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1.
Am J Clin Nutr ; 112(3): 721-769, 2020 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32687145

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The US faces remarkable food and nutrition challenges. A new federal effort to strengthen and coordinate nutrition research could rapidly generate the evidence base needed to address these multiple national challenges. However, the relevant characteristics of such an effort have been uncertain. OBJECTIVES: Our aim was to provide an objective, informative summary of 1) the mounting diet-related health burdens facing our nation and corresponding economic, health equity, national security, and sustainability implications; 2) the current federal nutrition research landscape and existing mechanisms for its coordination; 3) the opportunities for and potential impact of new fundamental, clinical, public health, food and agricultural, and translational scientific discoveries; and 4) the various options for further strengthening and coordinating federal nutrition research, including corresponding advantages, disadvantages, and potential executive and legislative considerations. METHODS: We reviewed government and other published documents on federal nutrition research; held various discussions with expert groups, advocacy organizations, and scientific societies; and held in-person or phone meetings with >50 federal staff in executive and legislative roles, as well as with a variety of other stakeholders in academic, industry, and nongovernment organizations. RESULTS: Stark national nutrition challenges were identified. More Americans are sick than are healthy, largely from rising diet-related illnesses. These conditions create tremendous strains on productivity, health care costs, health disparities, government budgets, US economic competitiveness, and military readiness. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has further laid bare these strains, including food insecurity, major diet-related comorbidities for poor outcomes from COVID-19 such as diabetes, hypertension, and obesity, and insufficient surveillance on and coordination of our food system. More than 10 federal departments and agencies currently invest in critical nutrition research, yet with relatively flat investments over several decades. Coordination also remains suboptimal, documented by multiple governmental reports over 50 years. Greater harmonization and expansion of federal investment in nutrition science, not a silo-ing or rearrangement of existing investments, has tremendous potential to generate new discoveries to improve and sustain the health of all Americans. Two identified key strategies to achieve this were as follows: 1) a new authority for robust cross-governmental coordination of nutrition research and other nutrition-related policy and 2) strengthened authority, investment, and coordination for nutrition research within the NIH. These strategies were found to be complementary, together catalyzing important new science, partnerships, coordination, and returns on investment. Additional complementary actions to accelerate federal nutrition research were identified at the USDA. CONCLUSIONS: The need and opportunities for strengthened federal nutrition research are clear, with specific identified options to help create the new leadership, strategic planning, coordination, and investment the nation requires to address the multiple nutrition-related challenges and grasp the opportunities before us.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/complicações , Distúrbios Nutricionais/complicações , Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição , Pneumonia Viral/complicações , Pesquisa/normas , COVID-19 , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/economia , Humanos , Militares , National Institutes of Health (U.S.)/economia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/economia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Department of Agriculture/economia , United States Dept. of Health and Human Services/economia
3.
Adv Nutr ; 11(2): 387-397, 2020 03 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31079142

RESUMO

Food environment research is increasingly gaining prominence in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, in the absence of a systematic review of the literature, little is known about the emerging body of evidence from these settings. This systematic scoping review aims to address this gap. A systematic search of 6 databases was conducted in December 2017 and retrieved 920 records. In total, 70 peer-reviewed articles met the eligibility criteria and were included. Collectively, articles spanned 22 LMICs, including upper-middle-income countries (n = 49, 70%) and lower-middle-income countries (n = 18, 26%). No articles included low-income countries. Articles featured quantitative (n = 45, 64%), qualitative (n = 17, 24%), and mixed-method designs (n = 11, 8%). Studies analyzed the food environment at national, community, school, and household scales. Twenty-three articles (55%) assessed associations between food environment exposures and outcomes of interest, including diets (n = 14), nutrition status (n = 13), and health (n = 1). Food availability was associated with dietary outcomes at the community and school scales across multiple LMICs, although associations varied by vendor type. Evidence regarding associations between the food environment and nutrition and health outcomes was inconclusive. The paucity of evidence from high-quality studies is a severe limitation, highlighting the critical need for improved study designs and standardized methods and metrics. Future food environment research must address low-income and lower-middle-income countries, and include the full spectrum of dietary, nutrition, and health outcomes. Improving the quality of food environment research will be critical to the design of feasible, appropriate, and effective interventions to improve public health nutrition in LMICs.


