Clinical Effect of Hepatitis B Virus on COVID-19 Infected Patients: A Nationwide Population-Based Study Using the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service Database.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have recently suggested that liver disease and cirrhosis were risk factors for poor outcomes in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections. However, no large data study has reported the clinical course of COVID-19 patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections. This study investigated whether HBV infection had negative impacts on the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients. METHODS: We performed a nationwide population-based cohort study with 19,160 COVID-19-infected patients in 2020 from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment database. The clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients with chronic HBV infections were assessed and compared to those of non-HBV-infected patients. RESULTS: Of the 19,160 patients diagnosed with COVID-19, 675 (3.5%) patients had chronic HBV infections. The HBV-infected patients were older and had more commodities than the non-HBV infected COVID-19 patients. During the observation period, COVID-19-related mortality was seen in 1,524 (8.2%) of the non-HBV-infected 18,485 patients, whereas 91 (13.5%) in HBV-infected 675 patients died of COVID-19 infection. Compared to patients without HBV infections, a higher proportion of patients with chronic HBV infections required intensive care unit (ICU) admission and had organ failures. However, odds ratios for mortality, ICU admission, and organ failure were comparable between the two groups after adjusting for age, sex, and comorbid diseases including liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. CONCLUSION: COVID-19-infected patients with HBV infections showed worse clinical courses than non-HBV-infected COVID-19 patients. However, after adjustment, chronic HBV infection itself does not seem to affect the clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients.

Long-term outcomes after resection of alcohol-related versus hepatitis-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A SEER-Medicare database analysis.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to define the relative impact of alcohol and/or hepatitis-related HCC etiology on the outcomes of patients who underwent resection or transplantation for HCC. METHODS: The SEER-Medicare database was used to identify patients with HCC between 2004 and 2015. Patients with history of alcohol abuse or hepatitis were identified. Overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: Among 1140 patients, 11.9% (n = 136) of patients had alcohol-related HCC, 30.0% (n = 342) hepatitis-related HCC, and 58.1% (n = 662) had other cause-related HCC. On multivariable analysis, patients with alcohol-related HCC (HR:1.06, 95%CI:0.82-1.35) or hepatitis-related HCC (HR:1.05, 95%CI:0.88-1.26) had similar hazards of death compared with patients who had non-alcohol/non-hepatitis-related HCC. Patients who had tumor size ≤5 cm had lower hazards of death (HR:0.81, 95%CI:0.68-0.97), while individuals who underwent liver resection (vs. transplantation) had almost a two-fold higher hazards of death (HR:1.99, 95%CI:1.47-2.69). CONCLUSION: Tumor specific factors (i.e. tumor size and stage) and operative approach (i.e. resection vs. transplantation) -rather than HCC etiology- dictated both OS and CSS.

The Lived Experience of Chronic Hepatitis B: A Broader View of Its Impacts and Why We Need a Cure.

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is one of the most widespread liver diseases in the world. It is currently incurable and can lead to liver cirrhosis and cancer. The considerable impacts on society caused by CHB through patient mortality, morbidity, and economic loss are well-recognised in the field. This is, however, a narrow view of the harms, given that people living with CHB can be asymptomatic for the majority of their life-long infection. Of less-appreciated importance are the psychosocial harms, which can continue throughout an affected person's lifetime. Here we review the broad range of these impacts, which include fear and anxiety; financial loss and instability; stigma and discrimination; and rejection by society. Importantly, these directly affect patient diagnosis, management, and treatment. Further, we highlight the roles that the research community can play in taking these factors into account and mitigating them. In particular, the development of a cure for hepatitis B virus infection would alleviate many of the psychosocial impacts of CHB. We conclude that there should be a greater recognition of the full impacts associated with CHB to bring meaningful, effective, and deliverable results to the global community living with hepatitis B.

