Image-based assessment of aortoiliac aneurysm anatomical characteristics in patients from the global iliac branch study.

OBJECTIVE: Endovascular repair is the preferred treatment for aortoiliac aneurysm, with preservation of at least one internal iliac artery recommended. This study aimed to assess pre-endovascular repair anatomical characteristics of aortoiliac aneurysm in patients from the Global Iliac Branch Study (GIBS, NCT05607277) to enhance selection criteria for iliac branch devices (IBD) and improve long-term outcomes. METHODS: Pre-treatment CT scans of 297 GIBS patients undergoing endovascular aneurysm repair were analyzed. Measurements included total iliac artery length, common iliac artery length, tortuosity index, common iliac artery splay angle, internal iliac artery stenosis, calcification score, and diameters in the device's landing zone. Statistical tests assessed differences in anatomical measurements and IBD-mediated internal iliac artery preservation. RESULTS: Left total iliac artery length was shorter than right (6.7 mm, P = .0019); right common iliac artery less tortuous (P = .0145). Males exhibited greater tortuosity in the left total iliac artery (P = .0475) and larger diameter in left internal iliac artery's landing zone (P = .0453). Preservation was more common on right (158 unilateral, 34 bilateral) than left (105 unilateral, 34 bilateral). There were 192 right-sided and 139 left-sided IBDs, with 318 IBDs in males and 13 in females. CONCLUSION: This study provides comprehensive pre-treatment iliac anatomy analysis in patients undergoing endovascular repair with IBDs, highlighting differences between sides and sexes. These findings could refine patient selection for IBD placement, potentially enhancing outcomes in aortoiliac aneurysm treatment. However, the limited number of females in the study underscores the need for further research to generalize findings across genders.

Vascular Ultrasound for In Vivo Assessment of Arterial Pathologies in a Murine Model of Atherosclerosis and Aortic Aneurysm.

Vascular diseases like atherosclerosis and abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) are common pathologies in the western world, promoting various potentially fatal conditions. Here, we evaluate high-resolution (HR) ultrasound in mouse models of atherosclerosis and AAA as a useful tool for noninvasive monitoring of early vascular changes in vivo. We used Apolipoprotein E-deficient (ApoE-/-) mice as an atherosclerosis model and induced AAA development by the implementation of Angiotensin II-releasing osmotic minipumps. HR ultrasound of the carotid artery or the abdominal aorta was performed to monitor vascular remodeling in vivo. Images were analyzed by speckle tracking algorithms and correlated to histological analyses and subsequent automated collagen quantification. Consistent changes were observed via ultrasound in both models: Global radial strain (GRS) was notably reduced in the AAA model (23.8 ± 2.8% vs. 12.5 ± 2.5%, p = 0.01) and in the atherosclerotic mice (20.6 ± 1.3% vs. 15.8 ± 0.9%, p = 0.02). In mice with AAA, vessel distensibility was significantly reduced, whereas intima-media thickness was increased in atherosclerotic mice. The area and collagen content of the tunica media were increased in diseased arteries of both models as measured by automated image analysis of Picrosirius Red-stained aortic sections. Correlation analysis revealed a strong correlation of multiple parameters, predicting early vascular damage in HR ultrasound and histological examinations. In conclusion, our findings underscore the potential of HR ultrasound in effectively tracing early alterations in arterial wall properties in murine models of atherosclerosis and AAA.

Pre-Operative Four Dimensional Flow Sensitive Magnetic Resonance Imaging Assessment of Aortic Side Branches as a Method to Predict Risk of Type II Endoleak Resulting in Sac Enlargement After EVAR.

