Nurse Practitioner Care, Scope of Practice, and End-of-Life Outcomes for Nursing Home Residents With Dementia.

Importance: Nursing home residents with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD) often receive burdensome care at the end of life. Nurse practitioners (NPs) provide an increasing share of primary care in nursing homes, but how NP care is associated with end-of-life outcomes for this population is unknown. Objectives: To examine the association of NP care with end-of-life outcomes for nursing home residents with ADRD and assess whether these associations differ according to state-level NP scope of practice regulations. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study using fee-for-service Medicare claims included 334 618 US nursing home residents with ADRD who died between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2018. Data were analyzed from April 6, 2015, to December 31, 2018. Exposures: Share of nursing home primary care visits by NPs, classified as minimal (<10% of visits), moderate (10%-50% of visits), and extensive (>50% of visits). State NP scope of practice regulations were classified as full vs restrictive in 2 domains: practice authority (authorization to practice and prescribe independently) and do-not-resuscitate (DNR) authority (authorization to sign DNR orders). Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospitalization within the last 30 days of life and death with hospice. Linear probability models with hospital referral region fixed effects controlling for resident characteristics, visit volume, and geographic factors were used to estimate whether the associations between NP care and outcomes varied across states with different scope of practice regulations. Results: Among 334 618 nursing home decedents (mean [SD] age at death, 86.6 [8.2] years; 69.3% female), 40.5% received minimal NP care, 21.4% received moderate NP care, and 38.0% received extensive NP care. Adjusted hospitalization rates were lower for residents with extensive NP care (31.6% [95% CI, 31.4%-31.9%]) vs minimal NP care (32.3% [95% CI, 32.1%-32.6%]), whereas adjusted hospice rates were higher for residents with extensive (55.6% [95% CI, 55.3%-55.9%]) vs minimal (53.6% [95% CI, 53.3%-53.8%]) NP care. However, there was significant variation by state scope of practice. For example, in full practice authority states, adjusted hospice rates were 2.88 percentage points higher (95% CI, 1.99-3.77; P < .001) for residents with extensive vs minimal NP care, but the difference between these same groups was 1.77 percentage points (95% CI, 1.32-2.23; P < .001) in restricted practice states. Hospitalization rates were 1.76 percentage points lower (95% CI, -2.52 to -1.00; P < .001) for decedents with extensive vs minimal NP care in full practice authority states, but the difference between these same groups in restricted practice states was only 0.43 percentage points (95% CI, -0.84 to -0.01; P < .04). Similar patterns were observed in analyses focused on DNR authority. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that NPs appear to be important care providers during the end-of-life period for many nursing home residents with ADRD and that regulations governing NP scope of practice may have implications for end-of-life hospitalizations and hospice use in this population.

State- and Territory-Level Nursing Home and Home Health Care COVID-19 Policies and Disease Burden.

This cross-sectional study creates a dataset and dashboard of US state- and territory-level COVID-19 policies specific to nursing homes and home health care agencies.

Reducing Hospitalizations and Multidrug-Resistant Organisms via Regional Decolonization in Hospitals and Nursing Homes.