Cost-Effectiveness of Tenofovir Alafenamide for Treatment of Chronic Hepatitis B in Canada.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) has been approved for treating chronic hepatitis B (CHB) due to a proposed better safety profile in comparison with current therapies. We evaluated the cost effectiveness of TAF and other available treatment options for hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative CHB patients from a Canadian provincial Ministry of Health perspective. METHODS: A state-transition model based on the published literature was developed to compare treatment strategies involving entecavir (ETV), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF), and TAF. It adopted a lifetime time horizon. Outcomes measured were predicted number of liver-related deaths, costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). RESULTS: For HBeAg-positive patients, TAF followed by ETV generated an additional 0.16 QALYs/person at an additional cost of Can$14,836.18 with an ICER of Can$94,142.71/QALY compared with TDF followed by ETV. Of the iterations, 28.7% showed that it is the optimal strategy with a Can$50,000 willingness-to-pay threshold. For HBeAg-negative patients, ETV followed by TAF would prevent an additional 13 liver-related deaths per 1000 CHB patients compared with TDF, followed by ETV. It generated an additional 0.13 QALYs/person at an additional cost of Can$59,776.53 with an ICER of Can$461,162.21/QALY compared with TDF, followed by ETV. TAF-containing strategies are unlikely to be a rational choice in either case. The results were sensitive to the HBeAg seroconversion rates and viral suppression rates of the treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis suggests that TAF is not cost effective at its current cost. A 33.4% reduction in price would be required to make it cost effective for HBeAg-positive patients with a Can$50,000 willingness-to-pay threshold.

Impact of reimbursement program on liver-related mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis B in Beijing, China.

OBJECTIVE: Since July 1, 2011 antiviral therapy for hepatitis B virus infection has been listed as a reimbursable expense for medical insurance in Beijing. This study aimed to assess the impact of this program on liver-related death for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS: Profiles of patients with CHB discharged between January 2008 and December 2015 were retrieved from the Beijing hospital discharge database. Liver-related deaths in these patients occurring between January 2008 and December 2017 were retrieved by linking them to the death certification database. Liver-related mortality (number of deaths divided by the observed person-years) before and after this program was launched was calculated and compared. A Poisson regression was performed to assess the strength of association (risk ratio [RR]) between the reimbursement program and liver-related mortality. RESULTS: Information on 35 943 discharged patients (17 114 patients with non-cirrhotic and 18 829 with compensated cirrhotic CHB) was retrieved. Altogether 3 832 liver-related deaths during the 190 695 person-years were observed. After the reimbursement program was launched, liver-related mortality per 100 person-years dropped from 0.38% to 0.16% for patients with non-cirrhotic CHB, and from 4.03% to 3.39% for those with compensated cirrhosis. The program was associated with a lower risk of developing liver-related death for patients with non-cirrhotic CHB (RR 0.40, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30-0.52) and those with compensated cirrhosis (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.78-0.89). CONCLUSION: Coverage of antiviral therapy by basic medical insurance reduced the risk of developing liver-related death for patients with non-cirrhotic and with compensated cirrhotic CHB.

Resource Utilization and Outcomes of Medicare Recipients With Chronic Hepatitis B in the United States.

GOALS: To assess the outcomes and resource utilization of chronic hepatitis B (CH-B) among Medicare beneficiaries. BACKGROUND: CH-B is highly prevalent among immigrants from endemic areas. Although incidence of CH-B is stable in the United States, CH-B patients have become Medicare eligible. STUDY: We used the inpatient and outpatient Medicare database (2005 to 2014). Adult patients with CH-B diagnosis were included. One-year mortality and resource utilization were assessed. Independent associations with resource utilization and mortality were determined using multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Study cohort included 18,603 Medicare recipients with CH-B. Between 2005 and 2014, number of Medicare beneficiaries with CH-B increased by 4.4% annually. The proportion of beneficiaries with CH-B who were whites decreased while those who were Asians increased (P<0.05). Furthermore, 7.4% of CH-B Medicare cohort experienced decompensated cirrhosis, 2.9% hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 11.9% 1-year mortality. Although the number of inpatients with CH-B remained stable, the number of outpatient encounters increased. Annual total inpatient charges increased from $66,610 to $94,221 while these charges for outpatient increased from $9257 to $47,863. In multivariate analysis, age [odds ratio (OR), 1.05; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-1.05], male gender [OR, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.12-1.38)], decompensated cirrhosis [OR, 3.02 (95% CI, 2.63-3.48)], HCC [OR, 2.64 (95% CI, 2.10-3.32)], and higher Charlson comorbidity index [OR, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.21-1.27)] were independently associated with increased 1-year mortality. HCC and higher Charlson comorbidity index were also associated with higher inpatient and outpatient charges, and inpatient length of stay (all P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: CH-B infection has been rising in Medicare population and is responsible for significant mortality and resource utilization.

