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1.
Nature ; 603(7899): 25-27, 2022 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35233098

Assuntos
Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Reposicionamento de Medicamentos , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , SARS-CoV-2/efeitos dos fármacos , Monofosfato de Adenosina/administração & dosagem , Monofosfato de Adenosina/análogos & derivados , Monofosfato de Adenosina/uso terapêutico , Administração Oral , Alanina/administração & dosagem , Alanina/análogos & derivados , Alanina/uso terapêutico , Animais , Anti-Inflamatórios/administração & dosagem , Anti-Inflamatórios/uso terapêutico , Anticorpos Monoclonais/administração & dosagem , Anticorpos Monoclonais/uso terapêutico , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/administração & dosagem , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/economia , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/uso terapêutico , Antivirais/administração & dosagem , Antivirais/farmacologia , COVID-19/economia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/virologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Citidina/análogos & derivados , Citidina/uso terapêutico , Depsipeptídeos/farmacologia , Depsipeptídeos/uso terapêutico , Dexametasona/administração & dosagem , Dexametasona/uso terapêutico , Combinação de Medicamentos , Sinergismo Farmacológico , Ésteres/farmacologia , Ésteres/uso terapêutico , Guanidinas/farmacologia , Guanidinas/uso terapêutico , Hospitalização , Humanos , Hidroxilaminas/uso terapêutico , Internacionalidade , Lactamas/uso terapêutico , Leucina/uso terapêutico , Camundongos , National Institutes of Health (U.S.)/organização & administração , Nitrilas/uso terapêutico , Fator 1 de Elongação de Peptídeos/antagonistas & inibidores , Peptídeos Cíclicos/farmacologia , Peptídeos Cíclicos/uso terapêutico , Prolina/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de Proteases/farmacologia , Inibidores de Proteases/uso terapêutico , RNA Polimerase Dependente de RNA/antagonistas & inibidores
2.
J Virol ; 96(3): e0197321, 2022 Feb 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34817198

RESUMO

Waning vaccine-induced immunity coupled with the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants has led to increases in breakthrough infections, prompting consideration for vaccine booster doses. Boosters have been reported to be safe and increase SARS-CoV-2-specific neutralizing antibody levels, but how these doses impact the trajectory of the global pandemic and herd immunity is unknown. Information on immunology, epidemiology, and equitable vaccine distribution should be considered when deciding the timing and eligibility for COVID-19 vaccine boosters.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Imunização Secundária , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , Imunidade Coletiva , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Vacinação
3.
J Transl Med ; 18(1): 390, 2020 10 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33059719

RESUMO

While the COVID-19 pandemic has spurred intense research and collaborative discovery worldwide, the development of a safe, effective, and targeted antiviral from the ground up is time intensive. Therefore, most antiviral discovery efforts are focused on the re-purposing of clinical stage or approved drugs. While emerging data on drugs undergoing COVID-19 repurpose are intriguing, there is an undeniable need to develop broad-spectrum antivirals to prevent future viral pandemics of unknown origin. The ideal drug to curtail rapid viral spread would be a broad-acting agent with activity against a wide range of viruses. Such a drug would work by modulating host-proteins that are often shared by multiple virus families thereby enabling preemptive drug development and therefore rapid deployment at the onset of an outbreak. Targeting host-pathways and cellular proteins that are hijacked by viruses can potentially offer broad-spectrum targets for the development of future antiviral drugs. Such host-directed antivirals are also likely to offer a higher barrier to the development and selection of drug resistant mutations. Given that most approved antivirals do not target host-proteins, we reinforce the need for the development of such antivirals that can be used in pre- and post-exposure populations.


