Total thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine as an alternative to antithyroid medication for Graves' disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine report worse quality of life than those treated by thyroidectomy. However, radioactive iodine is often selected due to lower risk of complications and lower cost. The objective of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of radioactive iodine versus total thyroidectomy for treatment of Graves' disease. METHODS: A Markov decision-analytic model was created to simulate clinical outcomes and costs of medication-refractory Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine or total thyroidectomy. Complication rates and utilities were derived from published data. Costs were extracted from national Medicare reimbursement rates. We conducted 1-way, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to identify factors that influence cost-effectiveness and reflect uncertainty in model parameters. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $100,000/quality-adjusted life-years. RESULTS: Total thyroidectomy yielded 23.6 quality-adjusted life-years versus 20.9 quality-adjusted life-years for radioactive iodine. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $2,982 per quality-adjusted life-years, indicating that surgery is highly cost-effective relative to radioactive iodine. Surgery was more cost effective than radioactive iodine in 88.2% of model simulations. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the model outcomes are driven predominantly by posttreatment quality of life, with contributing effects from rates of treatment complications and the impact of these complications on quality of life. CONCLUSION: For patients with Graves' disease who either cannot tolerate or are refractory to antithyroid drugs, thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine. Future research should validate reported differences in quality of life between these 2 treatment modalities.

Thyrotoxicosis and dilated cardiomyopathy in developing countries.

BACKGROUND: Thyrotoxicosis is the state of thyroid hormone excess. But, in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), specifically Northern Ethiopia, scientific evidence about thyrotoxicosis and its cardiac complications like dilated cardiomyopathy is limited. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the thyrotoxicosis presentation and management and identify factors associated with dilated cardiomyopathy in a tertiary hospital in Northern Ethiopia. METHODS: An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted in Ayder Comprehensive Specialized Hospital from 2017 to 2018. Data from 200 thyrotoxicosis cases were collected using a structured questionnaire. After describing variables, logistic regression was conducted to identify independent predictors of dilated cardiomyopathy. Statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. RESULTS: Mean age at presentation of thyrotoxicosis was 45 years and females accounted for 89 % of the cases. The most frequent etiology was multinodular toxic goiter (51.5 %). As well, the most common symptoms and signs were palpitation and goiter respectively. Thyroid storm occurred in 6 % of the cases. Out of 89 patients subjected to echocardiography, 35 (39.3 %) of them had dilated cardiomyopathy. And, the odds of dilated cardiomyopathy were higher in patients who had atrial fibrillation (AOR = 15.95, 95 % CI:5.89-38.16, p = 0.001) and tachycardia (AOR = 2.73, 95 % CI:1.04-7.15, p = 0.040). All patients took propylthiouracil and 13.0 % of them experienced its side effects. Concerning ß-blockers, propranolol was the most commonly (78.5 % of the cases) used drug followed by atenolol (15.0 %). Six patients underwent surgery. CONCLUSIONS: In developing countries like Ethiopia, patients with thyrotoxicosis have no access to methimazole which is the first-line anti-thyroid drug. Besides, they greatly suffer from dilated cardiomyopathy (due to late presentation) and side effects of propylthiouracil. Therefore, we recommend that patients should get adequate health information about thyrotoxicosis and anti-thyroid drugs including their side effects. Additionally, hospitals and other concerned bodies should also avail of TSH tests and methimazole at an affordable cost. Furthermore, community awareness about iodized salt and iodine-rich foods should be enhanced.

Breathing-driven prefrontal oscillations regulate maintenance of conditioned-fear evoked freezing independently of initiation.

Brain-body interactions are thought to be essential in emotions but their physiological basis remains poorly understood. In mice, regular 4 Hz breathing appears during freezing after cue-fear conditioning. Here we show that the olfactory bulb (OB) transmits this rhythm to the dorsomedial prefrontal cortex (dmPFC) where it organizes neural activity. Reduction of the respiratory-related 4 Hz oscillation, via bulbectomy or optogenetic perturbation of the OB, reduces freezing. Behavioural modelling shows that this is due to a specific reduction in freezing maintenance without impacting its initiation, thus dissociating these two phenomena. dmPFC LFP and firing patterns support the region's specific function in freezing maintenance. In particular, population analysis reveals that network activity tracks 4 Hz power dynamics during freezing and reaches a stable state at 4 Hz peak that lasts until freezing termination. These results provide a potential mechanism and a functional role for bodily feedback in emotions and therefore shed light on the historical James-Cannon debate.

