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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(51)2021 12 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34903648

RESUMO

Decades of air pollution regulation have yielded enormous benefits in the United States, but vehicle emissions remain a climate and public health issue. Studies have quantified the vehicle-related fine particulate matter (PM2.5)-attributable mortality but lack the combination of proper counterfactual scenarios, latest epidemiological evidence, and detailed spatial resolution; all needed to assess the benefits of recent emission reductions. We use this combination to assess PM2.5-attributable health benefits and also assess the climate benefits of on-road emission reductions between 2008 and 2017. We estimate total benefits of $270 (190 to 480) billion in 2017. Vehicle-related PM2.5-attributable deaths decreased from 27,700 in 2008 to 19,800 in 2017; however, had per-mile emission factors remained at 2008 levels, 48,200 deaths would have occurred in 2017. The 74% increase from 27,700 to 48,200 PM2.5-attributable deaths with the same emission factors is due to lower baseline PM2.5 concentrations (+26%), more vehicle miles and fleet composition changes (+22%), higher baseline mortality (+13%), and interactions among these (+12%). Climate benefits were small (3 to 19% of the total). The percent reductions in emissions and PM2.5-attributable deaths were similar despite an opportunity to achieve disproportionately large health benefits by reducing high-impact emissions of passenger light-duty vehicles in urban areas. Increasingly large vehicles and an aging population, increasing mortality, suggest large health benefits in urban areas require more stringent policies. Local policies can be effective because high-impact primary PM2.5 and NH3 emissions disperse little outside metropolitan areas. Complementary national-level policies for NOx are merited because of its substantial impacts-with little spatial variability-and dispersion across states and metropolitan areas.


Assuntos
Saúde Pública , Meios de Transporte , Emissões de Veículos/prevenção & controle , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/economia , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Causas de Morte/tendências , Mudança Climática/economia , Mudança Climática/mortalidade , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Gases de Efeito Estufa/economia , Humanos , Exposição por Inalação/economia , Exposição por Inalação/prevenção & controle , Material Particulado/economia , Meios de Transporte/classificação , Estados Unidos
2.
Wei Sheng Yan Jiu ; 50(6): 938-951, 2021 Nov.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34949320

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To learn the health hazards and health economic losses caused by PM_(2.5) pollution in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei to the resident population. METHODS: Fine particular matter concentration and the basic demographic data of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei from 2013 to 2018 were collected. Circulatory system disease hospitalization and other indexes were chosen as the end point of health effects, appropriate exposure-response relationship were selected, and the economic loss of health effect caused by PM_(2.5) was assessed by the combination of the cost of illness approach and human capital method. RESULTS: From 2013 to 2018, the economic loss of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei caused by fine particular matter pollution showed a decreasing trend year by year. The health economic losses of Beijing from 2013 to 2018 were 3.815, 4.177, 4.090, 3.818, 2.567 and 2.031 billion yuan; The health economic losses of Tianjin were 3.046, 2.625, 1.882, 1.914, 1.448 and 1.000 billion yuan; The health economic losses of Hebei were 13.719, 11.850, 7.423, 7.216, 6.499 and 4.124 billion yuan, Hebei Province had the highest economic loss in 2013, accounting for 13.719 billion yuan, accounting for 0.51% of GDP in that year. Tianjin had the lowest economic loss in 2018, accounting for 10.0 billion yuan, accounting for 0.05% of GDP in that year. CONCLUSION: The health loss caused by PM_(2.5) pollution in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei region shows a decreasing trend year by year, but the number is still very considerable, and the monitoring and control of PM_(2.5) pollution need to be further strengthened.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Material Particulado , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/economia , Pequim , China , Cidades , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Monitoramento Ambiental , Humanos , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/economia
3.
Nat Commun ; 11(1): 5172, 2020 10 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33057164

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic is impacting human activities, and in turn energy use and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Here we present daily estimates of country-level CO2 emissions for different sectors based on near-real-time activity data. The key result is an abrupt 8.8% decrease in global CO2 emissions (-1551 Mt CO2) in the first half of 2020 compared to the same period in 2019. The magnitude of this decrease is larger than during previous economic downturns or World War II. The timing of emissions decreases corresponds to lockdown measures in each country. By July 1st, the pandemic's effects on global emissions diminished as lockdown restrictions relaxed and some economic activities restarted, especially in China and several European countries, but substantial differences persist between countries, with continuing emission declines in the U.S. where coronavirus cases are still increasing substantially.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Dióxido de Carbono/economia , Infecções por Coronavirus/economia , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Monitoramento Ambiental , Combustíveis Fósseis/análise , Combustíveis Fósseis/economia , Humanos , Indústrias/economia , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/economia , Pandemias/economia , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia Viral/economia , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2
4.
Int J Public Health ; 65(8): 1455-1465, 2020 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33057794

