Chlamydia trachomatis trends in the United States among persons 14 to 39 years of age, 1999-2008.

BACKGROUND: We report the first population-based assessment of national trends in chlamydia prevalence in the United States. METHODS: We investigated trends in chlamydia prevalence in representative samples of the U.S. population aged 14 to 39 years using data from five 2-year survey cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2008. Prevalence estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) are reported stratified by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. Percent change in prevalence over this time period was estimated from regression models. RESULTS: In the 2007-2008 cycle, chlamydia prevalence among participants aged 14 to 39 years was 1.6% (95% CI: 1.1%-2.4%). Prevalence was higher among females (2.2%, 95% CI: 1.4%-3.4%) than males (1.1%, 95% CI: 0.7%-1.7%). Prevalence among non-Hispanic black persons was 6.7% (95% CI: 4.6%-9.9%) and was 2.5% (95% CI: 1.6%-3.8%) among adolescents aged 14 to 19 years. Over the five 2-year cycles, there was an estimated 40% reduction (95% CI: 8%-61%) in prevalence among participants aged 14 to 39 years. Decreases in prevalence were notable in men (53% reduction, 95% CI: 19%-72%), adolescents aged 14 to 19 years (48% reduction, 95% CI: 11%-70%), and adolescent non-Hispanic black persons (45%, reduction, 95% CI: 4%-70%). There was no change in prevalence among females aged 14 to 25 years, the population targeted for routine annual screening. CONCLUSIONS: On the basis of population estimates of chlamydia prevalence, the overall chlamydia burden in the United States decreased from 1999 to 2008. However, there remains a need to reduce prevalence in populations most at risk and to reduce racial disparities.

Cost effectiveness of home based population screening for Chlamydia trachomatis in the UK: economic evaluation of chlamydia screening studies (ClaSS) project.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the cost effectiveness of screening for Chlamydia trachomatis compared with a policy of no organised screening in the United Kingdom. DESIGN: Economic evaluation using a transmission dynamic mathematical model. SETTING: Central and southwest England. PARTICIPANTS: Hypothetical population of 50,000 men and women, in which all those aged 16-24 years were invited to be screened each year. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost effectiveness based on major outcomes averted, defined as pelvic inflammatory disease, ectopic pregnancy, infertility, or neonatal complications. RESULTS: The incremental cost per major outcome averted for a programme of screening women only (assuming eight years of screening) was 22,300 pounds (33,000 euros; $45,000) compared with no organised screening. For a programme screening both men and women, the incremental cost effectiveness ratio was approximately 28,900 pounds. Pelvic inflammatory disease leading to hospital admission was the most frequently averted major outcome. The model was highly sensitive to the incidence of major outcomes and to uptake of screening. When both were increased the cost effectiveness ratio fell to 6200 pound per major outcome averted for screening women only. CONCLUSIONS: Proactive register based screening for chlamydia is not cost effective if the uptake of screening and incidence of complications are based on contemporary empirical studies, which show lower rates than commonly assumed. These data are relevant to discussions about the cost effectiveness of the opportunistic model of chlamydia screening being introduced in England.

Overestimation of complication rates in evaluations of Chlamydia trachomatis screening programmes--implications for cost-effectiveness analyses.

BACKGROUND: Cost-effectiveness analyses of screening programmes for asymptomatic Chlamydia trachomatis infection suggest that screening at low prevalences in the population is cost-effective. However, the decision models in these studies are based on assumptions about the risk of complications, which are derived from the literature. Incorrect assumptions may lead to under- or overestimation of the effectiveness of screening. The first objective of this paper is to evaluate the assumptions about the probability of complications after an asymptomatic C. trachomatis infection. The second objective is to calculate alternative rates by using available data on the incidence of complications. METHODS: We identified cost-effectiveness studies via Medline, and evaluated these for the evidence for the quoted probabilities. In addition, the probability of complications was calculated for Amsterdam from available registration data. RESULTS: In the three studies that were identified, the assumptions for the rates of pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) (clinical and subclinical) after C. trachomatis infection varied from 15% to 80%, and for ectopic pregnancy, tubal factor infertility, and chronic pelvic pain after PID from 5-25%, 10-20%, and 18-30%, respectively. The assumptions were based on data from high-risk populations, case-control data, and data not accounting for misdiagnoses. Using data obtained from local registrations, we estimated the probability of a clinical PID (0.43%), ectopic pregnancy (0.07%), and tubal factor infertility (0.02%) for women with a current infection. These estimates were consistently lower than the estimates based on the literature. CONCLUSIONS: We argue that an overestimation of the current complication rates is likely. The effect of overestimation is potentially the greatest in populations with a low prevalence, since the currently assumed cost savings associated with screening may disappear when using more realistic estimates for complications.