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1.
J Med Virol ; 95(4): e28700, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36951314

RESUMO

Yellow fever (YF) virus is a mosquito-borne virus belonging to the Flaviviridae family that circulates in tropical and subtropical areas of Africa and South America. Despite the availability of an effective vaccine, YF remains a threat to travelers, residents of endemic areas, and unvaccinated populations. YF vaccination and natural infection both induce the production of neutralizing antibodies. Serological diagnostic methods detecting YF virus-specific antibodies demonstrate high levels of cross-reactivities with other flaviviruses. To date, the plaque reduction neutralization test (PRNT) is the most specific serological test for the differentiation of flavivirus infections and is considered the reference method for detecting YF neutralizing antibodies and assessing the protective immune response following vaccination. In this study, we developed and validated a YF PRNT. We optimized different parameters including cell concentration and virus-serum neutralization time period and then assessed the intra- and inter-assay precisions, dilutability, specificity, and lower limit of quantification (LLOQ) using international standard YF serum, sera from vaccinees and human specimens collected through YF surveillance. The YF PRNT has shown good robustness and 100% of intra-assay precision, 95.6% of inter-assay precision, 100% of specificity, 100% of LLOQ, and 95.3% of dilutability. The test is, therefore, suitable for use in the YF diagnostic as well as evaluation of the YF vaccine neutralizing antibody response and risk assessment studies.


Assuntos
Vacinas , Vacina contra Febre Amarela , Febre Amarela , Humanos , Febre Amarela/diagnóstico , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Testes de Neutralização , Vírus da Febre Amarela , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Anticorpos Antivirais
2.
Math Biosci Eng ; 19(2): 1786-1824, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35135229

RESUMO

We developed a new mathematical model for yellow fever under three types of intervention strategies: vaccination, hospitalization, and fumigation. Additionally, the side effects of the yellow fever vaccine were also considered in our model. To analyze the best intervention strategies, we constructed our model as an optimal control model. The stability of the equilibrium points and basic reproduction number of the model are presented. Our model indicates that when yellow fever becomes endemic or disappears from the population, it depends on the value of the basic reproduction number, whether it larger or smaller than one. Using the Pontryagin maximum principle, we characterized our optimal control problem. From numerical experiments, we show that the optimal levels of each control must be justified, depending on the strategies chosen to optimally control the spread of yellow fever.


Assuntos
Febre Amarela , Número Básico de Reprodução , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Vacinação , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle
3.
Cad Saude Publica ; 38(1): e00000521, 2022.
Artigo em Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35081199

RESUMO

Following the reemergence of yellow fever in 2014/2015, Brazil recorded its largest yellow fever epidemic in recent decades, mainly affecting the country's Southeast region. Yellow fever is a hemorrhagic viral disease caused by a flavivirus transmitted by sylvatic mosquitos (Haemagogus; Sabethes). In the urban cycle, eradicated in Brazil since 1942, the virus is transmitted by Aedes aegypti. Nonhuman primates are the principal hosts of the virus and constitute "sentinels" in yellow fever surveillance. This article describes the control and prevention activities launched during the yellow fever epidemic in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, and the implementation of vaccination, through an ecological study with a spatial approach. The study revealed the lack of detection of epizootics in nonhuman primates by surveillance services in Espírito Santo, with simultaneous detection in humans. The study presented the evolution of vaccination activities, reaching 85% overall coverage for the state in six months, varying widely, from 59% to 122%, between municipalities (counties). Importantly, 55% of the municipalities with timely immunization, considering the interval adopted for this study, did not present human cases. The intensification of surveillance activities, communication between areas, and multidisciplinary teams in managing the epidemic optimized the detection and diagnosis of human cases and allowed control of the epidemic. The study identifies progress and points to some late measures and gaps in surveillance that require improvements.


