Global burden and prediction study of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma from 1990 to 2030: A systematic analysis and comparison with China.

Background: China has the highest number of new cancer cases and deaths globally. Due to particularly low scores in health care quality for cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC), the country's cSCC burden requires greater awareness. Consequently, we aimed to evaluate and predict the trend of the cSCC burden globally and in China from 1990 to 2030. Methods: We retrieved data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study, which provided estimates of the incidence, mortality, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of cSCC from 1990 to 2019. We set up joint-point analyses and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models to predict the disease burden of cSCC up to 2030. Results: In 2019, China reported age-standardised rates of cSCC prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs of 2.54, 2.12, 0.88, and 16.76 per 100 000 population, respectively. The country's prevalence and incidence rates from 1990 to 2019 were lower than the global levels, but its mortality and DALY rates were higher. The age-standardised rates were higher for males, and the disease burden increased with each age group globally and in China. Moreover, the average annual percentage change showed all indicators were growing faster than the global levels. According to the BAPC model, there will be an upward trend in the prevalence and incidence globally and in China between 2020 and 2030, with a decrease in mortality and DALYs. Conclusions: We observed an upward trend in the cSCC burden over the past 30 years in China. Prevalence and incidence are expected to continue at a higher rate than the global average in the next decade, while mortality and DALYs are predicted to decrease. As the Chinese population ages, efforts toward managing and preventing cSCC should be targeted towards the elderly population.

Persistent poverty and incidence-based melanoma mortality in Texas.

PURPOSE: Previous studies have shown that individuals living in areas with persistent poverty (PP) experience worse cancer outcomes compared to those living in areas with transient or no persistent poverty (nPP). The association between PP and melanoma outcomes remains unexplored. We hypothesized that melanoma patients living in PP counties (defined as counties with ≥ 20% of residents living at or below the federal poverty level for the past two decennial censuses) would exhibit higher rates of incidence-based melanoma mortality (IMM). METHODS: We used Texas Cancer Registry data to identify the patients diagnosed with invasive melanoma or melanoma in situ (stages 0 through 4) between 2000 and 2018 (n = 82,458). Each patient's PP status was determined by their county of residence at the time of diagnosis. RESULTS: After adjusting for demographic variables, logistic regression analyses revealed that melanoma patients in PP counties had statistically significant higher IMM compared to those in nPP counties (17.4% versus 11.3%) with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.35 (95% CI 1.25-1.47). CONCLUSION: These findings highlight the relationship between persistent poverty and incidence-based melanoma mortality rates, revealing that melanoma patients residing in counties with persistent poverty have higher melanoma-specific mortality compared to those residing in counties with transient or no poverty. This study further emphasizes the importance of considering area-specific socioeconomic characteristics when implementing place-based interventions to facilitate early melanoma diagnosis and improve melanoma treatment outcomes.

Disparities in the Receipt of Systemic Treatment in Metastatic Melanoma.

BACKGROUND: In 2011, immunotherapy and targeted therapy revolutionized melanoma treatment. However, inequities in their use may limit the benefits seen by certain patients. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of patients in the National Cancer Database for patients with stage IV melanoma from 2 time periods: 2004-2010 and 2016-2020, distinguishing between those who received systemic therapy and those who did not. We investigated the rates and factors associated with treatment omission. We employed Kaplan-Meier analysis to explore the impact of treatment on overall survival. RESULTS: A total of 19,961 patients met the inclusion criteria: 7621 patients were diagnosed in 2004-2010 and 12,340 patients in 2016-2020, of whom 54.9% and 28.3% did not receive systemic treatment, respectively. The rate of "no treatment" has decreased to a plateau of ∼25% in 2020. Median overall survival was improved with treatment in both time periods (2004-2010: 8.8 vs. 5.6 mo [ P <0.05]; and 2016-2020: 25.9 vs. 4.3 mo [ P <0.05]). Nonmedical factors associated with the omission of treatment in both periods included low socioeconomic status, Medicaid or no health insurance, and treatment at low-volume centers. In the period from 2016 to 2020, patients treated at nonacademic programs were also less likely to receive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Systemic therapies significantly improve survival for patients with metastatic melanoma, but significant disparities exist with their receipt. Local efforts are needed to ensure all patients benefit from these revolutionary treatments.

