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1.
Psicol. ciênc. prof ; 43: e250675, 2023. tab
Artigo em Português | LILACS, Index Psicologia - Periódicos | ID: biblio-1448938

RESUMO

Em março de 2020 a situação causada pela covid-19 foi elevada à categoria de pandemia, impactando de inúmeras formas a vida em sociedade. O objetivo deste estudo foi compreender os impactos da pandemia na atuação e saúde mental do psicólogo hospitalar, profissional que atua nos espaços de saúde e tem experienciado mais de perto o sofrimento dos doentes e dos profissionais de saúde frente à covid-19. Trata-se de um estudo exploratório-descritivo com 131 psicólogos que atuam em hospitais. Os profissionais foram convidados a participar através de redes sociais e redes de contatos das pesquisadoras, utilizando-se a técnica Bola de Neve. Foram utilizados dois questionários, disponibilizados na plataforma Google Forms, um abordando os impactos da pandemia sentidos pelos profissionais e outro referente ao sofrimento psíquico. Os dados foram analisados a partir de estatísticas descritivas e inferenciais. Foram observados impactos na atuação de quase a totalidade dos participantes, constatada a necessidade de preparação dos profissionais para o novo cenário, a percepção de pouco apoio institucional e quase metade da população estudada referiu-se a sintomas de sofrimento psíquico considerável desde o início da pandemia. É fundamental dar atenção a sinais e sintomas de sofrimento psíquico, procurando evitar o adoecimento de uma categoria profissional que se encontra na linha de frente do combate aos danos psicológicos da pandemia e cuja própria saúde mental é pouco abordada na literatura.(AU)


In March 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic breakout hugely impacted life in society. This study analyzes how the pandemic impacted hospital psychologists' mental health and performance, professional who more closely experienced the suffering of patients and health professionals in this period. An exploratory and descriptive study was conducted with 131 hospital psychologists. Professionals were invited to participate through the researchers' social and contact networks using the Snowball technique. Data were collected by two questionnaires available on the Google Forms platform, one addressing the impacts felt by professionals and the other regarding psychic suffering, and analyzed by descriptive and inferential statistics. Results showed that almost all participants had their performance affected by the need to prepare for the new scenario, the perceived little institutional support. Almost half of the study sample reported considerable psychological distress symptoms since the beginning of the pandemic. Paying attention to signs and symptoms of psychic suffering is fundamental to avoid compromising a professional category that is on the front line of combating the psychological damage caused by the pandemic and whose own mental health is little addressed by the literature.(AU)