Importance: Infections due to multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) are associated with increased morbidity, mortality, length of hospitalization, and health care costs. Regional interventions may be advantageous in mitigating MDROs and associated infections. Objective: To evaluate whether implementation of a decolonization collaborative is associated with reduced regional MDRO prevalence, incident clinical cultures, infection-related hospitalizations, costs, and deaths. Design, Setting, and Participants: This quality improvement study was conducted from July 1, 2017, to July 31, 2019, across 35 health care facilities in Orange County, California. Exposures: Chlorhexidine bathing and nasal iodophor antisepsis for residents in long-term care and hospitalized patients in contact precautions (CP). Main Outcomes and Measures: Baseline and end of intervention MDRO point prevalence among participating facilities; incident MDRO (nonscreening) clinical cultures among participating and nonparticipating facilities; and infection-related hospitalizations and associated costs and deaths among residents in participating and nonparticipating nursing homes (NHs). Results: Thirty-five facilities (16 hospitals, 16 NHs, 3 long-term acute care hospitals [LTACHs]) adopted the intervention. Comparing decolonization with baseline periods among participating facilities, the mean (SD) MDRO prevalence decreased from 63.9% (12.2%) to 49.9% (11.3%) among NHs, from 80.0% (7.2%) to 53.3% (13.3%) among LTACHs (odds ratio [OR] for NHs and LTACHs, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40-0.57), and from 64.1% (8.5%) to 55.4% (13.8%) (OR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.60-0.93) among hospitalized patients in CP. When comparing decolonization with baseline among NHs, the mean (SD) monthly incident MDRO clinical cultures changed from 2.7 (1.9) to 1.7 (1.1) among participating NHs, from 1.7 (1.4) to 1.5 (1.1) among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 30.4%; 95% CI, 16.4%-42.1%), from 25.5 (18.6) to 25.0 (15.9) among participating hospitals, from 12.5 (10.1) to 14.3 (10.2) among nonparticipating hospitals (group × period interaction reduction, 12.9%; 95% CI, 3.3%-21.5%), and from 14.8 (8.6) to 8.2 (6.1) among LTACHs (all facilities participating; 22.5% reduction; 95% CI, 4.4%-37.1%). For NHs, the rate of infection-related hospitalizations per 1000 resident-days changed from 2.31 during baseline to 1.94 during intervention among participating NHs, and from 1.90 to 2.03 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 26.7%; 95% CI, 19.0%-34.5%). Associated hospitalization costs per 1000 resident-days changed from $64 651 to $55 149 among participating NHs and from $55 151 to $59 327 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 26.8%; 95% CI, 26.7%-26.9%). Associated hospitalization deaths per 1000 resident-days changed from 0.29 to 0.25 among participating NHs and from 0.23 to 0.24 among nonparticipating NHs (group × period interaction reduction, 23.7%; 95% CI, 4.5%-43.0%). Conclusions and Relevance: A regional collaborative involving universal decolonization in long-term care facilities and targeted decolonization among hospital patients in CP was associated with lower MDRO carriage, infections, hospitalizations, costs, and deaths.

Evacuation and Health Care Outcomes Among Assisted Living Residents After Hurricane Irma.

Importance: Evacuation has been found to be associated with adverse outcomes among nursing home residents during hurricanes, but the outcomes for assisted living (AL) residents remain unknown. Objective: To examine the association between evacuation and health care outcomes (ie, emergency department visits, hospitalizations, mortality, and nursing home visits) among Florida AL residents exposed to Hurricane Irma. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study using 2017 Medicare claims data. Participants were a cohort of Florida AL residents who were aged 65 years or older, enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service, and resided in 9-digit zip codes corresponding to US assisted living communities with 25 or more beds on September 10, 2017, the day of Hurricane Irma's landfall. Propensity score matching was used to match evacuated residents to those that sheltered-in-place based on resident and AL characteristics. Data were analyzed from September 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: Whether the AL community evacuated or sheltered-in-place before Hurricane Irma made landfall. Main Outcomes and Measures: Thirty- and 90-day emergency department visits, hospitalizations, mortality, and nursing home admissions. Results: The study cohort included 25 130 Florida AL residents (mean [SD] age 81 [9] years); 3402 (13.5%) evacuated and 21 728 (86.5%) did not evacuate. The evacuated group had 2223 women (65.3%), and the group that sheltered-in-place had 14 556 women (67.0%). In the evacuated group, 42 residents (1.2%) were Black, 93 (2.7%) were Hispanic, and 3225 (94.8%) were White. In the group that sheltered in place, 490 residents (2.3%) were Black, 707 (3.3%) were Hispanic, and 20 212 (93.0%) were White. After 1:4 propensity score matching, when compared with sheltering-in-place, evacuation was associated with a 16% greater odds of emergency department visits (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.16; 95% CI, 1.01-1.33; P = .04) and 51% greater odds of nursing home visits (AOR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.14-2.00; P = .01) within 30 days of Hurricane Irma's landfall. Hospitalization and mortality did not vary significantly by evacuation status within 30 or 90 days after the landfall date. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of Florida AL residents, there was an increased risk of nursing home and emergency department visits within 30 days of Hurricane Irma's landfall among residents from communities that evacuated before the storm when compared with residents from communities that sheltered-in-place. The stress and disruption caused by evacuation may yield poorer immediate health outcomes after a major storm for AL residents. Therefore, the potential benefits and harms of evacuating vs sheltering-in-place must be carefully considered when developing emergency planning and response.

