An integrated groundwater vulnerability and artificial recharge site suitability assessment using GIS multi-criteria decision making approach in Kayseri region, Turkey.

Groundwater resources worldwide face significant challenges that require urgent implementation of sustainable measures for effective long-term management. Managed aquifer recharge (MAR) is regarded as one of the most promising management technologies to address the degradation of groundwater resources. However, in urban aquifers, locating suitable areas that are least vulnerable to contamination for MAR implementation is complex and challenging. Hence, the present study proposes a framework encapsulating the combined assessment of groundwater vulnerability and MAR site suitability analysis to pinpoint the most featured areas for installing drywells in Kayseri, Turkey. To extrapolate the vulnerable zones, not only the original DRASTIC but also its multi-criteria decision-making (MCDA)-based modified variants were evaluated with regard to different hydrochemical parameters using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Besides, the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (FAHP) rationale was adopted to signify the importance level of criteria and the robustness of the framework was highlighted with sensitivity analysis. In addition, the decision layers and the attained vulnerability layer were combined using the weighted overlay (WOA). The findings indicate that the DRASTIC-SWARA correlates well with the arsenic (AUC = 0.856) and chloride (AUC = 0.648) and was adopted as the vulnerability model. Groundwater quality parameters such as chloride and sodium adsorption ratio, as well as the vadose zone thickness, were found to be the most significant decision parameters with importance levels of 16.75%, 14.51%, and 15.73%, respectively. Overall, 28.24% of the study area was unsuitable for recharge activities with high to very high vulnerability, while the remaining part was further prioritized into low to high suitability classes for MAR application. The proposed framework offers valuable tool to decision-makers for the delineation of favorable MAR sites with minimized susceptibility to contamination.

Time­dependent ROC curve analysis to determine the predictive capacity of seven clinical scales for mortality in patients with COVID­19: Study of a hospital cohort with very high mortality.

Clinical data from hospital admissions are typically utilized to determine the prognostic capacity of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) indices. However, as disease status and severity markers evolve over time, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis becomes more appropriate. The present analysis assessed predictive power for death at various time points throughout patient hospitalization. In a cohort study involving 515 hospitalized patients (General Hospital Number 1 of Mexican Social Security Institute, Colima, Mexico from February 2021 to December 2022) with COVID-19, seven severity indices [Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) PaO2/FiO2 arterial oxygen pressure/fraction of inspired oxygen (Kirby index), the Critical Illness Risk Score (COVID-GRAM), the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS-2), the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA), the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and the Viral Pneumonia Mortality Score (MuLBSTA were evaluated using time-dependent ROC curves. Clinical data were collected at admission and at 2, 4, 6 and 8 days into hospitalization. The study calculated the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values for each index at these time points. Mortality was 43.9%. Throughout all time points, NEWS-2 demonstrated the highest predictive power for mortality, as indicated by its AUC values. PSI and COVID-GRAM followed, with predictive power increasing as hospitalization duration progressed. Additionally, NEWS-2 exhibited the highest sensitivity (>96% in all periods) but showed low specificity, which increased from 22.9% at admission to 58.1% by day 8. PSI displayed good predictive capacity from admission to day 6 and excellent predictive power at day 8 and its sensitivity remained >80% throughout all periods, with moderate specificity (70.6-77.3%). COVID-GRAM demonstrated good predictive capacity across all periods, with high sensitivity (84.2-87.3%) but low-to-moderate specificity (61.5-67.6%). The qSOFA index initially had poor predictive power upon admission but improved after 4 days. FIB-4 had a statistically significant predictive capacity in all periods (P=0.001), but with limited clinical value (AUC, 0.639-0.698), and with low sensitivity and specificity. MuLBSTA and IKIRBY exhibited low predictive power at admission and no power after 6 days. In conclusion, in COVID-19 patients with high mortality rates, NEWS-2 and PSI consistently exhibited predictive power for death during hospital stay, with PSI demonstrating the best balance between sensitivity and specificity.

Validation of three health literacy screening questions compared with S-TOFHLA in a low-income diverse English- and Spanish-Speaking population.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians need a tool to gauge patients' ability to understand health conditions and treatment options. The Short-form Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults (S-TOFHLA) is the gold standard for this, but its length is prohibitive for use in clinical settings. This study seeks to validate a novel three-item question set for predicting health literacy. METHODS: This cross-sectional study utilized an in-person questionnaire alongside the S-TOFHLA. The sample included 2027 English- and Spanish-speaking adults (≥18 years) recruited from primary care practices serving a low-income eastern Pennsylvania community. Most patients (57.7%) identified as Hispanic. Diagnostic accuracy of each question and aggregated scores were assessed against the validated survey by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. RESULTS: Questions in the 'Problems Learning' and 'Help Reading' domains (AUROC 0.66 for each) performed better than the 'Confident Forms' question (AUROC 0.64). Summing all three scores resulted in an even higher AUROC curve (0.71). Cronbach's alpha of the combined items was 0.696. CONCLUSIONS: Study results suggest that any of the three questions are viable options for screening health literacy levels of diverse patients in primary care clinical settings. However, they perform better as a summed score than when used individually.

Risk assessment of psychiatric complications in infectious diseases: CALCulation of prognostic indices on example of COVID-19.

