Patient and Family Financial Burden in Cancer: A Focus on Differences across Four Provinces, and Reduced Spending Including Decisions to Forego Care in Canada.

GOAL: This study aimed to examine provincial differences in patient spending for cancer care and reductions in household spending including decisions to forego care in Canada. METHODS: Nine-hundred and one patients with cancer, from twenty cancer centers across Canada, completed a self-administered questionnaire (P-SAFE version 7.2.4) (344 breast, 183 colorectal, 158 lung, and 216 prostate) measuring direct and indirect costs and spending changes. RESULTS: Provincial variations showed a high mean out-of-pocket cost (OOPC) of CAD 938 (Alberta) and a low of CAD 280 (Manitoba). Differences were influenced by age and income. Income loss was highest for Alberta (CAD 2399) and lowest for Manitoba (CAD 1126). Travel costs were highest for Alberta (CAD 294) and lowest for British Columbia (CAD 67). Parking costs were highest for Ontario (CAD 103) and lowest for Manitoba (CAD 53). A total of 41% of patients reported reducing spending, but this increased to 52% for families earning

Human health and environmental risk assessment of metals in community gardens of Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

Fresh produce is an important component of maintaining cognitive and physical health, particularly for children. A mechanism to increase access to fresh produce is the construction of community gardens in urban centres. While reducing barriers to nutritious food, the soil of the community garden can contain contaminants (e.g. metals) depending on the location and how the garden was constructed. This study quantified, for the first time, seven metals (As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Pb, Mn, and Ni) in soil from 83 community gardens across the City of Winnipeg in Manitoba, Canada. Concentrations of metals in soil were used to create distributions for environmental exposure and estimated daily intake, which were then used to determine exceedances of soil quality guidelines and acceptable daily intakes, respectively. Raised garden beds and gardens further from roads had typically lower concentrations of metals in surface gardens and those nearer to roads. While some concentrations of metals exceeded CCME guidelines levels for the protection of environmental health, the vast majority represent a low risk. For human health, only As posed a quantifiable risk of exceeding the USEPA acceptable daily intake via the consumption of produce from gardens, though this was < 1.2% for the whole population and < 10.2% for children aged 1 to 2 years. Overall, this study is the first to show that the concentration of the metals in soil from gardens typically poses a low risk to environmental and human health. We recommend the use of raised gardens to further mitigate risk.

Carpal tunnel syndrome among Manitoba workers: Results from the Manitoba Occupational Disease Surveillance System.

BACKGROUND: Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is associated with occupational high-force repetitive tasks and vibration. This project examines the relationship between CTS and work to: (1) identify jobs and industries with increased CTS risk; (2) explore whether there is a sex difference in the risk of CTS after controlling for occupation; and (3) determine whether any observed relationships persist after excluding Workers Compensation Board (WCB) accepted time-loss CTS claims. METHODS: We linked 95.5% of time-loss WCB claims from 2006 to 2019 to provincial administrative health data. The cohort included 143,001 unique person-occupation combinations. CTS cases were defined as at least two medical claims for (ICD-9 354) within a 12-month period or a surgical claim for CTS from 2 years before the WCB claim to 3 years after. WCB accepted CTS time-loss claims not identified by the medical claims were also included. RESULTS: A total of 4302 individuals (3.0%) met the CTS definition. Analysis revealed that the hazard ratios (HRs) of CTS vary considerably with occupation. Sex-based differences in CTS risks were observed, both in low- and high-risk occupations. In many occupations with increased HR, the HR remained elevated after excluding accepted time-loss WCB cases. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of developing CTS varied with occupation. Job titles with ergonomic risk factors had higher risks than those with lower exposures. This finding remained after eliminating time-loss compensated WCB cases, suggesting that all cases of CTS in high risk jobs are not identified in WCB statistics. Female workers in some job titles had excess CTS cases compared to male workers within the same job title.