Changes in social care after major emergency general surgery procedures.

BACKGROUND: Emergency general surgery (EGS) is a major part of the provision of healthcare, and patients undergoing EGS are at elevated risk of morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine factors contributing to patients losing their independence and being discharged to residential and nursing homes having previously lived in their own residences. METHODS: Our local data uploaded to the National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) (2014-2022) were analyzed. This national database encompasses all major EGS cases undertaken in the United Kingdom. The variables considered were patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, admission and discharge dates, presenting pathology, operation type, and discharge destination. Comparative analyses segmented patients based on postdischarge EGS destinations. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors linked to residential/nursing home placement after discharge. Significance was set at P < .05. RESULTS: Data from all patients in the NELA database (n = 1611) were analyzed. Approximately 1 in 10 patients older than 70 years never returned home. Patients requiring additional support were on average 8.6 years older (P = .008). At older than 80 years, the need for extra social support increased substantially with each increasing year in age, and those older than 85 years were more than twice as likely to require extra support than 80-year-olds (P < .001). Patients who died were 11.4 years older than those discharged without additional support (P < .001). CONCLUSION: A significant proportion of patients, particularly the elderly, do not return to their usual place of residence and require a higher level of care postemergency surgery. These important social factors need to be considered before operating given that they may have significant quality of life and economic implications.

Trends in observation stays for Medicare beneficiaries with and without Alzheimer's disease and related dementias.

BACKGROUND: There has been a marked rise in the use of observation care for Medicare beneficiaries visiting the emergency department (ED) in recent years. Whether trends in observation use differ for people with Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) is unknown. METHODS: Using a national 20% sample of Medicare beneficiaries ages 68+ from 2012 to 2018, we compared trends in ED visits and observation stays by AD/ADRD status for beneficiaries visiting the ED. We then examined the degree to which trends differed by nursing home (NH) residency status, assigning beneficiaries to four groups: AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH+), AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD+ NH-), no AD/ADRD residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH+), and no AD/ADRD not residing in NH (AD/ADRD- NH-). RESULTS: Of 7,489,780 unique beneficiaries, 18.6% had an AD/ADRD diagnosis. Beneficiaries with AD/ADRD had more than double the number of ED visits per 1000 in all years compared to those without AD/ADRD and saw a faster adjusted increase over time (+26.7 vs. +8.2 visits/year; p < 0.001 for interaction). The annual increase in the adjusted proportion of ED visits ending in observation was also greater among people with AD/ADRD (+0.78%/year, 95% CI 0.77-0.80%) compared to those without AD/ADRD (+0.63%/year, 95% CI 0.59-0.66%; p < 0.001 for interaction). Observation utilization was greatest for the AD/ADRD+ NH+ population and lowest for the AD/ADRD- NH- population, but the AD/ADRD+ NH- group saw the greatest increase in observation stays over time (+15.4 stays per 1000 people per year, 95% CI 15.0-15.7). CONCLUSIONS: Medicare beneficiaries with AD/ADRD have seen a disproportionate increase in observation utilization in recent years, driven by both an increase in ED visits and an increase in the proportion of ED visits ending in observation.

