Simplified S1 Vertebral Bone Quality Score in the Assessment of Patients with Vertebral Fragility Fractures.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of the S1 vertebral bone quality (VBQ) score in assessing bone quality among patients with vertebral fragility fractures (VFF). Additionally, whether the combination of S1 VBQ and Hounsfield unit (HU) values improves the predictive accuracy of VFF. METHODS: Using lumbar noncontrast computed tomography and T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, we measured L1 HU values, S1 VBQ, and L1-L4 VBQ. To assess their predictive performance for VFF, we constructed receiver operating characteristic curves. We also compared the diagnostic efficacy of HU values with that of S1 VBQ and L1--L4 VBQ values for the joint diagnosis of VFF. The Delong test was used to compare the value of individual or combined predictions of VFF. RESULTS: In comparison to the nonfracture group, all patients exhibited markedly elevated S1 VBQ and L1--L4 VBQ and notably reduced HU values (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated S1 VBQ, increased L1--L4 VBQ, and decreased HU values independently correlated with VFF development. The areas under the curve for VFF prediction were 0.806 for S1 VBQ, 0.799 for L1--L4 VBQ, and 0.820 for HU values. According to the Delong test, the combination of HU values with S1 VBQ/L1--L4 VBQ significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: The simplified S1 VBQ is a valuable tool for predicting the occurrence of VFF and can be used as an alternative to the L1--L4 VBQ. In addition, the combination of S1 VBQ and HU values can significantly improve the predictive value of VFF.

Physical performance and sarcopenia assessment in patients with a recent fracture visiting the Fracture Liaison Service.

Impaired physical performance is associated with increased fracture risk. Performance on four physical functioning tests and prevalence of sarcopenia were assessed for 1789 fracture patients and compared to reference data. Performance was low on all tests, especially for patients with a hip, major or ≥ 1 prevalent vertebral fracture. PURPOSE INTRODUCTION: Impaired physical performance and sarcopenia are associated with increased fracture risk. This study aims to assess physical performance and the prevalence of sarcopenia in patients with a recent clinical fracture attending the Fracture Liaison Service (FLS) compared to population means. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, chair stand test (CST), handgrip strength (HGS), timed-up-and-go (TUG), 6-min walking-test (6MWT), and sarcopenia (following EWGSOP2) were assessed. The proportion of patients with impaired/poor performance compared to reference data was calculated (Z-score: ≥ - 2SD to < - 1 (impaired) and < - 2 SD (poor)). Associations of fracture type, sex, age, and time since fracture with Z-scores were assessed using linear regression analyses. RESULTS: A total of 1789 consecutive FLS patients were included (median age (IQR): 66 (59-74), 70.7% females, 3.9 (± 1.6) months after fracture). The prevalence of impaired/poor performance for CST, HGS, TUG, and 6MWT was 39.2%, 30.4%, 21.9%, and 71.5%, respectively (expected proportion of 16%) and 2.8% had sarcopenia. Lower Z-scores (P < 0.001) were found for hip, major, and ≥ 1 prevalent vertebral fracture (VF) in CST (major: regression coefficient (B) (95%CI) = - 0.25 [- 0.34, - 0.16]; hip: B = - 0.32 [- 0.47, - 0.17], VF: B = - 0.22 [- 0.34, - 0.11]), TUG; (major: B = - 0.54 [- 0.75, - 0.33]; hip: B = - 1.72 [- 2.08, -1.35], VF: B = - 0.61 [- 0.88, - 0.57]), 6MWT (major: B = - 0.34 [- 0.47, - 0.21]; hip: B = - 0.99 [- 1,22, - 0.77], VF: B = - 0.36 [- 0.53, - 0.19]). CONCLUSIONS: Physical performance is significantly lower in FLS patients compared to healthy peers, especially in patients with hip, major or prevalent VF. These findings underline the need to assess and improve the physical performance of FLS patients, despite a low prevalence of sarcopenia.

Average daily glucocorticoid dose, number of prescription days, and cumulative dose in the initial 90 days of glucocorticoid therapy are associated with subsequent hip and clinical vertebral fracture risk: a retrospective cohort study using a nationwide health insurance claims database in Japan.