Investigating inequalities in cancer staging and survival for adults with intellectual or developmental disabilities and cancer: A population-based study in Manitoba, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is a leading cause of death among adults living with intellectual or developmental disabilities (IDD). However, few epidemiological studies exist worldwide quantifying inequalities in cancer stage at diagnosis and survival for people with IDD relative to those without IDD. METHODS: A population-based, retrospective cohort study was conducted using provincial health and social administrative data in Manitoba, Canada. Adults (≥18 years) with a cancer diagnosis between 2004 and 2017 were included. Lifetime IDD was identified before the cancer diagnosis using an established algorithm. Modified Poisson regression with robust error variance was used to estimate the association between IDD status and metastatic cancer at diagnosis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses were used to the effect of IDD on overall survival following the cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: The staging and prognosis cohorts included 62,886 (n = 473 with IDD) and 74,143 (n = 592 with IDD) cancer patients, respectively. People living with IDD were significantly more likely to be diagnosed with metastatic cancer and die following their cancer diagnosis compared to those without IDD (RR=1.20; 95 % CI 1.05-1.38; HR= 1.53; 95 % CI 1.38-1.71). Significant heterogeneity by sex was identified for cancer survival (p = 0.005). DISCUSSION: People with IDD had more advanced cancer stage at diagnosis and worse survival relative to those without IDD. Identifying and developing strategies to address the factors responsible that contribute to these disparities is required for improving patient-centred cancer care for adults with IDD.

Cross-jurisdictional pandemic management: providers speaking on the experience of Nunavut Inuit accessing services in Manitoba during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Across Canada, the COVID-19 pandemic placed considerable stress on territorial and provincial healthcare systems. For Nunavut, the need to continue to provide access to critical care to its citizens meant that medical travel to provincial points of care (Edmonton, Winnipeg and Ottawa) had to continue through the pandemic. This complexity created challenges related to the need to keep Nunavut residents safe while accessing care, and to manage the risk of outbreaks in Nunavut resultant from patients returning home. A number of strategies were adopted to mitigate risk, including the expansion of virtual care, self-isolation requirements before returning from Winnipeg, and a level of cross-jurisdictional coordination previously unprecedented. Structural limitations in Nunavut however limited opportunities to expand virtual care, and to allow providers from Manitoba to access the Nunavut's electronic medical records of patients requiring follow up. Thus, known and long-standing issues exacerbated vulnerabilities within the Nunavut healthcare system. We conclude that addressing cross-jurisdictional issues would be well served by the development of a more formal Nunavut-Manitoba agreement (with similar agreements with Ontario and Alberta), outlining mutual obligations and accountabilities.

Predictive risk modelling of high resource users under different prescription drug coverage policies in Ontario and Manitoba, Canada.

INTRODUCTION: Studying high resource users (HRUs) across jurisdictions is a challenge due to variation in data availability and health services coverage. In Canada, coverage for pharmaceuticals varies across provinces under a mix of public and private plans, which has implications for ascertaining HRUs. We examined sociodemographic and behavioural predictors of HRUs in the presence of different prescription drug coverages in the provinces of Manitoba and Ontario. METHODS: Linked Canadian Community Health Surveys were used to create two cohorts of respondents from Ontario (n = 58,617, cycles 2005-2008) and Manitoba (n = 10,504, cycles 2007-2010). HRUs (top 5%) were identified by calculating health care utilization 5 years following interview date and computing all costs in the linked administrative databases, with three approaches used to include drug costs: (1) costs paid for by the provincial payer under age-based coverage; (2) costs paid for by the provincial payer under income-based coverage; (3) total costs regardless of the payer (publicly insured, privately insured, and out-of-pocket). Logistic regression estimated the association between sociodemographic, health, and behavioral predictors on HRU risk. RESULTS: The strength of the association between age (≥ 80 vs. <30) and becoming an HRU were attenuated with the inclusion of broader drug data (age based: OR 37.29, CI: 30.08-46.24; income based: OR 27.34, CI: 18.53-40.33; all drug payees: OR 29.08, CI: 19.64-43.08). With broader drug coverage, the association between heavy smokers vs. non-smokers on odds of becoming an HRU strengthened (age based: OR 1.58, CI: 1.32-1.90; income based: OR 2.97, CI: 2.18-4.05; all drug payees: OR 3.12, CI: 2.29-4.25). Across the different drug coverage policies, there was persistence in higher odds of becoming an HRU in low income households vs. high income households and in those with a reported chronic condition vs. no chronic conditions. CONCLUSIONS: The study illustrates that jurisdictional differences in how HRUs are ascertained based on drug coverage policies can influence the relative importance of some behavioural risk factors on HRU status, but most observed associations with health and sociodemographic risk factors were persistent, demonstrating that predictive risk modelling of HRUs can occur effectively across jurisdictions, even with some differences in public drug coverage policies.

