Persistent Racial/Ethnic Disparities in Fatal Unintentional Drowning Rates Among Persons Aged ≤29 Years - United States, 1999-2019.

During 1999-2019, a total of 81,947 unintentional drowning deaths occurred in the United States (1). Drowning is one of the three leading causes of unintentional injury death among persons aged ≤29 years and results in more deaths among children aged 1-4 years than any other cause except birth defects (2). Drowning death rates have decreased since 1990 (declining by 57% worldwide and by 32% in the United States) (3). However, because of racial/ethnic disparities in drowning risk, rates remain high among certain racial/ethnic groups, particularly American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) persons and Black or African-American (Black) persons (4). To assess whether decreasing drowning death rates have been accompanied by reductions in racial/ethnic disparities, and to further describe these disparities by age group and setting, CDC analyzed U.S. mortality data during 1999-2019. The drowning death rate among persons aged ≤29 years was 1.3 per 100,000 population. The rate per 100,000 among AI/AN persons (2.5) and Black persons (1.8) was higher than among all other racial/ethnic groups and was 2.0 and 1.5 times higher than among White persons (1.2). Racial/ethnic disparities in drowning death rates did not significantly decline for most groups, and the disparity in rates among Black persons compared with White persons increased significantly from 2005-2019. Drowning death rates are associated with persistent and concerning racial/ethnic disparities. A better understanding of the factors that contribute to drowning disparities is needed. Implementing and evaluating community-based interventions, including those promoting basic swimming and water safety skills, among disproportionately affected racial/ethnic groups could help reduce drowning disparities.

Mortality and Disease Burden of Injuries from 2008 to 2017 in Anhui Province, China.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the temporal trends in mortality and disease burden of injuries in Anhui province from 2008 to 2017, so as to provide reference for injury control and prevention. METHODS: Data of mortality were collected from 9 national surveillance points in Anhui province during 2008-2017 in the Information System for Death Cause Register and Management. The surveillance data were analyzed by using crude mortality, standardized mortality rate (SMR), potential year of life lost (PYLL), PYLL rate (PYLLR), and average of year life lost (AYLL). RESULTS: There were a total of 44855 people died from injury, accounted for 9.44% of the all-cause mortality, ranked as the fifth leading cause of deaths in the whole population, and denoted the first leading cause of deaths in the 0-44 year's group. The leading causes of injury deaths were road traffic accidents, suicide, accidental falls, drowning, and poisoning. Road traffic accidents was the primary cause of injury deaths among the male population, while suicide was the dominate cause of injury deaths among the female population. Drowning, traffic accidents, and suicide accounted for the most injury deaths among the population aged 0-14 years, 15-64 years, and above 60 years, respectively. The road traffic accidents accounted for the largest proportion of injury PYLL and PYLLR, and drowning caused the highest AYLL among injury deaths. CONCLUSION: In Anhui province, road traffic accidents, suicide, accidental falls, drowning, and poisoning were the top five causes of injury deaths that harm the health of local residents; corresponding injury prevention strategies should be formulated.

The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study.

BACKGROUND: Drowning is a leading cause of injury-related mortality globally. Unintentional drowning (International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 codes W65-74 and ICD9 E910) is one of the 30 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive causes of injury-related mortality in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. This study's objective is to describe unintentional drowning using GBD estimates from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: Unintentional drowning from GBD 2017 was estimated for cause-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs), age, sex, country, region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and trends from 1990 to 2017. GBD 2017 used standard GBD methods for estimating mortality from drowning. RESULTS: Globally, unintentional drowning mortality decreased by 44.5% between 1990 and 2017, from 531 956 (uncertainty interval (UI): 484 107 to 572 854) to 295 210 (284 493 to 306 187) deaths. Global age-standardised mortality rates decreased 57.4%, from 9.3 (8.5 to 10.0) in 1990 to 4.0 (3.8 to 4.1) per 100 000 per annum in 2017. Unintentional drowning-associated mortality was generally higher in children, males and in low-SDI to middle-SDI countries. China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh accounted for 51.2% of all drowning deaths in 2017. Oceania was the region with the highest rate of age-standardised YLLs in 2017, with 45 434 (40 850 to 50 539) YLLs per 100 000 across both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a decline in global drowning rates. This study shows that the decline was not consistent across countries. The results reinforce the need for continued and improved policy, prevention and research efforts, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries.

