Reduced mortality, complications, and economic burden among medicare beneficiaries receiving influenza antivirals.

INTRODUCTION: Antiviral therapy may be underutilized in patients at high risk for increased clinical and economic burden (e.g. older adults). We aimed to examine the benefits associated with antiviral treatment of seasonal influenza among treated and untreated Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: This retrospective study of Medicare Claims Research Identifiable Files identified patients ≥66 years old with an influenza diagnosis in outpatient setting between October 2016-March 2019 (flu seasons 2016-2018). Index date defined as date of first claim with influenza diagnosis; baseline as the 12 months pre-index. Treated patients received antivirals ≤2 days from index. Untreated patients had no antivirals ≤6 months post-index. Treated/untreated patients were 1:1 propensity score matched. Outcomes (death, all-cause and respiratory-related healthcare resource utilization [HCRU] and costs) were assessed until death or up to 6 months post-index. Descriptive statistics were reported; Kaplan-Meier estimation was used for survival over time. RESULTS: Among 116,901 matched patient pairs, all-cause mortality within 6 months from index diagnosis was 1.6% among treated versus 4.3% among untreated patients. Rates (treated versus untreated) of all-cause inpatient hospitalizations during follow-up were 13.9% versus 22.7% and respiratory-related hospitalizations were 4.2% versus 9.0%. Mean (SD) total all-cause and respiratory-related costs were $9,830 ($18,616.0) and $900 ($4016.4) among the treated, respectively, versus $13,207 ($24,405.1) and $2,024 ($7,623.7) among untreated, respectively. All differences were statistically significant (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Lack of antiviral treatment is associated with increased mortality, HCRU, and economic burden in older Medicare beneficiaries with seasonal influenza. Future research should investigate whether the choice of antivirals affects influenza burden.

Previous studies have shown that antiviral drugs help prevent flu-related complications and lower healthcare utilization and costs. However, these previous studies have focused on working aged people with existing health problems. Our study looks at how antiviral treatment can lower the health and financial burden caused by the flu in older adults. Using a Medicare claims database from the 2016­2018 flu season, we identified 116,901 matched (treated versus untreated) patient pairs. All-cause mortality within 6 months from the index diagnosis (defined as the first claim with a flu diagnosis) was 1.6% among treated versus 4.3% among untreated patients. Rates (treated versus untreated) of all-cause inpatient hospitalizations during follow-up (defined as 6 months after the index diagnosis date) were 13.9% versus 22.7% and respiratory-related hospitalizations were 4.2% versus 9.0%. Mean total all-cause and respiratory-related costs were $9,830 and $900 among the treated, respectively, versus $13,207 and $2,024 among untreated, respectively. All differences were statistically significant (p < 0.001). This analysis of older adults with the flu found that prompt antiviral treatment is associated with lower rates of mortality and acute complications, reduced hospitalization, and lower healthcare costs. Use of antiviral treatment for patients at high risk of flu, such as older adults, is warranted.

A clinical and economic assessment of adjuvanted trivalent versus standard egg-derived quadrivalent influenza vaccines among older adults in the United States during the 2018-19 and 2019-20 influenza seasons.

BACKGROUND: Clinical evidence supports use of enhanced influenza vaccines in older adults. Few economic outcome studies have compared adjuvanted trivalent inactivated (aIIV3) and standard egg-derived quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccines (IIV4e). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted leveraging deidentified US hospital data linked to claims data during the 2018-19 and 2019-20 influenza seasons. Relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) was compared in adults aged ≥ 65 years receiving aIIV3 or IIV4e using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and Poisson regression. An economic assessment quantified potential real-world cost savings. RESULTS: The study included 715,807 aIIV3 and 320,991 IIV4e recipients in the 2018-19 and 844,169 aIIV3 and 306,270 IIV4e recipients in the 2019-20 influenza seasons. aIIV3 was significantly more effective than IIV4e in preventing cardiorespiratory disease (2018-19 rVE = 6.2%; and 2019-20 rVE = 6.0%) and respiratory disease (2018-19 rVE = 8.9%; and 2019-20 rVE = 10.1%). During the 2018-19 influenza season cardiorespiratory hospitalization cost savings for the aIIV3 population were $392 M, and $221 M for the 2019-20 season. Respiratory hospitalization cost savings for the aIIV3 population were $145 M and $97 M, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that aIIV3 provides clinical and economic advantages versus IIV4e in the elderly.