Introduction: Factors such as coronavirus neurotropism, which is associated with a massive increase in pro-inflammatory molecules and neuroglial reactivity, along with experiences of intensive therapy wards, fears of pandemic, and social restrictions, are pointed out to contribute to the occurrence of neuropsychiatric conditions. Aim: The aim of this study is to evaluate the role of COVID-19 inflammation-related indices as potential markers predicting psychiatric complications in COVID-19. Methods: A total of 177 individuals were examined, with 117 patients from a temporary infectious disease ward hospitalized due to COVID-19 forming the experimental group and 60 patients from the outpatient department showing signs of acute respiratory viral infection comprising the validation group. The PLR index (platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio) and the CALC index (comorbidity + age + lymphocyte + C-reactive protein) were calculated. Present State Examination 10, Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, and Montreal Cognitive Assessment were used to assess psychopathology in the sample. Regression and Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, establishment of cutoff values for the COVID-19 prognosis indices, contingency tables, and comparison of means were used. Results: The presence of multiple concurrent groups of psychopathological symptoms in the experimental group was associated (R² = 0.28, F = 5.63, p < 0.001) with a decrease in the PLR index and a simultaneous increase in CALC. The Area Under Curve (AUC) for the cutoff value of PLR was 0.384 (unsatisfactory). For CALC, the cutoff value associated with an increased risk of more psychopathological domains was seven points (sensitivity = 79.0%, specificity = 69.4%, AUC = 0.719). Those with CALC > 7 were more likely to have disturbances in orientation (χ² = 13.6; p < 0.001), thinking (χ² = 7.07; p = 0.008), planning ability (χ² = 3.91; p = 0.048). In the validation group, an association (R²McF = 0.0775; p = 0.041) between CALC values exceeding seven points and the concurrent presence of pronounced anxiety, depression, and cognitive impairments was demonstrated (OR = 1.52; p = 0.038; AUC = 0.66). Discussion: In patients with COVID-19, the CALC index may be used for the risk assessment of primary developed mental disturbances in the context of the underlying disease with a diagnostic threshold of seven points.

Prehospital early warning scores for adults with suspected sepsis: the PHEWS observational cohort and decision-analytic modelling study.

Background: Guidelines for sepsis recommend treating those at highest risk within 1 hour. The emergency care system can only achieve this if sepsis is recognised and prioritised. Ambulance services can use prehospital early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to prioritise patients for treatment or early assessment in the emergency department. Objectives: To determine the accuracy, impact and cost-effectiveness of using early warning scores alongside paramedic diagnostic impression to identify sepsis requiring urgent treatment. Design: Retrospective diagnostic cohort study and decision-analytic modelling of operational consequences and cost-effectiveness. Setting: Two ambulance services and four acute hospitals in England. Participants: Adults transported to hospital by emergency ambulance, excluding episodes with injury, mental health problems, cardiac arrest, direct transfer to specialist services, or no vital signs recorded. Interventions: Twenty-one early warning scores used alongside paramedic diagnostic impression, categorised as sepsis, infection, non-specific presentation, or other specific presentation. Main outcome measures: Proportion of cases prioritised at the four hospitals; diagnostic accuracy for the sepsis-3 definition of sepsis and receiving urgent treatment (primary reference standard); daily number of cases with and without sepsis prioritised at a large and a small hospital; the minimum treatment effect associated with prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective, compared to no prioritisation, assuming willingness to pay £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Results: Data from 95,022 episodes involving 71,204 patients across four hospitals showed that most early warning scores operating at their pre-specified thresholds would prioritise more than 10% of cases when applied to non-specific attendances or all attendances. Data from 12,870 episodes at one hospital identified 348 (2.7%) with the primary reference standard. The National Early Warning Score, version 2 (NEWS2), had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve when applied only to patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection (0.756, 95% confidence interval 0.729 to 0.783) or sepsis alone (0.655, 95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.68). None of the strategies provided high sensitivity (> 0.8) with acceptable positive predictive value (> 0.15). NEWS2 provided combinations of sensitivity and specificity that were similar or superior to all other early warning scores. Applying NEWS2 to paramedic diagnostic impression of sepsis or infection with thresholds of > 4, > 6 and > 8 respectively provided sensitivities and positive predictive values (95% confidence interval) of 0.522 (0.469 to 0.574) and 0.216 (0.189 to 0.245), 0.447 (0.395 to 0.499) and 0.274 (0.239 to 0.313), and 0.314 (0.268 to 0.365) and 0.333 (confidence interval 0.284 to 0.386). The mortality relative risk reduction from prioritisation at which each strategy would be cost-effective exceeded 0.975 for all strategies analysed. Limitations: We estimated accuracy using a sample of older patients at one hospital. Reliable evidence was not available to estimate the effectiveness of prioritisation in the decision-analytic modelling. Conclusions: No strategy is ideal but using NEWS2, in patients with a paramedic diagnostic impression of infection or sepsis could identify one-third to half of sepsis cases without prioritising unmanageable numbers. No other score provided clearly superior accuracy to NEWS2. Research is needed to develop better definition, diagnosis and treatments for sepsis. Study registration: This study is registered as Research Registry (reference: researchregistry5268). Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme (NIHR award ref: 17/136/10) and is published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 28, No. 16. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition in which an abnormal response to infection causes heart, lung or kidney failure. People with sepsis need urgent treatment. They need to be prioritised at the emergency department rather than waiting in the queue. Paramedics attempt to identify people with possible sepsis using an early warning score (based on simple measurements, such as blood pressure and heart rate) alongside their impression of the patient's diagnosis. They can then alert the hospital to assess the patient quickly. However, an inaccurate early warning score might miss cases of sepsis or unnecessarily prioritise people without sepsis. We aimed to measure how accurately early warning scores identified people with sepsis when used alongside paramedic diagnostic impression. We collected data from 71,204 people that two ambulance services transported to four different hospitals in 2019. We recorded paramedic diagnostic impressions and calculated early warning scores for each patient. At one hospital, we linked ambulance records to hospital records and identified who had sepsis. We then calculated the accuracy of using the scores alongside diagnostic impression to diagnose sepsis. Finally, we used modelling to predict how many patients (with and without sepsis) paramedics would prioritise using different strategies based on early warning scores and diagnostic impression. We found that none of the currently available early warning scores were ideal. When they were applied to all patients, they prioritised too many people. When they were only applied to patients whom the paramedics thought had infection, they missed many cases of sepsis. The NEWS2, score, which ambulance services already use, was as good as or better than all the other scores we studied. We found that using the NEWS2, score in people with a paramedic impression of infection could achieve a reasonable balance between prioritising too many patients and avoiding missing patients with sepsis.