Socioeconomic status and deaths due to unintentional injury among children: A socio-spatial analysis in Taiwan.

In Taiwan, unintentional injury is the leading cause of death among children <10 years old. Low socioeconomic status is a risk factor associated with a high prevalence of injuries and our study aimed to explore the geographic distribution of mortality due to unintentional injury in this age group assessing the association between this type of injury on the one hand and socioeconomic disadvantages and family structure on the other using cluster and spatial regression analyses. Using exploratory factor analysis, we assembled nine socioeconomic variables into four composite factors including area-level poverty, family burden, family fragility and unemployment. We found significant spatial clusters of childhood deaths due to unintentional injury and identified three major causes of death involved, i.e. traffic accidents, drowning and suffocation. Significant associations were found between death due to unintentional injury and area-level social disadvantages including poverty, family fragility, family economic burden and unemployment, while controlling for spatial autocorrelation. Our conclusion is that socioeconomic disadvantages need to be addressed to reduce the number of deaths due to childhood unintentional injury.

Where to start? Injury prevention priority scores in Canadian children.

PURPOSE: Given limited resources, it is essential to determine which Mechanisms of Injury (MOIs) to prioritize for injury prevention policy and research. We developed objective, evidence-based Injury Prevention Priority Scores (IPPSs) for Canadian children across three prevention perspectives: mortality, injury severity, and resource utilization. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all injuries in Canada in individuals aged 0 to 19 years old from 2009 to 2014. For each MOI, an IPPS was calculated as a balanced measure of frequency and either mortality rate, median ICD-10 derived Injury Severity Score (ICISS), or median cost per hospitalization. RESULTS: Of 87,017 injuries, 83,112 were nonfatal hospitalizations, and 3905 were deaths. Overall mortality rate was 0.04 deaths/injury, median ICISS was 0.994 (IQR 0.75-0.996), and median cost per hospitalization was CAD$3262 (IQR $2118-$5001). The top three mechanisms were falls (IPPS 72), intentional self-harm (IPPS 68), and drowning (IPPS 65) for mortality, falls (IPPS73), drowning (IPPS 61), and suffocation (IPPS 61) for injury severity and falls (IPPS 70), fires (IPPS 65), and intentional self-harm (IPPS 60) for resource utilization. CONCLUSION: Falls, if prevented, would provide the most benefit to the largest proportion of the Canadian pediatric population and should be targeted for injury prevention. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III.

Vanishing racial disparities in drowning in Florida.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the change in the racial disparity in drowning in Florida from 1970 to 2015 and to analyse the contextual factors associated with white, black and Hispanic drowning rates in Florida from 2007 to 2015. METHODS: Our outcome variable is county-level annual drowning rates by race, ethnicity, sex and age group. We computed county-level contextual data, including emergency weather events, temperature, extreme weather, number of pools, quality of pools, coastline, swimming participation rates and prominent black competitive swim teams. RESULTS: Between 1970 and 1990, the disparity in drowning rates between white and black males in Florida decreased dramatically. By 2005, the overall age-adjusted drowning rates converged. This convergence was most striking for those aged 10-34 and 35-64. While the gap has declined dramatically, there remains a racial disparity in drownings among those aged 10-34. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, racial disparities in drowning have disappeared in Florida. However, some disparities remain. There is a persistent disparity in drownings among those aged 10-34.

Mortalidade por causas externas: revisão dos dados do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade / Mortality from external causes: a review of the data of the Mortality Information System (SIM)