OBJECTIVE: To predict sac enlargement with type II endoleak (ELII) before endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) using four dimensional flow sensitive magnetic resonance imaging (4D flow MRI). METHODS: A single centre retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data was conducted. Patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) who underwent EVAR between 2013 and 2019 were included. Aortic branches occluded pre-EVAR, and patients with endoleaks other than ELII were excluded. The aortic branch diameter, peak flow velocity (PFVe), and amplitude of the dynamics of flow volume (AFV) were measured in each aortic branch pre-EVAR. Total flow volume per minute (TFV/min), defined as the sum of AFV/min, was calculated in each case. According to computed tomography findings one year post-EVAR, the aortic branches and patients were divided into patent vessel and occluded vessel groups and sac expanding and non-expanding groups. PFVe, AFV/min, and TFV/min were analysed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS: The patent aortic branches pre-EVAR (69 inferior mesenteric arteries [IMAs]; 249 lumbar arteries [LAs]) of 100 patients were included. Patent IMAs (n = 14) and occluded IMAs (n = 55), patent LAs (n = 23) and occluded LAs (n = 226), and expanding (n = 9) and non-expanding (n = 91) groups were compared, respectively. No statistically significant difference was observed in branch diameters (IMA; patent, 2.5 ± 0.8 mm, occluded, 2.5 ± 0.8 mm, p < .78 and LA; patent, 1.5 ± 0.3 mm, occluded, 1.5 ± 0.4 mm, p < .35). PFVe (IMA; patent, 262.6 mm2/sec, occluded, 183.4 mm2/sec and LA; patent, 142.6 mm2/sec, occluded, 47.7 mm2/sec) and AFV/min (IMA; patent, 8.4 mL, occluded, 5.2 mL and LA; patent, 4.2 mL, occluded, 1.4 mL) were higher in the patent vessel group (p < .050). TFV/min was statistically significantly higher in the expanding group (24.1 mL/min) than in the non-expanding group (7.0 mL/min) (p < .010). CONCLUSION: Pre-EVAR haemodynamic analyses using 4D flow MRI were useful to detect aortic branches responsible for ELII and to predict AAA cases with sac enlargement. This analysis suggests a new strategy for pre-EVAR aortic branch embolisation.

Quality-adjusted life year comparison at medium term follow-up of endovascular versus open surgical repair for abdominal aortic aneurysm in young patients.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare the quality of life and cost effectiveness between endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and open surgical repair (OSR) in young patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). DESIGN: This was a single-center, observational, and retrospective study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted of patients with AAA, who were <70 years old and underwent EVAR or OSR between January 2012 and October 2016. Only patients with aortic morphology that was suitable for EVAR were enrolled. Data on the complication rates, medical expenses, and expected quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were collected, and the cost per QALY at three years was compared. RESULTS: Among 90 patients with aortic morphology who were eligible for EVAR, 37 and 53 patients underwent EVAR and OSR, respectively. No significant differences were observed in perioperative cardiovascular events and death between the two groups. However, during the follow-up period, patients undergoing OSR showed a significantly lower complication rate (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.11; P = .021). From the three-year cost-effectiveness analysis, the total sum of costs was significantly lower in the OSR group (P < .001) than that in the EVAR group, and the number of QALYs was superior in the OSR group (P = .013). The cost per QALY at three years was significantly lower in the OSR group than that in the EVAR group (mean: $4038 vs. $10 137; respectively; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: OSR had lower complication rates and better cost-effectiveness than EVAR Among young patients with feasible aortic anatomy.

Biomechanical rupture risk assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysms using clinical data: A patient-specific, probabilistic framework and comparative case-control study.

We present a data-informed, highly personalized, probabilistic approach for the quantification of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture risk. Our novel framework builds upon a comprehensive database of tensile test results that were carried out on 305 AAA tissue samples from 139 patients, as well as corresponding non-invasively and clinically accessible patient-specific data. Based on this, a multivariate regression model is created to obtain a probabilistic description of personalized vessel wall properties associated with a prospective AAA patient. We formulate a probabilistic rupture risk index that consistently incorporates the available statistical information and generalizes existing approaches. For the efficient evaluation of this index, a flexible Kriging-based surrogate model with an active training process is proposed. In a case-control study, the methodology is applied on a total of 36 retrospective, diameter matched asymptomatic (group 1, n = 18) and known symptomatic/ruptured (group 2, n = 18) cohort of AAA patients. Finally, we show its efficacy to discriminate between the two groups and demonstrate competitive performance in comparison to existing deterministic and probabilistic biomechanical indices.

