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4.
Crit Care ; 28(1): 154, 2024 05 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38725060

RESUMO

Healthcare systems are large contributors to global emissions, and intensive care units (ICUs) are a complex and resource-intensive component of these systems. Recent global movements in sustainability initiatives, led mostly by Europe and Oceania, have tried to mitigate ICUs' notable environmental impact with varying success. However, there exists a significant gap in the U.S. knowledge and published literature related to sustainability in the ICU. After a narrative review of the literature and related industry standards, we share our experience with a Green ICU initiative at a large hospital system in Texas. Our process has led to a 3-step pathway to inform similar initiatives for sustainable (green) critical care. This pathway involves (1) establishing a baseline by quantifying the status quo carbon footprint of the affected ICU as well as the cumulative footprint of all the ICUs in the healthcare system; (2) forming alliances and partnerships to target each major source of these pollutants and implement specific intervention programs that reduce the ICU-related greenhouse gas emissions and solid waste; and (3) finally to implement a systemwide Green ICU which requires the creation of multiple parallel pathways that marshal the resources at the grass-roots level to engage the ICU staff and institutionalize a mindset that recognizes and respects the impact of ICU functions on our environment. It is expected that such a systems-based multi-stakeholder approach would pave the way for improved sustainability in critical care.


Assuntos
Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/organização & administração , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/tendências , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Cuidados Críticos/tendências , Desenvolvimento Sustentável/tendências , Pegada de Carbono , Hospitais/tendências , Hospitais/normas , Texas
5.
Pediatr Crit Care Med ; 25(5): e239-e245, 2024 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38695703

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To adapt and develop a reliable and easily administered outcome measure of physical and respiratory function in critically ill children in the PICU. DESIGN: Modified Delphi study to adapt the Chelsea Critical Care Physical Assessment (CPAx) tool for use in children 2-18 years old, with subsequent prospective testing in a single-center cohort. SETTING: Single-center tertiary PICU. SUBJECTS: Delphi process in 27 panelists (including physiotherapists, occupational therapists, and pediatric intensivists from seven countries from January 2018 to March 2018). Cohort study in 54 patients admitted to PICU for greater than 24 hours over a 3-month period (April 2018 to June 2018), with median age 5.5 years (interquartile range [IQR], 3-12.75 yr), 33 of 54 male, and 38 of 54 invasively ventilated. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Three Delphi iterations were required to reach greater than or equal to 80% consensus in all the children's CPAx (cCPAx) items. In the subsequent cohort study, six physiotherapists used the cCPAx tool and scored 54 participants, with a total 106 observations. The median cCPAx tool score was 14.50 (IQR, 3-25) out of a possible total of 50. Inter-rater reliability for 30 randomly selected participants was excellent (intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.998). Completion rate of cCPAx in the 54 patients occurred in 78 of 106 occasions (74%). CONCLUSIONS: The cCPAx tool content that was developed using Delphi methodology provided a feasible and clinically relevant tool for use in assessing physical morbidity in PICU patients 2-18 years old. Overall, the cCPAx scores were low, demonstrating low levels of physical function and high levels of immobility during PICU care.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , Técnica Delphi , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Masculino , Adolescente , Criança , Feminino , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Estudos Prospectivos , Estado Terminal/terapia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Exame Físico/métodos , Desempenho Físico Funcional
6.
Circ Heart Fail ; 17(5): e011736, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38587438

