Links Between Mortality and Socioeconomic Characteristics, Disease Burden, and Biological and Physical Functioning in the Aging Chinese Population.

OBJECTIVES: Determinants of mortality may depend on the time and place where they are examined. China provides an important context in which to study the determinants of mortality at older ages because of its unique social, economic, and epidemiological circumstances. This study uses a nationally representative sample of persons in China to determine how socioeconomic characteristics, early-life conditions, biological and physical functioning, and disease burden predict 4-year mortality after age 60. METHODS: We used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. We employed a series of Cox proportional hazard models based on exact survival time to predict 4-year all-cause mortality between the 2011 baseline interview and the 2015 interview. RESULTS: We found that rural residence, poor physical functioning ability, uncontrolled hypertension, diabetes, cancer, a high level of systemic inflammation, and poor kidney functioning are strong predictors of mortality among older Chinese. DISCUSSION: The results show that the objectively measured indicators of physical functioning and biomarkers are independent and strong predictors of mortality risk after accounting for several additional self-reported health measures, confirming the value of incorporating biological and performance measurements in population health surveys to help understand health changes and aging processes that lead to mortality. This study also highlights the importance of social and historical context in the study of old-age mortality.

The prevalence and evidence-based management of needle fear in adults with chronic disease: A scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the prevalence and best management of needle fear in adults with chronic disease, who may experience frequent and long-term exposure to needles for lifesaving therapies such as renal dialysis and cancer treatment. Identifying interventions that assist in management of needle fear and associated distress is essential to support these patients with repeated needle and cannula exposure. METHOD: We followed the PRISMA methodology for scoping reviews and systematically searched PsychINFO, PubMed (MEDLINE), ProQuest, Embase and grey literature and reference lists between 1989 and October 2020 for articles related to needle discomfort, distress, anxiety, fear or phobia. The following chronic diseases were included: arthritis, asthma, chronic back pain, cancer, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, and mental illness, or kidney failure. Literature concerning dentistry, vaccination, intravenous drug users and paediatric populations were excluded. RESULTS: We identified 32 papers reporting prevalence (n = 24), management (n = 5) or both (n = 3). Needle fear prevalence varied in disease cohorts: 17-52% (cancer), 25-47% (chronic kidney disease) and 0.2-80% (diabetes). Assessment methods varied across studies. Management strategies had poor evidence-base, but included needle-specific education, decorated devices, cognitive-behavioural stress management techniques, distraction, and changing the therapy environment or modality. CONCLUSION: Although needle fear is common there is a paucity of evidence regarding interventions to address it among adults living with chronic disease. This scoping review has highlighted the need for improved identification of needle fear in adults and development of interventions are required for these cohorts.

Association of Diagnosis Coding With Differences in Risk-Adjusted Short-term Mortality Between Critical Access and Non-Critical Access Hospitals.

Importance: Critical access hospitals (CAHs) provide care to rural communities. Increasing mortality rates have been reported for CAHs relative to non-CAHs. Because Medicare reimburses CAHs at cost, CAHs may report fewer diagnoses than non-CAHs, which may affect risk-adjusted comparisons of outcomes. Objective: To assess serial differences in risk-adjusted mortality rates between CAHs and non-CAHs after accounting for differences in diagnosis coding. Design, Setting, and Participants: Serial cross-sectional study of rural Medicare Fee-for-Service beneficiaries admitted to US CAHs and non-CAHs for pneumonia, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, arrhythmia, urinary tract infection, septicemia, and stroke from 2007 to 2017. The final date of follow-up was December 31, 2017. Exposure: Admission to a CAH vs non-CAH. Main Outcomes and Measures: Discharge diagnosis count including trends from 2010 to 2011 when Medicare expanded the allowable number of billing codes for hospitalizations, and combined in-hospital and 30-day postdischarge mortality adjusted for demographics, primary diagnosis, preexisting conditions, and with vs without further adjustment for Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) score to understand the contribution of in-hospital secondary diagnoses. Results: There were 4 094 720 hospitalizations (17% CAH) for 2 850 194 unique Medicare beneficiaries (mean [SD] age, 76.3 [11.7] years; 55.5% women). Patients in CAHs were older (median age, 80.1 vs 76.8 years) and more likely to be female (58% vs 55%). In 2010, the adjusted mean discharge diagnosis count was 7.52 for CAHs vs 8.53 for non-CAHs (difference, -0.99 [95% CI, -1.08 to -0.90]; P < .001). In 2011, the CAH vs non-CAH difference in diagnoses coded increased (P < .001 for interaction between CAH and year) to 9.27 vs 12.23 (difference, -2.96 [95% CI, -3.19 to -2.73]; P < .001). Adjusted mortality rates from the model with HCC were 13.52% for CAHs vs 11.44% for non-CAHs (percentage point difference, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.74 to 2.42]; P < .001) in 2007 and increased to 15.97% vs 12.46% (difference, 3.52 [95% CI, 3.09 to 3.94]; P < .001) in 2017 (P < .001 for interaction). Adjusted mortality rates from the model without HCC were not significantly different between CAHs and non-CAHs in all years except 2007 (12.19% vs 11.74%; difference, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.12 to 0.79]; P = .008) and 2010 (12.71% vs 12.28%; difference, 0.42 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.77]; P = .02). Conclusions and Relevance: For rural Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized from 2007 to 2017, CAHs submitted significantly fewer hospital diagnosis codes than non-CAHs, and short-term mortality rates adjusted for preexisting conditions but not in-hospital comorbidity measures were not significantly different by hospital type in most years. The findings suggest that short-term mortality outcomes at CAHs may not differ from those of non-CAHs after accounting for different coding practices for in-hospital comorbidities.