Full-Volume Assessment of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms by 3-D Ultrasound and Magnetic Tracking.

Volume assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) using 3-D ultrasound (US) is an innovative technique reporting good agreement with computed tomography angiography. One major limitation of the current 3-D US technique is a limited field of view, allowing full AAA acquisition in only 60% of patients. This study presents two new US acquisition protocols using magnetic field tracking, providing an "extended field of view" (XFoV-2-D and XFoV-3-D) with the aim of including both the aortic bifurcation and neck for full-volume assessment, and compares these methods with the current standard 3-D US protocol and with computed tomography angiography. A total of 20 AAA patients were included and underwent the current standard 3-D US protocol and the two novel 3-D US "extended field of view" protocols. Four patients were excluded from further analysis because of low image quality, leaving 16 patients eligible for analysis. Full AAA volume was achieved in 8 patients (50%) using the standard 3-D US protocol, in 11 patients (69%) with the XFoV-2-D protocol and in 13 patients (81%) with the XFoV-3-D protocol. In conclusion, this article describes two new and feasible US protocols applicable for full-AAA-volume estimation in most patients and should initiate further research into the added value of full volume in AAA surveillance.

On the assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture risk in the Asian population based on geometric attributes.

This study aims to review retrospectively the records of Asian patients diagnosed with abdominal aortic aneurysm to investigate the potential correlations between clinical and morphological parameters within the context of whether the aneurysms were ruptured or unruptured. A machine-learning-based approach is proposed to predict the rupture status of Asian abdominal aortic aneurysm by comparing four different classifiers trained with clinical and geometrical parameters obtained from computed tomography images. The classifiers were applied on 312 patient data sets obtained from a regulatory-approved database. The data sets included 17 attributes under three classes: unruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm, ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm, and normal aorta without aneurysm. Four different classification models, namely, Decision trees, Naïve Bayes, logistic regression, and support vector machines were applied to the patient data set. The models were evaluated by 10-fold cross-validation and the classifier performances were assessed with classification accuracy, area under the curve of receiver operator characteristic, and F-measures. Data analysis and evaluation were performed using the Weka machine learning application. The results indicated that Naïve Bayes achieved the best performance among the classifiers with a classification accuracy of 95.2%, an area under the curve of 0.974, and an F-measure of 0.952. The clinical implications of this work can be addressed in two ways. The best classifier can be applied to prospectively acquired data to predict the likelihood of aneurysm rupture. Next, it would be necessary to estimate the attributes implicated in rupture risk beyond just maximum aneurysm diameter.

Strategy of endovascular versus open repair for patients with clinical diagnosis of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm: the IMPROVE RCT.

