Therapeutic plasma exchange in acute liver failure.

BACKGROUND: Multi-organ dysfunction in acute liver failure (ALF) has been attributed to a systemic inflammatory response directly triggered by the injured liver. High-volume therapeutic plasma exchange (HV-TPE) has been demonstrated in a large randomized controlled trial to improve survival. Here, we investigated if a more cost-/ resource effective low-volume (LV) TPE strategy might have comparable beneficial effects. METHODS: This retrospective study evaluated the effect of LV-TPE on remote organ failure, hemodynamical and biochemical parameters as well as on survival in patients with ALF. Twenty patients treated with LV-TPE in addition to standard medical therapy (SMT) were identified and 1:1 matched to a historical ALF cohort treated with SMT only. Clinical and biochemical parameters were recorded at admission to the intensive care unit and the following 7 days after LV-TPE. RESULTS: Mean arterial pressure increased following first LV-TPE treatments (d0: 68 [61-75] mm Hg vs d7: 88 [79-98] mm Hg, P = .003) and norepinephrine dose was reduced (d0: 0.264 [0.051-0.906] µg/kg/min vs d3: 0 [0-0.024] µg/kg/min, P = .016). Multi-organ dysfunction was significantly diminished following LV-TPE (CLIF-SOFA d0: 17 [13-20] vs d7: 7 [3-11], P = .001). Thirty-day in-hospital survival was 65% in the LV-TPE cohort and 50% in the SMT cohort (Hazard-ratio for TPE: 0.637; 95% CI: 0.238-1.706, P = .369). CONCLUSIONS: Patients treated with LV-TPE showed improved surrogate parameters comparable with the effects reported with HV-TPE. These data need to be interpreted with caution due to their retrospective character. Future controlled studies are highly desirable.

Black Adult Patients With Acute Liver Failure Are Sicker and More Likely to Undergo Liver Transplantation Than White Patients.

Racial and ethnic differences in the presentation and outcomes of patients wait-listed with acute liver failure (ALF) have not been explored. Adult patients with ALF wait-listed for liver transplantation (LT) from 2002 to 2016 were investigated using the United Network for Organ Sharing database. Clinical characteristics and causative etiologies were compared between white, black, Hispanic, and Asian patients with ALF who were wait-listed as status 1. A competing risk analysis was used to explore differences in LT and wait-list removal rates. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to explore differences in 1-year posttransplant survival. There were 8208 patients wait-listed with a primary diagnosis of ALF; 4501 were wait-listed as status 1 (55.3% of whites, 64.4% of blacks, 51.6% of Hispanics, 40.7% of Asians; P < 0.001). Black patients had higher bilirubin and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease at wait-listing than other groups. White patients were the most likely to have acetaminophen toxicity as a causative etiology, whereas black patients were the most likely to have autoimmune liver disease. Black patients were significantly more likely to undergo LT than white patients (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-1.30). There was no difference in wait-list removal because of death or clinical deterioration among racial/ethnic groups. The 1-year posttransplant survival was lowest in black patients (79.6%) versus white (82.8%), Hispanic (83.9%), and Asian (89.3%) patients (P = 0.02). In conclusion, etiologies of ALF vary by race and ethnicity. Black patients with ALF were more likely to be wait-listed as status 1 and undergo LT than white patients, but they were sicker at presentation. The 1-year posttransplant survival rate was lowest among black patients.