En marzo de 2020, la situación provocada por el COVID-19 se caracterizó como pandemia e impactó el mundo de diversas maneras. El objetivo de este estudio fue comprender los impactos de la pandemia en la salud mental y la actuación del psicólogo en los hospitales, uno de los profesionales que trabaja en espacios sanitarios y que ha experimentado más de cerca el sufrimiento de pacientes y profesionales sanitarios frente al COVID-19. Este es un estudio exploratorio descriptivo, realizado con 131 psicólogos que trabajan en hospitales. Los profesionales recibieron la invitación a participar a través de las redes sociales y redes de contactos de las investigadoras, mediante la técnica snowball. Se utilizaron dos cuestionarios disponibles en la plataforma Google Forms: uno sobre los impactos de la pandemia en los profesionales y el otro sobre el sufrimiento psíquico. Los datos se analizaron a partir de estadísticas descriptivas e inferenciales. Se observaron impactos en el trabajo de casi todos los participantes, la necesidad de preparación de los profesionales para este nuevo escenario, la percepción de poco apoyo institucional, y casi la mitad de la población estudiada reportaron sentir síntomas de considerable angustia psicológica desde el inicio de la pandemia. Es esencial prestar atención a los signos y síntomas del sufrimiento psíquico, buscando evitar la enfermedad de una categoría profesional que está a la vanguardia de la lucha contra el daño psicológico de la pandemia y cuya propia salud mental se aborda poco en la literatura.(AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem , Psicologia , Saúde Mental , Infecções por Coronavirus , Pandemias , Ansiedade , Orientação , Médicos , Roupa de Proteção , Respiração , Infecções Respiratórias , Segurança , Atenção , Enquadramento Psicológico , Ajustamento Social , Isolamento Social , Estresse Fisiológico , Estresse Psicológico , Conscientização , Software , Imunoglobulina M , Adaptação Psicológica , Preparações Farmacêuticas , Humor Irritável , Família , Portador Sadio , Fatores Epidemiológicos , Prática de Saúde Pública , Quarentena , Saneamento , Higiene , Saúde Pública , Epidemiologia , Risco , Surtos de Doenças , Coleta de Dados , Taxa de Sobrevida , Mortalidade , Transporte de Pacientes , Triagem , Busca de Comunicante , Saúde Ocupacional , Imunização , Precauções Universais , Controle de Infecções , Programas de Imunização , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa do Profissional para o Paciente , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa do Paciente para o Profissional , Coronavirus , Assistência Integral à Saúde , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa , Consulta Remota , Contenção de Riscos Biológicos , Ventilação Pulmonar , Planos de Emergência , Vulnerabilidade a Desastres , Declaração de Estado de Emergência em Desastres , Morte , Confiança , Poluição do Ar , Etanol , Economia , Emergências , Serviços de Emergência Psiquiátrica , Empatia , Ética Profissional , Capacitação Profissional , Vigilância em Saúde do Trabalhador , Relações Familiares , Terapia Familiar , Resiliência Psicológica , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Medo , Epidemias , Rede Social , Consumo Excessivo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Equipamento de Proteção Individual , Ajustamento Emocional , Despacho de Emergência Médica , Sobrevivência , Separação da Família , Crescimento Psicológico Pós-Traumático , Constrangimento , Tristeza , Teletrabalho , Distanciamento Físico , Teste de Ácido Nucleico para COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Fatores Sociodemográficos , Prevenção do Suicídio , Síndrome de COVID-19 Pós-Aguda , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Sistema Imunitário , Distúrbios do Início e da Manutenção do Sono , Ira , Solidão , Máscaras , Meios de Comunicação de Massa , Negativismo , Enfermeiros , Avaliação em Enfermagem
2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 424, 2021 May 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33952194

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although by late February 2020 the COVID-19 epidemic was effectively controlled in Wuhan, China, estimating the effects of interventions, such as transportation restrictions and quarantine measures, on the early COVID-19 transmission dynamics in Wuhan is critical for guiding future virus containment strategies. Since the exact number of infected cases is unknown, the number of documented cases was used by many disease transmission models to infer epidemiological parameters. This means that it was possible to produce biased estimates of epidemiological parameters and hence of the effects of intervention measures, because the percentage of all cases that were documented changed during the first 2 months of the epidemic, as a consequence of a gradually improving diagnostic capability. METHODS: To overcome these limitations, we constructed a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantined-recovered (SEIQR) model, accounting for intervention measures and temporal changes in the proportion of new documented infections out of total new infections, to characterize the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Wuhan across different stages of the outbreak. Pre-symptomatic transmission was taken into account in our model, and all epidemiological parameters were estimated using the Particle Markov-chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) method. RESULTS: Our model captured the local Wuhan epidemic pattern as two-peak transmission dynamics, with one peak on February 4 and the other on February 12, 2020. The impact of intervention measures determined the timing of the first peak, leading to an 86% drop in the Re from 3.23 (95% CI, 2.22 to 4.20) to 0.45 (95% CI, 0.20 to 0.69). The improved diagnostic capability led to the second peak and a higher proportion of documented infections. Our estimated proportion of new documented infections out of the total new infections increased from 11% (95% CI 1-43%) to 28% (95% CI 4-62%) after January 26 when more detection kits were released. After the introduction of a new diagnostic criterion (case definition) on February 12, a higher proportion of daily infected cases were documented (49% (95% CI 7-79%)). CONCLUSIONS: Transportation restrictions and quarantine measures together in Wuhan were able to contain local epidemic growth.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Modelos Teóricos , Número Básico de Reprodução , COVID-19/diagnóstico , China/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Controle de Infecções , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Quarentena , Processos Estocásticos
3.
PLoS One ; 15(12): e0243889, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33362233