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: More than 90% of the global population live in areas exceeding the PM2.5 air quality guidelines (AQGs). We provide an overview of the ambient PM2.5-related burden of disease (BoD) studies along with scenario analysis in the framework of the WHO AQG update on the estimated reduction in the BoD if AQGs were achieved globally. METHODS: We reviewed the literature for large-scale studies for the BoD attributed to ambient PM2.5. Moreover, we used the latest WHO statistics to calculate the BoD at current levels and the scenarios of aligning with interim targets and AQG levels. RESULTS: The most recent BoD studies (2010 onwards) share a similar methodology, but there are differences in the input data which affect the estimates for attributable deaths (2.9-8.9 million deaths annually). Moreover, we found that if AQGs were achieved, the estimated BoD would be reduced by up to 50% in total deaths worldwide. CONCLUSIONS: Understanding the BoD across countries, especially in those that do not align with the AQGs, is essential in order to inform actions to reduce air pollution globally.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluentes Atmosféricos/normas , Poluição do Ar/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental/normas , Guias como Assunto , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/economia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Humanos , Organização Mundial da Saúde
5.
Rev Environ Health ; 35(4): 379-399, 2020 Nov 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32324166

RESUMO

Studies that assess the connection between the prevalence of chronic diseases and continuous exposure to air pollution are scarce in developing countries, mainly due to data limitations. Largely overcoming data limitations, this study aimed to investigate the association between the likelihood of reporting a set of chronic diseases (diabetes, cancer, stroke and myocardial infarction, asthma, and hypertension) and continuous exposure to carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), and coarse particulate matter (PM10). Using the estimated associations, the disease burden and economic costs of continuous exposure to air pollutants were also approximated. A 2011 Health Equity Assessment and Response Tool survey from Tehran, Iran, was used in the main analyses. A sample of 67,049 individuals who had not changed their place of residence for at least 2 years before the survey and reported all relevant socioeconomic information was selected. The individuals were assigned with the average monthly air pollutant levels of the nearest of 16 air quality monitors during the 2 years leading to the survey. Both single- and multi-pollutant analyses were conducted. The country's annual household surveys from 2002 to 2011 were used to calculate the associated economic losses. The single-pollutant analysis showed that a one-unit increase in monthly CO (ppm), NO2 (ppb), O3 (ppb), and PM10 (µg/m3) during the 2 years was associated with 751 [confidence interval (CI): 512-990], 18 (CI: 12-24), 46 (CI: -27-120), and 24 (CI: 13-35) more reported chronic diseases in 100,000, respectively. The disease-specific analyses showed that a unit change in average monthly CO was associated with 329, 321, 232, and 129 more reported cases of diabetes, hypertension, stroke and myocardial infarction, and asthma in 100,000, respectively. The measured associations were greater in samples with older individuals. Also, a unit change in average monthly O3 was associated with 21 (in 100,000) more reported cases of asthma. The multi-pollutant analyses confirmed the results from single-pollutant analyses. The supplementary analyses showed that a one-unit decrease in monthly CO level could have been associated with about 208 (CI: 147-275) years of life gained or 15.195 (CI: 10.296-20.094) thousand US dollars (USD) in life-time labor market income gained per 100,000 30-plus-year-old Tehranis.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Monóxido de Carbono/efeitos adversos , Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/economia , Cidades , Irã (Geográfico)/epidemiologia , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/efeitos adversos , Ozônio/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Prevalência
6.
Environ Res ; 183: 109184, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32007749