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Associations of early changes in vasoactive support with cardiogenic shock (CS) mortality remain incompletely defined. METHODS: The Critical Care Cardiology Trials Network is a multicenter registry of cardiac intensive care units. Patients admitted with CS (2018-2023) had vasoactive dosing assessed at 4 and 24 hours from cardiac intensive care unit admission and quantified by the vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS). Prognostic associations of VIS at both time points, as well as change in VIS from 4 to 24 hours, were examined. Interaction testing was performed based on mechanical circulatory support status. RESULTS: Among 3665 patients, 82% had a change in VIS <10, with 7% and 11% having a ≥10-point increase and decrease from 4 to 24 hours, respectively. The 4 and 24-hour VIS were each associated with cardiac intensive care unit mortality (13%-45% and 11%-73% for VIS <10 to ≥40, respectively; Ptrend <0.0001 for each). Stratifying by the 4-hour VIS, changes in VIS from 4 to 24 hours had a graded association with mortality, ranging from a 2- to >4-fold difference in mortality comparing those with a ≥10-point increase to ≥10-point decrease in VIS (Ptrend <0.0001). The change in VIS alone provided good discrimination of cardiac intensive care unit mortality (C-statistic, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.70-0.75]) and improved discrimination of the 24-hour Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (0.72 [95% CI, 0.69-0.74] to 0.76 [95% CI, 0.74-0.78]) and the clinician-assessed Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions shock stage (0.72 [95% CI, 0.70-0.74] to 0.77 [95% CI, 0.75-0.79]). Although present in both groups, the mortality risk associated with VIS was attenuated in patients managed with versus without mechanical circulatory support (odds ratio per 10-point higher 24-hour VIS, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.23-1.49] versus 1.84 [95% CI, 1.69-2.01]; Pinteraction <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Early changes in the magnitude of vasoactive support in CS are associated with a gradient of risk for mortality. These data suggest that early VIS trajectory may improve CS prognostication, with the potential to be leveraged for clinical decision-making and research applications in CS.


Assuntos
Sistema de Registros , Choque Cardiogênico , Humanos , Choque Cardiogênico/mortalidade , Choque Cardiogênico/terapia , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Fatores de Tempo , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco
7.
Am Surg ; 90(6): 1791-1793, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38509028

RESUMO

Surgical palliative care (PC) facilitates communication between surgeons and patients/family about prognosis, symptom control, and therapeutic goals. Surgical critical care (SCC) fellows are at the forefront of the intensive care team; thus, we aim to assess previous and ongoing experiences in delivering PC by surveying fellows at a large academic center. Seventeen surveys were completed in which 59% of fellows reported no previous PC education. Six fellows (35%) reported participating in goals of care/end-of-life (GOC/EOL) discussions "a few times a year" during residency, while 41% responded the same for transitioning patients to comfort-focused care (CFC). When asked if respondents felt comfortable facilitating GOC/EOL discussions prior to fellowship, 7 (41%) answered "disagree" or "strongly disagree." Most fellows reported that more training in navigating GOC/EOL discussions (88%) and transitioning patients to CFC (76%) is needed. This assessment demonstrates variability in fellows' prior PC exposure and a strong desire for more structured training.


Assuntos
Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Cuidados Críticos , Bolsas de Estudo , Avaliação das Necessidades , Cuidados Paliativos , Humanos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Educação de Pós-Graduação em Medicina/métodos , Internato e Residência , Feminino , Cirurgia Geral/educação , Masculino , Cirurgia de Cuidados Críticos
8.
J Trauma Acute Care Surg ; 96(6): 986-991, 2024 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38439149

RESUMO

ABSTRACT: Acute care surgery (ACS) patients are frequently faced with significant long-term recovery and financial implications that extend far beyond their hospitalization. While major injury and emergency general surgery (EGS) emergencies are often viewed solely as acute moments of crisis, the impact on patients can be lifelong. Financial outcomes after major injury or emergency surgery have only begun to be understood. The Healthcare Economics Committee from the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma previously published a conceptual overview of financial toxicity in ACS, highlighting the association between financial outcomes and long-term physical recovery. The aims of second-phase financial toxicity review by the Healthcare Economics Committee of the American Association for the Surgery of Trauma are to (1) understand the unique impact of financial toxicity on ACS patients; (2) delineate the current limitations surrounding measurement domains of financial toxicity in ACS; (3) explore the "when, what and how" of optimally capturing financial outcomes in ACS; and (4) delineate next steps for integration of these financial metrics in our long-term patient outcomes. As acute care surgeons, our patients' recovery is often contingent on equal parts physical, emotional, and financial recovery. The ACS community has an opportunity to impact long-term patient outcomes and well-being far beyond clinical recovery.