A partir da reemergência da febre amarela em 2014/2015, o Brasil registrou nos anos sequentes sua maior epidemia de febre amarela das últimas décadas, atingindo principalmente a região sudeste. A febre amarela, doença viral hemorrágica, é causada por um flavivírus, transmitido por mosquitos silvestres (Haemagogus; Sabethes). Na ocorrência do ciclo urbano, erradicado no Brasil desde 1942, a transmissão se dá pelo Aedes aegypti. Primatas não humanos são os principais hospedeiros do vírus e constituem "sentinelas" na vigilância da febre amarela. Este artigo descreve as ações de controle e prevenção desencadeadas durante a epidemia de febre amarela no Estado do Espírito Santo, Brasil, e a implementação da vacinação por meio de um estudo ecológico com abordagem espacial. O estudo evidenciou a falha na detecção de epizootias em primatas não humanos pelos serviços de vigilância do Espírito Santo, sendo simultânea à detecção em humanos. Apresentou a evolução das ações de vacinação, com alcance de 85% de cobertura vacinal geral para o estado em seis meses, sendo heterogênea entre os municípios (de 59% a 122%). Destaca-se que 55% dos municípios com ações de imunização em tempo oportuno, considerando o intervalo adotado para este estudo, não apresentaram casos em humanos. A intensificação das ações de vigilância, interlocução entre as áreas e equipes multidisciplinares na condução da epidemia otimizou a detecção e o diagnóstico dos casos em humanos e viabilizou o controle da epidemia. Foi possível reconhecer avanços, apontar algumas medidas tardias e lacunas na vigilância que necessitam melhorias.


A partir del resurgimiento de la fiebre amarilla en 2014/2015, Brasil registró los años siguientes su mayor epidemia de fiebre amarilla de las últimas décadas, alcanzando principalmente la región sudeste. La fiebre amarilla, enfermedad viral hemorrágica, es causada por un flavivirus, transmitido por mosquitos silvestres (Haemagogus; Sabethes). Respecto a la ocurrencia del ciclo urbano, erradicado en Brasil desde 1942, la transmisión se produce por el Aedes aegypti. Primates no humanos son los principales huéspedes del virus, y constituyen "centinelas" en la vigilancia de la fiebre amarilla. Este artículo describe las acciones de control y prevención desencadenadas durante la epidemia de fiebre amarilla en el Estado de Espírito Santo, Brasil, y la implementación de la vacunación mediante un estudio ecológico con abordaje espacial. El estudio evidenció el fallo en la detección de epizootias en primates no humanos por los servicios de vigilancia de Espírito Santo, siendo simultánea a la detección en humanos. Presentó la evolución de las acciones de vacunación, con alcance de un 85% de cobertura en la vacunación general para el estado en seis meses, siendo heterogénea entre los municipios (de 59% a 122%). Se destaca que un 55% de los municipios con acciones de inmunización en tiempo oportuno, considerando el intervalo adoptado para este estudio, no presentaron casos humanos. La intensificación de las acciones de vigilancia, interlocución entre las áreas y equipos multidisciplinarios en la gestión de la epidemia optimizó la detección y diagnóstico de los casos humanos y viabilizó el control de la epidemia. Fue posible reconocer avances, apuntar algunas medidas tardías y lagunas en la vigilancia que necesitan mejorías.


Assuntos
Aedes , Epidemias , Febre Amarela , Animais , Brasil/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/veterinária , Humanos , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Febre Amarela/veterinária
4.
Cad. Saúde Pública (Online) ; 38(1): e00000521, 2022. tab, graf
Artigo em Português | LILACS | ID: biblio-1355974

RESUMO

A partir da reemergência da febre amarela em 2014/2015, o Brasil registrou nos anos sequentes sua maior epidemia de febre amarela das últimas décadas, atingindo principalmente a região sudeste. A febre amarela, doença viral hemorrágica, é causada por um flavivírus, transmitido por mosquitos silvestres (Haemagogus; Sabethes). Na ocorrência do ciclo urbano, erradicado no Brasil desde 1942, a transmissão se dá pelo Aedes aegypti. Primatas não humanos são os principais hospedeiros do vírus e constituem "sentinelas" na vigilância da febre amarela. Este artigo descreve as ações de controle e prevenção desencadeadas durante a epidemia de febre amarela no Estado do Espírito Santo, Brasil, e a implementação da vacinação por meio de um estudo ecológico com abordagem espacial. O estudo evidenciou a falha na detecção de epizootias em primatas não humanos pelos serviços de vigilância do Espírito Santo, sendo simultânea à detecção em humanos. Apresentou a evolução das ações de vacinação, com alcance de 85% de cobertura vacinal geral para o estado em seis meses, sendo heterogênea entre os municípios (de 59% a 122%). Destaca-se que 55% dos municípios com ações de imunização em tempo oportuno, considerando o intervalo adotado para este estudo, não apresentaram casos em humanos. A intensificação das ações de vigilância, interlocução entre as áreas e equipes multidisciplinares na condução da epidemia otimizou a detecção e o diagnóstico dos casos em humanos e viabilizou o controle da epidemia. Foi possível reconhecer avanços, apontar algumas medidas tardias e lacunas na vigilância que necessitam melhorias.