Assuntos
Antivirais , Betacoronavirus/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Coronavirus/tratamento farmacológico , Descoberta de Drogas , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Pneumonia Viral/tratamento farmacológico , Anti-Inflamatórios/farmacologia , Anti-Inflamatórios/uso terapêutico , Antivirais/classificação , Antivirais/farmacologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Betacoronavirus/genética , COVID-19 , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Sistemas de Liberação de Medicamentos/métodos , Sistemas de Liberação de Medicamentos/normas , Descoberta de Drogas/organização & administração , Descoberta de Drogas/normas , Descoberta de Drogas/tendências , Saúde Global , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/organização & administração , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/normas , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde/tendências , Humanos , Mutagênese/efeitos dos fármacos , Avaliação das Necessidades/organização & administração , Avaliação das Necessidades/normas , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Internalização do Vírus/efeitos dos fármacos
4.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 199(10): 1225-1237, 2019 05 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30398927

RESUMO

Rationale: The identification of informative elements of the host response to infection may improve the diagnosis and management of bacterial pneumonia. Objectives: To determine whether the absence of alveolar neutrophilia can exclude bacterial pneumonia in critically ill patients with suspected infection and to test whether signatures of bacterial pneumonia can be identified in the alveolar macrophage transcriptome. Methods: We determined the test characteristics of alveolar neutrophilia for the diagnosis of bacterial pneumonia in three cohorts of mechanically ventilated patients. In one cohort, we also isolated macrophages from alveolar lavage fluid and used the transcriptome to identify signatures of bacterial pneumonia. Finally, we developed a humanized mouse model of Pseudomonas aeruginosa pneumonia to determine if pathogen-specific signatures can be identified in human alveolar macrophages. Measurements and Main Results: An alveolar neutrophil percentage less than 50% had a negative predictive value of greater than 90% for bacterial pneumonia in both the retrospective (n = 851) and validation cohorts (n = 76 and n = 79). A transcriptional signature of bacterial pneumonia was present in both resident and recruited macrophages. Gene signatures from both cell types identified patients with bacterial pneumonia with test characteristics similar to alveolar neutrophilia. Conclusions: The absence of alveolar neutrophilia has a high negative predictive value for bacterial pneumonia in critically ill patients with suspected infection. Macrophages can be isolated from alveolar lavage fluid obtained during routine care and used for RNA-Seq analysis. This novel approach may facilitate a longitudinal and multidimensional assessment of the host response to bacterial pneumonia.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Macrófagos Alveolares/efeitos dos fármacos , Pneumonia Bacteriana/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Pseudomonas/tratamento farmacológico , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/efeitos dos fármacos , Respiração Artificial , Idoso , Animais , Estudos de Coortes , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Camundongos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos
5.
Plant Dis ; 102(7): 1218-1233, 2018 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30673582

RESUMO

International trade and travel are the driving forces behind the spread of invasive plant pathogens around the world, and human-mediated movement of plants and plant products is now generally accepted as the primary mode of their introduction, resulting in huge disturbance to ecosystems and severe socio-economic impact. These problems are exacerbated under the present conditions of rapid climatic change. We report an overview of the Canadian research activities on Phytophthora ramorum. Since the first discovery and subsequent eradication of P. ramorum on infected ornamentals in nurseries in Vancouver, British Columbia, in 2003, a research team of Canadian government scientists representing the Canadian Forest Service, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada worked together over a 10-year period and have significantly contributed to many aspects of research and risk assessment on this pathogen. The overall objectives of the Canadian research efforts were to gain a better understanding of the molecular diagnostics of P. ramorum, its biology, host-pathogen interactions, and management options. With this information, it was possible to develop pest risk assessments and evaluate the environmental and economic impact and future research needs and challenges relevant to P. ramorum and other emerging forest Phytophthora spp.