BACKGROUND: Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a common vascular emergency. The mortality from emergency endovascular repair may be much lower than the 40-50% reported for open surgery. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether or not a strategy of endovascular repair compared with open repair reduces 30-day and mid-term mortality (including costs and cost-effectiveness) among patients with a suspected ruptured AAA. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial, with computer-generated telephone randomisation of participants in a 1 : 1 ratio, using variable block size, stratified by centre and without blinding. SETTING: Vascular centres in the UK (n = 29) and Canada (n = 1) between 2009 and 2013. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 613 eligible participants (480 men) with a ruptured aneurysm, clinically diagnosed at the trial centre. INTERVENTIONS: A total of 316 participants were randomised to the endovascular strategy group (immediate computerised tomography followed by endovascular repair if anatomically suitable or, if not suitable, open repair) and 297 were randomised to the open repair group (computerised tomography optional). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was 30-day mortality, with 30-day reinterventions, costs and disposal as early secondary outcome measures. Later outcome measures included 1- and 3-year mortality, reinterventions, quality of life (QoL) and cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: The 30-day mortality was 35.4% in the endovascular strategy group and 37.4% in the open repair group [odds ratio (OR) 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66 to 1.28; p = 0.62, and, after adjustment for age, sex and Hardman index, OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.33]. The endovascular strategy appeared to be more effective in women than in men (interaction test p = 0.02). More discharges in the endovascular strategy group (94%) than in the open repair group (77%) were directly to home (p < 0.001). Average 30-day costs were similar between groups, with the mean difference in costs being -£1186 (95% CI -£2997 to £625), favouring the endovascular strategy group. After 1 year, survival and reintervention rates were similar in the two groups, QoL (at both 3 and 12 months) was higher in the endovascular strategy group and the mean cost difference was -£2329 (95% CI -£5489 to £922). At 3 years, mortality was 48% and 56% in the endovascular strategy group and open repair group, respectively (OR 0.73, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.00; p = 0.053), with a stronger benefit for the endovascular strategy in the subgroup of 502 participants in whom repair was started for a proven rupture (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.43 to 0.89; p = 0.009), whereas aneurysm-related reintervention rates were non-significantly higher in this group. At 3 years, considering all participants, there was a mean difference of 0.174 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (95% CI 0.002 to 0.353 QALYs) and, among the endovascular strategy group, a cost difference of -£2605 (95% CI -£5966 to £702), leading to 88% of estimates in the cost-effectiveness plane being in the quadrant showing the endovascular strategy to be 'dominant'. LIMITATIONS: Because of the pragmatic design of this trial, 33 participants in the endovascular strategy group and 26 in the open repair group breached randomisation allocation. CONCLUSIONS: The endovascular strategy was not associated with a significant reduction in either 30-day mortality or cost but was associated with faster participant recovery. By 3 years, the endovascular strategy showed a survival and QALY gain and was highly likely to be cost-effective. Future research could include improving resuscitation for older persons with circulatory collapse, the impact of local anaesthesia and emergency consent procedures. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN48334791 and NCT00746122. FUNDING: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 22, No. 31. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Validation of an assessment tool for pre-operative EVAR planning.

INTRODUCTION: Current methods of teaching endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) planning involve non-criteria-based observations that lack validity. The primary aim of this study was to validate an EVAR Planning Objective Structured Assessment of Skill (EpOSAS) tool for the assessment of pre-operative EVAR planning skills. METHODS: Content analysis was performed in order to inform the formulation of EpOSAS domains. Thirty-five participants planned two cases of infra-renal abdominal aortic aneurysm for EVAR, using the OsiriX 7 platform. EVAR planning measurements, with accompanying screenshots, were uploaded onto an electronic data collection sheet. Performance was assessed by three blinded assessors using the EpOSAS tool. Construct and concurrent validity were evaluated. RESULTS: Inter-observer reliability for the three assessors for total EpOSAS scores was high (Cronbach's α 0.89). There were statistically significant differences in total EpOSAS scores between the different experience groups, demonstrating construct validity (Novice (5.3, IQR 5-5.3), Intermediate (15.3, IQR 14.8-16.8) and Experts (17.5, IQR 17-17.7), p<0.001). A statistically significant correlation was found between total EpOSAS scores and percentage error in measurements, demonstrating concurrent validity (Spearman's rank correlation coefficient: R=-0.250, p<0.001). Receiver-operator characteristics analysis established a cut-off point of 16 out of 18 for determining competence. CONCLUSION: We have developed and validated a tool that can be used for the assessment of pre-operative EVAR planning skills.

The composition of collagen in the aneurysm wall of men and women.