PURPOSE: Fracture risk assessment is recommended at three months after glucocorticoid (GC) therapy initiation. This study aimed to assess whether GC exposure in the initial 90 days of GC therapy is associated with subsequent hip and clinical vertebral fracture risk using the nationwide health insurance claims database of Japan (NDBJ). METHODS: Patients aged ≥ 50 years who were prescribed GC (≥ 70 mg prednisolone or equivalent; PSL) in the initial 90 days of GC therapy and were followed for hip and clinical vertebral fracture incidences for the subsequent 1080 days were selected from NDBJ. Associations of GC exposure with hip or clinical vertebral fracture risk were evaluated by Cox regression analysis adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: We selected 316,396 women and 299,871 men for the GC-exposed group and 43,164 women and 33,702 men for the reference group. Higher GC doses and longer prescription days in the initial 90 days of GC therapy were significantly and dose-dependently associated with increased fracture risk relative to the reference group. Patients receiving GC ≥ 5 mg PSL/day had a significantly increased fracture risk in the stratum of 30-59 days of GC prescription. In addition, female patients who received GC (≥ 1 and < 2.5 mg PSL/day) for 90 days in the initial 90 days of GC therapy had a significantly increased fracture risk. CONCLUSIONS: GC exposure in the initial 90 days of GC therapy was dose-dependently associated with hip and clinical vertebral fracture risk. GC may increase fracture risk with lower doses for shorter durations than previously reported. Fracture risk assessment three months after glucocorticoid (GC) therapy initiation is recommended. We found that GC exposure in the initial 90 days of GC therapy at lower daily doses for shorter durations than previously reported were significantly and dose-dependently associated with fracture risk using a nationwide health insurance claims database.

Vertebral fracture severity assessment on anteroposterior radiographs with a new semi-quantitative technique.

We developed a new tool to assess the severity of osteoporotic vertebral fracture using radiographs of the spine. Our technique can be used in patient care by helping to stratify patients with osteoporotic vertebral fractures into appropriate treatment pathways. It can also be used for research purposes. PURPOSE: The aim of our study was to propose a semi-quantitative (SQ) grading scheme for osteoporotic vertebral fracture (OVF) on anteroposterior (AP) radiographs. METHODS: On AP radiographs, the vertebrae are divided into right and left halves, which are graded (A) vertical rectangle, (B) square, (C) traverse rectangle, and (D) trapezoid; whole vertebrae are graded (E) transverse band or (F) bow-tie. Type A and B were compared with normal and Genant SQ grade 1 OVF, Type C and D with grade 2 OVF, and Type E and F with grade 3 OVF. Spine AP radiographs and lateral radiographs of 50 females were assessed by AP radiographs SQ grading. After training, an experienced board-certified radiologist and a radiology trainee assessed the 50 AP radiographs. RESULTS: The height-to-width ratio of the half vertebrae varied 1.32-1.48. On lateral radiographs, 84 vertebrae of the 50 patients had OVFs (38 grade 1, 24 grade 2, and 22 grade 3). On AP radiographs, the radiologist correctly assigned 84.2%, 91.7%, and 77.2% and the trainee correctly assigned 68.4%, 79.2%, and 81.8% of grade 1, 2, and 3 OVFs, respectively. Compared with lateral radiographs, the radiologist had a weighted Kappa of 0.944 including normal vertebrae and 0.883 not including normal vertebrae, while the corresponding Kappa values for the trainee were 0.891 and 0.830, respectively. CONCLUSION: We propose a new semi-quantitative grading system for vertebral fracture severity assessment on AP spine radiographs.