Assuntos
Phytophthora/fisiologia , Doenças das Plantas/microbiologia , Pesquisa/estatística & dados numéricos , Árvores/microbiologia , Antibiose/fisiologia , Canadá , Fungicidas Industriais/farmacologia , Geografia , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Phytophthora/efeitos dos fármacos , Doenças das Plantas/economia , Pesquisa/economia , Árvores/classificação
6.
PLoS One ; 12(10): e0186903, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29088258

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal disease causes substantial morbidity and mortality, including among adults. Adult pneumococcal vaccines help to prevent these burdens, but they are underused. Accounting for the full benefits of adult pneumococcal vaccination may promote more rational resource allocation decisions with respect to adult pneumococcal vaccines. OBJECTIVES: Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we conducted a systematic review to assess the extent to which the literature has empirically captured (e.g., through measurement or modeling) the full benefits of adult pneumococcal vaccination. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed and Embase to identify studies published between January 1, 2010 and April 10, 2016 that examine adult pneumococcal vaccination. We included articles if they captured any health or economic benefit of an adult pneumococcal vaccine administered to adults age ≥ 50 or ≥ 18 in risk groups. Finally, we summarized the literature by categorizing the types of benefits captured, the perspective taken, and the strength of the evidence presented. Our protocol is number 42016038335 in the PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews. RESULTS: We identified 5,857 papers and included 150 studies for analysis. While most capture health gains and healthcare cost savings, far fewer studies consider additional benefit categories, such as productivity gains. However, the studies with a broader approach still exhibit significant limitations; for example, many present only abstracts, while others offer no new measurements. Studies that examine the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine focus more on broad economic benefits, but still have limitations. CONCLUSIONS: This review highlights the need for more robust empirical accounting of the full benefits of adult pneumococcal vaccination. Literature outside this realm indicates that these broad benefits may be substantial. Failing to investigate the full benefits may lead society to undervalue vaccines' contributions and therefore underinvest in their development and adoption.


Assuntos
Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/administração & dosagem , Streptococcus pneumoniae/efeitos dos fármacos , Vacinação/métodos , Adulto , Análise Custo-Benefício , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/imunologia , Humanos , Infecções Pneumocócicas/imunologia , Infecções Pneumocócicas/microbiologia , Vacinas Pneumocócicas/imunologia , Streptococcus pneumoniae/imunologia , Streptococcus pneumoniae/fisiologia , Vacinação/economia
7.
Viruses ; 9(8)2017 07 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28933757

RESUMO

Models of within-host influenza viral dynamics have contributed to an improved understanding of viral dynamics and antiviral effects over the past decade. Existing models can be classified into two broad types based on the mechanism of viral control: models utilising target cell depletion to limit the progress of infection and models which rely on timely activation of innate and adaptive immune responses to control the infection. In this paper, we compare how two exemplar models based on these different mechanisms behave and investigate how the mechanistic difference affects the assessment and prediction of antiviral treatment. We find that the assumed mechanism for viral control strongly influences the predicted outcomes of treatment. Furthermore, we observe that for the target cell-limited model the assumed drug efficacy strongly influences the predicted treatment outcomes. The area under the viral load curve is identified as the most reliable predictor of drug efficacy, and is robust to model selection. Moreover, with support from previous clinical studies, we suggest that the target cell-limited model is more suitable for modelling in vitro assays or infection in some immunocompromised/immunosuppressed patients while the immune response model is preferred for predicting the infection/antiviral effect in immunocompetent animals/patients.


Assuntos
Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Vírus da Influenza A/fisiologia , Influenza Humana/tratamento farmacológico , Influenza Humana/imunologia , Modelos Biológicos , Infecções por Orthomyxoviridae/imunologia , Animais , Antivirais/farmacologia , Humanos , Imunidade Inata , Imunocompetência , Hospedeiro Imunocomprometido , Vírus da Influenza A/efeitos dos fármacos , Vírus da Influenza A/imunologia , Influenza Humana/virologia , Infecções por Orthomyxoviridae/virologia , Carga Viral/efeitos dos fármacos
8.
Environ Microbiol Rep ; 9(5): 635-641, 2017 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28677342

