Trends in gastric cancer incidence and mortality in Asia and association analysis with human development index, 1990-2019.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the epidemiological time trends and gender, age and regional differences of gastric cancer in Asia during 1990-2019, and to analyze the association between the human development index (HDI) and the statistical indicators of the burden of disease. METHODS: Describing trends in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) in Asia from 1990 to 2019 based on GBD-reported population-based surveillance of gastric cancer in Asia. Obtained ASIR, ASMR, and mortality to incidence ratios (MIR) for gastric cancer in different countries in 2019, with association analysis by Kruskal-Wallis nonparametric test. RESULTS: The annual percentage change in ASIR and ASMR in Asia from 1990 to 2019 was - 1.20% and - 1.91%. Male gastric cancer patients have higher ASIR and ASMR than female gastric cancer patients. Decreasing trends in ASIR and ASMR for the total population in five Asian regions. From 1990 to 2019, the average annual change in ASMR was - 2.45%, - 1.43%, - 0.53%, - 0.62%, and - 0.27% for Central Asia, East Asia, high-income Asia-Pacific, South Asia, and Southeast Asia, respectively (p < 0.05). Both incidence and mortality were concentrated in the age groups of 85-89 and 89-94 years. Classifying Asian countries into different levels of HDI, only MIR was associated with HDI levels. CONCLUSION: ASIR and ASMR of gastric cancer in the total population, different regions, and countries in Asia from 1990 to 2019 showed an overall decreasing trend. The MIR index is suggestive of survival rates and the role of cancer care in individual countries. Asian countries should develop different strategies for gastric cancer screening and prevention according to high-risk age, high-risk gender and HDI.

Hospital volume, postoperative mortality, and costs after gastrectomy for gastric cancer in colombia: is there any association? / Volume hospitalar, mortalidade pós-operatória e custos após gastrectomia por câncer gástrico na colômbia: existe associação?

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: There are no information in the literature associating the volume of gastrectomies with survival and costs for the health system in the treatment of patients with gastric cancer in Colombia. AIMS: The aim of this study was to analyze how gastrectomy for gastric cancer is associated with hospital volume, 30-day and 180-day postoperative mortality, and healthcare costs in Bogotá, Colombia. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study based on hospital data of all adult patients with gastric cancer who underwent gastrectomy between 2014 and 2016 using a paired propensity score. The surgical volume was identified as the average annual number of gastrectomies performed by the hospital. RESULTS: A total of 743 patients were included in the study. Hospital mortality at 30 and 180 days postoperatively was 36 (4.85%) and 127 (17.09%) patients, respectively. The average health care cost was USD 3,200. A total of 26 or more surgeries were determined to be the high surgical volume cutoff. Patients operated on in hospitals with a high surgical volume had lower 6-month mortality (HR 0.44; 95%CI 0.27-0.71; p=0.001), and no differences were found in health costs (mean difference 398.38; 95%CI-418.93-1,215.69; p=0.339). CONCLUSIONS: This study concluded that in Bogotá (Colombia), surgery in a high-volume hospital is associated with better 6-month survival and no additional costs to the health system.

RESUMO RACIONAL: Não há informações na literatura relacionando o volume de gastrectomias bem como a sobrevida e os custos para o sistema de saúde, no tratamento de pacientes com câncer gástrico na Colômbia. OBJETIVOS: analisar como a gastrectomia para câncer gástrico está associada ao volume hospitalar, mortalidade pós-operatória de 30 e 180 dias e custos de saúde em Bogotá, Colômbia. MÉTODOS: Estudo de coorte retrospectivo baseado em dados hospitalares de todos os pacientes adultos com câncer gástrico submetidos à gastrectomia entre 2014 e 2016, utilizando um escore de propensão pareado. O volume cirúrgico foi identificado como o número médio anual de gastrectomias realizadas pelo hospital. RESULTADOS: Foram incluídos no estudo 743 pacientes. A mortalidade hospitalar aos 30 e 180 dias de pós-operatório, foram respectivamente, 36 (4,85%) e 127 (17,09%) pacientes. O custo médio de saúde foi de US$ 3.200. Vinte e seis ou mais cirurgias foram determinadas como ponto de corte de alto volume cirúrgico. Pacientes operados em hospitais de alto volume cirúrgico tiveram menor mortalidade em seis meses (HR 0,44; IC95% 0,27-0,71; p=0,001) e não foram encontradas diferenças nos custos com saúde (diferença média 398,38; IC95% −418,93-1215,69; p=0,339). CONCLUSÕES: Este estudo concluiu que em Bogotá (Colômbia), a cirurgia em um hospital com alto volume cirúrgico está associada a uma melhor sobrevida de seis meses e não há custos adicionais para o sistema de saúde.