ISTH bleeding assessment tool and platelet function analyzer in children with mild inherited platelet function disorders.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of platelet function analyzer (PFA) and The International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis bleeding-assessment-tool (ISTH-BAT) in detecting mild inherited platelet function disorders (IPFDs) in children with suspected bleeding disorders. METHODS: Prospective single-center diagnostic study including consecutive patients <18 years with suspected bleeding disorder and performing a standardized workup for platelet function defects including ISTH-BAT, PFA, platelet aggregation testing, blood smear-based immunofluorescence, and next-generation sequencing-based genetic screening for IPFDs. RESULTS: We studied 97 patients, of which 34 von Willebrand disease (VWD, 22 type-1, 11 type-2), 29 IPFDs (including delta-/alpha-storage pool disease, Glanzmann thrombasthenia, Hermansky-Pudlak syndrome) and 34 with no diagnosis. In a model combining PFA-adenosine diphosphate (ADP), PFA-epinephrine (EPI), and ISTH-BAT overall performance to diagnose IPFDs was low with area under the curves of 0.56 (95% CI 0.44, 0.69) compared with 0.84 (95% CI 0.76, 0.92) for VWD. Correlation of PFA-EPI/-ADP and ISTH-BAT was low with 0.25/0.39 Spearman's correlation coefficients. PFA were significantly prolonged in patients with VWD and Glanzmann thrombasthenia. ISTH-BAT-scores were only positive in severe bleeding disorders, but not in children with mild IPFDs or VWD. CONCLUSION: Neither ISTH-BAT nor PFA or the combination of both help diagnosing mild IPFDs in children. PFA is suited to exclude severe IPFDs or VWD and is in this regard superior to ISTH-BAT in children.

Phase Angle as a Nutritional Assessment Method in Patients with Hip Fractures: A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Phase angle, which is associated with cellular health, has attracted attention as a noninvasive and objective method for nutritional assessment. However, the association between malnutrition and phase angle in older inpatients with hip fractures has not been reported. Therefore, this study investigated this association in older inpatients (aged ≥65 years) with hip fractures and determined the cutoff phase angle for determining malnutrition. METHODS: This cross-sectional study retrospectively analyzed the data of 96 inpatients with hip fractures who were hospitalized in rehabilitation units after surgery (male, 29.4%; mean age, 82.4±6.2 years). Nutritional status was assessed using the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI), with malnutrition defined as a GNRI ≥98. Bioelectrical impedance analysis was used to measure phase angles. RESULTS: The phase angle was associated with malnutrition (B=-1.173; odds ratio=0.310; 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.83; p=0.015). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.71. The cutoff phase angle for malnutrition was 3.96° (sensitivity=0.85, specificity=0.63). CONCLUSION: Phase angle could be an indicator of malnutrition in older inpatients with hip fractures. Our findings will help formulate rehabilitation strategies for these patients.

Mixed Martial Arts: Comparing the King-Devick and Sport Concussion Assessment Tool 5 in knockouts, technical knockouts and choke holds.

Objective: To compare validity indices of the King-Devick (KD) test and Sport Concussion Assessment Tool 5 (SCAT5) for traumatic events in MMA, and to determine if perfusion events (alterations in consciousness as the result of choke holds) cause similar changes in KD/SCAT5 scores. Design: A prospective cohort study in MMA fighters who completed KD and SCAT5 assessments before and after a match. Outcomes were categorized as non-event, traumatic event, or perfusion event. KD/SCAT5 changes were compared between all athletes. Participants: One hundred forty MMA athletes (7 women, 133 men), mean age=27.1 ± 4.9 years. Intervention: N/A. Main outcome measures: King-Devick (KD) test and Sport Concussion Assessment Tool 5 (SCAT5). Results: Among the 140 athletes, 19 sustained traumatic and 15 perfusion events. Testing provided sensitivities/specificities of 21.05%/93.39% (KD) and 77.78%/52.99% (SCAT5) in detecting a traumatic event. KD and SCAT5 Symptom Severity scores differed between athletes with and without traumatic events (P=.041 and .014). KD and SCAT5 Symptoms Score changes were observed between athletes with and without traumatic events (P=.023 and .042). Neither KD nor SCAT5 differed significantly between athletes with and without perfusion events. Conclusions: The KD test provides high specificity and the SCAT5 demonstrates reasonable sensitivity when detecting a traumatic event. Of the SCAT5, symptoms-related scores may most effectively identify a traumatic event. A traumatic event may cause KD/SCAT5 changes similar to a concussion, while perfusion events did not.