RESUMO

Existing studies focused on the evaluation of health burden of long-term exposure to air pollutants, whereas limited information is available on short-term exposure, particularly in China. Air pollutant concentrations in 338 Chinese cities in 2017 were used to estimate the air pollutants related health burden which was defined as premature mortalities from all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory disease as well as hospital admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory disease. Log-linear model was used as the exposure-response function to estimate the health burden attributable to each air pollutant. The value of statistical life and cost of illness methods were used to estimate economic loss of the premature mortalities and hospital admissions, respectively. The national all-cause premature mortalities attributable to all air pollutants was 1.35 million, accounting for 17.2% of reported deaths in China in 2017. Among all-cause premature mortality, contributions of PM2.5, PM2.5-10, NO2, SO2, O3 and CO were11.1%, 5.2%, 28.9%, 9.6%, 23.0%, and 22.2%, respectively. The national cardiovascular and respiratory premature mortalities were 0.77 and 0.21 million, respectively. About 7.8 million cardiovascular and respiratory disease hospital admissions were attributed to short-term exposure to all air pollutants. The economic loss of the overall health burden (premature mortality and hospital admissions) was 2065.54 billion Yuan, which was equivalent to 2.5% of the national GDP in 2017. The health burden and economic loss attributable to short-term exposure to ambient air pollutant are substantial in China. It suggested that the adverse health effects attributable to short-term exposure to air pollutant should not be neglected in China. In order to reduce the health impact of air pollution, each city should develop air pollution prevention and control measures based on existing scientific evidence.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Doenças Respiratórias , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , China/epidemiologia , Cidades , Exposição Ambiental , Humanos , Material Particulado , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia
7.
Environ Res ; 182: 109019, 2020 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31838408

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Impacts on children's health are under-represented in benefits assessments of policies related to ambient air quality and climate change. To complement our previous compilation of concentration-response (C-R) functions for a number of children's health outcomes associated with air pollution, we provide per-case monetary estimates of the same health outcomes. OBJECTIVES: Our goal was to establish per-case monetary estimates for a suite of prevalent children's health outcomes (preterm birth, low birth weight, asthma, autism spectrum disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and IQ reduction) that can be incorporated into benefits assessments of air pollution regulations and climate change mitigation policies. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of the literature published between January 1, 2000 and June 30, 2018 to identify relevant economic costs for these six adverse health outcomes in children. We restricted our literature search to studies published in the U.S., with a supplemental consideration of studies from the U.K. and prioritized literature reviews with summary cost estimates and papers that provided lifetime cost of illness estimates. RESULTS: Our literature search and evaluation process reviewed 1065 papers and identified 12 most relevant papers on per-case monetary estimates for preterm birth, low birth weight, asthma, autism spectrum disorder, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder. Details are presented in full. We separately identified estimates of the lost lifetime earnings associated with the loss of a single IQ point. The final per-case cost estimates for each outcome were selected based on the most robust evidence. These estimates range from $23,573 for childhood asthma not persisting into adulthood to $3,109,096 for a case of autism with a concurrent intellectual disability. CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first time that the child-specific health outcomes of preterm birth, low birth weight, asthma, autism spectrum disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, and IQ reduction have been systematically valued and presented in one place. This is an important addition to the body of health-related valuation literature as these outcomes have substantial economic costs that are not considered in most assessments of the benefits of air pollution and climate mitigation policies. In general, however, the available per-case estimates presented here did not incorporate the broad societal and long-term costs and are likely underestimates. Although our context has been air pollution and climate policies, the per-case monetary estimates presented here can be applied to other environmental exposures. Fuller assessments of health benefits to children and their corresponding economic gains will improve decision-making on environmental policy.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Transtorno do Espectro Autista , Saúde da Criança , Adulto , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluição do Ar/economia , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Asma/epidemiologia , Transtorno do Deficit de Atenção com Hiperatividade/epidemiologia , Transtorno do Espectro Autista/epidemiologia , Criança , Saúde da Criança/economia , Pré-Escolar , Exposição Ambiental , Feminino , Combustíveis Fósseis , Humanos , Recém-Nascido de Baixo Peso , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia
8.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31817097

RESUMO

Poor air quality has a negative impact on social life and economic production activities. Using financial derivatives to hedge risks is one of the important methods. Air quality index (AQI) options are designed to help enterprises cope with the operational risk caused by air pollution. First, the expanded Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model is established using an autoregressive-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (AR-GARCH) method to predict AQI for a city. Next, the average AQI is constructed to be as the underlying index for the AQI options. We then priced AQI options using an actuarial method with an Esscher transform. Meanwhile payoff functions for the options are established to let enterprises hedge against the operational risk caused by air pollution. Finally, we determined the price of AQI options using data from Xi'an, China, and the example of a tourism enterprise as a case study of how AQI options can be applied to hedge against operational risk for enterprises. With AQI options trading, enterprises can hedge against operational risks caused by air pollution. The applicability of AQI options is wide, it can also be applied in other cities or regions.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluição do Ar/economia , China , Cidades , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Humanos
9.
BMJ ; 367: l6258, 2019 11 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31776122