Changing Trends in Etiology-Based Annual Mortality From Chronic Liver Disease, From 2007 Through 2016.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has improved, the prevalence of alcoholic liver disease (ALD) has been increasing, so we need an updated estimate of the burden and etiology-specific mortality of chronic liver diseases. We studied trends in age-standardized mortality of chronic liver diseases in adults at least 20 years old in the United States from 2007 through 2016. METHODS: We collected data from the US Census and National Center for Health Statistics mortality records and identified individuals with HCV infection, ALD, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, or hepatitis B virus infection using ICD-10 codes. We obtained temporal mortality rate patterns using joinpoint trend analysis with estimates of annual percentage change (APC). RESULTS: Age-standardized HCV-related mortality increased from 7.17 per 100,000 persons in 2007 to 8.14 per 100,000 persons in 2013, followed by a marked decrease in the time period at which patients began receiving treatment with direct-acting antiviral agents (from 8.09 per 100,000 persons in 2014 to 7.15 per 100,000 persons in 2016). The APC in HCV mortality increased 2.0%/year from 2007 through 2014 but decreased 6.4%/year from 2014 through 2016. In contrast, age-standardized mortality increased for ALD (APC 2.3% from 2007 through 2013 and APC 5.5% from 2013 through 2016) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (APC 6.1% from 2007 through 2013 and APC 11.3% from 2013 through 2016). Mortality related to hepatitis B virus decreased steadily from 2007 through 2016, with an average APC of -2.1% (95% CI -3.0 to -1.2). Etiology-based mortality in minority populations was higher. HCV-related mortality (per 100,000 persons) was highest in non-Hispanic blacks (10.28) and whites (6.92), followed by Hispanics (5.94), and lowest in non-Hispanic Asians (2.33). Non-Hispanic Asians had higher mortality for hepatitis B virus infection (2.82 per 100,000 vs 1.02 for non-Hispanic blacks and 0.47 for non-Hispanic whites). CONCLUSION: In our population-based analysis of chronic liver disease mortality in the United States, the decrease in HCV-related mortality coincided with the introduction of direct-acting antiviral therapies, whereas mortality from ALD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease increased during the same period. Minorities in the United States have disproportionately higher mortality related to chronic liver disease.

Economic and clinical burden of viral hepatitis in California: A population-based study with longitudinal analysis.

BACKGROUND: Economic burden of HBV and HCV infection are trending upwards. AIMS: Compare hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) related hospital admission rates, charges, mortality rates, causes of death in a US population-based study. METHODS: Retrospective cohort analysis of HBV and HCV patients from the California Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development (2006-2013) database. RESULTS: A total of 23,891 HBV and 148,229 HCV patients were identified. Across the 8-year period, the mean increase for all-cause ($1,863 vs $1,388) and liver-related hospitalization charges ($1,175 vs $675) were significantly higher for the HBV cohort compared to the HCV cohort. HBV patients had significantly higher liver-related hospital charges per person per year than HCV patients after controlling for covariates ($123,239 vs $111,837; p = 0.002). Compared to HCV patients, adjusted mortality hazard ratio was slightly lower in HBV patients (relative risk = 0.96; 95% CI 0.94-0.99). The major causes and places of death were different. The three major causes of death for HBV were: other malignant neoplasms (35%), cardiovascular disease/other circulatory disorders (17%), and liver-related disease (15%) whereas for HCV patients were: liver-related disease (22%), other malignant neoplasms (20%), and cardiovascular disease (16%). Regarding the place of death, 53% of HBV patients and 44% of HCV patients died in hospital inpatient, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: HBV patients incurred higher liver-related hospital charges and higher mean increase for all-cause and liver-related hospitalization charges over the 8-year period compared to HCV patients. HBV patients had slightly lower mortality rate and their major causes and places of death were noticeably different from HCV patients.