RESUMO

The relationship between bacterial drug resistance and growth fitness is a contentious topic, but some antibiotic resistance mutations clearly have a fitness cost in the laboratory. Whether these costs translate into deleterious effects in natural habitats is less certain however. Previously, fitness effects of resistance mutations were mostly characterized in nutrient-rich, fast-growth conditions, which bacteria rarely encounter in natural habitats. Carbon, phosphate, iron or oxygen limitations are conditions met by bacterial pathogens in various compartments of the human body. Here, we measured the fitness of four different rpoB mutations commonly found in rifampicin-resistant bacterial isolates. The fitness properties and the emergence of these and other alleles were studied in Escherichia coli populations growing under nutrient excess and in four different nutrient-limited states. Consistent with previous findings, all four mutations exhibited deleterious fitness effects under nutrient-rich conditions. In stark contrast, we found positive or neutral fitness effects under nutrient-limited conditions. Two particular rpoB alleles had a remarkable fitness increase under phosphate limitation and these alleles arose to high frequencies specifically under phosphate limitation. These findings suggest that it is not meaningful to draw general conclusions on fitness costs without considering bacterial microenvironments in humans and other animals.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Bactérias/efeitos dos fármacos , Fenômenos Fisiológicos Bacterianos , Aptidão Genética , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/genética , Alelos , Substituição de Aminoácidos , Bactérias/genética , Bactérias/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Escherichia coli/efeitos dos fármacos , Escherichia coli/genética , Escherichia coli/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Frequência do Gene , Interação Gene-Ambiente , Genes Bacterianos , Aptidão Genética/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Mutação , Rifampina/farmacologia
9.
Mol Plant Pathol ; 17(9): 1506-1518, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27238249

RESUMO

Plant diseases caused by bacterial pathogens place major constraints on crop production and cause significant annual losses on a global scale. The attainment of consistent effective management of these diseases can be extremely difficult, and management potential is often affected by grower reliance on highly disease-susceptible cultivars because of consumer preferences, and by environmental conditions favouring pathogen development. New and emerging bacterial disease problems (e.g. zebra chip of potato) and established problems in new geographical regions (e.g. bacterial canker of kiwifruit in New Zealand) grab the headlines, but the list of bacterial disease problems with few effective management options is long. The ever-increasing global human population requires the continued stable production of a safe food supply with greater yields because of the shrinking areas of arable land. One major facet in the maintenance of the sustainability of crop production systems with predictable yields involves the identification and deployment of sustainable disease management solutions for bacterial diseases. In addition, the identification of novel management tactics has also come to the fore because of the increasing evolution of resistance to existing bactericides. A number of central research foci, involving basic research to identify critical pathogen targets for control, novel methodologies and methods of delivery, are emerging that will provide a strong basis for bacterial disease management into the future. Near-term solutions are desperately needed. Are there replacement materials for existing bactericides that can provide effective disease management under field conditions? Experience should inform the future. With prior knowledge of bactericide resistance issues evolving in pathogens, how will this affect the deployment of newer compounds and biological controls? Knowledge is critical. A comprehensive understanding of bacterial pathosystems is required to not only identify optimal targets in the pathogens, but also optimal seasonal timings for deployment. Host resistance to effectors must be exploited, carefully and correctly. Are there other candidate genes that could be targeted in transgenic approaches? How can new technologies (CRISPR, TALEN, etc.) be most effectively used to add sustainable disease resistance to existing commercially desirable plant cultivars? We need an insider's perspective on the management of systemic pathogens. In addition to host resistance or reduced sensitivity, are there other methods that can be used to target these pathogen groups? Biological systems are variable. Can biological control strategies be improved for bacterial disease management and be made more predictable in function? The answers to the research foci outlined above are not all available, as will become apparent in this article, but we are heading in the right direction. In this article, we summarize the contributions from past experiences in bacterial disease management, and also describe how advances in bacterial genetics, genomics and host-pathogen interactions are informing novel strategies in virulence inhibition and in host resistance. We also outline potential innovations that could be exploited as the pressures to maximize a safe and productive food supply continue to become more numerous and more complex.