Fiberoptic endoscopic evaluation of swallowing and the Brazilian version of the Eating Assessment Tool-10 in resistant hypertensive patients with obstructive sleep apnea

Abstract Objective: The aim of this study was to describe the prevalence and characteristics of OD through Fiberoptic Endoscopic Evaluation of Swallowing (FEES) and the Eating Assessment Tool-10 (EAT-10) in hypertensive patients with OSA, as well as to describe the sensitivity of EAT-10 for the detection of OD in this population. Methods: This study included a convenience sample in which 85 resistant hypertensive patients diagnosed with OSA in an university hospital participated. Participants were subjected to the EAT-10 (index test) and FEES (reference standard). Results: The median EAT-10 score was 2 (0-5.5). According to the FEES, 27 participants did not have dysphagia, 42 had mild dysphagia and 16 had mild to moderate dysphagia. The sensitivity of the EAT-10 was 70.7% (95% CI: 57.3-81.9) at a cutoff score ≤1, with a discriminatory power of 67.4% (p = 0.005). The most prevalent symptom in this population was "food stuck in the throat", while the most prevalent signs were delayed initiation of the pharyngeal phase of swallowing, premature bolus spillage and pharyngeal residue. Conclusion: In our study, the cutoff score for the EAT-10 for screening for OD in this population was ≥ 1. In conclusion, this population presented a high prevalence of dysphagia detected in FEES and its severity is associated with higher EAT-10 scores.

German aortic valve score in risk assessment for surgical aortic valve replacement in a brazilian center

Abstract Objective: To test the German Aortic Valve (GAV) score at our university hospital in patients undergoing isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR). Methods: A total of 224 patients who underwent isolated conventional AVR between January 2015 and December 2018 were included. Patients with concomitant procedures and transcatheter aortic valve implantation were excluded. Patients' data were collected and analyzed retrospectively. Patients' risk scores were calculated according to criteria described by GAV score. Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy (area under the ROC curve [AUC]) were also calculated. The calibration of the model was tested by the Hosmer-Lemeshow method. Results: The mortality rate was 8.04% (18 patients). The patients' mean age was 58.2±19.3 years and 25% of them were female (56 patients). Mean GAV score was 1.73±5.86 (min: 0.0; max: 3.53). The GAV score showed excellent discriminative capacity (AUC 0.925, 95% confidence interval 0.882-0.956; P<0.001). The cutoff "1.8" turned out to be the best discriminatory point with the best combination of sensitivity (88.9%) and specificity (75.7%) to predict operative death. Hosmer-Lemeshow method revealed a P-value of 0.687, confirming a good calibration of the model. Conclusion: The GAV score applies to our population with high predictive accuracy.

Sensitivity and specificity of assessment scales of dentin hypersensitivity - an accuracy study

Abstract The aim of the present study was to compare the sensitivity and specificity of pain scales used to assess dentin hypersensitivity (DH). The preferred scale, and toothbrushing habits of participants were also investigated. This cross-sectional study was conducted with students and employees of a Brazilian Federal University who presented DH. The participants answered a questionnaire about their toothbrushing and drinking habits. Hypersensitive and non-sensitive teeth were submitted to tactile and ice stick stimuli. Then, the subjects marked their pain level in the visual analogue (VAS), numeric scale (NS), faces pain scale (FPS) and verbal evaluation scale (VES). DH was also assessed by Schiff scale (SS). The data were analyzed by Wilcoxon and Chi-Square tests, as well as by ROC curve. The mean age of the sample (56 women, 16 men) was 27.8 years. The most prevalent acidic beverage was coffee (36.0%) and the most preferred scale was the NS (47.2%). The pain level was statistically higher in teeth with DH compared to teeth without DH (p < 0.05). The accuracy ranged from 0.729 (SS) to 0.750 (NS). The highest sensitivity value was 81.9% for NS. The SS presented the highest specificity (91%). The visual analog, numerical, verbal evaluation, faces pain, and Schiff scales were accurate for DH diagnosis. The Schiff scale was the preferred scale for DH assessment.

Sedentary behavior and functional disability in older adults with low economic status: Monidi Study / Comportamento sedentário e incapacidade funcional em idosos com baixa condição econômica: Estudo Monidi

Abstract Excess time spent in sedentary activities may intensify functional losses among the elderly; however, information on the amount of time in sedentary activities related to these losses is still incipient. The aim of this study was to determine the predictive power of sedentary behavior (SB) and to establish cutoff points for functional disability (FD) discriminators in the elderly. A cross-sectional study was carried out with sample of 310 older adults with mean age of 71.62 ± 8.15 years, randomly selected and residents in the municipality of Ibicuí-BA. Sedentary behavior was assessed by measuring the time spent sitting on a usual week day and FD weekend and FD by the Lawton scale. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed and SB discriminant criterion for FD was determined. The areas under the curve showed that SB has reasonable potential to discriminate FD. The times spent in SB that best discriminated FD were > 330 minutes / day and > 270 minutes / day for men and women respectively. Time spent in SB is an important health indicator and can be used in the screening of FD in the elderly.