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the incubation period of Vietnamese confirmed COVID-19 cases. METHODS: Only confirmed COVID-19 cases who are Vietnamese and locally infected with available data on date of symptom onset and clearly defined window of possible SARS-CoV-2 exposure were included. We used three parametric forms with Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method for Bayesian Inference to estimate incubation period for Vietnamese COVID-19 cases. Leave-one-out Information Criterion was used to assess the performance of three models. RESULTS: A total of 19 cases identified from 23 Jan 2020 to 13 April 2020 was included in our analysis. Average incubation periods estimated using different distribution model ranged from 6.0 days to 6.4 days with the Weibull distribution demonstrated the best fit to the data. The estimated mean of incubation period using Weibull distribution model was 6.4 days (95% credible interval (CrI): 4.89-8.5), standard deviation (SD) was 3.05 (95%CrI 3.05-5.30), median was 5.6, ranges from 1.35 to 13.04 days (2.5th to 97.5th percentiles). Extreme estimation of incubation periods is within 14 days from possible infection. CONCLUSION: This analysis provides evidence for an average incubation period for COVID-19 of approximately 6.4 days. Our findings support existing guidelines for 14 days of quarantine of persons potentially exposed to SARS-CoV-2. Although for extreme cases, the quarantine period should be extended up to three weeks.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Quarentena , SARS-CoV-2/patogenicidade , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/virologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Método de Monte Carlo , Vietnã/epidemiologia
4.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 103(5): 1934-1937, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32901597

RESUMO

The period between the infective sandfly bites and appearance of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) lesions is still hypothetical and little studied. This work aimed at assessing the incubation time of zoonotic CL (ZCL) due to Leishmania major using a standardized methodology. The retrospective analysis used the epidemiological, clinical, and biological information available in the database recording all the CL cases diagnosed at the Parasitology Department of the Pasteur Institute of Tunis during 2015-2019. It allowed for the selection of 92 privileged observations 1) of confirmed CL cases with presentation suggestive of ZCL form 2) living in northern regions free of ZCL 3) with a single infective trip of less than a week to ZCL foci during transmission season and 4) with accurate dates of travel and onset of lesions. Incubation length computed in this population ranged from 1 to 21 weeks, with a median of 5 weeks (interquartile range: 3-8.5 weeks).


Assuntos
Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Leishmania major/fisiologia , Leishmaniose Cutânea/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Geografia , Humanos , Lactente , Leishmaniose Cutânea/parasitologia , Leishmaniose Cutânea/transmissão , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Zoonoses
5.
Am J Trop Med Hyg ; 103(4): 1608-1613, 2020 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32815514

RESUMO

Studies on the early introduction of SARS-CoV-2 in a naive population have important epidemic control implications. We report findings from the epidemiological investigation of the initial 135 COVID-19 cases in Brunei and describe the impact of control measures and travel restrictions. Epidemiological and clinical information was obtained for all confirmed COVID-19 cases, whose symptom onset was from March 9 to April 5, 2020. The basic reproduction number (R0), incubation period, and serial interval (SI) were calculated. Time-varying R was estimated to assess the effectiveness of control measures. Of the 135 cases detected, 53 (39.3%) were imported. The median age was 36 (range = 0.5-72) years. Forty-one (30.4%) and 13 (9.6%) were presymptomatic and asymptomatic cases, respectively. The median incubation period was 5 days (interquartile range [IQR] = 5, range = 1-11), and the mean SI was 5.4 days (SD = 4.5; 95% CI: 4.3, 6.5). The reproduction number was between 3.9 and 6.0, and the doubling time was 1.3 days. The time-varying reproduction number (Rt) was below one (Rt = 0.91; 95% credible interval: 0.62, 1.32) by the 13th day of the epidemic. Epidemic control was achieved through a combination of public health measures, with emphasis on a test-isolate-trace approach supplemented by travel restrictions and moderate physical distancing measures but no actual lockdown. Regular and ongoing testing of high-risk groups to supplement the existing surveillance program and a phased easing of physical distancing measures has helped maintain suppression of the COVID-19 outbreak in Brunei, as evidenced by the identification of only six additional cases from April 5 to August 5, 2020.