Does Age or Sex Relate to Severity or Treatment Prognosis in Graves' Disease?

Background: The prognosis of Graves' disease (GD) is reportedly related to sex, age, and genetic factors, although there is no consensus. The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between severity and prognosis of GD and sex or age. Methods: Subjects were patients newly diagnosed with GD between January 2005 and June 2019, and medical records were retrospectively reviewed. Patients diagnosed between January 2009 and December 2010 and followed up for at least 12 months were enrolled. Patients were divided into nine age-stratified groups. Remission was defined as maintenance of a euthyroid state for more than one year after withdrawal of antithyroid drugs (ATDs). Results: Participants comprised 21,633 patients (3954 males, 17,679 females). Initial free triiodothyronine (fT3) and free thyroxine (fT4) levels significantly decreased with increasing age, including after sex stratification. fT4 was significantly higher in males than females aged 20-39 years. In 2191 patients treated with ATDs alone, median durations until remission were 37.7 and 30.6 months in males and females, respectively. Remission and recurrence were observed in 1391 patients (204 males, 1187 females) and 262 patients (37 males, 225 females), respectively. By Kaplan-Meier analyses, males required a significantly longer time to achieve remission than females (p < 0.0001), although there were no significant age-related differences (p = 0.08). Cox proportional hazard modeling showed a 41% higher hazard ratio (HR) for remission in females than males (adjusted HRs [aHR] confidence interval [CI] = 1.41 [1.21-1.64]), and each additional 10 years of age had a 14% lower rate of recurrence (age [per 10-year increase], aHR [CI] = 0.86 [0.78-0.94]); no significant relationship between recurrence rate and sex was identified. Conclusions: Severity of hyperthyroidism in GD was significantly higher in males in their 20s and 30s, declining with advancing age in both sexes. Females were more likely to achieve remission than males, and younger patients had a higher risk of recurrence, although recurrence was unrelated to sex.

Assessment of chemical mixtures using biomarkers of combined biological activity: A screening study in human placentas.

Humans are simultaneously exposed to complex mixtures of chemicals with limited knowledge on potential health effects, therefore improved tools for assessing these mixtures are needed. As part of the Human Biomonitoring for Europe (HBM4EU) Project, we aimed to examine the combined biological activity of chemical mixtures extracted from human placentas using one in vivo and four in vitro bioassays, also known as biomarkers of combined effect. Relevant endocrine activities (proliferative and/or reporter gene assays) and four endpoints were tested: the estrogen receptor (ER), androgen receptor (AR), and aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) activities, as well as thyroid hormone (TH) signaling. Correlations among bioassays and their functional shapes were evaluated. Results showed that all placental extracts agonized or antagonized at least three of the abovementioned endpoints. Most placentas induced ER-mediated transactivation and ER-dependent cell proliferation, together with a strong inhibition of TH signaling and the AR transactivity; while the induction of the AhR was found in only one placental extract. The effects in the two estrogenic bioassays were positively and significantly correlated and the AR-antagonism activity showed a positive borderline-significant correlation with both estrogenic bioassay activities. However, the in vivo anti-thyroid activities of placental extracts were not correlated with any of the tested in vitro assays. Findings highlight the importance of comprehensively mapping the biological effects of "real-world" chemical mixtures present in human samples, through a battery of in vitro and in vivo bioassays. This approach should be a complementary tool for epidemiological studies to further elucidate the combined biological fingerprint triggered by chemical mixtures.

Short-term Change in Resting Energy Expenditure and Body Compositions in Therapeutic Process for Graves' Disease.

Objective In the medical treatment of Graves' disease, we sometimes encounter patients who gain weight after the onset of the disease. To estimate the energy required during the course of treatment when hyperthyroidism ameliorates, we measured the resting energy expenditure (REE) and body composition in patients with Graves' disease before and during treatment in the short-term. Methods Twenty patients with newly diagnosed Graves' disease were enrolled, and our REE data of 19 healthy volunteers were used. The REE was measured by a metabolic analyzer, and the basal energy expenditure (BEE) was estimated by the Harris-Benedict formula. The body composition, including body weight, fat mass (FM), muscle mass (MM) and lean body mass (LBM), were measured by a multi-frequency body composition analyzer. We tailored the nutritional guidance based on the measured REE. Results Serum thyrotropin levels were significantly increased at three and six months. Serum free thyroxine, free triiodothyronine and REE values were significantly decreased at one, three and six months. The REE/BEE ratio was 1.58±0.28 at the onset and significantly declined to 1.34±0.34, 1.06±0.19 and 1.01±0.16 at 1, 3 and 6 months, respectively. Body weight, MM and LBM significantly increased at three and six months. Conclusion The REE significantly decreased during treatment of Graves' disease. The decline was evident as early as one month after treatment. The REE after treatment was lower than in healthy volunteers, which may lead to weight gain. These data suggest that appropriate nutritional guidance is necessary with short-term treatment before the body weight normalizes in order to prevent an overweight condition and the emergence of metabolic disorders.