Objetivo: Traçar o perfil epidemiológico da mortalidade por causas externas. Métodos: Estudo retrospectivo, descritivo, de abordagem quantitativa. A população estudada correspondeu a vítimas que foram a óbito por causas externas, por local de ocorrência, no Estado do Tocantins, de 2010 a 2015. Os dados foram extraídos do banco de dados do Sistema de Informação de Mortalidade do Ministério da Saúde. As variáveis analisadas foram faixa etária, sexo, municípios de ocorrência e categorias da décima edição da Classificação Internacional de Doenças e Problemas Relacionados à Saúde. Resultados: Nos anos de 2010 a 2015, foram registrados 7.691 óbitos por causas externas no Tocantins. Destes, 7.142 corresponderam apenas às categorias consideradas por este estudo, dentre as quais acidentes de transporte e agressões obtiveram maior número de casos, com 43,92% e 29,98%, respectivamente. Da mortalidade por acidentes de transporte, 33,5% corresponderam a motociclistas. Os homens representaram a maioria das ocorrências (82,46%). A faixa etária de 20 a 29 anos foi a mais acometida (24,85%), mas óbitos por quedas e por afogamentos ocorreram mais nas faixas etárias de 80 anos ou mais (207 óbitos) e 30 a 39 anos (72 óbitos), respectivamente. As cidades com maiores resultados foram Palmas (20,71%) e Araguaína (16,5%). Conclusão: Os dados demonstram a magnitude do problema a nível estadual e os impactos causados à saúde pública e à sociedade como um todo. Revelam, ainda, a necessidade de políticas públicas de valorização da vida e da promoção de oportunidades, que visem à igualdade entre os cidadãos. (AU)

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiological profile of mortality from external causes. METHODS: This is a retrospective, descriptive and quantitative study. The population studied consists of victims who died from external causes, by place of occurrence, in the state of Tocantins from 2010 to 2015. Data were extracted from the Mortality Information System database of the Brazilian Ministry of Health. The analyzed variables were age, gender, municipalities of occurrence, and categories of the 10th edition of the International Classification of Diseases. RESULTS : Between the years 2010 and 2015, there were 7691 deaths due to external causes in Tocantins. Of these, 7142 corresponded only to the categories considered by this study, such as transportation accidents and assaults that obtained the highest number of cases, with 43.92% and 29.98%, respectively. The mortality due to transportation accidents had 33.5% consisting of motorcyclists. Besides, men represent the majority of occurrences (82.46%). The age range of 20-29 years was the most affected (24.85%), but deaths from falls and drowning occurred more frequently in the age range of 80 years or more (207 deaths), and 30-39 years (72 deaths), respectively. The cities with the highest results were Palmas (20.71%), and Araguaína (16.5%). CONCLUSI ON: Data demonstrate the magnitude of the problem at the state level, and the impacts caused to the public health and society as a whole. They also reveal the need for public policies to value life and promote opportunities for equality among citizens. (AU)

Drowning mortality by intent: a population-based cross-sectional study of 32 OECD countries, 2012-2014.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the drowning mortality rates and proportion of deaths of each intent among all drowning deaths in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in 2012-2014. DESIGN: A population-based cross-sectional study. SETTING: 32 OECD countries. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals in OECD countries who died from drowning. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Drowning mortality rates (deaths per 100 000 population) and proportion (%) of deaths of each intent (ie, unintentional intent, intentional self-harm, assault, undetermined intent and all intents combined) among all drowning deaths. RESULTS: Countries with the highest drowning mortality rates (deaths per 100 000 population) were Estonia (3.53), Japan (3.49) and Greece (2.40) for unintentional intent; Ireland (0.96), Belgium (0.96) and Korea (0.89) for intentional self-harm; Austria (0.57), Korea (0.56) and Hungary (0.44) for undetermined intent and Japan (4.35), Estonia (3.70) and Korea (2.73) for all intents combined. Korea ranked 12th and 3rd for unintentional intent and all intents combined, respectively. By contrast, Belgium ranked 2nd and 15th for intentional self-harm and all intents combined, respectively. The proportion of deaths of each intent among all drowning deaths in each country varied greatly: from 26.2% in Belgium to 96.8% in Chile for unintentional intent; 0.7% in Mexico to 57.4% in Belgium for intentional self-harm; 0.0% in nine countries to 4.9% in Mexico for assault and 0.0% in Israel and Turkey to 38.3% in Austria for undetermined intent. CONCLUSIONS: A large variation in the practice of classifying undetermined intent in drowning deaths across countries was noted and this variation hinders valid international comparisons of intent-specific (unintentional and intentional self-harm) drowning mortality rates.

A social change perspective on injury prevention in China.