Comparison of the cost-effectiveness of sequential treatment with abaloparatide in US men and women at very high risk of fractures.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporotic-related fractures represent an increasing burden to patients, health care systems and society. AIMS: This study estimated cost-effectiveness of sequential treatment with abaloparatide (ABL) followed by alendronate (ALN) compared to relevant alternative strategies in US men and women aged 50 to 80 years at very high fracture risk (bone mineral density T-score ≤ - 2.5 and a recent fracture). METHODS: A lifetime Markov-based microsimulation model was used to estimate healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Comparators were sequential treatment with unbranded teriparatide (TPTD)/ALN, generic ALN monotherapy, and no treatment. Analyses were conducted based on initial fracture site (hip, vertebral, or any fracture) and treatment efficacy data (derived from clinical trials or a recent network meta-analysis). RESULTS: From all analyses completed, sequential ABL/ALN demonstrated more QALYs for lower healthcare costs versus unbranded TPTD/ALN. No treatment was dominated (higher costs for less QALYs) versus ALN monotherapy. Sequential ABL/ALN resulted in favorable cost-effectiveness (at US threshold of $150,000/QALY) versus generic ALN monotherapy in men aged ≥ 50 years with any fracture type, women aged ≥ 65 years with any fracture type, and women aged ≥ 55 years having a hip or vertebral fracture. DISCUSSION: Similar cost-effectiveness of sequential ABL/ALN versus unbranded TPTD/ALN, ALN monotherapy, and no treatment was observed in both US men and women at very high fracture risk, with a moderate improvement in cost-effectiveness in men versus women and in patients with a hip or vertebral fracture. CONCLUSIONS: Sequential therapy with ABL/ALN was cost-effective in US men and women at very high risk of fractures.

Intraoperative pain prediction of percutaneous kyphoplasty under local anesthesia by preoperative experimental pain assessment.

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) is the preferred treatment for osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCF) Currently, the preoperative anesthesia methods for PKP are mainly local anesthesia and tracheal intubation general anesthesia. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether patient sensitivity to pain measured preoperatively could predict the patients' pain response during PKP treatment under local anesthesia, to facilitate the development of an optimal preoperative anesthesia plan for patients. METHODS: Fifty-five female patients diagnosed with osteoporotic single vertebral fracture who were treated with PKP under local anesthesia were selected. The patients' pain sensitivities, including pain threshold and pain tolerance threshold, were evaluated with a pain test device on the day before the operation in the ward. Heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and blood oxygen saturation (SpO2) were recorded before anesthesia, post-anesthesia, after needle puncture, and after balloon dilatation. At the same time, blood was drawn at the above time points to determine the level of norepinephrine (NA) as an indicator of intraoperative pain stress response. The numerical rating scale (NRS) during surgery was recorded at the end of the surgery. RESULTS: The preoperative pain tolerance threshold of 55 surgical patients was correlated with the intraoperative NRS score (r=-0.768, P< 0.001), as well as with the preoperative and intraoperative changes in HR (r=-0.791, P< 0.001), MAP (r=-0.819, P< 0.001), and NA (r=-0.553, P< 0.001). Thus, the lower the preoperative pain tolerance threshold, the more severe the patient's response to pain during PKP treatment under local anesthesia, and the greater the hemodynamic changes. Consequently, the intraoperative experience becomes worse. However, there was no correlation between preoperative pain threshold and NRS scores (r=-0.069, P= 0.616) nor between the preoperative and intraoperative changes in HR (r= 0.103, P= 0.453), MAP (r= 0.086, P= 0.535), and NA (r=-0.058, P= 0.674). CONCLUSION: The results indicated that preoperative pain assessment could predict the level of pain response in OVCF patients during PKP surgery under local anesthesia.