Resumo O excesso de tempo despendido em atividades sedentárias pode intensificar as perdas funcionais entre idosos, no entanto, ainda são incipientes as informações sobre a quantidade de tempo em atividades sedentárias relacionadas a essas perdas. Objetivou-se determinar o poder preditivo do comportamento sedentário (CS) e estabelecer seus pontos de corte como discriminadores da incapacidade funcional (IF) em idosos. Estudo transversal com amostra de 310 idosos com média de idade de 71,62 ± 8,15 anos, selecionados aleatoriamente e residentes no município de Ibicuí-BA. O comportamento sedentário foi avaliado por meio de mensuração do tempo gasto sentado em um dia habitual da semana e no fim de semana e a IF pela escala de Lawton. Foram construídas curvas Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) e determinado um critério discriminador do CS para IF. As áreas sobre a curva mostraram que o CS tem um razoável potencial para discriminar a IF. Os tempos em CS que melhor discriminaram a IF foram de >330 minutos/dia e >270 minutos/dia para homens e mulheres respectivamente. O tempo em CS é um indicador de saúde importante e poderá ser utilizado no rastreamento da IF de idosos.

Identification of cutoff points for homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance index in adolescents: systematic review / Identificação dos pontos de corte do índice homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance em adolescentes: revisão sistemática

Objective: To identify cutoff points of the Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) index established for adolescents and discuss their applicability for the diagnosis of insulin resistance in Brazilian adolescents. Data source: A systematic review was performed in the PubMed, Lilacs and SciELO databases, using the following descriptors: "adolescents", "insulin resistance" and "Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve". Original articles carried out with adolescents published between 2005 and 2015 in Portuguese, English or Spanish languages, which included the statistical analysis using Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve to determine the index cutoff (HOMA-IR) were included. Data synthesis: A total of 184 articles were identified and after the study phases were applied, seven articles were selected for the review. All selected studies established their cutoffs using a Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve, with the lowest observed cutoff of 1.65 for girls and 1.95 for boys and the highest of 3.82 for girls and 5.22 for boys. Of the studies analyzed, one proposed external validity, recommending the use of the HOMA-IR cutoff>2.5 for both genders. Conclusions: The HOMA-IR index constitutes a reliable method for the detection of insulin resistance in adolescents, as long as it uses cutoffs that are more adequate for the reality of the study population, allowing early diagnosis of insulin resistance and enabling multidisciplinary interventions aiming at health promotion of this population.

Objetivo: Identificar os pontos de corte do índice Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) estabelecidos para adolescentes e discutir a sua aplicabilidade para o diagnóstico da resistência à insulina em adolescentes brasileiros. Fontes de dados: Revisão sistemática feita nas bases de dados PubMed, LILACS e SciELO com os descritores "Adolescentes", "Resistência à insulina" e "Curva ROC". Foram incluídos artigos originais, publicados entre 2005 e 2015, conduzidos com adolescentes, no idioma português, inglês ou espanhol e incluindo análise estatística com uso da curva ROC para determinação dos pontos de corte do índice (HOMA-IR). Síntese dos dados: Foram identificados 184 artigos e, após a aplicação das etapas do procedimento, foram selecionados sete para compor a revisão. Todos os estudos selecionados estabeleceram seus pontos de corte com a curva ROC. O menor ponto de corte observado foi de 1,65 para meninas e 1,95 para meninos e o maior de 3,82 para meninas e 5,22 para meninos. Dos estudos analisados, um propôs validade externa, recomendando o uso do ponto de corte do HOMA-IR >2,5 para ambos os sexos. Conclusões: O índice HOMA-IR constitui-se em método confiável para detenção da resistência insulínica em adolescentes, desde que usados os pontos de corte que mais se adequem à realidade da população em estudo, o que permite um diagnóstico precoce da resistência à insulina e possibilita intervenções multiprofissionais para a promoção da saúde dessa população.

Clinical validation of the Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale / Validação clínica do Instrumento de Avaliação da Prontidão do Prematuro para Início da Alimentação Oral / La validación clínica del Instrumento de Evaluación de la Prontitud de los Prematuros para Iniciación de la Alimentación por Vía Oral

INTRODUCTION: Health professionals have great difficulties to establish the adequate and safe time to start breast feeding in preterm infants. There is a need to develop a standardized tool to help health professionals to comprehensively evaluate preterm infant readiness to transition preterm infants´ feeding from gastric to oral, and encourage breast feeding practice in neonatal units. Aims: To clinical validate the accuracy of a Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale with 60 clinically stable preterm infants. METHODS: Global accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale cut-offs, compared to milk intake through translactation, were estimated through ROC curves (Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves). RESULTS: The global accuracy of Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale was 74.38%. The highest sensitivity and specificity were obtained for three cut-offs: 28, 29 and 30. Since higher specificity (75.68%) for the Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale was found at a score cut-off=of 30 showed higher specificity (75.68%), it should be used as a cut-off score to select initiate breastfeeding the preterm newborns' oral feeding readiness. CONCLUSION: The Preterm Oral Feeding Readiness Assessment Scale is considered valid to assist health professionals to initiate preterm feeding in view of promoting safe and objective breastfeeding.