Persistently Increased Resting Energy Expenditure Predicts Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

OBJECTIVE: Hypermetabolism based on measurements of resting energy expenditure (REE) is suggested to be a potential biomarker for predicting the clinical outcomes of some diseases. We aimed to evaluate the potential value of hypermetabolism for predicting the short-term (28-day) mortality of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). METHODS: A total of 105 HBV-ACLF patients, 30 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients and 30 healthy controls (HCs) were included in this study. The REE was measured using indirect calorimetry in the morning after 8-10 h of fasting. The predicted REE (REEHB) was determined using Harris-Benedict equation. Persistent hypermetabolism was defined as the REE:REEHB ratio > 1.20 at day 1 and day 7 after admission. The severity of liver disease was estimated using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD). Clinical and biochemical variables were determined using blood samples ordered upon admission. These variables were compared between nonsurviving and surviving patients who were classified according to the 28-day mortality. RESULTS: The frequency of hypermetabolism at baseline was significantly higher in ACLF patients than that in HCs and CHB patients. Forty-six (43.8%) ACLF patients died within follow-up of 28 days. Persistent hypermetabolism (OR 2.10; 95% CI 1.15-3.69; p = 0.002) and MELD score (OR 1.93; 95% CI 1.47-3.51; p = 0.012) were independent predictive indicators of 28-day mortality. Furthermore, the performance of the 2 variables (persistent hypermetabolism and MELD) together with the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC: 0.819) was significantly better than that of MELD alone -(AUROC: 0.694) for prediction of short-term mortality (p = 0.014). CONCLUSION: These findings indicate that persistent hypermetabolism is predictive of short-term mortality in this small population.

Monitoring response to hepatitis B and C in EU/EEA: testing policies, availability of data on care cascade and chronic viral hepatitis-related mortality - results from two surveys (2016).

OBJECTIVES: The World Health Organization (WHO) developed a European Regional Action Plan (EAP) to fast-track action towards the goal of eliminating viral hepatitis. Robust monitoring is essential to assess national programme performance. The purpose of this study was to assess the availability of selected monitoring data sources in European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA) Member States (MS). METHODS: Availability of data sources at EU/EEA level was assessed using two surveys distributed to 31 EU/EEA MS in 2016. The two surveys covered (A) availability of policy documents on testing; testing practices and monitoring; monitoring of diagnosis and treatment initiation, and; (B) availability of data on mortality attributable to chronic viral hepatitis. RESULTS: Just over two-thirds of EU/EEA MS responded to the surveys. 86% (18/21) reported national testing guidance covering HBV, and 81% (17/21) covering HCV; while 33% (7/21) and 38% (8/21) of countries, respectively, monitored the number of tests performed. 71% (15/21) of countries monitored the number of chronic HBV cases diagnosed and 33% (7/21) the number of people treated. Corresponding figures for HCV were 48% (10/21) and 57% (12/21). 27% (6/22) of countries reported availability of data on mortality attributable to chronic viral hepatitis. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that sources of information in EU/EEA Member States to monitor the progress towards the EAP milestones and targets related to viral hepatitis diagnosis, cascade of care and attributable mortality are limited. Our analysis should raise awareness among EU/EEA policy makers and stimulate higher prioritisation of efforts to improve the monitoring of national viral hepatitis programmes.

Chronic Hepatitis B Is Associated with Higher Inpatient Resource Utilization and Mortality Versus Chronic Hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections remain one of the leading causes of chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. Healthcare initiatives for chronic viral hepatitis to facilitate early diagnosis and linkage to care in an effort to reduce inpatient resource utilization associated with late diagnosis and end-stage liver disease have been partially successful. AIMS: Our objective was to determine the impact of liver-related complications from chronic HBV and HCV infections on inpatient cost of care, length of stay, and mortality. METHODS: Using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project, National Inpatient Sample (HCUP-NIS), we studied the impact of chronic HBV and HCV infections on inpatient healthcare system following hospitalizations from 2003 to 2012. RESULTS: Of the 79,185,729 million hospitalizations among adult patients in the USA from 2003 to 2012, 143,896 (0.18 %) hospitalizations were HBV related and 1,073,269 (1.36 %) hospitalizations HCV related. HBV hospitalizations had a higher inpatient mortality (OR 1.34; 95 % CI 1.30, 1.38), median cost of care per hospitalization (+$2100.33; 95 % CI 1982.53, 2217.53), and increased length of hospitalization stay (+0.64 days; 95 % CI 0.60, 0.68; p < 0.01) compared to HCV. CONCLUSIONS: Despite higher per case resource utilization following hospitalization, HBV-infected patients demonstrate a lower inpatient survival in comparison with chronic HCV infection. These disparate observations underscore the need for early diagnosis of chronic HBV infection in at-risk population and prompt linkage to care.