Assuntos
Dieta , Meio Ambiente , Abastecimento de Alimentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Nível de Saúde , Estado Nutricional , Pobreza , Países em Desenvolvimento , Dieta Saudável/estatística & dados numéricos , Abastecimento de Alimentos/economia , Humanos , Renda , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Instituições Acadêmicas
4.
Rev Paul Pediatr ; 38: e2018184, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês, Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31778414

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To identify the prevalence and factors associated with inadequate milk consumption among adolescents. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study based on secondary data from the National School Health Survey (2012), a Brazilian survey carried out using a self-administered questionnaire in a representative sample of 9th-grade students from public and private schools. The frequency of milk intake and its association with socio-demographic characteristics, food consumption and physical activity were estimated. A descriptive and inferential analysis of factors associated with inadequate milk consumption (no consumption at least one of the seven days of the week) was performed. A multiple logistic model was adjusted to control confounders. RESULTS: The sample included 108,828 adolescents and inadequate milk consumption ocurred in 58.9%. The final model included nine variables independently associated with inadequate milk intake: breakfast frequency less than 4 days per week (odds ratio [OR]=2.40; p<0.001), unprocessed or minimally processed foods intake less than 5 days per week (OR=1.93; p<0.001), living in the northeast region (OR=1.39; p<0.001), less maternal schooling (OR=1.35; p<0.001), physical inactivity (OR=1.33; p<0.001), attending public school (OR=1.26; p<0.001), not being white (OR=1.14; p<0.001), being older than 14 years old (OR=1.13; p<0.001) and having a habit of eating meals while watching TV or studying (OR=1.04; p=0.036). CONCLUSIONS: Inadequate milk consumption is prevalent among Brazilian adolescents. The identification of associated factors suggests the need to develop nutritional guidance strategies for the prevention of diseases that result from low calcium intake.


Assuntos
Economia/estatística & dados numéricos , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Leite/provisão & distribuição , Distúrbios Nutricionais/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Animais , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Ingestão de Alimentos , Economia/tendências , Comportamento Alimentar/etnologia , Comportamento Alimentar/psicologia , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Masculino , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/etnologia , Instituições Acadêmicas/tendências , Comportamento Sedentário , Estudantes/estatística & dados numéricos
5.
Rev. Paul. Pediatr. (Ed. Port., Online) ; 38: e2018184, 2020. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês, Português | LILACS, Sec. Est. Saúde SP | ID: biblio-1136709

RESUMO

ABSTRACT Objective: To identify the prevalence and factors associated with inadequate milk consumption among adolescents. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study based on secondary data from the National School Health Survey (2012), a Brazilian survey carried out using a self-administered questionnaire in a representative sample of 9th-grade students from public and private schools. The frequency of milk intake and its association with socio-demographic characteristics, food consumption and physical activity were estimated. A descriptive and inferential analysis of factors associated with inadequate milk consumption (no consumption at least one of the seven days of the week) was performed. A multiple logistic model was adjusted to control confounders. Results: The sample included 108,828 adolescents and inadequate milk consumption ocurred in 58.9%. The final model included nine variables independently associated with inadequate milk intake: breakfast frequency less than 4 days per week (odds ratio [OR]=2.40; p<0.001), unprocessed or minimally processed foods intake less than 5 days per week (OR=1.93; p<0.001), living in the northeast region (OR=1.39; p<0.001), less maternal schooling (OR=1.35; p<0.001), physical inactivity (OR=1.33; p<0.001), attending public school (OR=1.26; p<0.001), not being white (OR=1.14; p<0.001), being older than 14 years old (OR=1.13; p<0.001) and having a habit of eating meals while watching TV or studying (OR=1.04; p=0.036). Conclusions: Inadequate milk consumption is prevalent among Brazilian adolescents. The identification of associated factors suggests the need to develop nutritional guidance strategies for the prevention of diseases that result from low calcium intake.


RESUMO Objetivo: Identificar a prevalência e os fatores associados ao consumo inadequado de leite em adolescentes. Métodos: Estudo transversal com base em dados secundários da Pesquisa Nacional de Saúde do Escolar (PeNSE; 2012), inquérito brasileiro realizado por meio de questionário autoaplicável em amostra representativa de alunos do nono ano do ensino fundamental de escolas públicas e privadas. Estimou-se a frequência da ingestão de leite e sua associação com características sociodemográficas, consumo alimentar e prática de atividade física. Foi realizada análise descritiva e inferencial dos fatores associados ao consumo inadequado de leite (ausência em pelo menos um dos sete dias da semana). Um modelo logístico múltiplo foi ajustado para controle das variáveis de confusão. Resultados: A amostra incluiu 108.828 adolescentes e o consumo inadequado de leite foi de 58,9%. O modelo final incluiu 9 variáveis independentemente associadas à ingestão inadequada de leite: frequência de desjejum inferior a 4 dias semanais (odds ratio [OR]=2,40; p<0,001), consumo de alimentos in natura e minimamente processados inferior a 5 dias semanais (OR=1,93; p<0,001), residir na Região Nordeste (OR=1,39; p<0,001), menor escolaridade materna (OR=1,35; p<0,001), inatividade física (OR=1,33; p<0,001), frequentar escola pública (OR=1,26; p<0,001), não ser da raça branca (OR=1,14; p<0,001), ter idade superior a 14 anos (OR=1,13; p<0,001) e possuir o hábito de realizar as refeições assistindo à TV ou estudando (OR=1,04; p=0,036). Conclusões: O consumo inadequado de leite é frequente entre adolescentes brasileiros. A identificação de fatores associados sugere a necessidade do desenvolvimento de estratégias de orientação nutricional para a prevenção de doenças resultantes da baixa ingestão de cálcio.