INTRODUÇÃO: profissionais de saúde têm grande dificuldade para estabelecer o momento adequado e seguro para iniciar a amamentação em prematuros. Há necessidade de desenvolver um instrumento padronizado para auxiliar esses profissionais, na transição da alimentação gástrica para via oral do prematuro, incentivando a prática da amamentação nas unidades neonatais. Objetivo: avaliar a acurácia do Instrumento de Avaliação da Prontidão do Prematuro para Início da Alimentação Oral. MÉTODO: participaram do estudo 60 prematuros clinicamente estáveis e que não haviam recebido alimentação oral. A acurácia global, sensibilidade e especificidade do instrumento, em comparação à ingestão de leite por meio da translactação, foram estimadas através de curvas ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves). RESULTADOS: a acurácia global do instrumento foi de 74,38%. A maior sensibilidade e especificidade foram obtidas para três pontos de corte: 28, 29 e 30. Como o ponto de corte=30 do instrumento apresentou maior especificidade (75,68%), sugere-se, aqui, que deverá ser usado para selecionar os prematuros com prontidão para início da alimentação oral. CONCLUSÃO: o Instrumento de Avaliação da Prontidão do Prematuro para Início da Alimentação Oral está validado para assistir os profissionais de saúde a iniciar a alimentação do prematuro, com vistas ao aleitamento materno, de forma segura e objetiva.

INTRODUCCIÓN: Profesionales de la salud tienen grandes dificultades para establecer el momento adecuado y seguro para iniciar la lactancia en prematuros. Hay una necesidad de se desarrollar un instrumento para ayudar a estos profesionales en la transición de la alimentación gástrica para oral en prematuros mediante el fomento de la lactancia en las unidades neonatales. Objetivo: Evaluar la precisión de el Instrumento de Evaluación de la Prontitud de los Prematuros para Iniciación de la Alimentación por Vía Oral. MÉTODO: Participaron 60 prematuros clínicamente estables y que no recibieron alimentación oral. La precisión global, la sensibilidad y la especificidad del instrumento, en comparación con la ingestión de leche por translactancia se estimaron mediante curvas ROC. RESULTADOS: La precisión global del instrumento fue del 74,38%. La mayor sensibilidad y especificidad se obtuvieron para tres puntos de corte: 28, 29 y 30. Como el punto de corte=30 del instrumento mostró mayor especificidad (75,68%), sugerimos que debe utilizarse para seleccionar los prematuros con prontitud para la alimentación oral. CONCLUSIÓN: El Instrumento se valida para ayudar a los profesionales de la salud en la iniciación de la alimentación en los prematuros, con vistas a la lactancia de manera segura y objetiva.

Using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis in detecting excess adiposity in 9-13-year old South African children / Uso del análisis de la curva de las características operativas del receptor (ROC) para detectar el exceso de adiposidad en niños Sudafricanos de 9 a 13 años de edad

OBJECTIVE: Little is known concerning the applicability of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis in detecting excess adiposity in preadolescent South African children. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of body mass index (BMI) and skinfold thickness:BMI (subcutaneous to overall fat) in detecting excess adiposity in preadolescent urban South African school children. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of 1136 randomly selected children (548 boys and 588 girls) aged 9-13 years old in urban (Pretoria Central) South Africa. Body mass, stature, skinfolds (subscapular, triceps, supraspinale and biceps) and waist circumference were measured. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of BMI, and log10 SF4:BMI to detect excess adiposity. Excess adiposity was defined as levels of log10 SF4 greater than the internally derived 85th percentile (log10 SF4 > 85th percentile). RESULTS: Compared to log10 SF4:BMI, BMI had a high specificity (0.88; 95% CI 0.84, 0.90). The log10 SF4:BMI identified excess adiposity with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.62 (95% CI 0.60, 0.67) and 0.68 (95% CI 0.64, 0.70), respectively. Besides, a decrease in overall misclassification with the use of log10 SF4:BMI instead of BMI at the 95th percentile (9.7% versus 27.1%) was observed. CONCLUSION: Similar to other studies, although with varying degrees, the present study confirms that log10 SF4:BMI at conventional cut-off points has a relatively high sensitivity and specificity in detecting excess adiposity, and therefore could be used to identify the excess adiposity in South African children. As such, defining obesity based on population-specific percentiles rather than using cut-off points derived from other geographical settings with contrasting levels of socio-economic development becomes imperative.