The relationship of age and comorbid conditions to hospital and nursing home days in Medicaid recipients with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how aging impacts healthcare utilization in persons with HIV (PWH) compared with persons without HIV (PWoH). DESIGN: Matched case-control study. METHODS: We studied Medicaid recipients in the United States, aged 18-64 years, from 2001 to 2012. We matched each of 270 074 PWH to three PWoH by baseline year, age, gender, and zip code. Outcomes were hospital and nursing home days per month (DPM). Comorbid condition groups were cardiovascular disease, diabetes, liver disease, mental health conditions, pulmonary disease, and renal disease. We used linear regression to examine the joint relationships of age and comorbid conditions on the two outcomes, stratified by sex at birth. RESULTS: We found small excesses in hospital DPM for PWH compared with PWoH. There were 0.03 and 0.07 extra hospital DPM for female and male individuals, respectively, and no increases with age. In contrast, excess nursing home DPM for PWH compared with PWoH rose linearly with age, peaking at 0.35 extra days for female individuals and 0.4 extra days for male individuals. HIV-associated excess nursing home DPM were greatest for persons with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, mental health conditions, and renal disease. For PWH at age 55 years, this represents an 81% increase in the nursing home DPM for male individuals, and a 110% increase for female individuals, compared PWoH. CONCLUSION: Efforts to understand and interrupt this pronounced excess pattern of nursing home DPM among PWH compared with PWoH are needed and may new insights into how HIV and comorbid conditions jointly impact aging with HIV.

Luxury or normal goods? Evidence from the utilization of institutional care services for the disabled older adults in China.

Background: Nursing care is essential for older adults with disabilities. Income plays a crucial role in determining the utilization of institutional care services. Pension benefit, as the main source of income for the older adults in China's cities and towns in their later years, is an important factor influencing the utilization of institutional care services. However, there have been no consistent findings on how pension benefits affect the utilization of institutional care services for the disabled older adults. Methods: This paper utilizes data from the 2017-2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. We select disabled older adults aged 65 and older, living in towns and cities, and use a probit regression model to investigate the impact of pension benefits on the utilization of institutional care services by urban disabled older adults empirically. Results: The study shows that a 1% increase in pension benefits raises the probability that the urban disabled older adults use institutional care services by 0.03. It also finds that for low-income urban disabled older adults, the effect is statistically significantly positive at the 1% level; but for high-income urban disabled older adults, the effect is not statistically significant. The pension benefits significantly increase the probability for the disabled older adults who are male, financially dependent, and live in townships. In addition, the pension benefits significantly reduce the probability that children will provide care and pay for care services for their older parents. Conclusion: Institutional care service is a normal good for the urban disabled older adults, especially for low-income older adults. Therefore, higher pension benefit raises the probability of utilizing institutional care services for the urban older adults with disabilities, and this positive effect is especially pronounced for older adults who are male, financially dependent, and reside in townships. In addition, increase in the pension benefits for the disabled older adults in towns and cities reduces the burden on children by reducing the probability that children will provide care and pay for care services for the older adults.

Southeastern United States Predictors of COVID-19 in Nursing Homes.

This study's aim was to determine nursing home (NH) and county-level predictors of COVID-19 outbreaks in nursing homes (NHs) in the southeastern region of the United States across three time periods. NH-level data compiled from census data and from NH compare and NH COVID-19 infection datasets provided by the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services cover 2951 NHs located in 836 counties in nine states. A generalized linear mixed-effect model with a random effect was applied to significant factors identified in the final stepwise regression. County-level COVID-19 estimates and NHs with more certified beds were predictors of COVID-19 outbreaks in NHs across all time periods. Predictors of NH cases varied across the time periods with fewer community and NH variables predicting COVID-19 in NH during the late period. Future research should investigate predictors of COVID-19 in NH in other regions of the US from the early periods through March 2021.