Combination of Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate and Peginterferon α-2a Increases Loss of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients chronically infected with the hepatitis B virus rarely achieve loss of serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) with the standard of care. We evaluated HBsAg loss in patients receiving the combination of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) and peginterferon α-2a (peginterferon) for a finite duration in a randomized trial. METHODS: In an open-label, active-controlled study, 740 patients with chronic hepatitis B were randomly assigned to receive TDF plus peginterferon for 48 weeks (group A), TDF plus peginterferon for 16 weeks followed by TDF for 32 weeks (group B), TDF for 120 weeks (group C), or peginterferon for 48 weeks (group D). The primary end point was the proportion of patients with serum HBsAg loss at week 72. RESULTS: At week seventy-two, 9.1% of subjects in group A had HBsAg loss compared with 2.8% of subjects in group B, none of the subjects in group C, and 2.8% of subjects in group D. A significantly higher proportion of subjects in group A had HBsAg loss than in group C (P < .001) or group D (P = .003). However, the proportions of subjects with HBsAg loss did not differ significantly between group B and group C (P = .466) or group D (P = .883). HBsAg loss in group A occurred in hepatitis B e antigen-positive and hepatitis B e antigen-negative patients with all major viral genotypes. The incidence of common adverse events (including headache, alopecia, and pyrexia) and treatment discontinuation due to adverse events was similar among groups. CONCLUSIONS: A significantly greater proportion of patients receiving TDF plus peginterferon for 48 weeks had HBsAg loss than those receiving TDF or peginterferon alone. ClinicalTrials.gov ID NCT01277601.

Outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B who do not meet criteria for antiviral treatment at presentation.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The availability of potent, well-tolerated, oral antivirals with low rates of resistance has led many experts to recommend liberalizing indications for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study sought to determine the rate of transitions to an active phase of infection, the frequency of treatment initiation, and the clinical outcomes of patients with CHB who did not meet treatment criteria at presentation. METHODS: We reviewed medical records of patients with CHB, seen in the liver clinics at the University of Michigan Health System from 1999 through 2010, who did not receive antiviral treatment within 6 months of presentation. We collected data on transitions between different phases of CHB, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion, loss of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), and the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Data analyses were censored or truncated at the time of treatment initiation or development of an outcome. RESULTS: Of the 234 patients analyzed, 52.1% were men (median age, 35 y), 72.2% were Asian, and 81.2% were HBeAg-negative. During a median follow-up period of 51 months, 19.2% of patients transitioned to a more active disease phase and 18.8% started antiviral therapy. Of the 44 HBeAg-positive patients, 4 patients (9%) had spontaneous HBeAg seroconversion. Nine HBeAg-negative patients but none of the HBeAg-positive patients lost HBsAg. The cumulative probability of HBsAg loss among HBeAg-negative patients was 1% at year 5 and 21% by year 10. No patients had flares of icteric hepatitis or hepatic decompensation. None of the HBeAg-positive patients developed HCC, whereas 2 HBeAg-negative patients developed HCC. CONCLUSIONS: Careful monitoring of patients with CHB who did not meet treatment criteria at presentation permits timely initiation of treatment, with a low risk of adverse clinical outcomes, based on a retrospective study with a median follow-up period of 4.3 years. These findings indicate that current guidelines for initiating treatment are appropriate.

Population health impact and cost-effectiveness of monitoring inactive chronic hepatitis B and treating eligible patients in Shanghai, China.