Assuntos
Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Ferimentos e Lesões/cirurgia , Ferimentos e Lesões/economia , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Operatórios/economia , Cuidados Críticos/economia , Cirurgia de Cuidados Críticos
9.
Burns ; 50(4): 813-822, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38503574

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Throughout the world, burn injury is a major cause of death and disability. In resource-limited countries, burn injury is one of the leading causes of permanent disability among children who survive traumatic injuries, and burn injury is the fourth leading cause of disability worldwide. This study applied Andersen's model of health care access to evaluate if patient characteristics (predisposing factors), burn care service availability (enabling factors) and injury characteristics (need) are associated with physical impairment at hospital discharge for patients surviving burn injuries globally. Specifically, access to rehabilitation, nutrition, operating theatre, specialized burn unit services, and critical care were investigated as enabling factors. The secondary aim was to determine whether associations between burn care service availability and impairment differed by country income level. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from the World Health Organization, Global Burn Registry. The outcome of interest was physical impairment at discharge. Simple and multivariable logistic regressions were used to test the unadjusted and adjusted associations between the availability of burn care services and impairment at hospital discharge, controlling for patient and injury characteristics. Effect modification was analyzed with service by country income level interaction terms added to the models and, if significant, the models were stratified by income. RESULTS: The sample included 6622 patients from 20 countries, with 11.2% classified with physical impairment at discharge. In the fully adjusted model, patients had 89% lower odds impairment at discharge if the treatment facility provided reliable rehabilitation services compared to providing limited or no rehabilitation services (OR.11, 95%CI.08,.16, p < .01). However, this effect was modified by county income with the strong and significant association only present in high/upper middle-income countries. Sophisticated nutritional services were also significantly associated with less impairment in high/upper middle-income countries (OR=.04, 95% CI 0.203, 0.05, p < .01), but significantly more impairment in lower middle/low-income countries (OR=2.01, 95% CI 1.50, 2.69, p < .01). Patients had 444% greater odds of impairment if treated at a center with specialty burn unit services (OR 5.44, 95%CI 3.71, 7.99, p < .01), possibly due to a selection effect. DISCUSSION: Access to reliable rehabilitation services and sophisticated nutritional services were strongly associated with less physical impairment at discharge, but only in resource-rich countries. Although these findings support the importance of rehabilitation and nutrition after burn injury, they also highlight potential disparities in the quantity or quality of services available to burn survivors in poorer countries.


Assuntos
Unidades de Queimados , Queimaduras , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Alta do Paciente , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Queimaduras/reabilitação , Queimaduras/terapia , Masculino , Feminino , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Unidades de Queimados/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adolescente , Estudos Transversais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Adulto Jovem , Lactente , Cuidados Críticos/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Global , Modelos Logísticos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Renda/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoas com Deficiência/reabilitação
10.
JAMA Netw Open ; 7(3): e241958, 2024 Mar 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38470416

RESUMO

Importance: COVID-19 prompted rapid development of scarce resource allocation (SRA) policies to be implemented if demand eclipsed health systems' ability to provide critical care. While SRA policies follow general ethical frameworks, understanding priorities of those affected by policies and/or tasked with implementing them is critical. Objective: To evaluate whether community members and health care profesionals (HCP) agree with SRA protocols at the University of California (UC). Design, Setting, and Participants: This survey study used social media and community-partnered engagement to recruit participants to a web-based survey open to all participants aged older than 18 years who wished to enroll. This study was fielded between May and September 2020 and queried participants' values and preferences on draft SRA policy tenets. Participants were also encouraged to forward the survey to their networks for snowball sampling. Data were analyzed from July 2020 to January 2024. Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey items assessed values and preferences, graded on Likert scales. Agreement was tabulated as difference in Likert points between expressed opinion and policy tenets. Descriptive statistics were tested for significance by HCP status. Free text responses were analyzed using applied rapid qualitative analysis. Results: A total of 1545 participants aged older than 18 years (mean [SD] age 49 [16] years; 1149 female participants [74%], 478 health care practitioners [30%]) provided data on SRA values and preferences. Agreement with UC SRA policy as drafted was moderately high among respondents, ranging from 67% to 83% across domains. Higher agreement with the interim policy was observed for laypersons across all domains except health-related factors. HCPs agreed more strongly on average that resources should not be allocated to those less likely to survive (HCP mean, 3.70; 95% CI, 3.16-3.59; vs layperson mean, 3.38; 95% CI, 3.17-3.59; P = .002), and were more in favor of reallocating life support from patients less likely to those more likely to survive (HCP mean, 6.41; 95% CI, 6.15-6.67; vs layperson mean, 5.40; 95% CI, 5.23-5.58; P < .001). Transparency and trust building themes were common in free text responses and highly rated on scaled items. Conclusions and Relevance: This survey of SRA policy values found moderate agreement with fundamental principles of such policies. Engagement with communities affected by SRA policy should continue in iterative refinement in preparation for future crises.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Cuidados Críticos , Instalações de Saúde , Alocação de Recursos
11.
Spectrochim Acta A Mol Biomol Spectrosc ; 313: 124115, 2024 May 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38484641