Assessment of the use of computed tomography colonography in early detection of peritoneal metastasis in patients with gastric cancer: A prospective cohort study.

Peritoneal metastasis (PM) is one of the most frequent forms of gastric cancer recurrence. In this study, we aimed to use computed tomography (CT) colonography (CTC) to detect signs of PM earlier in patients in whom PM was suspected but not yet diagnosed. CTC was used to evaluate patients with clinical symptoms or general CT findings that were suspicious but not sufficient to confirm PM. In total, 18 patients with suspected PM were enrolled. Ten patients (55.6%) had PM on CTC. Abnormal colonic deformities were identified at locations other than those of the lesions detected by general CT in seven patients. The sensitivity and specificity of CTC for the detection of PM were 83.3% and 100%, respectively. The median overall survival after CTC was 201 days in the CTC-positive group, which was significantly shorter than that in the CTC-negative group (945 days, p = 0.01). In the multivariate analysis, a positive CTC finding was the only factor independently associated with survival (p = 0.005). According to our experience with 18 patients, CTC can be an alternative to conventional imaging for early detection of PM. Further prospective studies with larger sample sizes are warranted to confirm and validate these findings. University hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry (UMIN-CTR): Registration number: UMIN000044167.

Development and Verification of an Immune-Based Gene Signature for Risk Stratification and Immunotherapeutic Efficacy Assessment in Gastric Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Due to the molecular heterogeneity of gastric cancer, only minor patients respond to immunotherapeutic schemes. This study is aimed at developing an immune-based gene signature for risk stratification and immunotherapeutic efficacy assessment in gastric cancer. METHODS: An immune-based gene signature was developed in gastric cancer by LASSO method in the training set. The predictive performance was validated in the external datasets. KEGG pathways related to risk scores were assessed by GSEA. Based on multivariate Cox regression analysis, a nomogram was established. Sensitivity to chemotherapy drugs was evaluated between high- and low-risk samples. The relationships of risk scores with infiltration levels of immune cells, stromal scores, immune scores, immune cell subgroups, and overall response to anti-PD-L1 therapy were determined. RESULTS: Our results showed that high risk scores were indicative of undesirable survival outcomes both in the training set (p < 0.0001) and the validation set (p = 0.002). Moreover, this signature could independently predict patients' survival (HR: 2.656 (1.919-3.676) and p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis confirmed the sensitivity of this signature in predicting prognosis (all p < 0.05). Cancer-related pathways were primarily enriched in high-risk samples, such as MAPK and TGF-ß pathways (p < 0.05). By incorporating stage and the risk score, we established a nomogram for predicting one-, three-, and five-year survival probability. Patients with high-risk scores were more sensitive to chemotherapy drugs (p < 0.05). There was heterogeneity in immune cells between high- and low-risk samples (p < 0.05). Samples with progressive disease exhibited the highest risk score, and those with complete response had the lowest risk score (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: This immune-based gene signature might be representative of a promising prognostic classifier for predicting risk stratification and immunotherapeutic efficacy in gastric cancer, assisting personalized therapy and follow-up plan.

Global Burden and Trends in Incidence, Mortality, and Disability of Stomach Cancer From 1990 to 2017.