Hyperthyroidism in the personalized medicine era: the rise of mathematical optimization.

Thyroid over-activity or hyperthyroidism constitutes a significant morbidity afflicting the world. The current medical practice of dose titration of anti-thyroid drug (ATD) treatment for hyperthyroidism is relatively archaic, being based on arbitrary and time-consuming trending of thyroid function that requires multiple clinic monitoring visits before an optimal dose is found. This prompts a re-examination into more deterministic and efficient treatment approaches in the present personalized medicine era. Our research project seeks to develop a personalized medicine model that facilitates optimal drug dosing via the titration regimen. We analysed 49 patients' data consisting of drug dosage, time period and serum free thyroxine (FT4). Ordinary differential equation modelling was applied to describe the dynamic behaviour of FT4 concentration. With each patient's data, an optimization model was developed to determine parameters of synthesis rate, decay rate and IC50. We derived the closed-form time- and dose-dependent solution which allowed explicit estimates of personalized predicted FT4. Our equation system involving time, drug dosage and FT4 can be solved for any variable provided the values of the other two are known. Compared against actual FT4 data within a tolerance, we demonstrated the feasibility of predicting the FT4 subsequent to any prescribed dose of ATD with favourable accuracy using the initial three to five patient-visits' data respectively. This proposed mathematical model may assist clinicians in rapid determination of optimal ATD doses within allowable prescription limits to achieve any desired FT4 within a specified treatment period to accelerate the attainment of euthyroid targets.

Methimazole-induced liver injury overshadowed by methylprednisolone pulse therapy: Case report.

RATIONALE: Treatment choices are limited, when deciding how to manage thyrotoxicosis and moderate to severe Graves ophthalmopathy (GO) with suspected optic nerve damage in patients with elevated liver transaminase levels. The situation become even more complicated, if methimazole induced hepatotoxicity is suspected and intravenous methylprednisolone is co-administrated. PATIENT CONCERNS: A 74-year-old woman presented with spontaneous retro-bulbar pain, eyelid swelling and inconstant diplopia. DIAGNOSES: Thyrotoxicosis and severe GO with suspected optic nerve damage and drug induced liver injury (DILI). INTERVENTIONS: Intravenous methylprednisolone pulse therapy was administered to treat GO and methimazole was continued for thyrotoxicosis. Dose of methimazole was reduced after exclusion of concurrent infection and active liver disease. OUTCOMES: The GO symptoms (eyelid swelling, sight loss, proptosis, retro-bulbar pain, diplopia) markedly decreased after the treatment course. Liver transaminases spontaneously returned to normal ranges and remained normal during the next 12 months until the Graves' disease until the treatment was completed. LESSONS: 1. The interaction of methimazole and methylprednisolone may result in DILI. 2. In a patient without concomitant liver diseases MP can be continued if the methimazole dose is reduced if no other treatment options are available.

A simple short term method to study thyroid disruption using a fetal rat thyroid culture.

INTRODUCTION: Thyroid modulation activity has not been investigated for many chemical substances. Due to ethical, practical and financial reasons, in vivo evaluation of a large number of compounds is not feasible. It has been proposed that an in vitro mechanism-based strategy could be more adequate for the identification of thyroid hormone disrupting chemicals. Here we describe a simple and mostly inexpensive, short term culture assay to study thyroid disruption. METHODS: Fetal thyroids collected from gestation day 20.5 were cultured up to 24h in Hank's saline solution, at 37°C with oxygenation at 0 and 12h. Viability of the cultured explants was evaluated by the MTT assay. Positive (thyroid stimulating hormone, TSH) and negative (6-propyl-2-thiouracil, PTU) modulation of cultured thyroids was assessed with morphometrical analysis of H & E stained gland sections. Thyroxine expression was evaluated by immunohistochemistry. RESULTS: Viability was shown to increase with time of culture with higher metabolic activity being achieved at 24h as compared to shorter periods of incubation. Follicular epithelial cells exhibited a statistically significant dependence on thyrotropin concentration, although more evident in the inner than in the outer portion of the glands. As expected, TSH induced expression of thyroxin while PTU inhibited it. DISCUSSION: GD20.5 fetal thyroids may be cultured up to 24h under relatively simple laboratory conditions during which viability and function of the gland are preserved showing that it is possible to reproduce in vivo response under in vitro conditions. This culture could be a suitable short term assay to study mechanism of thyroid disruption.