Increasing Burden of Hepatic Encephalopathy Among Hospitalized Adults: An Analysis of the 2010-2014 National Inpatient Sample.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality, contributing significant burden on healthcare systems. AIM: We aim to evaluate trends in clinical and economic burden of HE among hospitalized adults in the USA. METHODS: Using the 2010-2014 National Inpatient Sample, we identified adults hospitalized with HE using ICD-9-CM codes. Annual trends in hospitalizations with HE, in-hospital mortality, and hospital charges were stratified by the presence of acute liver failure (ALF) or cirrhosis. Adjusted multivariable regression models were evaluated for predictors of in-hospital mortality and hospitalization charges. RESULTS: Among 142,860 hospitalizations with HE (mean age 59.3 years, 57.8% male), 67.7% had cirrhosis and 3.9% ALF. From 2010 to 2014, total number of hospitalizations with HE increased by 24.4% (25,059 in 2010 to 31,182 in 2014, p < 0.001). Similar increases were seen when stratified by ALF (29.7% increase) and cirrhosis (29.7% increase). Overall in-hospital mortality decreased from 13.4% (2010) to 12.3% (2014) (p = 0.001), with similar decreases observed in ALF and cirrhosis. Total inpatient charges increased by 46.0% ($8.15 billion, 2010 to $11.9 billion, 2014). On multivariable analyses, ALF was associated with significantly higher odds of in-hospital mortality (OR 5.37; 95% CI 4.97-5.80; p < 0.001) as well as higher mean inpatient charges (122.6% higher; 95% CI + 115.0-130.3%; p < 0.001) compared to cirrhosis. The presence of ascites, hepatocellular carcinoma, and hepatorenal syndrome was associated with increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical and economic burden of hospitalizations with HE in the USA continues to rise. In 2014, estimated national economic burden of hospitalizations with HE reached $11.9 billion.

The incidence, etiologies, outcomes, and predictors of mortality of acute liver failure in Thailand: a population-base study.

BACKGROUND: Acute liver failure (ALF) is uncommon but progresses rapidly with high mortality. We investigated the incidence, etiologies, outcomes, and predictive factors for 30-day mortality in patients with ALF. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study of ALF patients hospitalized between 2009 and 2013 from the Thai Nationwide Hospital Admission database, which comprises 76% of all admissions from 858 hospitals across 77 provinces in Thailand. ALF was diagnosed using ICD-10 codes K72.0 and K71.11. Patients with liver cirrhosis were excluded. RESULTS: There were 20,589 patients diagnosed with ALF during the study period with 12,277 (59.6%) males and mean age of 46.6 ± 20.7 years. The incidence of ALF was 62.9 per million population per year. The most frequent causes of ALF were indeterminate (69.4%), non-acetaminophen drug-induced (26.1%), and viral hepatitis (2.5%). Acetaminophen was the presumptive cause in 1.7% of patients. There were 5502 patients (26.7%) who died within 30 days after admission. One patient (0.005%) underwent liver transplantation. The average hospital stay was 8.7 ± 13.9 days, and the total cost of management was 1075.2 ± 2718.9 USD per admission. The most prevalent complications were acute renal failure (ARF)(24.2%), septicemia (18.2%), and pneumonia (12.3%). The most influential predictive factors for 30-day mortality were ARF (HR = 3.64, 95% CI: 3.43-3.87, p < 0.001), malignant infiltration of the liver (HR = 3.37, 95% CI: 2.94-3.85, p < 0.001), and septicemia (HR = 1.96, 95%CI: 1.84-2.08, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: ALF patients have poor outcomes with 30-day mortality of 26.7% and high economic burden. Indeterminate etiology is the most frequent cause. ARF, malignant infiltration of the liver, and septicemia are main predictors of 30-day mortality.

Outcome of Liver Transplant Patients With High Urgent Priority: Are We Doing the Right Thing?

BACKGROUND: About 15% of liver transplantations (LTs) in Eurotransplant are currently performed in patients with a high-urgency (HU) status. Patients who have acute liver failure (ALF) or require an acute retransplantation can apply for this status. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of this prioritization. METHODS: Patients who were listed for LT with HU status from January 1, 2007, up to December 31, 2015, were included. Waiting list and posttransplantation outcomes were evaluated and compared with a reference group of patients with laboratory Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (labMELD) scores ≥40 (MELD 40+). RESULTS: In the study period, 2299 HU patients were listed for LT. Ten days after listing, 72% of all HU patients were transplanted and 14% of patients deceased. Patients with HU status for primary ALF showed better patient survival at 3 years (69%) when compared with patients in the MELD 40+ group (57%). HU patients with labMELD ≥45 and patients with HU status for acute retransplantation and labMELD ≥35 have significantly inferior survival at 3-year follow-up of 46% and 42%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Current prioritization for patients with ALF is highly effective in preventing mortality on the waiting list. Although patients with HU status for ALF have good outcomes, survival is significantly inferior for patients with a high MELD score or for retransplantations. With the current scarcity of livers in mind, we should discuss whether potential recipients for a second or even third retransplantation should still receive absolute priority, with HU status, over other recipients with an expected, substantially better prognosis after transplantation.