Acute myocardial infarctions identified in the Manitoba Occupational Disease Surveillance System: A linkage of worker's compensation and provincial health data.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to identify jobs and industries that may be associated with increased or decreased risk of myocardial infarction. METHODS: We linked provincial health care data with Workers Compensation Board (WCB) of Manitoba claims data to create the Manitoba Occupational Disease Surveillance System (MODSS). Workers were eligible for inclusion in this study if their WCB claim listed an occupation, their claim could be linked to health data, they had an accepted non-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) compensation time loss claim and were free of a recent (<1 year) AMI diagnosis at the start of disease follow-up. AMI cases were identified as the most-responsible diagnosis in the hospitalization file (ICD-9 410 or ICD-10 I20). Cases were included if they occurred after the WCB record injury date until end of coverage, either through moving out of province, reaching age 65, death, or the end of the study period (March 1, 2020). RESULTS: We identified 1880 incident AMIs amongst 150,022 claims recorded in the MODSS (1.25%). A number of industries and occupations were found to have higher and lower AMI rates. Care providers and educational, legal, and public protection support occupations had a lower hazard ratio (HR; 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.44-0.92) compared to the overall cohort. Female chefs and cooks, and male butchers and bakers had elevated AMI HRs. Both male and female transport and heavy equipment operators and related maintenance occupations had increased HRs (1.48; 95% CI: 1.30-1.67). Often male and female workers employed in the same occupations had congruent AMI risks, but this was not always the case. CONCLUSIONS: The linkage of a WCB data set with provincial health claims data led to the identification of a number of occupations with elevated risks of AMI in Manitoba. This was most notable in the transportation industry. Identifying work areas with increased risk of AMIs could lead to targeted educational efforts and potential workplace modifications to lower this risk.

Unwinding the tangle of adolescent pregnancy and socio-economic functioning: leveraging administrative data from Manitoba, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the relationship between adolescent pregnancy and adult education and employment outcomes is complicated due to the endogeneity of fertility behaviors and socio-economic functioning. Studies exploring adolescent pregnancy have often relied on limited data to measure adolescent pregnancy (i.e. birth during adolescence or self-reports) and lack access to objective measures of school performance during childhood. METHODS: We use rich administrative data from Manitoba, Canada, to assess women's functioning during childhood (including pre-pregnancy academic performance), fertility behaviors during adolescence (live birth, abortion, pregnancy loss, or no history of pregnancy), and adult outcomes of high school completion and receipt of income assistance. This rich set of covariates allows calculating propensity score weights to help adjust for characteristics possibly predictive of adolescent pregnancy. We also explore which risk factors are associated with the study outcomes. RESULTS: We assessed a cohort of 65,732 women, of whom 93.5% had no teen pregnancy, 3.8% had a live birth, 2.6% had abortion, and < 1% had a pregnancy loss. Women with a history of adolescent pregnancy were less likely to complete high school regardless of the outcome of that pregnancy. The probability of dropping out of high school was 7.5% for women with no history of adolescent pregnancy; after adjusting for individual, household, and neighborhood characteristics, the probability of dropping out of high school was 14.2 percentage points (pp) higher (95% CI 12.0-16.5) for women with live birth, 7.6 pp. higher (95% CI 1.5-13.7) for women with a pregnancy loss, and 6.9 pp. higher (95% CI 5.2-8.6) for women who had abortion. They key risk factors for never completing high school are poor or average school performance in 9th grade. Women who had a live births during adolescence were much more likely to receive income assistance than any other group in the sample. Aside from poor school performance, growing up in poor households and in poor neighborhoods were also highly predictive of receiving income assistance during adulthood. DISCUSSION: The administrative data used in this study enabled us to assess the relationship between adolescent pregnancy and adult outcomes after controlling for a rich set of individual-, household-, and neighborhood-level characteristics. Adolescent pregnancy was associated with higher risk of never completing high school regardless of the pregnancy outcome. Receipt of income assistance was significantly higher for women having a live birth, but only marginally higher for those who had a pregnancy that ended in loss or termination, underlining the harsh economic consequences of caring for a child as a young mother. Our data suggest that interventions targeting young women with poor or average school marks may be especially effective public policy priorities.