UNLABELLED: Inactive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) carriers make up the largest group of hepatitis B virus-infected patients, and China bears the largest total CHB burden of any country. We therefore assessed the population health impact and cost-effectiveness of a strategy of lifelong monitoring for inactive CHB and treatment of eligible patients in Shanghai, China. We used a computer simulation model to project health outcomes among a population cohort of CHB based on age-specific prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg), and cirrhosis. Using a Markov model we simulated patients' progression through a discrete series of health states, and compared current practice to a monitor and treat (M&T) strategy. We measured lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) (both discounted at 3% per year), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and clinical outcomes such as development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We estimated that there are 1.5 million CHB-infected persons in Shanghai. The M&T strategy costs US$20,730 per patient and yields a discounted QALY of 15.45, which represents incremental costs and health benefits of US$275 and 0.10 QALYs compared to current practice, and an ICER of US$2,996 per QALY gained. In the base case, we estimated that the M&T strategy will reduce HCC and CHB-related mortality by only around 1%. If variables such as adherence to monitoring and treatment could be substantially improved the M&T strategy could reduce HCC by 70% and CHB-related mortality by 83%. CONCLUSION: Lifelong monitoring of inactive CHB carriers is cost-effective in Shanghai according to typical benchmarks for value for money, but achieving substantial population-level health gains depends on identifying more CHB-infected cases in the population, and increasing rates of treatment, monitoring, and treatment adherence.

Risk assessment of liver-related events using transient elastography in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving entecavir.

GOALS: We investigated whether liver stiffness (LS) values can predict liver-related events (LREs) development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). BACKGROUND: LS values using transient elastography provides accurate assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS: Between June 2007 and May 2010, a total of 162 patients with CHB who completed 2-year entecavir (ETV) treatment were evaluated. The primary endpoint was LRE development (hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, or liver-related death) during the 2-year ETV treatment. RESULTS: The median age of the patients (99 men, 63 women) was 51 years, and the median LS value was 14.8 kPa. During the 2-year ETV treatment, 15 (9.3%) patients experienced LREs. On univariate analysis, age, the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis, platelet counts, and baseline LS values were significantly associated with LRE development (all P<0.05). Together with age, multivariate analysis identified baseline LS values as an independent predictor of LRE development (P=0.046; hazard ratio, 1.040; 95% confidence interval, 1.101-1.084). The cutoff LS value maximizing the sum of sensitivity and specificity was 12.0 kPa (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.736; P=0.003; sensitivity, 93.3%; specificity, 42.2%). In addition, the changes in LS values between baseline and 1-year ETV treatment showed significant correlations with LRE development (P=0.030). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that LS values are predictive of LRE development during 2-year ETV treatment in patients with CHB. The potential role of LS value as a monitoring tool for predicting dynamic changes in the risk of LRE development during long-term ETV treatment should be investigated further.

Cost effectiveness of screening immigrants for hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection among the immigrants of North America ranges from 2 to 15%, among whom 40% develop advanced liver disease. Screening for hepatitis B surface antigen is not recommended for immigrants. AIMS: The objective of this study is to estimate the health and economic effects of screening strategies for CHB among immigrants. METHODS: We used the Markov model to examine the cost-effectiveness of three screening strategies: (i) 'No screening'; (ii) 'Screen and Treat' and (iii) 'Screen, Treat and Vaccinate' for 20-65 years old individuals who were born abroad but are currently living in Canada. Model data were obtained from the published literature. We measured predicted hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related deaths, costs (2008 Canadian Dollars), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: Our results show that screening all immigrants will prevent 59 HBV-related deaths per 10, 000 persons screened over the lifetime of the cohort. Screening was associated with an increase in quality-adjusted life expectancy (0.024 QALYs) and cost ($1665) per person with an ICER of $69, 209/QALY gained compared with 'No screening'. The 'Screen, Treat and Vaccinate' costs an additional $81, generates an additional 0.000022 QALYs per person, with an ICER of $3, 648,123/QALY compared with the 'Screen and Treat'. Sensitivity analyses suggested that the 'Screen and Treat' is likely to be moderately cost-effective. CONCLUSION: We show that a selective hepatitis B screening programme targeted at all immigrants in Canada is likely to be moderately cost-effective. Identification of silent CHB infection with the offer of treatment when appropriate can extend the lives of immigrants at reasonable cost.