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess risks and costs of hospital admission associated with short term exposure to fine particulate matter with diameter less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) for 214 mutually exclusive disease groups. DESIGN: Time stratified, case crossover analyses with conditional logistic regressions adjusted for non-linear confounding effects of meteorological variables. SETTING: Medicare inpatient hospital claims in the United States, 2000-12 (n=95 277 169). PARTICIPANTS: All Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 or older admitted to hospital. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Risk of hospital admission, number of admissions, days in hospital, inpatient and post-acute care costs, and value of statistical life (that is, the economic value used to measure the cost of avoiding a death) due to the lives lost at discharge for 214 disease groups. RESULTS: Positive associations between short term exposure to PM2.5 and risk of hospital admission were found for several prevalent but rarely studied diseases, such as septicemia, fluid and electrolyte disorders, and acute and unspecified renal failure. Positive associations were also found between risk of hospital admission and cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, Parkinson's disease, diabetes, phlebitis, thrombophlebitis, and thromboembolism, confirming previously published results. These associations remained consistent when restricted to days with a daily PM2.5 concentration below the WHO air quality guideline for the 24 hour average exposure to PM2.5. For the rarely studied diseases, each 1 µg/m3 increase in short term PM2.5 was associated with an annual increase of 2050 hospital admissions (95% confidence interval 1914 to 2187 admissions), 12 216 days in hospital (11 358 to 13 075), US$31m (£24m, €28m; $29m to $34m) in inpatient and post-acute care costs, and $2.5bn ($2.0bn to $2.9bn) in value of statistical life. For diseases with a previously known association, each 1 µg/m3 increase in short term exposure to PM2.5 was associated with an annual increase of 3642 hospital admissions (3434 to 3851), 20 098 days in hospital (18 950 to 21 247), $69m ($65m to $73m) in inpatient and post-acute care costs, and $4.1bn ($3.5bn to $4.7bn) in value of statistical life. CONCLUSIONS: New causes and previously identified causes of hospital admission associated with short term exposure to PM2.5 were found. These associations remained even at a daily PM2.5 concentration below the WHO 24 hour guideline. Substantial economic costs were linked to a small increase in short term PM2.5.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Material Particulado/análise , Idoso , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/economia , Custos e Análise de Custo , Estudos Cross-Over , Exposição Ambiental/economia , Feminino , Hospitalização/economia , Humanos , Masculino , Medicare , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Material Particulado/economia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos
10.
Environ Int ; 133(Pt A): 105145, 2019 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31518938

RESUMO

The air quality issues caused by extreme haze episodes in China have become increasingly serious in recent years. In particular, fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has become the major component of haze with many adverse impacts and has therefore become of great concern to scientists, government, and the general public in China. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variation in PM2.5 in 269 Chinese cities from 2015 to 2016 and its associations with socioeconomic factors to identify the possible strategies for PM2.5 pollution mitigation. Specifically, we first quantified the spatial pattern of PM2.5 concentrations in both 2015 and 2016, and then changes between the two years. Next, we examined the relationship between socioeconomic factors and PM2.5 concentrations and changes. The results showed that most cities in eastern China experienced decreases in PM2.5 concentration, although most of these cities already had high PM2.5 pollution level. Cities with low PM2.5 concentrations experienced increases in PM2.5 concentrations and were mostly located in southern and southwestern China. The PM2.5 concentration was the highest in winter, followed by in spring, autumn and summer; for changes in PM2.5 concentrations, the highest magnitude of decrease occurred in summer, followed by the decreases in winter, autumn and spring. Cities with high PM2.5 concentrations tended to be clustered, but the clustered characteristics were not clearly related to the changes in PM2.5 concentrations. The relationship between PM2.5 concentration and urban size was an inverse U-shaped curve, suggesting the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve for air quality in China. Population density and secondary industry share are the keys factors relating to air pollution control. In comparison to other cities, most moderately developed cities had a greater magnitude of decrease in PM2.5 concentrations and the key factor for pollution improvement was industrial structure; however, smaller cities tended to have a greater increase in PM2.5 concentrations and population density was the most important influencing factor. As a result, for air pollution control in China, specific regulations should be carried out according to different regions and different developmental stages based on the locations of cities.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/química , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Material Particulado/química , Material Particulado/economia , Poluição do Ar/análise , China , Cidades , Humanos , Densidade Demográfica , Estações do Ano , Fatores Socioeconômicos
11.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(40): 19857-19862, 2019 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31501345