Management of Pediatric Acute Liver Failure in a Region With Insufficient Deceased Donor Support: A Single-Center Experience.

OBJECTIVES: Acute liver failure is a rapidly progressive and life-threatening disease in children, whose clinical features differ from those of adults. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a review of a single center's experience with pediatric acute liver failure in a region with insufficient deceased donor support. The study is a retrospective review and analysis of 22 pediatric patients with acute liver failure between January 2007 and May 2013. RESULTS: The cause of acute liver failure was indeterminate in 45.4% of cases. Listing for liver transplant was required in 72.7% of patients, whereas 27.3% developed spontaneous remission. In the patients placed on the liver transplant wait list, 75% underwent liver transplant and 25% died before undergoing liver transplant. The presence of ascites, high-grade encephalopathy, and laboratory findings including high lactate dehydrogenase and phosphorous levels and international normalized ratio were significant parameters in selecting patients needing liver transplants. All liver transplants were from living donors. One- and 3-year patient survival rates after liver transplant were 75% and 75%. No serious donor complications occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Living-donor liver transplant may be the only option to save the lives of pediatric patients with acute liver failure, especially in regions with insufficient deceased-donor support. Timely referral to a multidisciplinary transplant center, expedient evaluation of living donors, and appropriate timing of transplant are crucial for a successful outcome.

The changing face of liver transplantation for acute liver failure: Assessment of current status and implications for future practice.

The etiology and outcomes of acute liver failure (ALF) have changed since the definition of this disease entity in the 1970s. In particular, the role of emergency liver transplantation has evolved over time, with the development of prognostic scoring systems to facilitate listing of appropriate patients, and a better understanding of transplant benefit in patients with ALF. This review examines the changing etiology of ALF, transplant benefit, outcomes following transplantation, and future alternatives to emergency liver transplantation in this devastating condition.

Variation in access to the liver transplant waiting list in the United States.

BACKGROUND: We sought to compare liver transplant waiting list access by demographics and geography relative to the pool of potential liver transplant candidates across the United States using a novel metric of access to care, termed a liver wait-listing ratio (LWR). METHODS: We calculated LWRs from national liver transplant registration data and liver mortality data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and the National Center for Healthcare Statistics from 1999 to 2006 to identify variation by diagnosis, demographics, geography, and era. RESULTS: Among patients with ALF and CLF, African Americans had significantly lower access to the waiting list compared with whites (acute: 0.201 versus 0.280; pre-MELD 0.201 versus 0.290; MELD era: 0.201 versus 0.274; all, P<0.0001) (chronic: 0.084 versus 0.163; pre-MELD 0.085 versus 0.179; MELD 0.084 versus 0.154; all, P<0.0001). Hispanics and whites had similar LWR in both eras (both P>0.05). In the MELD era, female subjects had greater access to the waiting list compared with male subjects (acute: 0.428 versus 0.154; chronic: 0.158 versus 0.140; all, P<0.0001). LWRs varied by three-fold by state (pre-MELD acute: 0.122-0.418, chronic: 0.092-0.247; MELD acute: 0.121-0.428, chronic: 0.092-0.243). CONCLUSIONS: The marked inequity in early access to liver transplantation underscores the need for local and national policy initiatives to affect this disparity.

A systematic review on prognostic indicators of acute on chronic liver failure and their predictive value for mortality.