Inequities in access to directly-funded home care in Canada: a privilege only afforded to some.

BACKGROUND: Directly-funded home care (DF) provides government funds to people who need assistance with the activities of daily living, allowing them to arrange their own services. As programs expand globally, many allow DF clients to hire home care agencies to organize their services rather than finding their own workers. In Canada, half of the DF home care programs allow users to purchase agency services. The goal of this research is to describe the role of agency providers in DF home care in Canada and consider potential equity implications for service access from the perspectives of clients and families. METHODS: Framed with intersectionality, the study included online focus groups with families and clients (n = 56) in the two Canadian provinces of Alberta and Manitoba between June 2021-April 2022. All transcripts underwent qualitative thematic analysis using open and axial coding techniques. Each transcript was analyzed by two of three possible independent coders using Dedoose qualitative analysis software. RESULTS: The article presents five thematic findings. First, the focus groups document high rates of satisfaction with the care regardless of whether the client uses agency providers. Second, agency providers mediate some of the administrative barriers and emotional strain of using DF home care, and this is especially important for family caregivers who are working or have additional care responsibilities. Third, there are out-of-pocket expenses reported by most participants, with agency clients describing administrative fees despite lower pay for the frontline care workers. Fourth, agencies are not generally effective for linguistic and/or cultural matching between workers and families. Finally, we find that DF care programs cannot compensate for a limited informal support network. CONCLUSIONS: Clients and families often intentionally choose DF home care after negative experiences with other public service options, yet the results suggest that in some Canadian contexts, DF home care is a privilege only afforded to some. Given the growing inequalities that exist in Canadian society, all public home care options must be open to all who need it, irrespective of ability to pay, degree of social support, or competence in the English language.

Healthcare utilization and telemedicine: An evaluation using linked administrative data from Manitoba.

INTRODUCTION: This research examines utilization patterns for patients using telemedicine compared to those receiving treatment conventionally. Administrative data from 2007-2016 is linked to records from the Manitoba Telehealth programme to conduct a population-level study. METHODS: Using a high dimensional propensity-weighted regression model, the study compares four utilization measures between telemedicine users and non-users. These include: ambulatory visits (number of visits to any physician), visits to primary care physicians, visits to specialists and the number of hospitalizations. RESULTS: Compared to non-users, telemedicine patients showed a higher number of in-person visits. Specifically, using incidence-rate ratios, telemedicine users had 1.32 more ambulatory visits (p < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-1.41), 1.26 more visits to primary care practitioners (p<0.001; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.35), 1.38 more visits to specialists (p < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-1.61) and 1.14 more hospitalizations (p>0.1; 95% confidence interval, 0.91-1.43). These results were robust to restricted analyses for distance, regions, and chronic conditions. Those patients with frequent virtual encounters with a specialist showed a decrease of the frequency of in-person visits of the same type of care (incidence-rate ratio=0.48, p < 0.001; 95% confidence interval, 0.44-0.54). DISCUSSION: Patterns in utilization vary between telemedicine users and non-users, with users showing a higher number of in-person visits than non-users, and only frequent users of telemedicine showing reduced in-person visits. Future investigation linking utilization patterns with patient care outcomes and costs will inform healthcare policy and clinical treatment plans.