OBJETIVO: Poco se sabe acerca de las posibilidades de aplicación del análisis de la curva de las características operativas del receptor (ROC) para detectar el exceso de adiposidad en preadolescentes sudafricanos. Por consiguiente, el propósito de este estudio fue evaluar la sensibilidad y especificidad del índice de masa corporal, y grosor de los pliegues cutáneos:IMC (subcutáneo con respecto a la grasa general) a la hora de detectar el exceso de adiposidad en los escolares preadolescentes urbanos de Sudáfrica. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio transversal de 1136 niños seleccionados de manera aleatoria (548 varones y 588 hembras) de 9 a 13 años de edad en la Sudáfrica urbana (Pretoria Central). Se midieron la masa corporal, la estatura, los pliegues cutáneos (subescapular, supraespinal, así como del tríceps y el bíceps) y la circunferencia de la cintura. Se hizo uso del análisis de la curva de las características operativas del receptor para evaluar la sensibilidad y especificidad del IMC, y el log10 PC4: IMC, a fin de detectar el exceso de adiposidad. El exceso de adiposidad fue definido en términos de la medida en que los niveles del log10 PC4 fueran mayores que el percentil 85 (log10 PC4 > percentil 85). RESULTADOS: Comparado con el log10 SF4:IMC, el IMC tenía una alta especificidad (0.88; 95% CI 0.84, 0.90). El log10 SF4:IMC identificó exceso de adiposidad con una sensibilidad y especificidad de 0.62 (95% CI 0.60, 0.67) y 0.68 (95% CI 0.64, 0.70), respectivamente. Además, una disminución en los errores de clasificación global con el uso del log10 SF4:IMC en lugar del IMC en el percentil 95 (9.7% frente a 27.1%) se observó. CONCLUSIÓN: Similar a otros estudios, aunque con diferencias de grados, el estudio presente confirma que el log10 SF4:IMC a ciertos puntos convencionales límites, posee una sensibilidad y una especificidad relativamente altas a la hora de detectar la adiposidad en exceso, y por consiguiente podría usarse para identificar el exceso de adiposidad en los niños sudafricanos. Siendo así, resulta imperativo definir la obesidad sobre la base de los percentiles específicos de la población, más bien que a partir del uso de puntos de corte derivados de otros sitios geográficos con niveles contrastantes de desarrollo económico.

Gasto calórico dos diferentes domínios de atividade física como preditor da ausência de diabetes em adultos / Caloric expenditure of different domains of physical activity as predictors of the absence of diabetes in adults

INTRODUÇÃO: A atividade física apresenta efeito protetor contra doenças crônicas e fatores de risco cardiovascular; no entanto, o gasto calórico necessário para promover a prevenção do diabetes permanece especulativo. OBJETIVO: Analisar o gasto calórico dos diferentes domínios da atividade física (trabalho, deslocamento, atividade doméstica, tempo livre e atividade física total) como preditores da ausência de diabetes em adultos de ambos os sexos. MÉTODOS: Estudo transversal realizado na cidade de Lauro de Freitas, Bahia, Brasil (2007-2008) com amostra constituída por 522 indivíduos maiores de 18 anos, sendo 302 do sexo feminino e 220 do sexo masculino. Foram construídas curvas Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) e comparadas as áreas sob as mesmas, além de verificar-se a sensibilidade e especificidade para identificar os melhores pontos de corte entre os diferentes domínios da atividade física e a ausência de diabetes. Foi utilizado o intervalo de confiança a 95%. RESULTADOS: Entre os diferentes domínios de atividade física analisados encontrou-se significância estatística nas áreas sob a curva ROC para o tempo livre, deslocamento e para atividade física total. Observou-se também que o gasto calórico na atividade física total de 830kcal/semana quando analisados apenas os homens, e 1,774kcal/semana quando analisados homens e mulheres conjuntamente, foram os melhores pontos de corte para predizer a ausência de diabetes. CONCLUSÃO: A prática da atividade física deve ser sugerida em níveis adequados para indivíduos de ambos os sexos visando contribuir para a prevenção do diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity had a protective effect against chronic diseases and cardiovascular risk factors; however, the caloric expenditure necessary to promote diabetes prevention remains speculative. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the caloric expenditure of different domains of physical activity (work, commuting, household, leisure time and total physical activity) as predictors of the absence of diabetes in adults of both sexes. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study in the town of Lauro de Freitas, Bahia, Brazil (2007 - 2008) with a sample of 522 individuals over 18 years of age; 302 female and 220 male. Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves (ROC) were constructed and the areas below them were compared. Additionally, the sensitivity and specificity to identify the best cutoff points among the different domains of physical activity and the absence of diabetes were verified. Confidence interval at 95% was used. RESULTS: Among the different domains of physical activity analysed, statistical significance was only found in the areas under the ROC curve for leisure time, commuting and total physical activity. Additionally, it was observed that the caloric expenditure in total physical activity ranging from 830 kcal/week and 1.774 kcal/week were the best cutoff points for predicting the absence of diabetes. CONCLUSION: Physical activity should be suggested at appropriate levels for individuals of both sexes to contribute to diabetes prevention.

Validity of two occlusal indices for determining orthodontic treatment needs of patients treated in a public university in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil / Validade de dois índices oclusais na determinação de necessidade de tratamento ortodôntico em pacientes tratados em uma universidade pública em Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brasil

The aim of the present study was to validate the dental aesthetic index (DAI) and index of complexity, outcome and need (ICON) based on the opinions of a panel of Brazilian orthodontists. A comparison of these two orthodontic treatment need indices was carried out based on the consensus of a panel of 20 experienced orthodontists. A set of 108 study casts representing the full spectrum of malocclusions was selected. A calibrated examiner scored the casts for both indices. The orthodontists individually rated the casts regarding the degree of orthodontic treatment need. The panel's mean rating of the need for treatment was used as the gold standard for evaluating the validity of the indices. The accuracy of the indices, as reflected in the area under receiver-operating characteristic curves, was high: DAI = 81.83 percent (95 percentCI: 71.21-92.44); ICON = 88.75 percent (95 percentCI: 78.57-98.92). Although the accuracy of the ICON was higher than that of the DAI, both indices are recommended for determining orthodontic treatment need in Brazil.