Assuntos
Humanos , Animais , Masculino , Feminino , Adolescente , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Leite/provisão & distribuição , Economia/estatística & dados numéricos , Distúrbios Nutricionais/prevenção & controle , Instituições Acadêmicas/tendências , Estudantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Ingestão de Alimentos , Economia/tendências , Comportamento Alimentar/etnologia , Comportamento Alimentar/psicologia , Comportamento Sedentário , Distúrbios Nutricionais/etnologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia
6.
BMC Public Health ; 19(1): 1685, 2019 Dec 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31842826

RESUMO

The purpose of this correspondence is to express our disappointment with the coverage of the BMC Public Health supplement: Vol 19 (4) titled "Health and Nutritional Issues Among Low Income Population in Malaysia", which neglected to include the fundamental health and nutrition issues that are adversely affecting the lives and livelihood of the indigenous peoples. The Supplement comprised 21 papers. Two of these papers included indigenous peoples as study subjects. These two papers addressed peripheral, albeit important health issues, namely visual impairment and quality of life, and not the persistent and rising health concerns impacting this population. We will provide evidence from research and reports to justify our critique that the Supplement missed the opportunity to spotlight on the serious extent of the health and nutritional deprivations of the indigenous peoples of Malaysia. As researchers of the indigenous peoples, we ought to lend our voice to the "silenced minority" by highlighting their plight in the media including scientific journals.


Assuntos
Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Povos Indígenas/estatística & dados numéricos , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Relatório de Pesquisa/normas , Humanos , Malásia/epidemiologia
8.
J Health Popul Nutr ; 38(1): 27, 2019 10 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31627763

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Insufficient nutrition intake has negatively influenced the health of the elderly in rural China where the problem of population aging is serious. The present study aims to explore whether the medical system, called the New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS), can improve the rural elderly's nutrition intake and the mechanism behind it. METHODS: The difference in differences (DID) model and the propensity score matching-difference in differences (PSM-DID) model are both performed to investigate the impact of the medical system on nutrition improvement for the rural elderly. Two thousand seven hundred eighty rural elderly samples tracked in 2000 and 2006 from the China Health and Nutrition Survey are analyzed. Indices for the elderly's nutrition intake includes daily average intake of energy, fat, protein, and carbohydrate. RESULTS: The results show that participation in the NRCMS can significantly increase the rural elderly's total energy intake, carbohydrate intake, and protein intake by 206.688 kcal, 36.379 g, and 6.979 g, respectively. A more significant impact of the NRCMS on nutrition intake is observed in the central and near-western where economic development is lagging behind. Also, compared to people of 18-60 age group, such impact is statistically more significant in the elderly for the carbohydrate intake. CONCLUSIONS: The NRCMS can improve the rural elderly's nutrition intake in China. As the population ages rapidly in rural China, the present study provides recommendations on how to improve nutrition and health status of the elderly from the aspect of the medical system.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde para Idosos/estatística & dados numéricos , Distúrbios Nutricionais/terapia , Terapia Nutricional/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Saúde Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , China/epidemiologia , Fenômenos Fisiológicos da Nutrição do Idoso , Ingestão de Energia , Feminino , Avaliação Geriátrica , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Terapia Nutricional/métodos , Estado Nutricional , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Pontuação de Propensão
9.
BMC Public Health ; 19(Suppl 4): 552, 2019 Jun 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31196021