Flu vaccines do not work as well in older adults due to the aging of their immune system. One approach to improving vaccine efficacy is the addition of a substance, or adjuvant, to the vaccine in order to boost an individual's immune response. This study evaluated an adjuvanted vaccine compared to an unadjuvanted vaccine for preventing cardiorespiratory hospitalizations and hospitalization costs. The findings demonstrated that the adjuvanted flu vaccine, compared to the unadjuvanted vaccine, prevented more hospitalizations and greatly reduced associated hospital costs.

[Cost-effectiveness analysis of Chaiyin Granules in treatment of influenza].

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Chaiyin Granules compared with Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules in the treatment of influenza(exogenous wind-heat syndrome). Based on a randomized, double-blind, positive drug parallel control clinical trial, this study evaluated the pharmacoeconomics of Chaiyin Granules with cost-effectiveness analysis method. A total of 116 patients with influenza from eight hospitals(grade Ⅱ level A above) in 6 cities were selected in this study, including 78 cases in the experimental group with Chaiyin Granules and Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules placebo, and 38 cases in the control group with Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules and Chaiyin Granules placebo. The total cost of this study included direct medical cost, direct non-medical cost, and indirect cost. The remission time of clinical symptoms, cure time/cure rate, antipyretic onset time/complete antipyretic time, viral nucleic acid negative rate, and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) syndrome curative effect were selected as the effect indicators for cost-effectiveness analysis. Four-quadrant diagram was used to estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The results showed that Chaiyin Granules were not inferior to Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules in the remission time of clinical symptoms of influenza(3.1 d vs 2.9 d, P=0.360, non-inferiority margin was 0.5 d). Compared with Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules, Chaiyin Granules would delay the remission time of clinic symptoms of influenza for 1 d, but could save 213.9 yuan. 1 d delay in cure time could save 149.3 yuan; 1% reduction in the cure rate could save 8.2 yuan; 1 d delay in antipyretic onset time could save 295.4 yuan; 1 d delay in complete antipyretic time could save 114.3 yuan; 1% reduction in the 5-day cure rate of TCM syndrome could save 19.2 yuan. Different from other indicators, there was no statistically significant difference between two groups in the effect of negative conversion rate of viral nucleic acid, but the cost was lower and the effect was superior, and the pharmacoeconomics was not different from that of Oseltamivir Phosphate Capsules in the field of influenza treatment.

Prescription of anti-influenza drugs in Japan, 2014-2020: A retrospective study using open data from the national claims database.

BACKGROUND: Both physicians and patients are proactive towards managing seasonal influenza in Japan and six drugs are approved. Although many countries have national influenza surveillance systems, data on nationwide prescription practices of anti-influenza drugs are lacking. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the status of anti-influenza drug use in Japan by analyzing real-world data. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed open data from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups, which covers most claims data from national health insurance. We estimated the annual number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs, which drugs they were prescribed, the patients' age and sex distribution, drug costs, and regional disparities for the period 2014-2020. RESULTS: For 2014-2019, an estimated 6.7-13.4 million patients per year were prescribed anti-influenza drugs, with an annual cost of 22.3-48.0 billion JPY (Japanese Yen). In addition, 21.1-32.0 million rapid antigen tests were performed at a cost of 30.1-47.1 billion JPY. In 2017, laninamivir was the most frequently prescribed anti-influenza drug (48%), followed by oseltamivir (36%), while in 2018, the newly introduced baloxavir accounted for 40.8% of prescriptions. After the emergence of COVID-19, the estimated number of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs in 2020 dropped to just 14,000. In 2018, 37.6% of prescriptions were for patients aged < 20 years compared with 12.2% for those aged ≥ 65 years. Prescriptions for inpatients accounted for 1.1%, and the proportion of prescriptions for inpatients increased with age, with men were more likely than women to be prescribed anti-influenza drugs while hospitalized. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our clarification of how influenza is clinically managed in Japan, future work should evaluate the clinical and economic aspects of proactively prescribing anti-influenza drugs.

Cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine in the elderly Belgian population.

