitted from March-2012 to November-2018, 357 completed the 12-months follow-up and had N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), high sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT), and interleukin-1 receptor-like-1 (known as ST2) measurements available both at baseline and follow-up. Three contemporary risk scores were used: MAGGIC-HF, Seattle HF Model (SHFM), and the Barcelona Bio-HF (BCN Bio-HF) calculator, which incorporates the three above mentioned biomarkers. The predicted risk of all-cause death at 1 and 3 years was calculated at baseline and re-evaluated after 12 months. Results: A significant decline in predicted 1-and 3-year mortality risk was observed at 12 months: MAGGIC ~16%, SHFM ~22% and BCN Bio-HF ~15%. In the HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) subgroup guideline-directed medical therapy led to a complete normalization of left ventricular ejection fraction (≥50%) in almost a third of the patients and to a partial normalization (41-49%) in 30% of them. Repeated risk assessment after 12 months with SHFM and BCN Bio-HF provided adequate discrimination for all-cause 3-year mortality (C-Index: MAGGIC-HF 0.762, SHFM 0.781 and BCN Bio-HF 0.791). Conclusion: Mortality risk declines in patients with HF managed for 12 months in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Repeating the mortality risk assessment after optimizing the HF treatment is recommended, particularly in the HFrEF subgroup.

Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form is a morbi-mortality predictor in outpatients with heart failure and mid-range left ventricular ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nutritional status is an important prognostic factor in patients with heart failure (HF). In a pilot study we previously observed that the Mini Nutritional Assessment Short Form tool (MNA-SF) was the best approach for the screening of nutritional status in HF outpatients over other screening tools. The current study aimed to determine whether the MNA-SF has prognostic value in outpatients with HF and whether the impact of malnutrition differs depending on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). METHODS: Prospective study performed in outpatients attending a HF clinic at a university hospital. All subjects completed the MNA-SF at study entry. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary end-points were the number of recurrent HF-related hospitalizations and the composite end-point of all-cause death or HF-related hospitalizations. Patients with malnutrition and at risk of malnutrition were merged and considered as having abnormal nutritional status for statistical analysis. RESULTS: From October 2016 to November 2017, 555 patients were included (age 69 ± 11.5 years, 71% male, LVEF 44.6 ± 13.2). Abnormal nutritional status was identified in 103 (18.6%) subjects. HF patients with preserved LVEF had a higher proportion of abnormal nutritional status (23%) than patients with HF and mid-range LVEF (HFmrEF) (16.4%) or those with HF with reduced LVEF (HFrEF) (15.9%.). During a mean follow-up of 23.8 ± 6.6 months, 99 patients died (17.8%), 74 were hospitalized due to HF (13.3%) and the composite end-point was observed in 181 (32.6%). In the univariate analysis, abnormal nutritional status was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p = 0.02) and the composite end-point (p = 0.02) in the total cohort. However, in the multivariate analysis including age, sex, NYHA functional class, BMI, ischemic aetiology, diabetes, hypertension and HF duration, abnormal nutritional status remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 3.32 [95%CI 1.47-7.52], p = 0.004), and the composite end-point (HR 2.53 [95%CI 1.30-4.94], p = 0.006) only in HFmrEF patients. Patients with abnormal nutritional status suffered double the crude number of recurrent HF-related hospitalizations (16.4 vs. 8.4 per 100 patients-years, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of MNA-SF as a routine screening tool allowed the detection of abnormal nutritional status in almost one out of five ambulatory HF patients. Nutritional status assessed by the MNA-SF was an independent predictor of all-cause death and the composite end-point of all-cause death or HF-related hospitalization in outpatients with HFmrEF. Furthermore, abnormal nutritional status was significantly related to recurrent hospitalizations across the HF spectrum.

Mini nutritional assessment is a better predictor of mortality than subjective global assessment in heart failure out-patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is no consensus on the best method for nutritional screening and assessment in patients with heart failure (HF). This study aimed to determine which nutritional assessment method had the highest prognostic significance for patients with HF treated in outpatient clinics. We also aimed to identify a fast, reliable screening method for detecting malnutrition in these patients. METHODS: This prospective study included 151 subjects that attended an outpatient HF clinic at a university hospital. All patients completed three nutritional screening tools: the Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST), the MNA-short form (MNA-SF), and the Malnutrition Screening Tool (MST), and then, two nutritional assessment questionnaires: the Subjective Global Assessment (SGA) and the Mini Nutritional Assessment®(MNA). Patients were followed-up for 2 years. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Malnutrition or nutritional risk was identified in 15.9% of patients with the SGA and in 25.1% of patients with the MNA. Age, New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class, and MNA were the only independent all-cause death predictors after adjusting for age, gender, NYHA functional class, body mass index, Barthel index, 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations, treatment with angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers, and treatment with beta-blockers. The SGA could not independently predict all-cause mortality in a multivariate analysis that included the same covariates. The MNA-SF had the best sensitivity, specificity, and kappa coefficient for screening malnutrition, based on the MNA and the SGA as references, compared to the other screening methods. CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort, malnutrition assessed by MNA, but not by SGA, was an independent predictor of mortality. MNA-SF showed remarkable sensitivity and specificity; thus, it might be a valuable tool for rapidly identifying malnutrition risk in outpatients with HF.