Assuntos
Invenções , Doenças das Plantas/microbiologia , Patologia Vegetal , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Edição de Genes , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos
10.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 111(48): E5143-8, 2014 Dec 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25404330

RESUMO

The ability of antibodies binding the influenza hemagglutinin (HA) protein to neutralize viral infectivity is of key importance in the design of next-generation vaccines and for prophylactic and therapeutic use. The two antibodies CR6261 and CR8020 have recently been shown to efficiently neutralize influenza A infection by binding to and inhibiting the influenza A HA protein that is responsible for membrane fusion in the early steps of viral infection. Here, we use single-particle fluorescence microscopy to correlate the number of antibodies or antibody fragments (Fab) bound to an individual virion with the capacity of the same virus particle to undergo membrane fusion. To this end, individual, infectious virus particles bound by fluorescently labeled antibodies/Fab are visualized as they fuse to a planar, supported lipid bilayer. The fluorescence intensity arising from the virus-bound antibodies/Fab is used to determine the number of molecules attached to viral HA while a fluorescent marker in the viral membrane is used to simultaneously obtain kinetic information on the fusion process. We experimentally determine that the stoichiometry required for fusion inhibition by both antibody and Fab leaves large numbers of unbound HA epitopes on the viral surface. Kinetic measurements of the fusion process reveal that those few particles capable of fusion at high antibody/Fab coverage display significantly slower hemifusion kinetics. Overall, our results support a membrane fusion mechanism requiring the stochastic, coordinated action of multiple HA trimers and a model of fusion inhibition by stem-binding antibodies through disruption of this coordinated action.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Neutralizantes/imunologia , Vírus da Influenza A/imunologia , Fusão de Membrana/imunologia , Vírion/imunologia , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/farmacologia , Glicoproteínas de Hemaglutininação de Vírus da Influenza/imunologia , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/imunologia , Humanos , Fragmentos Fab das Imunoglobulinas/imunologia , Fragmentos Fab das Imunoglobulinas/farmacologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/imunologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/fisiologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H1N1/ultraestrutura , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/imunologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/fisiologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H3N2/ultraestrutura , Vírus da Influenza A/fisiologia , Vírus da Influenza A/ultraestrutura , Influenza Humana/imunologia , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/virologia , Cinética , Fusão de Membrana/efeitos dos fármacos , Microscopia Eletrônica de Transmissão , Microscopia de Fluorescência , Método de Monte Carlo , Ligação Proteica , Vírion/efeitos dos fármacos , Vírion/ultraestrutura , Internalização do Vírus/efeitos dos fármacos
11.
PLoS One ; 9(3): e89826, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24603460

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: HIV-1 viral quantitation is essential for treatment monitoring. An in-house assay would decrease financial barriers to access. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A real-time competitive RT-PCR in house assay (Sing-IH) was developed in Singapore. Using HXB2 as reference, the assay's primers and probes were designed to generate a 183-bp product that overlaps a portion of the LTR region and gag region. A competitive internal control (IC) was included in each assay to monitor false negative results due to inhibition or human error. Clinical evaluation was performed on 249 HIV-1 positive patient samples in comparison with the commercially available Generic HIV Viral Load assay. Correlation and agreement of results were assessed for plasma HIV-1 quantification with both assays. RESULTS: The assay has a lower limit of detection equivalent to 126 copies/mL of HIV-1 RNA and a linear range of detection from 100-1000000 copies/mL. Comparative analysis with reference to the Generic assay demonstrated good agreement between both assays with a mean difference of 0.22 log10 copies/mL and 98.8% of values within 1 log10 copies/mL range. Furthermore, the Sing-IH assay can quantify HIV-1 group M subtypes A-H and group N isolates adequately, making it highly suitable for our region, where subtype B and CRF01_AE predominate. CONCLUSIONS: With a significantly lower running cost compared to commercially available assays, the broadly sensitive Sing-IH assay could help to overcome the cost barriers and serve as a useful addition to the currently limited HIV viral load assay options for resource-limited settings.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , HIV-1/genética , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real/métodos , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa/métodos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Repetição Terminal Longa de HIV/genética , HIV-1/efeitos dos fármacos , HIV-1/fisiologia , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Humanos , RNA Viral/genética , Kit de Reagentes para Diagnóstico/virologia , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real/economia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa/economia , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Singapura , Carga Viral , Produtos do Gene gag do Vírus da Imunodeficiência Humana/genética
12.
BMC Res Notes ; 7: 109, 2014 Feb 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24568634