BACKGROUND: Between 2015 and 2019, when 62% of Belgian adults aged ≥65 years were vaccinated with standard quadrivalent influenza vaccines, influenza caused an average of 3,905 hospitalizations and 347 premature deaths per year in older adults. The objective of the present analysis was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the adjuvanted quadrivalent influenza vaccine (aQIV) compared to the standard (SD-QIV) and high-dose (HD-QIV) vaccines in elderly Belgians. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The analysis was based on a static cost-effectiveness model that captured the evolution of patients infected with influenza and was customized with available national data. RESULTS: Vaccinating adults aged ≥65 years with aQIV instead of SD-QIV would decrease the number of hospitalizations by 530 and the number of deaths by 66 in the 2023-2024 influenza season. aQIV was cost-effective compared to SD-QIV with an incremental cost of €15,227/quality-adjusted life year (QALY). aQIV is cost-saving when compared to HD-QIV in the subgroup of institutionalized elderly adults who were granted reimbursement for this vaccine. CONCLUSION: In a health care system striving to improve the prevention of infectious diseases, a cost-effective vaccine such as aQIV is a key asset to reduce the number of influenza-related hospitalizations and premature deaths in older adults.

Many older Belgians who get the flu are likely to go to hospital or even die. Some flu vaccines have been specially designed for adults 65 years old and older including one that contains a higher amount of flu particles and another that contains a unique additive called an adjuvant. Both vaccines improve the body's response to flu infection, but the adjuvanted vaccine is not yet available in Belgium. We used an economic model to compare hypothetical medical spending on Belgians who were vaccinated with the adjuvanted flu vaccine, the high dose flu vaccine, and a standard flu vaccine. We found that the adjuvanted vaccine would reduce flu hospitalizations and deaths in the elderly, which would in turn reduce medical spending on influenza in Belgium.

Cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to primary care for influenza-like-illness: economic evaluation alongside the randomised controlled ALIC4E trial in 15 European countries.

BACKGROUND: Oseltamivir is usually not often prescribed (or reimbursed) for non-high-risk patients consulting for influenza-like-illness (ILI) in primary care in Europe. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding oseltamivir to usual primary care in adults/adolescents (13 years +) and children with ILI during seasonal influenza epidemics, using data collected in an open-label, multi-season, randomised controlled trial of oseltamivir in 15 European countries. METHODS: Direct and indirect cost estimates were based on patient reported resource use and official country-specific unit costs. Health-Related Quality of Life was assessed by EQ-5D questionnaires. Costs and quality adjusted life-years (QALY) were bootstrapped (N = 10,000) to estimate incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER), from both the healthcare payers' and the societal perspectives, with uncertainty expressed through probabilistic sensitivity analysis and expected value for perfect information (EVPI) analysis. Additionally, scenario (self-reported spending), comorbidities subgroup and country-specific analyses were performed. RESULTS: The healthcare payers' expected ICERs of oseltamivir were €22,459 per QALY gained in adults/adolescents and €13,001 in children. From the societal perspective, oseltamivir was cost-saving in adults/adolescents, but the ICER is €8,344 in children. Large uncertainties were observed in subgroups with comorbidities, especially for children. The expected ICERs and extent of decision uncertainty varied between countries (EVPI ranged €1-€35 per patient). CONCLUSION: Adding oseltamivir to primary usual care in Europe is likely to be cost-effective for treating adults/adolescents and children with ILI from the healthcare payers' perspective (if willingness-to-pay per QALY gained > €22,459) and cost-saving in adults/adolescents from a societal perspective.

Assessment of Herpes Zoster Risk Among Recipients of COVID-19 Vaccine.