INTRODUCTION: China has undergone massive social change over the past four decades. Since national estimates became available in 1987, the overall fatal injury rate has decreased. This paper investigates targeted interventions and sociodemographic factors that may have contributed to fatal injury rate changes particularly for road traffic fatality (RTF), suicide and drowning. AIMS: (1) To review the recent epidemiology of injury in China.(2)To investigate factors influencing trends in overall and specific cause injury mortality rates. METHODS: Published injury mortality statistics and related literature were reviewed. Factors potentially influencing trends were investigated in the context of rapid development based on literature reviews of targeted interventions, macrolevel and microlevel contextual factors and changes specific to RTF, suicide and drowning. RESULTS: Overall estimated national injury mortality rates in China decreased between 1987 and 2015, despite a rapid rise in RTF. Suicide and drowning rates decreased significantly and falls displaced drowning among the leading causes. The higher female to male suicide ratio reversed. Differences were observed in frequencies and proportions of deaths by major cause by age group and over time. DISCUSSION: Economic and structural development and related social change in this period include: urbanisation, changes in demographics, life choices (eg, internal migration), education, poverty alleviation, health insurance and relevant regulations/legislation. These factors potentially explain much of the change in fatal injury rates in China. Data limitations persist. Increased investment in data and research would provide realistic opportunities for accelerated progress in implementing effective targeted interventions to further reduce China's injury burden.

Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Trends in Mortality from Drowning in China: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015.

The studies on drowning mortality are very scarce in China, and the aim of this study is to identify the long-term patterns of drowning mortality in China between 1990 and 2015 to provide evidence for further prevention and control on drowning. The mortality data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 and were analyzed with the age-period-cohort framework. This study demonstrated that the age-standardized mortality rates for drowning in both sexes displayed general declining trends with a decrease in the drowning mortality rate for every age group. In the same birth cohort, both sexes witnessed a substantial decline followed by a slight increase in the risk of death from drowning with age after controlling for period deviations. The estimated period and cohort relative risks were found in similar monotonic downward patterns for both sexes, with more reduction for females than for males during the whole study period.

Systematic review of drowning in India: assessment of burden and risk.

AIM: To examine the burden and risk factors for fatal and non-fatal drowning in India. METHODS: Relevant literature was identified through a systematic search of 19 electronic databases and 19 national and global, institutional, organisational and government sources of injury data. Search terms used pertained to drowning, injury, trauma, morbidity and mortality in India. RESULTS: A total of 16 research articles and five data sources were included in the review. Three national data sources provided counts of drowning deaths, reporting a range of 1348-62 569 drowning deaths per year. A further three national data sources provided information on drowning-related morbidity; however, each source presented different outcome measures making comparison difficult. Ten research studies investigated risk factors associated with drowning in India. Key risk factors reported were male gender, young age (0-5 years) and individuals residing in the North-Eastern part of the country who have high exposure to water sources within community settings. CONCLUSION: Drowning-related morbidity and mortality have a significant impact on India, with risk factors identified for this setting similar to those within other low-income and middle-income countries. Regional data which look beyond routinely collected data are required to accurately investigate the burden and impact of drowning, to inform targeted, context-specific approaches for drowning reduction initiatives.

Disproportionately higher unintentional injury mortality among Alaska Native people, 2006-2015.

We compared rates of unintentional injury (UI) deaths (total and by injury category) among Alaska Native (AN) people to rates of U.S. White (USW) and Alaska White (AKW) populations during 2006-2015. The mortality data for AN and AKW populations were obtained from Alaska Bureau of Vital Statistics and USW mortality data were obtained from WISQARS, the Center for Disease Control and Prevention online injury data program. AN and AKW rates were age-adjusted to the U.S. 2000 Standard Population and rate ratios (RR) were calculated. AN people had higher age-adjusted total UI mortality than the USW (RR = 2.6) and AKW (RR = 2.3) populations. Poisoning was the leading cause of UI death among AN people (35.9 per 100,000), more than twice that of USW (RR = 2.9) and AKW (RR = 2.5). Even greater disparities were found between AN people and USW for: natural environment (RR = 20.7), transport-other land (RR = 12.4), and drowning/submersion (RR = 9.1). Rates of AN UI were markedly higher than rates for either USW or AKW. Identifying all the ways in which alcohol/drugs contribute to UI deaths would aid in prevention efforts. All transportation deaths should be integrated into one fatality rate to provide more consistent comparisons between groups.