INTRODUCTION: Stomach cancer is a serious global public health problem. The current burden of stomach cancer and its trends across time and location need to be understood to develop effective preventive strategies. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study. The burden of stomach cancer and variations in time and geographical regions were assessed according to the age-standardized rate and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of the incidence and mortality rate between 1991 and 2017. We also investigated the associations between the relevant rates and sociodemographic index (SDI). RESULTS: Overall, the age-standardized incidence rate (EAPC = -1.36, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -1.47 to -1.25), age-standardized mortality rate (EAPC = -2.2, 95% CI: -2.29 to -2.12), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (EAPC = -2.52, 95% CI: -2.63 to -2.43) decreased worldwide from 1990 to 2017. This trend varied across different countries and regions and according to sex and age. SDI had a significant negative correlation with the age-standardized mortality rate (P < 0.01, r = -0.28) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (P < 0.01, r = -0.31). Similar negative correlations were observed between SDI and the EAPC. DISCUSSION: The observed correlation between SDI and disease burden suggests that strategically implementing the screening and eradication of Helicobacter pylori, improving the medical level in countries with low SDI, and promoting the implementation of tobacco cessation policies would help reduce the disease burden of stomach cancer.

Assessment of indocyanine green tracer-guided lymphadenectomy in laparoscopic gastrectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced gastric cancer: results from a multicenter analysis based on propensity matching.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the safety, effectiveness, and feasibility of indocyanine green (ICG) tracing in guiding lymph-node (LN) dissection during laparoscopic D2 radical gastrectomy in patients with advanced gastric cancer (AGC) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). METHOD: We retrospectively analyzed data on 313 patients with clinical stage of cT1-4N0-3M0 who underwent laparoscopic radical gastrectomy after NAC between February 2010 and October 2020 from two hospitals in China. Grouped according to whether ICG was injected. For the ICG group (n = 102) and non-ICG group (n = 211), 1:1 propensity matching analysis was used. RESULTS: After matching, there was no significant difference in the general clinical pathological data between the two groups (ICG vs. non-ICG: 94 vs. 94). The average number of total LN dissections was significantly higher in the ICG group and lower LN non-compliance rate than in the non-ICG group. Subgroup analysis showed that among patients with LN and tumor did not shrink after NAC, the number of LN dissections was significantly more and LN non-compliance rate was lower in the ICG group than in the non-ICG group. Intraoperative blood loss was significantly lesser in the ICG group than in the non-ICG group, while the recovery and complications of the two groups were similar. CONCLUSION: For patients with poor NAC outcomes, ICG tracing can increase the number of LN dissections during laparoscopic radical gastrectomy, reduce the rate of LN non-compliance, and reduce intraoperative bleeding. Patients with AGC should routinely undergo ICG-guided laparoscopic radical gastrectomy.

Assessment of the Diagnostic Efficiency of a Liquid Biopsy Assay for Early Detection of Gastric Cancer.