RESUMO

Emissions of most pollutants that result in fine particulate matter (PM2.5) formation have been decreasing in the United States. However, this trend has not been uniform across all sectors or regions of the economy. We use integrated assessment models (IAMs) to compute marginal damages for PM2.5-related emissions for each county in the contiguous United States and match location-specific emissions with these marginal damages to compute economy-wide gross external damage (GED) due to premature mortality. We note 4 key findings: First, economy-wide, GED has decreased by more than 20% from 2008 to 2014. Second, while much of the air pollution policies have focused to date on the electricity sector, damages from farms are now larger than those from utilities. Indeed, farms have become the largest contributor to air pollution damages from PM2.5-related emissions. Third, 4 sectors, comprising less than 20% of the national gross domestic product (GDP), are responsible for ∼75% of GED attributable to economic activities. Fourth, uncertainty in GED estimates tends to be high for sectors with predominantly ground-level emissions because these emissions are usually estimated and not measured. These findings suggest that policymakers should target further emissions reductions from such sectors, particularly in transportation and agriculture.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Exposição Ambiental , Material Particulado/análise , Agricultura , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/economia , Amônia/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental , Produto Interno Bruto , Humanos , Modelos Econômicos , Mortalidade Prematura , Óxidos de Nitrogênio/análise , Material Particulado/economia , Política Pública , Dióxido de Enxofre/análise , Estados Unidos
12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31430997

RESUMO

In order to solve the optimization problem of emergency logistics system, this paper provides an environmental protection point of view and combines with the overall optimization idea of emergency logistics system, where a fuzzy low-carbon open location-routing problem (FLCOLRP) model in emergency logistics is constructed with the multi-objective function, which includes the minimum delivery time, total costs and carbon emissions. Taking into account the uncertainty of the needs of the disaster area, this article illustrates a triangular fuzzy function to gain fuzzy requirements. This model is tackled by a hybrid two-stage algorithm: Particle swarm optimization is adopted to obtain the initial optimal solution, which is further optimized by tabu search, due to its global optimization capability. The effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is verified by the classic database in LRP. What's more, an example of a post-earthquake rescue is used in the model for acquiring reliable conclusions, and the application of the model is tested by setting different target weight values. According to these results, some constructive proposals are propounded for the government to manage emergency logistics and for the public to aware and measure environmental emergency after disasters.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Carbono , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Modelos Teóricos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Algoritmos , Carbono/economia , China , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/economia , Custos e Análise de Custo , Planejamento em Desastres/economia , Planejamento em Desastres/organização & administração , Emergências
13.
Environ Int ; 130: 104881, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31200152

RESUMO

Many studies have reported associations between air pollution and health impacts, but few studies have explicitly differentiated the economic effects of PM2.5 and ozone at China's regional level. This study compares the PM2.5 and ozone pollution-related health impacts based on an integrated approach. The research framework combines an air pollutant emission projection model (GAINS), an air quality model (GEOS-Chem), a health model using the latest exposure-response functions, medical prices and value of statistical life (VSL), and a general equilibrium model (CGE). Results show that eastern provinces in China encounter severer loss from PM2.5 and more benefit from mitigation policy, whereas the lower income western provinces encounter severer health impacts and economic burdens due to ozone pollution, and the impact in southern and central provinces is relatively lower. In 2030, without control policies, PM 2.5 pollution could lead to losses of 2.0% in Gross Domestic Production (GDP), 210 billion Chinese Yuan (CNY) in health expenditure and a life loss of around 10,000 billion, while ozone pollution could contribute to GDP loss by 0.09% (equivalent to 78 billion CNY), 310 billion CNY in health expenditure, and a life loss of 2300 billion CNY (equivalent to 2.7% of GDP). By contrast, with control policies, the GDP and VSLs loss in 2030 attributable to ambient air pollution could be reduced significantly. We also find that the health and economic impacts of ozone pollution are significantly lower than PM2.5, but are much more difficult to mitigate. The Chinese government should promote air pollution control policies that could jointly reduce PM2.5 and ozone pollution.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar , Modelos Teóricos , Ozônio , Material Particulado , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poluição do Ar/economia , China , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Exposição Ambiental/economia , Humanos , Ozônio/efeitos adversos , Ozônio/análise , Ozônio/economia , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/economia
14.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 26(22): 22878-22891, 2019 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31177415