Occupational injuries and diseases among commercial fishers in Finland 1996-2015.

BACKGROUND: Commercial fishing is recognised as one of the most hazardous professions worldwide. In Finland, commercial fishing has some special characteristics, including fishing on ice during frozen waters, and pluriactivity of the fisher family to gain additional income. The goal of this study was to describe injury characteristics among commercial fishers in Finland during the years 1996-2015. With this information, we wish to promote creation of effective safety campaigns and interventions. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The data for this study was acquired from The Farmers' Social Insurance Institution, who handles the mandatory pension and occupational injury insurance of Finnish commercial fishers. Descriptive statistics was used to categorise and analyse the data that comprised the anonymized insurance history of 1954 insured fishers and reports on 1135 compensated injuries, 11 fatalities, and 53 occupational disease cases. RESULTS: The results show, that the injury rate of Finnish commercial fishers is high. Forty per cent of the fishing-related injuries occur aboard or when entering or leaving the vessel, while 37% happened ashore, and 11% on sea or lake ice. The most common type of incident is preceded by a slip, trip, or sway followed by a fall to lower level. The injuries result in a median disability length of 21 days. An elevated risk for Finnish (vs. Swedish) speaking, as well as for male fishers was found. The occupational diseases of the studied population were for the most part results of manual, repetitive and/or physically straining work due to e.g. hauling in fishing equipment. Due to small numbers and lack of case data, it is not possible to make any further analysis of the 11 fatalities, which were all drownings. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our findings, injury prevention should be targeted, besides preventing fatalities because of drowning, at mitigating the risks for slips, trips, and falls both aboard and ashore.

Global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors for young people's health during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

BACKGROUND: Young people's health has emerged as a neglected yet pressing issue in global development. Changing patterns of young people's health have the potential to undermine future population health as well as global economic development unless timely and effective strategies are put into place. We report the past, present, and anticipated burden of disease in young people aged 10-24 years from 1990 to 2013 using data on mortality, disability, injuries, and health risk factors. METHODS: The Global Burden of Disease Study 2013 (GBD 2013) includes annual assessments for 188 countries from 1990 to 2013, covering 306 diseases and injuries, 1233 sequelae, and 79 risk factors. We used the comparative risk assessment approach to assess how much of the burden of disease reported in a given year can be attributed to past exposure to a risk. We estimated attributable burden by comparing observed health outcomes with those that would have been observed if an alternative or counterfactual level of exposure had occurred in the past. We applied the same method to previous years to allow comparisons from 1990 to 2013. We cross-tabulated the quantiles of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by quintiles of DALYs annual increase from 1990 to 2013 to show rates of DALYs increase by burden. We used the GBD 2013 hierarchy of causes that organises 306 diseases and injuries into four levels of classification. Level one distinguishes three broad categories: first, communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders; second, non-communicable diseases; and third, injuries. Level two has 21 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive categories, level three has 163 categories, and level four has 254 categories. FINDINGS: The leading causes of death in 2013 for young people aged 10-14 years were HIV/AIDS, road injuries, and drowning (25·2%), whereas transport injuries were the leading cause of death for ages 15-19 years (14·2%) and 20-24 years (15·6%). Maternal disorders were the highest cause of death for young women aged 20-24 years (17·1%) and the fourth highest for girls aged 15-19 years (11·5%) in 2013. Unsafe sex as a risk factor for DALYs increased from the 13th rank to the second for both sexes aged 15-19 years from 1990 to 2013. Alcohol misuse was the highest risk factor for DALYs (7·0% overall, 10·5% for males, and 2·7% for females) for young people aged 20-24 years, whereas drug use accounted for 2·7% (3·3% for males and 2·0% for females). The contribution of risk factors varied between and within countries. For example, for ages 20-24 years, drug use was highest in Qatar and accounted for 4·9% of DALYs, followed by 4·8% in the United Arab Emirates, whereas alcohol use was highest in Russia and accounted for 21·4%, followed by 21·0% in Belarus. Alcohol accounted for 9·0% (ranging from 4·2% in Hong Kong to 11·3% in Shandong) in China and 11·6% (ranging from 10·1% in Aguascalientes to 14·9% in Chihuahua) of DALYs in Mexico for young people aged 20-24 years. Alcohol and drug use in those aged 10-24 years had an annual rate of change of >1·0% from 1990 to 2013 and accounted for more than 3·1% of DALYs. INTERPRETATION: Our findings call for increased efforts to improve health and reduce the burden of disease and risks for diseases in later life in young people. Moreover, because of the large variations between countries in risks and burden, a global approach to improve health during this important period of life will fail unless the particularities of each country are taken into account. Finally, our results call for a strategy to overcome the financial and technical barriers to adequately capture young people's health risk factors and their determinants in health information systems. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Excessive fatal injury among migrant children in China: inequities in safety.

