Increasing prevalence of cirrhosis among insured adults in the United States, 2012-2018.

BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis is a chronic disease that is known as a "silent killer" and its true prevalence is difficult to describe. It is imperative to accurately characterize the prevalence of cirrhosis because of its increasing healthcare burden. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, trends in cirrhosis prevalence were evaluated using administrative data from one of the largest national health insurance providers in the US. (2011-2018). Enrolled adult (≥18-years-old) patients with cirrhosis defined by ICD-9 and ICD-10 were included in the study. The primary outcome measured in the study was the prevalence of cirrhosis 2011-2018. RESULTS: Among the 371,482 patients with cirrhosis, the mean age was 62.2 (±13.7) years; 53.3% had commercial insurance and 46.4% had Medicare Advantage. The most frequent cirrhosis etiologies were alcohol-related (26.0%), NASH (20.9%) and HCV (20.0%). Mean time of follow-up was 725 (±732.3) days. The observed cirrhosis prevalence was 0.71% in 2018, a 2-fold increase from 2012 (0.34%). The highest prevalence observed was among patients with Medicare Advantage insurance (1.67%) in 2018. Prevalence increased in each US. state, with Southern states having the most rapid rise (2.3-fold). The most significant increases were observed in patients with NASH (3.9-fold) and alcohol-related (2-fold) cirrhosis. CONCLUSION: Between 2012-2018, the prevalence of liver cirrhosis doubled among insured patients. Alcohol-related and NASH cirrhosis were the most significant contributors to this increase. Patients living in the South, and those insured by Medicare Advantage also have disproportionately higher prevalence of cirrhosis. Public health interventions are important to mitigate this concerning trajectory of strain to the health system.

Cost-effectiveness study of FIB-4 followed by transient elastography screening strategy for advanced hepatic fibrosis in a NAFLD at-risk population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The cost-effectiveness to screen hepatic fibrosis in at-risk population as recommended by several professional societies has been limited. This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this screening strategy in the expanded at-risk population recently proposed by several societies. METHODS: A combined model of the decision tree and Markov models was developed to compare expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between screening and no screening groups. The model included liver disease-related health states and cardiovascular disease (CVD) states as a base-case analysis. Screening strategy consisted of fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) as a treatment for diagnosed patients. RESULTS: Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that screening the at-risk population entailed $298 incremental costs and an additional 0.0199 QALY per patient compared to no screening (ICER $14 949/QALY). Screening was cost-effective based on the implicit ICER threshold of $25 000/QALY in Korea. When the effects of ILI on CVD and extrahepatic malignancy were incorporated into the cost-effectiveness model, the ICER decreased by 0.85 times from the base-case analysis (ICER $12 749/QALY). In contrast, when only the effects of liver disease were considered in the model, excluding cardiovascular disease effects, ICER increased from the baseline case analysis to $16 305. Even when replacing with medical costs in Japan and U.S., it remained cost-effective with the estimate below the countries' ICER threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides compelling evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness of FIB-4-based screening the at-risk population for advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Risk Assessment for Gastrointestinal Diseases via Clinical Dimension and Genome-Wide Polygenic Risk Scores of Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate whether individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) were at higher risk of developing a wide range of gastrointestinal diseases based on a population-based cohort study. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This study included 374,125 participants free of gastrointestinal disorders at baseline; of them, 19,719 (5.27%) with T2D were followed-up by linking to multiple medical records to record gastrointestinal disease diagnoses. Multivariable Cox models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and CIs. Logistic models were used to examine the associations between polygenic risk scores (PRS) and clinical gastrointestinal phenotypes. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.0 years, we observed the new onset of 15 gastrointestinal diseases. Compared with nondiabetes, participants with T2D had an increased risk of gastritis and duodenitis (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.51-1.65), peptic ulcer (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.43-1.71), diverticular disease (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14-1.24), pancreatitis (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.24-1.71), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR 2.46, 95% CI 2.25-2.69), liver cirrhosis (HR 2.92, 95% CI 2.58-3.30), biliary disease (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.10-1.26), gastrointestinal tract cancers (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.17-1.40), and hepatobiliary and pancreatic cancer (HR 2.32, 95% CI 2.01-2.67). Positive associations of PRS of T2D with gastritis, duodenitis, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease were also observed. CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort study, we found that T2D was associated with increased risks of a wide range of gastrointestinal outcomes. We suggest the importance of early detection and prevention of gastrointestinal disorders among patients with T2D.

