Risk assessment of imported malaria in China: a machine learning perspective.

BACKGROUND: Following China's official designation as malaria-free country by WHO, the imported malaria has emerged as a significant determinant impacting the malaria reestablishment within China. The objective of this study is to explore the application prospects of machine learning algorithms in imported malaria risk assessment of China. METHODS: The data of imported malaria cases in China from 2011 to 2019 was provided by China CDC; historical epidemic data of malaria endemic country was obtained from World Malaria Report, and the other data used in this study are open access data. All the data processing and model construction based on R, and map visualization used ArcGIS software. RESULTS: A total of 27,088 malaria cases imported into China from 85 countries between 2011 and 2019. After data preprocessing and classification, clean dataset has 765 rows (85 * 9) and 11 cols. Six machine learning models was constructed based on the training set, and Random Forest model demonstrated the best performance in model evaluation. According to RF, the highest feature importance were the number of malaria deaths and Indigenous malaria cases. The RF model demonstrated high accuracy in forecasting risk for the year 2019, achieving commendable accuracy rate of 95.3%. This result aligns well with the observed outcomes, indicating the model's reliability in predicting risk levels. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning algorithms have reliable application prospects in risk assessment of imported malaria in China. This study provides a new methodological reference for the risk assessment and control strategies adjusting of imported malaria in China.

Base Metal-Controlled Chemodivergent Cyclization of Propargylamines for the Atom-Economic Synthesis of Nitrogen Heterocycles.

Herein, a base metal-enabled chemodivergent cyclization of propargylamines for the atom-economic construction of nitrogen heterocycles has been developed. Due to the different modes of activation of metal to propargylamine, copper-catalyzed 6-endo-dig cyclization generates functionalized 2-substitued quinoline-4-carboxylates, while iron-promoted cascade amino Claisen rearrangement, aromatization, and aza-Michael addition afford diverse 2-substituted indole-3-carboxylate derivatives. Excellent selectivity, broad functional group tolerance, mild conditions, and flexible late-stage functionalization illustrate the high efficiency and synthetic utility of this chemodivergent reaction.

Assessment of malaria control consultation and service posts in Yunnan, P. R. China.

BACKGROUND: This paper seeks to assess the function of malaria control consultation and service posts (MCCSPs) that are located on the border areas of Yunnan province, P.R. China, as a strategy for eliminating malaria among the mobile and migrant population in these areas. METHODS: A retrospective descriptive analytical study was conducted. Blood smear examinations conducted at all MCCSPs in Yunnan from 2008 to 2014 were analysed. A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 2014 to understand how the MCCSPs function and to elucidate the quality of the blood smear examinations that they conduct. RESULTS: Out of the surveyed MCCSPs, 66 % (39/59), 22 % (13/59), and 12 % (7/59) were attached to local township hospitals, village health clinics, and the county centre for disease control and prevention or private clinics, respectively. More than 64 % (38/59) of the posts' staff were part-time workers from township hospitals and village health facilities. Less than 31 % (18/59) of the posts' staff were full-time workers. A total of 35 positive malaria cases were reported from seven MCCSPs in 2014. Four MCCSPs were unable to perform their functions due to under staffing in 2014. There was a small fluctuation in blood smear examinations from January 2008 to June 2009, with two peaks during the period from July 2009 to October 2010. The number of blood smear examinations has been increasing since 2011. The yearly mean number of blood smear examinations in each post increased from 44 per month in 2011 to 109 per month in 2014, and the number of positive malaria cases detected by blood smear examinations has declined (χ 2 = 90.67, P = 0.000). The percentage of people from Yingjiang county getting blood smear examinations increased between 2008 and 2014, while percentages of the mobile population including Myanmar people, people from other provinces, and people from other Yunnan counties getting blood smear examinations decreased. CONCLUSION: MCCSPs face challenges in the phase of malaria elimination in Yunnan, China. New case detection strategies should be designed for MCCSPs taking into account the current trends of migration.