Efficacy and safety of Lianhua Qingwen capsules combined with standard of care in the treatment of adult patients with mild to moderate COVID-19 (FLOSAN): protocol for a randomized, double-blind, international multicenter clinical trial.

Background: Effective anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) drugs are not only the next defense after vaccines but also the key part of establishing a multi-tiered coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention and control system. Previous studies had indicated that Lianhua Qingwen (LHQW) capsules could be an efficacious Chinese patent drug for treating mild to moderate COVID-19. However, pharmacoeconomic evaluations are lacking, and few trials have been conducted in other countries or regions to evaluate the efficacy and safety of LHQW treatment. So, this study aims to explore the clinical efficacy, safety, and economy of LHQW for treating adult patients with mild to moderate COVID-19. Methods: This is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, international multicenter clinical trial protocol. A total of 860 eligible subjects are randomized at a 1:1 ratio into the LHQW or placebo group to receive two-week treatment and follow-up visits on days 0, 3, 7, 10, and 14. Clinical symptoms, patient compliance, adverse effects, cost scale, and other indicators are recorded. The primary outcomes will be the measured median time to sustained improvement or resolution of the nine major symptoms during the 14-day observation period. Secondary outcomes regarding clinical efficacy will be evaluated in detail on the basis of clinical symptoms (especially body temperature, gastrointestinal symptoms, smell loss, and taste loss), viral nucleic acid, imaging (CT/chest X-ray), the incidence of severe/critical illness, mortality, and inflammatory factors. Moreover, we will assess health care cost, health utility, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for economic evaluation. Discussion: This is the first international multicenter randomized controlled trial (RCT) of Chinese patent medicine for the treatment of early COVID-19 in accordance with WHO guidelines on COVID-19 management. This study will help clarify the potential efficacy and cost-effectiveness of LHQW in the treatment of mild to moderate COVID-19, facilitating decision-making by healthcare workers. Registration: This study is registered at the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, with registration number: ChiCTR2200056727 (date of first registration: 11/02/2022).

Development and Application of the Placebo Response Model in Clinical Trials for Primary Sjögren's Syndrome.

This study aimed to develop a placebo response model for pharmaceutical clinical trials of primary Sjogren's syndrome,and to quantitatively analyze the distribution and related factors influencing the placebo response to further optimize the design of clinical trials and evaluate the results of single-arm clinical trials. Public databases, including PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for reports on randomized placebo-controlled trials for Sjögren's syndrome which used the change from baseline in ESSDAI score as the primary outcome. The model-based meta-analysis method was used to evaluate the time course and the related influencing factors of the placebo response for ESSDAI in such clinical trials. A virtual placebo control group was constructed based on the final placebo response model to determine the treatment efficacy of belimumab and cyclosporine A for primary Sjögren's syndrome in a single-arm study. A total of 12 studies involving 450 subjects were included in the analysis. The established model described the time-course characteristics of the changes in ESSDAI score from the baseline in the 48 weeks placebo group. We found that the onset time of placebo response was approximately 12 weeks, and its efficacy plateaued at 48 weeks. The baseline ESSDAI score had a significant effect on the maximum value of the placebo response; the maximum value of the placebo response decreased by 0.552 for every 1 score rise in the baseline ESSDAI score. The efficacy of belimumab and cyclosporine A in the single-arm trial was comparable to that of the placebo response at the same baseline; no significant therapeutic advantage was observed. The placebo response model established in this study could provide a basis for designing clinical trials for primary Sjogren's syndrome in the future. It may also provide a reliable external efficacy control standard for single-arm clinical trials.

The impacts of race and regimens on the efficacy and safety of paclitaxel and platinum combination treatment for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer.