A prospective study on the prevalence of MASLD in people with type-2 diabetes in the community. Cost effectiveness of screening strategies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: As screening for the liver disease and risk-stratification pathways are not established in patients with type-2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), we evaluated the diagnostic performance and the cost-utility of different screening strategies for MASLD in the community. METHODS: Consecutive patients with T2DM from primary care underwent screening for liver diseases, ultrasound, ELF score and transient elastography (TE). Five strategies were compared to the standard of care: ultrasound plus abnormal liver function tests (LFTs), Fibrosis score-4 (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score, Enhanced liver fibrosis test (ELF) and TE. Standard of care was defined as abnormal LFTs prompting referral to hospital. A Markov model was built based on the fibrosis stage, defined by TE. We generated the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime horizon. RESULTS: Of 300 patients, 287 were included: 64% (186) had MASLD and 10% (28) had other causes of liver disease. Patients with significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis due to MASLD were 17% (50/287), 11% (31/287) and 3% (8/287), respectively. Among those with significant fibrosis classified by LSM≥8.1 kPa, false negatives were 54% from ELF and 38% from FIB-4. On multivariate analysis, waist circumference, BMI, AST levels and education rank were independent predictors of significant and advanced fibrosis. All the screening strategies were associated with QALY gains, with TE (148.73 years) having the most substantial gains, followed by FIB-4 (134.07 years), ELF (131.68 years) and NAFLD fibrosis score (121.25 years). In the cost-utility analysis, ICER was £2480/QALY for TE, £2541.24/QALY for ELF and £2059.98/QALY for FIB-4. CONCLUSION: Screening for MASLD in the diabetic population in primary care is cost-effective and should become part of a holistic assessment. However, traditional screening strategies, including FIB-4 and ELF, underestimate the presence of significant liver disease in this setting.

Diagnosis and assessment of disease severity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) includes simple steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The diagnosis of NAFLD is based on the detection of excess fat disposition in the liver, which is the first step to trigger further evaluation of NAFLD, including necroinflammation and fibrosis. In this review, we discuss non-invasive biomarkers and imaging tools that are currently and potentially available for different features (steatosis, necroinflammation and fibrosis) and disease severity assessment of NAFLD. In the past 2 decades, advances in non-invasive tests of fibrosis have transformed the management of NAFLD. Blood and imaging biomarkers have already been evaluated in multiple studies for the diagnosis of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Among the various histological features of NAFLD, the degree of fibrosis has the strongest correlation with liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests of fibrosis have been shown to predict liver-related outcomes, both in the general population and among patients with NAFLD. What is lacking, however, is good data to support the use of non-invasive tests as monitoring and response biomarkers. With the conclusion of several large phase 3 studies in the next few years, the availability of paired liver biopsy, non-invasive test and clinical outcome data will likely advance the field and shed light on new biomarkers and the way to use various non-invasive tests in a longitudinal manner.

Adherence to a Traditional Mexican Diet Is Associated with Lower Hepatic Steatosis in US-Born Hispanics of Mexican Descent with Overweight or Obesity.

Hispanics of Mexican descent have disproportionate rates of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The purpose of this work is to investigate the association between the traditional Mexican diet score (tMexS) and hepatic steatosis and fibrosis, two NAFLD-related clinical endpoints, in Hispanic adults of Mexican descent. Data from 280 Hispanic adults of Mexican descent (n = 102 men, 178 women) with overweight or obesity enrolled in a cross-sectional observational study were analyzed. The tMexS was calculated from 24 h dietary recalls. Hepatic steatosis and fibrosis measurements were assessed using transient elastography (Fibroscan®). Linear regression models testing the association between tMexS and hepatic steatosis and fibrosis were run individually and through the stratification of significant modifiers. Mean tMexS were 5.9 ± 2.1, hepatic steatosis scores were 288.9 ± 48.9 dB/m, and fibrosis scores were 5.6 ± 2.2 kPa. Among the US-born group, with every point increase in the tMexS, there was a statistically significant 5.7 lower hepatic steatosis point (95% CI: -10.9, -0.6, p-value = 0.07). Higher adherence to a traditional Mexican diet was associated with lower hepatic steatosis in US-born Hispanics of Mexican descent. Findings from the current work may serve to inform future culturally relevant interventions for NAFLD prevention and management in individuals of Mexican descent.