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Vaccination against human papillomavirus (HPV), predominantly targeting young females, has been introduced in many countries. Decisions to implement programs, which have involved substantial investment by governments, have in part been based on findings from cost-effectiveness models. Now that vaccination programs have been in place for some years, it is becoming possible to observe their effects, and compare these with model effectiveness predictions made previously. FINDINGS: Australia introduced a publicly-funded HPV vaccination program in 2007. Recently reported Australian data from a repeat cross-sectional survey showed a substantial (77%) fall in HPV16 prevalence in women aged 18-24 years in 2010-2011, compared to pre-vaccination levels. We have previously published model predictions for the population-wide reduction in incident HPV16 infections post-vaccination in Australia. We compared prior predictions from the same model (including the same assumed uptake rates) for the reduction in HPV16 prevalence in women aged 18-24 years by the end of 2010 with the observed data. Based on modelled vaccine uptake which is consistent with recent data on three-dose uptake (78% at 12-13 years; lower uptake in older catch-up age cohorts), we had predicted a 70% reduction in prevalence in 18-24 year old females by the end of 2010. Based on modelled vaccine uptake consistent with recent national data for two-dose coverage and similar to that reported by women in the cross-sectional study, we had predicted a 79% reduction. CONCLUSIONS: A close correspondence was observed between the prior model predictions and the recently reported findings on the rapid drop in HPV prevalence in Australia. Because broadly similar effectiveness predictions have been reported from other models used for cost-effectiveness predictions, this provides reassurance that the substantial public investment in HPV vaccination has been grounded in valid estimates of the effects of vaccination.


Assuntos
Papillomavirus Humano 16/efeitos dos fármacos , Vacinação em Massa/métodos , Modelos Teóricos , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/administração & dosagem , Adulto , Austrália/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Papillomavirus Humano 16/fisiologia , Humanos , Vacinação em Massa/economia , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/economia , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/virologia , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/economia , Prevalência , Adulto Jovem
13.
Comput Biol Med ; 41(7): 546-58, 2011 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21621202

RESUMO

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) is responsible for millions of deaths worldwide. To date, many drug treatment regimens have been applied to AIDS patients but none has resulted in a successful cure. This is mainly due to the fact that free HIV particles are frequently in mutation, and infected CD4(+) T cells normally reside in the lymphoid tissue where they cannot (so far) be eradicated. We present a stochastic cellular automaton (CA) model to computationally study what could be an alternative treatment, namely Leukapheresis (LCAP), to remove HIV infected leukocytes in the lymphoid tissue. We base our investigations on Monte Carlo computer simulations. Our major objective is to investigate how the number of infected CD4(+) T cells changes in response to LCAP during the short-time (weeks) and long-time (years) scales of HIV/AIDS progression in an infected individual. To achieve our goal, we analyze the time evolution of the CD4(+) T cell population in the lymphoid tissue (i.e., the lymph node) for HIV dynamics in treatment situations with various starting times and frequencies and under a no treatment condition. Our findings suggest that the effectiveness of the treatment depends mainly on the treatment starting time and the frequency of the LCAP. Other factors (e.g., the removal proportion, the treatment duration, and the state of removed cells) that likely influence disease progression are subjects for further investigation.


Assuntos
Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos , Infecções por HIV , Interações Hospedeiro-Patógeno/efeitos dos fármacos , Leucaférese/métodos , Modelos Imunológicos , Biologia de Sistemas/métodos , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/classificação , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/fisiologia , Linfócitos T CD4-Positivos/virologia , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/terapia , HIV-1 , Humanos , Método de Monte Carlo , Processos Estocásticos
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