BACKGROUND: An early and proper diagnosis of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF), together with the identification of indicators associated with disease severity is critical for outcome prediction and therapy. OBJECTIVE: To systematically identify and summarize prognostic indicators for patients with ACLF and to evaluate the predictive value of these indicators. METHODS: Embase and Ovid-Medline were searched for English-language articles. The search criteria focused on identifying clinical trials and observational studies reporting on indicators used for prediction of mortality in patients with ACLF. RESULTS: Of 2382 studies identified, 19 were included for detailed analysis. Thirteen different definitions of ACLF were found. The main differences were related to acute deterioration in liver function, coagulopathy and hyperbilirubinaemia/jaundice. Seventy three prognostic indicators and their association with mortality were extracted and categorized into seven categories: general markers (n = 13), viral markers (n = 6), bio-markers (n = 22), hemodynamics (n = 1), morphology/histology (n = 17), scoring systems (n = 10) and treatments (n = 4). CONCLUSIONS: The ambiguity and variability in the definition of ACLF and in its predictive indicators hampers comparability among studies. There is a need for a single uniform definition of ACLF. Also absence of a gold standard is an obstacle to render one indicator superior to another. The age, hepatic encephalopathy, model for end-stage liver disease score, total bilirubin and International normalized ratio (prothrombin time) appeared to be promising candidates for evaluation in future studies. The result of this review may be useful as a starting point in developing a standard list of indicators for clinical outcome that concur with the clinicians' subjective views on prognosis in ACLF.

Algorithm to determine the outcome of patients with acute liver failure: a data-mining analysis using decision trees.

BACKGROUND: We established algorithms to predict the prognosis of acute liver failure (ALF) patients through a data-mining analysis, in order to improve the indication criteria for liver transplantation. METHODS: The subjects were 1,022 ALF patients seen between 1998 and 2007 and enrolled in a nationwide survey. Patients older than 65 years, and those who had undergone liver transplantation and received blood products before the onset of hepatic encephalopathy were excluded. Two data sets were used: patients seen between 1998 and 2003 (n=698), whose data were used for the formation of the algorithm, and those seen between 2004 and 2007 (n=324), whose data were used for the validation of the algorithm. Data on a total of 73 items, at the onset of encephalopathy and 5 days later, were collected from 371 of the 698 patients seen between 1998 and 2003, and their outcome was analyzed to establish decision trees. The obtained algorithm was validated using the data of 160 of the 324 patients seen between 2004 and 2007. RESULTS: The outcome of the patients at the onset of encephalopathy was predicted through 5 items, and the patients were classified into 6 categories with mortality rates between 23% and89%. When the prognosis of the patients in the categories with mortality rates greater than 50% was predicted as "death", the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the algorithm were 79, 78, 81, 83, and 75%, respectively. Similar high values were obtained when the algorithm was employed in the patients for validation. The outcome of the patients 5 days after the onset of encephalopathy was predicted through 7 items, and a similar high accuracy was found for both sets of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Novel algorithms for predicting the outcome of ALF patients may be useful to determine the indication for liver transplantation.

Comparison of the sequential organ failure assessment score with the King's College Hospital criteria and the model for end-stage liver disease score for the prognosis of acetaminophen-induced acute liver failure.

Acetaminophen-induced acute liver failure (ALF) is a complex multiorgan illness. An assessment of the prognosis is essential for the accurate identification of patients for whom survival without liver transplantation (LT) is unlikely. The aims of this study were the comparison of prognostic models [King's College Hospital (KCH), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II)] and the identification of independent prognostic indicators of outcome. We evaluated consecutive patients with severe acetaminophen-induced ALF who were admitted to the intensive care unit. At admission, demographic, clinical, and laboratory parameters were recorded. The discriminative ability of each prognostic score at the baseline was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). In addition, using a multiple logistic regression, we assessed independent factors associated with outcome. In all, 125 consecutive patients with acetaminophen-induced ALF were evaluated: 67 patients (54%) survived with conservative medical management (group 1), and 58 patients (46%) either died without LT (28%) or underwent LT (18%; group 2). Group 1 patients had significantly lower median APACHE II (10 versus 14) and SOFA scores (9 versus 12) than group 2 patients (P < 0.001). The independent indicators associated with death or LT were a longer prothrombin time (P = 0.007), the inspiratory oxygen concentration (P = 0.005), and the lactate level at 12 hours (P < 0.001). The KCH criteria had the highest specificity (83%) but the lowest sensitivity (47%), and the SOFA score had the best discriminative ability (AUC = 0.79). In conclusion, for patients with acetaminophen-induced ALF, the SOFA score performed better than the other prognostic scores, and this reflected the presence of multiorgan dysfunction. A further evaluation of SOFA with the KCH criteria is warranted.