BACKGROUND: Loss of vessel wall integrity by degradation is essential for the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and ultimately its rupture. The observed greater rupture rate in women with AAA might be related to gender differences in the biomechanical properties of the aneurysm wall. The aim of the study was to compare the biomechanically important structure of collagen between men and women with AAA. METHODS: Biopsies of the aneurysm walls were obtained during elective open repair of men (n = 14) and women (n = 14) treated for AAA. High-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC), Western blot, messenger RNA expression, and histochemical analyses were performed to assess the cross-linking and the amount and the composition of collagen. RESULTS: There was neither a difference in the thickness of the aneurysm wall, nor in the histological evaluation of the collagen composition between the sexes. Relative collagen content in the aneurysm wall was similar in men and women, as assessed by messenger RNA expression and HPLC. Collagen cross-linking differed between the sexes; women had more lysyl pyridinoline (LP) than men (0.140 vs 0.07; P = .005), resulting in a lower hydroxyl pyridinoline (HP):LP ratio (3.28 vs 8.41; P = .003). There was no difference in messenger RNA and protein expressions of lysyl hydroxylase and lysyl oxidase to associate with the lower HP:LP ratio in women. CONCLUSIONS: The composition of collagen in the aneurysm wall of men and women are in several aspects similar, with the exception of collagen cross-linking, suggesting that the difference in rupture rate between the sexes rather depend on the composition of other vessel wall structures.

Modeling the Burden of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in the USA in 2013.

OBJECTIVES: Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a pathological condition characterized by an abnormal, localized dilatation of the lower part of the aorta. Due to a lack of data on the natural history of AAA and risk of death from other cardiovascular diseases attributable to AAA, the true number of AAA-attributable deaths may be higher than currently estimated. This study aims to produce more realistic estimates of the burden of AAA. METHODS: A disease-modeling software, DisMod II, was used to assess the AAA burden via a multistate life table. Inputs included population, all-cause mortality, size- and sex-specific AAA prevalence, and relative risk of death estimates for persons with AAA compared with persons without AAA. RESULTS: There were 2,347,339 prevalent cases of AAA in the USA in 2013 (95% CI: 2,131,964-2,524,116), resulting in 41,371 deaths attributable to AAA (95% CI: 34,090-49,234). Females constituted 21.1% of prevalent cases and 45.2% of deaths, compared with males constituting 78.9% of prevalent cases and 54.8% of deaths. CONCLUSIONS: This work shows that the burden of mortality attributable to AAA is more than twice the current estimates from the American Heart Association. Females account for a disproportionately high percentage of deaths despite constituting a low percentage of prevalent cases.

Biomechanical rupture risk assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysms based on a novel probabilistic rupture risk index.

A rupture risk assessment is critical to the clinical treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients. The biomechanical AAA rupture risk assessment quantitatively integrates many known AAA rupture risk factors but the variability of risk predictions due to model input uncertainties remains a challenging limitation. This study derives a probabilistic rupture risk index (PRRI). Specifically, the uncertainties in AAA wall thickness and wall strength were considered, and wall stress was predicted with a state-of-the-art deterministic biomechanical model. The discriminative power of PRRI was tested in a diameter-matched cohort of ruptured (n = 7) and intact (n = 7) AAAs and compared to alternative risk assessment methods. Computed PRRI at 1.5 mean arterial pressure was significantly (p = 0.041) higher in ruptured AAAs (20.21(s.d. 14.15%)) than in intact AAAs (3.71(s.d. 5.77)%). PRRI showed a high sensitivity and specificity (discriminative power of 0.837) to discriminate between ruptured and intact AAA cases. The underlying statistical representation of stochastic data of wall thickness, wall strength and peak wall stress had only negligible effects on PRRI computations. Uncertainties in AAA wall stress predictions, the wide range of reported wall strength and the stochastic nature of failure motivate a probabilistic rupture risk assessment. Advanced AAA biomechanical modelling paired with a probabilistic rupture index definition as known from engineering risk assessment seems to be superior to a purely deterministic approach.

The impact of abdominal aortic aneurysm on muscle mass and energy expenditure: A novel preliminary investigation.