Importance: Noninvasive detection of early-stage disease is a key strategy for reducing gastric cancer (GC)-associated patient mortality. Objective: To establish a novel, noninvasive, microRNA (miRNA)-based signature for the early detection of GC using a comprehensive biomarker discovery approach with retrospective and prospective validation. Design, Setting, and Participants: This diagnostic study was conducted in 4 phases using publicly available genome sequences and tissue samples from patients at an academic medical center in Japan, and validated with retrospective multicenter cohorts of patients with GC. Three tissue miRNA data sets were used to identify a miRNA signature that discriminated GC vs normal tissues. The robustness of this signature was assessed in serum from 2 retrospective cohorts of patients with GC. A risk-scoring model was derived, then the performance of the miRNA signature was evaluated in a prospective cohort of patients with GC. The robustness of the miRNA signature was compared with current blood-based markers, and a cost-effectiveness analysis of the miRNA signature against the current practice of endoscopy was performed. All clinical samples used for this study were collected and data analyzed between April 1997 and March 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: Assessment of diagnostic efficiency on the basis of area under the curve (AUC), specificity, and sensitivity. Results: The data sets for the genome-wide expression profiling analysis stage included 598 total patient samples (284 [55.4%] from men; mean [SE] patient age, 65.7 [0.5] years). The resulting 10-miRNA signature was validated in 2 retrospective GC serum cohorts (586 patients; 348 [59.4%] men, mean [SE] age, 66.0 [0.7] years), which led to the establishment of a 5-miRNA signature (AUC, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.85-0.94) that also exhibited high levels of diagnostic performance in patients with stage I disease (AUC, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.83-0.94). A risk-scoring model was derived and the assay was optimized to a minimal number of miRNAs. The performance of the resulting 3-miRNA signature was then validated in a prospective cohort of patients with GC (349 patients; 124 [70.5%] men, median [range] age, 66.0 [0.66] years). The final 3-miRNA signature (miR-18a, miR-181b, and miR-335) exhibited high diagnostic accuracy in all stages of patients (AUC, 0.86; 95% CI 0.83-0.90), including in patients with stage I disease (AUC, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.91). Furthermore, this miRNA signature was superior to currently used blood markers and outperformed the endoscopic screening in a cost-effectiveness analysis (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, CNY ¥16162.5 per quality-adjusted life-year [USD $2304.80 per quality-adjusted life-year]). Conclusions and Relevance: These results suggest the potential clinical significance of the 3-miRNA signature as a noninvasive, cost-effective, and facile assay for the early detection of GC.

Clinical assessment of tumor regression grade systems in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma following neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The standard treatment for gastroesophageal cancer is neoadjuvant chemotherapy, followed by surgery, which has been shown to increase survival compared with surgery alone. Evidence is mounting that characterization of the oncologically induced tumor regression is of prognostic importance. However, no consensus regarding the optimal system for describing tumor regression exists. Thus, this study aims to explore three validated/promising tumor regression systems with a focus on their interobserver reliability and usability. METHODS: We included 100 consecutive patients with gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma who had undergone neoadjuvant oncological treatment followed by surgery. The tumors underwent tumor regression grade (TRG) assessment according to the Standard Mandard-, Modified Mandard-, and Becker systems to assess the interobserver reliability between two consultant pathologists. The interobserver reliability was determined by both Fleiss kappa and weighted kappa metrics. Besides, a semi-quantitative usability questionary was completed and it was expanded with usability comments. RESULTS: The Fleiss kappa interobserver agreement was 0.67 [95% CI, 0.55-0.79], 0.88 [95% CI, 0.73-1.00], and 0.88 [95% CI, 0.73-1.00] for Standard Mandard-, Modified Mandard-, and the Becker systems, respectively. The weighted kappa (linear) was 0.80 [95% CI, 0.72-0.89], 0.91 [95% CI, 0.84-0.98], and 0.91 [95% CI, 0.84-0.98] for the Standard Mandard-, Modified Mandard-, and the Becker systems, respectively. The usability was scored on a scale of 8-24 by both raters. The systems were scored accordingly: 47 (Modified Mandard system), 43 (Becker system), and 37 (Standard Mandard system). CONCLUSION: The Modified Mandard- and Becker systems had excellent interobserver reliability and usability. However, the systems could be improved by a better characterization of the different tiers and tumor morphology.

Prognostic value of patient-reported quality of life for survival in oesophagogastric cancer: analysis from the population-based POCOP study.