RESUMO

Increasing global emissions has led to research on the role of innovations play combating emissions. Mitigations from innovation perspective have mainly been focused on the role of patent, ignoring the role of trademarks. We therefore investigate the mitigating power of patent and trademarks in the OECD economies, benchmarking patent as the traditional mitigation strategy. Examining the complimentary role, we created an interaction term between patent and trademark. Our study divided the OECD economies into four subpanels which are OECD America, OCED Asia, OECD Europe, and OECD Oceania. We employed the Im, Pesaran and Shin W-stat, Augmented Dickey-Fuller, and Phillips Perron unit root tests, as well as cross-sectional dependence and Westerlund cointegration tests for the preliminary test on the variables. We also adopted ARDL approach to cointegration, Granger causality test, and OLS in examining the relationship between CO2 and patent, trademark, urbanization, and economic growth. Findings show that jointly, eco-patents and trademarks mitigate CO2 emissions. Also, bidirectional or unidirectional causal relationship was established between our variables of study, an indication that most of our variables can be used in forecasting one other.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Organização para a Cooperação e Desenvolvimento Econômico , Patentes como Assunto , Ásia , Estudos Transversais , Desenvolvimento Econômico/tendências , Europa (Continente) , Urbanização
15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30970669

RESUMO

Haze control cost is hard to value by a crisp number because it is often affected by various factors such as regional uncertain meteorological conditions and topographical features. Furthermore, regions may be involved in different coalitions for haze control with different levels of effort. In this paper, we propose a PM2.5 cooperative control model with fuzzy cost and crisp coalitions or fuzzy coalitions based on the uncertain cross-border transmission factor. We focus on the Beijing­Tianjin­Hebei regions of China and obtain the following major findings. In the case of haze control in the Beijing­Tianjin­Hebei regions of China, local governments in the global crisp coalition can achieve their emission reduction targets with the lowest aggregated cost. However, Hebei fails to satisfy its individual rationality if there is no cost sharing. Therefore, the Hukuhara­Shapley value is used to allocate the aggregated cost among these regions so that the grand coalition is stable. However, the Beijing­Tianjin­Hebei regions cannot achieve their emission reduction targets in the global fuzzy coalition without government subsidies.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluentes Atmosféricos/normas , Poluição do Ar/economia , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Material Particulado/economia , Material Particulado/normas , Smog/prevenção & controle , Poluição do Ar/estatística & dados numéricos , China
16.
Int J Health Plann Manage ; 34(4): 1290-1303, 2019 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31025396

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Haze pollution has become a serious threat to the health of residents and has brought about considerable economic costs. The objectives of this study are to examine the relationship between haze pollution and residents' health and to estimate the health cost of haze pollution. METHODS: Using macro data on 74 major Chinese cities, this study employs a static panel data model and a dynamic panel generalized method of moments model to investigate the impact of haze pollution on the mortality of residents. On the basis of the estimation results, the value of a statistical life (VOSL) method is used to evaluate the economic cost of haze pollution on residents' health. RESULTS: In 74 major cities of China, an increase in concentration of PM2.5 pollutants by 1 µg/m3 may cause the mortality rate to rise by 25 per million people. The VOSL of haze pollution in China is about 1.53 million yuan. The health cost of residents from haze in 74 major cities of China in 2016 was about 888 billion yuan, equivalent to about 2% of the these cities' GDP. CONCLUSIONS: Haze pollution has serious damage to the health of urban residents and therefore brings about considerable economic losses.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Material Particulado/economia , Adulto , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Análise dos Mínimos Quadrados , Masculino , Modelos Econométricos , Mortalidade , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Inquéritos e Questionários , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos
17.
Int J Public Health ; 64(4): 561-572, 2019 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30834460

