Intelligent prediction of RBC demand in trauma patients using decision tree methods.

BACKGROUND: The vital signs of trauma patients are complex and changeable, and the prediction of blood transfusion demand mainly depends on doctors' experience and trauma scoring system; therefore, it cannot be accurately predicted. In this study, a machine learning decision tree algorithm [classification and regression tree (CRT) and eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)] was proposed for the demand prediction of traumatic blood transfusion to provide technical support for doctors. METHODS: A total of 1371 trauma patients who were diverted to the Emergency Department of the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to January 2018 were collected from an emergency trauma database. The vital signs, laboratory examination parameters and blood transfusion volume were used as variables, and the non-invasive parameters and all (non-invasive + invasive) parameters were used to construct an intelligent prediction model for red blood cell (RBC) demand by logistic regression (LR), CRT and XGBoost. The prediction accuracy of the model was compared with the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: For non-invasive parameters, the LR method was the best, with an AUC of 0.72 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.657-0.775], which was higher than the CRT (AUC 0.69, 95% CI 0.633-0.751) and the XGBoost (AUC 0.71, 95% CI 0.654-0.756, P < 0.05). The trauma location and shock index are important prediction parameters. For all the prediction parameters, XGBoost was the best, with an AUC of 0.94 (95% CI 0.893-0.981), which was higher than the LR (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.744-0.850) and the CRT (AUC 0.82, 95% CI 0.779-0.853, P < 0.05). Haematocrit (Hct) is an important prediction parameter. CONCLUSIONS: The classification performance of the intelligent prediction model of red blood cell transfusion in trauma patients constructed by the decision tree algorithm is not inferior to that of the traditional LR method. It can be used as a technical support to assist doctors to make rapid and accurate blood transfusion decisions in emergency rescue environment, so as to improve the success rate of patient treatment.

Quality of life assessment in chronic wound patients using the Wound-QoL and FLQA-Wk instruments.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate changes in the quality of life of patients with chronic wounds. METHODS: Quantitative research with a cross-sectional design performed with 100 patients with chronic wounds from a university hospital and a Basic Health Unit in southern Brazil. The mean values of the domains of the instruments Wound Quality of Life (Wound-QoL) and Freiburg Life Quality Assessment Wound were compared with sociodemographic variables of age, sex and education. RESULTS: The average age of the participants was 60.98 years old; 41% (n = 41) had diabetic ulcers and 83% (n = 83) treated the wounds for more than 24 months. The total quality of life value was below the mean with 37.50/100 with (Wound-QoL) and 44.20/100 with (FLQA-Wk). The variables of gender, and educational level were not correlated with either of the two instruments used to assess the quality of life. The age variable was significantly correlated with the satisfaction item of the FLQA-Wk. CONCLUSIONS: The quality of life of patients with chronic wounds was considered poor. The age variable was correlated with the satisfaction domain, showing that the older the age, the lower the satisfaction. The use of instruments to evaluate the quality of life of patients with chronic wounds may help an effective treatment plan.

Cost analysis of road traffic crashes in China.

Fatalities and injuries resulting from road traffic crashes is always a serious problem. The overall economic losses caused by road traffic crashes are beyond imagination. Including the economic cost of property damage, productivity loss, medical cost, travel delay time cost, legal cost and insurance cost, the total economic cost of traffic crashes in China in 2017 is calculated as 490.1 billion yuan (72.6 billion USD 2017), which is equivalent to 0.60% of the GDP. The cost of productivity loss accounts for the highest proportion of total economic cost, which is 72%. The second is the travel delay cost, accounting for 12% insurance cost, property damage cost and medical cost are followed. The more serious the injury, the higher the unit economic cost. The unit cost of a crash that caused only property damage is 11,274 yuan. The unit cost of a minor injured crash is 20,223 yuan. The highest unit economic cost is the unit cost of a fatal crash, which is 3,181,394 yuan. This study provides important insights into the cost-benefit analysis of China's road safety policies.