Women and evaluation of inequalities in the distribution of risk factors for Chronic non-communicable diseases (NCD), Vigitel 2016-2017. / Mulheres e avaliação das desigualdades na distribuição de fatores de risco de doenças crônicas, Vigitel 2016-2017.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the distribution of chronic non-communicable diseases (CNCD) indicators among adult female beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) in Brazilian capitals. METHODS: Analysis of Vigitel telephone survey data in 2016 and 2017. Gross and adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) and their respective confidence intervals were estimated using Poisson Regression model. RESULTS: Women with BF have lower schooling, are young people, live more frequently in the Northeast and North of the country. Higher prevalence of risk factors were found in woman receiving BF. The adjusted PR of the BF women were: smokers (PR = 1.98), overweight (PR = 1.21), obesity (PR = 1.63), fruits and vegetables (PR = 0.63), consumption of soft drinks (PR = 1.68), bean consumption (PR = 1.25), physical activity at leisure (PR = 0.65), physical activity at home (PR = 1.35), time watching TV (PR = 1.37), self-assessment of poor health status (PR =2.04), mammography (PR = 0.86), Pap smears (PR = 0.91), hypertension (PR = 1.46) and diabetes (PR = 1,66). When women were compared among strata of the same schooling, these differences were reduced. CONCLUSION: Worst indicators among women receiving BF reflect social inequalities inherent in this most vulnerable group. The study also shows that BF is being targeted at the most vulnerable women.

OBJETIVO: Comparar a distribuição de indicadores de doenças crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) entre mulheres adultas beneficiárias e não beneficiárias do Programa Bolsa Família (PBF) nas capitais brasileiras. MÉTODOS: Análise de dados do Sistema de Vigilância de Fatores de Risco e Proteção para Doenças Crônicas por Inquérito Telefônico (Vigitel) em 2016 e 2017. Foram estimados as razões de prevalência (RP) brutas e ajustadas e seus respectivos intervalos de confiança usando o modelo de regressão de Poisson. RESULTADOS: Mulheres do PBF tem menor escolaridade, são mais jovens e vivem com maior frequência nas regiões Nordeste e Norte do país. Prevalências mais elevadas de fatores de risco foram encontradas nas mulheres beneficiárias do PBF. A RP ajustada por idade das mulheres com BF foram: fumantes (RP = 1,98), excesso de peso (RP = 1,21), obesidade (RP = 1,63), frutas e hortaliças (RP = 0,63), consumo de refrigerantes (RP = 1,68), consumo de feijão (RP = 1,25), prática de atividade física no lazer (RP = 0,65), atividade física no domicílio (RP = 1,35), tempo assistindo à TV (RP = 1,37), autoavaliação do estado de saúde ruim (RP = 2,04), mamografia (RP = 0,86), Papanicolau (RP = 0,91), hipertensão (RP = 1,46) e diabetes (RP = 1,66). Quando comparadas as mulheres entre estratos de mesma escolaridade, as diferenças entre os fatores de risco foram reduzidas. CONCLUSÃO: Piores indicadores entre mulheres que recebem BF refletem desigualdades sociais inerentes a esse grupo mais vulnerável. O estudo evidencia também que o PBF está sendo destinado às mulheres mais vulneráveis.

Towards an indigenous definition of health: an explorative study to understand the indigenous Ecuadorian people's health and illness concepts.