ASSESSMENT OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE RISK FACTORS IN PATIENTS WITH CORONARY HEART DISEASE COMBINED WITH NONALCOHOLIC FATTY LIVER DISEASE.

OBJECTIVE: The aim: To study the risk factors of cardiovascular diseases in patients with coronary heart disease with stable angina pectoris II functional class in combi¬nation with NAFLD. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Materials and methods: The study included 245 patients with a diagnosis of CHD, stable angina pectoris II functional class (FC), who were being treated at the Communal Nonprofit Enterprise «Central City Clinical Hospital¼ of Uzhhorod City Council. We singled out 2 groups of patients: group 1 (n=145) - patients with CHD with stable angina pectoris II FC in combination with NAFLD and group 2 (n=100) - patients with CHD with stable angina pectoris II FC. RESULTS: Results: Analysis of the frequency of occurrence of CVD risk factors in patients with CHD showed that among patients of group 1 there are 50% more people with abdominal obesity, excess body and dyslipidemia. The reliability between the groups in the occurrence of hypertension and type 2 diabetes was not revealed. The obtained results confirm the data that the prevalence of NAFLD increases with increasing body weight and a high degree of obesity increases the risk of its development. CONCLUSION: Conclusions: The most frequent risk factors for CVD in patients with coronary artery disease in combination with NAFLD are hypertension, obesity, and dyslipidemia.

Correlation Between Coronavirus Disease 2019 Severity and Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is a crucial global health concern. Studies have shown that metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients are at higher risk of severe coronavirus disease 2019. However, there are no precise measures of the correlation between the degree of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease fibrosis and coronavirus disease 2019 severity. This study evaluated the association between metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease with varying degrees of fibrosis and coronavirus disease 2019 prognosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 patients who had liver steatosis as determined by computed tomography scan were included. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease was diagnosed in accordance with international consensus criteria. Liver fibrosis was assessed using the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, FIB-4 and FIB-8 indexes. Coronavirus disease 2019 severity was defined using World Health Organization criteria. Logistic regression was used to determine the associations between varying degrees of fibrosis and the severity of coronavirus disease 2019. RESULTS: A total of 996 confirmed hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 cases with complete data were reviewed; of these, 296 (29.7%) cases of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease were diagnosed. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients with any fibrotic state had more severe coronavirus disease 2019 than nonmetabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients (adjusted odds ratio 1.912, 95% CI 1.363-2.684; P < .05). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients with significant fibrosis according to the FIB-8 score were more likely to have severe coronavirus disease 2019 (adjusted odds ratio 5.458, 95% CI 1.481-20.110; P < .05). CONCLUSION: The presence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease in hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 patients strongly correlated with the severity of coronavirus disease 2019. The hepatic FIB-8 index appears to provide the best prognostic value among the fibrosis scores in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease patients with coronavirus disease 2019.

The silent burden of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the elderly: A global burden of disease analysis.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) represents a significant health threat worldwide. The growing trend towards an aging population, along with an alarming rise in obesity and diabetes, may have significant implications for the burden of NAFLD. AIM: To assess the impact of NAFLD on the elderly. METHODS: We utilised data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with NAFLD in the elderly (65-89 years), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic Index and sex. RESULTS: Globally, there were an estimated 228 million cases, 87,230 deaths and 1.46 million DALYs attributed to NAFLD in the elderly. Geographically, the Western Pacific region had the highest burden of NAFLD in the elderly. From 2010 to 2019, there was an increasing prevalence rate in all areas, with the most pronounced change observed in the Western Pacific region (annual percentage change (APC) +0.95%, p < 0.001). Over the study period, there was a more rapid increase in NAFLD prevalence in men (APC +0.74%, p < 0.001) than in women (APC +0.63%, p < 0.001). In most regions, death and DALYs rates have declined, with the exception of the Americas, where there was a slight increase (APC +0.25%, p = 0.002 and 0.38%, p < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: Over the past decade, the burden of NAFLD in the elderly has been increasing, necessitating immediate and inclusive measures to tackle the rising burden.