Trauma Service Utilization Increases Cost But Does Not Add Value for Minimally Injured Patients.

OBJECTIVE: Trauma care provides value to the critically injured. Our aim was to assess whether trauma team involvement adds value to the care of minimally injured patients and to define its costs. METHODS: Minimally injured patients admitted to a trauma center were propensity matched and compared by involvement versus no involvement of the trauma service (TS). Demographics, injury severity, complications, length of emergency department stay, mortality, and hospital costs and charges were studied. RESULTS: A total of 1253 patients were enrolled, with 308 propensity matched to the following groups: TS (n = 102) and no TS (n = 206). TS demonstrated a 30% increase in total charges and costs with no difference in complications. TS did demonstrate decreased time in the emergency department but had an increased delay to operation. Findings were similar when stratified for only lower extremity injuries. CONCLUSIONS: TS involvement for minimally injured patients does not increase value. Reducing TS involvement while avoiding trauma undertriage may reduce costs to the healthcare system without affecting outcomes.

Minimal important change in physical function in trauma patients: a study using the short musculoskeletal function assessment.

PURPOSE: The Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment (SMFA) questionnaire can be used to evaluate physical functioning in patients with traumatic injuries. It is not known what change in score reflects a meaningful change to patients. The aim was to determine minimal important change (MIC) values of the subscales (0-100) of the Dutch SMFA-NL in a sample of patients with a broad range of injuries. METHODS: Patients between 18 and 65 years of age completed the SMFA-NL and the Global Rating of Effect (GRE) questions at 6-week and 12-month post-injury. Anchor-based MIC values were calculated using univariable logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 225 patients were included (response rate 67%). The MIC value of the Upper Extremity Dysfunction (UED) subscale was 8 points, with a misclassification rate of 43%. The Lower Extremity Dysfunction subscale MIC value was 14 points, with a misclassification rate of 29%. The MIC value of the Problems with Daily Activities subscale was 25 points, with a misclassification rate of 33%. The MIC value of the Mental and Emotional Problems (MEP) subscale was 7 points, with a misclassification rate 37%. CONCLUSION: MIC values of the SMFA-NL were determined. The MIC values aid interpreting whether a change in physical functioning can be considered clinically important. Due to the considerable rates of misclassification, the MIC values of the UED and MEP subscales should be used with caution.

Primary care networks: an opportunity to improve community wound care.

Primary care networks (PCNs) were introduced in England in 2019 to bring about closer collaboration between general practice and community health services. The ambition is that greater collaboration between services will achieve better patient outcomes and reduce costs through more effective sharing of staff and resources. Wound care might be considered an ideal focus for PCNs, since general practice and community health services not only have a predominant role in the management of wounds, but variable and suboptimal practice continues and poor outcomes persist. This article investigates some ways in which PCNs might enable health-system changes that could improve the provision of wound care.

Prehospital epidemiology and management of injured children in Kigali, Rwanda.

INTRODUCTION: Paediatric injuries are a major cause of mortality and disability worldwide, yet little information exists regarding its epidemiology or prehospital management in low-income and middle-income countries. We aimed to describe the paediatric injuries seen and managed by the prehospital ambulance service, Service d'Aide Medicale d'Urgence (SAMU), in Kigali, Rwanda over more than 3 years. METHODS: A retrospective, descriptive analysis was conducted of all injured children managed by SAMU in the prehospital setting between December 2012 and April 2016. RESULTS: SAMU responded to a total of 636 injured children, 10% of all patients seen. The incidence of paediatric injury in Kigali, Rwanda was 140 injuries per 100 000 children. 65% were male and the average age 13.5 (±5.3). Most patients were between 15 and 19 years old (56%). The most common causes of injuries were road traffic incidents (RTIs) (447, 72%), falls (70, 11%) and assaults (50, 8%). Most RTIs involved pedestrians (251, 56%), while 15% (65) involved a bicycle. Anatomical injuries included trauma to the head (330, 52%), lower limb (280, 44%) and upper limb (179, 28%). Common interventions included provision of pain medications (445, 70%), intravenous fluids (217, 34%) and stabilisation with cervical collar (190, 30%). CONCLUSION: In Kigali, RTIs were the most frequent cause of injuries to children requiring prehospital response with most RTIs involving pedestrians. Rwanda has recently instituted several programmes to reduce the impact of paediatric injuries especially with regard to RTIs. These include changes in traffic laws and increased road safety initiatives.