OBJECTIVE: Vascular surgical patients, including those with abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), are nutritionally vulnerable. The aim of this study was to compare resting energy expenditure (REE) of patients with AAA relative to age- and gender-matched controls and explore relationships between aneurysm size and muscle mass. METHODS: Twenty patients with AAA underwent assessment of REE using indirect calorimetry. Mid-arm circumference and triceps skinfold thickness were measured and corrected arm muscle area calculated. Twenty gender- and age-matched controls were assessed using the same procedures. RESULTS: Mean (SD) age of participants with AAA was 74.7 (7.7) years, size of AAA ranged from 45 to 70 mm. Median (IQR) REE was significantly higher than controls [5990 (5469, 7017) kJ/day versus 5086 (4536, 5886) kJ/day, p = .011; or 69 (64, 80) kJ/kg/day versus 66 (61, 69) kJ/kg/day, p = .046]. While weight-adjusted REE was independent of aneurysm size (r = .200; p = .397), as aneurysm size increased, weight-adjusted corrected arm muscle area decreased (r = -.576; p = .008). CONCLUSION: The raised REE and decline in muscle mass associated with larger AAA suggest that early detection and attention to nutritional requirements of patients with AAA may be warranted.

In vivo strain assessment of the abdominal aortic aneurysm.

The only criteria currently used to inform surgical decision for abdominal aortic aneurysms are maximum diameter (>5.5 cm) and rate of growth, even though several studies have identified the need for more specific indicators of risk. Patient-specific biomechanical variables likely to affect rupture risk would be a valuable addition to the science of understanding rupture risk and prove to be a life saving benefit for patients. Local deformability of the aorta is related to the local mechanical properties of the wall and may provide indication on the state of weakening of the wall tissue. We propose a 3D image-based approach to compute aortic wall strain maps in vivo. The method is applicable to a variety of imaging modalities that provide sequential images at different phases in the cardiac cycle. We applied the method to a series of abdominal aneurysms imaged using cine-MRI obtaining strain maps at different phases in the cardiac cycle. These maps could be used to evaluate the distensibility of an aneurysm at baseline and at different follow-up times and provide an additional index to clinicians to facilitate decisions on the best course of action for a specific patient.

Assessment of biomarkers and predictive model for short-term prospective abdominal aortic aneurysm growth-A pilot study.

BACKGROUND: Abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are currently followed with serial ultrasound or computed tomography scanning diameter measurements, but evidence shows that AAA expansion is mostly discontinuous and quite unpredictable in any given patient. A reliable predictive model of AAA growth and/or rupture risk could help individualize treatment, follow-up protocols, and cost-effectiveness. Our objective is to set a predictive model of short-term prospective AAA growth, after clinical, serologic, and anatomic data. METHODS: A prospective pilot cohort was designed. We recruited 96 consecutive, asymptomatic, infrarenal, atherosclerotic AAA patients. We registered clinical data (age, gender, cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidity, and statin intake), baseline aortic diameter, prospective 1-year AAA growth, and the concentration of metalloprotease-2, metalloprotease-9, cystatin C, α1-antitrypsin, myeloperoxidase, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, homocysteine, D-dimer, plasmin-antiplasmin complex (PAP), and C-reactive protein in peripheral blood at the time of baseline assessment. With all these data, we elaborated predictive models for 1-year AAA growth assessed both as a continuous variable (mm/year) and a dichotomic one (defined as stability, if AAA growth rate was ≤2 mm/year, versus expansion, if AAA growth rate was >2 mm/year), using simple and multiple linear and logistic regression. RESULTS: The multivariate model confirmed the independent impact of D-dimer levels and chronic renal failure (CRF) on increasing AAA growth rates. Every increase by 1 ng/mL in the plasma concentration of D-dimer was related to a mean 1-year increase of 0.0062 mm in the AAA growth. Likewise, CRF increased the 1-year prospective AAA growth by a mean of 2.95 mm. When we assessed AAA growth as a dichotomic variable, the increase in the peripheral concentrations of PAP slightly increased the risk of AAA expansion (odds ratio [OR]: 1.01; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.02), but the presence of CRF increased the risk dramatically (OR: 14,523.62; 95% CI: 0-7.39E+40). CONCLUSIONS: Plasma D-dimer and PAP levels seem promising biomarkers of short-term AAA activity. CRF is an important independent prognostic factor of AAA expansion. The dichotomic classification of AAA growth, as stability versus progression, can be useful in the development of management models and their clinical application.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of the growth and rupture rates of small abdominal aortic aneurysms: implications for surveillance intervals and their cost-effectiveness.

