Multivariable machine learning models for clinical prediction of subsequent hip fractures in older people using the Chinese population database.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop and validate clinical prediction models using machine learning (ML) algorithms for reliable prediction of subsequent hip fractures in older individuals, who had previously sustained a first hip fracture, and facilitate early prevention and diagnosis, therefore effectively managing rapidly rising healthcare costs in China. METHODS: Data were obtained from Grade A Tertiary hospitals for older patients (age ≥ 60 years) diagnosed with hip fractures in southwest China between 1 January 2009 and 1 April 2020. The database was built by collecting clinical and administrative data from outpatients and inpatients nationwide. Data were randomly split into training (80%) and testing datasets (20%), followed by six ML-based prediction models using 19 variables for hip fracture patients within 2 years of the first fracture. RESULTS: A total of 40,237 patients with a median age of 66.0 years, who were admitted to acute-care hospitals for hip fractures, were randomly split into a training dataset (32,189 patients) and a testing dataset (8,048 patients). Our results indicated that three of our ML-based models delivered an excellent prediction of subsequent hip fracture outcomes (the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.92 (0.91-0.92), 0.92 (0·92-0·93), 0.92 (0·92-0·93)), outperforming previous prediction models based on claims and cohort data. CONCLUSIONS: Our prediction models identify Chinese older people at high risk of subsequent hip fractures with specific baseline clinical and demographic variables such as length of hospital stay. These models might guide future targeted preventative treatments.

Cost Analysis of a Fracture Liaison Service: A Randomized Controlled Trial for the Secondary Prevention After Fragility Fractures of the Hip.

OBJECTIVE: Fracture liaison services (FLSs) have proven to be effective for secondary fracture prevention. In this study, we evaluated the essential factors in determining whether the FLS saves or loses more than it costs. METHODS: A randomized controlled trial was performed in patients with hip fragility fractures using a hospital-based FLS program in parallel with a cost analysis. Data were generated from a cohort of patients using actual data for FLS effectiveness, individual costs of hip fracture treatment, and medication costs based on an accepted treatment algorithm. RESULTS: A total of 200 patients were randomized, and 180 were analyzed for costs. The FLS program had an overall cost despite the savings in reducing secondary fractures. Medication was 89% of the costs and was the main factor for the FLS costs exceeding the savings. Specifically, using the medication algorithm in this study, the overall cost per patient enrolled in the FLS was $1189 for a 2-year period. If intravenous zoledronic acid had been used, then the overall cost would have been $489. If only oral bisphosphonates had been used, then the FLS would have cost $159 per patient for a 2-year period. CONCLUSION: The present analysis shows that medication cost is the critical component in cost-effectiveness of an FLS program. The FLS program costs would be significantly lower if patients are prescribed less expensive drugs to treat osteoporosis. Additional work needs to be performed refining the medication algorithm considering medication costs but individualized to patient needs based on fracture risk.

Reducing hip and non-vertebral fractures in institutionalised older adults by restoring inadequate intakes of protein and calcium is cost-saving.

BACKGROUND: older adults in aged care account for 30% of the population burden of hip fractures. Nutritional interventions to correct under nutrition reduce these debilitating fractures, perhaps partly by reducing falls and slowing deterioration in bone morphology. OBJECTIVE: to determine whether a nutritional approach to fracture risk reduction in aged care homes is cost-effective. DESIGN: cost-effectiveness was estimated based on results from a prospective 2-year cluster-randomised controlled trial and secondary data. Intervention residents consumed a total of 3.5 daily servings of milk, yoghurt and/or cheese, resulting in 1,142 mg of calcium and 69 g of protein compared with the daily intakes of 700 mg of calcium and 58 g of protein consumed by the control group. SETTING: fifty-six aged care homes. PARTICIPANTS: residents for 27 intervention (n = 3,313) and 29 control (n = 3,911) homes. METHODS: ambulance, hospital, rehabilitation and residential care costs incurred by fracture were estimated. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios per fracture averted within a 2-year time horizon were estimated from the Australian healthcare perspective applying a 5% discount rate on costs after the first year. RESULTS: intervention providing high-protein and high-calcium foods reduced fractures at a daily cost of AU$0.66 per resident. The base-case results showed that the intervention was cost-saving per fracture averted, with robust results in a variety of sensitivity and scenario analyses. Scaling the benefits of intervention equates to a saving of AU$66,780,000 annually in Australia and remained cost-saving up to a daily food expenditure of AU$1.07 per resident. CONCLUSIONS: averting hip and other non-vertebral fractures in aged care residents by restoring nutritional inadequacy of protein and calcium is cost-saving.