Pregnant and early parenting Indigenous women who use substances in Canada: A scoping review of health and social issues, supports, and strategies.

This study reviews and synthesizes the literature on Indigenous women who are pregnant/early parenting and using substances in Canada to understand the scope and state of knowledge to inform research with the Aboriginal Health and Wellness Centre of Winnipeg in Manitoba and the development of a pilot Indigenous doula program. A scoping review was performed searching ten relevant databases, including one for gray literature. We analyzed 56 articles/documents. Themes include: (1) cyclical repercussions of state removal of Indigenous children from their families; (2) compounding barriers and inequities; (3) prevalence and different types of substance use; and (4) intervention strategies. Recommendations for future research are identified and discussed.

Food insecurity, nutrition insecurity, and self-reported health among newcomer Manitoba youth: A cross-sectional study.

Many youth in Manitoba are not food secure. Newcomer youth may be more vulnerable to food insecurity. Further, it has been suggested that being food secure does not ensure a nutritionally adequate diet. This study examined survey data from 1,347 grade nine students to describe and compare food security by newcomer status. Survey data were also used to compare the dietary intakes, eating behaviors, and self-reported health of newcomer youth by food security status. Food security status between newcomer and non-newcomer youth was not significantly different, however, being food secure was not enough to have optimal nutritional health and well-being.

Expanded prenatal syphilis screening in Manitoba, Canada: a direct short-term cost-avoidance analysis in an outbreak context.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to provide a direct short-term cost-avoidance analysis of expanded three-time prenatal syphilis screening in the context of Manitoba's ongoing outbreak. METHODS: A conservative modelling approach increased all financial costs of prenatal screening and minimized the direct costs of congenital syphilis treatment. The cost of syphilis screening was calculated using instrument, reagent and consumable costs as well as laboratory overhead and labour costs as documented by Cadham Provincial Laboratory. The short-term direct costs of treating congenital syphilis were calculated using hospital costs and doctor's billing fees. All costs were calculated in 2021 Canadian dollars. These numbers were applied to Manitoba's 2021 congenital syphilis statistics to provide a pragmatic cost-avoidance analysis. RESULTS: The cost of applying three-time prenatal syphilis screening to all 16,800 yearly pregnancies in Manitoba equalled CAD $139,608.00 per year. The direct short-term cost of treating one uncomplicated case of congenital syphilis was $18,151.40. As 81 cases of congenital syphilis were treated in Manitoba in 2021, the short-term direct cost of treating congenital syphilis in Manitoba in 2021 was $1,470,263.40. Applying screening costs to the 125 adequately prevented cases of congenital syphilis in 2021, the screening program is associated with a cost-avoidance ratio of 16.25. If no prenatal syphilis program existed in Manitoba, an expanded screening program would be associated with a cost-avoidance ratio of 26.8. CONCLUSION: Expanding prenatal syphilis screening is highly cost-avoidant in Manitoba. The 81 cases of congenital syphilis treated in Manitoba in 2021 highlight the need for novel community-based approaches to increase accessibility and engagement with prenatal care.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Dans le contexte de l'éclosion de syphilis qui sévit actuellement au Manitoba, notre étude vise à présenter une analyse des coûts directs à court terme qui pourraient être évités en étendant le dépistage de la syphilis au cours des trois trimestres de la grossesse. MéTHODE: En adoptant une approche de modélisation prudente, nous avons accru tous les coûts financiers du dépistage anténatal et réduit les coûts de traitement directs de la syphilis congénitale. Les coûts de dépistage de la syphilis ont été calculés en utilisant les coûts des instruments, des réactifs et des consommables, ainsi que les frais généraux et les coûts de main-d'œuvre des laboratoires selon le Laboratoire provincial Cadham. Les coûts directs à court terme du traitement de la syphilis congénitale ont été calculés en utilisant les frais hospitaliers et les frais facturés par les médecins. Tous les coûts ont été calculés en dollars canadiens de 2021. Ces chiffres ont été appliqués aux statistiques de 2021 du Manitoba sur la syphilis congénitale pour produire une analyse pragmatique de prévention des coûts. RéSULTATS: Le coût d'étendre le dépistage de la syphilis au cours des trois trimestres de la grossesse aux 16 800 grossesses annuelles au Manitoba représentait 139 608 $ CAN par année. Le coût direct à court terme du traitement d'un cas de syphilis congénitale sans complications était de 18 151,40 $. Étant donné que 81 cas de syphilis congénitale ont été traités au Manitoba en 2021, le coût direct à court terme du traitement de syphilis congénitale dans la province en 2021 s'est élevé à 1 470 263,40 $. En appliquant les coûts de dépistage aux 125 cas de syphilis congénitale que l'on a réussi à prévenir en 2021, le programme de dépistage est associé à un rapport de prévention des coûts de 16,25. S'il n'existait aucun programme de dépistage anténatal de la syphilis au Manitoba, un programme de dépistage élargi serait associé à un rapport de prévention des coûts de 26,8. CONCLUSION: L'expansion du dépistage anténatal de la syphilis serait une mesure de prévention des coûts très efficace au Manitoba. Les 81 cas de syphilis congénitale traités dans la province en 2021 montrent qu'il faut adopter de nouvelles approches de proximité pour améliorer l'accès et la participation aux soins anténatals.