Importance: Herpes zoster infection after COVID-19 vaccination has been reported in numerous case studies. It is not known whether these cases represent increased reporting or a true increase in risk. Objective: To assess whether COVID-19 vaccination is associated with an increased risk of herpes zoster infection. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a self-controlled risk interval (SCRI) design to compare the risk of herpes zoster in a risk interval of 30 days after COVID-19 vaccination or up to the date of the second vaccine dose with a control interval remote from COVID-19 vaccination (defined as 60-90 days after the last recorded vaccination date for each individual, allowing for a 30-day washout period between control and risk intervals). A supplemental cohort analysis was used to compare the risk of herpes zoster after COVID-19 vaccination with the risk of herpes zoster after influenza vaccination among 2 historical cohorts who received an influenza vaccine in the prepandemic period (January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019) or the early pandemic period (March 1, 2020, to November 30, 2020). Data were obtained from Optum Labs Data Warehouse, a US national deidentified claims-based database. A total of 2 039 854 individuals who received any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine with emergency use authorization (BNT162b2 [Pfizer-BioNTech], mRNA-1273 [Moderna], or Ad26.COV2.S [Johnson & Johnson]) from December 11, 2020, through June 30, 2021, were eligible for inclusion. Individuals included in the SCRI analysis were a subset of the COVID-19-vaccinated cohort who had herpes zoster during either a risk or control interval. Exposures: Any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident herpes zoster, defined by International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision codes and a prescription of a new antiviral medication or a dose increase in antiviral medication within 5 days of diagnosis. Results: Among 2 039 854 individuals who received any dose of a COVID-19 vaccine during the study period, the mean (SD) age was 43.2 (16.3) years; 1 031 149 individuals (50.6%) were female, and 1 344 318 (65.9%) were White. Of those, 1451 patients (mean [SD] age, 51.6 [12.6] years; 845 [58.2%] female) with a herpes zoster diagnosis were included in the primary SCRI analysis. In the SCRI analysis, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with an increased risk of herpes zoster after adjustment (incidence rate ratio, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.82-1.01; P = .08). In the supplementary cohort analysis, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with a higher risk of herpes zoster compared with influenza vaccination in the prepandemic period (first dose of COVID-19 vaccine: hazard ratio [HR], 0.78 [95% CI, 0.70-0.86; P < .001]; second dose of COVID-19 vaccine: HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.71-0.88; P < .001]) or the early pandemic period (first dose of COVID-19 vaccine: HR, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80-1.00; P = .05]; second dose: HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.81-1.02; P = .09]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, there was no association found between COVID-19 vaccination and an increased risk of herpes zoster infection, which may help to address concerns about the safety profile of the COVID-19 vaccines among patients and clinicians.

Assessment of Temporal Patterns and Patient Factors Associated With Oseltamivir Administration in Children Hospitalized With Influenza, 2007-2020.

Importance: Oseltamivir therapy is recommended for all pediatric inpatients with influenza, particularly those with high-risk conditions, although data regarding its uptake and benefits are limited. Objective: To describe temporal patterns and independent patient factors associated with the use of oseltamivir and explore patterns in resource use and patient outcomes among children hospitalized with influenza. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted at 36 tertiary pediatric hospitals participating in the Pediatric Health Information System in the US. A total of 70 473 children younger than 18 years who were hospitalized with influenza between October 1, 2007, and March 31, 2020, were included. Exposures: Hospitalization with a diagnosis of influenza. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the use of oseltamivir, which was described by influenza season and by hospital. Patient factors associated with oseltamivir use were assessed using multivariable mixed-effects logistic regression models. Secondary outcomes were resource use (including antibiotic medications, chest radiography, supplemental oxygen, positive pressure ventilation, central venous catheter, and intensive care unit [ICU]) and patient outcomes (length of stay, late ICU transfer, 7-day hospital readmission, use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and in-hospital mortality), which were described as percentages per influenza season. Results: Among 70 473 children hospitalized with influenza, the median (IQR) age was 3.65 (1.05-8.26) years; 30 750 patients (43.6%) were female, and 39 715 (56.4%) were male. Overall, 16 559 patients (23.5%) were Black, 36 184 (51.3%) were White, 14 133 (20.1%) were of other races (including 694 American Indian or Alaska Native [1.0%], 2216 Asian [3.0%], 372 Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander [0.5%], and 10 850 other races [15.4%]), and 3597 (5.1%) were of unknown race. A total of 47 071 patients (66.8%) received oseltamivir, increasing from a low of 20.2% in the 2007-2008 influenza season to a high of 77.9% in the 2017-2018 season. Use by hospital ranged from 43.2% to 79.7% over the entire study period and from 56.5% to 90.1% in final influenza season studied (2019-2020). Factors associated with increased oseltamivir use included the presence of a complex chronic condition (odds ratio [OR], 1.42; 95% CI, 1.36-1.47), a history of asthma (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.23-1.38), and early severe illness (OR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.13-1.25). Children younger than 2 years (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.77-0.85) and children aged 2 to 5 years (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.79-0.88) had lower odds of receiving oseltamivir. From the beginning (2007-2008) to the end (2019-2020) of the study period, the use of antibiotic medications (from 74.4% to 60.1%) and chest radiography (from 59.2% to 51.7%) decreased, whereas the use of oxygen (from 33.6% to 29.3%), positive pressure ventilation (from 10.8% to 7.9%), and central venous catheters (from 2.5% to 1.0%) did not meaningfully change. Patient outcomes, including length of stay (median [IQR], 3 [2-5] days for all seasons), readmissions within 7 days (from 4.0% to 3.4%), use of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (from 0.5% to 0.5%), and in-hospital mortality (from 1.1% to 0.8%), were stable from the beginning to the end of the study period. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of children hospitalized with influenza, the use of oseltamivir increased over time, particularly among patients with high-risk conditions, but with wide institutional variation. Patient outcomes remained largely unchanged. Further work is needed to evaluate the impact of oseltamivir therapy in this population.