Non-invasive assessment of steatohepatitis indicates increased risk of coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: Fatty liver diseases (FLD), especially defined as metabolic dysfunction-associated FLD (MAFLD), is of growing importance for patients and health-care providers. Extrahepatic comorbidities, predominantly coronary artery disease (CAD), contribute to excess morbidity and mortality in FLD. Although the association of FLD and CAD is well known, underlying pathophysiological links are not fully understood. Non-invasive means of liver diagnostic enable a fast and thorough characterization of FLD. We therefore assessed the severity of FLD in a cohort of patients at risk of CAD. METHODS: Patients scheduled for coronary angiography were characterized by anthropometry, serum-based indices of liver fibrosis (NFS, FIB4), abdominal ultrasound and vibration controlled transient elastography (VCTE) including controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) and the Fibroscan-AST (FAST) score. Patients were stratified according to indication of therapeutic coronary intervention. RESULTS: 120 patients were recruited, MAFLD was found in 41%, while advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis were present in only 5%. Coronary vascular intervention was indicated in 42% (n = 50). Severity of steatosis assessed by CAP and risk of fibrosis defined by elevated liver stiffness (VCTE>8 kPa) and fibrosis indices were associated with the need for coronary intervention. FAST score, a marker of fibrotic steatohepatitis, was elevated in the intervention group (0.22 vs. 0.12, p<0.001). Multivariate regression analysis revealed FAST score as strongest predictor of CAD (OR 2.3 95%, CI 1.40-2.96). DISCUSSION: MAFLD is a frequent comorbidity in patients at CAD risk, but advanced liver disease has a low prevalence in patients undergoing elective coronary angiography. Therefore, a routine VCTE-based screening for FLD cannot be recommended in cardiac patients. The association of indicators of steatohepatitis with advanced CAD points to inflammatory processes as a conjoint mechanism of both diseases.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and associated mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes, pre-diabetes, metabolically unhealthy, and metabolically healthy individuals in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is high among subjects with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, the prevalence and outcomes of NAFLD among individuals with pre-diabetes (PreD) and metabolically healthy and metabolically unhealthy individuals without T2D are not known. Our aim was to assess prevalence and mortality of NAFLD among these four groups. METHODS: The Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III (1988-1994) with mortality data (follow up to 2019) via linkage to the National Death Index was utilized. NAFLD was defined by ultrasound and absence of other liver diseases and excess alcohol use. Pre-D was defined as fasting plasma glucose values of 100-125 mg/dL and/or HbA1c level between 5.7 %-6.4 % in the absence of established diagnosis of T2D. Metabolically healthy (MH) was defined if all of the following criteria were absent: waist circumference of ≥102 cm (men) or ≥ 88 cm (women) or BMI of ≥30; blood pressure (BP) ≥ 130/85 mmHg or using BP-lowering medication; triglyceride level ≥ 150 mg/dL or using lipid-lowering medication; lipoprotein cholesterol level of <40 mg/dL (men) or < 50 mg/dL (women); homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) score ≥ 2.5; C-reactive protein (CRP) level of >2 mg/L; Pre-D and T2D. Metabolically unhealthy (MU) individuals were defined as the presence of any component of metabolic syndrome but not having Pre-D and T2D. Competing risk analyses of cause-specific mortality were performed. FINDINGS: 11,231 adults (20-74y) were included: mean age 43.4 years; 43.9 % male; 75.4 % white, 10.8 % Black, and 5.4 % Mexican American, 18.9 % NAFLD, 7.8 % T2D; 24.7 % PreD; 44.3 % MU; and 23.3 % in MH individuals. In multivariable adjusted logistic model, as compared to MH individuals, the highest risk of having NAFLD were in T2D individuals (Odd Ratio [OR] = 10.88 [95 % confidence interval: 7.33-16.16]), followed by Pre-D (OR = 4.19 [3.02-5.81]), and MU (OR = 3.36 [2.39-4.71]). During a median follow up of 26.7 years (21.2-28.7 years), 3982 died. NAFLD subjects had significantly higher age-adjusted mortality than non-NAFLD (32.7 % vs. 28.7 %, p < .001). Among subjects with NAFLD, the highest age-standardized cumulative mortality was observed among those with T2D (41.3 %), followed by with Pre-D (35.1 %), MU subjects (30.0 %), and MH subjects (21.9 %) (pairwise p-values<.04 vs. MH). Multivariable adjusted cox models showed that NAFLD with T2D had a higher risk of all-causes and cardiac-specific deaths (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 4.71 [2.23-9.96] and HR = 20.01 [3.00-133.61]), followed by NAFLD with Pre-D (HR = 2.91 [1.41-6.02] and HR = 10.35 [1.57-68.08]) and metabolically unhealthy NAFLD (HR = 2.59 [1.26-5.33] and HR = 6.74 [0.99-46.03]) compared to metabolically healthy NAFLD. In addition to older age, independent predictors of mortality among NAFLD with T2D included high CRP, CVD, CKD, high FIB-4, and active smoking. Similarly, among NAFLD with PreD, high CRP, CKD, CVD, hypertension, and active smoking were associated with mortality. Finally, CVD and active smoking were predictors of mortality among metabolically unhealthy NAFLD, and active smoking was the only mortality risk among metabolically healthy NAFLD subjects. INTERPRETATION: Metabolic abnormality impacts both prevalence and outcomes of subjects with NAFLD.