Type II odontoid fractures in the elderly presenting to the emergency department: an assessment of factors affecting in-hospital mortality and discharge to skilled nursing facilities.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Type II odontoid fractures (OF) are among the most common cervical spine injuries in the geriatric population. However, there is a paucity of literature regarding their epidemiology. Additionally, the optimal management of these injuries remains controversial, and no study has evaluated the short-term outcomes of geriatric patients presenting to emergency departments (ED). PURPOSE: This study aims to document the epidemiology of geriatric patients presenting to EDs with type II OFs and determine whether surgical management was associated with early adverse outcomes such as in-hospital mortality and discharge to skilled nursing facilities (SNF). STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study. PATIENT SAMPLE: Data was used from the 2016-2020 Nationwide Emergency Department Sample. Patient encounters corresponding to type II OFs were identified. Patients younger than 65 at the time of presentation to the ED and those with concomitant spinal pathology were excluded. OUTCOME MEASURES: The association between the surgical management of geriatric type II OFs and outcomes such as in-hospital mortality and discharge to SNFs. METHODS: Patient, fracture, and surgical management characteristics were recorded. A propensity score matched cohort was constructed to reduce differences in age, comorbidities, and injury severity between patients undergoing operative and nonoperative management. Additionally, to develop a positive control for the analysis of geriatric patients with type II OFs and no other concomitant spinal pathology, a cohort of patients that had been excluded due to the presence of a concomitant spinal cord injury (SCI) was also constructed. Multivariate regressions were then performed on both the matched and unmatched cohorts to ascertain the associations between surgical treatment and in-hospital mortality, inpatient length of stay, encounter charges, and discharge to SNFs. RESULTS: A total of 11,325 encounters were included. The mean total charge per encounter was $60,221. 634 (5.6%) patients passed away during their encounters. In total, 1,005 (8.9%) patients were managed surgically. Surgical management of type II OFs was associated with a 316% increase in visit charge (95% CI: 291%-341%, p<.001), increased inpatient length of stay (IRR: 2.87, 95% CI: 2.62-3.12, p<.001), and increased likelihood of discharge to SNFs (OR=2.62, 95% CI: 2.26-3.05, p<.001), but decreased in-hospital mortality (OR=0.32, CI: 0.21-0.45, p<.001). The propensity score matched cohort consisted of 2,010 patients, matching each of the 1,005 that underwent surgery to 1,005 that did not. These cohorts were well balanced across age (78.24 vs 77.91 years), Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (3.68 vs 3.71), and Injury Severity Score (30.15 vs 28.93). This matching did not meaningfully alter the associations determined between surgical management and in-hospital mortality (OR=0.34, CI=0.21-0.55, p<.001) or SNF discharge (OR=2.59, CI=2.13-3.16, p<.001). Lastly, the positive control cohort of patients with concurrent SCI had higher rates of SNF discharge (50.0% vs 42.6%, p<.001), surgical management (32.3% vs 9.7%, p<.001), and in-hospital mortality (28.9% vs 5.6%, p<.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study lends insight into the epidemiology of geriatric type II OFs and quantifies risk factors influencing adverse outcomes. Patient informed consent should include a discussion of the protective association between definitive surgical management and in-hospital mortality against potential operative morbidity, increased lengths of hospital stay, and increased likelihood of discharge to SNFs. This information may impact patient treatment selection and decision making.

Analysis of Long-Term Medical Expenses in Vertebral Fracture Patients.

Background: The objective of this study was to analyze the direct medical expenses of a vertebral fracture cohort (VC) and a matched cohort (MC) over 5 years preceding and following the fracture, analyze the duration of the rise in medical expenses due to the fracture, and examine whether the expenses vary with age group, utilizing a national claims database. Methods: Subjects with vertebral fractures and matched subjects were chosen from the National Health Insurance Service Sample cohort (NHIS-Sample) of South Korea. Patients with vertebral fractures were either primarily admitted to acute care hospitals (index admissions) or those who received kyphoplasty or vertebroplasty during the follow-up period (2002-2015). A risk-set matching was performed using 1 : 5 random sampling to simulate a real-world situation. Individual-level direct medical expenses per quarter were calculated for 5 years prior and subsequent to the vertebral fracture. In this analysis using a comparative interrupted time series design, we examined the direct medical expenses of a VC and an MC. Results: A total of 3,923 incident vertebral fracture patients and 19,615 matched subjects were included in this study. The mean age was 75.5 ± 7.4 years, and 69.5% were women. The mean difference in medical expenses between the two groups increased steadily before the fracture. The medical expenses of the VC peaked in the first quarter following the fracture. The cost changes were 1.82 times higher for the VC than for the MC (95% confidence interval, 1.62-2.04; p < 0.001) in the first year. Subsequently, there were no differential changes in medical expenses between the two groups (p > 0.05). In the < 70-year subgroup, there were no differential changes in medical expenses between the two groups (p > 0.05). However, in the ≥ 80-year subgroup, the cost changes for the VC were higher than those for the MC up to 5 years after time zero. Conclusions: Based on our study results, we suggest that health and medical policies for vertebral fractures should be designed to last up to approximately 1 year after the fracture. Health policies should be differentiated according to age group.

[Analysis of life quality on patients with thoracolumbar fractures]. / Análisis de calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares.