The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of clinical fracture-risk assessment tools in reducing future osteoporotic fractures among older adults: a structured scoping review.

This scoping review described the use, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of clinical fracture-risk assessment tools to prevent future osteoporotic fractures among older adults. Results show that the screening was not superior in preventing all osteoporosis-related fractures to usual care. However, it positively influenced participants' perspectives on osteoporosis, may have reduced hip fractures, and seemed cost-effective. PURPOSE: We aim to provide a synopsis of the evidence about the use of clinical fracture-risk assessment tools to influence health outcomes, including reducing future osteoporotic fractures and their cost-effectiveness. METHODS: We followed the guidelines of Arksey and O'Malley and their modifications. A comprehensive search strategy was created to search CINAHL, Medline, and Embase databases until June 29, 2021, with no restrictions. We critically appraised the quality of all included studies. RESULTS: Fourteen studies were included in the review after screening 2484 titles and 68 full-text articles. Four randomized controlled trials investigated the effectiveness of clinical fracture-risk assessment tools in reducing all fractures among older women. Using those assessment tools did not show a statistically significant reduction in osteoporotic fracture risk compared to usual care; however, additional analyses of two of these trials showed a trend toward reducing hip fractures, and the results might be clinically significant. Four studies tested the impact of screening programs on other health outcomes, and participants reported positive results. Eight simulation studies estimated the cost-effectiveness of using these tools to screen for fractures, with the majority showing significant potential savings. CONCLUSION: According to the available evidence to date, using clinical fracture-risk assessment screening tools was not more effective than usual care in preventing all osteoporosis-related fractures. However, using those screening tools positively influenced women's perspectives on osteoporosis, may have reduced hip fracture risk, and could potentially be cost-effective. This is a relatively new research area where additional studies are needed.

Real-world effectiveness of anti-osteoporosis medications for the prevention of incident hip and clinical vertebral fractures in patients on long-term glucocorticoid therapy: A nationwide health insurance claims database study in Japan.

PURPOSE: Early initiation of anti-osteoporosis medications (AOMs) is recommended for patients on long-term glucocorticoid (GC) therapy. This study aimed to clarify the real-world effectiveness of AOMs against incident hip and vertebral fractures in patients undergoing GC therapy using the nationwide health insurance claims database of Japan (NDBJ). METHODS: Patients aged ≥50 years who were prescribed GC (≥5 mg/day prednisolone or equivalent) for ≥90 days and who were followed up regarding AOM prescription and hip and clinical vertebral fracture incidences for the subsequent 1080 days between 2012 and 2018 were selected from NDBJ. Associations of AOMs prescribed within 90 days since GC therapy initiation with hip or vertebral fracture risk were evaluated by Cox proportional hazards regression using propensity score inverse probability weighting (IPW) for receiving any AOM or individual AOMs. RESULTS: In total, 96,475 women and 98,385 men were included in the analysis; 38.0 % of women and 27.6 % of men received AOMs. Patients who received any AOM and those who received bisphosphonates or denosumab had a significantly lower risk of hip and clinical vertebral fractures than those who received no AOM in both sexes after propensity score IPW. Teriparatide was associated with an increased risk of both fractures in women and an increased risk of clinical vertebral fractures in men. Selection biases such as confounding by indication might have caused an underestimation of AOMs' protective effects. CONCLUSIONS: Bisphosphonates and denosumab were associated with a lower fracture incidence in patients on long-term GC therapy in real-world settings.

Comparative effectiveness and cardiovascular safety of abaloparatide and teriparatide in postmenopausal women new to anabolic therapy: A US administrative claims database study.