Epidemiology, management and outcomes of Graves' disease-real life data.

PURPOSE: Treatment options in Graves' disease are clearly defined, but management practices and the perceptions of success are varied. The outcomes of treatment in large consecutive cohorts of Graves' disease have not been well characterised. The study describes the epidemiology, management strategies and medium term outcomes following anti-thyroid drug treatment, radio-iodine ablation and surgery in Graves' disease. METHODS: All patients (n = 659) who received treatment for a new diagnosis of Graves' disease in secondary care over a 5 year period were included with a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 42.9 (29-57.5) months. RESULTS: The age adjusted incidence of adult onset Graves' disease in Sheffield, UK was 24.8 per 100,000 per year. Excluding 35 patients lost to follow-up, 93.1% (n = 581) were controlled on anti-thyroid drug treatment. Of these, 73.6% went into remission following withdrawal of anti-thyroid drugs; 5.2% were still undergoing initial therapy; 13.3% lost control whilst on anti-thyroid drugs; and 7.9% went on to have either surgery or radio-iodine ablation whilst controlled on anti-thyroid drugs. Of the 428 patients who achieved remission, 36.7% relapsed. Of 144 patients who had radio-iodine ablation treatment, 5.6% relapsed and needed further treatment. Of 119 patients having surgery, 5.2% had long-term hypoparathyroidism and none had documented long-term recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy. CONCLUSIONS: In the follow-up, 39.9% of patients underwent surgery or radio-iodine ablation with little morbidity. Up to two-thirds of patients who achieved remission did not relapse. Data on effectiveness and risks of treatments for Graves' disease presented in this study will help clinicians and patients in decision making.

Cost-utility analysis comparing radioactive iodine, anti-thyroid drugs and total thyroidectomy for primary treatment of Graves' disease.

OBJECTIVE: Little data is in existence about the most cost-effective primary treatment for Graves' disease. We performed a cost-utility analysis comparing radioactive iodine (RAI), anti-thyroid drugs (ATD) and total thyroidectomy (TT) as first-line therapy for Graves' disease in England and Australia. METHODS: We used a Markov model to compare lifetime costs and benefits (quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs)). The model included efficacy, rates of relapse and major complications associated with each treatment, and alternative second-line therapies. Model parameters were obtained from published literature. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted. Costs were presented in 2015£ or Australian Dollars (AUD). RESULTS: RAI was the least expensive therapy in both England (£5425; QALYs 34.73) and Australia (AUD5601; 30.97 QALYs). In base case results, in both countries, ATD was a cost-effective alternative to RAI (£16 866; 35.17 QALYs; incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) £26 279 per QALY gained England; AUD8924; 31.37 QALYs; ICER AUD9687 per QALY gained Australia), while RAI dominated TT (£7115; QALYs 33.93 England; AUD15 668; 30.25 QALYs Australia). In sensitivity analysis, base case results were stable to changes in most cost, transition probabilities and health-relative quality-of-life (HRQoL) weights; however, in England, the results were sensitive to changes in the HRQoL weights of hypothyroidism and euthyroidism on ATD. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis, RAI is the least expensive choice for first-line treatment strategy for Graves' disease. In England and Australia, ATD is likely to be a cost-effective alternative, while TT is unlikely to be cost-effective. Further research into HRQoL in Graves' disease could improve the quality of future studies.

Evaluation and characterization of thyroid-disrupting activities in soil samples along the Second Songhua River, China.

In this study, a recombinant thyroid receptor (TR) gene yeast assay combined with Monte Carlo simulation were used to evaluate and characterize soil samples collected from Jilin (China) along the Second Songhua River, for their ant/agonist effect on TR. No TR agonistic activity was found in soils, but many soil samples exhibited TR antagonistic activities, and the bioassay-derived amiodarone hydrochloride equivalents, which was calculated based on Monte Carlo simulation, ranged from not detected (N.D.) to 35.5µg/g. Hydrophilic substance fractions were determined to be the contributors to TR antagonistic activity in these soil samples. Our results indicate that the novel calculation method is effective for the quantification and characterization of TR antagonists in soil samples, and these data could provide useful information for future management and remediation efforts for contaminated soils.

Effects of short term mild L-Thyroxine suppression therapy on myocardial functions, and its assessment with tissue Doppler imaging.

BACKGROUND: While adverse effects of overt hyperthyroidism on the cardiovascular system are well-known, the effects of subclinical hyperthyroidism are not clear. The aim of the study was to investigate the effects of short term mild L-thyroxine (LT4) suppression therapy on myocardial functions in a group of premenopausal women with goiter, by using echocardiographic methods and tissue Doppler imaging (TDI). METHODS: Sixteen participants with goiter received LT4 suppression therapy to keep TSH levels between 0.1-0.4 µIU/mL. After baseline and 1st month assessment, 6-weeks follow-up were scheduled until 6th month assessment to adjust the medication dose during study period. All TSH levels decreased below 0.4 µIU/mL by the end of first month and stayed below this level throughout study period. At the beginning of the study and at month 6, the thyroid ultrasonography, Holter monitorization test, stress test, electrocardiograms and echocardiograms of participants were assessed. This was followed by a comparison of baseline and 6th month data. RESULTS: Baseline and 6th month 2-D echocardiography measurements of participants revealed that mean left ventricle diameter in diastole (4.1±0.3 vs 3.8±0.2 mm) and posterior wall thickness in diastole (0.9±0.1 vs. 0.8±0.1 mm) decreased (P<0.05); while stroke volume (41.9±9.9 vs. 48±8.2), stroke volume index (25.6±5.4 vs. 29.4±4.7), cardiac output (3.5±1.4 vs. 3.9±0.9) and cardiac index (2.2±0.8 vs. 2.4±0.5) increased (P<0.05). Other 2D echocardiography parameters did not change significantly. The pulse wave Doppler examination, stress test and Holter monitorization of participants did not reveal any difference between baseline and 6th month measurements. No statistically significant difference was observed in measurements of TDI except decreased septum S velocity. CONCLUSIONS: Short term mild LT4 suppression treatment did not cause systolic or diastolic dysfunction, or conduction defect in the heart; therefore may be safe in premenopausal females with not known cardiac disease.

Effects of Levothyroxine Replacement or Suppressive Therapy on Energy Expenditure and Body Composition.

BACKGROUND: Thyrotropin (TSH)-suppressive doses of levothyroxine (LT4) have adverse effects on bone and cardiac function, but it is unclear whether metabolic function is also affected. The objective of this study was to determine whether women receiving TSH-suppressive LT4 doses have alterations in energy expenditure or body composition. METHODS: This study was a cross-sectional comparison between three groups of women: 26 women receiving chronic TSH-suppressive LT4 doses, 80 women receiving chronic replacement LT4 doses, and 16 untreated euthyroid control women. Subjects underwent measurements of resting energy expenditure (REE), substrate oxidation, and thermic effect of food by indirect calorimetry; physical activity energy expenditure by accelerometer; caloric intake by 24-hour diet recall; and body composition by dual X-ray absorptiometry. RESULTS: REE per kilogram lean body mass in the LT4 euthyroid women was 6% lower than that of the LT4-suppressed group, and 4% lower than that of the healthy control group (p = 0.04). Free triiodothyronine (fT3) levels were directly correlated with REE, and were 10% lower in the LT4 euthyroid women compared with the other two groups (p = 0.007). The groups of subjects did not differ in other measures of energy expenditure, caloric intake, or body composition. CONCLUSIONS: LT4 suppression therapy does not adversely affect energy expenditure or body composition in women. However, LT4 replacement therapy is associated with a lower REE, despite TSH levels within the reference range. This may be due to lower fT3 levels, suggesting relative tissue hypothyroidism may contribute to impaired energy expenditure in LT4 therapy.

Application of Probabilistic Risk Assessment in Establishing Perchlorate and Goitrogen Risk Mitigation Strategies.