Generating synthetic data from administrative health records for drug safety and effectiveness studies.

Introduction: Administrative health records (AHRs) are used to conduct population-based post-market drug safety and comparative effectiveness studies to inform healthcare decision making. However, the cost of data extraction, and the challenges associated with privacy and securing approvals can make it challenging for researchers to conduct methodological research in a timely manner using real data. Generating synthetic AHRs that reasonably represent the real-world data are beneficial for developing analytic methods and training analysts to rapidly implement study protocols. We generated synthetic AHRs using two methods and compared these synthetic AHRs to real-world AHRs. We described the challenges associated with using synthetic AHRs for real-world study. Methods: The real-world AHRs comprised prescription drug records for individuals with healthcare insurance coverage in the Population Research Data Repository (PRDR) from Manitoba, Canada for the 10-year period from 2008 to 2017. Synthetic data were generated using the Observational Medical Dataset Simulator II (OSIM2) and a modification (ModOSIM). Synthetic and real-world data were described using frequencies and percentages. Agreement of prescription drug use measures in PRDR, OSIM2 and ModOSIM was estimated with the concordance coefficient. Results: The PRDR cohort included 169,586,633 drug records and 1,395 drug types for 1,604,734 individuals. Synthetic data for 1,000,000 individuals were generated using OSIM2 and ModOSIM. Sex and age group distributions were similar in the real-world and synthetic AHRs. However, there were significant differences in the number of drug records and number of unique drugs per person for OSIM2 and ModOSIM when compared with PRDR. For the average number of days of drug use, concordance with the PRDR was 16% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 12%-19%) for OSIM2 and 88% (95% CI: 87%-90%) for ModOSIM. Conclusions: ModOSIM data were more similar to PRDR than OSIM2 data on many measures. Synthetic AHRs consistent with those found in real-world settings can be generated using ModOSIM. Synthetic data will benefit rapid implementation of methodological studies and data analyst training.

Characterising methamphetamine use to inform health and social policies in Manitoba, Canada: a protocol for a retrospective cohort study using linked administrative data.