Background: Patients with thoracolumbar fractures with TLICS 4 classification are at the limit of surgical fixation with regards to conservative treatment; however, results in our environment are not known, which is why this study has innovative characteristics. Objective: To determine the quality of life in patients with TLICS 4 thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation in a third level hospital. Material and methods: A cohort prospective study was carried out in patients with TLICS 4 classification thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation in beneficiaries from the Mexican Institute for Social Security. The SF-12 instrument, which assessed quality of life, was administered; age, sex, days of hospitalization, time of spinal cord injury were searched in the patients' medical history. It was used descriptive and inferential statistics using Student's t or Mann-Whitney U. Results: 20 patients participated and 9 had traditional fixation (45%). All patients had type E spinal cord injuries according to the International Standards for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury. Mean age of non-fixation was 42.2 ± 12.9 and of fixation 44.9 ± 10.2; in non-fixation 6 (67%) were male. The quality of life score was 29.1 ± 0.9 in the conservative treatment and 28.7 ± 1.3 in the surgical treatment, p < 0.462. Conclusions: No differences in quality of life were observed in patients with TLICS 4 thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation.

Introducción: los pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares con clasificación TLICS 4 se encuentran en el límite de la fijación quirúrgica con respecto al tratamiento conservador; sin embargo, resultados en nuestro medio no son conocidos, por lo que este estudio tiene características innovadoras. Objetivo: determinar la calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4, mediante fijación tradicional con respecto a no fijación en un hospital de tercer nivel. Material y métodos: estudio de cohorte prospectiva en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4 mediante fijación tradicional con respecto a no fijación en población derechohabiente del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS). Se aplicó el instrumento SF-12, que evaluó la calidad de vida; se buscó en los expedientes de los pacientes edad, sexo, días de hospitalización, tiempo de lesión medular. Se usó estadística descriptiva e inferencial mediante t de Student o U de Mann Whitney. Resultados: participaron 20 pacientes y 9 (45%) tuvieron fijación tradicional. Todos los pacientes pertenecían a la clase E según las Normas Internacionales para la Clasificación Neurológica de lesiones de la médula espinal. Edad media de no fijación con 42.2 ± 12.9 y de fijación 44.9 ± 10.2; en no fijación, 6 (67%) eran varones. La puntuación de calidad de vida fue en el tratamiento conservador con 29.1 ± 0.9 y quirúrgico 28.7 ± 1.3, p < 0.462. Conclusiones: no se observaron diferencias en la calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4 mediante fijación tradicional y no fijación.

[Analysis of life quality on patients with thoracolumbar fractures]. / Análisis de calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares.

Background: Patients with thoracolumbar fractures with TLICS 4 classification are at the limit of surgical fixation with regards to conservative treatment; however, results in our environment are not known, which is why this study has innovative characteristics. Objective: To determine the quality of life in patients with TLICS 4 thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation in a third level hospital. Material and methods: A cohort prospective study was carried out in patients with TLICS 4 classification thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation in beneficiaries from the Mexican Institute for Social Security. The SF-12 instrument, which assessed quality of life, was administered; age, sex, days of hospitalization, time of spinal cord injury were searched in the patients' medical history. It was used descriptive and inferential statistics using Student's t or Mann-Whitney U. Results: 20 patients participated and 9 had traditional fixation (45%). All patients had type E spinal cord injuries according to the International Standards for Neurological Classification of Spinal Cord Injury. Mean age of non-fixation was 42.2 ± 12.9 and of fixation 44.9 ± 10.2; in non-fixation 6 (67%) were male. The quality of life score was 29.1 ± 0.9 in the conservative treatment and 28.7 ± 1.3 in the surgical treatment, p < 0.462. Conclusions: No differences in quality of life were observed in patients with TLICS 4 thoracolumbar fractures using traditional fixation with regards to no fixation.