RESUMO

In this study, five earth-friendly spectrophotometric methods using multivariate techniques were developed to analyze levofloxacin, linezolid, and meropenem, which are utilized in critical care units as combination therapies. These techniques were used to determine the mentioned medications in laboratory-prepared mixtures, pharmaceutical products and spiked human plasma that had not been separated before handling. These methods were named classical least squares (CLS), principal component regression (PCR), partial least squares (PLS), genetic algorithm partial least squares (GA-PLS), and artificial neural network (ANN). The methods used a five-level, three-factor experimental design to make different concentrations of the antibiotics mentioned (based on how much of them are found in the plasma of critical care patients and their linearity ranges). The approaches used for levofloxacin, linezolid, and meropenem were in the ranges of 3-15, 8-20, and 5-25 µg/mL, respectively. Several analytical tools were used to test the proposed methods' performance. These included the root mean square error of prediction, the root mean square error of cross-validation, percentage recoveries, standard deviations, and correlation coefficients. The outcome was highly satisfactory. The study found that the root mean square errors of prediction for levofloxacin were 0.090, 0.079, 0.065, 0.027, and 0.001 for the CLS, PCR, PLS, GA-PLS, and ANN models, respectively. The corresponding values for linezolid were 0.127, 0.122, 0.108, 0.05, and 0.114, respectively. For meropenem, the values were 0.230, 0.222, 0.179, 0.097, and 0.099 for the same models, respectively. These results indicate that the developed models were highly accurate and precise. This study compared the efficiency of artificial neural networks and classical chemometric models in enhancing spectral data selectivity for quickly identifying three antimicrobials. The results from these five models were subjected to statistical analysis and compared with each other and with the previously published ones. Finally, the whiteness of the methods was assessed by the recently published white analytical chemistry (WAC) RGB 12, and the greenness of the proposed methods was assessed using AGREE, GAPI, NEMI, Raynie and Driver, and eco-scale, which showed that the suggested approaches had the least negative environmental impact. Furthermore, to demonstrate solvent sustainability, a greenness index using a spider chart methodology was employed.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos , Anti-Infecciosos , Humanos , Linezolida , Meropeném , Levofloxacino , Espectrofotometria/métodos , Cuidados Críticos , Análise dos Mínimos Quadrados
12.
Crit Care Med ; 52(6): 951-962, 2024 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38407240

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Accurate glomerular filtration rate (GFR) assessment is essential in critically ill patients. GFR is often estimated using creatinine-based equations, which require surrogates for muscle mass such as age and sex. Race has also been included in GFR equations, based on the assumption that Black individuals have genetically determined higher muscle mass. However, race-based GFR estimation has been questioned with the recognition that race is a poor surrogate for genetic ancestry, and racial health disparities are driven largely by socioeconomic factors. The American Society of Nephrology and the National Kidney Foundation (ASN/NKF) recommend widespread adoption of new "race-free" creatinine equations, and increased use of cystatin C as a race-agnostic GFR biomarker. DATA SOURCES: Literature review and expert consensus. STUDY SELECTION: English language publications evaluating GFR assessment and racial disparities. DATA EXTRACTION: We provide an overview of the ASN/NKF recommendations. We then apply an Implementation science methodology to identify facilitators and barriers to implementation of the ASN/NKF recommendations into critical care settings and identify evidence-based implementation strategies. Last, we highlight research priorities for advancing GFR estimation in critically ill patients. DATA SYNTHESIS: Implementation of the new creatinine-based GFR equation is facilitated by low cost and relative ease of incorporation into electronic health records. The key barrier to implementation is a lack of direct evidence in critically ill patients. Additional barriers to implementing cystatin C-based GFR estimation include higher cost and lack of test availability in most laboratories. Further, cystatin C concentrations are influenced by inflammation, which complicates interpretation. CONCLUSIONS: The lack of direct evidence in critically ill patients is a key barrier to broad implementation of newly developed "race-free" GFR equations. Additional research evaluating GFR equations in critically ill patients and novel approaches to dynamic kidney function estimation is required to advance equitable GFR assessment in this vulnerable population.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , Cistatina C , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Cistatina C/sangue , Cuidados Críticos/métodos , Creatinina/sangue , Testes de Função Renal/métodos , Testes de Função Renal/normas , Biomarcadores/sangue , Estado Terminal
13.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1305686, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38384882