BACKGROUND: Small abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs; 3.0-5.4 cm in diameter) are usually asymptomatic and managed by regular ultrasound surveillance until they grow to a diameter threshold (commonly 5.5 cm) at which surgical intervention is considered. The choice of appropriate surveillance intervals is governed by the growth and rupture rates of small AAAs, as well as their relative cost-effectiveness. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this series of studies was to inform the evidence base for small AAA surveillance strategies. This was achieved by literature review, collation and analysis of individual patient data, a focus group and health economic modelling. DATA SOURCES: We undertook systematic literature reviews of growth rates and rupture rates of small AAAs. The databases MEDLINE, EMBASE on OvidSP, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials 2009 Issue 4, ClinicalTrials.gov, and controlled-trials.com were searched from inception up until the end of 2009. We also obtained individual data on 15,475 patients from 18 surveillance studies. REVIEW METHODS: Systematic reviews of publications identified 15 studies providing small AAA growth rates, and 14 studies with small AAA rupture rates, up to December 2009 (later updated to September 2012). We developed statistical methods to analyse individual surveillance data, including the effects of patient characteristics, to inform the choice of surveillance intervals and provide inputs for health economic modelling. We updated an existing health economic model of AAA screening to address the cost-effectiveness of different surveillance intervals. RESULTS: In the literature reviews, the mean growth rate was 2.3 mm/year and the reported rupture rates varied between 0 and 1.6 ruptures per 100 person-years. Growth rates increased markedly with aneurysm diameter, but insufficient detail was available to guide surveillance intervals. Based on individual surveillance data, for each 0.5-cm increase in AAA diameter, growth rates increased by about 0.5 mm/year and rupture rates doubled. To control the risk of exceeding 5.5 cm to below 10% in men, on average a 7-year surveillance interval is sufficient for a 3.0-cm aneurysm, whereas an 8-month interval is necessary for a 5.0-cm aneurysm. To control the risk of rupture to below 1%, the corresponding estimated surveillance intervals are 9 years and 17 months. Average growth rates were higher in smokers (by 0.35 mm/year) and lower in patients with diabetes (by 0.51 mm/year). Rupture rates were almost fourfold higher in women than men, doubled in current smokers and increased with higher blood pressure. Increasing the surveillance interval from 1 to 2 years for the smallest aneurysms (3.0-4.4 cm) decreased costs and led to a positive net benefit. For the larger aneurysms (4.5-5.4 cm), increasing surveillance intervals from 3 to 6 months led to equivalent cost-effectiveness. LIMITATIONS: There were no clear reasons why the growth rates varied substantially between studies. Uniform diagnostic criteria for rupture were not available. The long-term cost-effectiveness results may be susceptible to the modelling assumptions made. CONCLUSIONS: Surveillance intervals of several years are clinically acceptable for men with AAAs in the range 3.0-4.0 cm. Intervals of around 1 year are suitable for 4.0-4.9-cm AAAs, whereas intervals of 6 months would be acceptable for 5.0-5.4-cm AAAs. These intervals are longer than those currently employed in the UK AAA screening programmes. Lengthening surveillance intervals for the smallest aneurysms was also shown to be cost-effective. Future work should focus on optimising surveillance intervals for women, studying whether or not the threshold for surgery should depend on patient characteristics, evaluating the usefulness of surveillance for those with aortic diameters of 2.5-2.9 cm, and developing interventions that may reduce the growth or rupture rates of small AAAs. FUNDING: The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Review: the role of biomechanical modeling in the rupture risk assessment for abdominal aortic aneurysms.