Real-world evidence on the comparative effectiveness and safety of abaloparatide versus teriparatide in women with osteoporosis may help inform treatment decisions. Following 18 months of treatment, abaloparatide was comparable to teriparatide for prevention of nonvertebral fractures, resulted in a 22% risk reduction for hip fractures, and demonstrated similar cardiovascular safety. Osteoporotic fracture risk can be reduced with anabolic or antiresorptive medications. In addition to efficacy and safety data from controlled clinical trials, real-world evidence on comparative effectiveness and safety may help inform treatment decisions. INTRODUCTION: The real-world effectiveness of abaloparatide versus teriparatide on nonvertebral fracture (NVF) incidence and cardiovascular safety during the 19-month period after treatment initiation were evaluated (NCT04974723). METHODS: Anonymized US patient claims data from Symphony Health, Integrated Dataverse (IDV)®, May 1, 2017 to July 31, 2019, included women aged ≥ 50 years with ≥ 1 prescription of abaloparatide or teriparatide and no prior anabolic therapy. Most were enrolled in commercial and Medicare health plans. Index was the date of the initial prescription dispensed during the identification period. In 1:1 propensity score matched cohorts, time to first NVF following index date, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and MACE + heart failure (HF) were compared between cohorts using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Propensity score matching yielded 11,616 patients per cohort. Overall median age (interquartile range) was 67 (61, 75) years, and 25.6% had a fracture history. Over 19 months, 335 patients on abaloparatide and 375 on teriparatide had a NVF (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.89 [0.77, 1.03]), and 121 and 154 patients, respectively, had a hip fracture [HR (95% CI): 0.78 (0.62, 1.00)]. The MACE and MACE + HF rates were similar between cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: Following 18 months of treatment, abaloparatide was comparable to teriparatide for prevention of NVF and similar cardiovascular safety was demonstrated between cohorts.

Impact of osteoporosis liaison services on the expected lifetime osteoporosis-related medical expenses of patients with fragility fracture in a private hospital in Japan.

We report the efficacy of a Japanese fracture liaison service (FLS), the osteoporosis liaison service (OLS), in suppressing osteoporosis-related expenses from the public insurance by preventing secondary fracture in spite of higher medication costs during expected life spans. OLS could reduce medical expenses for osteoporosis in all age groups. PURPOSE: Osteoporosis liaison services (OLS), which are based on fracture liaison services (FLS), are used in Japan to prevent both primary and secondary fractures in older people. We aimed to clarify the effects of OLS on the medical expenses. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We compared patients with fragile fractures hospitalized to Saitama Jikei Hospital before and after implementing OLS. These were labeled a non-OLS group and an OLS group, and they were further organized by age (< 75, 75-84, and ≥ 85 years). The expected osteoporosis-related medical expenses during life were calculated by the occurrence, fracture site, medication, and life expectancy and compared between the non-OLS and OLS groups by the age group. RESULTS: The non-OLS group included 400 people (100 males and 300 females, mean age 81.7 ± 9.7 years), comprising 154 with vertebral fractures and 246 with hip fractures. The OLS group included 406 patients (101 males and 305 females, mean age 82.4 ± 9.3 years), of whom 161 had vertebral fractures and 245 had hip fractures. The suppressive secondary fracture effects of OLS were previously reported. The expected expense of osteoporosis treatment in the OLS group was found to be greater than that in the non-OLS group for all age groups. In contrast, expected expenses for treating secondary fractures were shown to increase more in the non-OLS group. However, total expenses were lower in the OLS group across all age groups. CONCLUSION: The implementation of OLS can reduce overall healthcare costs despite the increased expenses required to provide medical therapy and periodic examinations.

Cost-effectiveness of group-based exercise to prevent falls in elderly community-dwelling people.

BACKGROUND: Clinical studies indicate that strength-balance training for active fall prevention can prevent fractures in older people. The present modelling study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of fall prevention exercise (FPE) provided to independently living older people compared to no intervention in Germany. METHOD: We designed a Markov model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a group-based FPE-program provided to independently living people ≥75 years from the perspective of the German statutory health insurance (SHI). Input data was obtained from public databases, clinical trials and official statistics. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was presented as costs per avoided hip fracture. Additionally, we performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses and, estimated monetary consequences for the SHI in a budget impact analysis (BIA). RESULTS: For women, the costs per hip fracture avoided amounted to €52,864 (men: €169,805). Results of deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the results. According to the BIA, for the reimbursement of FPE additional costs of €3.0 million (women) and €7.8 million (men) are expected for the SHI. CONCLUSIONS: Group-based FPE appears to be no cost-effective option to prevent fall-related hip fractures in independently living elderly. To allow a more comprehensive statement on the cost effectiveness of FPE fracture types other than hip should be increasingly evaluated in clinical trials.