BACKGROUND: Accumulating evidence of trials demonstrates that patient-reported health-related quality of life (HRQoL) at diagnosis is prognostic for overall survival (OS) in oesophagogastric cancer. However, real-world data are lacking. Moreover, differences in disease stages and tumour-specific symptoms are usually not taken into consideration. The aim of this population-based study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQoL, including tumour-specific scales, on OS in patients with potentially curable and advanced oesophagogastric cancer. METHODS: Data were derived from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and the patient reported outcome registry (POCOP). Patients included in POCOP between 2016 and 2018 were stratified for potentially curable (cT1-4aNallM0) or advanced (cT4b or cM1) disease. HRQoL was measured with the EORTC QLQ-C30 and the tumour-specific OG25 module. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the impact of HRQoL, sociodemographic and clinical factors (including treatment) on OS. RESULTS: In total, 924 patients were included. Median OS was 38.9 months in potentially curable patients (n = 795) and 10.6 months in patients with advanced disease (n = 129). Global Health Status was independently associated with OS in potentially curable patients (HR 0.89, 99%CI 0.82-0.97), together with several other HRQoL items: appetite loss, dysphagia, eating restrictions, odynophagia, and body image. In advanced disease, the Summary Score was the strongest independent prognostic factor (HR 0.75, 99%CI 0.59-0.94), followed by fatigue, pain, insomnia and role functioning. CONCLUSION: In a real-world setting, HRQoL was prognostic for OS in patients with potentially curable and advanced oesophagogastric cancer. Several HRQoL domains, including the Summary Score and several OG25 items, could be used to develop or update prognostic models.

Inferences for Weibull Fréchet Distribution Using a Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Methods on Gastric Cancer Survival Times.

In this article, based on progressively type-II censored schemes, the maximum likelihood, Bayes, and two parametric bootstrap methods are used for estimating the unknown parameters of the Weibull Fréchet distribution and some lifetime indices as reliability and hazard rate functions. Moreover, approximate confidence intervals and asymptotic variance-covariance matrix have been obtained. Markov chain Monte Carlo technique based on Gibbs sampler within Metropolis-Hasting algorithm is used to generate samples from the posterior density functions. Furthermore, Bayesian estimate is computed under both balanced square error loss and balanced linear exponential loss functions. Simulation results have been implemented to obtain the accuracy of the estimators. Finally, application on the survival times in years of a group of patients given chemotherapy and radiation treatment is presented for illustrating all the inferential procedures developed here.

The impact of expanding health insurance coverage for anti-cancer drugs on cancer survival in Korea.

BACKGROUND: To reduce out-of-pocket costs, the Korean government expanded health insurance reimbursement in anti-cancer drugs for cancer patients in 2013. Our objective was to examine the impact of the benefit coverage expansion policy on healthcare utilization and overall survival (OS) among patients with six types of solid cancer after the policy of expanding health insurance coverage. METHODS: This study analyzed a before-and-after retrospective cohort of patients newly diagnosed with six types of solid cancer (stomach cancer, colorectal cancer, lung cancer, liver cancer, breast cancer, and prostate cancer) from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2015 in Korea. The intervention was the expansion of reimbursement in 2013. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the policy effect. RESULTS: In total, 142,579 before and 147,760 patients after the benefit expansion, and after matched by age, gender, and stage, 132,440 before and 132,440 patients after policy were included in the analysis. Almost total medical expenditure increased for five types of cancer increased. The expansion of health insurance reimbursement was associated with significantly lower overall mortality compared with pre-policy mortality for all six cancer sites. CONCLUSION: The policy of expanding health insurance reimbursement might have been associated with a significant increase in survival among cancer patients by ensuring access to health care and medicine. Although the reimbursement expansion timing differs for each cancer, it is believed that eliminating delayed treatment might rather lead to reduce medical expenses and improve health outcomes.

Assessment of copy number in protooncogenes are predictive of poor survival in advanced gastric cancer.