RESUMO

Background: Quality of work life (QWL) refers to the degree to which employees contribute to the organization's goals while also experiencing personal and professional satisfaction. This study conducted to evaluate the quality of nursing work life (QNWL) level and its associated factors among nurses working in critical care units. Methods: A convenience sample technique among critical care nurses in Jordan by using a cross-sectional, descriptive design. A self-reported questionnaire was used. A Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), and the Andersson and Lindgren questionnaires scale were used in data collection. Results: The total mean scores of QNWL were M = 86.17 (SD = 35.12), which is slightly below the expected middle value (87.5). The nurses have a higher psychological relation, M = 18.28 (SD = 8.99), whereas they have the lowest competence development, M = 11.44 (SD = 5.56). There was statistical significance between workplace noise, and workplace sources of noise, quality of sleep and QNWL. Conclusion: The outcomes also highlighted the significance of undertaking additional interventional research studies in the future in order to identify practical strategies to improve nurses QNWL. As a result, the nursing care given to the patients and their families may be improved.


Assuntos
Sono , Local de Trabalho , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Inquéritos e Questionários , Cuidados Críticos
14.
Pediatrics ; 153(Suppl 2)2024 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38300003

RESUMO

This article, focused on the current and future pediatric critical care medicine (PCCM) workforce, is part of a supplement in Pediatrics anticipating the future supply of the pediatric subspecialty workforce. It draws on information available in the literature, data from the American Board of Pediatrics, and findings from a model that estimates the future supply of pediatric subspecialists developed by the American Board of Pediatrics Foundation in collaboration with the Carolina Workforce Research Center at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill's Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health Services Research and Strategic Modeling and Analysis Ltd. A brief history of the field of PCCM is provided, followed by an in-depth examination of the current PCCM workforce and a subsequent evaluation of workforce forecasts from 2020 to 2040. Under baseline conditions, the PCCM workforce is expected to increase by 105% during the forecasted period, more than any other pediatric subspecialty. Forecasts are modeled under a variety of multifactorial conditions meant to simulate the effects of changes to the supply of PCCM subspecialists, with only modest changes observed. Future PCCM workforce demand is unclear, although some suggest an oversupply may exist and that market forces may correct this. The findings generate important questions regarding the future state of the PCCM workforce and should be used to guide trainees considering a PCCM career, subspecialty leaders responsible for hosting training programs, staffing ICUs, and governing bodies that oversee training program accreditation and subspecialist certification.


Assuntos
Acreditação , Saúde da Criança , Humanos , Criança , Certificação , Recursos Humanos , Cuidados Críticos
15.
Ren Fail ; 46(1): 2313171, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38345000

RESUMO

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a prevalent and serious condition in the intensive care unit (ICU), associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Septic acute kidney injury (SAKI) contributes substantially to AKI cases in the ICU. However, current diagnostic methods have limitations, necessitating the exploration of novel biomarkers. In this study, we investigated the potential of plasma and urine CCL2 levels as diagnostic markers for AKI and SAKI in 216 ICU patients. Our findings revealed significant differences in plasma (p < 0.01) and urine CCL2 (p < 0.0001) levels between AKI and non-AKI patients in the ICU. Notably, urine CCL2 demonstrated promising predictive value for AKI, exhibiting high specificity and sensitivity (AUC = 0.8976; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, we observed higher urine CCL2 levels in SAKI compared to non-septic AKI (p < 0.001) and urine CCL2 could also differentiate SAKI from non-septic AKI (AUC = 0.7597; p < 0.0001). These results suggest that urine CCL2 levels hold promise as early biomarkers for AKI and SAKI, offering valuable insights for timely intervention and improved management of ICU patients.