Following the reemergence of yellow fever in 2014/2015, Brazil recorded its largest yellow fever epidemic in recent decades, mainly affecting the country's Southeast region. Yellow fever is a hemorrhagic viral disease caused by a flavivirus transmitted by sylvatic mosquitos (Haemagogus; Sabethes). In the urban cycle, eradicated in Brazil since 1942, the virus is transmitted by Aedes aegypti. Nonhuman primates are the principal hosts of the virus and constitute "sentinels" in yellow fever surveillance. This article describes the control and prevention activities launched during the yellow fever epidemic in the State of Espírito Santo, Brazil, and the implementation of vaccination, through an ecological study with a spatial approach. The study revealed the lack of detection of epizootics in nonhuman primates by surveillance services in Espírito Santo, with simultaneous detection in humans. The study presented the evolution of vaccination activities, reaching 85% overall coverage for the state in six months, varying widely, from 59% to 122%, between municipalities (counties). Importantly, 55% of the municipalities with timely immunization, considering the interval adopted for this study, did not present human cases. The intensification of surveillance activities, communication between areas, and multidisciplinary teams in managing the epidemic optimized the detection and diagnosis of human cases and allowed control of the epidemic. The study identifies progress and points to some late measures and gaps in surveillance that require improvements.


A partir del resurgimiento de la fiebre amarilla en 2014/2015, Brasil registró los años siguientes su mayor epidemia de fiebre amarilla de las últimas décadas, alcanzando principalmente la región sudeste. La fiebre amarilla, enfermedad viral hemorrágica, es causada por un flavivirus, transmitido por mosquitos silvestres (Haemagogus; Sabethes). Respecto a la ocurrencia del ciclo urbano, erradicado en Brasil desde 1942, la transmisión se produce por el Aedes aegypti. Primates no humanos son los principales huéspedes del virus, y constituyen "centinelas" en la vigilancia de la fiebre amarilla. Este artículo describe las acciones de control y prevención desencadenadas durante la epidemia de fiebre amarilla en el Estado de Espírito Santo, Brasil, y la implementación de la vacunación mediante un estudio ecológico con abordaje espacial. El estudio evidenció el fallo en la detección de epizootias en primates no humanos por los servicios de vigilancia de Espírito Santo, siendo simultánea a la detección en humanos. Presentó la evolución de las acciones de vacunación, con alcance de un 85% de cobertura en la vacunación general para el estado en seis meses, siendo heterogénea entre los municipios (de 59% a 122%). Se destaca que un 55% de los municipios con acciones de inmunización en tiempo oportuno, considerando el intervalo adoptado para este estudio, no presentaron casos humanos. La intensificación de las acciones de vigilancia, interlocución entre las áreas y equipos multidisciplinarios en la gestión de la epidemia optimizó la detección y diagnóstico de los casos humanos y viabilizó el control de la epidemia. Fue posible reconocer avances, apuntar algunas medidas tardías y lagunas en la vigilancia que necesitan mejorías.


Assuntos
Humanos , Animais , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Febre Amarela/veterinária , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Aedes , Epidemias , Brasil/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Surtos de Doenças/veterinária
5.
Elife ; 102021 03 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33722340

RESUMO

Yellow fever (YF) is a viral, vector-borne, haemorrhagic fever endemic in tropical regions of Africa and South America. The vaccine for YF is considered safe and effective, but intervention strategies need to be optimised; one of the tools for this is mathematical modelling. We refine and expand an existing modelling framework for Africa to account for transmission in South America. We fit to YF occurrence and serology data. We then estimate the subnational forces of infection for the entire endemic region. Finally, using demographic and vaccination data, we examine the impact of vaccination activities. We estimate that there were 109,000 (95% credible interval [CrI] [67,000-173,000]) severe infections and 51,000 (95% CrI [31,000-82,000]) deaths due to YF in Africa and South America in 2018. We find that mass vaccination activities in Africa reduced deaths by 47% (95% CrI [10%-77%]). This methodology allows us to evaluate the effectiveness of vaccination and illustrates the need for continued vigilance and surveillance of YF.