The copy number (CN) gain of protooncogenes is a frequent finding in gastric carcinoma (GC), but its prognostic implication remains elusive. The study aimed to characterize the clinicopathological features, including prognosis, of GCs with copy number gains in multiple protooncogenes. Three hundred thirty-three patients with advanced GC were analyzed for their gene ratios in EGFR, GATA6, IGF2, and SETDB1 using droplet dPCR (ddPCR) for an accurate assessment of CN changes in target genes. The number of GC patients with 3 or more genes with CN gain was 16 (4.8%). Compared with the GCs with 2 or less genes with CN gain, the GCs with 3 or more CN gains displayed more frequent venous invasion, a lower density of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, and lower methylation levels of L1 or SAT-alpha. Microsatellite instability-high tumors or Epstein-Barr virus-positive tumors were not found in the GCs with 3 or more genes with CN gain. Patients of this groups also showed the worst clinical outcomes for both overall survival and recurrence-free survival, which was persistent in the multivariate survival analyses. Our findings suggest that the ddPCR-based detection of multiple CN gain of protooncogenes might help to identify a subset of patients with poor prognosis.

Initiation of Somatostatin analogues for neuroendocrine tumor patients: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) are heterogeneous neoplasms. Although some have a relatively benign and indolent natural history, others can be aggressive and ultimately fatal. Somatostatin analogues (SSAs) improve both quality of life and survival for these patients once they develop metastatic disease. However, these drugs are costly and their cost-effectiveness is not known. METHODS: A decision-analytic model was developed and analyzed to compare two treatment strategies for patients with Stage IV GEP-NETs. The first strategy had all patients start SSA immediately while the second strategy waited, reserving SSA initiation until the patient showed signs of progression. Sensitivity analysis was performed to explore model parameter uncertainty. RESULTS: Our model of patients age 60 with metastatic GEP-NETs suggests empiric initiation of SSA led to an increase 0.62 unadjusted life-years and incremental increase in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.44. The incremental costs were $388,966 per QALY and not cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000. Death was attributed to GEP-NETs for 94.1% of patients in the SSA arm vs. 94.9% of patients in the DELAY SSA arm. Sensitivity analysis found that the model was most sensitive to costs of SSAs. Using probabilistic sensitivity analysis, the SSA strategy was only cost-effective 1.4% of the time at a WTP threshold of $100,000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: Our modeling study finds it is not cost-effective to initiate SSAs at time of presentation for patients with metastatic GEP-NETs. Further clinical studies are needed to identify the optimal timing to initiate these drugs.

Outcomes of Complex Gastrointestinal Cancer Resection at US News & World Report Top-Ranked vs Non-Ranked Hospitals.

BACKGROUND: The US News & World Report (USNWR) annual ranking of the best hospitals for gastroenterology and gastrointestinal surgery offers direction to patients and healthcare providers, especially for recommendations on complex medical and surgical gastrointestinal (GI) conditions. The objective of this study was to examine the outcomes of complex GI cancer resections performed at USNWR top-ranked, compared to non-ranked, hospitals. STUDY DESIGN: Using the Vizient database, data for patients who underwent esophagectomy, gastrectomy, and pancreatectomy for malignancy between January and December 2018 were reviewed. Perioperative outcomes were analyzed according to USNWR rank status. Primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes include length of stay, mortality index (observed-to-expected mortality ratio), rate of serious complication, and cost. Secondary analysis was performed for outcomes of patients who developed serious complications. RESULTS: There were 3,054 complex GI cancer resections performed at 42 top-ranked hospitals vs 3,608 resections performed at 198 non-ranked hospitals. The mean annual case volume was 73 cases at top-ranked hospitals compared to 18 cases at non-ranked hospitals. Compared with non-ranked hospitals, top-ranked hospitals had lower in-hospital mortality (0.96% vs 2.26%, respectively, p < 0.001) and lower mortality index (0.71 vs 1.53, respectively). There were no significant differences in length of stay, rate of serious complications, or direct cost between groups. In patients who developed serious morbidity, top-ranked hospitals had a lower mortality compared with non-ranked hospitals (8.2% vs 16.8%, respectively, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Within the context of complex GI cancer resection, USNWR top-ranked hospitals performed a 4-fold higher case volume and were associated with improved outcomes. Patients with complex GI-related malignancies may benefit from seeking surgical care at high-volume regional USNWR top-ranked hospitals.

Global variation in postoperative mortality and complications after cancer surgery: a multicentre, prospective cohort study in 82 countries.