Prognostic assessment in patients with hepatic encephalopathy.

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is a common complication of liver failure that is associated with poor prognosis. However, the prognosis is not uniform and depends on the underlying liver disease. Acute liver failure is an uncommon cause of HE that carries bad prognosis but is potentially reversible. There are several prognostic systems that have been specifically developed for selecting patients for liver transplantation. In patients with cirrhosis the prognosis of the episode of HE is usually dictated by the underlying precipitating factor. Acute-on-chronic liver failure is the most severe form of decompensation of cirrhosis, the prognosis depends on the number of associated organ failures. Patients with cirrhosis that have experienced an episode of HE should be considered candidates for liver transplant. The selection depends on the underlying liver function assessed by the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) index. There is a subgroup that exhibits low MELD and recurrent HE, usually due to the coexistence of large portosystemic shunts. The recurrence of HE is more common in patients that develop progressive deterioration of liver function and hyponatremia. The bouts of HE may cause sequels that have been shown to persist after liver transplant.

The systemic inflammatory response syndrome and sequential organ failure assessment scores are effective triage markers following paracetamol (acetaminophen) overdose.

BACKGROUND: The systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores are widely used as prognostic markers in critical care settings and could improve triage of high-risk paracetamol (acetaminophen) overdose patients. AIM: To evaluate the prognostic accuracy of the SIRS and SOFA scores following single time point paracetamol overdose. METHODS: Analysis of 100 single time point paracetamol overdoses admitted to a tertiary liver centre, with subsequent prospective validation of identified thresholds. Individual laboratory samples were correlated with the corresponding clinical parameters in relation to time post-overdose, and the daily SOFA and SIRS scores calculated. RESULTS: A total of 74 (74%) patients developed the SIRS, which occurred significantly earlier in patients who died (n=21) compared with spontaneous survivors (n=53, P=0.05). The SIRS occurred in 70 (70%) patients by 96h post-overdose, with a 30% mortality rate; compared with 0% mortality in the 30 non-SIRS patients (P=0.001). Median SOFA scores were significantly higher in nonsurvivors at 48 (P=0.009), 72 (P<0.001), and 96h (P<0.001). A SOFA score >7 during the first 96h post-overdose predicted death/transplantation with a sensitivity of 95.0 (95% CI 78.5-99.1) and specificity of 70.5 (95% CI 66.3-71.6). A validation cohort of 38 single time point paracetamol overdoses confirmed the extremely high negative predictive value of both the SIRS and SOFA thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: The absence of either a SOFA score >7 or a SIRS response during the first 96 h following paracetamol overdose could improve triage and reduce transfers of lower risk patients to tertiary liver centres.

Cost-utility of molecular adsorbent recirculating system treatment in acute liver failure.

AIM: To determine the short-term cost-utility of molecular adsorbent recirculating system (MARS) treatment in acute liver failure (ALF). METHODS: A controlled retrospective study was conducted with 90 ALF patients treated with MARS from 2001 to 2005. Comparisons were made with a historical control group of 17 ALF patients treated from 2000 to 2001 in the same intensive care unit (ICU) specializing in liver diseases. The 3-year outcomes and number of liver transplantations were recorded. All direct liver disease-related medical expenses from 6 mo before to 3 years after ICU treatment were determined for 31 MARS patients and 16 control patients. The health-related quality of life (HRQoL) before MARS treatment was estimated by a panel of ICU doctors and after MARS using a mailed 15D (15-dimensional generic health-related quality of life instrument) questionnaire. The HRQoL, cost, and survival data were combined and the incremental cost/quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was calculated. RESULTS: In surviving ALF patients, the health-related quality of life after treatment was generally high and comparable to the age- and gender-matched general Finnish population. Compared to the controls, the average cost per QALY was considerably lower in the MARS group (64,732 euros vs 133,858 euros) within a timeframe of 3.5 years. The incremental cost of standard medical treatment alone compared to MARS was 10,928 euros, and the incremental number of QALYs gained by MARS was 0.66. CONCLUSION: MARS treatment combined with standard medical treatment for ALF in an ICU setting is more cost-effective than standard medical treatment alone.