Antiviral drugs against influenza: Treatment methods, environmental risk assessment and analytical determination.

Over the past few years, antiviral drugs against influenza are considered emerging contaminants since they cause environmental toxicity even at low concentrations. They have been found in environmental matrices all around the world, showing that conventional treatment methods fail to remove them from water and wastewater. In addition, the metabolites and transformation products of these drugs can be more persistent than original in the environment. Several techniques to degrade/remove antiviral drugs against influenza have been investigated to prevent this contamination. In this study, the characteristics of antiviral drugs against influenza, their measurement by analytical methods, and their removal in both water and wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) were presented. Different treatment methods, such as traditional procedures (biological processes, filtration, coagulation, flocculation, and sedimentation), advanced oxidation processes (AOPs), adsorption and combined methods, were assessed. Ecotoxicological effects of both the antiviral drug and its metabolites as well as the transformation products formed as a result of treatment were evaluated. In addition, future perspectives for improving the removal of antiviral drugs against influenza, their metabolites and transformation products were further discussed. The research indicated that the main tested techniques in this study were ozonation, photolysis and photocatalysis. Combined methods, particularly those that use renewable energy and waste materials, appear to be the optimum approach for the treatment of effluents containing antiviral drugs against influenza. In light of high concentrations or probable antiviral resistance, this comprehensive assessment suggests that antiviral drug monitoring is required, and some of those substances may cause toxicological effects.

Parental preference for influenza vaccine for children in China: a discrete choice experiment.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate what factors affect parents' influenza vaccination preference for their children and whether there exists preference heterogeneity among respondents in China. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. A discrete choice experiment was conducted. Five attributes were identified based on literature review and qualitative interviews, including protection rate, duration of vaccine-induced protection, risk of serious side effects, location of manufacturer and out-of-pocket cost. SETTING: Multistage sampling design was used. According to geographical location and the level of economic development, 10 provinces in China were selected, and the survey was conducted at community healthcare centres or stations. PARTICIPANTS: Parents with at least one child aged between 6 months and 5 years old were recruited and the survey was conducted via a face-to-face interview in 2019. In total, 600 parents completed the survey, and 449 who passed the internal consistency test were included in the main analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: A mixed logit model was used to estimate factors affecting parents' preference to vaccinate their children. In addition, sociodemographic characteristics were included to explore the preference heterogeneity. RESULTS: In general, respondents preferred to vaccinate their children. All attributes were statistically significant and among them, the risk of severe side effects was the most important attribute, followed by the protection rate and duration of vaccine-induced protection. Contrary to our initial expectation, respondents have a stronger preference for the domestic than the imported vaccine. Some preference heterogeneity among parents was also found and in particular, parents who were older, or highly educated placed a higher weight on a higher protection rate. CONCLUSION: Vaccination safety and vaccine effectiveness are the two most important characteristics that influenced parents' decision to vaccinate against influenza for their children in China. Results from this study will facilitate future policy implementations to improve vaccination uptake rates.

[Clinical trials and evaluation of Chinese patent medicine for influenza].

The clinical randomized controlled trial(RCT) of Chinese patent medicine in the treatment of influenza were reviewed and analyzed to provide basic information for clinical decision and related research. On the basis of the collection in the Traditional Chinese Medicine(TCM) Clinical Evidence Database System(EVDS), CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, SinoMed, EMbase, PubMed, and Cochrane Library were searched for RCTs of Chinese patent medicine for influenza published from database inception to July 25, 2021. The publication time, sample size, intervention and control measures, course of treatment, outcome indicators, and methodological quality of the trials were analyzed and evaluated. Ninety-two RCTs of Chinese patent medicine for influenza published between 2005 and 2021, were included, among which 17 RCTs(18.48%) had a sample size higher than 200 and the average sample size was about 145. Twenty-seven Chinese patent medicines were involved, including twenty-one oral medicines and six injections. The Chinese patent medicines in trials reported in more than five papers included Lianhua Qingwen Capsules/Gra-nules, Tanreqing Injection, and Reduning Injection. Fourteen intervention protocols were reported, of which Chinese patent medicine+western medicine+conventional treatment vs western medicine+conventional treatment(20.65%) was the most frequently employed. Additionally, 85.87% of the RCTs reported the course of treatment, and 80.43% of the RCTs determined 3-7 d as the intervention course. Forty-five outcome indicators were extracted, which were used 434 times, including symptoms/signs, physicochemical detection, safety events, TCM symptoms/syndromes, quality of life, long-term prognosis, and economic evaluation. Symptoms/signs(61.52%) exhibited the highest frequency. Methodological problems were prevalent in the included trials. The findings reveal that there are few clinical trials on influenza treatment by Chinese patent medicine, and the methodological problems are prominent, affec-ting the reliability and practicability of the trials. In the future research, the value characteristics of Chinese patent medicine should be highlighted and the quality control in the whole process should be strengthened based on the scientific and rigorous design.