INTRODUCTION: Rising use of methamphetamine is causing significant public health concern in Canada. The biological and behavioural effects of methamphetamine range from wakefulness, vigour and euphoria to adverse physical health outcomes like myocardial infarction, haemorrhagic stroke, arrhythmia and seizure. It can also cause severe psychological complications such as psychosis. National survey data point to increasing rates of methamphetamine use, as well as increasing ease of access and serious methamphetamine-related harms. There is an urgent need for evidence to address knowledge gaps, provide direction to harm reduction and treatment efforts and inform health and social policies for people using methamphetamine. This protocol describes a study that aims to address this need for evidence. METHODS: The study will use linked, whole population, de-identified administrative data from the Manitoba Population Research Data Repository. The cohort will include individuals in the city of Winnipeg, Manitoba, who came into contact with the health system for reasons related to methamphetamine use from 2013 to 2021 and a comparison group matched on age, sex and geography. We will describe the cohort's sociodemographic characteristics, calculate incidence and prevalence of mental disorders associated with methamphetamine use and examine rates of health and social service use. We will evaluate the use of olanzapine pharmacotherapy in reducing adverse emergency department outcomes. In partnership with Indigenous co-investigators, outcomes will be stratified by First Nations and Métis identity. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study was approved by the University of Manitoba Health Research Ethics Board, and access datasets have been granted by all data providers. We also received approval from the First Nations Health and Social Secretariat of Manitoba's Health Information Research Governance Committee and the Manitoba Métis Federation. Dissemination will be guided by an 'Evidence 2 Action' group of public rightsholders, service providers and knowledge users who will ensure that the analyses address the critical issues.

Manitoba 2020: How centralizing the healthcare supply chain helped with pandemic management.

A case study design was used to understand Manitoba's response to accessing Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) in the first wave of the global coronavirus pandemic. By evolving early on in the pandemic to a provincially led structure dedicated to the healthcare supply chain, Manitoba was able to avoid major shortages in access to PPE. Leadership was focused on the possibilities for action and implementation (ie, dynamic, adaptive, and collaborative) rather than trying to respond within the status quo (ie, a more linear and traditional approach). As a result, few structural items other than the creation of an effective, province-wide digital network to fully visualize the healthcare supply chain are needed going forward. Manitoba's healthcare supply chain had a number of successes during the initial wave of the global pandemic including many new processes like the local production of PPE and the establishment of new supplier relationships.

The impact of pertussis vaccine programme changes on pertussis disease burden in Manitoba, 1992-2017-an age-period-cohort analysis.

BACKGROUND: Changes to pertussis vaccination programmes can have impacts on disease burden that should be estimated independently from factors such as age- and period-related trends. We used age-period-cohort (APC) models to explore pertussis incidence in Manitoba over a 25-year period (1992-2017). METHODS: We identified all laboratory-confirmed cases of pertussis from Manitoba's Communicable Diseases Database and calculated age-standardized incidence rates. We used APC models to investigate trends in pertussis incidence. RESULTS: During the study period, 2479 cases were reported. Age-standardized rates were highest during a large outbreak in 1994 (55 cases/100 000 person-years), with much lower peaks in 1998, 2012 and 2016. We saw strong age and cohort effects in the APC models, with a steady decrease in incidence with increasing age and increased risk in the cohort born between 1980 and 1995. CONCLUSIONS: The highest risk for pertussis was consistently in young children, regardless of birth cohort or time period. The 1981 programme change to an adsorbed whole-cell pertussis vaccine with low effectiveness resulted in reduced protection in the 1981-95 birth cohort and contributed to the largest outbreak of disease during the 25-year study period.

Delirium definition influences prediction of functional survival in patients one-year postcardiac surgery.

BACKGROUND: Delirium after cardiac surgery is associated with prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital length of stay and elevated rates of mortality. The Society of Thoracic Surgery National Database (STS-ND) includes delirium in routine data collection but restricts its definition to hyperactive symptoms. The objective is to determine whether the Confusion Assessment Method for ICU (CAM-ICU), which includes hypo- and hyperactive symptoms, is associated with improved prediction of poor 1-year functional survival following cardiac surgery. METHODS: Clinical and administrative databases were used to determine the influence of postoperative delirium on 1-year poor functional survival, defined as being institutionalized or deceased at 1 year. Patients experiencing postoperative delirium using the STS-ND definition (2007-2009) were compared with patients with delirium identified by the CAM-ICU (2010-2012). A propensity score match was undertaken, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were generated to determine risk of poor 1-year functional survival. RESULTS: There were 2756 and 2236 patients in the STS-ND and CAM-ICU cohorts, respectively. Propensity matching resulted in a cohort of 1835 patients (82.1% matched). The overall rate of delirium in the matched study population was 7.6% in the STS-ND cohort and 13.0% in the CAM-ICU cohort (P < .001). Delirium in the CAM-ICU cohort was independently associated with poor 1-year functional survival (hazard ratio, 2.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.20-5.54; P = .02); delirium in the STS-ND cohort was not associated with poor 1-year functional survival (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% confidence interval, 0.49-1.71; P = .79). CONCLUSIONS: A systematic screening tool identifies postoperative delirium with improved prediction of poor 1-year functional survival following cardiac surgery.