Cost-Utility Analysis of the Ontario Fracture Screening and Prevention Program.

BACKGROUND: The Fracture Screening and Prevention Program (FSPP), a fracture liaison service (FLS), was implemented in the province of Ontario, Canada, in 2007 to prevent recurrent fragility fractures and to improve post-fracture care. The objective of this analysis was to determine the cost-effectiveness of the current model of the FSPP compared with usual care (no program) from the perspective of the universal public health-care payer (Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care [MOHLTC]), over the lifetime of older adults who presented with a fragility fracture of the proximal part of the femur, the proximal part of the humerus, or the distal part of the radius and were not taking medications to prevent or slow bone loss and reduce the risk of fracture (bone active medications). METHODS: We developed a state-transition (Markov) model to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of the FSPP in comparison with usual care. The model simulated a cohort of patients with a fragility fracture starting at 71 years of age. Model parameters were obtained from published literature and from the FSPP. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and costs in 2018 Canadian dollars were predicted over a lifetime horizon using a 1.5% annual discount rate. Health outcomes included subsequent proximal femoral, vertebral, proximal humeral, and distal radial fractures. Scenario and subgroup analyses were reported. RESULTS: The FSPP had lower expected costs ($277 less) and higher expected effectiveness (by 0.018 QALY) than usual care over the lifetime horizon. Ninety-four percent of the 10,000 Monte Carlo simulated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) demonstrated lower costs and higher effectiveness of the FSPP. CONCLUSIONS: The FSPP appears to be cost-effective compared with usual care over a lifetime for patients with fragility fracture. This information may help to quantify the value of the FSPP and to assist policy-makers in deciding whether to expand the FSPP to additional hospitals or to initiate similar programs where none exist. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Economic and Decision Analysis Level II. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Effect of Calcium Fortified Foods on Health Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Calcium supplementation and fortification are strategies widely used to prevent adverse outcome in population with low-calcium intake which is highly frequent in low-income settings. We aimed to determine the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of calcium fortified foods on calcium intake and related health, or economic outcomes. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis involving participants of any age or gender, drawn from the general population. We searched PubMed, Agricola, EMBASE, CINAHL, Global Health, EconLit, the FAO website and Google until June 2019, without language restrictions. Pair of reviewers independently selected, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies using Covidence software. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. We performed meta-analyses using RevMan 5.4 and subgroup analyses by study design, age group, and fortification levels. We included 20 studies of which 15 were randomized controlled trials (RCTs), three were non-randomised studies and two were economic evaluations. Most RCTs had high risk of bias on randomization or blinding. Most represented groups were women and children from 1 to 72 months, most common intervention vehicles were milk and bakery products with a fortification levels between 96 and 1200 mg per 100 g of food. Calcium intake increased in the intervention groups between 460 mg (children) and 1200 mg (postmenopausal women). Most marked effects were seen in children. Compared to controls, height increased 0.83 cm (95% CI 0.00; 1.65), plasma parathyroid hormone decreased -1.51 pmol/L, (-2.37; -0.65), urine:calcium creatinine ratio decreased -0.05, (-0.07; -0.03), femoral neck and hip bone mineral density increased 0.02 g/cm2 (0.01; 0.04) and 0.03 g/cm2 (0.00; 0.06), respectively. The largest cost savings (43%) reported from calcium fortification programs came from prevented hip fractures in older women from Germany. Our study highlights that calcium fortification leads to a higher calcium intake, small benefits in children's height and bone health and also important evidence gaps for other outcomes and populations that could be solved with high quality experimental or quasi-experimental studies in relevant groups, especially as some evidence of calcium supplementation show controversial results on the bone health benefit on older adults.

Determining the cost-effectiveness requirements of an exoskeleton preventing second hip fractures using value of information.