In Vitro, In Vivo, and In Silico Methods for Assessment of Muscle Size and Muscle Growth Regulation.

Trauma, burn injury, sepsis, and ischemia lead to acute and chronic loss of skeletal muscle mass and function. Healthy muscle is essential for eating, posture, respiration, reproduction, and mobility, as well as for appropriate function of the senses including taste, vision, and hearing. Beyond providing support and contraction, skeletal muscle also exerts essential roles in temperature regulation, metabolism, and overall health. As the primary reservoir for amino acids, skeletal muscle regulates whole-body protein and glucose metabolism by providing substrate for protein synthesis and supporting hepatic gluconeogenesis during illness and starvation. Overall, greater muscle mass is linked to greater insulin sensitivity and glucose disposal, strength, power, and longevity. In contrast, low muscle mass correlates with dysmetabolism, dysmobility, and poor survival. Muscle mass is highly plastic, appropriate to its role as reservoir, and subject to striking genetic control. Defining mechanisms of muscle growth regulation holds significant promise to find interventions that promote health and diminish morbidity and mortality after trauma, sepsis, inflammation, and other systemic insults. In this invited review, we summarize techniques and methods to assess and manipulate muscle size and muscle mass in experimental systems, including cell culture and rodent models. These approaches have utility for studies of myopenia, sarcopenia, cachexia, and acute muscle growth or atrophy in the setting of health or injury.

Prehospital triage for mass casualty incidents using the META method for early surgical assessment: retrospective validation of a hospital trauma registry.

BACKGROUND: In mass casualty incidents (MCI), death usually occurs within the first few hours and thus early transfer to a trauma centre can be crucial in selected cases. However, most triage systems designed to prioritize the transfer to hospital of these patients do not assess the need for surgery, in part due to inconclusive evidence regarding the value of such an assessment. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate the capacity of a new triage system-the Prehospital Advanced Triage Method (META)-to identify victims who could benefit from urgent surgical assessment in case of MCI. METHODS: Retrospective, descriptive, observational study of a multipurpose cohort of patients included in the severe trauma registry of the Gregorio Marañón University General Hospital (Spain) between June 1993 and December 2011. All data were prospectively evaluated. All patients were evaluated with the META system to determine whether they met the criteria for urgent transfer. The META defines patients in need of urgent surgical assessment: (a) All penetrating injuries to head, neck, torso and extremities proximal to elbow or knee, (b) Open pelvic fracture, (c) Closed pelvic fracture with mechanical or haemodynamic instability and (d) Blunt torso trauma with haemodynamic instability. Patients who fulfilled these criteria were designated as "Urgent Evacuation for Surgical Assessment" (UESA) cases; all other cases were designated as non-UESA. The following variables were assessed: patient status at the scene; severity scales [RTS, Shock index, MGAP (Mechanism, Glasgow coma scale, Age, pressure), GCS]; need for surgery and/or interventional procedure to control bleeding (UESA); and mortality. The two groups (UESA vs. non-UESA) were then compared. RESULTS: A total of 1882 cases from the database were included in the study. Mean age was 39.2 years and most (77%) patients were male. UESA patients presented significantly worse on-scene hemodynamic parameters (systolic blood pressure and heart rate) and greater injury severity (RTS, shock index, and MGAP scales). No differences were observed for respiratory rate, need for orotracheal intubation, or GCS scores. The anatomical injuries of patients in the UESA group were less severe but these patients had a greater need for urgent surgery and higher mortality rates. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the META triage classification system could be beneficial to help identify patients with severe trauma and/or in need of urgent surgical assessment at the scene of injury in case of MCI. These findings demonstrate that, in this cohort, the META fulfils the purpose for which it was designed.