Assuntos
Carga Global da Doença , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , África/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Saúde Global , Humanos , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Teóricos , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , América do Sul/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Vacinação/métodos , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Febre Amarela/transmissão , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/uso terapêutico
7.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 14(9): e0008711, 2020 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32997666

RESUMO

Environmental enteric dysfunction (EED) is an intestinal disorder common among children in low-resource settings and is associated with increased risk of growth stunting, cognitive deficits, and reduced oral vaccine immunogenicity. The Micronutrient and EED Assessment Tool (MEEDAT) is a multiplexed immunoassay that measures biomarkers previously associated with child growth faltering and/or oral vaccine immunogenicity: intestinal fatty acid-binding protein (I-FABP), soluble CD14 (sCD14), insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), and fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21). MEEDAT also measures systemic inflammation (α1-acid glycoprotein, C-reactive protein), ferritin, soluble transferrin receptor, retinol binding protein 4, thyroglobulin, and Plasmodium falciparum antigenemia (histidine-rich protein 2). The performance of MEEDAT was compared with commercially available enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs) using 300 specimens from Malian infant clinical trial participants. Regression methods were used to test if MEEDAT biomarkers were associated with seroconversion to meningococcal A conjugate vaccine (MenAV), yellow fever vaccine (YFV), and pentavalent rotavirus vaccine (PRV) after 28 days, or with growth faltering over 12 weeks. The Pearson correlations between the MEEDAT and ELISA results were 0.97, 0.86, 0.80, and 0.97 for serum I-FABP, sCD14, IGF-1, and FGF21, respectively. There were significant associations between I-FABP concentration and the probability of PRV IgG seroconversion and between IGF-1 concentration and the probability of YFV seroconversion. In multivariable models neither association remained significant, however there was a significant negative association between AGP concentration and YFV seroconversion. GLP-2 and sCD14 concentrations were significantly negatively associated with 12-week change in weight-for-age z-score and weight-for-height z-score in multivariable models. MEEDAT performed well in comparison to commercially-available ELISAs for the measurement of four analytes for EED and growth hormone resistance. Adoption of MEEDAT in low-resource settings could help accelerate the identification of interventions that prevent or treat child stunting and interventions that boost the immunogenicity of child vaccinations.


Assuntos
Imunogenicidade da Vacina/imunologia , Enteropatias/imunologia , Micronutrientes/imunologia , Vacinas/imunologia , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/imunologia , Febre Amarela/imunologia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Biomarcadores/sangue , Método Duplo-Cego , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática , Proteínas de Ligação a Ácido Graxo , Feminino , Ferritinas/sangue , Fatores de Crescimento de Fibroblastos/sangue , Humanos , Lactente , Inflamação , Fator de Crescimento Insulin-Like I/metabolismo , Intestino Delgado , Receptores de Lipopolissacarídeos , Masculino , Mali , Proteínas Plasmáticas de Ligação ao Retinol , Fatores de Risco , Vacinação
8.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 14(5): e0008304, 2020 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32379756

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To counter the increasing global risk of Yellow fever (YF), the World Health Organisation initiated the Eliminate Yellow fever Epidemics (EYE) strategy. Estimating YF burden, as well as vaccine impact, while accounting for the features of urban YF transmission such as indirect benefits of vaccination, is key to informing this strategy. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We developed two model variants to estimate YF burden in sub-Saharan Africa, assuming all infections stem from either the sylvatic or the urban cycle of the disease. Both relied on an ecological niche model fitted to the local presence of any YF reported event in 34 African countries. We calibrated under-reporting using independent estimates of transmission intensity provided by 12 serological surveys performed in 11 countries. We calculated local numbers of YF infections, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost based on estimated transmission intensity while accounting for time-varying vaccination coverage. We estimated vaccine demand and impact of future preventive mass vaccination campaigns (PMVCs) according to various vaccination scenarios. Vaccination activities conducted in Africa between 2005 and 2017 were estimated to prevent from 3.3 (95% CI 1.2-7.7) to 6.1 (95% CI 2.4-13.2) millions of deaths over the lifetime of vaccinees, representing extreme scenarios of none or maximal herd effects, respectively. By prioritizing provinces based on the risk of urban YF transmission in future PMVCs, an average of 37.7 million annual doses for PMVCs over eight years would avert an estimated 9,900,000 (95% CI 7,000,000-13,400,000) infections and 480,000 (180,000-1,140,000) deaths over the lifetime of vaccinees, corresponding to 1.7 (0.7-4.1) deaths averted per 1,000 vaccine doses. CONCLUSIONS: By estimating YF burden and vaccine impact over a range of spatial and temporal scales, while accounting for the specificity of urban transmission, our model can be used to inform the current EYE strategy.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/prevenção & controle , Epidemias/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/administração & dosagem , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Adulto , África/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/imunologia , Adulto Jovem
9.
Value Health Reg Issues ; 20: 60-65, 2019 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30974312

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the public health benefits and economic value of live-attenuated yellow fever (YF) 17D vaccine in Colombia. METHODS: A decision tree model was used to assess the theoretical impact of routine YF vaccination of 1-year-olds (no "catch-up") during the interepidemic period from 1980 to 2002, avoiding capturing the impact of YF vaccine introduction in 2003. The vaccine was assumed to be 99% effective, to provide lifetime protection, and to cover 85% of the target population. Costs per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted were computed from payer and societal perspectives. Univariate sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: During the interepidemic period, routine YF vaccination would have averted 2223 nonfatal cases of YF and 65 deaths, leading to an overall reduction of 1365 DALYs. The net cost of this vaccination would have been $25 964 813 (payer's perspective) and $16 535 465 (societal perspective). Cost per DALY averted was $19 022 and $12 114 from payer and societal perspectives, respectively (all costs in 2015 US dollars). Vaccination was considered cost-effective from both perspectives (ie, between 1- and 3-fold the gross domestic product per capita, $7158) and remains so if price per dose was $2.75 or less and $4.66 from payer and societal perspectives, respectively. Underreporting had the largest impact on the results. CONCLUSIONS: Routine toddler YF vaccination in Colombia would have been considered cost-effective in the prevaccination era. This study provides insights on the value of vaccination in an upper middle-income country.


Assuntos
Vacina contra Febre Amarela/uso terapêutico , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Árvores de Decisões , Epidemias/economia , Epidemias/prevenção & controle , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/economia , Programas de Imunização/métodos , Lactente , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Cobertura Vacinal/economia , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos , Febre Amarela/economia , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/economia
11.
Guatemala; MSPAS, Departamento de Epidemiología; oct. 2018. 40 p.
Monografia em Espanhol | LILACS | ID: biblio-1025227

RESUMO

Estos protocolos están dirigido a personal médico, paramédico y otros profesionales que realizan acciones gerenciales y operativas de vigilancia epidemiológica en los servicios de salud del país, y están divididos en varios tomos para dar a conocer y actualizar la identificación y medidas de control para diversos padecimientos a fin de continuar con el mejoramiento de las capacidades técnicas de los trabajadores de salud, que permita planificar la prestación de servicios con decisiones partiendo de un enfoque epidemiológico comprobado, para responder a los cambios de tendencias epidemiológicas y con ello contribuir al fortalecimiento de prácticas asertivas de la salud pública de nuestro país. Las enfermedades causadas por arbovirus suelen presentarse en forma epidémica y son similares entre sí en su expresión clínica; constituyen un síndrome que puede ser febril leve y exantémico hasta formas incapacitantes, graves o muerte. Los arbovirus tienen una distribución mundial, la mayoría hacen prevalencia en zonas tropicales y subtropicales. La incidencia de la enfermedad depende de las condiciones climáticas. Son enfermedades endémicas de las zonas selváticas de lluvia tropical y las epidemias ocurren por lo general en zonas templadas después de las lluvias, particularmente proporcionales al aumento de la población de los mosquitos que los transmiten.