BACKGROUND: Falls may lead to hip fractures, which have a detrimental effect on the prognosis of patients as well as a considerable impact on healthcare expenditures. Since a secondary hip fracture (SHF) may lead to even higher costs than primary fractures, the development of innovative services is crucial to limit falls and curb costs in high-risk patients. An early economic evaluation assessed which patients with a second hip fracture could benefit most from an exoskeleton preventing falls and whether its development is feasible. METHODS: The life-course of hip fractured patients presenting with dementia or cardiovascular diseases was simulated using a Markov model relying on the United Kingdom administrative data and complemented by published literature. A group of experts provided the exoskeleton parameters. Secondary analyses included a threshold analysis to identify the exoskeleton requirements (e.g. minimum impact of the exoskeleton on patients' quality of life) leading to a reimbursable incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Similarly, the uncertainty around these requirements was modelled by varying their standard errors and represented alongside population Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI). RESULTS: Our base-case found the exoskeleton cost-effective when providing a statistically significant reduction in SHF risk. The secondary analyses identified 286 cost-effective combinations of the exoskeleton requirements. The uncertainty around these requirements was explored producing further 22,880 scenarios, which showed that this significant reduction in SHF risk was not necessary to support the exoskeleton adoption in clinical practice. Conversely, a significant improvement in women quality of life was crucial to obtain an acceptable population EVPI regardless of the cost of the exoskeleton. CONCLUSIONS: Our study identified the exoskeleton requisites to be cost-effective and the value of future research. Decision-makers could use our analyses to assess not only whether the exoskeleton could be cost-effective but also how much further research and development of the exoskeleton is worth to be pursued.

A 3i hip fracture liaison service with nurse and physician co-management is cost-effective when implemented as a standard clinical program.

A hip fracture liaison service that was implemented in 2 hospitals in Alberta, Canada, co-managed by a nurse and physician, was cost-effective and improved initiation of osteoporosis medication following hip fracture. PURPOSE/INTRODUCTION: To determine cost-effectiveness of a 3i hip fracture liaison service (H-FLS) with 12-month follow-up, co-managed by a nurse and physician, when implemented into standard practice. METHODS: The cost-effectiveness analysis compared those receiving the H-FLS to a simulated usual care group using a decision analytic model that incorporated Markov processes. We estimated incremental costs and effectiveness (based on quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained) using a lifetime horizon and a healthcare payer perspective. The H-FLS program provided data regarding population at risk, treatment rates, persistence, and intervention costs. We also performed deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: One thousand two hundred fifty-two patients were included in the H-FLS between June 2015 and March 2018; 69% were female; the average age was 80 ± 11 years. Anti-absorptive treatment following fracture was initiated in 59.6% (95% CI: 55.7-63.5) H-FLS patients relative to 20.9% (95% CI: 13.3-28.5%) receiving usual care (from our published work). Based on modeled cohort simulation cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA), every 1000 H-FLS patients would experience 12 fewer hip fractures and 37 fewer total fragility fractures than patients receiving usual care. Over the study horizon, the H-FLS led to only a $54 incremental cost/patient with a modest gain of 8 QALYs/1000 patients. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $6750/QALY gained was less than the $27,000 cost-effectiveness threshold. Eliminating the 9-month follow-up resulted in incremental savings of $218/patient while also reducing 6-month follow-ups increased cost-savings to $378/patient. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses suggested that the H-FLS would either be cost-saving (60%) or cost-effective (40%). CONCLUSION: A H-FLS implemented into standard practice significantly improved anti-absorptive medication use; a cohort simulation cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) suggested that the H-FLS was cost-effective with potential to become cost-savings.

Hip fractures are preventable: a proposal for osteoporosis screening and fall prevention in older people.

Osteoporosis is highly prevalent but underdiagnosed and undertreated in Hong Kong. Fragility fractures associated with osteoporosis often result in loss of independence and increased mortality for home-dwelling patients, imposing a high socio-economic burden on society. This issue requires urgent attention given the rapid growth of the elderly population in Hong Kong by approximately 4.3% each year. To address this situation, a group of experts convened to discuss practical ways to reduce the burden of fractures and formulated three recommendations: first, all men (aged ≥70 years) and women (aged ≥65 years) should receive universal dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry assessment for osteoporosis. Second, all men (aged ≥70 years) and women (aged ≥65 years) with a fracture-risk assessment-derived 10-year risk (hip fracture with bone mineral density) ≥3% should receive ≥3 years of anti-osteoporotic treatment. Third, comprehensive structured assessment (including dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry) should be conducted in older patients with a history of falling. By implementing these recommendations, we estimate that we could prevent 5234 hip fractures in 10 years, an annual incidence reduction of approximately 7%, and save HK$425 million in direct medical costs plus substantial indirect savings. Ample clinical and cost-effectiveness data support these recommendations, and studies in Hong Kong and abroad could serve as models on how to implement them. We are confident that by applying these recommendations rigorously and systematically, a significant reduction in hip fractures in Hong Kong is achievable.