Age-Based Disparities in Metastatic Melanoma Patients Treated in the Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors (ICI) Versus Non-ICI Era: A Population-Based Study.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized metastatic melanoma treatment, but our knowledge of ICI activity across age groups is insufficient. Patients in different age groups with advanced melanoma were selected based on the ICI approval time in this study. Patients with melanoma were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database program 2004-2016. The results showed that 4,040 patients had advanced melanoma before the advent of ICI (referred to as the "non-ICI era"), whereas there were 6,188 cases after ICI approval (referred to as the "ICI era"). In all age groups, the cases were dominated by men. The differences between the first (20-59 years) and second (60-74 years) age groups in both eras were significant in terms of surgery performance and holding of insurance policies (p = 0.05). The first and second groups (20-59 and 60-70 years old, respectively) showed no difference in survival (median = 8 months) during the non-ICI era, but the difference was evident in the first, second, and third age groups in the ICI era, with the younger group (20-59 years) having significantly better survival (median = 18, 14, and 10 months, respectively, p = 0.0001). Multivariate analysis of the first group (the youngest) in the ICI era revealed that surgery was significantly associated with an increase in survival among patients compared with those who did not undergo surgery (p < 0.0001). Furthermore, having an insurance policy among all age groups in the ICI era was associated with favorable survival in the first (20-59 years) and second (60-74 years) age groups (p = 0.0001), while there were no survival differences in the older ICI group (>74 years). Although there were differences in survival between the ICI era and the non-ICI era, these results demonstrate that ICI positively affected the survival of younger patients with advanced melanoma (first age group) than it had beneficial effects on older patients. Moreover, having had cancer surgery and holding an insurance policy were positive predictors for patient survival. This study emphasizes that adequate clinical and preclinical studies are important to enhance ICI outcomes across age groups.

Quality management of cutaneous melanoma: impact on short-term outcomes and costs.

Promoting standardization and quality assurance (QA) may guarantee better outcomes for patients and ensure a better allocation of healthcare system resources. The present study tested the association between process quality indicators of the clinical pathway for melanoma and both patient short-term mortality and budget utilization. Specific indicators were selected to assess quality of processes in different phases of the pathway as well as the pathway as a whole. Cox regression models were run for each phase to test the association between adherence to the quality indicator and overall mortality. A Tobit regression analysis was used to identify any association between adherence to the quality indicators and total costs over the two years after melanoma was diagnosed. This retrospective cohort study concerned 1,222 incident cases of melanoma in the Veneto Region (north-east of Italy). Adherence to the clinical pathway as a whole was associated with a significant decrease in risk of death (HR= 0.40; 95% CI: 0,19 -0,77). Adherence to quality processes in the diagnostic phase (HR= 0.55 95% CI: 0.31- 0.95) and surgical phase (HR= 0.33 95% CI: 0.16- 0.61) significantly reduced the hazard risk. Tobit regression revealed a significant increase in overall costs for patients who adhered to the whole pathway in comparison with those who did not (ß= 2,393.24; p= 0.013). This study suggests that adherence to the quality of management of clinical pathways modifies short-term survival as well as mean cost of care for patients with cutaneous melanoma. Physicians should be encouraged to improve their compliance with clinical care pathways for their melanoma patients, and steadily growing associated costs emphasize the need for policy makers to invest exclusively in treatments of proven efficacy.

Global, regional and national incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life-years of skin cancers and trend analysis from 1990 to 2019: An analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

BACKGROUND: Information about global and local epidemiology and trends of skin cancers is limited, which increases the difficulty of cutaneous cancer control. METHODS: To estimate the global spatial patterns and temporal trends of skin cancer burden. Based on the GBD 2019, we collected and analyzed numbers and age-standardized rates (ASR) of skin cancer incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and mortality (ASIR, ASDR, and ASMR) in 204 countries from 1990 through 2019 were estimated by age, sex, subtype (malignant skin melanoma [MSM], squamous-cell carcinoma [SCC], and basal-cell carcinoma [BCC]), Socio-demographic Index (SDI), region, and country. Temporal trends in ASR were also analyzed using estimated annual percentage change. RESULTS: Globally, in 2019, there were 4.0 million BCC, 2.4 million SCC, and 0.3 million MSM. There were approximately 62.8 thousand deaths and 1.7 million DALYs due to MSM, and 56.1 thousand deaths and 1.2 million DALYs were attributed to SCC, respectively. The men had higher ASR of skin cancer burden than women. The age-specific rates of global skin cancer burden were higher in the older adults, increasing trends observed from 55 years old. Geographically, the numbers and ASR of skin cancers varied greatly across countries, with the largest burden of ASIR in high SDI regions. However, an unexpected increase was observed in some regions from 1990 to 2019, such as East Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa. Although there was a slight decrease of the ASMR and ASDR, the global ASIR of MSM dramatically increased, 1990-2019. Also, there was a remarkable increase in ASR of BCC and SCC burden. CONCLUSIONS: Skin cancer remains a major global public health threat. Reducing morbidity and mortality strategies such as primary and secondary prevention should be reconsidered, especially in the most prevalent and unexpected increased regions, especially for those areas with the greatest proportions of their population over age 55.