Assuntos
Betacoronavirus/patogenicidade , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/organização & administração , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Isolamento de Pacientes/organização & administração , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Brunei/epidemiologia , COVID-19 , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Infecções por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Isolamento de Pacientes/métodos , Pneumonia Viral/diagnóstico , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Distância Psicológica , Quarentena/métodos , Quarentena/organização & administração , Fatores de Risco , SARS-CoV-2 , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
6.
Mol Cancer ; 19(1): 100, 2020 06 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32487159

RESUMO

In recent years, the prevalence and spread of coronavirus has had a huge impact on global public health. Due to the incomplete understanding of the pathogenic mechanism of the virus, it is difficult for humans to fight against the virus quickly and effectively once the outbreak occurs. In early 2020, a novel coronavirus was discovered in Wuhan, China. Soon after, similar cases were found in other countries around the world, and the number of infected people increased rapidly. So far, the global cumulative number of infected people has exceeded 3 million, and more than 200,000 people have died, which has had a huge impact on global human health and economic development. Every outbreak of disease makes a deep impression on mankind. Herein, we summarize the virology, epidemiology, clinical manifestations, diagnosis, treatment and prevention of SARS-CoV-2, and hope that countries can control the outbreak as soon as possible to minimize the loss.


Assuntos
Betacoronavirus/patogenicidade , Infecções por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/terapia , Pneumonia Viral/diagnóstico , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/terapia , Adulto , Betacoronavirus/fisiologia , COVID-19 , Criança , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Surtos de Doenças , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Saúde Mental , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , SARS-CoV-2 , Mídias Sociais
7.
Lancet ; 395(10225): 689-697, 2020 02 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32014114

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Since Dec 31, 2019, the Chinese city of Wuhan has reported an outbreak of atypical pneumonia caused by the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). Cases have been exported to other Chinese cities, as well as internationally, threatening to trigger a global outbreak. Here, we provide an estimate of the size of the epidemic in Wuhan on the basis of the number of cases exported from Wuhan to cities outside mainland China and forecast the extent of the domestic and global public health risks of epidemics, accounting for social and non-pharmaceutical prevention interventions. METHODS: We used data from Dec 31, 2019, to Jan 28, 2020, on the number of cases exported from Wuhan internationally (known days of symptom onset from Dec 25, 2019, to Jan 19, 2020) to infer the number of infections in Wuhan from Dec 1, 2019, to Jan 25, 2020. Cases exported domestically were then estimated. We forecasted the national and global spread of 2019-nCoV, accounting for the effect of the metropolitan-wide quarantine of Wuhan and surrounding cities, which began Jan 23-24, 2020. We used data on monthly flight bookings from the Official Aviation Guide and data on human mobility across more than 300 prefecture-level cities in mainland China from the Tencent database. Data on confirmed cases were obtained from the reports published by the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. Serial interval estimates were based on previous studies of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV). A susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered metapopulation model was used to simulate the epidemics across all major cities in China. The basic reproductive number was estimated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and presented using the resulting posterior mean and 95% credibile interval (CrI). FINDINGS: In our baseline scenario, we estimated that the basic reproductive number for 2019-nCoV was 2·68 (95% CrI 2·47-2·86) and that 75 815 individuals (95% CrI 37 304-130 330) have been infected in Wuhan as of Jan 25, 2020. The epidemic doubling time was 6·4 days (95% CrI 5·8-7·1). We estimated that in the baseline scenario, Chongqing, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen had imported 461 (95% CrI 227-805), 113 (57-193), 98 (49-168), 111 (56-191), and 80 (40-139) infections from Wuhan, respectively. If the transmissibility of 2019-nCoV were similar everywhere domestically and over time, we inferred that epidemics are already growing exponentially in multiple major cities of China with a lag time behind the Wuhan outbreak of about 1-2 weeks. INTERPRETATION: Given that 2019-nCoV is no longer contained within Wuhan, other major Chinese cities are probably sustaining localised outbreaks. Large cities overseas with close transport links to China could also become outbreak epicentres, unless substantial public health interventions at both the population and personal levels are implemented immediately. Independent self-sustaining outbreaks in major cities globally could become inevitable because of substantial exportation of presymptomatic cases and in the absence of large-scale public health interventions. Preparedness plans and mitigation interventions should be readied for quick deployment globally. FUNDING: Health and Medical Research Fund (Hong Kong, China).