Successful implementation of a Fracture Liaison Service through effective change management: a qualitative study.

We assessed the context in which a hip Fracture Liaison Service was implemented. We conducted semi-structured interviews with 21 key informants at two time points to understand organizational readiness, facilitators, and barriers to change. We identified strategies important to successful implementation, particularly in the context of change fatigue. PURPOSE: Fracture Liaison Service (FLS) is effective for secondary fracture prevention. Two hospital sites implemented FLS for hip fracture patients, 50 + years, in Alberta, Canada. We assessed organizational readiness, facilitators, and barriers to change to better understand the context in which the FLS was implemented to inform its potential spread provincially. METHODS: We recruited individuals involved in FLS implementation at provincial and site levels to participate in telephone interviews at baseline and 16 months post-implementation. Interviews were transcribed and analyzed using thematic content analysis. In addition, site-level participants were invited to complete the Organizational Readiness to Implement Change tool at baseline. RESULTS: We conducted 33 semi-structured interviews (20 at baseline; 13 at post-implementation) with 21 key informants. Participants included managers (24%), FLS physicians/clinical nurses (19%), operational/leadership roles (19%), physicians/surgeons (14%), pharmacists (10%), nurse practitioners (10%), and social work (5%). Seventeen site-level participants completed the ORIC tool at baseline; all participants scored high (71%) or neutral (29%). We found that the use of several strategies, including demonstrating value, providing resources, and selecting appropriate sites, were important to implementation, particularly in the context of change fatigue. Participants perceived the FLS as acceptable and there was evidence of facilitated learning rather than simply monitoring implementation as intended. CONCLUSIONS: An effective change management approach neutralized change fatigue. This approach, if maintained, bodes well for the potential spread of the FLS provincially if proven effective and cost effective. Change readiness assessment tools could be used strategically to inform the spread of the FLS to early adopter sites.

Hip protectors are cost-effective in the prevention of hip fractures in patients with high fracture risk.

Cost-effective preventive interventions are necessary for tackling the increasing number of hip fractures, which are frequently occuring as a serious consequence of osteoporosis. Several interventions have been available for preventing and treating osteoporosis. The aim of this study was to systematically review and critically appraise studies that assessed cost-effectiveness of hip protectors for the prevention of hip fractures and to investigate the effects of age, gender and residence situation on cost-effectiveness. A systematic review was conducted in order to identify economic evaluation studies examining the hip protector solely or compared to no treatment according to the Preferred Reported Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) statement. Synthesis of results was performed to observe trends between the studies. Methodological quality of the studies was assessed by the use of the Quality of Health Economic Studies (QHES) instrument. A total of 15 economic evaluation studies were included for analysis. The methodological quality was high in most studies (13/15). The hip protector was solely evaluated in three studies and within 12 other studies compared with no intervention. All studies that investigated the cost-effectiveness in long-term care facilities revealed that hip protector use is a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of hip fractures in elderly. Cost-effectiveness was also observed in two studies that provided hip protectors in a geriatric hospital ward. Four studies included both community-dwelling residents and residents living in a long-term care facility in their study. These studies showed more variability regarding cost-effectiveness. One study did not report information regarding the residence situation of their cohort, but also observed cost-effectiveness. In conclusion, this review suggests that hip protectors are a cost-effective approach in the prevention of hip fractures in populations with high risk of hip fractures especially in long-term care facilities and a geriatric ward in a hospital.

Status quo of osteoporosis treatment in Japan disclosed by the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups: too late in treatment initiation and too few in treated patients?