Introducción: los pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares con clasificación TLICS 4 se encuentran en el límite de la fijación quirúrgica con respecto al tratamiento conservador; sin embargo, resultados en nuestro medio no son conocidos, por lo que este estudio tiene características innovadoras. Objetivo: determinar la calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4, mediante fijación tradicional con respecto a no fijación en un hospital de tercer nivel. Material y métodos: estudio de cohorte prospectiva en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4 mediante fijación tradicional con respecto a no fijación en población derechohabiente del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS). Se aplicó el instrumento SF-12, que evaluó la calidad de vida; se buscó en los expedientes de los pacientes edad, sexo, días de hospitalización, tiempo de lesión medular. Se usó estadística descriptiva e inferencial mediante t de Student o U de Mann Whitney. Resultados: participaron 20 pacientes y 9 (45%) tuvieron fijación tradicional. Todos los pacientes pertenecían a la clase E según las Normas Internacionales para la Clasificación Neurológica de lesiones de la médula espinal. Edad media de no fijación con 42.2 ± 12.9 y de fijación 44.9 ± 10.2; en no fijación, 6 (67%) eran varones. La puntuación de calidad de vida fue en el tratamiento conservador con 29.1 ± 0.9 y quirúrgico 28.7 ± 1.3, p < 0.462. Conclusiones: no se observaron diferencias en la calidad de vida en pacientes con fracturas toracolumbares clasificación TLICS 4 mediante fijación tradicional y no fijación.

Adjusting FRAX Estimates of Fracture Probability Based on a Positive Vertebral Fracture Assessment.

Importance: FRAX is the most widely used and validated fracture risk prediction tool worldwide. Vertebral fractures, which are an indicator of subsequent osteoporotic fractures, can be identified using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) vertebral fracture assessment (VFA). Objective: To assess the calibration of FRAX and develop a simple method for improving FRAX-predicted fracture probability in the presence of VFA-identified fracture. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study analyzed the DXA and VFA results of all individuals who underwent a VFA between March 31, 2010, and March 31, 2018, who were included in the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density Registry. These individuals were randomly assigned to either the development cohort or validation cohort. A modified algorithm-based qualitative approach was used by expert readers to code VFAs as positive (≥1 vertebral fractures detected) or negative (0 vertebral fracture detected). Statistical analysis was conducted from August 7, 2022, to May 22, 2023. Exposures: FRAX scores for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture were calculated with or without VFA results. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident fractures and death were ascertained using linked population-based health care provincial data. Cumulative incidence curves for MOF and hip fracture were constructed, including competing mortality, to predict the 10-year observed risk of fracture. The observed probability was compared with FRAX-predicted fracture probability with and without VFA results and recalibrated FRAX from derived multipliers. Results: The full cohort of 11 766 individuals was randomly allocated to the development cohort (n = 7854; 7349 females [93.6%]; mean [SD] age, 75.7 [6.8] years) or the validation cohort (n = 3912; 3713 females [94.9%]; mean [SD] age, 75.5 [6.9] years). Over a mean (SD) observation time of 3.8 (2.3) years, with the longest observation at 7.5 years, FRAX was well calibrated in subgroups with negative VFA results. For individuals without a prior clinical fracture but with a positive VFA result, the 10-year FRAX-predicted MOF probability was 16.3% (95% CI, 15.7%-16.8%) without VFA information and 23.4% (95% CI, 22.7%-24.1%) with VFA information. The observed 10-year probabilities were 26.9% (95% CI, 26.0%-27.8%) and 11.2% (95% CI, 10.3%-12.1%), respectively, resulting in recalibration multipliers of 1.15 (95% CI, 0.87-1.43) for MOF and 1.31 (95% CI, 0.75-1.87) for hip fracture. For individuals with a prior clinical fracture and a positive VFA result, the 10-year FRAX-predicted probabilities were 25.0% (95% CI, 24.2%-25.7%) for MOF and 9.3% (95% CI, 8.7%-10.0%) for hip fracture. The observed 10-year probabilities were 38.1% (95% CI, 37.0%-39.1%) for MOF and 16.4% (95% CI, 15.4%-17.4%) for hip fracture, resulting in a recalibration multiplier of 1.53 (95% CI, 1.10-1.96) for MOF and 1.76 (95% CI, 1.17-2.35) for hip fracture. Good calibration (>0.90) was confirmed using the derived multipliers in the validation cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this prognostic study suggest that FRAX underestimated fracture risk in patients with VFA-identified fractures. Simple multipliers could recover FRAX calibration in individuals with VFA-identified fractures.

Cost-effectiveness of opportunistic QCT-based osteoporosis screening for the prediction of incident vertebral fractures.