This paper applies probabilistic risk assessment in quantifying risks from cumulative and aggregate risk pathways for selected goitrogens in water and food. Results show that the percentages of individuals with a Hazard Index (HI) value above 1 ranges between 30% and 50% both with and without serum half-life correction when a traditional regulatory assessment approach based on establishment of a No Observed Effects Level (NOEL) is used. When an exposure-response curve is instead used and a threshold of 50% inhibition is assumed, 1.1% or less of the population exceeds an HI value of 1 with no serum half-life correction, rising to as high as 11% when serum half-life correction is applied. If 0% to 5% threshold for iodide uptake inhibition is assumed for production of adverse effects, the percentage of the population with an HI above 1 is 46.2% or less with no serum half-life correction, and 47.2% or less when serum half-life correction is applied. The probabilistic analysis shows that while there are exposed groups for whom perchlorate exposures are the primary cause of individuals having HI values above 1, these constitute significantly less than 1% of the population. Instead, the potential risk from exposure to goitrogens is dominated by nitrates without serum half-life correction and thiocyanates with serum half-life correction, suggesting public health protection is better accomplished by a focus on these and other goitrogens expect in highly limited cases where waterborne perchlorate is at unusually high concentrations.

Risk factors for developing thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy among individuals with Graves disease.

IMPORTANCE: Thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy (TAO) is a common and debilitating manifestation of Graves disease (GD). Presently little is known about factors that may increase the risk of developing TAO among patients with GD. OBJECTIVE: To identify risk factors associated with the development of TAO among individuals with newly diagnosed GD. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this longitudinal cohort study, all beneficiaries 18 years of age or older with newly diagnosed GD who were continuously enrolled in a large nationwide US managed care network and who visited an eye care professional 1 or more times from 2001 to 2009 were identified. International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification billing codes were used to identify those who developed manifestations of TAO. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine the hazard of developing TAO among persons with newly diagnosed GD, with adjustment for sociodemographic factors, systemic medical conditions, thyrotropin levels, and medical and surgical interventions for management of hyperthyroidism. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Manifestations of TAO measured by hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Of 8404 patients with GD who met the inclusion criteria, 740 (8.8%) developed TAO (mean follow-up, 374 days since initial GD diagnosis). After adjustment for potential confounders, surgical thyroidectomy, alone or in combination with medical therapy, was associated with a 74% decreased hazard for TAO (adjusted HR, 0.26 [95% CI, 0.12-0.51]) compared with radioactive iodine therapy alone. Statin use (for ≥60 days in the past year vs <60 days or nonuse) was associated with a 40% decreased hazard (adjusted HR, 0.60 [CI, 0.37-0.93]). No significant association was found for the use of nonstatin cholesterol-lowering medications or cyclooxygenase 2 inhibitors and the development of TAO. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: If prospective studies can confirm our finding that a thyroidectomy and statin use are associated with substantially reduced hazards for TAO among patients with GD, preventive measures for this burdensome manifestation of GD may become a reality.

Atom-based 3D-QSAR, molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulation assessment of inhibitors for thyroid hormone receptor α and ß.

The three-dimensional quantitative structure-activity relationship (3D-QSAR) for inhibitors of thyroid hormone receptors (TR) α and (TR) ß was studied. The training set of the TRα model generated a correlation coefficient (R(2)) = 0.9535, with standard deviation (SD) = 0.3016. From the test set of the TRα model, a Q(2) value for the predicted activities (= 0.4303), squared correlation (random selection R(2)-CV = 0.6929), Pearson-R (= 0.7294) and root mean square error (RMSE = 0.6342) were calculated. The P-value for TRα (= 1.411e-96) and TRß (= 2.108e-165) models indicate a high degree of self-reliance. For the TRß model, the training set yielded R(2) = 0.9424 with SD = 0.3719. From the test set of TRß, Q(2) value (= 0.5336), the squared correlation (R(2)-CV = 0.7201), the Pearson-R (= 0.7852) and RMSE for test set predictions (= 0.8630) all strengthen the good predictive competence of the QSAR model derived. Examination of internal as well as external validation supports the rationality and good predictive ability of the best model. Molecular docking explained the conformations of molecules and important amino acid residues at the docking pocket, and a molecular dynamics simulation study further uncovered the binding process and validated the rationality of docking results. The findings not only lead to a better understanding of interactions between these antagonists and thyroid hormone receptors α and ß, but also provide valuable information about the impact of structure on activity that will be very beneficial in the design of novel antagonists with preferred activity.