Epidemiology of Melanoma.

Please add expansion for AL. Melanoma is the most common fatal type of skin cancer and is an important and growing public health problem in the United States, Australia, New Zealand, and Europe. The mortality rate in most of the world has been rising as well, albeit slower than that for incidence. Likely due to the availability of new treatments for stage 4 melanoma, mortality rates in the United States dropped 18% from 2013 to 2016. We further describe trends in melanoma incidence and mortality, review the literature on risk factors, and provide an up-to-date assessment of population-wide screening and some of the inherent concerns.

Automated digital TIL analysis (ADTA) adds prognostic value to standard assessment of depth and ulceration in primary melanoma.

Accurate prognostic biomarkers in early-stage melanoma are urgently needed to stratify patients for clinical trials of adjuvant therapy. We applied a previously developed open source deep learning algorithm to detect tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) images of early-stage melanomas. We tested whether automated digital (TIL) analysis (ADTA) improved accuracy of prediction of disease specific survival (DSS) based on current pathology standards. ADTA was applied to a training cohort (n = 80) and a cutoff value was defined based on a Receiver Operating Curve. ADTA was then applied to a validation cohort (n = 145) and the previously determined cutoff value was used to stratify high and low risk patients, as demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier analysis (p ≤ 0.001). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed using ADTA, depth, and ulceration as co-variables and showed that ADTA contributed to DSS prediction (HR: 4.18, CI 1.51-11.58, p = 0.006). ADTA provides an effective and attainable assessment of TILs and should be further evaluated in larger studies for inclusion in staging algorithms.

An Examination of the Role of Socioeconomic Status in the Relationship between Depression and Prostate Cancer Survivorship in a Population-Based Sample of Men from Atlantic Canada.

OBJECTIVE: Prostate and skin cancer are among the most prevalent forms of cancer among men and have favorable survival rates compared to other, more aggressive forms of cancers. Recent studies have shown that the odds of depression among men with a lifetime history of prostate cancer are higher compared to men without a lifetime history of prostate cancer. Here we extend previous findings and examine the role of socioeconomic status in the relationship between depression and cancer survivorship status in a population-based sample of men from Atlantic Canada. METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on a subsample of 6,585 male participants aged 49-69 years from the 2009-2015 survey cycle of the Atlantic PATH study. The primary outcome was screening positive for mild, moderate or severe depression using the Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9). The main predictor variable was cancer survivorship status (the presence of a lifetime history of prostate cancer, skin cancer, forms of cancer other than prostate or skin cancer, or absence of a lifetime cancer diagnosis). Covariates included age, education, marital status, household income, province, ethnicity, comorbidity, and survivorship time. RESULTS: An estimated 14.7% of men in this sample screened positive for mild, moderate or severe depression. Men with a history of prostate cancer were 2.60 (95% CI: 1.02, 6.65) times more likely to screen positive for depression than men with a history of any other form of cancer. The odds ratios were 10.23 (95% CI: 2.82, 37.49) or 4.00 (95% CI: 1.20, 13.34) times higher for survivors of prostate or skin cancer who reported a low household income to screen positive for depression compared to men with a history of any other form of cancer and high household income. CONCLUSIONS: These results extend current evidence of the association between prostate cancer survivorship and depression compared with men who never had a history of cancer diagnosis by indicating that this association still stands when the survivors of prostate cancer are compared to survivors of any other form of cancer, and further indicates that this association is moderated by household income. The findings highlight the importance of delivering mental health screening and support to prostate cancer survivors during the cancer journey, especially those with low household incomes.

The impact of demographics, socioeconomics, and health care access on melanoma outcomes.

Disparities in melanoma care exist in the United States. Disparities in provider type, patient demographics, place of residence, insurance status, socioeconomic status, race/ethnicity, and age impact melanoma outcomes. Melanomas detected by dermatologists are thinner, at an earlier stage, and have better survival outcomes compared with detection by primary care providers or patients. Lower socioeconomic status, race/ethnicity, and place of residence are associated with decreased access to or use of dermatologists, or both, and more advanced melanomas at diagnosis. Additionally, uninsured and publicly insured individuals are more likely to present with late-stage melanomas, resulting in worse outcomes. This review provides a comprehensive overview of how structural and patient-level characteristics influence melanoma outcomes in order to inform clinical care and health care policy as it relates to addressing gaps in melanoma care.