GDF15 promotes weight loss by enhancing energy expenditure in muscle.

Caloric restriction that promotes weight loss is an effective strategy for treating non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and improving insulin sensitivity in people with type 2 diabetes1. Despite its effectiveness, in most individuals, weight loss is usually not maintained partly due to physiological adaptations that suppress energy expenditure, a process known as adaptive thermogenesis, the mechanistic underpinnings of which are unclear2,3. Treatment of rodents fed a high-fat diet with recombinant growth differentiating factor 15 (GDF15) reduces obesity and improves glycaemic control through glial-cell-derived neurotrophic factor family receptor α-like (GFRAL)-dependent suppression of food intake4-7. Here we find that, in addition to suppressing appetite, GDF15 counteracts compensatory reductions in energy expenditure, eliciting greater weight loss and reductions in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) compared to caloric restriction alone. This effect of GDF15 to maintain energy expenditure during calorie restriction requires a GFRAL-ß-adrenergic-dependent signalling axis that increases fatty acid oxidation and calcium futile cycling in the skeletal muscle of mice. These data indicate that therapeutic targeting of the GDF15-GFRAL pathway may be useful for maintaining energy expenditure in skeletal muscle during caloric restriction.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of noninvasive tests to identify advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Advanced fibrosis is associated with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and mortality in NAFLD. As treatments specifically targeted at NAFLD are lacking, patient management focuses on surveillance for early detection of complications related to end-stage liver disease. Although current and emerging diagnostic tools for the detection of advanced fibrosis are crucial for surveillance, their added value is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the costs and health outcomes of noninvasive tests in patient management strategies for diagnosing advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients. METHOD: A decision analytical model was developed to evaluate 13 patient management strategies, including a no-testing strategy and 12 diagnostic algorithms with noninvasive tests (fibrosis 4- score, enhanced liver fibrosis, vibration controlled transient elastography), and liver biopsy. Model inputs were synthesized from the literature and Swedish registries. Lifetime health care costs, life years, quality-adjusted life years, clinical outcomes, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated for a cohort of 55-year-old patients diagnosed with NAFLD. RESULT: The cost per quality-adjusted life year was above €50 000 for all diagnostic algorithms compared to no-testing. The cost per quality-adjusted life year of the most promising diagnostic algorithm (fibrosis 4- score, enhanced liver fibrosis, vibration controlled transient elastography, and liver biopsy) was ∼ €181 000 compared with no testing. Sensitivity analysis indicated that if treatment slowed down disease progression, the value of testing increased. CONCLUSION: The result questions the overall value of comprehensive diagnostic testing in a broad NAFLD population in current routine clinical care. The role of noninvasive tests may change if evidence-based treatments to slow down disease progression emerge.

