Cost-effectiveness of prophylactic cranial irradiation in stage III non-small cell lung cancer.

INTRODUCTION: In stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) reduces the brain metastases incidence and prolongs the progression-free survival without improving overall survival. PCI increases the risk of toxicity and is currently not adopted in routine care. Our objective was to assess the cost-effectiveness of PCI compared with no PCI in stage III NSCLC from a Dutch societal perspective. METHODS: A cohort partitioned survival model was developed based on individual patient data from three randomized phase III trials (N = 670). Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs were estimated over a lifetime time horizon. A willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of €80,000 per QALY was adopted. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were performed to address parameter uncertainty and to explore what parameters had the greatest impact on the cost-effectiveness results. RESULTS: PCI was more effective and costly (0.443 QALYs, €10,123) than no PCI, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €22,843 per QALY gained. The probability of PCI being cost-effective at a WTP threshold of €80,000 per QALY was 93%. The probability of PCI gaining three and six additional months of life were 76% and 56%. The scenario analysis adding durvalumab increased the ICER to €35,159 per QALY gained. Using alternative survival distributions had little impact on the ICER. Assuming fewer PCI fractions and excluding indirect costs decreased the ICER to €18,263 and €5554 per QALY gained. CONCLUSION: PCI is cost-effective compared to no PCI in stage III NSCLC, and could therefore, from a cost-effectiveness perspective, be considered in routine care.

[18F]FDG PET/CT-based response assessment of stage IV non-small cell lung cancer treated with paclitaxel-carboplatin-bevacizumab with or without nitroglycerin patches.

PURPOSE: Nitroglycerin (NTG) is a vasodilating drug, which increases tumor blood flow and consequently decreases hypoxia. Therefore, changes in [18F] fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography ([18F]FDG PET) uptake pattern may occur. In this analysis, we investigated the feasibility of [18F]FDG PET for response assessment to paclitaxel-carboplatin-bevacizumab (PCB) treatment with and without NTG patches. And we compared the [18F]FDG PET response assessment to RECIST response assessment and survival. METHODS: A total of 223 stage IV non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients were included in a phase II study (NCT01171170) randomizing between PCB treatment with or without NTG patches. For 60 participating patients, a baseline and a second [18F]FDG PET/computed tomography (CT) scan, performed between day 22 and 24 after the start of treatment, were available. Tumor response was defined as a 30 % decrease in CT and PET parameters, and was compared to RECIST response at week 6. The predictive value of these assessments for progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed with and without NTG. RESULTS: A 30 % decrease in SUVpeak assessment identified more patients as responders compared to a 30 % decrease in CT diameter assessment (73 % vs. 18 %), however, this was not correlated to OS (SUVpeak30 p = 0.833; CTdiameter30 p = 0.557). Changes in PET parameters between the baseline and the second scan were not significantly different for the NTG group compared to the control group (p value range 0.159-0.634). The CT-based (part of the [18F]FDG PET/CT) parameters showed a significant difference between the baseline and the second scan for the NTG group compared to the control group (CT diameter decrease of 7 ± 23 % vs. 19 ± 14 %, p = 0.016, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The decrease in tumoral FDG uptake in advanced NSCLC patients treated with chemotherapy with and without NTG did not differ between both treatment arms. Early PET-based response assessment showed more tumor responders than CT-based response assessment (part of the [18F]FDG PET/CT); this was not correlated to survival. This might be due to timing of the [18F]FDG PET shortly after the bevacizumab infusion.

Reliability of proliferation assessment by Ki-67 expression in neuroendocrine neoplasms: eyeballing or image analysis?

BACKGROUND: The latest WHO classification for neuroendocrine neoplasms (NEN) of the gastrointestinal tract defines grade according to Ki-67 and mitotic indices. Some have questioned the reproducibility and thus the reliability of Ki-67 assessment. We therefore investigated the accuracy of this proliferation marker in NEN. METHODS: The Ki-67 index of tumor specimens of NEN (n = 73) was assessed by two pathologists as in routine practice with eyeballing and twice by image analysis using ImageJ freeware at different magnifications. RESULTS were correlated with overall survival. RESULTS: The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) between pathologists was 0.88. The ICC for the measurements using image analysis was 0.85. The ICC between all four measurements (pathologists and ImageJ) was 0.80. If the Ki-67 index was translated to grade as prescribed by the current WHO classification (<3% = grade 1, 3-20% = grade 2, >20% = grade 3), kappa was between 0.61 and 0.75. Grades based on pathologist scoring were often (16-29%) higher than grades assigned by image analysis (p < 0.001). Grade was significantly correlated with survival (p < 0.0001) irrespective of the way Ki-67 was assessed. CONCLUSION: Assessment of the Ki-67 index by eyeballing correlates remarkably well with the Ki-67 index as calculated by image analysis and is therefore an accurate parameter. Moreover, it is significantly related to survival irrespective of the method used. Yet if the Ki-67 index is translated to grade, the grade should be interpreted with caution due to values around threshold levels.