Objectives: Opportunistic quantitative computed tomography (oQCT) derived from non-dedicated routine CT has demonstrated high accuracy in diagnosing osteoporosis and predicting incident vertebral fractures (VFs). We aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of oQCT screening compared to dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) as the standard of care for osteoporosis screening. Methods: Three screening strategies ("no osteoporosis screening", "oQCT screening", and "DXA screening") after routine CT were simulated in a state-transition model for hypothetical cohorts of 1,000 patients (women and men aged 65 years) over a follow-up period of 5 years (base case). The primary outcomes were the cumulative costs and the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) estimated from a U.S. health care perspective for the year 2022. Cost-effectiveness was assessed based on a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $70,249 per QALY. The secondary outcome was the number of prevented VFs. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to test the models' robustness. Results: Compared to DXA screening, oQCT screening increased QALYs in both sexes (additional 2.40 per 1,000 women and 1.44 per 1,000 men) and resulted in total costs of $3,199,016 and $950,359 vs. $3,262,934 and $933,077 for women and men, respectively. As a secondary outcome, oQCT screening prevented 2.6 and 2.0 additional VFs per 1,000 women and men, respectively. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, oQCT screening remained cost-effective in 88.3% (women) and 90.0% (men) of iterations. Conclusion: oQCT screening is a cost-effective ancillary approach for osteoporosis screening and has the potential to prevent a substantial number of VFs if considered in daily clinical practice.

MRI-based radiomics assessment of the imminent new vertebral fracture after vertebral augmentation.

BACKGROUND: Imminent new vertebral fracture (NVF) is highly prevalent after vertebral augmentation (VA). An accurate assessment of the imminent risk of NVF could help to develop prompt treatment strategies. PURPOSE: To develop and validate predictive models that integrated the radiomic features and clinical risk factors based on machine learning algorithms to evaluate the imminent risk of NVF. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, a total of 168 patients with painful osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures treated with VA were evaluated. Radiomic features of L1 vertebrae based on lumbar T2-weighted images were obtained. Univariate and LASSO-regression analyses were applied to select the optimal features and construct radiomic signature. The radiomic signature and clinical signature were integrated to develop a predictive model by using machine learning algorithms including LR, RF, SVM, and XGBoost. Receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration curve analyses were used to evaluate the predictive performance of the models. RESULTS: The radiomic-XGBoost model with the highest AUC of 0.93 of the training cohort and 0.9 of the test cohort among the machine learning algorithms. The combined-XGBoost model with the best performance with an AUC of 0.9 in the training cohort and 0.9 in the test cohort. The radiomic-XGBoost model and combined-XGBoost model achieved better performance to assess the imminent risk of NVF than that of the clinical risk factors alone (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Radiomic and machine learning modeling based on T2W images of preoperative lumbar MRI had an excellent ability to evaluate the imminent risk of NVF after VA.

Cost-effectiveness and willing-to-pay thresholds for vertebral augmentation of osteoporotic vertebral fractures, what are they based on: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Although there is substantial clinical evidence on the safety and effectiveness of vertebral augmentation for osteoporotic vertebral fractures, cost-effectiveness is less well known. The objective of this study is to provide a systematic review of cost-effectiveness studies and policy-based willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds for different vertebral augmentation (VA) procedures, vertebroplasty (VP) and balloon kyphoplasty (BK), for osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs). DESIGN: A systematic review targeting cost-effectiveness studies of VA procedures for OVFs. DATA SOURCES: Six bibliographic databases were searched from inception up to May 2021. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR STUDY SELECTION: Studies were eligible if meeting all predefined criteria: (1) VP or BK intervention, (2) OVFs and (3) cost-effectiveness study. Articles not written in English, abstracts, editorials, reviews and those reporting only cost data were excluded. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Information was extracted on study characteristics, cost-effective estimates, summary decisions and payer WTP thresholds. Incremental cost-effective ratio (ICER) was the main outcome measure. Studies were summarised by a structured narrative synthesis organised by comparisons with conservative management (CM). Two independent reviewers assessed the quality (risk of bias) of the systematic review and cost-effectiveness studies by peer-reviewed checklists. RESULTS: We identified 520 references through database searching and 501 were excluded as ineligible by titles and abstract. Ten reports were identified as eligible from 19 full-text reviews. ICER for VP versus CM evaluated as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) ranged from €22 685 (*US$33 395) in Netherlands to £-2240 (*US$-3273), a cost-saving in the UK. ICERs for BK versus CM ranged from £2706 (*US$3954) in UK to kr600 000 (*US$90 910) in Sweden. ICERs were within payer WTP thresholds for a QALY based on historical benchmarks. CONCLUSIONS: Both VP and BK were judged cost-effective alternatives to CM for OVFs in economic studies and were within WTP thresholds in multiple healthcare settings.