Gaps in Confirmatory Fibrosis Risk Assessment in Primary Care Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: As recommendations for non-invasive fibrosis risk assessment in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) emerge, it is not known how often they are performed in primary care. AIMS: We investigated the completion of confirmatory fibrosis risk assessment in primary care patients with NAFLD and indeterminate-risk or greater Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4) and NAFLD Fibrosis Scores (NFS). METHODS: This retrospective cohort study of electronic health record data from a primary care clinic identified patients with diagnoses of NAFLD from 2012 through 2021. Patients with a diagnosis of a severe liver disease outcome during the study period were excluded. The most recent FIB-4 and NFS scores were calculated and categorized by advanced fibrosis risk. Charts were reviewed to identify the outcome of a confirmatory fibrosis risk assessment by liver elastography or liver biopsy for all patients with indeterminate-risk or higher FIB-4 (≥ 1.3) and NFS (≥ - 1.455) scores. RESULTS: The cohort included 604 patients diagnosed with NAFLD. Two-thirds of included patients (399) had a FIB-4 or NFS score greater than low-risk, 19% (113) had a high-risk FIB-4 (≥ 2.67) or NFS (≥ 0.676) score, and 7% (44) had high-risk FIB-4 and NFS values. Of these 399 patients with an indication for a confirmatory fibrosis test, 10% (41) underwent liver elastography (24) or liver biopsy (18) or both (1). CONCLUSIONS: Advanced fibrosis is a key indicator of future poor health outcomes in patients with NAFLD and a critical signal for referral to hepatology. Significant opportunities exist to improve confirmatory fibrosis risk assessment in patients with NAFLD.

Noninvasive assessment of paediatric hepatic steatosis by using attenuation imaging.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of attenuation imaging (ATI) with an ultrasound scanner (US) in the detection of paediatric hepatic steatosis. METHODS: Ninety-four prospectively enrolled children were classified into normal weight and overweight/obese (OW/OB) groups according to body mass index (BMI). US findings, including hepatic steatosis grade and ATI value, were examined by two radiologists. Anthropometric and biochemical parameters were obtained, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) scores, including the Framingham steatosis index (FSI) and hepatic steatosis index (HSI), were calculated. RESULTS: After screening, 49 OW/OB and 40 normal weight children aged 10-18 years old (55 males and 34 females) participated in this study. The ATI value was significantly higher in the OW/OB group than in the normal weight group and showed a significant positive correlation with BMI, serum alanine transferase (ALT), uric acid, and NAFLD scores (p < 0.05). In the multiple linear regression adjusted for age, sex, BMI, ALT, uric acid, and HSI, ATI showed a significant positive association with BMI and ALT (p < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic analysis showed a very good ability of ATI to predict hepatic steatosis. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of interobserver variability was 0.92, and the ICCs of intraobserver variability were 0.96 and 0.93 (p < 0.05). According to the two-level Bayesian latent class model analysis, the diagnostic performance of ATI showed the best performance for predicting hepatic steatosis among other known noninvasive NAFLD predictors. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that ATI is an objective and possible surrogate screening test for detecting hepatic steatosis in paediatric patients with obesity. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Using ATI as a quantitative tool in hepatic steatosis allows clinicians to estimate the extent of the condition and track changes over time. This is helpful for monitoring disease progression and guiding treatment decisions, especially in paediatric practice. KEY POINTS: • Attenuation imaging is a noninvasive US-based method for the quantification of hepatic steatosis. • Attenuation imaging values were significantly higher in the OW/OB and steatosis groups than in the normal weight and no steatosis groups, respectively, with a meaningful correlation with known clinical indicators of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. • Attenuation imaging performs better than other noninvasive predictive models used to diagnose hepatic steatosis.

Global and national prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in adolescents: An analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: NAFLD in adolescents is an increasing health crisis worldwide, but its exact global, continental, and national prevalence, its relationship with other metabolic conditions, and the human development index (HDI) globally are not known. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to compare global, continental, and national prevalence rates of adolescent NAFLD and associations with other metabolic conditions and HDI. The global NAFLD prevalence in adolescents increased from 3.73% in 1990 to 4.71% in 2019 (a relative increase of 26.27%). The prevalence for the male and female populations was 5.84% and 3.52% in 2019, respectively. The Oceanian and North American continents had the highest adolescent NAFLD prevalence (median: 6.54% and 5.64%, respectively), whereas Europe had the lowest prevalence (median: 3.98%). South America and North America had the highest relative increase in adolescent NAFLD prevalence from 1990 to 2019 (median: 39.25% and 36.87%, respectively). High body mass index and type 2 diabetes mellitus increased significantly in adolescents worldwide. However, only high body mass index and not type 2 diabetes mellitus correlated with NAFLD prevalence in adolescents globally. Countries with a higher HDI had larger increases in adolescent NAFLD prevalence from 1990 to 2019 although countries with the highest HDI (HDI: > 0.9) had the lowest NAFLD prevalence in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD in adolescents is an increasing health problem on all continents. Improving environmental factors, including lifestyle but also healthcare policies, can help to prevent NAFLD from developing in children and adolescents and help to improve outcomes in children and adolescents with NAFLD.