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Epidemias , China/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Previsões , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Internacionalidade , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Prevalência
8.
Bull Math Biol ; 81(4): 1070-1088, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30560441

RESUMO

We suggest an explanation of typical incubation times statistical features based on the universal behavior of exit times for diffusion models. We give a mathematically rigorous proof of the characteristic right skewness of the incubation time distribution for very general one-dimensional diffusion models. Imposing natural simple conditions on the drift coefficient, we also study these diffusion models under the assumption of noise smallness and show that the limiting exit time distributions in the limit of vanishing noise are Gaussian and Gumbel. Thus, they match the existing data as well as the other existing models do. The character of our models, however, allows us to argue that the features of the exit time distributions that we describe are universal and manifest themselves in various other situations where the times involved can be described as detection or halting times, for example response times studied in psychology.


Assuntos
Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Modelos Biológicos , Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis/transmissão , Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Conceitos Matemáticos , Modelos Estatísticos , Distribuição Normal , Processos Estocásticos , Fatores de Tempo
9.
Sci Rep ; 8(1): 1093, 2018 01 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29348656

RESUMO

During outbreaks of deadly emerging pathogens (e.g., Ebola, MERS-CoV) and bioterror threats (e.g., smallpox), actively monitoring potentially infected individuals aims to limit disease transmission and morbidity. Guidance issued by CDC on active monitoring was a cornerstone of its response to the West Africa Ebola outbreak. There are limited data on how to balance the costs and performance of this important public health activity. We present a framework that estimates the risks and costs of specific durations of active monitoring for pathogens of significant public health concern. We analyze data from New York City's Ebola active monitoring program over a 16-month period in 2014-2016. For monitored individuals, we identified unique durations of active monitoring that minimize expected costs for those at "low (but not zero) risk" and "some or high risk": 21 and 31 days, respectively. Extending our analysis to smallpox and MERS-CoV, we found that the optimal length of active monitoring relative to the median incubation period was reduced compared to Ebola due to less variable incubation periods. Active monitoring can save lives but is expensive. Resources can be most effectively allocated by using exposure-risk categories to modify the duration or intensity of active monitoring.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis/epidemiologia , Custos e Análise de Custo , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Modelos Teóricos , Vigilância da População , Risco
10.
J Bras Pneumol ; 43(3): 215-218, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês, Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28746533

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE:: To evaluate the frequency of and factors associated with indeterminate interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) results in people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA). METHODS:: We tested 81 PLWHA in the central-west region of Brazil, using the tuberculin skin test and an IGRA. Information on sociodemographic and clinical variables was gathered through the use of questionnaires and from medical records. The association of those variables with indeterminate results was analyzed by calculating the adjusted ORs in a multivariate logistic regression model. Concordance was evaluated by determining the kappa statistic. RESULTS:: Among the 81 patients evaluated, the tuberculin skin test results were positive in 18 (22.2%) of the patients, and the IGRA results were positive in 10 (12.3%), with a kappa of 0.62. The IGRA results were indeterminate in 22 (27.1%) of the patients (95% CI: 17.8-38.1%). The odds of obtaining indeterminate results were significantly higher in smokers (adjusted OR = 6.0; 95% CI: 1.4-26.7) and in samples stored for less than 35 days (adjusted OR = 14.0; 95% CI: 3.1-64.2). Patients with advanced immunosuppression (CD4+ T-cell count < 200 cells/mm3) were at a higher risk for indeterminate results (OR adjusted for smoking and inadequate duration of sample storage = 4.7; 95% CI: 0.91-24.0), although the difference was not significant. CONCLUSIONS:: The high prevalence of indeterminate results can be a major limitation for the routine use of IGRAs in PLWHA. The need to repeat the test increases its costs and should be taken into account in cost-effectiveness studies. The processing of samples can significantly alter the results. OBJETIVO:: Avaliar a frequência de resultados indeterminados de um interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA, ensaio de liberação de interferon-gama) e os fatores relacionados com esses resultados em pessoas vivendo com HIV/AIDS (PVHA). MÉTODOS:: Foram avaliadas 81 PVHA na região Centro-Oeste do Brasil, por meio do teste tuberculínico e de um IGRA. Informações a respeito de variáveis sociodemográficas e clínicas foram obtidas por meio de questionários e prontuários médicos. A relação entre essas variáveis e os resultados indeterminados foi avaliada por meio do cálculo da OR ajustada em um modelo de regressão logística multivariada. A concordância foi avaliada por meio do coeficiente kappa. RESULTADOS:: Os resultados do teste tuberculínico e do IGRA foram positivos em 18 (22,2%) e 10 (12,3%), respectivamente, dos 81 pacientes avaliados (κ = 0,62). O resultado do IGRA foi indeterminado em 22 (27,1%) dos pacientes (IC95%: 17,8-38,1%). A chance de resultados indeterminados foi significativamente maior em fumantes (OR ajustada = 6,0; IC95%: 1,4-26,7) e em amostras armazenadas durante menos de 35 dias (OR ajustada = 14,0; IC95%: 3,1-64,2). Pacientes com imunossupressão avançada (contagem de células T CD4+ < 200 células/mm3) apresentaram maior risco de resultados indeterminados (OR ajustada para tabagismo e tempo inadequado de armazenamento das amostras = 4,7; IC95%: 0,91-24,0), embora a diferença não tenha sido significativa. CONCLUSÕES:: A alta prevalência de resultados indeterminados pode ser um grande obstáculo ao uso rotineiro de IGRAs em PVHA. A necessidade de repetir o teste aumenta seu custo e deve ser levada em conta em estudos da relação entre custo e eficácia. O processamento das amostras pode alterar significativamente os resultados.