Trends in the Use of Residential Settings Among Older Adults.

OBJECTIVES: As the U.S. population ages, the prevalence of disability and functional limitations, and demand for long-term services and supports (LTSS), will increase. This study identified the distribution of older adults across different residential settings, and how their health characteristics have changed over time. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis of older adults residing in traditional housing, community-based residential facilities (CBRFs), and nursing facilities using 3 data sources: the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS), 2008 and 2013; the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), 2008 and 2014; and the National Health and Aging Trends Study, 2011 and 2015. We calculated the age-standardized prevalence of older adults by setting, functional limitations, and comorbidities and tested for health characteristics changes relative to the baseline year (2002). RESULTS: The proportion of older adults in traditional housing increased over time, relative to baseline (p < .05), while the proportion of older adults in CBRFs was unchanged. The proportion of nursing facility residents declined from 2002 to 2013 in the MCBS (p < .05). The prevalence of dementia and functional limitations among traditional housing residents increased, relative to the baseline year in the HRS and MCBS (p < .05). DISCUSSION: The proportion of older adults residing in traditional housing is increasing, while the nursing facility population is decreasing. This change may not be due to better health; rather, older adults may be relying on noninstitutional LTSS.

Trends and variation in benzodiazepine use in nursing homes in the USA.

PURPOSE: Because of toxicities, benzodiazepines are not usually recommended in older adults. We therefore sought to describe the trends in benzodiazepine use in long-term care and examine the variation in benzodiazepine use among nursing homes. METHODS: In this retrospective repeated cross-sectional analysis of Medicare Parts A, B, and D claims data linked to the Minimum Data Set from 2013 to 2018, we included long-term residents who stayed in a nursing home for at least one entire quarter of a calendar year in 2013-2018. The outcome was whether residents were prescribed a benzodiazepine drug for at least 30 days during each quarter stay. We use mixed effects logistic regression models to assess the variation in benzodiazepine use among nursing homes, adjusting for patient and nursing home characteristics. RESULTS: The cohort for the time trend analysis included 270,566 unique residents and 1,843,580 quarter stays for 2013-2018. Prescribing rates for short-acting benzodiazepines were stable over 2013-2016, then declined from 12.1% in 2016 to 10.6% in 2018. The rate of long-acting benzodiazepine use remained relatively steady at around 4% over 2013-2018. During 2017-2018, the variation among nursing homes in benzodiazepine use was 7.2% for short-acting vs. 9.3% for long-acting benzodiazepines, after controlling for resident characteristics. CONCLUSION: Prescribing for short-acting benzodiazepines in long-term care declined after 2016, while long-acting benzodiazepine use did not change. The variation in benzodiazepine use among nursing homes is substantial. Identifying factors that explain this variation may help in developing strategies for deprescribing benzodiazepines in nursing home residents.

Disproportionate increases in schizophrenia diagnoses among Black nursing home residents with ADRD.

BACKGROUND: Previous research demonstrated an increase in the reporting of schizophrenia diagnoses among nursing home (NH) residents after the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services National Partnership to Improve Dementia Care. Given known health and healthcare disparities among Black NH residents, we examined how race and Alzheimer's and related dementia (ADRD) status influenced the rate of schizophrenia diagnoses among NH residents following the partnership. METHODS: We used a quasi-experimental difference-in-differences design to study the quarterly prevalence of schizophrenia among US long-stay NH residents aged 65 years and older, by Black race and ADRD status. Using 2011-2015 Minimum Data Set 3.0 assessments, our analysis controlled for age, sex, measures of function and frailty (activities of daily living [ADL] and Changes in Health, End-stage disease and Symptoms and Signs scores) and behavioral expressions. RESULTS: There were over 1.2 million older long-stay NH residents, annually. Schizophrenia diagnoses were highest among residents with ADRD. Among residents without ADRD, Black residents had higher rates of schizophrenia diagnoses compared to their nonblack counterparts prior to the partnership. Following the partnership, Black residents with ADRD had a significant increase of 1.7% in schizophrenia as compared to nonblack residents with ADRD who had a decrease of 1.7% (p = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: Following the partnership, Black NH residents with ADRD were more likely to have a schizophrenia diagnosis documented on their MDS assessments, and schizophrenia rates increased for Black NH residents with ADRD only. Further work is needed to examine the impact of "colorblind" policies such as the partnership and to determine if schizophrenia diagnoses are appropriately applied in NH practice, particularly for black Americans with ADRD.