Assessment of procedural pain in French emergency departments: a multi-site, non-interventional, transverse study in patients with minor trauma injury.

Objective: To determine the mean number of procedural painful episodes per patient, and to retrieve information regarding diagnosis, therapeutic procedures and analgesic management, in patients visiting Emergency Departments (EDs) for minor trauma. Methods: This observational, non-interventional, multicenter study in adult patients was performed in 35 French EDs. All patients entering the EDs for minor trauma on a specified day between noon and 10 pm were registered; consenting patients were included in the study. Pain intensity was assessed using a verbal Numerical Rating Scale from 0 (no pain) to 10 (worst possible pain). An episode was described as painful if the difference in pain intensity between pain just before the procedure and maximal pain during the procedure was ≥2. Two independent nurses recorded data on 1 day in each center. Results: Overall, 909 patients were registered, 422 were included in the study, and complete data for 409 patients (1899 procedures) were available for analysis. The mean number of painful episodes per patient was 1.0 ± 1.3. Fifty-one percent of patients reported at least one painful procedure episode. Twenty-one percent of procedures were considered painful. Clinical examination was the procedure most often reported as painful. No preventive or curative analgesic treatment was reported in 95.1% of procedures. Conclusions: There is a need for improvement in routine pain assessment and, therefore, procedural pain management for ED patients. Specific protocols should be developed for procedural pain management, and teams should be trained especially for procedures usually not considered painful.

Quick risk assessment profile (qRAP) is a prediction model for post-traumatic venous thromboembolism.

OBJECTIVE: The Risk Assessment Profile (RAP) score is used as a tool of risk prediction in post-traumatic venous thromboembolism (VTE), but this scoring system is complicated to use in clinical settings due to its many variables. The objective of this study was to validate the utility of the RAP model and to develop a simpler risk prediction model for post-traumatic VTE. METHODS: We conducted an observational study at two emergency and critical care centres in Japan between 2013 and 2016. Consecutive adult trauma patients who survived for 24 h or more after admission to the hospital were enroled. One prediction model (quick RAP model) was created with 6 variables based on clinical utility, experience, and thrombogenic mechanism from 17 variables in the conventional RAP model. We calculated diagnostic performance with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) by exact method. RESULTS: We identified and analysed 859 patients. Twenty-six patients (3.0%) had VTE (17 with deep venous thrombosis alone, 2 with pulmonary embolism alone, and 7 with both). In the external validation, the RAP model had a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI, 86.8-100%) and specificity of 37.9% (95% CI, 34.6-41.3%). In contrast, the qRAP model had a sensitivity of 96.2% (95% CI, 80.4-99.9%) and specificity of 56.2% (95% CI, 52.7-59.6%). In the internal validation, receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the two models had similar area under the curve values that were not significantly different (0.832 and 0.800, respectively; RAP vs qRAP, p = 0.477). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a practical, modified predictive model for VTE, the qRAP model, which appeared only slightly less accurate than the conventional RAP model and had the advantage of being simpler to use to predict VTE. In our dataset, the conventional RAP model was also evaluated as useful for the prediction of post-traumatic VTE.

LIMPRINT in Australia.