Cost-effectiveness of the artificial liver support system MARS in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND: For patients with an acute exacerbation of chronic liver failure (ACLF), the molecular adsorbent recirculating system (MARS) can result in a prolongation of life, but data on costs and cost-effectiveness are lacking. METHODS: A health economic evaluation of a prospective controlled cohort trial in patients with ACLF not eligible for liver transplantation with 3 years follow-up and consecutive modelling of long-term costs, outcomes and cost-effectiveness was conducted. Costs were calculated from the perspective of the German health-care system. RESULTS: One hundred and forty-nine patients with ACLF were included of which 67 (44.9%) were treated with MARS and 82 (55.1%) assigned to the control group. Mean survival was 692 days in MARS-treated patients (33% survival after 3 years) and 453 days in control patients (15% after 3 years, logrank P = 0.022). MARS patients gained 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI): -0.12 to 1.46] life years (LYs), determined by the bootstrap method. The mean cost difference was 19.835 euro (95% CI: 13.308-25.429) with 35639 euro for MARS-treated patients and 15804 euro for controls. Incremental costs per LY gained were 29.985 euro (95% CI: 9.441-321.761) and 43.040 euro (95% CI: 13.551-461.856) per quality-adjusted LY gained. CONCLUSION: There is an acceptable cost-effectiveness of MARS, compared with other medical technologies presently reimbursed. Randomized controlled trials with sufficient sample size are necessary before a final recommendation for MARS can be given.

Assessment of prognosis in acute liver failure.

Determining prognosis in acute liver failure (ALF) is vital to consideration of transplantation for these critically ill patients. Transplanting a likely survivor may be as unfortunate as not transplanting someone whose outcome is very poor. Prognostic scoring systems have largely failed to accurately portray outcomes, partly because the use of transplantation does not allow the true transplant-free outcome to unfold. The King's College Hospital criteria have not proved accurate enough in predicting outcome for those with moderate illness; sensitivity is reasonable while specificity is poor. Use of APACHE II or MELD systems suffers from similar deficiencies. Use of specialized biomarkers such as Gc protein, alpha-fetoprotein, or troponin shows some promise but has not proven effective to date. Considering etiology and coma grade prior to development of scores based on routine or specialized biomarkers may be important. The rapid evolution of ALF as well as the different etiologies encountered may continue to frustrate our efforts to accurately predict outcomes in ALF.

Outcome of emergency liver transplantation including mortality on the waiting list: a single-center experience.

Patients with irreversible fulminant hepatic failure (FHF) as well as recipients with primary graft nonfunction (PNF) and early hepatic artery thrombosis (HAT) die unless they undergo emergent liver transplantation (OLT). Therefore, they have the highest priority in organ allocation systems. Herein we describe our initial experience with 18 emergency among 103 OLT procedures performed in 99 adults from February 2002 through February 2007. Their diagnoses were FHF (n = 16), PNF (n = 1), and early HAT (n = 1). Ten subjects (56%) underwent emergency OLT after a mean 1.6 (range, 1 to 4) days after listing, whereas 8 (44%) patients died while awaiting a graft for a mean of 5.9 days (range, 2 to 17). All the transplants were performed according to the piggyback technique with routine preoperative use of intravenous recombinant factor VIIa (rVIIa) to control the coagulopathy, which resulted in significant (P < .0001), prompt correction of prothrombin time from a mean of 61 (range, 22 to 300) to 14 (range, 11 to 22) seconds at 15 minutes after drug administration. A mean of 4 (range, 0 to 14) units of RBC and 9 (range, 3 to 18) units of fresh frozen plasma were transfused during the procedure. Eight (80%) transplanted patients are alive in good condition with normal liver function at a mean of 18 (range, 4 to 36) months follow-up. Two patients died in the early postoperative period after massive aortic bleeding and biliary sepsis. In summary, only 56% of patients requiring emergency OLT received grafts achieving good medium and long-term survivals, which was significantly lower compared with Western European centers where this proportion reaches 90%. This outcome could be improved by international organ-sharing arrangements for emergency transplantation or living donation alternatives.