PURPOSE: Paclitaxel-platinum chemotherapy is the first-line treatment for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. This study quantitatively evaluated the factors influencing the efficacy and safety of the paclitaxel-platinum regimen to provide the necessary reference for the development of clinical practice and clinical trials. METHODS: A literature search was performed using public databases. The parametric survival function was used to analyze the overall survival (OS) time course of patients treated with the paclitaxel-platinum regimen. The random effects model in the single-arm meta-analysis was used to analyze the objective response rate (ORR) and the incidence of grade 3-4 adverse events (AEs) under the predefined subgroups according to race and the regimen. RESULTS: A total of 31 studies consisting of 3365 participants were included in the analysis. Race was the most important determinant of efficacy and safety in the paclitaxel-platinum regimen, with the median survival time and ORR in East Asians and non-East Asians being 12.2 months (95% CI: 10.5-14.4 months) and 37% (95% CI: 32-41%) and 8.4 months (95% CI: 6.5-11.0 months) and 28% (95% CI: 25-32%), respectively. The incidence of grade 3-4 AEs such as leukopenia and neutropenia was about three times higher in East Asians compared to non-East Asians. CONCLUSIONS: The efficacy and safety of the paclitaxel-platinum regimen can vary between East Asian and non-East Asian populations and between different treatment schedules. The results of this study can provide a reliable and precise external control for the future evaluation of new treatment options for advanced NSCLC.

Quantitative efficacy of soy isoflavones on menopausal hot flashes.

AIM: This study aimed to quantitate the efficacy of soy isoflavones in the treatment of menopausal hot flashes. METHODS: Model based meta-analysis (MBMA) was used to quantitate the efficacy of soy isoflavones. We conducted a systemic literature search to build a time-effect model for placebo and soy isoflavones in treating menopausal hot flashes. Studies were identified, subjected to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and reviewed. RESULTS: From 55 articles, 16 studies of soy isoflavones met the inclusion criteria, and contained 65 and 66 mean effect values in placebo and soy isoflavone groups, respectively, from about 1710 subjects. Interestingly, the developed model was found to describe adequately the time course of hot flashes reduction after administration of placebo and soy isoflavones. Using this model, we found that the maximal percentage change of hot flashes reduction by soy isoflavones was 25.2% after elimination of the placebo effect, accounting for 57% of the maximum effects of estradiol (Emax-estradiol = 44.9%). However, a time interval of 13.4 weeks was needed for soy isoflavones to achieve half of its maximal effects, much longer than estradiol, which only required 3.09 weeks. These results suggest that treatment intervals of 12 weeks are too short for soy isoflavones, which require at least 48 weeks to achieve 80% of their maximum effects. CONCLUSIONS: Soy isoflavones show slight and slow effects in attenuating menopausal hot flashes compared with estradiol.

Simulation of the pharmacokinetics of bisoprolol in healthy adults and patients with impaired renal function using whole-body physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling.

AIM: To develop and evaluate a whole-body physiologically based pharmacokinetic (WB-PBPK) model of bisoprolol and to simulate its exposure and disposition in healthy adults and patients with renal function impairment. METHODS: Bisoprolol dispositions in 14 tissue compartments were described by perfusion-limited compartments. Based the tissue composition equations and drug-specific properties such as log P, permeability, and plasma protein binding published in literatures, the absorption and whole-body distribution of bisoprolol was predicted using the 'Advanced Compartmental Absorption Transit' (ACAT) model and the whole-body disposition model, respectively. Renal and hepatic clearances were simulated using empirical scaling methods followed by incorporation into the WB-PBPK model. Model refinements were conducted after a comparison of the simulated concentration-time profiles and pharmacokinetic parameters with the observed data in healthy adults following intravenous and oral administration. Finally, the WB-PBPK model coupled with a Monte Carlo simulation was employed to predict the mean and variability of bisoprolol pharmacokinetics in virtual healthy subjects and patients. RESULTS: The simulated and observed data after both intravenous and oral dosing showed good agreement for all of the dose levels in the reported normal adult population groups. The predicted pharmacokinetic parameters (AUC, C(max), and T(max)) were reasonably consistent (<1.3-fold error) with the observed values after single oral administration of doses ranging from of 5 to 20 mg using the refined WB-PBPK model. The simulated plasma profiles after multiple oral administration of bisoprolol in healthy adults and patient with renal impairment matched well with the observed profiles. CONCLUSION: The WB-PBPK model successfully predicts the intravenous and oral pharmacokinetics of bisoprolol across multiple dose levels in diverse normal adult human populations and patients with renal insufficiency.