The ongoing racial disparities in melanoma: An analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (1975-2016).

BACKGROUND: Although most patients with cutaneous melanoma are non-Hispanic whites (NHWs), minorities consistently suffer worse melanoma-specific survival (MSS). Much of the literature comes from analyses of registries from the 1990s and 2000s. OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate whether and to what degree racial disparity in MSS persists since 2010. METHODS: We analyzed 381,035 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry. Race categories included Hispanic, NHW, non-Hispanic black (NHB), non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (NHAPI), and non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native (NHAIAN). We evaluated the association between MSS and race in 3 time periods: before the year 2000, 2000 to 2009, and 2010 or later. NHW was the reference group for all analyses. RESULTS: Racial disparity worsened from before the year 2000 to 2010 or later for Hispanic (P < .001), NHB (P = .024), and NHAPI (P < .001) patients. Across all minority groups, patients with localized disease suffered increasing disparity (P = .010 for Hispanic, P < .001 for NHB, P = .023 for NHAPI, and P = .042 for NHAIAN patients). Among those with regional and distant disease, Hispanic patients were the only minority to experience worsening disparity (P = .001 and P = .019, respectively). LIMITATIONS: Lack of immunotherapy and targeted treatment information. CONCLUSIONS: Racial disparity in MSS is worsening. Improving postdiagnosis management for minorities with localized disease is imperative to mitigate disparity and improve survival.

Analysis of Characteristics and Survival of Primary Cutaneous Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma of the Head and Neck.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Primary cutaneous adenoid cystic carcinoma (PCACC) is a rare skin tumor. The head and neck (H&N) is the most common anatomical location. Due to limited published cases, its clinical course and management are not well understood. METHODS: The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried for all cases of H&N PCACC diagnosed from 2004 to 2016. Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine clinicopathological and treatment factors associated with survival outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 201 cases were analyzed. The average age of diagnosis was 57.7 years (± SD 15.8). There was a female predilection (57.7%; P < .05) with the most common primary site being the ear (58.2%). The average tumor size was 15.9 mm in diameter. The most common treatment was surgery alone (51.7%) with wide local excision being the common surgery performed (36.3%). 5-year and 10-year OS were 87.0% and 76.0%, respectively. A total of 65.8% of cases were localized (Stage I and II). KM analysis indicated that gender, age, insurance status, Charlson-Deyo Comobordity Score, and stage were significant predictors of OS (P < .05). Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that patients with both private (HR 0.11, 95%CI [0.019-0.670]; P = .02) and government (HR 0.12, 95%CI [0.019-0.972]; P = .03) health insurance had a significantly decreased hazard of death than patients who were uninsured. Increasing age was associated with an increased hazard of death (HR 1.06, 95%CI [1.016-1.110]; P = .01). CONCLUSION: This study represents the largest cohort of H&N PCACC studied to date and provides important clinicopathologic information for this rare tumor. Additionally, our results emphasize the importance of health insurance as an independent predictor of survival in PCACC.

Cost-Benefit Implication of Gene Expression Profiling and Adjuvant Therapy in Stage IIIA Melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Indiscriminate use of adjuvant therapy in stage IIIA melanoma is controversial. We sought to model the clinical impact and cost of implementing a gene expression profile (GEP) test to guide adjuvant therapy. STUDY DESIGN: A Markov decision-analysis model was created to represent resected stage IIIA melanoma with 3 treatment options: observation (OBS), adjuvant pembrolizumab for all patients (ALL), and selective adjuvant therapy (SEL). In the SEL option, only high-risk patients based on GEP stratification were treated with pembrolizumab. Cost of adjuvant therapy was normalized to reflect Medicare reimbursement schedules. The primary outcome was cost per mortality avoided at 10 years. RESULTS: Model projections for 10-year overall survival were 68% for OBS, 73% for SEL, and 76% for ALL. The estimated incremental cost-per-mortality-avoided (compared to OBS) was $2.1 million for SEL and $2.4 million for ALL. These translate to costs of $583.0K and $697.1K per life-year for the SEL and ALL strategies, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Routine adjuvant pembrolizumab for stage IIIA melanoma is costly, and risk-stratification by GEP only marginally improves the value of therapy.