Quality of life, healthcare use and costs in 'at-risk' children after early antibiotic treatment versus placebo for influenza-like illness: within-trial descriptive economic analyses of the ARCHIE randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: To characterise the quality of life, healthcare use and costs associated with early antibiotic treatment of influenza-like illness (ILI) in 'at-risk' children. DESIGN: Economic analysis of a two-arm double-blind parallel group pragmatic randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Children were recruited from community-based healthcare settings, including general practices, walk-in centres and hospital ambulatory care. PARTICIPANTS: Children with risk factors for influenza-related complications, including respiratory, cardiac and neurological conditions, who presented within the first 5 days of an ILI. INTERVENTIONS: Co-amoxiclav 400/57 suspension or placebo. OUTCOME MEASURES: This economic analysis focused on quality of life measured by the EQ-5D-Y, symptoms assessed by the Canadian Acute Respiratory Infection and Flu Scale (CARIFS), healthcare use and costs including medication, hospital visits and admissions, general practitioner and nurse contacts. Outcomes were assessed for up to 28 days post randomisation. RESULTS: Information on resource use, EQ-5D-Y (day 28) and CARIFS (day 7) was available for 265 (98%), 72 (27%) and 123 (45%) out of 271 participants, respectively. Average costs in the co-amoxiclav group were £25 lower (95% CI -£113 to £65), but this difference was not statistically significant (p=0.566). The difference in EQ-5D-Y scores between groups was also not statistically significant (-0.014 (95% CI -0.124 to 0.096), p=0.798). However, day 7 CARIFS scores were 3.5 points lower in the co-amoxiclav arm (95% CI -6.9 to -0.1, p=0.044). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings did not show evidence that early co-amoxiclav treatment improves quality of life or reduces healthcare use and costs in 'at-risk' children with ILI, but may reduce symptom severity though confirmation from further research would be important. Reliable data collection from children's parents/carers was challenging, and resulted in high levels of missing data, which is common in pragmatic trials involving children with acute respiratory tract infections. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN70714783; EudraCT 2013-002822-21.

Baloxavir vs oseltamivir: reduced utilization and costs in influenza.

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether baloxavir use is associated with lower health care resource utilization (HCRU) and costs for secondary influenza complications post treatment compared with oseltamivir. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. METHODS: Patients filling a prescription for baloxavir or oseltamivir within 48 hours following an influenza-related outpatient visit were identified in the 2018-2019 influenza season from the US Truven MarketScan Research Databases and propensity matched 1:2 (baloxavir:oseltamivir). Outcomes were assessed 15 and 30 days after antiviral treatment and included all-cause, all respiratory-related, and select respiratory-related (influenza, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or infection) HCRU and costs. RESULTS: The study included 5080 baloxavir-treated and 10,160 matched oseltamivir-treated patients. All-cause emergency department (ED) visits and inpatient hospitalizations were lower in baloxavir-treated patients, with a statistically significant difference in the percentage hospitalized at 30 days (0.3% vs 0.5%; P = .04). ED visits for all or select respiratory-related conditions were significantly reduced with baloxavir (P < .01 for all comparisons). Mean per-patient cost savings at day 30 for all-cause, all respiratory-related, and select respiratory-related conditions were $79, $50, and $51, respectively, despite slightly higher prescription costs for baloxavir. In high-risk patients (baloxavir: n = 1958; oseltamivir: n = 3949), the incidence of ED visits was significantly lower for all respiratory-related and select respiratory-related conditions (P < .01); cost savings with baloxavir in the high-risk cohort were substantially greater than in the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment of patients with influenza with single-dose baloxavir was generally associated with lower HCRU and costs post treatment compared with oseltamivir, particularly in high-risk patients.