The real-life value of ST2 monitoring during heart failure decompensation: impact on long-term readmission and mortality.

CONTEXT: Prognostic value of ST2 levels and dynamics has not been investigated in acute heart failure (AHF) using prospective real-life measurements. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to investigate the prognostic value of ST2 in AHF. METHODS: ST2 levels were determined at admission (n = 182) and discharge (n = 85). Primary endpoint was the composite of all-cause death and HF rehospitalisation at one year. RESULTS: Discharge ST2 (HR 2.42 [95% CI 1.46-4], p = 0.001) and ΔST2 (HR 2.32 [95% CI 1.21-4.57], p = 0.01) but not admission ST2, remained independently prognostic for the primary endpoint after comprehensive multivariable adjustment. ST2 significantly improved prognosis stratification on top of clinical variables and NTproBNP. CONCLUSIONS: Routine clinical use of discharge ST2 and ST2 dynamics provide independent prognostic information.

Combined use of the novel biomarkers high-sensitivity troponin T and ST2 for heart failure risk stratification vs conventional assessment.

OBJECTIVE: To assess an innovative multimarker strategy for risk stratification of death in a real-life ambulatory heart failure (HF) cohort. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The study included 876 consecutive outpatients (median age, 70.3 years; left ventricular ejection fraction, 34%) between May 22, 2006, and July 7, 2010, prospectively followed up in a structured HF unit. A combination of biomarkers reflecting myocardial stretch (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide [NT-proBNP]), myocyte injury (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T [hs-cTnT]), and ventricular fibrosis and remodeling (high-sensitivity ST2 [hs-ST2]) were added to an assessment based on established mortality risk factors (age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association functional class, diabetes mellitus, estimated glomerular filtration rate, ischemic etiology, sodium level, hemoglobin level, and pharmacologic treatment). RESULTS: During median follow-up of 41.4 months, 311 patients died. The combined addition of hs-cTnT and hs-ST2 to the model yielded good measurements of performance (C statistic, 0.789; Bayesian information criterion, 3611; integrated discrimination improvement, 4.1 [95% CI, 2.5-5.6]; and net reclassification index, 13.9% [95% CI, 6.2-21.6]). Reclassification did not significantly benefit after NT-proBNP addition into the full model; some indices even worsened with all 3 biomarkers. Separate addition of NT-proBNP provided prognostic discrimination only in the subgroup of patients with either hs-cTnT or hs-ST2 levels below the cutoff points (hazard ratio, 2.97; 95% CI, 2.24-9.39; P<.001). CONCLUSION: A multimarker strategy seems useful for stratifying risk in chronic HF. However, NT-proBNP in addition to the new-generation biomarkers hs-cTnT and hs-ST2 had a limited effect on risk stratification.

[Clinical, echocardiographic and prognostic evaluation of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure]. / Valoración clínica, ecocardiográfica y pronóstica de la fibrilación auricular en pacientes con insuficiencia cardíaca.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a general heart failure (HF) population admitted to a HF unit, analyze the parameters associated with AF, and evaluate its prognostic significance. PATIENTS AND METHOD: 389 patients, 64 with AF at the first visit. Mean (SD) age was 65.38 (10.77) years and 72.5% were men. The main etiology was ischemic heart disease (59.9%). Mean ejection fraction (EF) was 32.25% (13%). Vital status at 2 years was available in 377 patients (97%), 314 in sinus rhythm (SR) and 63 in AF. RESULTS: The prevalence of AF was 15.8%. AF was associated with: older age, female gender, valvular and hypertensive etiology, longer time since the onset of HF symptoms, higher EF, higher left atrium diameter, degree of mitral regurgitation, and lower quality of life, but not with the NYHA functional class. The 2-years mortality (16.7%) was significantly higher in patients with AF (33.3% vs 18.4%; OR = 2.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.21-4). However, when adjusted for other relevant variables such as age, NYHA functional class, ejection fraction, sex and etiology, AF did not remain as an independent prognostic factor. The strongest mortality differences between patients with AF and those with SR where observed in ischemic heart disease and dilated cardiomyopathy. CONCLUSIONS: AF was associated mainly with age, valvular and hypertensive etiology, higher left atrium diameter and lower end-systolic left ventricular diameter. Two years mortality was significantly higher in patients with AF, although other parameters such as age and NYHA functional class had a higher prognostic value.