Pediatric primary care in Ontario and Manitoba after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: There were large disruptions to health care services after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We sought to describe the extent to which pandemic-related changes in service delivery and access affected use of primary care for children overall and by equity strata in the 9 months after pandemic onset in Manitoba and Ontario. METHODS: We performed a population-based study of children aged 17 years or less with provincial health insurance in Ontario or Manitoba before and during the COVID-19 pandemic (Jan. 1, 2017-Nov. 28, 2020). We calculated the weekly rates of in-person and virtual primary care well-child and sick visits, overall and by age group, neighbourhood material deprivation level, rurality and immigrant status, and assessed changes in visit rates after COVID-19 restrictions were imposed compared to expected baseline rates calculated for the 3 years before pandemic onset. RESULTS: Among almost 3 million children in Ontario and more than 300 000 children in Manitoba, primary care visit rates declined to 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.82) of expected in Ontario and 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.84) of expected in Manitoba in the 9 months after the onset of the pandemic. Virtual visits accounted for 53% and 29% of visits in Ontario and Manitoba, respectively. The largest monthly decreases in visits occurred in April 2020. Although visit rates increased slowly after April 2020, they had not returned to prerestriction levels by November 2020 in either province. Children aged more than 1 year to 12 years experienced the greatest decrease in visits, especially for well-child care. Compared to prepandemic levels, visit rates were lowest among rural Manitobans, urban Ontarians and Ontarians in low-income neighbourhoods. INTERPRETATION: During the study period, the pandemic contributed to rapid, immediate and inequitable decreases in primary care use, with some recovery and a substantial shift to virtual care. Postpandemic planning must consider the need for catch-up visits, and the long-term impacts warrant further study.

Changes in health indicator gaps between First Nations and other residents of Manitoba.

BACKGROUND: The Truth and Reconciliation Commission of Canada has called for better reporting of health disparities between First Nations people and other Canadians to close gaps in health outcomes. We sought to evaluate changes in these disparities using indicators of health and health care use over the last 2 decades. METHODS: We used linked, whole-population, administrative claims data from the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy for fiscal years 1994/95 to 1998/99 and 2012/13 to 2016/17. We measured indicators of health and health care use among registered First Nations and all other Manitobans, and compared differences between these groups over the 2 time periods. RESULTS: Over time, the relative gap between First Nations and all other Manitobans widened by 51% (95% confidence interval [CI] 42% to 60%) for premature mortality rate. For potential years of life lost, the gap widened by 54% (95% CI 51% to 57%) among women and by 32% (95% CI 30% to 35%) among men. The absolute gap in life expectancy widened by 3.14 years (95% CI 2.92 to 3.36) among men and 3.61 years (95% CI 3.38 to 3.84) among women. Relative gaps widened by 20% (95% CI 12% to 27%) for ambulatory specialist visits, by 14% (95% CI 12% to 16%) for hospital separations and by 50% (95% CI 39% to 62%) for days spent in hospital, but narrowed by 33% (95% CI -36% to -30%) for ambulatory primary care visits, by 22% (95% CI -27% to -16%) for mammography and by 27% (95% CI -40% to -23%) for injury hospitalizations. INTERPRETATION: Disparities between First Nations and all other Manitobans in many key indicators of health and health care use have grown larger over time. New approaches are needed to address these disparities and promote better health with and for First Nations.