Assuntos
Infecções Oportunistas Relacionadas com a AIDS/diagnóstico , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/métodos , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Tuberculose Latente/virologia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/microbiologia , Adulto , Brasil , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Estudos Transversais , Estudos de Viabilidade , Feminino , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Inquéritos e Questionários , Teste Tuberculínico/métodos
11.
J. bras. pneumol ; 43(3): 215-218, May-June 2017. tab
Artigo em Inglês | LILACS | ID: biblio-893832

RESUMO

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the frequency of and factors associated with indeterminate interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) results in people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA). Methods: We tested 81 PLWHA in the central-west region of Brazil, using the tuberculin skin test and an IGRA. Information on sociodemographic and clinical variables was gathered through the use of questionnaires and from medical records. The association of those variables with indeterminate results was analyzed by calculating the adjusted ORs in a multivariate logistic regression model. Concordance was evaluated by determining the kappa statistic. Results: Among the 81 patients evaluated, the tuberculin skin test results were positive in 18 (22.2%) of the patients, and the IGRA results were positive in 10 (12.3%), with a kappa of 0.62. The IGRA results were indeterminate in 22 (27.1%) of the patients (95% CI: 17.8-38.1%). The odds of obtaining indeterminate results were significantly higher in smokers (adjusted OR = 6.0; 95% CI: 1.4-26.7) and in samples stored for less than 35 days (adjusted OR = 14.0; 95% CI: 3.1-64.2). Patients with advanced immunosuppression (CD4+ T-cell count < 200 cells/mm3) were at a higher risk for indeterminate results (OR adjusted for smoking and inadequate duration of sample storage = 4.7; 95% CI: 0.91-24.0), although the difference was not significant. Conclusions: The high prevalence of indeterminate results can be a major limitation for the routine use of IGRAs in PLWHA. The need to repeat the test increases its costs and should be taken into account in cost-effectiveness studies. The processing of samples can significantly alter the results.


RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar a frequência de resultados indeterminados de um interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA, ensaio de liberação de interferon-gama) e os fatores relacionados com esses resultados em pessoas vivendo com HIV/AIDS (PVHA). Métodos: Foram avaliadas 81 PVHA na região Centro-Oeste do Brasil, por meio do teste tuberculínico e de um IGRA. Informações a respeito de variáveis sociodemográficas e clínicas foram obtidas por meio de questionários e prontuários médicos. A relação entre essas variáveis e os resultados indeterminados foi avaliada por meio do cálculo da OR ajustada em um modelo de regressão logística multivariada. A concordância foi avaliada por meio do coeficiente kappa. Resultados: Os resultados do teste tuberculínico e do IGRA foram positivos em 18 (22,2%) e 10 (12,3%), respectivamente, dos 81 pacientes avaliados (κ = 0,62). O resultado do IGRA foi indeterminado em 22 (27,1%) dos pacientes (IC95%: 17,8-38,1%). A chance de resultados indeterminados foi significativamente maior em fumantes (OR ajustada = 6,0; IC95%: 1,4-26,7) e em amostras armazenadas durante menos de 35 dias (OR ajustada = 14,0; IC95%: 3,1-64,2). Pacientes com imunossupressão avançada (contagem de células T CD4+ < 200 células/mm3) apresentaram maior risco de resultados indeterminados (OR ajustada para tabagismo e tempo inadequado de armazenamento das amostras = 4,7; IC95%: 0,91-24,0), embora a diferença não tenha sido significativa. Conclusões: A alta prevalência de resultados indeterminados pode ser um grande obstáculo ao uso rotineiro de IGRAs em PVHA. A necessidade de repetir o teste aumenta seu custo e deve ser levada em conta em estudos da relação entre custo e eficácia. O processamento das amostras pode alterar significativamente os resultados.


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções Oportunistas Relacionadas com a AIDS/diagnóstico , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/métodos , Tuberculose Latente/diagnóstico , Tuberculose Latente/virologia , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/microbiologia , Brasil , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Estudos Transversais , Estudos de Viabilidade , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama/economia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Inquéritos e Questionários , Teste Tuberculínico/métodos
12.
Clin Infect Dis ; 63(11): 1487-1489, 2016 Dec 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27535950

RESUMO

We characterized incubation periods among outbreak-associated listeriosis cases, using a simulation model to account for patients with multiple exposure dates. The median was 11 days; 90% of cases occurred within 28 days, and incubation periods varied by clinical manifestation.


Assuntos
Bacteriemia/microbiologia , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Listeria monocytogenes/fisiologia , Listeriose/microbiologia , Listeriose/transmissão , Adulto , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Listeriose/sangue , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Fatores de Risco
15.
Epidemics ; 7: 1-6, 2014 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24928663

RESUMO

Increasing incidence has led to the re-appearance of pertussis as a public health problem in developed countries. Pertussis infection is usually mild in vaccinated children and adults, but it can be fatal in infants who are too young for effective vaccination (≤3 months). Tailoring of control strategies to prevent infection of the infant hinges on the availability of estimates of key epidemiological quantities. Here we estimate the serial interval of pertussis, i.e., the time between symptoms onset in a case and its infector, using data from a household-based study carried out in the Netherlands in 2007-2009. We use statistical methodology to tie infected persons to probable infector persons, and obtain statistically supported stratifications of the data by person-type (infant, mother, father, sibling). The analyses show that the mean serial interval is 20 days (95% CI: 16-23 days) when the mother is the infector of the infant, and 28 days (95% CI: 23-33 days) when the infector is the father or a sibling. These time frames offer opportunities for early mitigation of the consequences of infection of an infant once a case has been detected in a household. If preventive measures such as social distancing or antimicrobial treatment are taken promptly they could decrease the probability of infection of the infant.


Assuntos
Portador Sadio/transmissão , Saúde da Família/estatística & dados numéricos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Vacina contra Coqueluche/administração & dosagem , Coqueluche/transmissão , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Portador Sadio/sangue , Portador Sadio/microbiologia , Quimioprevenção/economia , Quimioprevenção/métodos , Saúde da Família/economia , Feminino , Humanos , Programas de Imunização/economia , Programas de Imunização/normas , Incidência , Lactente , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/economia , Modelos Biológicos , Mães/estatística & dados numéricos , Países Baixos/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Coqueluche/economia , Vacina contra Coqueluche/normas , Gravidez , Gestantes , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
17.
PLoS One ; 8(8): e70793, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23967109

RESUMO

Since the allocation of vaccines is often constrained by limited resources, designing an economical vaccination strategy is a fundamental goal of the epidemiological modelling. In this study, with the objective of reducing costs, we determine the optimal allocation of vaccines for a general class of infectious diseases that spread mainly via contact. We use an optimization routine to identify the roles of nodes with distinct degrees as depending on the cost of treatment to that of vaccination (relative cost of treatment). The optimal allocation drives vaccination priority to medium-degree nodes at a low relative cost of treatment or to high-degree nodes at a high relative cost of treatment. According to the presented results, we may adjust the vaccination priority in the face of an endemic situation.