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To estimate avoidable mortality, potential years of life lost and economic costs associated with particulate matter PM2.5 exposure for 2 years (2013 and 2015) in Mexico using two scenarios of reduced concentrations (i.e., mean annual PM2.5 concentration < 12 µg/m3 and mean annual PM2.5 concentration < 10 µg/m3). METHODS: The health impact assessment method was followed. This method consists of: identification of health effects, selection of concentration-response functions, estimation of exposure, quantification of impacts quantification and economic assessment using the willingness to pay and human capital approaches. RESULTS: For 2013, we included data from 62 monitoring sites in ten cities, (113 municipalities) where 36,486,201 live. In 2015, we included 71 monitoring sites from fifteen cities (121 municipalities) and 40,479,629 inhabitants. It was observed that reduction in the annual PM2.5 average to 10 µg/would have prevented 14,666 deaths and 150,771 potential years of life lost in 2015, with estimated costs of 64,164 and 5434 million dollars, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Reducing PM2.5 concentration in the Mexican cities studied would reduce mortality by all causes by 8.1%, representing important public health benefits.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/economia , Avaliação do Impacto na Saúde/economia , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/economia , Cidades/economia , Cidades/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Humanos , México , Material Particulado/análise
18.
J Dairy Sci ; 102(3): 2051-2053, 2019 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30639004

RESUMO

Since its inception, the European Union (EU) carbon emission market has been vastly successful in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Accordingly, the usage of environmentally friendly fuels (e.g., ethanol, biodiesel) has increased significantly over the last few years. Given that EU biodiesel is mainly produced from rapeseed oil and soybean oil, higher carbon taxes are likely to increase the demand of these important vegetable oils, which further affects the prices of its close substitute such as butter. Nevertheless, the association between the EU emission trading scheme and butter prices remains understudied. In this paper, we aim to fill this vacuum in the existing literature. Applying the autoregressive distributed lag bound testing procedure, we show that emission market seems to have a long-term effect on EU butter prices, implying that changes in the levels of carbon taxes will lead to changes in the price level of butter. These results are of vital importance to policymakers and investors.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Manteiga/economia , Carbono/economia , Política Ambiental/economia , União Europeia , União Europeia/economia
19.
Environ Int ; 124: 420-430, 2019 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30682597

RESUMO

Exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) caused an estimated 4.2 million deaths worldwide in 2015. However, PM emission standards for power plants vary widely. To explore if the current levels of these standards are sufficiently stringent in a simple cost-benefit framework, we compared the health benefits (avoided monetized health costs) with the control costs of tightening PM emission standards for coal-fired power plants in Northeast (NE) Brazil, where ambient PM concentrations are below World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. We considered three Brazilian PM10 (PMx refers to PM with a diameter under x micrometers) emission standards and a stricter U.S. EPA standard for recent power plants. Our integrated methodology simulates hourly electricity grid dispatch from utility-scale power plants, disperses the resulting PM2.5, and estimates selected human health impacts from PM2.5 exposure using the latest integrated exposure-response model. Since the emissions inventories required to model secondary PM are not available in our study area, we modeled only primary PM so our benefit estimates are conservative. We found that tightening existing PM10 emission standards yields health benefits that are over 60 times greater than emissions control costs in all the scenarios we considered. The monetary value of avoided hospital admissions alone is at least four times as large as the corresponding control costs. These results provide strong arguments for considering tightening PM emission standards for coal-fired power plants worldwide, including in regions that meet WHO guidelines and in developing countries.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/química , Poluição do Ar/legislação & jurisprudência , Poluição do Ar/prevenção & controle , Carvão Mineral , Material Particulado/química , Centrais Elétricas/legislação & jurisprudência , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Poluição do Ar/economia , Brasil , Humanos , Material Particulado/economia , Centrais Elétricas/economia
20.
Gac Sanit ; 33(4): 389-394, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29776689

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the impact of per capita income and environmental air quality variables on health expenditure determinants. METHOD: In this study, we analyse the relationship between air pollution and health expenditure in 29 OECD countries over the period 1995-2014. In addition, we test whether our findings differ between countries with higher or lower incomes. RESULTS: The econometric results show that per capita income has a positive effect on health expenditure, but is not as statistically significant as expected when lag-time is incorporated. In addition, an anchorage effect is observed, which implies that about 80%-90% of previous expenditure explain current expenditure. Our empirical results are quite consistent between groups and when compared with the full sample. Nevertheless, there appear to be some differences when broken down by financing scheme (total, public, and private). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our findings could be used to clarify the appropriate health expenditure level or to obtain better environmental quality and social well-being. That is, empirical support is provided on how health management and policy makers should include more considerations for the use of cleaner fuels in developed countries.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/economia , Gastos em Saúde , Poluentes Atmosféricos/economia , Países Desenvolvidos/economia , Países em Desenvolvimento/economia , Humanos , Renda
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