Background and Study Objective: Australia was one of nine participating countries in the epidemiology Phase II Lymphoedema Impact and Prevalence - International (LIMPRINT) project to determine the number of people with chronic edema (CO) in local health services. Methods and Results: Data collection occurred through questionnaire-based interviews and clinical assessment with provided LIMPRINT tools. Four different types of services across three states in Australia participated. A total of 222 adults participated with an age range from 22 to 102 years, and 60% were female. Site 1 included three residential care facilities (54% of participants had swelling), site 2 was community-delivered aged care services (24% of participants had swelling), site 3 was a hospital setting (facility-based prevalence study; 28% of participants had swelling), and site 4 was a wound treatment center (specific patient population; 100% of participants had swelling). Of those with CO or secondary lymphedema, 93% were not related to cancer, the lower limbs were affected in 51% of cases, and 18% of participants with swelling reported one or more episodes of cellulitis in the previous year. Wounds were identified in 47% (n = 105) of all participants with more than half of those with wounds coming from the dedicated wound clinic. Leg/foot ulcer was the most common type of wound (65%, n = 68). Conclusions: Distances between services, lack of specialized services, and various state funding models contribute to inequities in CO treatment. Understanding the high number of noncancer-related CO presentations will assist health services to provide timely effective care and improve referral pathways.

Predicting health status in the first year after trauma.

BACKGROUND: Although mortality rates following major trauma are continuing to decline, a growing number of patients are experiencing long-term disability. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with health status in the first year following trauma and develop prediction models based on a defined trauma population. METHODS: The Brabant Injury Outcome Surveillance (BIOS) study was a multicentre prospective observational cohort study. Adult patients with traumatic injury were included from August 2015 to November 2016 if admitted to one of the hospitals of the Noord-Brabant region in the Netherlands. Outcome measures were EuroQol Five Dimensions 5D-3L (EQ-5D™ utility and visual analogue scale (VAS)) and Health Utilities Index (HUI) 2 and 3 scores 1 week and 1, 3, 6 and 12 months after injury. Prediction models were developed using linear mixed models, with patient characteristics, preinjury health status, injury severity and frailty as possible predictors. Predictors that were significant (P < 0·050) for one of the outcome measures were included in all models. Performance was assessed using explained variance (R2 ). RESULTS: In total, 4883 patients participated in the BIOS study (50·0 per cent of the total), of whom 3366 completed the preinjury questionnaires. Preinjury health status and frailty were the strongest predictors of health status during follow-up. Age, sex, educational level, severe head or face injury, severe torso injury, injury severity, Functional Capacity Index score, co-morbidity and duration of hospital stay were also relevant in the multivariable models predicting health status. R2 ranged from 35 per cent for EQ-VAS to 48 per cent for HUI 3. CONCLUSION: The most important predictors of health status in the first year after trauma in this population appeared to be preinjury health status and frailty.

Microbiome Imbalances: An Overlooked Potential Mechanism in Chronic Nonhealing Wounds.

Chronic nonhealing wounds are a severe burden to health care systems worldwide, causing millions of patients to have lengthy hospital stays, high health care costs, periods of unemployment, and reduced quality of life. Moreover, treating chronic nonhealing wounds effectively and reasonably in countries with limited medical resources can be extremely challenging. With many outstanding questions surrounding chronic nonhealing wounds, in this review, we offer changes to the microbiome as a potentially ignored mechanism important in the formation and treatment of chronic wounds. Our analysis helps bring a whole new understanding to wound formation and healing and provides a potential breakthrough in the treatment of chronic nonhealing wounds in the future.

The Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment: a study of the reliability, construct validity and responsiveness in patients sustaining trauma.

OBJECTIVE: To assess test-retest reliability, construct validity and responsiveness of the Dutch Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment (SMFA-NL) in patients who sustained acute physical trauma. DESIGN: A longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: A level 1 trauma center in The Netherlands. SUBJECTS: Patients who required hospital admission after sustaining an acute physical trauma. INTERVENTION: Patients completed the SMFA-NL at six weeks, eight weeks and six months post-injury. MAIN MEASURE: The measures used were The Dutch Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment. Test-retest reliability (between six and eight weeks post-injury) using intraclass correlation coefficients, the smallest detectable change and Bland and Altman plots. Construct validity (six weeks post-injury) and responsiveness (between six weeks and six months post-injury) were evaluated using the hypothesis testing method. RESULTS: A total of 248 patients (mean age: 46.5, SD: 13.4) participated, 145 patients completed the retest questionnaires (eight weeks) and 160 patients completed the responsiveness questionnaires (six months). The intraclass correlation coefficients indicated good to excellent reliability on all subscales (0.80 to 0.98). The smallest detectable change was 17.4 for the Upper Extremity Dysfunction subscale, 11.0 for the Lower Extremity Dysfunction subscales, 13.9 for the Problems with Daily Activities subscale and 16.5 for the Mental and Emotional Problems subscale. At group level, the smallest detectable change ranged from 1.48 to 1.96. A total of 86% of the construct validity hypotheses and 79% of the responsiveness hypotheses were confirmed. CONCLUSION: This study showed that the SMFA-NL has good to excellent reliability, sufficient construct validity and is able to detect change in physical function over time.