Risk assessment for sandwich vertebral fractures in the treatment of osteoporosis vertebral compression fractures using two methods of bone cement reinforcement.

PURPOSE: Bone cement augmentation surgery includes percutaneous vertebroplasty (PVP) and percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP). In this study, we aimed to investigate the risk of sandwich vertebral fractures in the treatment of osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures via PVP and PKP. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analytical study and included 61 patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures who underwent PVP and PKP at the Spinal Surgery Department of The Second Hospital of Liaocheng Affiliated with Shandong First Medical University from January 2019 to January 2022. These patients were divided into the following two groups by simple random sampling: group A (N = 30) underwent PVP treatment and group B (N = 31) underwent PKP treatment. The surgical time, fluoroscopy frequency, visual analog scale (VAS) score, amount of bone cement, the leakage rate of bone cement in intervertebral space, Cobb angle, and the incidence of fractures in both groups of sandwich vertebral were recorded after 1 year of follow-up. RESULTS: No statistically significant difference was found in terms of surgical time, fluoroscopy frequency, and VAS score between the two groups (P > 0.05). However, a statistically significant difference was found in terms of the amount of bone cement, the leakage rate of bone cement intervertebral space, Cobb angle, and the incidence of vertebral body fractures in both groups (P < 0.05). The amount of bone cement, the leakage rate of bone cement in intervertebral space, Cobb angle, and sandwich vertebral fractures were higher in Group A than in Group B. CONCLUSIONS: When PVP and PKP were performed to treat osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures, the sandwich vertebral exhibited a risk of fracture. PVP exhibited a greater relative risk than PKP, which may be due to the relatively larger amount of bone cement, higher rate of bone cement leakage in the intervertebral space, and larger Cobb angle.

Machine learning for abdominal aortic calcification assessment from bone density machine-derived lateral spine images.

BACKGROUND: Lateral spine images for vertebral fracture assessment can be easily obtained on modern bone density machines. Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) can be scored on these images by trained imaging specialists to assess cardiovascular disease risk. However, this process is laborious and requires careful training. METHODS: Training and testing of model performance of the convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithm for automated AAC-24 scoring utilised 5012 lateral spine images (2 manufacturers, 4 models of bone density machines), with trained imaging specialist AAC scores. Validation occurred in a registry-based cohort study of 8565 older men and women with images captured as part of routine clinical practice for fracture risk assessment. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between machine-learning AAC (ML-AAC-24) scores with future incident Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) that including death, hospitalised acute myocardial infarction or ischemic cerebrovascular disease ascertained from linked healthcare data. FINDINGS: The average intraclass correlation coefficient between imaging specialist and ML-AAC-24 scores for 5012 images was 0.84 (95% CI 0.83, 0.84) with classification accuracy of 80% for established AAC groups. During a mean follow-up 4 years in the registry-based cohort, MACE outcomes were reported in 1177 people (13.7%). With increasing ML-AAC-24 scores there was an increasing proportion of people with MACE (low 7.9%, moderate 14.5%, high 21.2%), as well as individual MACE components (all p-trend <0.001). After multivariable adjustment, moderate and high ML-AAC-24 groups remained significantly associated with MACE (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.31-1.80 & HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.75-2.42, respectively), compared to those with low ML-AAC-24. INTERPRETATION: The ML-AAC-24 scores had substantial levels of agreement with trained imaging specialists, and was associated with a substantial gradient of risk for cardiovascular events in a real-world setting. This approach could be readily implemented into these clinical settings to improve identification of people at high CVD risk. FUNDING: The study was supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia Ideas grant and the Rady Innovation Fund, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba.