Liver functional assessment using time-associated change in the liver-to-spleen signal intensity ratio on enhanced magnetic resonance imaging: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: Liver-to-spleen signal intensity ratio (LSR) is evaluated by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the hepatobiliary phase and has been reported as a useful radiological assessment of regional liver function. However, LSR is a passive (non-time-associated) assessment of liver function, not a dynamic (time-associated) assessment. Moreover, LSR shows limitations such as a dose bias of contrast medium and a timing bias of imaging. Previous studies have reported the advantages of time-associated liver functional assessment as a precise assessment of liver function. For instance, the indocyanine green (ICG) disappearance rate, which is calculated from serum ICG concentrations at multiple time points, reflects a precise preoperative liver function for predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure without the dose bias of ICG or the timing bias of blood sampling. The aim of this study was to develop a novel time-associated radiological liver functional assessment and verify its correlation with traditional liver functional parameters. METHODS: A total of 279 pancreatic cancer patients were evaluated to clarify fundamental time-associated changes to LSR in normal liver. We defined the time-associated radiological assessment of liver function, calculated using information on LSR from four time points, as the "LSR increasing rate" (LSRi). We then investigated correlations between LSRi and previous liver functional parameters. Furthermore, we evaluated how timing bias and protocol bias affect LSRi. RESULTS: Significant correlations were observed between LSRi and previous liver functional parameters such as total bilirubin, Child-Pugh grade, and albumin-bilirubin grade (P < 0.001 each). Moreover, considerably high correlations were observed between LSRi calculated using four time points and that calculated using three time points (r > 0.973 each), indicating that the timing bias of imaging was minimal. CONCLUSIONS: This study propose a novel time-associated radiological assessment, and revealed that the LSRi correlated significantly with traditional liver functional parameters. Changes in LSR over time may provide a superior preoperative assessment of regional liver function that is better for predicting post-hepatectomy liver failure than LSR using the hepatobiliary phase alone.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease progression rates to cirrhosis and progression of cirrhosis to decompensation and mortality: a real world analysis of Medicare data.

BACKGROUND: Risk factors and timing associated with disease progression and mortality in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are poorly understood. AIMS: To evaluate the impact of disease severity, demographics and comorbidities on risk of mortality and time to progression in a large, real-world cohort of diagnosed NAFLD patients. METHODS: Claims data from a 20% Medicare representative sample between 2007 and 2015 were analysed retrospectively. Adults were categorised into disease severity groups: NAFLD/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) alone, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, liver transplant or hepatocellular carcinoma. Cumulative incidence of mortality and disease progression were calculated for each group and multivariate analyses performed adjusting for demographics, comorbidities and disease severity. RESULTS: A total of 10 826 456, patients were assessed and the prevalence of NAFLD was 5.7% (N = 621 253). Among patients with NAFLD, 71.1% had NAFLD/NASH alone and 28.9% had NAFLD cirrhosis. Overall, 85.5% of patients had hypertension, 84.1% dyslipidemia, 68.7% had cardiovascular disease and 55.5% diabetes. The cumulative risk of progression of NAFLD to cirrhosis, and compensated cirrhosis to decompensated cirrhosis was 39% and 45%, respectively, over 8 years of follow-up. The independent predictors of progression included cardiovascular disease, renal impairment, dyslipidemia and diabetes. The cumulative risk of mortality for NAFLD, NAFLD cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma was 12.6%, 31.1%, 51.4% and 76.2%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The present report (a) demonstrates that NAFLD is grossly underdiagnosed in real-world clinical settings and (b) provides new evidence on the progression rates of NAFLD and risk factors of mortality across the spectrum of severity of NAFLD and cirrhosis.

Impact of universal access to hepatitis C therapy on HIV-infected patients: implementation of the Spanish national hepatitis C strategy.

In April 2015, the Spanish National Health System (SNHS) developed a national strategic plan for the diagnosis, treatment, and management of hepatitis C virus (HCV). Our aim was to analyze the impact of this on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients included in the HERACLES cohort during the first 6 months of its implementation. The HERACLES cohort (NCT02511496) was set up in March 2015 to evaluate the status and follow-up of chronic HCV infection in patients co-infected with HIV in the south of Spain. In September 2015, the data were analyzed to identify clinical events (death, liver decompensation, and liver fibrosis progression) and rate of treatment implementation in this population. The study population comprised a total of 3474 HIV/HCV co-infected patients. The distribution according to liver fibrosis stage was: 1152 F0-F1 (33.2 %); 513 F2 (14.4 %); 641 F3 (18.2 %); 761 F4 (21.9 %); and 407 whose liver fibrosis was not measured (12.3 %). During follow-up, 248 patients progressed by at least one fibrosis stage [7.1 %; 95 % confidence interval (CI): 6.3-8 %]. Among cirrhotic patients, 52 (6.8 %; 95 % CI: 5.2-8.9 %) developed hepatic decompensation. In the overall population, 50 patients died (1.4 %; 95 % CI: 1.1-1.9 %). Eight hundred and nineteen patients (23.56 %) initiated interferon (IFN)-free treatment during follow-up, of which 47.8 % were cirrhotic. In our study, during 6 months of follow-up, 23.56 % of HIV/HCV co-infected patients included in our cohort received HCV treatment. However, we observed a high incidence of negative short-term outcomes in our population.

A model for dropout assessment of candidates with or without hepatocellular carcinoma on a common liver transplant waiting list.

UNLABELLED: In many countries, the allocation of liver grafts is based on the Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and the use of exception points for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). With this strategy, HCC patients have easier access to transplantation than non-HCC ones. In addition, this system does not allow for a dynamic assessment, which would be required to picture the current use of local tumor treatment. This study was based on the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and included 5,498 adult candidates of a liver transplantation for HCC and 43,528 for non-HCC diagnoses. A proportional hazard competitive risk model was used. The risk of dropout of HCC patients was independently predicted by MELD score, HCC size, HCC number, and alpha-fetoprotein. When combined in a model with age and diagnosis, these factors allowed for the extrapolation of the risk of dropout. Because this model and MELD did not share compatible scales, a correlation between both models was computed according to the predicted risk of dropout, and drop-out equivalent MELD (deMELD) points were calculated. CONCLUSION: The proposed model, with the allocation of deMELD, has the potential to allow for a dynamic and combined comparison of opportunities to receive a graft for HCC and non-HCC patients on a common waiting list.

Validation of model for end-stage liver disease score to serum sodium ratio index as a prognostic predictor in patients with cirrhosis.

AIM: To evaluate the prognostic ability of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) to serum sodium (SNa) ratio (MESO) index and to compare the predictive accuracy of the MESO index with the MELD score and the modified Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score for short-term survival in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A total of 256 patients with cirrhosis were retrospectively evaluated. The predictive accuracy of the MESO index, MELD score and modified CTP score were compared by the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Using 1-month and 3-month mortality as the end-point, overall, MESO and MELD were significantly better than the CTP score in predicting the risk of mortality at 1 month (AUC, 0.866,0.819 vs 0.722, P < 0.01) and 3 months (AUC, 0.875,0.820 vs 0.721, P < 0.01). In the low MELD group, the AUC of MESO index (0.758, 0.759) and CTP score (0.754, 0.732) were higher than that of the MELD score (0.608, 0.611) at 1 month and 3 months, respectively (P < 0.01). However, in the high MELD group, the AUC of MESO index (0.762, 0.779) and MELD (0.737, 0.773) were higher than that of the CTP score (0.710, 0.752) at 1 month and 3 months, respectively, although there were no significant differences (P > 0.05). With appropriate cut-offs for the MESO index, the mortality rate of patients in high MESO was higher (57.1% at 1 month and 69.2% at 3 months) than that of the low MESO (5.5% at 1 month and 7.9% at 3 months) (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: The MESO index, which adds SNa to MELD, is a useful prognostic marker and is found to be superior to the MELD score and modified CTP score for short-term prognostication of patients with cirrhosis.

Preoperative assessment of the risk factors that help to predict the prognosis after living donor liver transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to analyze various risk factors and to assess the preoperative risk score, which can predict the prognosis after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). METHODS: From February 2002 to August 2007, 84 adult to adult living donor liver transplantation donors and recipients were analyzed. First, the donor, recipient, and intraoperative factors were examined by univariate and multivariate analyses. We then gave a score of one point for each significant marginal factor (total point scores were called "risk score") and each risk score was examined by univariate analyses. RESULTS: Recipients with the donor age 50 years or older, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (> or =21), and hepatitis C virus-positive status had a significantly poor survival. Recipients between the risk score of 0 vs. scores of 2 + 3 (p < 0.001, log-rank) and risk score of 1 vs. scores of 2 + 3 (p = 0.003, log-rank) had significantly different survival. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative assessment of the risk score might help to predict recipient outcomes after living donor liver transplantation.

Can inclusion of serum creatinine values improve the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and challenge the prognostic yield of the model for end-stage liver disease score in the short-term prognostic assessment of cirrhotic patients?

BACKGROUND: The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score is a useful tool to assess prognosis in critically ill cirrhotic patients. However, its short-term prognostic superiority over the traditional Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score has not been definitely confirmed. The creatinine serum level is an important predictor of survival in patients with liver cirrhosis. AIMS: To evaluate and compare the short-term prognostic accuracy of the CTP, the creatinine-modified CTP, and the MELD scores in patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: CTP, creatinine-modified CTP, and MELD scores were calculated in a cohort of 145 cirrhotic patients. The creatinine-modified CTP was calculated as follows: we assessed the mean creatinine serum level and standard deviation (SD) of the 145 study patients, then assigned a score of 1 to patients with creatinine serum levels < or = to the mean, a score of 2 to patients with creatinine levels between the mean and the mean+1 SD, and a score of 3 to patients with creatinine levels above the mean+1 SD. The creatinine-modified CTP was then calculated by simply adding each patients' creatinine score to their traditional CTP scores. We calculated and compared the accuracy (c-index) of the three parameters in predicting 3-month survival. RESULTS: The creatinine-modified CTP score showed better prognostic accuracy as compared with the traditional CTP (P=0.049). However, the MELD score proved to be better at defining patients' prognosis in the short-term as compared with both the traditional CTP score (P=0.012) and the creatinine-modified CTP (P=0.047). The excellent short-term prognostic accuracy of the MELD score was confirmed even when patients with abnormal creatinine serum levels were excluded from the analysis (c-index=0.935). CONCLUSIONS: Adding creatinine values to the CTP slightly improves the prognostic usefulness of the traditional CTP score alone. The MELD score has a short-term prognostic yield that is better than what is provided by both the CTP and CTP creatinine-modified scores, even in cirrhotic patients who are not critically ill. The positive results obtained by using the MELD score were confirmed even after excluding patients with impaired renal function.

A comparison of MR and duplex Doppler ultrasound for vascular assessment prior to orthotopic liver transplantation.

A prospective blinded comparison of duplex Doppler ultrasound (DDU) and a magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) 2-D time-of-flight technique was performed to assess the hepatic vasculature in 23 adult patients referred for orthotopic liver transplantation. Both techniques confirmed patency of the inferior vena cava in all patients, demonstrated a complete portal vein occlusion in one patient, and accurately defined the vascular and organ anatomy in a patient with situs inversus. The results were confirmed at surgery in 18 of the patients who have subsequently undergone liver transplantation. In one patient a partial portal vein thrombosis was found at surgery which was not detected by either imaging technique. MRA was more sensitive overall in detecting porto-systemic collaterals (31 locations in 17 patients) compared with ultrasound (24 locations in 17 patients), although ultrasound detected more patients with recanalized para-umbilical veins (DDU: 10 patients; MRA: 8 patients). These results indicate that a simple MRA technique can equal duplex Doppler ultrasound for the non-invasive assessment of patency of the hepatic vasculature and should be considered when DDU examination is equivocal or technically inadequate. MRA may provide additional information on the presence and size of porto-systemic collaterals which may be of value in monitoring portal hypertension.

Anthropometric assessment of the nutritional status of patients with liver cirrhosis in an Italian population.

A poor nutritional status has repeatedly been described in advanced liver cirrhosis, but the exact prevalence of the defect and its relation to the aetiology and severity of liver disease in the Italian population are only partly known. Anthropometric measurements were carried out in 200 patients with cirrhosis (135 M, 65 F). Liver disease was related to alcohol abuse in 77 cases, but most patients had stopped alcohol for at least 6 months before study. In comparison to a normal elderly Italian and to an age-matched North-American population, 5 to 45% of male patients with cirrhosis and 10 to 30% of females had signs of malnutrition, the proportion being variable according to the test used. Male patients showed a remarkable reduction in muscle mass (30-45% of patients, mainly in the presence of moderate-to-severe or severe liver failure), whereas female patients showed a more remarkable reduction of fat stores (15-30% of cases), with advancing liver failure, and a less severe reduction in muscle mass. No direct effect of alcohol was demonstrated in this selected population.