AAA disease is a serious condition and a multidisciplinary approach including biomechanics is needed to better understand and more effectively treat this disease. A rupture risk assessment is central to the management of AAA patients, and biomechanical simulation is a powerful tool to assist clinical decisions. Central to such a simulation approach is a need for robust and physiologically relevant models. Vascular tissue senses and responds actively to changes in its mechanical environment, a crucial tissue property that might also improve the biomechanical AAA rupture risk assessment. Specifically, constitutive modeling should not only focus on the (passive) interaction of structural components within the vascular wall, but also how cells dynamically maintain such a structure. In this article, after specifying the objectives of an AAA rupture risk assessment, the histology and mechanical properties of AAA tissue, with emphasis on the wall, are reviewed. Then a histomechanical constitutive description of the AAA wall is introduced that specifically accounts for collagen turnover. A test case simulation clearly emphasizes the need for constitutive descriptions that remodels with respect to the mechanical loading state. Finally, remarks regarding modeling of realistic clinical problems and possible future trends conclude the article.

The role of geometric and biomechanical factors in abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture risk assessment.

The current clinical management of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) disease is based to a great extent on measuring the aneurysm maximum diameter to decide when timely intervention is required. Decades of clinical evidence show that aneurysm diameter is positively associated with the risk of rupture, but other parameters may also play a role in causing or predisposing the AAA to rupture. Geometric factors such as vessel tortuosity, intraluminal thrombus volume, and wall surface area are implicated in the differentiation of ruptured and unruptured AAAs. Biomechanical factors identified by means of computational modeling techniques, such as peak wall stress, have been positively correlated with rupture risk with a higher accuracy and sensitivity than maximum diameter alone. The objective of this review is to examine these factors, which are found to influence AAA disease progression, clinical management and rupture potential, as well as to highlight on-going research by our group in aneurysm modeling and rupture risk assessment.

Reproducibility of ECG-gated ultrasound diameter assessment of small abdominal aortic aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: No standardised ultrasound procedure to obtain reliable growth estimates for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) is currently available. We investigated the feasibility and reproducibility of a novel approach controlling for a combination of vessel wall delineation and cardiac cycle variation. DESIGN: Prospective comparative study. METHODS: Consecutive patients (N = 27) with an AAA, attending their 6-month control as part of a medical treatment trial, were scanned twice by two ultrasound operators. Then, all ultrasound recordings were transferred to a core facility and analysed by a third person. The AAA diameter was determined in four different ways: from the leading edge of adventitia on the anterior wall to either the leading edge of the adventitia (method A) or leading edge of the intima (method B) on the posterior wall, with both measurements performed in systole and diastole. RESULT: Inter-operator reproducibility was ± 3 mm for all methods applied. There was no difference in outcome between methods A and B; likewise, end-diastolic measurement did not improve reproducibility in preference to peak-systolic measurement. CONCLUSION: The use of a standardised ultrasound protocol including ECG-gating and subsequent off-line reading with minute calliper placement reduces variability. This may be of use in developing protocols to better detect even small AAA growth rates during clinical trials.

Assessment of inflammatory infiltration and angiogenesis in the thrombus and the wall of abdominal aortic aneurysms on the basis of histological parameters and computed tomography angiography study.

The proliferation of vessels within the aneurysm's wall and the intraluminal thrombus of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) may be the main factor responsible for progression and rupture of AAA. The aim of this study was to compare the parameters of the thrombus (size, density, contrast enhancement) measured by computed tomography (CT) with histological assessment of thrombi removed during surgery. 29 patients with AAA were examined with angio-CT. Post-surgery histopathological evaluation of AAA was performed. Slides were stained with markers of B- (CD20) and T-lymphocytes (CD3), and markers of endothelial cells (CD34). Thrombi were enhanced after contrast media administration in angio-CT (p = 0.002). There was a statistically significant correlation between contrast enhancement and the presence of B lymphocytes. Intensity of endothelial cell marker expression significantly correlated with the presence of inflammatory T- and B-cells. No statistical significant correlation was found between contrast enhancement of the thrombus and markers of endothelial cells. The accumulation of inflammatory cells in the wall of AAA thrombus results in the formation of new vessels which participates to the instability of the thrombus and AAA wall. Assessment of the inflammation and neovascularization in the wall and thrombus of the AAA might be an important factor in monitoring the progression and the risk of aneurysm's rupture.