RESUMO

The current issue of BMC Public Health presents work by the Consortium of Low Income Population Research (CB40R), highlighting a comprehensive aspect of health, i.e., physical health, mental health, health behaviour and health financing; and also nutrition involving all stages of lifespan of the socioeconomic deprived group in Malaysia.Consortium of B40 Research (CB40R) reposited and harmonised shared, non-identifiable data from epidemiological studies involving low income population (B40) in Malaysia. CB40R also performed joint or mega-analyses using combined, harmonised data sets that yield collated results with enhanced statistical power, more variabilities (study population, geographical regions, ethnicities and sociocultural groups) to better understand the needs, characteristics and issues of B40 groups in Malaysia. It also aimed to develope a system/framework of minimum/standard variables to be collected in research involving B40 in future. For this special issues, members of the consortium have been invited to contribute an original article involving analysis of the health aspects, access to health and nutritional issues of the B40 samples.All the papers in this special issue have successfully highlighted the health and nutritional issues (i.e., non-communicable disease (NCD), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), knowledge towards sexually transmitted disease (STD), low birth weight, Motoric Cognitive Risk (MCR) syndrome, urinary incontinence), mental health, oral health and inequalities among the low-income group in Malaysia, including the rural population and also the urban poor. The low-income population in Malaysia is also at risk of both under- and over nutrition, of which specific cost effective strategies are indeed needed to improve their quality of life.The low income population in Malaysia is facing various health challenges, particularly related to NCD and poor mental health, nutritional and physical function. There is a need for a sustainable intervention model to tackle the issues. It is also important to highlight that reducing SES disparities in health will require policy initiatives addressing the components of socioeconomic status (income, education, and occupation) as well as the pathways by which these affect health.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/tendências , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde/tendências , Pobreza , Feminino , Financiamento da Assistência à Saúde , Humanos , Malásia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Qualidade de Vida , População Rural/tendências , Classe Social
10.
Endocrinol Diabetes Nutr (Engl Ed) ; 66(7): 425-433, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30509881

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To elaborate a diagnosis of the situation regarding the assistance in the Services and Units of Endocrinology and Nutrition (S°EyN) of the National Health System of Spain (SNHS) and to develop, based on the results obtained, proposals for improvement policies in the S°EyN. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Cross-sectional descriptive study of the patients treated in the S°EyN departments of acute general hospitals of the SNHS in 2016. Data were obtained through RECALSEEN 2017, an "ad hoc" survey designed specifically for this purpose, and the Minimum Basic Data Set of discharges given by the S°EN of the SNHS (2015). RESULTS: 88 responses of S°EyN have been obtained forma total of 125 acute general hospitals of more than 200 beds installed in the SNHS (70% answers). 47% of the S°EyN respondents were services and 31% sections. The average of endocrinologists by S°EyN was 7.4±4.4, and the average rate of endocrinologists per 100,000 inhabitants was 2.3±1. The most relevant care activities were the consultation (average of 12.3 first consultations per thousand inhabitants and year), day hospital (median of 2,000 sessions/year) and in-hospital consultations (median of 900 in-hospital consultations/year). 83% of S°EyNhad a Clinical Nutrition Unit. The number of dietitians, nutrition technicians and nutritionists in the Clinical Nutrition Unit was low. In relation to quality management, a large margin for improvement was detected; only 35% of S°EyN had a responsible of quality and 38% had implemented process management for those most frequent processes in the unit. There were notable differences in structure, resources and activity of S°EyN between Autonomous Communities. CONCLUSIONS: RECALSEEN 2017 survey is a useful tool for the analysis of S°EyN. The remarkable variability found in the structure, activity and management indicators probably indicates significant differences and, therefore, a wide margin for improvement.


Assuntos
Endocrinologia/organização & administração , Pesquisas sobre Atenção à Saúde , Unidades Hospitalares , Hospitais Gerais/organização & administração , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/organização & administração , Ciências da Nutrição/organização & administração , Assistência ao Paciente , Estudos Transversais , Grupos Diagnósticos Relacionados , Doenças do Sistema Endócrino/epidemiologia , Doenças do Sistema Endócrino/terapia , Mão de Obra em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Número de Leitos em Hospital , Hospitais Gerais/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Comunicação Interdisciplinar , Colaboração Intersetorial , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/terapia , Assistência ao Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Melhoria de Qualidade , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Pesquisa , Espanha
11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30587791

RESUMO

Proper nutrition is a key element in maintaining normal body weight in children and one of the most important factors influencing their optimum development, growth, and health in the future. The aim of this cross-sectional study was to identify environmental factors which affect health behaviors of children aged 7⁻14, contributing to the occurrence of diet-related diseases. The study was performed with participation of 892 school children. The investigated environmental factors were as follows: the place of residence, maternal education level, and the level of family income. A questionnaire was used to collect the data from mothers. The study indicated a prevalence of overweight and obesity among children of 13.9% and 1.2%, respectively. Being underweight applied to 20.0% of examined children, more often to girls. In terms of nutritional behaviors an insufficient consumption of vegetables, fruit, whole grain products, dairy products, and fish was observed. The frequency of vegetable and fruit consumption significantly decreased with an increase in child's body mass index (BMI) (G = -0.110, p < 0.05 and G = -00.114, p < 0.05). Overall, 29.7% of children devoted less than 30 minutes a day to physical activity, besides the physical education classes at school. Boys were more often physically active than girls (G = 0.205, p < 0.0005). There was a positive correlation between frequency of vegetable (G = 0.167, p < 0.0005) and fruit (G = 0.155, p < 0.005) consumption and mothers' education level. Girls ate fruit more frequently than boys (G = 0.116, p < 0.05). Higher family income was associated with more frequent whole grain consumption (G = 0.095, p < 0.05), while living in the city was negatively correlated with activity (G = -0.121, p < 0.05) and dairy consumption (G = -0.186, p < 0.005). Continuous investigation of environmental factors affecting children eating behaviors may help to bring benefits in increasing the effectiveness of health promotion and educational programs.