The wide variability in economic development levels among different regions in China results in the migration of millions of households to more developed areas. Death records from 2008 to 2012 of children aged 0-17 years old from the vital surveillance system of Guangzhou were used to determine if death rates were different for resident and migrant children. A total of 1358 injury-related deaths were identified with rates rising slightly from 2008 to 2012 both in resident and migrant populations. The total crude incidence rate of injury death was significantly higher among migrant households (29.50/100 000) compared with resident households (8.42/100 000). The adjusted rate in migrant households was 3.50 (95% CI 3.14 to 3.89) times higher than in resident households. Drowning and traffic crashes represented the most common causes of death and residences were the most frequent site of injury-related death for both groups of children. Migrant children were at a significantly higher risk of injury-related mortality compared with local resident children.

Suicide in Northern Ireland: An Analysis of Gender Differences in Demographic, Psychological, and Contextual Factors.

BACKGROUND: The circumstances surrounding death by suicide can give us insight into the factors affecting suicide risk in particular regions. AIMS: This study examined gender and circumstances surrounding death by suicide in Northern Ireland from 2005 to 2011. METHOD: The study analyzed 1,671 suicides (77% male and 23% female cases) using information contained from the coroner's files on suicides and undetermined deaths. RESULTS: Hanging was the most common method and more than one third of the deceased had prior suicide attempts. There was evidence of alcohol use in 41% of the cases. Only, 61% of cases had recorded adverse events; most had multiple and complex combinations of experiences. Relationship and interpersonal difficulties were the most common category of adverse event (40.3%). However, illness and bereavement, employment /financial crisis, and health problems were also common. One third of those who died by suicide were employed, compared with 50.3% who were not in employment. Just over half (50.1%) were known to have a mental health disorder. CONCLUSION: The results provide the first profile of deaths by suicide in Northern Ireland. They highlight the need to target people who have difficult life experiences in suicide prevention work, notably men, people with employment, financial and relationship crises, and those with mental disorders.

An assessment of disaster-related mortality post-Haiyan in Tacloban City.

INTRODUCTION: Tacloban City was seriously affected by Typhoon Haiyan with 2321 deaths distributed across its 138 villages and subvillages. In January 2014, a team from the Department of Health conducted a mortality assessment to identify risk factors for deaths that occurred during Typhoon Haiyan. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study was conducted in the four coastal villages in Tacloban City with the highest numbers of typhoon-associated deaths. A case was defined as a person who died in Tacloban City during Typhoon Haiyan and whose body was recovered and identified. Controls were selected from surviving family members of cases. Information about typhoon-related knowledge, attitudes and practices of the cases was collected using a standardized questionnaire. RESULTS: There were 100 cases and 100 controls included in the study. The cause of death for all cases was drowning, and all bodies were found inside or near their house. Multivariate analysis identified that the significant risk factors for mortality due to Haiyan were not evacuating before the storm hit (odds ratio [OR] = 10.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.8-29.1) and exiting their house during the storm (OR = 3.6; 95% CI: 1.9-7.1). Proxies reported that all cases had heard about the coming typhoon, but that 88% did not understand the message about the storm surge. Ninety-five per cent of cases did not evacuate because they did not expect the magnitude of storm. CONCLUSION: Warning messages delivered before and during emergencies should be conveyed in terms understood by the population at risk. We recommend that the results from this study be used to develop more effective messages to be used before future disasters.