Assuntos
Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Recém-Nascido , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Síndrome de Guillain-Barré/prevenção & controle , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Febre de Chikungunya/prevenção & controle , Infecção por Zika virus/prevenção & controle , Vigilância Sanitária/organização & administração , Sistema de Vigilância em Saúde , Guatemala
12.
Vaccine ; 36(24): 3505-3512, 2018 06 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29773321

RESUMO

Many developing countries still face the prevalence of preventable childhood diseases because their vaccine supply chain systems are inadequate by design or structure to meet the needs of their populations. Currently, Nigeria is evaluating options in the redesign of the country's vaccine supply chain. Using Nigeria as a case study, the objective is to evaluate different regional supply chain scenarios to identify the cost minimizing optimal hub locations and storage capacities for doses of different vaccines to achieve a 100% fill rate. First, we employ a shortest-path optimization routine to determine hub locations. Second, we develop a total cost minimizing routine based on stochastic optimization to determine the optimal capacities at the hubs. This model uses vaccine supply data between 2011 and 2014 provided by Nigeria's National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA) on Tuberculosis, Polio, Yellow Fever, Tetanus Toxoid, and Hepatitis B. We find that a two-regional system with no central hub (NC2) cut costs by 23% to achieve a 100% fill rate when compared to optimizing the existing chain of six regions with a central hub (EC6). While the government's leading redesign alternative - no central three-hub system (Gov NC3) - reduces costs by 21% compared with the current EC6, it is more expensive than our NC2 system by 3%. In terms of capacity increases, optimizing the current system requires 42% more capacity than our NC2 system. Although the proposed Gov NC3 system requires the least increase in storage capacity, it requires the most distance to achieve a 100% coverage and about 15% more than our NC2. Overall, we find that improving the current system with a central hub and all its variants, even with optimal regional hub locations, require more storage capacities and are costlier than systems without a central hub. While this analysis prescribes the no central hub with two regions (NC2) as the least cost scenario, it is imperative to note that other configurations have benefits and comparative tradeoffs. Our approach and results offer some guidance for future vaccine supply chain redesigns in countries with similar layouts to Nigeria's.


Assuntos
Bancos de Espécimes Biológicos/economia , Armazenamento de Medicamentos/economia , Programas de Imunização/economia , Modelos Econômicos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Vacinas/economia , Armazenamento de Medicamentos/métodos , Hepatite B/economia , Hepatite B/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Nigéria , Poliomielite/economia , Poliomielite/prevenção & controle , Tétano/economia , Tétano/prevenção & controle , Tuberculose/economia , Tuberculose/prevenção & controle , Vacinas/provisão & distribuição , Febre Amarela/economia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle
13.
J Travel Med ; 25(1)2018 05 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29846640

RESUMO

Canadians are increasingly travelling to areas that would necessitate a pre-travel consultation. Changes in professional regulations in Canada allow greater autonomy of nurses and pharmacists, resulting in shifts in provision of travel health services. We surveyed 824 Canadian travel clinics, 270 (33%) of whom responded. Private clinics were most common, and more likely to offer extended hours and drop-in appointments. In one province, pharmacies dominated. Half the services were relatively new and a similar proportion saw fewer than 10 patients weekly; 1/3 had a single provider. The increased spectrum of services may increase convenience for travellers but the large proportion seeing low numbers of clients will challenge providers to maintain competence.


Assuntos
Medicina de Viagem/organização & administração , Canadá , Humanos , Medicina de Viagem/economia , Doença Relacionada a Viagens , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle
15.
Travel Med Infect Dis ; 18: 24-29, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28698027

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: More than 700,000 trips were made by residents in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland (EWNI) in 2015 to tropical countries endemic for yellow fever, a potentially deadly, yet vaccine-preventable disease transmitted by mosquitoes. The aim of this study was to map the geographical accessibility of yellow fever vaccination centres (YFVC) in EWNI. METHODS: The location of 3208 YFVC were geocoded and the average geodetic distance to nearest YFVC was calculated for each population unit. Data on trips abroad and centres were obtained regionally for EWNI and nationally for the World Top20 countries in terms of travel. RESULTS: The mean distance to nearest YFVC was 2.4 km and only 1% of the population had to travel more than 16.1 km to their nearest centre. The number of vaccines administered regionally in EWNI was found correlated with the number of trips to yellow fever countries. The number of centres per 100,000 trips was 6.1 in EWNI, which was below United States (12.1) and above the rest of Top20 countries. CONCLUSIONS: The service availability was in line with demand regionally. With the exception of remote, rural areas, yellow fever vaccination services were widely available with only short distances to cover for the travelling public.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacina contra Febre Amarela , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Viagem , Medicina de Viagem , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
17.
Health Policy Plan ; 32(4): 538-548, 2017 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28104695