O objetivo do presente estudo foi validar os índices dental aesthetic index (DAI) e index of complexity, outcome and need (ICON) a partir da opinião de um painel de ortodontistas brasileiros. A comparação desses dois índices de necessidade de tratamento ortodôntico foi feita baseada no consenso de um painel de 20 experientes ortodontistas. Um conjunto de 108 modelos de estudo representando uma grande variedade de tipos de maloclusão foi selecionado. Um examinador calibrado mensurou os modelos para ambos os índices. Os ortodontistas, de forma individual, avaliaram a necessidade de tratamento ortodôntico de cada modelo. O valor médio do painel de ortodontistas em relação à necessidade de tratamento foi utilizado como padrão-ouro para validação dos índices. Os valores de acurácia dos índices, medidos pela curva de característica de operação do receptor, foram altos: DAI = 81,83 por cento (IC95 por cento: 71,21-92,44); ICON = 88,75 por cento (IC95 por cento: 78,57-98,92). Embora a acurácia do ICON tenha sido mais alta do que a do DAI, ambos os índices são recomendados para determinar a necessidade de tratamento ortodôntico no Brasil.

Ponto de corte do índice Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) avaliado pela curva Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) na detecção de síndrome metabólica em crianças pré-púberes com excesso de peso / Cut-off point for Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) index established from Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve in the detection of metabolic syndrome in overweight pre-pubertal children

OBJETIVO: Estabelecer, entre os pontos de corte do índice homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), citados na literatura, o melhor em identificar a síndrome metabólica (SM) em crianças com obesidade e sobrepeso. MÉTODOS: Foram estudadas 140 crianças pré-púberes. A definição de SM foi adaptada da International Diabetes Federation. Para cada ponto de corte de HOMA-IR foram estimados sensibilidade e especificidade, tomandose como desfecho a SM. Uma curva receiver operating characteristic (ROC) foi construída com estes valores. RESULTADOS: O grupo estudado constituiu-se de 106 crianças com obesidade (37 meninas e 69 meninos) e 34 com sobrepeso (19 meninas e 15 meninos), média de idade 6,5 ± 2,3 anos. A acurácia da curva ROC foi 72 por cento, e o melhor ponto de corte foi 2,5, com sensibilidade 61 por cento e especificidade 74 por cento. CONCLUSÃO: O índice HOMA-IR pode ser útil para detectar a SM, e o ponto de corte 2,5 mostrou-se o melhor para crianças pré-púberes com obesidade e sobrepeso.

OBJECTIVE: To establish, among the cut-off values for the homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance index (HOMA-IR) cited in the literature, the best in identifying metabolic syndrome (MS) in obese and overweight children. METHODS: A total of 106 pre-pubertal children were studied. The definition of MS was adapted from that of the International Diabetes Federation. For each cut-off values for HOMA-IR, it was estimated sensibility and specificity for MS. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was generated using these values. RESULTS: The study included 106 obese (37 girls and 69 boys) and 34 overweight (19 girls and 15 boys) children aged 6,5 ± 2,3 years. The accuracy of the ROC curve was 72 percent, and the best cut-off value for HOMAIR was 2,5, with sensitivity of 61 percent and specificity of 74 percent. CONCLUSIONS: HOMA-IR may be useful to detect MS and the cut-off 2,5 seems to be the best in obese and overweight pre-pubertal children.

Identificação das características associadas com a aprovação de candidatos de escolas públicas e privadas, Vestibular-2004, UFMG / Identification of the factors associated with the approval of candidates from public and private schools, Vestibular-2004, UFMG

Este trabalho visa a conhecer melhor o perfil dos candidatos oriundos de escolas das redes públicas e privadas de ensino que tentaram ingressar na UFMG em 2004. Busca-se identificar quais das características definidas no questionário socioeconômico e cultural aplicado no ato da inscrição do candidato podem estar mais associadas com a aprovação no vestibular. Conclui-se que o local de moradia e o conhecimento de língua estrangeira são as variáveis mais fortemente associadas com a aprovação do candidato de escolas particulares e escolas públicas, respectivamente. Verificou-se que, entre os candidatos que concluíram o ensino médio em escolas públicas, os que estudaram em escolas públicas federais tendem a se concentrar nos grupos com maiores chances de aprovação.

This paper aims to better understand the profile of the candidates for the UFMG entrance examination in 2004, coming from public and private schools. The objective is to identify which of the characteristics defined through a socioeconomic and cultural questionnaire answered by the candidates upon their application for the entrance examination may be associated with their approval at the University exams. It was found that the place where the candidates live and their knowledge of a foreign language are the variants more strongly related to the approval of the candidates of private schools and public schools, respectively. It was also found that, among the candidates who concluded high school at public schools that attained the highest chances of approval, there was a large percentage of candidates that attended high school in federal establishments.