An Assessment of the Toulouse Saint Louis University Mini Falls Assessment Tool to Predict Incident Falls among Older Adults Residing in Nursing Homes: A 6-Month Prospective Study.

OBJECTIVES: Toulouse Saint Louis University Mini Falls Assessment (TSLUMFA) tool has been designed to predict falls. It was initially validated in a geriatric clinic in 2018. The primary objective was to evaluate the predictive capacity of the TSLUMFA for incident falls in older adults residing in nursing homes. The secondary objective was to determine the TSLUMFA optimal cut-off value identifying those older adults with a high-risk of falling. SETTINGS: A longitudinal study was carried out over a period of six months. PARTICIPANTS: 93 older adults residing in nursing homes were evaluated for the present study. MEASUREMENTS: The TSLUMFA (made up of 7 criteria) was administered at baseline, and incident falls were recorded based on a registry of falls. Comparisons of TSLUMFA scores between fallers and non-fallers were performed using the U Mann-Whitney test or Chi². Correlation between the total TSLUMFA score (/30 points) and incident fall(s) was explored using the Cox proportional hazard model. ROC analysis enabled an optimal cut-off value to be established to identify those adults at the highest-risk of falling. RESULTS: In the study, 93 older adults (61.3% women) with a median age of 80 (69-87) years were included. The median total TSLUMFA score was 21 (19-24.5) points. During the 6-month study period, 38 subjects (40.9%) experienced at least one fall. The total TSLUMFA score in older adults with incident fall(s) was significantly lower than in those who did not fall (20 (15.75-22.25) points versus 23 (20-25) points and a p-value of <0.001). For each 1-point higher score at the total TSLUMFA a 9% less chance of falling was observed during the study period (p-value = 0.006). The AUC was 0.736 (95%CI: 0.617-0.822) and p-value <0.001, clearly demonstrating its interesting performance as a screening tool. A score of ≤ 21 points was identified as the optimal cut-off to identify those older adults at a higher-risk of falling. CONCLUSION: The TSLUMFA performed well and successfully identified older adults with a high risk of falling in a nursing home setting. Further comparisons with existing tools are warranted.

Nursing home admissions for persons with dementia: Role of home- and community-based services.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between Medicaid home- and community-based services (HCBS) generosity and the likelihood of nursing home (NH) admission for dually enrolled older adults with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) and their level of physical and cognitive impairment at NH admission. DATA SOURCES: National Medicare data, Medicaid Analytic eXtract, and MDS 3.0 for CY2010-2013 were linked. STUDY DESIGN: Eligible Medicare-Medicaid dual beneficiaries with ADRD were identified and followed for up to a year. We constructed two measures of HCBS generosity, breadth and intensity, at the county level for older duals with ADRD. Three binary outcomes were defined as follows: any NH placement during the follow-up year for all individuals in the sample, high (vs. not high) physical impairment, and high (vs. not high) cognitive impairment at the time of NH admission for those who were admitted to an NH. Logistic regressions with state-fixed effects and county random effects were estimated for these outcomes, respectively, accounting for individual- and county-level covariates. DATA EXTRACTION METHODS: The study sample included 365,310 community-dwelling older dual beneficiaries with ADRD who were enrolled in fee-for-service Medicare and Medicaid between October 1, 2010, and December 31, 2012. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Considerable variations of breadth and intensity in county-level HCBS were observed. We found that a 10-percentage-point increase in HCBS breadth was associated with a 1.4 (p < 0.01)-percentage-point reduction in the likelihood of NH admission. Among individuals with NH admission, greater HCBS breadth was associated with a higher level of physical impairment, and greater HCBS intensity was associated with a higher level of physical and cognitive impairment at NH admission. CONCLUSIONS: Among community-dwelling duals with ADRD, Medicaid HCBS generosity was associated with a lower likelihood of NH admission and greater functional impairment at NH admission.