RESUMO

CONTEXT: For some countries, favourable climatic conditions for tourism are often associated with favourable conditions for infectious diseases, with the ensuing development constraints on the tourist sectors of impoverished countries where tourism's economic contribution has a high potential. This paper evaluates the economic implications of eradication of Malaria, Dengue, Yellow Fever and Ebola on the affected destination countries focusing on the tourist expenditures. METHODS: A gravity model for international tourism flows is used to provide an estimation of the impact of each travel-related disease on international tourist arrivals. Next the potential eradication of these diseases in the affected countries is simulated and the impact on tourism expenditures is estimated. FINDINGS: The results show that, in the case of Malaria, Dengue, Yellow Fever and Ebola, the eradication of these diseases in the affected countries would result in an increase of around 10 million of tourist worldwide and a rise in the tourism expenditure of 12 billion dollars. CONCLUSION: By analysing the economic benefits of the eradication of Dengue, Ebola, Malaria, and Yellow Fever for the tourist sector-a strategic economic sector for many of the countries where these TRD are present-this paper explores a new aspect of the quantification of health policies which should be taken into consideration in future international health assessment programmes. It is important to note that the analysis is only made of the direct impact of the diseases' eradication and consequently the potential multiplicative effects of a growth in the GDP, in terms of tourism attractiveness, are not evaluated. Consequently, the economic results can be considered to be skeleton ones.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Erradicação de Doenças/economia , Viagem/economia , Dengue/epidemiologia , Dengue/prevenção & controle , Saúde Global , Política de Saúde , Humanos , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle
18.
Biochem Biophys Res Commun ; 492(4): 548-557, 2017 10 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28109882

RESUMO

Despite the availability of a safe and efficacious yellow fever vaccine since 1937, yellow fever remains a public health threat as a re-emerging disease in Africa and South America. We reviewed the trend of reported yellow fever outbreaks in eastern African countries, identified the risk epidemiological factors associated with the outbreaks and assessed the current situation of Yellow Fever vaccination in Africa. Surveillance and case finding for yellow fever in Africa are insufficient primarily due to lack of appropriate diagnostic capabilities, poor health infrastructure resulting in under-recognition, underreporting and underestimation of the disease. Despite these challenges, Ethiopia reported 302,614 cases (30,505 deaths) in 1943-2015, Kenya had 207 cases (38 deaths) in 1992-2016, Sudan experienced 31,750 suspected cases (1855 deaths) from 1940 to 2012 and Uganda had 452 cases (65 deaths) in 1941-2016. Major risk factors associated with past yellow fever outbreaks include climate, human practices and virus genetics. Comparisons between isolates from different outbreaks after 45 years have revealed the genetic stability of the structural proteins of YFV which are the primary targets of the host immune cells. This probably explains why yellow fever 17D vaccine is considered as outstandingly efficacious and safe after being used for 75 years. However, the 14 amino-acid changes among these isolates may have a greater impact on the changing disease epidemiology, virulence and transmission rate. Low population immunity against YF influences outbreak frequency especially in countries where the incorporation of YF vaccination is not combined with mass vaccination campaigns or vaccination is limited to international travellers. Understanding Yellow fever virus epidemiology as determined by its evolution underscores appropriate disease mitigation strategies and immunization policies. Mobilizing scarce resources to enhance population immunity through sufficient vaccination, promoting environmental sanitation/hygienic practices, driving behavioral change and community-based vector control are significant to preventing future epidemics.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/economia , Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/uso terapêutico , Febre Amarela/mortalidade , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , África Oriental/epidemiologia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/estatística & dados numéricos , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Doenças Endêmicas/economia , Doenças Endêmicas/prevenção & controle , Doenças Endêmicas/estatística & dados numéricos , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/economia , Humanos , Vacinação em Massa/economia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Revisão da Utilização de Recursos de Saúde , Febre Amarela/economia , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/economia
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