Economic Burden and Patient-Reported Outcomes of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

In addition to adverse clinical outcomes such as liver-related morbidity and mortality, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with a substantial public health and economic burden and could also potentially impair health-related quality of life and other patient-reported outcomes. The disease also affects multiple aspects of patients' quality of life which are the most pronounced in physical health-related and fatigue domains as well as work productivity, and get more severe in patients with advanced liver disease or with non-hepatic comorbidities. The economic burden of NAFLD is substantial and is increasing, with the highest costs in those with advanced disease.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Cost-effectiveness of MRE versus VCTE in staging fibrosis for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients with advanced fibrosis.

INTRODUCTION: NAFLD is a common cause of liver disease. To determine the optimal testing strategy for NAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis, several factors such as diagnostic accuracy, failure rates, costs of examinations, and potential treatment options need to be considered. The purpose of this study was to determine the cost-effectiveness of combination testing involving vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) versus magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) as a frontline imaging strategy for NAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis. METHODS: A Markov model was developed from the US perspective. The base-case scenario in this model included patients aged 50 years with a Fibrosis-4 score of ≥2.67 and suspected advanced fibrosis. The model included a decision tree and a Markov state-transition model including 5 health states: fibrosis stage 1-2, advanced fibrosis, compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, and death. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Staging fibrosis with MRE cost $8388 more than VCTE but led to an additional 1.19 Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $7048/QALY. The cost-effectiveness analysis of the 5 strategies revealed that MRE+biopsy and VCTE+MRE+biopsy were the most cost-effective with the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $8054/QALY and $8241/QALY, respectively. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses indicated that MRE remained cost-effective with a sensitivity of ≥0.77, whereas VCTE became cost-effective with a sensitivity of ≥0.82. CONCLUSIONS: MRE was not only cost-effective than VCTE as the frontline modality for staging NAFLD patients with Fibrosis-4 ≥2.67 with incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $7048/QALY but also remained cost-effective when used as a follow-up in instances of VCTE failure to diagnose.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs of care in the United States for patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis.

AIMS: This retrospective, observational cohort study aimed to determine the burden of comorbidities, hospitalization, and healthcare costs among patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the United States stratified by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) or body mass index (BMI). METHODS: Adults with NASH were identified in the Veradigm Health Insights Electronic Health Record Database and linked Komodo claims data. The index date was the earliest coded NASH diagnosis between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020 with valid FIB-4 and ≥6 months of database activity and continuous enrollment pre- and post-index. We excluded patients with viral hepatitis, alcohol-use disorder, or alcoholic liver disease. Patients were stratified by FIB-4: FIB-4 ≤ 0.95, 0.95 < FIB-4 ≤ 2.67, 2.67 < FIB-4 ≤ 4.12, FIB-4 > 4.12) or BMI (BMI <25, 25 ≤ BMI ≤30, BMI > 30). Multivariate analysis was used to assess the relationship of FIB-4 with costs and hospitalizations. RESULTS: Among 6,743 qualifying patients, index FIB-4 was ≤0.95 for 2,345 patents, 0.95-2.67 for 3,289 patients, 2.67-4.12 for 571 patients, and >4.12 for 538 patients (mean age 55.8 years; 62.9% female). Mean age, comorbidity burden, cardiovascular disease risk, and healthcare utilization increased with increasing FIB-4. Mean ± SD annual costs increased from $16,744±$53,810 to $34,667±$67,691 between the lowest and highest FIB-4 cohorts and were higher among patients with BMI <25 ($24,568±$81,250) than BMI >30 ($21,542±$61,490). A one-unit increase in FIB-4 at index was associated with a 3.4% (95%CI: 1.7%-5.2%) increase in mean total annual cost and an 11.6% (95%CI: 8.0%-15.3%) increased likelihood of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: A higher FIB-4 was associated with increased healthcare costs and risk of hospitalization in adults with NASH; however, even patients with FIB-4 ≤ 0.95 presented a significant burden.