Prevalence and the factors associated with oral anticoagulant use among nursing home residents.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE: Anticoagulants are indicated for treatment and prevention of several clinical conditions. Prior studies have examined anticoagulant utilization for specific indications and in community-dwelling populations. Decision-making regarding anticoagulant prescribing in the nursing home setting is particularly challenging because advanced age and clinical complexity places most residents at increased risk for adverse drug events. To estimate the prevalence of oral anticoagulant (OAC) use (overall, warfarin, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs)) and identify factors associated with oral anticoagulant use among the general population of residents living in nursing homes. METHODS: This point prevalence study was conducted among 506,482 residents in US nursing homes on 31 October 2016 who were enrolled in Medicare fee-for-service. Covariates including demographics, clinical conditions, medications, cognitive impairment and functional status were obtained from Minimum Data Set 3.0 assessments and Medicare Part A and D claims. Oral anticoagulant use was identified using dispensing dates and days supply information from Medicare Part D claims. Robust Poisson models estimated adjusted prevalence ratios (aPR) for associations between covariates and 1) any anticoagulant use, and 2) DOAC versus warfarin use. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: Overall, 11.8% of residents used oral anticoagulants. Among users, 44.3% used DOACs. Residents with body mass index (BMI) ≥40 kg/m2 (aPR: 1.66; 95% CI: 1.61 -1.71), with functional dependency in activities of daily living, polypharmacy and higher CHA2 DS2 -VASc risk ischaemic stroke scores, had a higher prevalence of oral anticoagulant use. Women (aPR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.76-0.79), residents with limited life expectancy (aPR 0.80; 95% CI: 0.76-0.83), those with moderate-to-severe cognitive impairment (aPR: 0.67; 95% CI: 0.65-0.68), those using NSAIDs or antiplatelets, and non-white racial/ethnic groups had a lower prevalence of anticoagulant use. Residents with higher levels of polypharmacy, BMI and age had a lower prevalence of DOAC use (versus warfarin). WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION: Approximately one in eight general nursing home residents use oral anticoagulants and among oral anticoagulant users, only slightly more residents used warfarin than DOACs. The lower prevalence of anticoagulation among women and non-white racial/ethnic groups raises concerns of potential inequities in quality of care. Lower oral anticoagulant use among residents with limited life expectancy suggests possible deprescribing at the end of life. Further research is needed to inform resident-centred shared decision-making that explicitly considers treatment goals and individual-specific risks and benefits of anticoagulation at all stages of the medication use continuum.