Assessment of chronic wounds in adults: an integrative review. / Valoración de las heridas crónicas en el adulto: una revisión integrativa.

OBJECTIVE: To identify the main aspects that should be assessed in adults with chronic wounds. METHOD: This was an integrative review of the scientific literature published between 2010 and early 2015 in the PubMed and Web of Science databases. RESULTS: Few studies exclusively address wound assessment. However, the review found many aspects to consider when assessing individuals with ulcers, grouped as follows: factors that significantly affect healing or the development of new wounds (age, nutritional status, functional capacity, or comorbidities), pyschosocial factors, and wound characteristics (location, size, depth, type of tissue, time of evolution). CONCLUSION: The literature search did not result in any one aspect that must be considered when assessing chronic wounds, but a complex interaction of factors that include both physiological and social and psychological elements. Professionals should be aware of this multifactorial approach to achieve early detection of the development and evolution of ulcers and to intervene accordingly.

Psychotropic drug use as indicator of mental health in adolescents affected by a plexus injury at birth: A large population-based study in Sweden.

Chronic handicap in early life may have a long-term impact on children's psychosocial well-being. Here, we investigated whether Brachialis Plexus Birth Injury (BPBI)-an unpredictable injury at birth-is associated with worse mental health later on, as indicated by prescription and use of psychotropic drugs in adolescence. We explored further whether this association is different depending on socioeconomic characteristics of the child's family, as well as sex. Of the 641 151 children born to native parents in Sweden 1987-1993 (alive and still living in Sweden at the end of 2008), identified in the Swedish Medical Birth Registry, 1587 had suffered a BPBI. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the impact of socioeconomic characteristics and associations with later psychosocial health. Results show that beyond the known increased risks for females as compared to males, BPBI, but also lower family income, further increased the risk of burdened mental health requiring psychotropic drug use in adolescence. The effects were additive. Thus, compared to unaffected peers, teenagers who suffered a BPBI at birth are at higher risk of suffering poor mental health during adolescence, independently of surgical intervention and its outcome. Girls growing up in families with lower socioeconomic status have this risk added to their already increased risk of poor mental health during adolescence.

Comparative Degradomics of Porcine and Human Wound Exudates Unravels Biomarker Candidates for Assessment of Wound Healing Progression in Trauma Patients.

Impaired cutaneous wound healing is a major complication in elderly people and patients suffering from diabetes, the rate of which is rising in industrialized countries. Heterogeneity of clinical manifestations hampers effective molecular diagnostics and decisions for appropriate therapeutic regimens. Using a customized positional quantitative proteomics workflow, we have established a time-resolved proteome and N-terminome resource from wound exudates in a clinically relevant pig wound model that we exploited as a robust template to interpret a heterogeneous dataset from patients undergoing the same wound treatment. With zyxin, IQGA1, and HtrA1, this analysis and validation by targeted proteomics identified differential abundances and proteolytic processing of proteins of epidermal and dermal origin as prospective biomarker candidates for assessment of critical turning points in wound progression. Thus, we show the possibility of using a fine-tuned animal wound model to bridge the translational gap as a prerequisite for future extended clinical studies with large cohorts of individuals affected by healing impairments. Data are available via ProteomeXchange with identifier PXD006674.