Diagnosis and treatment of influenza based on health insurance claims between the 2010-2011 and 2019-2020 influenza seasons in Japan.

Medical practices for influenza virus infection vary among countries. In Japan, treatment with anti-influenza drugs is recommended for patients diagnosed with influenza. This health claims database study provides quantitative information aimed at describing the actual medical practices, including diagnostic testing and medication use, for managing influenza in Japan. Most patients diagnosed with influenza underwent diagnostic tests and were prescribed anti-influenza drugs. Meanwhile, the majority of patients prescribed anti-influenza drugs had undergone diagnostic testing. However, an increase in the percentage of anti-influenza prescriptions without diagnostic testing was observed during the 2019-2020 influenza season, which may be associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

Comparison of Inconvenience Costs Between Influenza Antivirals for Japanese Pediatric Patients: A Conjoint Analysis of Parental Responses.

INTRODUCTION: Certain drug characteristics, including dosage and form, are associated with either convenience or inconvenience for the patients taking them, and any inconvenience can be considered as a "cost" in disease treatment. Multiple antivirals are available for influenza in Japan, with various dosages and forms. This study evaluated the inconvenience costs associated with influenza antivirals for pediatric patients by using conjoint analysis on responses from their parents. METHODS: An online survey (May 2021) was conducted for parents whose child took antivirals for influenza at 6-11 years during the 3 years until March 2021. Attributes of the conjoint analysis were administration routes and formulation (tablet, capsule, dry syrup, or inhalant), duration of administration, frequency of administration per day, and out-of-pocket expenses. We assumed the efficacy and safety to be equivalent among the antivirals. A logistic regression model was applied to the analysis. We also asked parents about their recent experiences with antiviral treatment for their child. RESULTS: We collected responses from 3161 eligible individuals. The mean age (standard deviation) of the children when taking the antivirals and percentage of female children were 8.27 (1.63) years old and 53.2%, respectively. The tablet was the most preferred formulation; the inconvenience costs for each administration route and formulation, relative to the tablet as zero, were Japanese yen (JPY) 515 (US dollar 4.61, as of October 2021) for the inhalant, JPY 775 for the capsule, and JPY 804 for the dry syrup. The inconvenience costs for 5 days relative to 1 day and for twice a day relative to once a day were JPY 2150 and JPY 399, respectively. CONCLUSION: Based on the conjoint analysis, a single-dose tablet antiviral was suggested to have the lowest inconvenience cost for pediatric patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN000044243.

Impact of Adding Oseltamivir to Usual Care on Quality-Adjusted Life-Years During Influenza-Like Illness.

OBJECTIVES: The ALIC4E trial has shown that oseltamivir reduces recovery time while increasing the risk of nausea. This secondary analysis of the ALIC4E trial aimed to determine the gain in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with adding oseltamivir to usual primary care in patients presenting with influenza-like illness (ILI). METHODS: Patients with ILI were recruited during the influenza season (2015-2018) in 15 European countries. Patients were assigned to usual care with or without oseltamivir through stratified randomization (age, severity, comorbidities, and symptom onset). Patients' health status was valued with the EQ-5D and visual analog scale (VAS) for up to 28 days. Average EQ-5D and VAS scores over time were estimated for both treatment groups using one-inflated beta regression in children (<13 years old) and adults (≥13 years old). QALY gain was calculated as the difference between the groups. Sensitivity analysis considered the value set to convert EQ-5D answers to summary scores and the follow-up period. RESULTS: In adults, oseltamivir gained 0.0006 (95% confidence interval 0.0002-0.0010) QALYs, whereas no statistically significant gain was found in children (14-day follow-up, EQ-5D). QALY gains were statistically significant in patients aged ≥65 years, patients without relevant comorbidities, or patients experiencing symptoms for ≤48 hours. Using VAS and accounting for 28-day follow-up resulted in higher QALY gain. CONCLUSIONS: QALY gain owing to oseltamivir is limited compared with other diseases, and its clinical meaningfulness remains to be determined. Further analysis is needed to evaluate whether QALY gain and its impact on ILI treatment cost render oseltamivir cost-effective.