Nursing home care under Medicaid managed long-term services and supports.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the impact of Medicaid managed long-term services and supports (MLTSS) on nursing home (NH) quality and rebalancing. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING: This study analyzes secondary data from annual NH recertification surveys and the minimum dataset (MDS) in three states that implemented MLTSS: Massachusetts (2001-2007), Kansas and Ohio (2011-2017). STUDY DESIGN: We utilized a difference-in-difference approach comparing NHs in border counties of states that implemented MLTSS with a control group of NHs in neighboring border counties in states that did not implement MLTSS. Sensitivity analyses included a triple-difference model (stratified by Medicaid payer mix) and a within-state comparison. We examined changes in six NH-level outcomes (percentage of low-care NH residents, facility occupancy, and four NH quality measures) after MLTSS implementation. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: For each state, all freestanding NHs in border counties were included, as were NHs in neighboring counties located in other states. Information on low-care residents was aggregated to the NH level from MDS data, then combined with Online Survey Certification and Reporting (OSCAR) and Certification and Survey Provider Enhanced Reporting (CASPER) data. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: MLTSS had no statistically significant effects on NH quality outcomes in Massachusetts or Kansas. In Ohio, MLTSS led to an increase of 0.21 nursing hours per resident day [95% CI: 0.03, 0.40], and a decrease of 1.47 deficiencies [95% CI: -2.52, -0.42] and 9.38 deficiency points [95% CI: -18.53, -0.24] per certification survey. After MLTSS, occupancy decreased by 1.52 percentage points [95% CI: -2.92, -0.12] in Massachusetts, but increased by 3.17 percentage points [95% CI: 0.36, 5.99] in Ohio. We found no effect on low-care residents in any state. Findings were moderately sensitive to the choice of comparator group. CONCLUSION: The study provides little evidence that MLTSS reduces quality of care, occupancy, or the percentage of low-care residents in NHs.

Outbreaks in care homes may lead to substantial disease burden if not mitigated.

The number of COVID-19 outbreaks reported in UK care homes rose rapidly in early March of 2020. Owing to the increased co-morbidities and therefore worse COVID-19 outcomes for care home residents, it is important that we understand this increase and its future implications. We demonstrate the use of an SIS model where each nursing home is an infective unit capable of either being susceptible to an outbreak (S) or in an active outbreak (I). We use a generalized additive model to approximate the trend in growth rate of outbreaks in care homes and find the fit to be improved in a model where the growth rate is proportional to the number of current care home outbreaks compared with a model with a constant growth rate. Using parameters found from the outbreak-dependent growth rate, we predict a 73% prevalence of outbreaks in UK care homes without intervention as a reasonable worst-case planning assumption. This article is part of the theme issue 'Modelling that shaped the early COVID-19 pandemic response in the UK'.

Effect of Hurricane Irma on daily direct-care nurse staffing in nursing homes.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the effect of Hurricane Irma on staff-related financial expenditures and daily direct-care nurse staffing levels. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: September 3-24, 2017 in the state of Florida, United States. Hurricane Irma made landfall on September 10, 2017. PARTICIPANTS: Six hundred and fifty-three nursing homes (NHs), 81 evacuated facilities, and 572 facilities that sheltered-in-place. MEASUREMENTS: This study used data from Payroll-Based Journaling (PBJ), Certification and Survey Provider Enhanced Reports (CASPER), and Florida's health providers' emergency reporting system. PBJ provided estimates of daily direct-care nurse staffing levels for registered nurses, licensed practical nurses, and certified nursing assistants. CASPER reported facility-level characteristics such as profit status, chain membership, and special care unit availability. Florida's emergency reporting system identified evacuation status during Hurricane Irma. Linear mixed-effects models were used to estimate the unique contribution of evacuation status on daily staffing increases over time from September 3 to 10. RESULTS: Among all facilities, we found significant increases in staffing for licensed practical nurses (p = 0.02) and certified nursing assistants (p < 0.001), but not for registered nurses (p = 0.10) before Hurricane Irma made landfall. From 1 week before landfall to 2 weeks after landfall (September 3-24), an additional estimated $2.41 million was spent on direct-care nurse staffing. In comparison to facilities that sheltered-in-place, evacuated facilities increased staffing levels of all nurse types (all p < 0.001). At landfall, evacuated facilities spent an estimated $93.74 on nurse staffing per resident whereas facilities that sheltered-in-place spent $76.10 on nurse staffing per resident. CONCLUSION: NHs face unprecedented challenges during hurricanes, including maintaining adequate direct-care nurse staffing levels to meet the needs of their residents. NHs that evacuated residents had an increase in direct-care nurse staffing that was greater than that seen in NHs that sheltered-in-place.