Assuntos
Alocação de Recursos/métodos , Vacinas/economia , Suscetibilidade a Doenças/economia , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Vacinação/economia
18.
Acta Paediatr ; 102(4): e158-63, 2013 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23289533

RESUMO

AIM: To quantify readmissions with infectious diseases and differences in readmission patterns. METHODS: Using the CHKS database, children <5 years admitted to hospital in England and Wales, between 2000 and 2008, with rotavirus (RV), respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) or non-rotaviral gastroenteritis (NRV) were identified. All admissions within a 30-day prior period were similarly identified, and the proportion of readmissions was calculated. RESULTS: There were 365,693 admissions for RV, RSV and NRV; 17.2% were readmissions. In 36% of cases, the cause of the prior admission was also RV, RSV or NRV, with 64% having a different prior diagnosis. The majority of readmissions were within 5 days of their prior admission, the majority of those with RV (n = 2,566/58.7%) within 3 days, NRV (n = 11 326/53.5%) within 4 days and RSV (n = 18 811/50.2%) within 9 days of prior discharge. Readmission for RV was associated with greater LOS than RSV (p < 0.001) and NRV (p < 0.001), while cost per admission was greater for RV compared to RSV (p < 0.001) and NRV (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Thirty-six percent of readmissions indicated discharge without resolution from the first admission; nosocomial infection needs to be considered as a cause in the other. Although RSV represented the largest readmission group, higher costs and longer LOS were associated with RV.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Readmissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Pré-Escolar , Comorbidade , Infecção Hospitalar/economia , Infecção Hospitalar/microbiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Gastroenterite/economia , Gastroenterite/microbiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Tempo de Internação/economia , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Admissão do Paciente/economia , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Alta do Paciente/economia , Alta do Paciente/normas , Alta do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Readmissão do Paciente/economia , Análise de Regressão , Infecções por Vírus Respiratório Sincicial/economia , Infecções por Rotavirus/economia , Medicina Estatal/economia , Medicina Estatal/estatística & dados numéricos , País de Gales/epidemiologia
19.
Euro Surveill ; 17(42)2012 Oct 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23098823

RESUMO

Two cases of laboratory-confirmed listeriosis were detected in Bizkaia, Spain, at the end of August. The epidemiological investigation indicated that these two cases were associated with the consumption of Latin-style fresh cheese made from pasteurised milk in Portugal. Different batches of the same cheese were analysed and confirmed as contaminated with Listeria monocytogenes. The product was withdrawn from the market and the population was advised not to consume this kind of cheese.


Assuntos
Queijo/microbiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Microbiologia de Alimentos , Listeria monocytogenes/isolamento & purificação , Listeriose , Adulto , Sangue/microbiologia , Queijo/análise , Queijo/economia , Busca de Comunicante , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Comportamento Alimentar/psicologia , Feminino , Microbiologia de Alimentos/normas , Serviços de Alimentação/normas , Serviços de Alimentação/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Listeria monocytogenes/genética , Listeria monocytogenes/patogenicidade , Listeriose/epidemiologia , Listeriose/transmissão , Troca Materno-Fetal , Placenta/microbiologia , Gravidez , Fatores de Risco , Sepse/epidemiologia , Espanha , Inquéritos e Questionários
20.
Przegl Epidemiol ; 65(3): 515-9, 2011.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22184958

RESUMO

HIV infection as a consequence of blood transfusions and blood by-products has occurred in many developed countries from the outset of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. In China the introduction of the market economy and commercialisation of blood and blood products after 1989 has lead to the spread of HIV infection among poor peasants living in the Chinese interior. In this review a history of HIV infections was presented showing that blood and blood products cannot be treated as commercial goods.


Assuntos
Doadores de Sangue/estatística & dados numéricos , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Plasma/virologia , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Marketing Social , China , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Período de Incubação de Doenças Infecciosas , Marketing de Serviços de Saúde , Pobreza , Fatores de Risco
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