Assuntos
Injúria Renal Aguda , Sepse , Humanos , Sepse/diagnóstico , Sepse/complicações , Biomarcadores , Cuidados Críticos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Quimiocina CCL2
16.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38404264

RESUMO

Monitoring is more common in today's clinical practice, especially in critical care medicine. Any confusion between monitoring and diagnosis will mislead clinical behavior which could be disastrous. A monitoring parameter usually focuses on a specific physiological point and represents the immediate situation of the point with quantitative values. A series of numerical value of monitoring parameters indicate physiological change or a disease process. If the clinical intervention targeted at the point, the numerical value represents the strength and the direction of the intervention. However, monitoring itself is not a therapeutical method. Only when medical personnel understand the characteristics of the parameters totally and use them to guide feedback management, and then to constitute accurate implementation of intervention methods, monitoring is worth to practise, and it is of clinical significance.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , Humanos
18.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 824, 2024 01 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38263373

RESUMO

Patients receiving Medicaid often experience social risk factors for poor health and limited access to primary care, leading to high utilization of emergency departments and hospitals (acute care) for non-emergent conditions. As programs proactively outreach Medicaid patients to offer primary care, they rely on risk models historically limited by poor-quality data. Following initiatives to improve data quality and collect data on social risk, we tested alternative widely-debated strategies to improve Medicaid risk models. Among a sample of 10 million patients receiving Medicaid from 26 states and Washington DC, the best-performing model tripled the probability of prospectively identifying at-risk patients versus a standard model (sensitivity 11.3% [95% CI 10.5, 12.1%] vs 3.4% [95% CI 3.0, 4.0%]), without increasing "false positives" that reduce efficiency of outreach (specificity 99.8% [95% CI 99.6, 99.9%] vs 99.5% [95% CI 99.4, 99.7%]), and with a ~ tenfold improved coefficient of determination when predicting costs (R2: 0.195-0.412 among population subgroups vs 0.022-0.050). Our best-performing model also reversed the lower sensitivity of risk prediction for Black versus White patients, a bias present in the standard cost-based model. Our results demonstrate a modeling approach to substantially improve risk prediction performance and equity for patients receiving Medicaid.


Assuntos
Cuidados Críticos , Medicaid , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Confiabilidade dos Dados , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Hospitais
19.
Ann Am Thorac Soc ; 21(5): 774-781, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38294224

RESUMO

Rationale: Intermediate care (also termed "step-down" or "moderate care") has been proposed as a lower cost alternative to care for patients who may not clearly benefit from intensive care unit admission. Intermediate care units may be appealing to hospitals in financial crisis, including those in rural areas. Outcomes of patients receiving intermediate care are not widely described. Objectives: To examine relationships among rurality, location of care, and mortality for mechanically ventilated patients. Methods: Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years and older who received invasive mechanical ventilation between 2010 and 2019 were included. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between admission to a rural or an urban hospital and 30-day mortality, with separate analyses for patients in general, intermediate, and intensive care. Models were adjusted for age, sex, area deprivation index, primary diagnosis, severity of illness, year, comorbidities, and hospital volume. Results: There were 2,752,492 hospitalizations for patients receiving mechanical ventilation from 2010 to 2019, and 193,745 patients (7.0%) were in rural hospitals. The proportion of patients in rural intermediate care increased from 4.1% in 2010 to 6.3% in 2019. Patient admissions to urban hospitals remained relatively stable. Patients in rural and urban intensive care units had similar adjusted 30-day mortality, at 46.7% (adjusted absolute risk difference -0.1% [95% confidence interval, -0.7% to 0.6%]; P = 0.88). However, adjusted 30-day mortality for patients in rural intermediate care was significantly higher (36.9%) than for patients in urban intermediate care (31.3%) (adjusted absolute risk difference 5.6% [95% confidence interval, 3.7% to 7.6%]; P < 0.001). Conclusions: Hospitalization in rural intermediate care was associated with increased mortality. There is a need to better understand how intermediate care is used across hospitals and to carefully evaluate the types of patients admitted to intermediate care units.


Assuntos
Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Medicare , Respiração Artificial , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Idoso , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Medicare/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade Hospitalar/tendências , Hospitais Urbanos/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitais Rurais/estatística & dados numéricos , Cuidados Críticos/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Logísticos , Instituições para Cuidados Intermediários/estatística & dados numéricos
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