Recent advances in the management of viral hepatitis.

While viral hepatitis is a global problem its prevalence in the UK is often underestimated. Chronic infection with the hepatitis B and/or C virus causes significant morbidity and mortality. New treatments that attenuate viral replication or induce immunity against infection have transformed the management of these conditions, but their effectiveness comes at some cost - both in financial terms and in the side-effect profile associated with treatment. Viral resistance promises to be an ongoing problem, particularly in patients who have an inadequate response to antiviral therapy or are non-adherent with treatment protocols. This article explores new developments in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B and C infection, and describes current protocols for managing patients with these conditions.

Prospective validation of the Chinese University Prognostic Index and comparison with other staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma in an Asian population.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hepatitis B viral (HBV) infection is the predominant etiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Asia. Our group previously reported a staging system known as the Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI) for HCC populations of which HBV infection is the predominant etiology. This study aims to validate CUPI and compare with other published staging systems. METHODS: We analyzed a prospective cohort of patients with newly diagnosed HCC from 2003 to 2005. All patients were staged with CUPI, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Classification (BCLC), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score (CLIP), tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) and Okuda systems at diagnosis. They were followed with survival data and the performance of each staging system (in terms of homogeneity, discriminatory ability and monotonicity of gradient) were analyzed and compared. RESULTS: A total of 595 patients (80.2% with chronic HBV infection) were analyzed. The median follow-up was 41.4 months and the median survival was 6.6 months. Multivariate analyses identified symptomatic disease, ascites, vascular involvement, Child-Pugh-stage, alpha-fetoprotein and treatment to be the independent prognostic factors. CUPI could identify three groups with statistically significant survival difference (P < 0.0001). Both CUPI and CLIP had the most favorable performance in terms of discriminatory ability, homogeneity and monotonicity. CUPI performed the best in predicting 3-month survival while CLIP performed better in predicting the outcome of 6- and 12-month survival rate. BCLC was inferior to CLIP and CUPI in the overall performance. CONCLUSION: We have validated CUPI in a population composed of predominant HBV-related HCC. CUPI is an appropriate staging system for HBV-related HCC. In patients with advanced HCC, both CUPI and CLIP offer good risk stratification.

Potential impact of long-term nucleoside therapy on the mortality and morbidity of active chronic hepatitis B.

UNLABELLED: The potential impact of long-term antiviral therapy on the burden of chronic hepatitis B has hardly been documented. The aim of this study was to estimate the effects of prolonged antiviral therapy and antiviral resistance on the mortality and morbidity of active chronic hepatitis B patients. A population cohort of chronic hepatitis B patients in the Netherlands was constructed and stratified according to 10-year age groups, prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen, hepatitis B virus DNA level, alanine aminotransferase level, hepatitis B e antigen status, and presence of cirrhosis. A Markov model was created to mathematically simulate the cohort's progression through a finite series of health states. The analysis was performed on the basis of four scenarios: natural history, long-term therapy with a high-resistance profile drug without or with salvage, and therapy with a low-resistance profile drug. It has been estimated that there were 64,000 people (0.4%) suffering from chronic hepatitis B infection in the Netherlands in 2005, with 6521 (10%) of them having high viremia and elevated alanine aminotransferase levels. Within a 20-year period, 1725 (26%) of the 6521 patients in the active chronic hepatitis B cohort will die because of liver-related causes. Of the 5685 without cirrhosis at entry, 1671 (29%) will develop cirrhosis. Of those 836 with cirrhosis at entry, 619 (74%) will die within a 20-year period. If this active chronic hepatitis B cohort is fully detected and treated, mortality related to liver disease can be reduced by 80% if a low-resistance profile drug is chosen from the start. The effect is due to both the reduction in complications of cirrhosis and the prevention of the development of cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: Long-term antiviral therapy with a strategy that minimizes or controls resistance will have a major preventive effect on liver-related mortality and morbidity.