Delayed Influenza Treatment in Children With False-Negative Rapid Antigen Test: A Retrospective Single-Center Study in Korea 2016-2019.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to examine the delay in antiviral initiation in rapid antigen test (RAT) false-negative children with influenza virus infection and to explore the clinical outcomes. We additionally conducted a medical cost-benefit analysis. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective study included children (aged < 10 years) with influenza-like illness (ILI), hospitalized after presenting to the emergency department during three influenza seasons (2016-2019). RAT-false-negativity was defined as RAT-negative and polymerase chain reaction-positive cases. The turnaround time to antiviral treatment (TAT) was from the time when RAT was prescribed to the time when the antiviral was administered. The medical cost analysis by scenarios was also performed. RESULTS: A total of 1,430 patients were included, 7.5% were RAT-positive (n = 107) and 2.4% were RAT-false-negative (n = 20). The median TAT of RAT-false-negative patients was 52.8 hours, significantly longer than that of 4 hours in RAT-positive patients (19.2-100.1, P < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, TAT of ≥ 24 hours was associated with a risk of severe influenza infection and the need for mechanical ventilation (odds ratio [OR], 6.8, P = 0.009 and OR, 16.2, P = 0.033, respectively). The medical cost varied from $11.7-187.3/ILI patient. CONCLUSION: Antiviral initiation was delayed in RAT-false-negative patients. Our findings support the guideline that children with influenza, suspected of having severe or progressive infection, should be treated immediately.

Comparison of Intra-Familial Transmission of Influenza Virus From Index Patients Treated With Baloxavir Marboxil or Oseltamivir Using an Influenza Transmission Model and a Health Insurance Claims Database.

BACKGROUND: Influenza affects approximately a billion people globally, including > 10 million Japanese individuals every year. Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir [BXM]; a selective cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor) is approved for influenza treatment in Japan. We compared the incidence of intra-familial transmission of influenza between BXM and oseltamivir (OTV) treatments using a simulation model. METHODS: Using the JMDC Claims Database, we identified index case (IC) as the first family member diagnosed with influenza during the 2018-19 influenza season, and classified the families into BXM or OTV group per the drug dispensed to ICs. Using a novel influenza intra-familial infection model, we simulated the duration of influenza infection in ICs based on agent-specific virus shedding periods. Intra-familial infections were defined as non-IC family members infected during the agent-specific viral shedding period in ICs. The virus incubation periods in the non-IC family members were considered to exclude secondary infections from potentially external exposure. The primary endpoint was proportion of families with intra-familial infections. For between-group comparisons, we used a multivariate logistic regression model. RESULTS: The median proportion of families with intra-familial transmission was 9.57% and 19.35% in the BXM (N = 84 672) and OTV (N = 62 004) groups, respectively. The multivariate odds ratio of 1.73 (2.5th-97.5th percentiles, 1.68-1.77) indicated a substantially higher incidence of intra-familial infections in the OTV group versus the BXM group. Subgroup analyses by ICs' age category, virus type, and month of onset revealed similar trends favoring BXM. CONCLUSIONS: BXM treatment of ICs may contribute to a greater reduction in intra-familial influenza transmission than OTV treatment.

Who gets treated for influenza: A surveillance study from the US Food and Drug Administration's Sentinel System.

OBJECTIVE: We describe the baseline characteristics and complications of individuals with influenza in the US FDA's Sentinel System by antiviral treatment timing. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort design. PATIENTS: Individuals aged ≥6 months with outpatient diagnoses of influenza in June 2014-July 2017, 3 influenza seasons. METHODS: We identified the comorbidities, vaccination history, influenza testing, and outpatient antiviral dispensings of individuals with influenza using administrative claims data from 13 data partners including the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, integrated delivery systems, and commercial health plans. We assessed complications within 30 days: hospitalization, oxygen use, mechanical ventilation, critical care, ECMO, and death. RESULTS: There were 1,090,333 influenza diagnoses in 2014-2015; 1,005,240 in 2016-2017; and 578,548 in 2017-2018. Between 49% and 55% of patients were dispensed outpatient treatment within 5 days. In all periods >80% of treated individuals received treatment on the day of diagnosis. Those treated on days 1-5 after diagnosis had higher prevalences of diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, and obesity compared to those treated on the day of diagnosis or not treated at all. They also had higher rates of hospitalization, oxygen use, and critical care. In 2014-2015, among those aged ≥65 years, the rates of hospitalization were 45 per 1,000 diagnoses among those treated on day 0; 74 per 1,000 among those treated on days 1-5; and 50 per 1,000 among those who were untreated. CONCLUSIONS: In a large, national analysis, approximately half of people diagnosed with influenza in the outpatient setting were treated with antiviral medications. Delays in outpatient dispensed treatment were associated with higher prevalence of comorbidities and higher rates of complication.