BACKGROUND: 80% of individuals with cancer will require a surgical procedure, yet little comparative data exist on early outcomes in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared postoperative outcomes in breast, colorectal, and gastric cancer surgery in hospitals worldwide, focusing on the effect of disease stage and complications on postoperative mortality. METHODS: This was a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of consecutive adult patients undergoing surgery for primary breast, colorectal, or gastric cancer requiring a skin incision done under general or neuraxial anaesthesia. The primary outcome was death or major complication within 30 days of surgery. Multilevel logistic regression determined relationships within three-level nested models of patients within hospitals and countries. Hospital-level infrastructure effects were explored with three-way mediation analyses. This study was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03471494. FINDINGS: Between April 1, 2018, and Jan 31, 2019, we enrolled 15 958 patients from 428 hospitals in 82 countries (high income 9106 patients, 31 countries; upper-middle income 2721 patients, 23 countries; or lower-middle income 4131 patients, 28 countries). Patients in LMICs presented with more advanced disease compared with patients in high-income countries. 30-day mortality was higher for gastric cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (adjusted odds ratio 3·72, 95% CI 1·70-8·16) and for colorectal cancer in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (4·59, 2·39-8·80) and upper-middle-income countries (2·06, 1·11-3·83). No difference in 30-day mortality was seen in breast cancer. The proportion of patients who died after a major complication was greatest in low-income or lower-middle-income countries (6·15, 3·26-11·59) and upper-middle-income countries (3·89, 2·08-7·29). Postoperative death after complications was partly explained by patient factors (60%) and partly by hospital or country (40%). The absence of consistently available postoperative care facilities was associated with seven to 10 more deaths per 100 major complications in LMICs. Cancer stage alone explained little of the early variation in mortality or postoperative complications. INTERPRETATION: Higher levels of mortality after cancer surgery in LMICs was not fully explained by later presentation of disease. The capacity to rescue patients from surgical complications is a tangible opportunity for meaningful intervention. Early death after cancer surgery might be reduced by policies focusing on strengthening perioperative care systems to detect and intervene in common complications. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research Global Health Research Unit.

Determinant Factors on Differences in Survival for Gastric Cancer Between the United States and Japan Using Nationwide Databases.

BACKGROUND: Although the incidence and mortality have decreased, gastric cancer (GC) is still a public health issue globally. An international study reported higher survival in Korea and Japan than other countries, including the United States. We examined the determinant factors of the high survival in Japan compared with the United States. METHODS: We analysed data on 78,648 cases from the nationwide GC registration project, the Japanese Gastric Cancer Association (JGCA), from 2004-2007 and compared them with 16,722 cases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER), a United States population-based cancer registry data from 2004-2010. We estimated 5-year relative survival and applied a multivariate excess hazard model to compare the two countries, considering the effect of number of lymph nodes (LNs) examined. RESULTS: Five-year relative survival in Japan was 81.0%, compared with 45.0% in the United States. After controlling for confounding factors, we still observed significantly higher survival in Japan. Among N2 patients, a higher number of LNs examined showed better survival in both countries. Among N3 patients, the relationship between number of LNs examined and differences in survival between the two countries disappeared. CONCLUSION: Although the wide differences in GC survival between Japan and United States can be largely explained by differences in the stage at diagnosis, the number of LNs examined may also help to explain the gaps between two countries, which is related to stage migration.