Assuntos
Saúde da Criança , Comportamento Alimentar , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adolescente , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Mães/educação , Polônia/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
12.
PLoS One ; 13(10): e0205163, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30281659

RESUMO

To examine trends in the prevalence of wasting, stunting, overweight, and obesity among children in Luoding, a lower-middle-income city in southern China, we collected height, weight and other information on 65,908 pre-school children aged 2 to 7 years from 23 kindergartens, in which health examinations were conducted annually between 2004 and 2013. We used the growth standards of the World Health Organization (WHO) to calculate Z-scores for height and body mass index (BMI), and used the cut-offs recommended by WHO to define wasting, stunting, overweight, and obesity for each child. From 2004 to 2013, the prevalence of overweight increased from 3.70% to 7.27% and of obesity increased from 1.04% to 2.08%. Meanwhile, the prevalence of wasting decreased from 0.91% to 0.72% and of stunting decreased from 9.29% to 5.22%. These trends suggest there was still a double burden of nutritional status there. The nutritional interventions focusing on pre-school children should be comprehensively elaborated in lower-middle-income areas such as Luoding.


Assuntos
Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Estado Nutricional , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Cidades , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalência , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Fatores de Tempo
13.
Lancet ; 392(10159): 2052-2090, 2018 11 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30340847

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Understanding potential trajectories in health and drivers of health is crucial to guiding long-term investments and policy implementation. Past work on forecasting has provided an incomplete landscape of future health scenarios, highlighting a need for a more robust modelling platform from which policy options and potential health trajectories can be assessed. This study provides a novel approach to modelling life expectancy, all-cause mortality and cause of death forecasts -and alternative future scenarios-for 250 causes of death from 2016 to 2040 in 195 countries and territories. METHODS: We modelled 250 causes and cause groups organised by the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) hierarchical cause structure, using GBD 2016 estimates from 1990-2016, to generate predictions for 2017-40. Our modelling framework used data from the GBD 2016 study to systematically account for the relationships between risk factors and health outcomes for 79 independent drivers of health. We developed a three-component model of cause-specific mortality: a component due to changes in risk factors and select interventions; the underlying mortality rate for each cause that is a function of income per capita, educational attainment, and total fertility rate under 25 years and time; and an autoregressive integrated moving average model for unexplained changes correlated with time. We assessed the performance by fitting models with data from 1990-2006 and using these to forecast for 2007-16. Our final model used for generating forecasts and alternative scenarios was fitted to data from 1990-2016. We used this model for 195 countries and territories to generate a reference scenario or forecast through 2040 for each measure by location. Additionally, we generated better health and worse health scenarios based on the 85th and 15th percentiles, respectively, of annualised rates of change across location-years for all the GBD risk factors, income per person, educational attainment, select intervention coverage, and total fertility rate under 25 years in the past. We used the model to generate all-cause age-sex specific mortality, life expectancy, and years of life lost (YLLs) for 250 causes. Scenarios for fertility were also generated and used in a cohort component model to generate population scenarios. For each reference forecast, better health, and worse health scenarios, we generated estimates of mortality and YLLs attributable to each risk factor in the future. FINDINGS: Globally, most independent drivers of health were forecast to improve by 2040, but 36 were forecast to worsen. As shown by the better health scenarios, greater progress might be possible, yet for some drivers such as high body-mass index (BMI), their toll will rise in the absence of intervention. We forecasted global life expectancy to increase by 4·4 years (95% UI 2·2 to 6·4) for men and 4·4 years (2·1 to 6·4) for women by 2040, but based on better and worse health scenarios, trajectories could range from a gain of 7·8 years (5·9 to 9·8) to a non-significant loss of 0·4 years (-2·8 to 2·2) for men, and an increase of 7·2 years (5·3 to 9·1) to essentially no change (0·1 years [-2·7 to 2·5]) for women. In 2040, Japan, Singapore, Spain, and Switzerland had a forecasted life expectancy exceeding 85 years for both sexes, and 59 countries including China were projected to surpass a life expectancy of 80 years by 2040. At the same time, Central African Republic, Lesotho, Somalia, and Zimbabwe had projected life expectancies below 65 years in 2040, indicating global disparities in survival are likely to persist if current trends hold. Forecasted YLLs showed a rising toll from several non-communicable diseases (NCDs), partly driven by population growth and ageing. Differences between the reference forecast and alternative scenarios were most striking for HIV/AIDS, for which a potential increase of 120·2% (95% UI 67·2-190·3) in YLLs (nearly 118 million) was projected globally from 2016-40 under the worse health scenario. Compared with 2016, NCDs were forecast to account for a greater proportion of YLLs in all GBD regions by 2040 (67·3% of YLLs [95% UI 61·9-72·3] globally); nonetheless, in many lower-income countries, communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases still accounted for a large share of YLLs in 2040 (eg, 53·5% of YLLs [95% UI 48·3-58·5] in Sub-Saharan Africa). There were large gaps for many health risks between the reference forecast and better health scenario for attributable YLLs. In most countries, metabolic risks amenable to health care (eg, high blood pressure and high plasma fasting glucose) and risks best targeted by population-level or intersectoral interventions (eg, tobacco, high BMI, and ambient particulate matter pollution) had some of the largest differences between reference and better health scenarios. The main exception was sub-Saharan Africa, where many risks associated with poverty and lower levels of development (eg, unsafe water and sanitation, household air pollution, and child malnutrition) were projected to still account for substantive disparities between reference and better health scenarios in 2040. INTERPRETATION: With the present study, we provide a robust, flexible forecasting platform from which reference forecasts and alternative health scenarios can be explored in relation to a wide range of independent drivers of health. Our reference forecast points to overall improvements through 2040 in most countries, yet the range found across better and worse health scenarios renders a precarious vision of the future-a world with accelerating progress from technical innovation but with the potential for worsening health outcomes in the absence of deliberate policy action. For some causes of YLLs, large differences between the reference forecast and alternative scenarios reflect the opportunity to accelerate gains if countries move their trajectories toward better health scenarios-or alarming challenges if countries fall behind their reference forecasts. Generally, decision makers should plan for the likely continued shift toward NCDs and target resources toward the modifiable risks that drive substantial premature mortality. If such modifiable risks are prioritised today, there is opportunity to reduce avoidable mortality in the future. However, CMNN causes and related risks will remain the predominant health priority among lower-income countries. Based on our 2040 worse health scenario, there is a real risk of HIV mortality rebounding if countries lose momentum against the HIV epidemic, jeopardising decades of progress against the disease. Continued technical innovation and increased health spending, including development assistance for health targeted to the world's poorest people, are likely to remain vital components to charting a future where all populations can live full, healthy lives. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Assuntos
Transtornos da Nutrição Infantil/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença/economia , Saúde Global/normas , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Coeficiente de Natalidade/tendências , Causas de Morte , Criança , Transtornos da Nutrição Infantil/mortalidade , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/mortalidade , Tomada de Decisões/ética , Feminino , Previsões , Saúde Global/tendências , Fidelidade a Diretrizes/normas , Infecções por HIV/mortalidade , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Masculino , Mortalidade Prematura/tendências , Distúrbios Nutricionais/mortalidade , Pobreza/estatística & dados numéricos , Pobreza/tendências , Fatores de Risco
14.
Lancet ; 392(10147): 581-591, 2018 08 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29961639

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As Indonesia moves to provide health coverage for all citizens, understanding patterns of morbidity and mortality is important to allocate resources and address inequality. The Global Burden of Disease 2016 study (GBD 2016) estimates sources of early death and disability, which can inform policies to improve health care. METHODS: We used GBD 2016 results for cause-specific deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), life expectancy at birth, healthy life expectancy, and risk factors for 333 causes in Indonesia and in seven comparator countries. Estimates were produced by location, year, age, and sex using methods outlined in GBD 2016. Using the Socio-demographic Index, we generated expected values for each metric and compared these against observed results. FINDINGS: In Indonesia between 1990 and 2016, life expectancy increased by 8·0 years (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 7·3-8·8) to 71·7 years (71·0-72·3): the increase was 7·4 years (6·4-8·6) for males and 8·7 years (7·8-9·5) for females. Total DALYs due to communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional causes decreased by 58·6% (95% UI 55·6-61·6), from 43·8 million (95% UI 41·4-46·5) to 18·1 million (16·8-19·6), whereas total DALYs from non-communicable diseases rose. DALYs due to injuries decreased, both in crude rates and in age-standardised rates. The three leading causes of DALYs in 2016 were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes. Dietary risks were a leading contributor to the DALY burden, accounting for 13·6% (11·8-15·4) of DALYs in 2016. INTERPRETATION: Over the past 27 years, health across many indicators has improved in Indonesia. Improvements are partly offset by rising deaths and a growing burden of non-communicable diseases. To maintain and increase health gains, further work is needed to identify successful interventions and improve health equity. FUNDING: The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências , Cobertura Universal do Seguro de Saúde , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença Crônica/mortalidade , Doenças Transmissíveis/mortalidade , Atenção à Saúde , Feminino , Saúde Global/estatística & dados numéricos , Transição Epidemiológica , Humanos , Indonésia/epidemiologia , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Longevidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidade
15.
Med Clin (Barc) ; 151(5): 171-190, 2018 09 14.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30037695

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The global burden of disease (GBD) project measures the health of populations worldwide on an annual basis, and results are available by country. We used the estimates of the GBD to summarise the state of health in Spain in 2016 and report trends in mortality and morbidity from 1990 to 2016. MATERIAL AND METHODS: GBD 2016 estimated disease burden due to 333 diseases and injuries, and 84 risk factors. The GBD list of causes is hierarchical and includes 3 top level categories, namely: 1) communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases; 2) non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and 3) injuries. Mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), risk factors, and progress towards the sustainable development goals (SDGs) are presented based on the GBD 2016 data in Spain. RESULTS: There were 418,516 deaths in Spain in 2016, from a total population of 46.5 million, and 80.5% of them occurred in those aged 70 years and older. Overall, NCDs were the main cause of death: 388,617 (95% uncertainty interval 374,959-402,486), corresponding to 92.8% of all deaths. They were followed by 3.6% due to injuries with 15,052 (13,902-17,107) deaths, and 3.5% communicable diseases with 14,847 (13,208-16,482) deaths. The 5 leading specific causes of death were ischaemic heart disease (IHD, 14.6% of all deaths), Alzheimer disease and other dementias (13.6%), stroke (7.1%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (6.9%), and lung cancer (5.0%). Remarkable increases in mortality from 1990 to 2016 were observed in other cancers, lower respiratory infections, chronic kidney disease, and other cardiovascular disease, among others. On the contrary, road injuries moved down from 8th to 32nd position, and diabetes from 6th to 10th. Low back and neck pain became the number one cause of DALYs in Spain in 2016, just surpassing IHD, while Alzheimer disease moved from 9th to 3rd position. The greatest changes in DALYs were observed for road injuries dropping from 4th to 16th position, and congenital disorders from 17th to 35th; conversely, oral disorders rose from 25th to 17th. Overall, smoking is by far the most relevant risk factor in Spain, followed by high blood pressure, high body mass index, alcohol use, and high fasting plasma glucose. Finally, Spain scored 74.3 of 100 points in the SDG index classification in 2016, and the main national drivers of detrimental health in SDGs were alcohol consumption, smoking and child obesity. An increase to 80.3 points is projected in 2030. CONCLUSION: Low back and neck pain was the most important contributor of disability in Spain in 2016. There has seen a remarkable increase in the burden due to Alzheimer disease and other dementias. Tobacco remains the most important health issue to address in Spain.


Assuntos
Acidentes/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Carga Global da Doença/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças não Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Acidentes de Trânsito/mortalidade , Dor nas Costas/epidemiologia , Causas de Morte , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Doenças do Recém-Nascido/epidemiologia , Masculino , Cervicalgia/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Fatores de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia
16.
Public Health Nutr ; 21(14): 2630-2641, 2018 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29734966

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: South Africa (SA) is in the midst of a health transition characterized by a quadruple burden of diseases and a nutrition transition. The existing nutrition transition in SA, accompanied by the coexistence of under- and overnutrition in the population, motivated the present study. Its objectives were to measure and report the changes in nutrient intakes of rural and urban black Africans over time to assess the impact of urbanization and modernization of lifestyles on dietary intakes and non-communicable disease (NCD) risk. DESIGN: The PURE-NWP-SA study recruited 2000 black South African volunteers aged 35-70 years in 2005, of which detailed nutrient intakes from 1858 participants were available. In 2010 nutrient intakes of a cohort of 1154 participants were measured. RESULTS: Median energy intake increased over time. In 2010, rural participants consumed the amount of energy (men 9·7 MJ/d; women 9·1 MJ/d) that urban participants consumed in 2005 (men 9·9 MJ/d; women 9·0 MJ/d). The nutrition transition was characterized by increases in the percentage of energy from animal protein, total fat (rural men and women), saturated (not urban women) and monounsaturated fat, as well as added sugar. Despite the higher energy intake, not all the participants met total micronutrient needs in 2010. CONCLUSIONS: The PURE nutrient intake data confirmed that the nutrition transition in the North West Province of SA is extremely rapid in rural areas. The shift towards higher energy intakes, an animal food-based diet, higher intakes of fat and lower intake of fibre, at the cost of lower plant protein and starchy food intakes, could increase the risk of NCD.


Assuntos
Dieta/tendências , Ingestão de Energia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Estado Nutricional , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Humanos , Estilo de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças não Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Urbanização
17.
East Mediterr Health J ; 24(2): 177-188, 2018 May 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29748947

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: All government policies and programmes for food and nutrition security should include providing healthy food, as well as providing economic and social availability for all people. AIM: This study aimed to analyse the current situation of Iranian food and nutrition security and establish a road map towards 2021. METHODS: The applied methods were situation analysis and a mixed qualitative-quantitative method. The conceptual method used for developing this national document encompassed three areas: sustainable food supply, food safety and nutrition. RESULTS: The outcomes of the Iranian food and nutrition security system in the past three decades include development of management infrastructure and improvement in food and nutrition security status. However, analysis of current programmes showed that there were some overlapping, intertwining and parallel works in the responsibilities of related organizations in the field of supervision of food safety (from production to supply). The national document produced as the outcome of this paper was communicated by the Iranian Ministry of Health in 2012 and has been running for 2 years. Selected ministries are responsible for implementation of 20 national programmes by the end of the 5th Economic, Social and Cultural Development Programme (2016-2011). The consensus of stakeholders by the end of the 6th Development Programme (2021) is to put all of the provinces in a safe or very safe situation in terms of food and nutrition security. CONCLUSION: The most important challenge in establishing national documents is to make them operational. This aim was achieved by an intersectoral nutrition and food security working group, which produced a general memorandum of understanding with the main organizations, the media, universities and private sector.


Assuntos
Abastecimento de Alimentos/métodos , Política Nutricional , Estado Nutricional , Aleitamento Materno , Fortalecimento Institucional/organização & administração , Água Potável/normas , Abastecimento de Alimentos/economia , Humanos , Irã (Geográfico) , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/prevenção & controle , Vigilância da População/métodos , Cuidado Pré-Natal/organização & administração , Abastecimento de Água/métodos , Abastecimento de Água/normas
19.
Food Res Int ; 104: 4-13, 2018 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29433782

RESUMO

Socio-economic dynamics determine the transition from diets characterized by the risk of famine, to those characterized by the risk of diet-related non-communicable disease (DR-NCD). This transition is of particular concern in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in which key socio-economic interactions that influence diet include economic growth and rapid urbanization; inequality and a growing middle class; and obesogenic food environments and an increasing prevalence of DR-NCD. In each case, countries in SSA are among those experiencing the most rapid change in the world. These interactions, styled as 'keystones', affect the functioning of other components of the food system and the diets that result. Data from the wealthiest quartile of countries in SSA suggest that these keystones may be increasing the risk of DR-NCD, widening inequalities in health outcomes due to unbalanced diets. To address this, new consumer and government capabilities that address these keystones are required. Food sensitive urban planning, supporting food literacy and fiscal management of consumption are examples.


Assuntos
Dieta Saudável , Abastecimento de Alimentos , Doenças não Transmissíveis/prevenção & controle , Distúrbios Nutricionais/prevenção & controle , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Dieta Saudável/economia , Comportamento Alimentar , Abastecimento de Alimentos/economia , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Humanos , Doenças não Transmissíveis/economia , Doenças não Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/economia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Distúrbios Nutricionais/fisiopatologia , Estado Nutricional , Valor Nutritivo , Prevalência , Fatores de Proteção , Recomendações Nutricionais , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/economia , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Urbanização
20.
Nutrients ; 10(2)2018 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29389885

RESUMO

This paper describes the design, sampling methods, and data collection procedures, with particular focus on dietary data, used for the 2015 Health Survey of São Paulo (Inquérito de Saúde de São Paulo, 2015 ISA-Capital) with Focus in Nutrition Study (2015 ISA-Nutrition). The ISA is a household cross-sectional, population-based survey that uses complex, stratified, multistage sampling to create a representative sample of residents from urban São Paulo, Brazil. The 2015 ISA-Nutrition comprised a sub-sample of the 2015 ISA-Capital and intended to include 300 adolescents (aged 12 to 19 years), 300 adults (aged 20 to 59 years), and 300 older adults (aged ≥60 years). From February 2015 to February 2016, 1737 individuals answered the first 24-h dietary recall (24HR), and 901 individuals consented to have their blood sample collected, to undergo anthropometric and blood pressure assessment, and to answer the second 24HR. The 2015 ISA-Nutrition aims to evaluate lifestyle-related modifiable factors in São Paulo's residents, as well as their association with biochemical and genetic markers, and environmental aspects related to cardiometabolic risk factors. This paper concludes that 2015 ISA-Nutrition may provide valuable insights into the cardiometabolic risk factors in a big city in an upper middle-income country and contribute to the formulation of health and nutritional policies.


Assuntos
Registros de Dieta , Avaliação Nutricional , Inquéritos Nutricionais/estatística & dados numéricos , Estado Nutricional , Adolescente , Adulto , Biomarcadores , Brasil , Criança , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Estilo de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Distúrbios Nutricionais/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto Jovem
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