A clinically based discrete-event simulation of end-stage liver disease and the organ allocation process.

BACKGROUND: The optimal allocation of scarce donor livers is a contentious health care issue requiring careful analysis. The objective of this article was to design a biologically based discrete-event simulation to test proposed changes in allocation policies. METHODS: The authors used data from multiple sources to simulate end-stage liver disease and the complex allocation system. To validate the model, they compared simulation output with historical data. RESULTS: Simulation outcomes were within 1% to 2% of actual results for measures such as new candidates, donated livers, and transplants by year. The model overestimated the yearly size of the waiting list by 5% in the last year of the simulation and the total number of pretransplant deaths by 10%. CONCLUSION: The authors created a discrete-event simulation model that represents the biology of end-stage liver disease and the health care organization of transplantation in the United States.

Albumin dialysis in cirrhosis with superimposed acute liver injury: possible impact of albumin dialysis on hospitalization costs.

Albumin dialysis using the Molecular Adsorbents Recirculating System (MARS) has been found to be beneficial in the treatment of cirrhotic patients with acute decompensation to improve survival as well as reduce associated complications. The present study attempts to analyze the costs involved, and compare it to the benefit as a result of the MARS therapy, thus evaluating its cost-effectiveness. Using the results of a study by Kim et al. describing the effects of complications on the cost of hospitalization in alcoholic liver disease patients, the expenditure incurred in a group of 11 patients treated with standard medical therapy (five survivors) and a group of 12 patients treated with MARS in addition (11 survivors) (Heemann et al., Hepatology 2002) were analyzed. MARS resulted in a reduction of in-hospital deaths, as well as liver disease-related complications. Both these factors led to a substantial reduction of costs in the MARS group, which was enough to counterbalance the extra costs associated with extra-corporeal therapy. In the control group, the total hospitalization cost per survivor were calculated to be at $35,904. In the MARS group, the overall expenditure per survivor including standard medical therapy plus additional MARS liver support therapy were $32,036--a saving of nearly $4000 compared to the control group. Therefore, it appears that the benefits of MARS therapy are enough to justify the cost of treatment and safe hospital costs, at least in the described population. However, further studies are needed to confirm these results.

Economic evaluation of MARS--preliminary results on survival and quality of life.

OBJECTIVES: The short-term medical benefit of the liver dialysis system MARS in patients with severe acute liver disease has clearly been demonstrated. An economic analysis of MARS has not been presented previously. Objective of the study is to calculate the costs per life saved and life year gained and to measure health related quality of life in patients who survived acute liver failure. First results on survival and HRQL are presented here. STUDY DESIGN: Cost effectiveness and cost utility analysis of MARS are performed. All patients since 1993 with chronic liver failure (Bilirubin > 300 micro mol/l) of the university hospital Rostock are included in the original sample (n = 141). Survival data are calculated. Surviving patients were contacted personally, thus quality of life data (EQ 5D and SF12) determined. Patients were compared in case control study design. In a later stage inpatient hospital costs, direct and indirect outpatients costs are included in the analysis. PRELIMINARY RESULTS: MARS-Patients show a higher survival: Kaplan-Meier cumulative survival after 100 days: 0.59 after MARS, 0.39 without (P <0.05). There was no significant difference in health related quality of life (SF12 and EQ-D). Calculations of quality adjusted life years (QALYs) result in 0.116 QALYs gained by treatment of one patient with MARS in one year. DISCUSSION: First preliminary results suggest that 1 year after therapy MARS seems to have a positive effect concerning survival rate, survival time and QALYs gained. Final results of cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis will soon be presented.