Risk stratification of adults with congenital heart disease during the COVID-19 pandemic: insights from a multinational survey among European experts.

OBJECTIVE: Adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) may be at a higher risk of a fatal outcome in case of COVID-19. Current risk stratification among these patients relies on personal experience and extrapolation from patients with acquired heart disease. We aimed to provide an expert view on risk stratification while awaiting results from observational studies. METHODS: This study was an initiative of the EPOCH (European Collaboration for Prospective Outcome Research in Congenital Heart disease). Among nine European countries (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain and Switzerland), 24 experts from 23 tertiary ACHD centres participated in the survey. ACHD experts were asked to identify ACHD-specific COVID-19 risk factors from a list of potential outcome predictors and to estimate the risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes in seven commonly seen patient scenarios. RESULTS: 82% of participants did not consider all ACHD patients at risk of COVID-19 related complications. There was a consensus on pulmonary arterial hypertension, Fontan physiology and cyanotic heart disease as risk factors for adverse outcomes. Among different ACHD scenarios, a patient with Eisenmenger syndrome was considered to be at the highest risk. There was a marked variability in risk estimation among the other potential outcome predictors and ACHD scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary arterial hypertension, Fontan palliation and cyanotic heart disease were widely considered as risk factors for poor outcome in COVID-19. However, there was a marked disparity in risk estimation for other clinical scenarios. We are in urgent need of outcome studies in ACHD suffering from COVID-19.

Guideline implementation and early risk assessment in pulmonary arterial hypertension associated with congenital heart disease: A retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Current guidelines emphasize that accurate risk stratification is important for patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), however, few suggestions have been specified for PAH associated with congenital heart disease (PAH-CHD). OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to propose an accurate and simple system based on current guidelines for risk stratification in PAH-CHD patients during 12-month follow-up. METHODS: We reviewed 288 Chinese PAH-CHD patients between January 2014 and December 2016 in this retrospective cohort study. The low-risk criteria according to 2015 European Society of Cardiology guidelines and the adverse events (AEs) during follow-up were collected. The association between low-risk criteria and AEs was assessed with Cox regression, and a simplified risk stratification system was proposed. RESULTS: There were 105 PAH-CHD patients included in the final analysis. Twenty-nine patients had AEs defined as death, initiation of new or combined medication treatment, or re-hospitalisation because of the PAH worsening. Among the low-risk criteria, WHO/NYHA functional class, 6-minute walking distance (6MWD), NT-proBNP and SvO2 were significantly different between AE and AE-free groups. However, 6MWD (HR = 0.08, 95% CI: 0.03-0.19, P < 0.001) and NT-proBNP (HR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.16-0.78, P = 0.01) were the only independent predictors of AEs in multivariable model. When taking them into a simplified system for risk stratification, the number of low-risk criteria at diagnosis discriminated the risk of AEs (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Among the low-risk criteria proposed by current guidelines, 6MWD and NT-proBNP predicted AEs independently for PAH-CHD patients. Simplified risk stratification system by taking these two parameters numerically provides accurate prognostic information in PAH-CHD patients.

[Eisenmenger syndrome. Epidemiology and natural history]. / Le syndrome d'Eisenmenger. Epidémiologie et histoire naturelle.

Eisenmenger syndrome is the last-stage of congenital heart diseases with untreated left to right shunt. Tolerance and prognosis are better than with idiopathic pulmonary hypertension. However, patients follow-up is often performed in inappropriate non-specialized care centres which makes the collection of epidemiological data difficult. Consequently, population registries are necessary and would increase knowledge of natural history. Finally, complications are often multiple and unexpected with lack of specialized management. Such patients require expert supervision with a multidisciplinary approach in experienced and specialized centres.