The assessment of the optimal number of examined lymph nodes and prognostic models based on lymph nodes for predicting survival outcome in patients with stage N3b gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND: The optimal number of examined lymph nodes (ELNs) and the prognostic value of different nodal staging systems remain unclear in the context of N3b gastric cancer. AIM: To evaluate the optimal number of ELNs and compare the predictive ability of the ELN number, LN ratio (LNR), and log odds of metastatic LNs (LODDS) for overall survival (OS) in patients with resected stage N3b gastric adenocarcinoma in an international database. METHODS: A total of 868 patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (training cohort) and 144 patients diagnosed between 2011 and 2016 at the Liaoning Cancer Hospital (validation cohort) were identified. Cutoff values were established with X-tile. The 5-year OS rates were compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. Multivariate analysis was conducted with a Cox regression model. The Harrell's concordance index and Akaike's information criterion were used to compare the predictive accuracy of different nodal staging systems. RESULTS: The ELN number, LNR, and LODDS were independent prognostic factors for both the training and validation cohorts in the multivariate analysis. Patient with ≤26 ELNs, LNR of more than 0.9, and LODDS of more than 1.0 were associated with decrease OS. The LNR and LODDS had similar discriminatory ability for OS and performed better than the ELN number in the Eastern and Western populations. CONCLUSION: The optimal number of ELN may be 27 or more because LNs retrieved ≤26 was an independent risk factor for the prognosis. The prognostic prediction efficacy of LNR and LODDS was similar and better than that of ELN. Thus, LNR and LODDS could both serve as valid tools to predict OS for stage N3b patients.

Sarcopenia in Patients With Normal Body Mass Index Is an Independent Predictor for Postoperative Complication and Long-Term Survival in Gastric Cancer.

Malnutrition in patients with gastric cancer (GC) with normal body mass index (BMI) is often ignored. This study aimed to explore the role of sarcopenia in predicting postoperative complication and long-term survival in patients with GC with normal BMI. We included patients with normal BMI (18.5 kg/m2  ≤ BMI < 23 kg/m2 ) who underwent radical gastrectomy between July 2014 and December 2016. Sarcopenia was assessed by muscle mass, handgrip strength, and gait speed. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to analyze the association between sarcopenia and the prognosis of patients with GC. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify risk factors contributing to postoperative complications and long-term survival. Overall, 267 patients with GC with normal BMI were included in this study; of which 49 (18.35%) patients were diagnosed with sarcopenia. Patients with sarcopenia had higher incidence of a major postoperative complication, longer postoperative hospital stays, and greater hospital costs. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients with sarcopenia had poorer overall survival than non-sarcopenia patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that sarcopenia was an independent predictor for postoperative complication and long-term survival in such patients. Sarcopenia is an independent predictor for postoperative complications and long-term survival in patients with normal BMI after radical gastrectomy for GC. We recommend that patients with normal BMI should perform nutritional risk screening by sarcopenia.

Disparities in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Gastric Cancer in Relation to Disabilities.

INTRODUCTION: We investigated potential disparities in the diagnosis, treatment, and survival of gastric cancer (GC) patients with and without disabilities. METHODS: We linked Korean National Disability Registry data with the Korean National Health Insurance database and Korean Central Cancer Registry data. This study included a total of 16,849 people with disabilities and 58,872 age- and sex-matched control subjects in whom GC had been diagnosed. RESULTS: When compared to GC patients without disabilities, patients with disabilities tended to be diagnosed at a later stage (localized stage 53.7% vs 59.0% or stage unknown 10.7% vs 6.9%), especially those with severe disabilities (P < 0.001). This was more evident in patients with mental impairment (localized stage 41.7% and stage unknown 15.2%). In addition, not receiving treatment was more common in patients with disabilities than those without disabilities (29.3% vs 27.2%, P < 0.001), and this disparity was more evident in those with severe disabilities (35.4%) and in those with communication (36.9%) and mental (32.3%) impairment. Patients with disabilities were at slightly higher risk of overall mortality as well as GC-specific mortality compared to people without disabilities (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.18, 95% confidence interval: 1.14-1.21 and aHR = 1.12, 95% confidence interval: 1.09-1.16, respectively), and these disparities were more pronounced in those with severe disabilities (aHR = 1.62 and 1.51, respectively). DISCUSSION: Patients with disabilities, especially severe disabilities, were diagnosed with GC at a later stage, received less staging evaluation and treatment, and their overall survival rate was slightly worse compared to those without disabilities.