For the first time ever, the details of osteoporotic treatment were unveiled through the big data published by the government of Japan. The number of patients being treated is low and treatment start is late, especially in men. Our data are useful for education to not only patients but also doctors. PURPOSE: To analyze the current status and trend of osteoporosis treatment in Japan by analyzing the data on main drugs for osteoporosis disclosed in the National Database open data. METHODS: We used the National Database open data released by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare in September 2018. Data on bisphosphonates, denosumab, and teriparatide were extracted to calculate the number of patients treated with these drugs based on the number of prescriptions filed. Using these prescription numbers, the proportion of patients treated with bisphosphonates, denosumab, or teriparatide among osteoporosis patients was calculated. Further, the data on the incidence of hip fractures were employed to validate the appropriateness of the timing of treatment initiation to osteoporosis patients in Japan. RESULTS: The number of patients in men administered bisphosphonates, denosumab, or teriparatide was about one tenth of that in women. The proportion of osteoporosis patients in men treated with bisphosphonates, denosumab, or teriparatide was highest in age group over 80 years at 19.4%. The proportion of osteoporosis patients in women treated with bisphosphonates, denosumab, or teriparatide was highest in age group 70-79 years at 23.7%. The incidence of hip fractures increases sharply over 80 years of age in both genders. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggested that osteoporosis treatment should be initiated in younger age, especially in men, in order to avoid osteoporotic fractures in Japan.

Prescription practices of anti-osteoporosis medication among Thai orthopedic surgeons (PAMOS study) in osteoporotic hip fracture.

As a medication for preventing osteoporotic fracture is recommended but scarcely prescribed, this study surveyed Thai orthopedic surgeons to explore key determinants of their prescription practices. In addition to a set of well-known determinants, the patient's health insurance status could also influence the prescription practice. PURPOSE: Although many guidelines suggest using anti-osteoporosis medications in patients who suffered from fragility hip fractures, low rate of prescription was encountered all over the world. In this study, we aimed to explore potential determinants affecting the prescription of anti-osteoporosis medications by orthopedic surgeons. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Online questionnaire survey was conducted among randomly selected orthopedic surgeons in Thailand. We inquired the factors associated with anti-osteoporosis medication prescription (likely to prescribe, unlikely to prescribe, or not influential). The reasons for not prescribing were also inquired. RESULTS: Two hundred and ninety-four participants responded to the questionnaires. Age, gender, previous fragility fracture, and BMD results seemed to influence the medication prescription. Interestingly, the type of reimbursement was responded as an important factor. The leading reason for not prescribing the medication was due to the high cost of the treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Knowing the factors affecting the prescription of anti-osteoporosis medication is beneficial for strategic planning in order to increase the rate of prescription. The gap of treatment may be reduced, and the morbidity and mortality of the patients can be decreased.

Drug Burden Index and Its Association With Hip Fracture Among Older Adults: A National Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: The Drug Burden Index (DBI) calculates the total sedative and anticholinergic load of prescribed medications and is associated with functional decline and hip fractures in older adults. However, it is unknown if confounding factors influence the relationship between the DBI and hip fractures. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between the DBI and hip fractures, after correcting for mortality and multiple potential confounding factors. METHODS: A competing-risks regression analysis conducted on a prospectively recruited New Zealand community-dwelling older population who had a standardized (International Resident Assessment Instrument) assessment between September 1, 2012, and October 31, 2015, the study's end date. Outcome measures were survival status and hip fracture, with time-varying DBI exposure derived from 90-day time intervals. The multivariable competing-risks regression model was adjusted for a large number of medical comorbidities and activities of daily living. RESULTS: Among 70,553 adults assessed, 2,249 (3.2%) experienced at least one hip fracture, 20,194 (28.6%) died without experiencing a fracture, and 48,110 (68.2%) survived without a fracture. The mean follow-up time was 14.9 months (range: 1 day, 37.9 months). The overall DBI distribution was highly skewed, with median time-varying DBI exposure ranging from 0.93 (Q1 = 0.0, Q3 = 1.84) to 0.96 (Q1 = 0.0, Q3 = 1.90). DBI was significantly related to fracture incidence in unadjusted (p < .001) and adjusted (p < .001) analyses. The estimated subhazard ratio was 1.52 (95% confidence interval: 1.28-1.81) for those with DBI > 3 compared with those with DBI = 0 in the adjusted analysis. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, increasing DBI was associated with a higher likelihood of fractures after accounting for the competing risk of mortality and adjusting for confounders. The results of this unique study are important in validating the DBI as a guide for medication management and it could help reduce the risk of hip fractures in older adults.