BACKGROUNDS: An intercultural society facilitates equitable and respectful interrelations. Knowing and understanding each other's sociocultural and linguitic contexts is a prerequisite for an intercultural society. This study explores the concepts of health and illness among healers of indigenous ethnicities in Southern Ecuador. METHODS: A qualitative observational study with eleven focus groups was conducted in three locations in Southern Ecuador; a total of 110 participants the Shuar, Kichwa and Mestizo ethnic groups were included. A phenomenological and hermeneutic analysis was conducted. RESULTS: Fourteen main subtopics around of two predefined themes, i.e., "Health" and "Illness" were identified: 1) four bodies, 2) religiosity, 3) health as a good diet, 4) health as god's blessing or a gift, 5) health as balance/ harmony, 6) health as community and social welfare, 7) health as potentiality or a skill, 8) health as peacefulness, 9) heath as individual will, 10) illness as an imbalance, 11) illness as bad energy, 12) illness as a bad diet, 13) illness as suffering or worry, and 14) illness from God, Nature and People illness. By analysing all the topics' and subtopics' narratives, a health and illness definition was developed. The principal evidence for this new framework is the presence of interculturality as a horizontal axis in health. The indigenous perspective of health and illness focus on a balance between 4 bodies: the physical, spiritual, social and mental bodies. Additionally, "good health" is obtained through of the good diet and balanced/harmony. CONCLUSION: Indigenous healers in Southern Ecuador have views on health and illness that differ from the Western biomedical model of care. These different views must be recognized and valued in order to build an intercultural (health) system that empowers both ancestral and modern medical knowledge and healing.

Systematic identification of critically ill and dying patients in primary care using the German version of the Supportive and Palliative Care Indicators Tool (SPICT-DE).

Objective: The systematic identification of patients who are at risk of deteriorating and dying is the prerequisite for the provision of palliative care (PC). This study aimed to investigate the feasibility and practicability of the German version of the Supportive and Palliative Care Indicators Tool (SPICT-DE) for the systematic identification of these patients in general practice. Methods: In the beginning of 2017, twelve general practitioners (GPs; female n=6) were invited to take part in the study. GPs were asked to apply the SPICT-DE in everyday practice over a period of two months in patients with chronic progressive diseases. Six months after initial assessment, a follow-up survey revealed how the clinical situation of the initially identified patients had changed and which PC actions had been initiated by GPs. In addition, GPs gave feedback on the practicability of SPICT-DE in daily routine. Results: 10 of the 12 GPs (female n=5, median age 46 years, range 38-68) participated in both the two-month assessment period and the follow-up survey. A total of 79 patients (female n=40, median age 79 years, range 44-94) was assessed with the SPICT-DE. Main diagnoses were predominately of cardio-vascular (n=28) or oncological (n=26) origin. Follow-up after six months showed that 38 patients (48%) went through at least one crisis during the course of disease and almost one third (n=26) had died. The majority of GPs (n=7) considered the SPICT-DE to be practical in daily routine and helpful in identifying patients who might benefit from PC. Seven GPs indicated that they would use the SPICT-DE as part of everyday practice. Conclusions: The SPICT-DE seems to be a practical tool supporting the systematic identification of critically ill and dying patients in general practice.

Multimorbidity and Hospital Admissions in High-Need, High-Cost Elderly Patients.

Objective: The aim was to clarify which pairs or clusters of diseases predict the hospital-related events and death in a population of patients with complex health care needs (PCHCN). Method: Subjects classified in 2012 as PCHCN in a local health unit by ACG® (Adjusted Clinical Groups) System were linked with hospital discharge records in 2013 to identify those who experienced any of a series of hospital admission events and death. Number of comorbidities, comorbidities dyads, and latent classes were used as exposure variable. Regression analyses were applied to examine the associations between dependent and exposure variables. Results: Besides the fact that larger number of chronic conditions is associated with higher odds of hospital admission or death, we showed that certain dyads and classes of diseases have a particularly strong association with these outcomes. Discussion: Unlike morbidity counts, analyzing morbidity clusters and dyads reveals which combinations of morbidities are associated with the highest hospitalization rates or death.

Outcomes research on children with medical complexity: A scoping review of gaps and opportunities.

BACKGROUND: There has been a recent, rapid increase in the number of studies of children with medical complexity (CMC) and their families. There is a need for attention to gaps and patterns in this emerging field of study. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this scoping review was to identify patterns and gaps in the evidence related to classification systems, data, and outcomes in studies of CMC. DATA SOURCES: We searched peer-reviewed journals for reports of quantitative studies focused on CMC outcomes published between 2008 and 2018. On the basis of a structured screening process, we selected 63 reports that met our inclusion criteria. STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS: We used the methodological framework for scoping studies described by Arskey and O'Malley to map relevant literature in the field and the ECHO model to categorize studies according to three health outcome domains (economic, clinical, and humanistic). RESULTS: The terminology used to describe and classify CMC differed across studies depending on outcome domain. Two thirds of the reports focused on economic outcomes; fewer than a quarter included child or family quality of life as an outcome. A majority of studies used a single source of data, with robust analyses of administrative, payer, and publicly available data. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS OF KEY FINDINGS: Research on CMC and their families would benefit from standardization of terms and classification systems, the use of measurement strategies that map humanistic outcomes as trajectories, and more attention to outcomes identified as most meaningful to CMC and their families.

Mulheres e avaliação das desigualdades na distribuição de fatores de risco de doenças crônicas, Vigitel 2016-2017 / Women and evaluation of inequalities in the distribution of risk factors for Chronic non-communicable diseases (NCD), Vigitel 2016-2017

RESUMO: Objetivo: Comparar a distribuição de indicadores de doenças crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) entre mulheres adultas beneficiárias e não beneficiárias do Programa Bolsa Família (PBF) nas capitais brasileiras. Métodos: Análise de dados do Sistema de Vigilância de Fatores de Risco e Proteção para Doenças Crônicas por Inquérito Telefônico (Vigitel) em 2016 e 2017. Foram estimados as razões de prevalência (RP) brutas e ajustadas e seus respectivos intervalos de confiança usando o modelo de regressão de Poisson. Resultados: Mulheres do PBF tem menor escolaridade, são mais jovens e vivem com maior frequência nas regiões Nordeste e Norte do país. Prevalências mais elevadas de fatores de risco foram encontradas nas mulheres beneficiárias do PBF. A RP ajustada por idade das mulheres com BF foram: fumantes (RP = 1,98), excesso de peso (RP = 1,21), obesidade (RP = 1,63), frutas e hortaliças (RP = 0,63), consumo de refrigerantes (RP = 1,68), consumo de feijão (RP = 1,25), prática de atividade física no lazer (RP = 0,65), atividade física no domicílio (RP = 1,35), tempo assistindo à TV (RP = 1,37), autoavaliação do estado de saúde ruim (RP = 2,04), mamografia (RP = 0,86), Papanicolau (RP = 0,91), hipertensão (RP = 1,46) e diabetes (RP = 1,66). Quando comparadas as mulheres entre estratos de mesma escolaridade, as diferenças entre os fatores de risco foram reduzidas. Conclusão: Piores indicadores entre mulheres que recebem BF refletem desigualdades sociais inerentes a esse grupo mais vulnerável. O estudo evidencia também que o PBF está sendo destinado às mulheres mais vulneráveis.

ABSTRACT: Objective: To compare the distribution of chronic non-communicable diseases (CNCD) indicators among adult female beneficiaries and non-beneficiaries of the Bolsa Família Program (BFP) in Brazilian capitals. Methods: Analysis of Vigitel telephone survey data in 2016 and 2017. Gross and adjusted prevalence ratios (PR) and their respective confidence intervals were estimated using Poisson Regression model. Results: Women with BF have lower schooling, are young people, live more frequently in the Northeast and North of the country. Higher prevalence of risk factors were found in woman receiving BF. The adjusted PR of the BF women were: smokers (PR = 1.98), overweight (PR = 1.21), obesity (PR = 1.63), fruits and vegetables (PR = 0.63), consumption of soft drinks (PR = 1.68), bean consumption (PR = 1.25), physical activity at leisure (PR = 0.65), physical activity at home (PR = 1.35), time watching TV (PR = 1.37), self-assessment of poor health status (PR =2.04), mammography (PR = 0.86), Pap smears (PR = 0.91), hypertension (PR = 1.46) and diabetes (PR = 1,66). When women were compared among strata of the same schooling, these differences were reduced. Conclusion: Worst indicators among women receiving BF reflect social inequalities inherent in this most vulnerable group. The study also shows that BF is being targeted at the most vulnerable women.

Patient safety in primary health care and polypharmacy: cross-sectional survey among patients with chronic diseases.

OBJECTIVE: to characterize and determine the polypharmacy prevalence in patients with chronic diseases and to identify the factors associated, in order to improvement of pharmaceutical care focused on patient safety. METHODS: cross-sectional study included 558 patients, covered by primary health care, using a household and structured questionnaire. We analyzed the data on polypharmacy and its clinical and socioeconomic factors. Poisson regression analysis with robust variance was applied, with results expressed in prevalence ratio. RESULTS: the results showed that polypharmacy (consumption of four or more drugs) was of 37.6%. The prevalence ratio analyses identified independent variables associated with polypharmacy: age (3.05), economic strata (0.33), way of medication acquisition through a combination of out-of-pocket and Brazilian public health system (1.44), diabetes and hypertension (2.11), comorbidities (coronary artery disease 2.26) and hospital admission (1.73). In the analyses, inappropriate medication use of the 278 patients (≥ 65 years) was associated with polypharmacy (prevalence ratio 4.04). CONCLUSION: polypharmacy study becomes an opportunity to guide the strategies for the patient safety to promote the medication without harm in chronic diseases.

[Hospital Inpatient Use in Mainland Portugal by Children with Complex Chronic Conditions (2011 - 2015)]. / Utilização do Internamento Hospitalar em Portugal Continental por Crianças com Doenças Crónicas Complexas (2011 ­ 2015).

INTRODUCTION: Due to epidemiological change, interest in complex chronic conditions has been increasing within the pediatric health system. As such, we aim to evaluate hospital inpatient care in the National Health Service (mainland Portugal) by pediatric patients (0 - 17 years) with complex chronic conditions. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Observational longitudinal retrospective epidemiological study using anonymized administrative data. We selected hospitalizations within the pediatric age limit, 2011 - 2015; healthy newborns and radiotherapy outpatients were excluded. A descriptive analysis of the admissions with complex chronic conditions was analysed by number of complex chronic conditions categories and by complex chronic conditions categories. Non-parametric tests were applied to length of stay, expense, and mortality. RESULTS: Out of 419 927 admissions, 64 918 (15.5%) contained at least one complex chronic conditions code. These admissions due to complex chronic conditions represented 29.8% of hospital days, 39.4% of expense and 87.2% of deaths. Compared to those without complex chronic conditions, expense was double (median €1467 vs €745) and mortality 40 times higher (2.4% vs 0.06%). Of these, 46% were planned (no complex chronic conditions 23.2%); 64.8% occurred in group III - IV hospitals (no complex chronic conditions 27.1%). Malignant was the most frequent category (23.0%); neonatal had the highest median length of stay (12 days, 6 - 41), median expense (€3568,929 - 24 602), and number of deaths (43.5% of total). DISCUSSION: As in other developed countries where the number of pediatric admissions is decreasing, in mainland Portugal we found an increase in the proportion of complex chronic conditions admissions, which are longer, costlier and deadlier (trends intensified in the presence of two or more complex chronic conditions categories). CONCLUSION: Complex chronic conditions are relevant in the activity and costs regarding pediatric hospitalizations in mainland Portugal. Recognizing this and integrating pediatric palliative care from the moment of diagnosis are essential to promote appropriate hospital use, through the development of effective and sustainable alternatives that meet the needs of children, families, and healthcare professionals.

Introdução: Fruto da mudança epidemiológica, o interesse pelas doenças crónicas complexas no sistema de saúde pediátrico tem vindo a crescer. Assim, pretendemos avaliar a utilização do internamento hospitalar do Serviço Nacional de Saúde (Portugal Continental) por doentes pediátricos (0 ­ 17 anos) com doenças crónicas complexas. Material e Métodos: Estudo epidemiológico observacional longitudinal retrospetivo (base de dados de morbilidade hospitalar anonimizada). Selecionámos episódios de internamento de doentes pediátricos, entre 2011 ­ 2015; excluímos recém-nascidos saudáveis e radioterapia ambulatória. Análise descritiva dos episódios de internamento de doentes pediátricos com doenças crónicas complexas, caracterizados por número e categoria de doenças crónicas complexas. Foram aplicados testes não paramétricos à duração de internamento, despesa e mortalidade. Resultados: Nos 419 927 episódios, constavam códigos de doenças crónicas complexas em 64 918 (15,5%). Estes episódios com doenças crónicas complexas representaram 29,8% dos dias de internamento, 39,4% da despesa e 87,2% dos óbitos. Custaram o dobro dos episódios sem doenças crónicas complexas (€1467 vs €745) e tiveram uma mortalidade 40 vezes superior (2,4% vs 0,06%). Do total, 46,0% foram programados (sem doenças crónicas complexas 23,2%); 64,8% ocorreram em hospitais grupo III ­ IV (sem doenças crónicas complexas 27,1%). Nos episódios com doenças crónicas complexas, a doença maligna foi a categoria mais frequente (23,0%); a maior demora mediana (12 dias, 6 ­ 41), despesa mediana (€3568,929 ­ 24 602) e mortalidade (13,4%) verificaram-se na categoria neonatais. Discussão: Esta análise mostrou que, embora o número absoluto de internamentos de doentes pediátricos esteja a diminuir em Portugal Continental, à semelhança de outros países desenvolvidos, os internamentos com doenças crónicas complexas têm vindo a aumentar proporcionalmente, sendo mais prolongados, onerosos e com maior probabilidade de morte do que os episódios sem doenças crónicas complexas (tendências acentuadas quando constam duas ou mais doenças crónicas complexas). Conclusão: As doenças crónicas complexas são relevantes na atividade e despesa do internamento hospitalar pediátrico em Portugal Continental. Este reconhecimento e a integração de cuidados paliativos pediátricos desde o diagnóstico são essenciais para adequar a utilização do hospital, desenvolvendo alternativas efetivas e sustentáveis que vão ao encontro das necessidades das crianças, famílias e profissionais.

VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect quality of life in older adults in primary health care.

OBJECTIVE: To determine Vulnerable Elders Survey (VES-13) and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect poor quality of life (QoL) in older individuals. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study, performed in all primary health care units in Samambaia, DF, Brazil. The data were collected from August 2016 to May 2017. The sample size of 466 older individuals treated in primary health care was obtained considering a 5% margin of error, 95% confidence level, 50% prevalence, and 20% possible losses, in a population of 13,259 older individuals. The subjects answered the VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref questionnaires. They were divided into 3 subgroups: poorQoL (older individuals with self-reported very poor or poor QoL AND very dissatisfied or dissatisfied with their health), goodQoL (very good or good QoL AND very satisfied or satisfied with Health) and indeterminateQoL (NOT belonging to poorQoL or goodQoL subgroups). A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed with poorQoL (case) versus goodQoL (control) to determine the cutoff score in VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref. A diagnostic test using these cutoffs was carried out in all older individuals (n = 466). RESULTS: The VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect poorQoL were ≥ 2 and < 60, respectively. The area under ROC curve of VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref was 0.741 (CI95% 0.659-0.823; p < 0.001) and 0.934 (CI95% 0.881-0.987; p < 0.001), respectively. In diagnostic tests, VES-13 showed 84% sensitivity and 98.2% negative predictive value, and WHOQOL-bref, 88% sensitivity and 99% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: VES-13 score ≥ 2 and WHOQOL-bref score < 60 adequately detected poorQoL in patients treated in primary health care. Our data suggest that older individuals with these scores require special treatment such as geriatrics collaborative care to improve this scenario, considering QoL impact on mortality.

Probability of premature death for chronic non-communicable diseases, Brazil and Regions, projections to 2025. / Probabilidade de morte prematura por doenças crônicas não transmissíveis, Brasil e regiões, projeções para 2025.

OBJECTIVE: Objective: To analyze the mortality trends for Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs) in the period 2000-2013 and its probability of death until 2025. METHOD: time series analysis of mortality from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease, with correction for ill-defined causes and underreporting of deaths and calculation of probability of death. RESULTS: There was an average decline of 2.5% per year in all four major NCDs in Brazil. There was a decline in all regions and federal units. The reduced likelihood of death by 30% in 2000 to 26.1% in 2013 and expected decline to 20.5% in 2025. CONCLUSION: From the trend of reduction is expected to reach Brazil reducing overall goal 25% by 2025.

OBJETIVO: Analisar as tendências de mortalidade por doenças crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) no período de 2000 a 2013 e a probabilidade de morte até 2025. MÉTODO: Análise de série temporal de mortalidade das DCNT (doenças cardiovasculares, câncer, diabetes e doenças respiratórias crônicas), com correções para causas mal definidas e sub-registro de óbitos, e a probabilidade de morte por essas doenças. RESULTADOS: Houve declínio médio de 2,5% ao ano no conjunto das quatro principais DCNT no Brasil entre 2000 e 2013, em todas as regiões e unidades federativas. A probabilidade de morte foi reduzida de 30% em 2000 para 26,1% em 2013, e estima-se que caia para 20,5% em 2025. CONCLUSÕES: Dada a tendência de queda, prevê-se que o Brasil atinja a meta global de redução de 25% até 2025.

VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect quality of life in older adults in primary health care

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: To determine Vulnerable Elders Survey (VES-13) and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect poor quality of life (QoL) in older individuals. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional study, performed in all primary health care units in Samambaia, DF, Brazil. The data were collected from August 2016 to May 2017. The sample size of 466 older individuals treated in primary health care was obtained considering a 5% margin of error, 95% confidence level, 50% prevalence, and 20% possible losses, in a population of 13,259 older individuals. The subjects answered the VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref questionnaires. They were divided into 3 subgroups: poorQoL (older individuals with self-reported very poor or poor QoL AND very dissatisfied or dissatisfied with their health), goodQoL (very good or good QoL AND very satisfied or satisfied with Health) and indeterminateQoL (NOT belonging to poorQoL or goodQoL subgroups). A receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed with poorQoL (case) versus goodQoL (control) to determine the cutoff score in VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref. A diagnostic test using these cutoffs was carried out in all older individuals (n = 466). RESULTS: The VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref cutoff points to detect poorQoL were ≥ 2 and < 60, respectively. The area under ROC curve of VES-13 and WHOQOL-bref was 0.741 (CI95% 0.659-0.823; p < 0.001) and 0.934 (CI95% 0.881-0.987; p < 0.001), respectively. In diagnostic tests, VES-13 showed 84% sensitivity and 98.2% negative predictive value, and WHOQOL-bref, 88% sensitivity and 99% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: VES-13 score ≥ 2 and WHOQOL-bref score < 60 adequately detected poorQoL in patients treated in primary health care. Our data suggest that older individuals with these scores require special treatment such as geriatrics collaborative care to improve this scenario, considering QoL impact on mortality.

[Equity and patient autonomy in the care strategies for patients with chronic disease of health services in Spain]. / Equidad y autonomía del paciente en las estrategias de atención a personas con enfermedades crónicas en los servicios de salud de España.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the chronic care models of the different Spanish health services and to discuss the ethical questions derived from implementing some of their components. METHOD: Narrative review of care strategies and programmes for chronic patients in the different Autonomous Communities, searching in official health departments' web pages, using the terms "Programmes", "Strategies", "Chronic patients", and "Chronicity". RESULTS: 15 programmes were found. Most of them include all components of the chronic care model, "decision-making support" being under-represented. The main conflicts in the autonomy of patients arise from the use of big data to stratify the population and from telemonitoring. The stratification of population does not consider the social factors that accompany the disease. CONCLUSIONS: Chronic care strategies should consider the autonomy and privacy of patients in the use of clinical data and telemonitoring. In order to be equitable, they would have to provide an integrated health care system, incorporating measures to reduce the inequalities due to the social determinants that accompany the disease.

Probabilidade de morte prematura por doenças crônicas não transmissíveis, Brasil e regiões, projeções para 2025 / Probability of premature death for chronic non-communicable diseases, Brazil and Regions, projections to 2025

RESUMO: Objetivo: Analisar as tendências de mortalidade por doenças crônicas não transmissíveis (DCNT) no período de 2000 a 2013 e a probabilidade de morte até 2025. Método: Análise de série temporal de mortalidade das DCNT (doenças cardiovasculares, câncer, diabetes e doenças respiratórias crônicas), com correções para causas mal definidas e sub-registro de óbitos, e a probabilidade de morte por essas doenças. Resultados: Houve declínio médio de 2,5% ao ano no conjunto das quatro principais DCNT no Brasil entre 2000 e 2013, em todas as regiões e unidades federativas. A probabilidade de morte foi reduzida de 30% em 2000 para 26,1% em 2013, e estima-se que caia para 20,5% em 2025. Conclusões: Dada a tendência de queda, prevê-se que o Brasil atinja a meta global de redução de 25% até 2025.

ABSTRACT: Objective: Objective: To analyze the mortality trends for Chronic Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs) in the period 2000-2013 and its probability of death until 2025. Method: time series analysis of mortality from cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease, with correction for ill-defined causes and underreporting of deaths and calculation of probability of death. Results: There was an average decline of 2.5% per year in all four major NCDs in Brazil. There was a decline in all regions and federal units. The reduced likelihood of death by 30% in 2000 to 26.1% in 2013 and expected decline to 20.5% in 2025. Conclusion: From the trend of reduction is expected to reach Brazil reducing overall goal 25% by 2025.

Preliminary experience of an expert panel using Triangle Wound Assessment for the evaluation of chronic wounds.

OBJECTIVE: Wound assessment is an essential part of wound management and has traditionally focused on the wound bed. The Triangle of Wound Assessment (Triangle) is a new assessment tool that includes a holistic evaluation of the patient with a wound. The aim of this pilot study was to describe the use of the Triangle in our clinical practice in Spain. METHODS: Prospective, consecutive patients, male and female, over 18 years old, with wounds of any aetiology and duration, who attended the centres involved in the study, were recruited between May and June 2017. The TWA was used during the first presentation, to assess the wound bed, edge and periwound skin. The study's expert panel met to discuss the results collected by the assessment, as well as the advantages and disadvantages of the system. RESULTS: We recruited 90 patients. Non-viable tissue (necrotic/sloughy) was recorded in 57.8% of the patients, elevated exudate (medium/high) in 52.2%. Approximately 25% of the patients had signs or symptoms of local infection. Maceration was the most prevalent issue recorded on the wound edge and periwound skin assessment, affecting 31.1% and 30.0% of the patients, respectively. The presence of hyperkeratosis was high for the study population as the main aeitologies of the wounds identified here were DFU. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of Triangle Wound Assessment could help in the holistic approach to patient care by focusing on more than local wound care, identifying barriers to achieving wound healing and evaluating wound response and patient compliance.

Medication Adherence Patterns Among Patients with Multiple Serious Mental and Physical Illnesses.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with mental and physical health conditions are complex to treat and often use multiple medications. It is unclear how adherence to one medication predicts adherence to others. A predictive relationship could permit less expensive adherence monitoring if overall adherence could be predicted through tracking a single medication. METHODS: To test this hypothesis, we examined whether patients with multiple mental and physical illnesses have similar adherence trajectories across medications. Specifically, we conducted a retrospective cohort analysis using health insurance claims data for enrollees who were diagnosed with a serious mental illness, initiated an atypical antipsychotic, as well as an SSRI (to treat serious mental illness), biguanides (to treat type 2 diabetes), or an ACE inhibitor (to treat hypertension). Using group-based trajectory modeling, we estimated adherence patterns based on monthly estimates of the proportion of days covered with each medication. We measured the predictive value of the atypical antipsychotic trajectories to adherence predictions based on patient characteristics and assessed their relative strength with the R-squared goodness of fit metric. RESULTS: Within our sample of 431,591 patients, four trajectory groups were observed: non-adherent, gradual discontinuation, stop-start, and adherent. The accuracy of atypical antipsychotic adherence for predicting adherence to ACE inhibitors, biguanides, and SSRIs was 44.5, 44.5, and 49.6%, respectively (all p < 0.001 vs. random). We also found that information on patient adherence patterns to atypical antipsychotics was a better predictor of patient adherence to these three medications than would be the case using patient demographic and clinical characteristics alone. CONCLUSION: Among patients with multiple chronic mental and physical illnesses, patterns of atypical antipsychotic adherence were useful predictors of adherence patterns to a patient's adherence to ACE inhibitors, biguanides, and SSRIs. FUNDING: Otsuka Pharmaceutical Development & Commercialization, Inc.

A case-mix classification system for explaining healthcare costs using administrative data in Italy.

BACKGROUND: The Italian National Health Service (NHS) provides universal coverage to all citizens, granting primary and hospital care with a copayment system for outpatient and drug services. Financing of Local Health Trusts (LHTs) is based on a capitation system adjusted only for age, gender and area of residence. We applied a risk-adjustment system (Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups System, ACG® System) in order to explain health care costs using routinely collected administrative data in the Veneto Region (North-eastern Italy). METHODS: All residents in the Veneto Region were included in the study. The ACG system was applied to classify the regional population based on the following information sources for the year 2015: Hospital Discharges, Emergency Room visits, Chronic disease registry for copayment exemptions, ambulatory visits, medications, the Home care database, and drug prescriptions. Simple linear regressions were used to contrast an age-gender model to models incorporating more comprehensive risk measures aimed at predicting health care costs. RESULTS: A simple age-gender model explained only 8% of the variance of 2015 total costs. Adding diagnoses-related variables provided a 23% increase, while pharmacy based variables provided an additional 17% increase in explained variance. The adjusted R-squared of the comprehensive model was 6 times that of the simple age-gender model. CONCLUSIONS: ACG System provides substantial improvement in predicting health care costs when compared to simple age-gender adjustments. Aging itself is not the main determinant of the increase of health care costs, which is better explained by the accumulation of chronic conditions and the resulting multimorbidity.

Racial or Ethnic Health Disparities among Older Adults in Four Population Groups in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Racial or ethnic health disparities have been evidently apparent during the apartheid era in South Africa. This study aims to assess ethnic health disparities in four elderly population groups. METHODS: Data for this study emanated from the 2008 study of "Global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) wave 1" (N = 3284) aged 50 years or older in South Africa. Associations between exposure variables and outcome variables (health status variables and chronic conditions) were examined through bivariate analyses and multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Indians or Asians reported the highest prevalence of poor self-rated health (23.7%) and functional disability (11.6% and 29.1%). Coloureds had the lowest grip strength (55.3%) and Whites the highest cognitive functioning (80.1%). Coloureds had the highest prevalence of hypertension (85.0%), stroke and/or angina (15.0%), edentulism (26.8%) and low vision (50.6%); and Indians or Asians had the highest prevalence of arthritis (43.5%) and diabetes (24.4%). In adjusted analysis, Whites (Odds Ratio [OR]: 0.24, Confidence Interval [CI]: 0.11, 0.57) and Coloureds (OR: 0.50, CI: 0.29, 0.87) had lower odds of self-reported health status compared to Black Africans. Coloureds (OR: 0.36, CI: 0.22, 0.61) had lower odds of grip strength than Black Africans. Indians or Asians had higher odds of functional disability (OR: 1.87, CI: 1.03, 3.02) and diabetes (OR: 2.65, CI: 1.45, 4.83) than Black Africans. Whites (OR: 3.92, CI: 1.63, 9.41) and Coloureds (OR: 2.14, CI: 1.21, 3.78) had higher odds of cognitive functioning than Black Africans. Whites had lower odds (OR: 0.54, CI: 0.31, 0.93) and Indians or Asians had higher odds (OR: 1.91, CI: 1.91, 1.01, 3.59) of arthritis than Black Africans. Coloureds had a higher prevalence of hypertension (OR: 1.71, CI: 1.14, 2.58), stroke and/or angina (OR: 1.74, CI = 1.36, 2.22), edentulism (OR: 6.51, CI: 4.07, 10.41) and low vision (OR: 1.68, CI: 1.29, 2.19) than Black Africans. CONCLUSION: There are still ethnic health disparities in South Africa in the post-apartheid era (i.e., Black Africans [lower cognitive functioning], Whites [poor self-reported health status and edentulism], Coloureds [poor self-reported health status, lower grip strength, arthritis, hypertension, stroke and/or angina, edentulism and low vision], Indians or Asians [poor functional disability, arthritis and diabetes]). Understanding these ethnic health disparities may help in developing better strategies to improve health across population groups.